Draft Manuscript for Hydrological Processes July 8, 2010 Controls of streamflow pathways in small catchments across the snowrain transition in the Southern Sierra Nevada, California Fengjing Liu Sierra Nevada Research Institute & School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA Carolyn Hunsaker Pacific Southwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Fresno, CA Roger Bales Sierra Nevada Research Institute & School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA Corresponding Address† Fengjing Liu Sierra Nevada Research Institute & School of Engineering University of California, Merced 5200 N. Lake Road Merced, CA 95343 Phone: 209/205-8564 Email: fliu@ucmerced.edu Abstract. Pathways of streamflow were determined using geochemical tracers for water years 2004-2007 at the Kings River Experimental Watersheds (KREW) in the Southern Sierra Nevada. Investigated are four rain-dominated catchments at Providence (P301, P303, P304 and D102) and four snow-dominated catchments at Bull (B201, B203, B204 and T003). Results of diagnostic tools of mixing models indicate that Ca2+, Mg2+, K+ and Cl- behaved conservatively for mixing and three endmembers contributed to streamflow in those catchments. Using endmember mixing analysis (EMMA), the endmembers were determined to be near-surface runoff, rainstorm runoff and baseflow, and relative endmember contributions evaluated by recreating streamflow chemistry using fractional contributions and ionic concentrations of these endmembers. Near-surface runoff contributed >50% of streamflow on average at all catchments except P304 and T003. The mean contribution of baseflow was >60% at P304 and T003. Rainstorm runoff contributed <6% on average. The fraction of snow versus rain did not exert a major control on the pathways of streamflow in these catchments. The flow contributions (expressed as discharge) of near-surface runoff and baseflow were linearly correlated with streamflow discharge, with a slope ranging from 0.53 to 0.83 (R2 = 0.92-0.99, n = 100-200) and from 0.20 to 0.46 (R2 = 0.91-0.97), respectively. These linear regression models can be used to constrain results of hydrologic models in future studies and to assess changes in hydrologic regime with future forest management. Key words: Water chemistry, flow paths, snow/rain transition, Southern Sierra Nevada Running Title: Streamflow pathways in catchments of snow-rain transition 1 INTRODUCTION Information on streamflow pathways is critical to understand how streamflow responds to the declining trend of snow relative to rainfall in the mountains of the western United States [Knowles et al., 2006; Mote et al., 2005; Stewart et al., 2004] and to evaluate potential changes in stream water quantity and quality associated with a forest treatment [Brown et al., 2005]. The explicit pathways of streamflow must be known for understanding the role of forest vegetation in hydrology [Hunsaker et al., in review]. Streamflow pathways have been well studied for both rain-dominated [e.g., McDonnell et al., 1990] and snow-dominated forests [e.g., McNamara et al., 2005]. Notably lacking from these studies, however, is a direct comparison of how snow- and rain-dominated catchments differ in streamflow pathways in the same region with similar geology, vegetation and soils. Mechanisms of runoff generation in semiarid, mountain forested catchments where annual runoff is dominated by snowmelt, a multi-week event, may be fundamentally different from that in humid regions where frequent short-term rainfall events dominate [Wilcox et al., 1997]. In humid, forested catchments such as found in the eastern United States, runoff is generated primarily from old waters through macropore flow [e.g., McDonnell et al., 1990; Hooper and Shoemaker, 1986]. A few studies from an 870-m2 ponderosa pine hillslope at Los Alamos have indicated that both lateral subsurface flow and overland flow are important flow processes that control snowmelt runoff at hillslope scales in semiarid environments [Wilcox et al., 1997; Newman et al., 1998; Newman et al., 2004]. However, the importance of these processes at catchment scales in semiarid regions with a seasonal snow cover has received little attention [McNamara et al., 2005]. 