APPENDIX D, Course Reference No. 4 INTRODUCTION This course reference provides a brief overview of the major switches in rural development thinking that have occurred over the past half-century or so. Dominant and subsidiary paradigms are identified, as well as the co-existence of different narratives running in parallel. The continuing success of the long-running ‘small-farm efficiency’ paradigm is highlighted. Any attempt to portray evolving ideas in rural development over the past halfcentury risks oversimplification. While it is superficially neat to characterize the 1960s as modernization, the 1970s as state intervention, the 1980s as market liberalization, and the 1990s as participation and empowerment, popular ideas and their practical effects on rural policies did not, indeed, undergo these transitions in such an uncluttered manner. Understanding about sets of rural development ideas across different disciplines, centers of learning, influential think-tanks, international agencies and national governments is very uneven. There are leads and lags in the transmission of new ideas across space and time. The interpretation that follows is mindful of this complexity, but nevertheless seeks to identify dominant and subsidiary themes that have had major impacts on rural development practice since the 1950s. It also seeks to identify critical areas of divergence between rural development narratives that have co-existed but moved in opposing directions, and it examines whether current events, ideas, and policy proposals are converging towards some sort of consensus about rural livelihoods. The paper compiles definitions of rural, development and rural development as they relate to the evolution of rural development worldwide as well as in the Philippines; DEFINITION OF TERMS AND CONCEPTS RURAL. Rural areas are sparsely settled places away from the influence of large cities and towns. Such areas are distinct from more intensively settled urban and suburban areas, and also from unsettled lands such as outback or wilderness. People in rural areas live in villages, on farms and in other isolated houses, as in pre-industrial societies. In modern usage, rural areas can have an agricultural character, though many rural areas are characterized by an economy based on logging, mining, petroleum and natural gas exploration, or tourism. Lifestyles in rural areas are different than those in urban areas, mainly because of the limited services, especially public services. Governmental services like law enforcement, schools, fire departments, and libraries may be distant, limited in scope, or unavailable. Utilities like water, sewage, street lighting, and public waste management may not be present. Public transport is absent or very limited, people use their own vehicles, walk, bicycle, or ride an animal.1 Rural areas are those which are not classified as urban areas. They are outside the jurisdiction of municipal corporations and committees and notified town area committees (Singh, 1986). DEVELOPMENT. Development is a process of continues rise in the capability of the people to control their present and future well being (Cuyno, et al., 1982). The definition embraces three basic concepts. 1. It is a process suggesting change in people’s outlook, capabilities and way of life; 2. Man’s capability to accomplish work by him or with minimum assistance; 3. Control of oneself. Therefore, development as a process involves both economic growth and social development. From the economist point of view, development is usually associated with the material well being of a given society. It is commonly thought of a sustained increase in per capita income commonly known as GNP (Garcia, 1985). Development is a sociological perspective that involves primarily social change. Bernard S. Philips (1970) as cited by Garcia (1985) emphasized that the concept of social change converges around the idea of development. For development to take place in a society, all its structures – social, economic and political – should serve as stimulants to change. If they pose as barriers, development becomes unattainable. Hence, development seems to be much closely related to social change. To the layman, development means having adequate food, i.e. the opportunity to eat three times a day; adequate education or being able to send the children to school, even just high school, trade school; enough income to meet the basic needs like clothing, housing, food and free from sickness. Development therefore, includes: a. The people (self esteem, dignity, security, potential) b. The economy c. Technology d. Culture e. Moral values f. g. h. i. j. k. l. m. n. o. Environmental preservation Social justice Literacy and education Change in social structure Equal distribution of wealth Organization Discipline Freedom (from servitude, debt, etc.) Control over political destiny Peace and order It is a process wherein people are enabled through collective planning and action to mobilize their resources to create and transform institutions so that these become authentically responsive to their needs. Development is basically to improve in the standard of living of the entire population of a given country or region. It is a process with many economic and social dimensions, but requires as a minimum, rising per capita incomes, eradication of absolute poverty, and reduction in inequality over the long term. RURAL DEVELOPMENT. As a concept, it connotes overall development in the rural areas* with a view to improve the quality of life of the rural people. In this sense, it is a comprehensive and multidimensional concept and encompasses the development of agriculture and allied activities – village and cottage industries and crafts, socio-economic, infrastructure, community services and facilities, and above all, the human resources in rural areas. As a phenomenon, it is the result of interactions between various physical, technological, economic, socio-cultural, institutional factors. As a strategy, it is designed to improve the economic and social well-being of a specific group of people – the rural poor. As a discipline, it is multidisciplinary in nature representing an intersection of agricultural, social, behavioral, engineering, and management sciences. In the words of Robert Chamber, “Rural Development is a strategy to enable a specific group of people, poor rural women and men, to gain for themselves and their children more of what they want and need. It involves helping the poorest among those who seek a livelihood in the rural areas to demand and control more of the benefits of rural development. The group includes small scale farmers, tenants, and