Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 CHAPTER 8 THE SALES COMPARISON APPROACH STUDENT LEARNING OUTCOMES This chapter introduces the sales comparison approach. The analysis and adjusting of sales will be covered in Chapter 9. Topics here include: 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 Introducing the Sales Comparison Approach Collecting Comparable Sales Data Data Resources on the Internet Appraisal Statistical Concepts Class Activities [Instructor: Complete as needed.] Lecture [ ] Discussion [ ] Breakout Groups [ ] Other _____________[ ] 8.1 INTRODUCING THE SALES COMPARISON APPROACH The sales comparison approach often is the most important of the value approaches. Outline of the Sales Comparison Approach 1. 2. 3. 4. Research and collect recent sales of properties comparable to the subject property. Analyze these sales and compare them to each other and with the subject property. Adjust for the differences between the sales and the subject property. Arrive at a value estimate as indicated by the adjusted sales. Key Concepts of the Sales Comparison Approach The Importance of Substitution 1. 2. The sales comparison approach is based on the principle of substitution. This process is commonly used by buyers and sellers. Simplicity The sales comparison approach is simple because it: Is the most direct approach. Requires fewer calculations. Easiest to understand. Easiest to explain. Statistical Connections The sales comparison approach is related to statistics because it: 8-1 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 1. 2. 3. Uses a sampling of market activities. Identifies market patterns. Seeks to locate sales that bracket the key characteristics of the subject property. [Instructor: See Section 8.3 for an outline of statistical concepts.] Adjustments The sales comparison approach offers sales analysis and adjustment methods that can: 1. 2. 3. Help identify the property features that are affecting the selling price. Suggest how much to adjust the price(s) for any particular difference. Allow an objective review of the appraisal. Use of Market Data In Other Approaches Each of the three approaches to value relies upon market data: 1. 2. 3. The sales comparison approach makes direct use of market sales data. The cost approach uses vacant land sales to estimate land value, and analyzes improved sales to estimate accrued depreciation. The income approach uses rents, vacancy rates, expenses, and capitalization rates that are all based upon market data. 8.2 COLLECTING COMPARABLE SALES DATA Selecting the Comparable Sales A sale must meet three criteria to be a valid comparable. It must be a competitive property, an open market transaction, and a sale close in time to the date of value. The Competitive Property 1. 2. 3. Location: one that a buyer of the subject property would also consider. Physical characteristics: must meet the needs of that prospective buyer. Appeal: attracts the same buyer group, or “sub-market”. Open Market Transactions 1. 2. 3. Arm’s-length sales Adequate market exposure No unusual terms or conditions, such as seller concessions Date of Sale The date of sale should be close to the date of value, depending on: 1. 2. 3. Supply and demand changes Market attitude changes General and local market trends 8-2 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 How Comparable Must a Comparable Be? 1. 2. 3. As comparable as you can find! Market sales should be similar in time, location, and important characteristics. Finding an adequate number of comparables may require that you widen the acceptable criteria, for example, the age of the house. Defining the Sales Search Area 1. 2. In a market with a lot of sales, or similar property, the area will be smaller. With few sales, and/or an unusual property, the area may be very wide. Consider the Sales History of the Subject Property USPAP requires the following: 1. 2. Consider/analyze any agreement of sale, option, or listing around the time of the date of value. Consider and analyze prior sales of the subject property within three years of the date of value (if available in the normal course of business). What Information Is Needed? Pertinent information is needed about each sales transaction, and the particulars of each comparable sale. The Sales Transaction Data The data collected for each comparable should include: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Date of sale: ideally, the date the sale price was agreed upon Sales price, terms of sale, type, amount, and details of financing Items of personal property included in the sale, or other seller concessions Address and legal description Names of grantor (seller) and grantee (buyer) Motivation for sale (seller) and purchase (buyer) Income and expense information, as appropriate (i.e. property interest acquired) Physical Characteristics of the Sale The data collected for each comparable (in light of UAD) should include: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Land size, shape, topography, soil, etc. The size and nature of structures; distinguish