2 Eight catchments across the snow-rain transition in the southern Sierra Nevada were selected to determine the endmembers contributing to streamflow and to quantity their contributions with varying climates from water years 2004 to 2007. The objectives of the study reported here were to examine the controls of streamflow pathways, by topography versus snowrain proportion, to conceptualize streamflow generation and to develop predictive models of endmember contributions in those catchments. Three questions were specifically addressed: (i) what were the end-members contributing to stream flow, (ii) how did the end-member contributions vary over those catchments across snow-rain transition, and (iii) what conceptual and predictive models of streamflow generation for snow-rain transition in the Southern Sierra Nevada do these results suggest? METHODS Research Area This study was conducted in eight forested catchments that make up the Kings River Experimental Watersheds (KREW), a watershed-level, integrated ecosystem project for longterm research on nested headwater streams in the southern Sierra Nevada (Figure 1). KREW is operated by the Forest Service’s Pacific Southwest Research Station. The catchments are located in two groups of four at the Providence site and Bull site within the Sierra National Forest, northeast of Fresno, California (Figure 1). The four catchments at the Providence site range in size from 0.49 to 1.32 km2 and in elevation from 1479 to 2113 m, while the four catchments at the Bull site range in size from 0.53 to 2.28 km2 and in elevation from 2055 to 2490 m (Table 1). Precipitation was dominated by snow in the high-elevation Bull catchments, with a varying fraction of 75-90% of annual precipitation from water years 2004 to 2007, and by 3 rainfall in the lower-elevation Providence catchments, with up to 80% as rainfall during the same water years [Hunsaker et al., 2010]. Mean air temperature was 7.8 and 6.8 oC from 2004 to 2007 at the lower Providence and upper Bull meteorological stations, respectively. Soils are well drained, mixed, frigid Dystric Xeropsamment, formed from decomposed granite [Dahlgren et al., 1997], including Shaver and Gerle-Cagwin soils at Providence and colder, Cagwin soils at Bull [Sierra National Forest, 1983]. Litter depth and depth to bedrock vary across the study area, but all soils have similar texture and water percolation rate [North et al., 2002]. The Providence catchments are largely mixed conifer forest, with some chaparral, barren and meadow [Hunsaker et al., 2010]. The Bull catchments also are mainly mixed conifer forests, with a higher proportion of red fir at higher elevations [North et al., 2005]. The study area and its vicinity are made up of granitic, metamorphic, and volcanic rocks, with some of glacial materials. Clay mineralogy is dominated by hydroxyl-Al interlayered vermiculite and gibbsite, as a result of weathering of feldspar and plagioclase under intense leaching environment [Dahlgren et al., 1997]. The weathering environment is very effective at removing Si released by weathering in spite of the cold soil temperatures, resulting in Sidepleted minerals. Sample collection and analysis Stream water samples were collected biweekly at the outlets of eight catchments from fall 2003 to fall 2007 (Figure 1). Samples were either grabbed by hand or collected by automated ISCO samplers. The ISCO samplers were triggered when stream flow exceeds a certain value and provide samples several hours apart during storm events. 4 Soil water was collected from Prenart samplers at two depths, 13 and 26 cm. Each pair of samplers was placed symmetrically at 2, 4, and 6 m away from a tree understory and one in the open at each depth. Prenart samplers were deployed at all Providence catchments. Ionic concentrations of those samples were evaluated in detail in Hunsaker et al. [in preparation]. Results of composite samples were presented in this paper. Snowmelt was collected using plastic sampling bottles placed at four meteorological stations (Figure 1). Each bottle has a funnel to gather snow and to allow meltwater flowing into the bottle. Bottles were placed before a significant storm came and collected soon after snow melted. Snowmelt was also collected at each Prenart sampler location. But Hunsaker et al. [in preparation] showed that chemical compositions of those snowmelt samples did not exert a significant control on stream water chemistry and thus chemical data of those samples were not included in this study. Samples were also collected in 2008 and 2009 from piezometers, a spring and groundwater wells in several locations (Figure 1). Groundwater was collected from drinking wells at Glenn Meadow, Dinkey Creek, PG & E local office and Blue Canyon Work Center, 2 to 3 times from August 2008 and October 2009. A sample collected from a tank near Dinkey Creek was actually from a nearby well. Samples were taken once in October 2009 from a spring at B201 and two 1.5 m depth piezometers at B201 and P301, respectively. Samples collected from wells, spring and piezometers in 2008-2009 were analyzed for major cations (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+) and anions (Cl-, NO3-, SO42-) using Dionex 2000 Ion Chromatograph (IC) at the Environmental Lab of the University of California, Merced. Analytical precision (1 standard deviation) for all ions was less than 1% and detection limit less than 1 eq L-1. All other samples were analyzed for major cations and anions using IC at Pacific 5 Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA. Precision is also less than 1% of ionic concentrations. Acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) was calculated as the difference between the total concentrations of cations and anions, all in eq L-1 and annotated as ANC-CB, where CB refers to charge balance. Endmember mixing analysis and diagnostic tools of mixing models Contributions of endmembers to streamflow were determined using tracer-based endmember mixing analysis (EMMA) in combination with the diagnostic tools of mixing models (DTMM), following Liu et al. [2008]. Conservative tracers and the number of endmembers that contribute to streamflow were identified from stream water chemical data using the diagnostic tools of mixing models described in Hooper [2003]. The key procedure in this method is to project stream water chemistry ( X̂ * ) using eigenvectors (V, n n, where n is the number of solutes) extracted from the correlation coefficients of stream water chemistry data (X*, including all available solutes) without using any information from endmembers: Xˆ * X *V T (VV T ) 1V (1) Conservative tracers and the number of endmembers were determined by examining the distribution of residuals (the difference between projected and measured values) over the measured values for each solute. For example, if the distribution is a random pattern using twodimensional eigenvectors, a two-dimensional (2-D) mixing space, i.e., three end-members, is needed and the solutes that show a random pattern for their residual distributions are deemed to behave conservatively. EMMA was then used with the determined conservative tracers to identify endmembers and quantify the contributions of endmembers to streamflow following Christophersen and 6 Hooper [1992] and Liu et al. [2004]. A principal component analysis (PCA) was performed to extract eigenvectors using a correlation matrix of conservative tracers (not the original ionic concentrations) that were determined using DTMM above. Stream water chemical data were orthogonally projected using the eigenvectors by U X 1 V1 * T (2) where U is orthogonally projected (U-space projected) data matrix (nm), in which n represents the number of samples and m the number of mixing subspaces determined above. X1* is standardized tracer concentrations in stream flow (zero mean and unit standard deviation), with a dimension of np, where p is the number of conservative tracers used to extract the eigenvectors V1. V1 has a dimension of m p, truncated from p p eigenvector matrix extracted using p conservative tracers. Tracer concentrations in endmembers were also standardized using the mean and standard deviation of stream water samples and projected using the same eigenvectors V1. The first two PCA scores were used to solve for endmember contributions, a procedure mathematically the same as two-tracers for three-component mixing model. Three criteria were used to identify eligible endmembers from potential ones, following Liu et al. [2008]. First, eligible endmembers must form a convex polygon (e.g., a triangle in the case of three endmembers) to bound all stream water samples. Second, the distance of all eligible endmembers between original compositions and U-space orthogonal projections should be reasonably short for all tracers used in the analysis. Third, stream water chemistry must be well recreated for conservative tracers using the results of EMMA to ensure right results for right reasons. The original chemical compositions of endmembers were assumed to be in the same space as stream water (S-space, where S stands for stream flow). U-space orthogonal projections 7 of endmembers and the distance between S-space and U-space were calculated following Christophersen and Hooper [1992]: d j b j b j (3) b j b jV1 (V1V1 ) 1V1 T T (4) where dj means the Euclidean distance of endmember b for tracer j between original composition (bj) and U-space projection (bj*) calculated by equation 4 using the eigenvector V1 extracted from conservative tracers. The distance was expressed as percent by dividing distance by the original chemical composition. The shorter the distance for all conservative tracers the better fit of an endmember to the mixing space. RESULTS Hydrology and meteorology Annual precipitation measured at four meteorological stations along an elevation gradient from 1,750 to 2,463 m was essentially the same (Figure 2a). Annual precipitation was 94-96, 174-182, 193-203, and 75-77 cm in 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007, respectively. Precipitation primarily occurred from December to March, as seen from a sharp increase of cumulative daily precipitation (Figure 2a). A little precipitation occurred after April each year before the wet season starts again in fall. Snow started accumulating in November or December and attained a maximum depth in early spring at all stations (Figure 2b). The maximum depth occurred at Upper Bull meteorological station, with 266, 380, 397, and 210 cm on March 1 in 2004, March 24 in 2005, April 5 in 2006 and February 28 in 2007, respectively. The maximum depth at other stations was less than 70% of those at the Upper Bull station. After then, snow depth declined almost 8 monotonically as snow started melting. Snow became depleted 2-3 months after the maximum accumulation at the Upper Bull, but 4-6 weeks earlier at other stations. After the maximum snow accumulation, stream runoff increased rapidly at all catchments, particularly in relatively wet years 2005 and 2006 (Figure 2c). After snow depletion, cumulative runoff increased slightly with time. In this study streamflow was termed as baseflow after snow depletion. The annual (total) runoff was much higher in 2005 and 2006 than 2004 and 2007 at all catchments. The annual runoff also varied significantly from catchments, consistently higher at B203 and B204 and lower at P303 and D102. For example, annual runoff was 38 and 12 cm at B203 and P303 in 2004 and 130 and 60 cm in 2005 at the same catchments, respectively. Ionic concentrations Mean ionic concentrations of Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+ and K+ in stream water were significantly higher at Providence than at Bull catchments (Table 2). Mean concentrations of Ca2+ were greater than 200 eq L-1 at Providence catchments, with 1 > 50 eq L-1, while those were less than 160 eq L-1 at Bull catchments, with 1 < 35 eq L-1. Mean Cl- concentrations were slightly higher at Providence than at Bull catchments, but to the contrary SO42- concentrations were slightly lower. The temporal variation of ionic concentrations generally followed the opposite pattern of stream water, with lower concentrations at higher flows during snowmelt and higher concentrations at low flows during baseflow, as demonstrated by Ca2+, K+ and Cl- in Figure 3. However, isolated peaks of high ionic concentrations, particularly those of K+ and Cl-, occurred following a transient increase in stream flow during late summer and fall or even in winter (Figure 3). Such isolated peaks in stream flow were caused by rainstorms [Hunsaker et al., in 9 preparation]. Ionic concentrations were lowest at P301 and highest at P304 among Providence catchments and were similar over the water years 2004 to 2007 (Figure 3). Among Bull catchments, ionic concentrations were lowest at B203 and highest at T003. Mean ionic concentrations in snowmelt were much lower than in stream water at both Providence and Bull catchments, but those in soil water were higher than in stream water for all ions except Na+ and SO42- (Table 2). The mean concentration of Ca2+ in snowmelt was 27 eq L1 , about 10% of that in stream water at Providence catchments, while that of soil water was 398 eq L-1, at least 20% higher than that in stream water. The mean concentration of Na+ in soil water was 16 eq L-1, twice that in snowmelt, but much lower than that in stream water (45-171 eq L-1). Ionic concentrations in soil water varied significantly over time and locations, with 1 values close to or greater than mean values (Table 2). Mean ionic concentrations in shallow subsurface water, including those in soil piezometers and a spring, were greater than those in snowmelt but lower than those in stream water (Table 2). For instance, the mean concentration of Ca2+ was 81 eq L-1 in subsurface water at a meadow piezometer at B201, three times that in snowmelt, but about 30% of that in stream water. Mean ionic concentrations in groundwater wells varied significantly, e.g., with Ca2+ concentration of 426 eq L-1 in a well at Dinkey Creek Ranger Station and 1124 eq L-1 in a well at Blue Canyon Work Center (Table 2). Due to the lack of well logs, it was assumed that the ionic concentrations were a reflection of well depth and residence times of groundwater, with lower concentrations from groundwater developed at shallower aquifers and higher concentrations from groundwater developed at deeper aquifers. 10 Endmember mixing analysis (EMMA) Conservative tracers and number of endmembers Stream water chemical data were combined into two single data sets for the Providence and Bull catchments in diagnostic tools of mixing model to determine conservative tracers and number of endmembers. The distribution of the residuals between measured and projected values over the measured ionic concentrations indicated that a two-dimensional (2-D) mixing space was needed for conservative mixing of stream water chemistry for both Providence and Bull catchments (Figure 4). Ca2+, Mg2+, K+, Cl- and acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) were found to be conservative in streams of both sites. The R2 values of the residual distributions significantly decreased from 1-D to 2-D for Ca2+, K+, Cl- and ANC. For example, the R2 