the above- and below-grade finished areas The age and quality of design and construction Special features, e.g., built-ins, bathrooms, equipment, and yard improvements; notable property features, such as desirable or undesirable views The condition and quality of the structure; note any modernization (level of work/time-frame) Available utilities Any negative features, e.g., room sizes, poor floor plans, deferred maintenance, inadequate wiring, roof leaks, landslides, etc. 8-3 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 Legal Data about the Comparable Sale The data collected for each comparable should include: Zoning category; permitted uses Current and future property taxes (special tax assessments) Public and private restrictions, easements, leases Location of the Sale Note any important differences from the subject property, regarding: Public transportation Proximity to freeways, jobs, schools, cultural facilities, local shopping, and recreational facilities Detrimental influences such as traffic noise, incompatible land uses, and/or possible natural hazards The age, value, quality, condition, and use of surrounding properties Market Conditions Consider the state of the market at the time of the sale. Compare with the state of the market at the date of value. Using Listings and Offers Listings can show market trends, and may indicate the upper limits of value. Refused offers can suggest the lower limits of value. Use of listings is often the result of a client requirement to include them. Particularly important in uncertain or rapidly changing markets. How Many Sales? The number of sales needed in any appraisal depends on: How good the comparables are. The reliability of the data. The analysis technique used. How the report will be used. Verification of Data Ways to improve the reliability of sales information include: 1. 2. Field inspection of the sales. An exterior view is adequate for most appraisals. An interior view may be required in complex assignments. Try to identify any changes made since the sale date. Verification of price, terms, and property characteristics with seller, buyer, or agent. [Note: The extent of verification could depend on the Intended Use and/or Scope of Work (Client expectations). 8-4 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 Sources of Market Data Public Records Public offices, and the data they may be able to provide, include: 1. Recorder or County Clerk’s office: 2. Grant deeds and other ownership change records (documentary transfer tax) Deeds of trust, mortgages, assignments of rent, etc. Assessors’ offices: a. Assessor’s parcel numbers, assessed values, current owners of record, etc. as found on the assessment roll. b. General property information may include: c. Owners of record Date and document number of recent property transfers Sellers’ reports of change of ownership: price and terms Legal descriptions and parcel maps Property addresses Lists of recent sales Property data may include zoning category, the type of present use, and the size, quality, class and age of buildings. Multiple Listing Services Usually sponsored by local Boards of Realtors, multiple listing services: Compile and regularly publish member listings and recent sales. Often maintain a listings database, accessible by personal computers (via Internet). Restrict access to members; licensed/certified appraisers may qualify. MLS data can often be directly downloaded (improved effiency). Data Services 1. Data Express: National Collateral Database by FNC, Inc.: Sales data are generated by cooperating lenders and appraisers. Service includes monthly sales books; computer downloads via Internet, etc. Available assessor’s data is often integrated into sales reports. [Note: See Figure 8-10 in your text for a sample Data Express sales data listing from FNC.] 2. Dataquick, CoreLogic’s Sitex Data and other private firms may offer: Public records (assessment and transfer information) Listings, recent sales, and deed copies 8-5 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 3. On-line property data (print-out or downloadable) Compact Disc/Read Only Memory (CD/ROM) data discs Comparables and property profiles. Title insurance companies: Microfilm or computer files of public records with computerized indices Assessment, sales transfer, deeds, and other records Property profiles The Internet Now a major source of appraiser data. Some is free; some requires a subscription. Parties to the Transaction Buyers, sellers and their agents have first-hand information. Involved lenders may be able to provide information. Appraisal Office Data Files Many appraisers keep private market data files. Appraisers sometimes share their sales data with other appraisers. 