value of Cldecreased from 0.71 to 0.18 from 1-D to 2-D at Providence and from 0.58 to 0.08 for catchments at Bull. The distribution of SO42- was patterned in 2-D with a linear relationship between residuals and the measured ionic concentrations (R2 = 0.31 at Providence and 0.54 at Bull). Even though the R2 values in 2-D were much lower for Na+ than for SO42-, 0.25 and 0.13 at Providence and Bull, respectively, the pattern of the Na+ residual distributions and the residual magnitudes did not change much from 1-D to 2-D, indicating that Na+, similar to SO42-, did not behave completely conservative upon mixing. It is thus deemed that concentrations of Ca2+, Mg2+, K+, Cl- and ANC in stream water were primarily caused by a mixing of three endmembers. The same analysis was also performed for each individual catchment using their own ionic concentrations of stream water (data not shown). Conservative tracers and the number of endmembers of all individual catchments were consistent with the results above. Note that NO3and PO43- were not included in above analysis because their concentrations were below the analytical detection limits for a considerable portion of the samples. DTMM requires that all 11 samples have measured values for all species included in the analysis. Note also that the slopes of linear regression for the distributions of residuals over the measured values were the same as R2 values in magnitude, as the eigenvectors used to project stream water chemistry were extracted using stream water chemistry standardized to be zero mean and unit standard deviation. Identification of endmembers Mixing diagrams were constructed using the first two PCA projections with which eigenvectors were extracted from the correlations of four conservative tracers, Ca2+, Mg2+, K+ and Cl- in stream water at both Providence and Bull catchments (Figure 5), following Christophersen and Hooper [1992], Liu et al. [2004], and Liu et al. [2008]. All potential endmembers were also projected using the same eigenvectors as for stream water. ANC was not used in the analysis because it was calculated as the difference between total cationic and anionic concentrations and its precision and accuracy could not be evaluated. Most of stream water samples at both Providence and Bull catchments were scattered in the mixing diagrams along an axis formed by potential endmembers from snowmelt collected at meteorological stations and groundwater near Dinkey Creek (Figure 5). The samples near snowmelt were collected during the snowmelt period, while the samples near groundwater at Dinkey Creek and beyond were collected at low flows in late summer and early fall before precipitation starts. Therefore, snowmelt runoff and baseflow were two major endmembers contributing to stream flow. The samples scattered to the lower-right of the axis were collected in late fall and early winter. The ionic concentrations of those samples were much higher (Figure 3) and significantly influenced by rainstorms [Hunsaker et al., in preparation]. The third endmember was thus rainstorm runoff. 12 Snowmelt runoff could be characterized by ionic concentrations in snowmelt as of Liu et al. [2004]. Snowmelt was also well positioned as a vertex to form a triangle to bound most, if not all, of stream water samples at Bull catchments (Figure 5). However, the S- and U-space distances of ionic concentrations in snowmelt were somewhat too large, particularly at Providence catchments (Table 3). The distance was greater than 48% for all tracers except K+ in snowmelt at Providence. To the contrary, the distance was less than 10% for all tracers in shallow subsurface water at B201 piezometer. This subsurface water was plotted closely to snowmelt at Providence catchments (Figure 5), indicating that chemical signature in snowmelt actually entering into streams has been slightly modified by soils. It is suggested that snowmelt was delivered as near-surface runoff rather than overland flow at Providence catchments, which is consistent with Liu et al. [2008] for Vales Caldera, New Mexico. Therefore, near-surface runoff was used as an endmember for Providence catchments and characterized by subsurface water at B201 piezometer. Note that B201 piezometer is located in Bull, not Providence. The chemical signature of B201 piezometer was borrowed for Providence catchments and it did not mean water at Bull catchments flows to Providence catchments. Even though the distance of subsurface water at B201 piezometer was much shorter than snowmelt for Bull catchments (Table 3), subsurface water at B201 piezometer was amid the stream water sample cloud and thus violated one of the three criteria for being a vertex of the triangle. Snowmelt was still used to characterize near-surface runoff for Bull catchments. A sample of stream water collected in late summer and fall with highest ionic concentrations was selected to characterize rainstorm runoff, namely the one collected on October 5, 2006 at P304 for Providence catchments and on October 17, 2004 at B201 for Bull catchments. The U- and S-space distance was less than 5 and 10% for those two samples, 13 respectively (Table 3). Baseflow was characterized by stream water samples collected during low flows, following Liu et al. [2008]. Several samples from different catchments were geometrically qualified as a candidate, but the one with shortest distance between U- and S-space was selected. The stream water sample collected at P304 on July 28, 2004 was selected for Providence catchments, as its distance was < 5% for all tracers (Table 3). The stream water sample collected at T003 on August 8, 2007 was selected for Bull catchments, as its distance was < 10% for all tracers except Cl-. Endmember contributions The fractional contributions of near-surface runoff were much higher during the snowmelt period than the baseflow period and consistently higher at P301 and lower at P304 at Providence (Figure 6). The mean contribution of 2004-2007 was 0.65 (0.14) for P301 and 0.27 (0.17) for P304 (Table 4). The fractional contributions of rainstorm runoff varied from 0.2 to 1.0 during late summer and early fall, but near zero during the other times of year (Figure 6), with a mean fraction < 0.06 for all catchments at Providence (Table 4). The fractional contributions of baseflow basically counterbalance those of near-surface runoff, with lowest mean of 0.32 (0.13) at P301 and greatest mean of 0.67 (0.20) at P304 (Table 4). The seasonal variation of fractional contributions of near-surface runoff at Bull catchments was similar to those at Providence catchments, with higher values during snowmelt and lower values during baseflow (Figure 6). The fractional contributions were consistently highest at B203, with a mean of 0.72 (0.14) from 2004 to 2007, and lowest at T003, with a mean of 0.32 (0.16) (Table 4). The mean contributions of rainstorm runoff were < 0.04, slightly 14 lower than those at Providence catchments. Similar to the Providence catchments, the fractional contributions of baseflow almost counterbalance those of near-surface runoff, with highest mean of 0.66 (0.16) at T003 and lowest mean of 0.25 (0.09) at B203 (Table 4). Correlation of endmember contributions with topography Mean near-surface runoff and baseflow normalized by catchment area (mm day-1) increased slightly with mean drainage elevation (Figure 7), but the trends were not significant at of 0.05 (p > 0.05). The near-surface runoff decreased with average slopes of catchments and again the relationship was not significant at of 0.05 (p > 0.05). The rainstorm runoff was not correlated with average elevations and slopes at all. The similar results were obtained for mean flow contributions (L s-1) of near-surface runoff and baseflow, but not shown here. Correlation of endmember contributions with stream flow Contributions of near-surface runoff and baseflow were linearly correlated with stream discharge at both Providence and Bull catchments (Figures 8 and 9). The R2 values were 0.920.99 and 0.91-0.97 (p < 0.001) for near-surface runoff and baseflow, respectively. The slope varied from 0.53 to 0.83 for near-surface runoff and from 0.20 to 0.46 for baseflow. The intercept was all negative for near-surface runoff, with a magnitude < 7, and all positive for baseflow, with a value also < 7. There were a few outliers for baseflow in some of the catchments (Figure 9). These outliers mainly occurred on three days, December 31 in 2005, January 2 in 2006, and February 28 in 2006. It was presumably a result of analytical errors on ionic concentrations rather than instrumental errors on stream discharge, as there were no obvious outliers for near-surface runoff. 15 DISCUSSION Evaluation of the selected endmembers The number of endmembers and conservative tracers were well determined by combining stream water chemical data into a Providence and Bull catchment set (Figure 4), suggesting that those four catchments within each set have the same endmembers with similar chemical characteristics based on Hooper [2003]. Indeed, for example, the distance of baseflow endmember at P304 is all less than 5% for all conservative tracers when eigenvectors from four catchments together were used (Table 3) and the geometrical position of this endmember in the mixing diagram is apt as a vertex for a triangle to bound all stream water samples (Figure 5). Thus, baseflow of P304 was eligible to represent and characterize baseflow for the other three catchments at Providence. Likewise, baseflow of T003 is also appropriate for all Bull catchments. This result is also supported by approximately uniform distribution of soils and vegetation across catchments within Providence and Bull, respectively. The selected endmembers between the Providence and Bull