8.3 DATA RESOURCES ON THE INTERNET Data resources on the internet that are the most useful to appraisers may be found on websites maintained by government agencies, industry service organizations, and trade associations connected to real estate. Websites of Government Agencies Many local, state and federal government agencies publish data on the economy as well as regulatory information on their websites. General Data On the Economy Federal government agencies offering general data on the economy and the environment, as well as social and economic statistics, include the following sites: Bureau of Labor Statistics http://stats.bls.gov/ Bureau of Labor Statistics, “U.S. Economy at a Glance” http://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.us.htm Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/ Dep’t. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis http://www.bea.gov/ 8-6 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 U.S. Congress, Economic Indicators of the Joint Economic Committee http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys Federal Housing Finance Agency, House Price Index http://www.fhfa.gov/Default.aspx?Page=14 Regulatory Information Many government regulatory agencies post their regulations, handbooks and forms on the internet for use by affected institutions, as well as by appraisers. In many cases such material may be downloaded. Dep’t. of Housing and Urban Development http://www.hud.gov/ Environmental Protection Agency http://www.epa.gov/ Fannie Mae http://www.efanniemae.com/ Federal Emergency Management Agency http://www.fema.gov/ Federal Emergency Management Agency, Flood Map Service http://www.msc.fema.gov/ Freddie Mac http://www.freddiemac.com/ The Appraisal Subcommittee http://www.asc.gov/ The Appraisal Foundation http://www.appraisalfoundation.org/ 8-7 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 Websites of Industry Service Organizations Many real estate research and service organizations provide the real estate, construction, and appraisal industries with useful data on the internet. Access is often by subscription only. Comparable Sales Lender Processing Services – Sitex Data http://www.sitexdata.com Dataquick Property Finder http://www.dataquick.com/ CoreLogic – RealQuest http://www.realquest.com/ National Collateral Database – Data Express http://www.collateraldna.com/dataexpress.aspx LoopNet http://www.loopnet.com CoStar Group – COMPS Express http://www.costar.com/products/compsExpress National Association of Realtors http://www.realtor.com Homescout – Listings http://www.homescout.com Cost and Construction Marshall & Swift Company Group– Cost Data http://www.marshallswift.com/ R. S. Means Company – Cost Data http://www.rsmeans.com/ General and Other Sites Building Owners & Managers Association http://www.boma.org/ Engineering News-Record http://www.enr.com/ Realty Rates http://www.realtyrates.com Motgage Bankers Association of America – Forecasts http://www.mbaa.org/ResearchandForecasts/ 8-8 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 ULI/PricewaterhouseCoopers – Emerging Trends in Real Estate http://www.uli.org/ResearchandPublications.aspx Websites of Trade Associations Trade association websites with connections to real estate include the following: American Society of Appraisers http://www.appraisers.org/ Appraisal Institute http://www.appraisalinstitute.org/ National Association of REALTORS® http://www.realtor.com/ Real Estate Educators Association http://www.reea.org/ Society of Industrial and Office Realtors – Commercial Real Estate Index http://www.sior.com/ AIA - Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts http://www.aia.org/aiarchitect/ NAIOP: Vital Signs Survey http://www.naiop.org/ 8.4 APPRAISAL STATISTICAL CONCEPTS 1. Central tendency can suggest the typical size, price, or other important variable. Measures of central tendency include the following: 2. Mean - the average numeric “value” of the sample, that is, the average price, or average size Median - the middle value, that is, the one with as many values greater than it as values less than it in the sample Mode - the value that occurs the most often Range - the difference or spread between the highest and lowest value in the sample Standard Deviation - a measurement of whether the observations are clustered close to the mean, or instead spread throughout the range Linear and multiple regression. Calculates the relationships between property characteristics (variables) and selling prices, producing a formula. An indicated value or range of values for the subject property may then be calculated. 8-9 Instructor’s Manual: Basic Real Estate Appraisal, 8th. Edition Chapter 8 SUMMARY [Instructor: Review the following terms to summarize this session.] Important Terms and Concepts Adjustment techniques Assessment roll Bracketing Buyer’s motives Central tendency Comparable sales Comparable sale search area Competitive property Concessions Linear and multiple regressions Location Mean Median Mode Open-market transaction Physical characteristics Public records Range Sales comparison approach Sales history Sample Seller’s motives Standard deviation Submarket Terms of sale Variable Verification REVIEWING YOUR UNDERSTANDING [Instructor: See end of text chapter for review questions.] STUDENT EXERCISES [Instructor: Suggested Multiple Choice and True/False questions are available to use for Chapter 8.] 8-10