catchments have the same physical meanings but were characterized differently in chemistry. Near-surface runoff was characterized by a shallow spring for the Providence catchments and by snowmelt for the Bull catchments. The ionic concentrations were much higher in the shallow spring at B201 than in snowmelt (Table 2). In addition to endmember distance (Table 3), this selection is justified by the analysis of ionic concentration-stream discharge relationship. Liu et al. [in preparation] find out that ionic concentrations in stream flow were almost invariant during high flows during snowmelt and the envelopes were significantly higher at the Providence than at Bull catchments, but rather similar within the Providence and Bull catchments. This result indicates that ionic 16 concentrations in near-surface runoff are higher in the Providence than Bull catchments. Likewise, ionic concentrations in low flows were much higher at Providence than Bull catchments (Figure 3), also showing the difference in ionic concentrations in baseflow between the Providence and Bull catchments. The selection of endmembers for both the Providence and Bull catchments were also quantitatively evaluated using fractional contributions of EMMA and ionic concentrations of endmembers (Figure 10), following Christophersen and Hooper [1992] and Liu et al. [2004]. This recreation is not recurring because the fractional contributions of EMMA were determined by correlations of ionic concentrations [Liu et al., 2008]. The concentrations of Ca2+ and Mg2+ were very well recreated for both Providence and Bull catchments, with a slope near 1.0 and R 2 greater than 0.92 between measured and recreated values. The concentrations of K+ and Cl- were also very well recreated for Bull catchments, but R2 values were much lower for Providence catchments. The lower R2 values of K+ and Cl- at Providence catchments were caused by a number of outliers (Figure 10). ANC was reasonably well recreated for both Providence and Bull catchments, with a slope of 1.0 or close to 1.0 and R2 > 0.88, even though it was not used in EMMA. Recreation of Na+ was also reasonably good, with R2 of 0.53 and 0.71 for Providence and Bull catchments, respectively. Na+ did not behave completely conservatively (Figure 4) and thus an ideal recreation was not expected. Nonetheless, the recreation of ANC and Na+ enhanced the confidence of the endmember selection. Processes controlling streamflow generation Stream flow is very responsive to snowmelt and rainstorm events in both Providence and Bull catchments, as shown by the hydrographs (Figure 3). Among the eight catchments, three 17 different dominant mechanisms of streamflow generation were identified based on the relative contribution of near-surface runoff versus baseflow. The first is near-surface-runoff dominated mechanism, with a fractional contribution of near-surface runoff > 0.5 year round except during brief dry periods in late summer and fall. This mechanism is represented by streamflow at P301 and B203 (Figure 6; Table 4). The second one is a baseflow-dominated mechanism, with a fractional contribution of baseflow > 0.5, as of P304 and T003. The third one is characterized by approximately equal contributions of near-surface runoff and baseflow, such as P303 and B201. Streamflow generation is apparently not determined by the proportion of snow and rain, as both near-surface-runoff and baseflow-dominated mechanisms exist at rain-dominated Providence and snow-dominated Bull. The mean contribution of both near-surface runoff and baseflow is also not strongly correlated with elevation (Figure 7), again demonstrating that the proportion of snow and rain does not exert a major control on the streamflow pathways. The spatial variation of streamflow pathways over eight catchments is presumably controlled by soil depth and the topography of bedrock, as described by Freer et al. [1997]. In the catchments of Freer et al. [1997] where soils are deeper and bedrock has more and deeper hollows, contribution of baseflow is higher. Unfortunately, however, information on soil depth and topography of bedrock is not yet available in our catchments. The contribution of baseflow is also very responsive to rainfall and snowmelt inputs in these catchments (Figure 9), indicating that baseflow was not from deep bedrock groundwater. Deep groundwater such as sampled in the Blue Canyon well is not a contributor to streamflow in these catchments (Figure 5). Lateral subsurface flow has been well depicted as a major subsurface pathway in stream flow generation in semiarid, forested catchments [Brent et al., 1997; 1998; 2004; Wilcox et al., 1997; McNamara et al., 2005]. Baseflow of these catchments 18 essentially matches lateral subsurface flow stored near the interface of lower soil horizons and bedrock. Infiltration of snowmelt and rainwater to the lower soil horizons occurred through preferential pathways and bypassed the shallow soil horizons [Sandvig and Phillips, 2006]. Supporting this argument is that soil water was not a contributing endmember and the ionic concentrations in soil water were significantly different from those in stream water, shallow subsurface flow of piezometer and springs (Table 2). Implications for Forest Management Hydrologic models such as Distributed Hydrology, Soil and Vegetation Model (DHSVM) have often been used to simulate forest treatment effects on water balance of a catchment, [Waichler et al., 2005]. Common problems encountered with hydrologic models have been the incapability of incorporating groundwater into the model and the notable errors in recreating streamflow hydrograph. For example, low flows were overpredicted while high flows were underpredicted at the H. J. Andrews Experimental Forest using DHSVM [Waichler et al., 2005]. To overcome this problem in an ongoing application of DHSVM to our catchments, the simple, linear-regression models of this study can be used to predict near-surface runoff and baseflow using streamflow discharge as a predictor, as the samples of this study cover diverse climates and annual precipitation (Figure 2). These simple models can also be used in watershed hydrology and forest treatment projects in two ways. First, they can be used to calibrate hydrologic parameters associated with routing algorithm of a hydrologic model or validate the results of a hydrologic model in predicting streamflow pathways. Second, they can be used as a benchmark to evaluate changes in streamflow regimes with a forest treatment if a similar study is conducted after the treatment. Any changes in the slopes of the relationship between near-surface runoff 19 and baseflow and streamflow after the treatment is completed could suggest changes in flow regime. CONCLUSIONS Streamflow is dominated by a combination of near-surface runoff and baseflow in small, forested catchments in the snow-rain transition in the Southern Sierra Nevada. Both near-surface runoff and baseflow are very responsive to snowmelt and rainstorm events and are strongly linearly correlated with streamflow discharge. Baseflow is primarily formed by relatively rapid infiltration of snowmelt and rainwater to the interface of lower soil horizons and bedrock through preferential pathways and delivered to streams as lateral subsurface flow. The residence times of baseflow are relatively short, but vary over catchments, likely determined by soil depth and the topography of bedrock. With changes in snow-rain proportions, systematic changes in streamflow pathways are not expected in the southern Sierra Nevada catchments, although the timing of fractional contributions of near-surface runoff relative to baseflow will be certainly altered at each individual catchment. 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Study area, showing locations of eight catchments, stream gauges (stream sampling sites), meteorological stations (sampling sites of snow), wells and springs. Figure 2. Hydrometeological data from water years 2004 to 2007 for (a) cumulative daily precipitation at four meteorological stations, (b) daily snow depth, with peak and snow depletion dates at the Upper Bull station indicated, and (c) cumulative daily runoff at eight catchments. Figure 3. Concentrations of selected ions (Ca2+, K+, Cl-) from water year 2004 to 2007 in stream water at eight catchments at Providence and Bull, along with streamflow discharge. Figure 4. Distribution of residuals in 1-D and 2-D mixing spaces with measured ionic concentrations in stream flow for all solutes used in diagnostic tools of mixing models; See text for the calculation of residuals. Figure 5. Mixing diagrams using the first 2 U-space projections, along with selected endmembers and the triangle they form, for catchments at (a) Providence and (b) Bull. Note the arrow indicates the change in the distribution of stream water samples from snowmelt to baseflow period. The inset figures show mixing diagrams at all scales. For clarity of the figures, the errors are not shown for soil water and Dinkey Creek well in the enlarged figures. Figure 6. Fractional contributions of endmembers to streamflow from water year 2004 to 2007 at Providence and Bull catchments. Figure 7. Variation of mean endmember contributions with mean drainage elevation and slope at Providence and Bull catchments, averaged across water years 2004 to 2007. 24 Figure 8. Correlation between contribution of near-surface runoff and streamflow discharge at each catchment. Figure 9. Correlation between contribution of baseflow and streamflow discharge at each catchment. Figure 10. Recreation of ionic concentrations in stream water based on the fractional contributions of EMMA and ionic concentrations in endmembers. Note that ANC and Na+ were not used in EMMA. 25