the landless.” Thus, rural development may mean any one of these, depending upon our focus. To avoid ineffective floundering among the myriad definitions we shall define rural development as a process of developing and utilizing natural and human resources, technologies, infrastructural facilities, institutions and organizations, and government policies and programmes to encourage and speed up economic growth in rural areas, to provide jobs and to improve the quality of rural life towards self-sustenance. In addition to economic growth, this process typically involves changes in popular attitudes, and in many cases even in customs and beliefs. In a nutshell, the process of rural development must represent the entire gamut of change by which a social system moves away from a state of life perceived as “unsatisfactory” towards a materially and spiritually better condition of life (Singh, 1986). Rural development is a process of providing opportunities, services and amenities to the rural people so that they can improve their social, economic, political, cultural and physical well-being an environmental consciousness (Battad, 2003). Rural development is a desired state for people residing in the rural areas. It is characterized by increased agricultural productivity and incomes, good governance, improved people empowerment, good health and nutrition, has dignity and honor to live in a sustainable environment and free society. Sison and Valera (1991) defined rural development as follows: A process through which rural poverty is alleviated by sustained increase in productivity and incomes of low-income rural workers and households (World Bank, 1975). A process of change among hundreds of thousands of rural people … development refers only to those changes which are seen as desirable among rural people who are changing (Axin, 1978). PARADIGM. Definitions of paradigms from the dictionary and internet are given as follows: 1) One that serves as a pattern or model; 2) A set or list of all the inflectional forms of a word or of one of its grammatical categories: the paradigm of an irregular verb; and 3) A set of assumptions, concepts, values, and practices, that constitutes a way of viewing reality for the community that shares them, especially in an intellectual discipline 2. PARADIGM SHIFT is the term first used by Thomas Kuhn in his 1962 book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions to describe the process and result of a change in basic assumptions within the ruling theory of science. Don Tapscott was the first to use the term to describe information technology and business in his book of the same title. It has since become widely applied to many other realms of human experience as well 3 SHIFTS in PARADIGMS of RURAL DEVELOPMENT This review is oriented more towards ‘production’ aspects of rural development than towards education, health and social services. The case for integrated rural development was made persuasively by Johnston and Clark (1982), but has proved elusive in practice, although re-emerging in recent times in a sustainable livelihood guise (Carney, 1998). A Rural Development Timeline Figure 1 uses the device of a timeline to list a great number of theories, themes, strategies, approaches, and policy thrusts that have been influential in rural development thinking since the 1950s. It is not intended here to advance a definitive account of these strands of thought and their historical influence upon each other, but rather to highlight mainstream rural development narratives and to explore the turning points between them. It is immediately evident from Figure 1 that predominant or popular rural development ideas are not trapped in time capsules conveniently organized in decades. Ideas that first appear in one decade often gain strength in the following decade, and only begin to affect rural development practice in a widespread way ten or fifteen years after they were first put forward. This is true, for example, of the sustainable livelihood approach (Carney, 1998), which is listed as an idea of the current decade because this is the period when it is being widely deployed as a guiding principle for rural development practice. But this approach originates from strands of livelihoods ideas developed through the 1980s and 1990s (Chambers, 1983; Chambers and Conway, 1992; Bernstein et al., 1992), and from famine analysis of the 1980s (Sen, 1981; Swift, 1989). In piloting a route through the ideas depicted in Figure 1, it is useful to distinguish substantive theories or bodies of thought from trivial or transient ones, majority discourses from minority ones, and general development themes from specifically rural sector ones. In addition, some themes can be characterized as development ‘spin’ whereby ways of mobilizing the development lobby in rich countries are phrased in different ways over time. The rallying calls of “poverty alleviation” (1980s), “poverty reduction” (1990s) and “poverty eradication” (2000s) perhaps fall into this category. By removing from the sequential list given in Figure 1 general development themes, transient ideas, and minority discourses, the identification of the key approaches to rural development of the past half-century is facilitated (Figure 2). Structural adjustment and its adjuncts in the form of trade and market liberalization (1980s) are multi-sectoral in intent, as also are their downstream extensions in the areas of state-market relations and good governance (1990s and 2000s). To be sure, these macro policy processes take on particular variations when played out in rural and agricultural settings, but there is nothing intrinsically rural or agricultural about them at root. Similarly, both gender and the environment as development policy themes have specific rural manifestations, but they are society- or economy-wide in their overall scope. The flirtation in the 1970s with ideas of “basic needs” and “redistribution with growth” was also economy- or society-wide in scope. And to the extent that they may have contributed to the pursuit of specifically rural policies and programmes (e.g. integrated rural development projects), this was more to do with the identification of “rural” with “poverty” than with anything specifically rural or agricultural in their formulation as development ideas or theories. An important continuing minority discourse of rural development that manifested itself especially strongly in debates of the 1970s, is the “political economy of agrarian change” strand of thinking inspired largely by Marxist or neo-Marxist social science approaches and methods. The well-known collection by Harriss (1982) exemplifies rural development debates within this discourse. The emphases here were (and still are) on class, power, inequality, and social differentiation in agrarian settings driven by the large-scale forces and tendencies of development under capitalism. This branch of the rural development literature has tended to be critical of the mainstream rural development orthodoxy discussed below, principally on the grounds of the latter’s neglect of divisions in rural society in its pursuit of smallfarm policies. Figure 1. Rural Development Ideas Timeline 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Modernization dual economy model backward agriculture community development lazy peasants Transformation approach Technology transfer Mechanization Agricultural Extension Growth role of agriculture Green revolution (start) Rational Peasant Redistribution with growth basic needs Integrated rural devt State agric policies State-led credit Urban bias Induced innovation Green Revolution (cont’n.) Rural growth linkages Structural adjustment Free markets Getting prices right Retreat of the state Rise of NGOs Rapid Rural Appraisal (RRA) Farming Systems Research (FSR) Food security and famine analysis RD as process not product Women in Development (WID) Poverty alleviation Micro credit Participatory rural appraisal (PRA) Actor-oriented RD Stakeholder analysis Rural safety nets Gender and development (GAD) Environment and sustainability Poverty reduction Sustainable livelihoods Good governance Decentralization Critique of participation Sector-wide approaches Social protection Poverty eradication Key Strands and Switches in Rural Development Thinking Small-farm focus In retrospect, it is evident that one major body of thought, albeit with plenty of side- excursions and add-ons, has dominated the landscape of rural development thinking throughout the last half-century. This is the “agricultural growth based on small-farm efficiency’ paradigm. It is convenient to use the shorthand “small-farm first” to describe this discourse or narrative. Probably the decisive contribution resulting in the widespread acceptance of this narrative was the publication in 1964 of Schultz’s Transforming Traditional Agriculture, in which the rational allocation of resources by “traditional” small farmers was a central proposition. However, leading members of the US academic community interested in the contribution of agriculture to economic development were already at that time engaging with similar ideas, an emphasis on the benefits of agricultural growth not just restricted to the commercial sector appearing in early contributions by John Mellor and Bruce Johnston (Johnston and Mellor, 1961; Mellor, 1966). The idea that the great bulk of what were then called ‘traditional’ or ‘subsistence’ agriculturalists in low-income countries could form the basis of agriculture-led processes of economic development was a significant break from the received wisdom of the 1950s, embodied in the dual-economy theories of development (Lewis, 1954; Fei and Ranis, 1964). According to these theories, the subsistence sector possessed negligible prospects for rising productivity or growth, and therefore could play only a passive role in the process of economic development, supplying resources to the modern sector of the economy until the latter eventually expanded to take its place. This modern sector was envisaged as containing large-scale ‘modern’ agriculture (plantations, estates, commercial farms and ranches) in addition to manufacturing industry. Important underlying propositions included the existence of economies of scale in agriculture, i.e. that large farms could make more efficient use of resources and modern technologies than small farms. This proposition was, incidentally, also important for social is strategies of agricultural development as practiced in the Soviet Union and in low- income developing countries that had socialist-leaning governments in the 1960s and 1970s. Thus, a first ‘paradigm shift’ in rural development occurred in the early to mid- 1960s period, when small-farm agriculture switched to being considered the very engine of growth and development. However, as illustrated in Figure 2, the accomplishment of a serious change in intellectual direction does not result in the immediate demise of the set of ideas which is being replaced. There was life left in the idea that large-scale farming using mechanized technology was more efficient than the ‘peasant sector’ well into the 1970s. Indeed, the same ideas continue to crop up, often in whispered asides at rural development workshops, right up to the present time. The small-farm-first narrative begins with the proposition that agriculture plays a key role in overall economic growth, by providing labour, capital, food, foreign exchange, and a market in consumer goods for the nascent industrial sector in a low- income country. In the words of one of its most enthusiastic proponents, John Mellor, ‘the faster agriculture grows, the faster its relative size declines’ (Mellor, 1966). This occurs because rising agricultural productivity stimulates demand for non-farm input services to agriculture, as well as creating an internal consumer market for industrial goods. As already indicated, it was not any old agriculture, but small-farm agriculture in particular, that should form the central focus of an agriculture-centred development strategy. The overall narrative is composed of many interlocking components, some of the principal ones being as follows (Ellis, 2000: 22): • small farmers are rational economic agents making efficient farm decisions (Schultz, 1964); • small farmers are just as capable as big farmers of taking advantage of highyielding crop varieties because the input combinations (seed, fertilizer, water) required for successful cultivation are ‘neutral to scale’ (Lipton and Longhurst, 1989); the substitution of labour for scarce land involved in small-farm HYV cultivation is an ‘induced innovation’ that accurately reflects relative resource scarcities and factor prices in labor-abundant agrarian economies (Hayami and Ruttan, 1971); there exists an ‘inverse relationship’ between farm size and economic efficiency, such that small farmers are more efficient than large farmers because of the intensity of their use of abundant labor in combination with small land holdings and low requirements for scarce capital (Berry and Cline, 1979); these factors lead in the direction of a ‘unimodal’ agricultural strategy favouring small family farms rather than a ‘bimodal’ strategy that bets on the strength of a modern farm sector composed of large farms and estates (Johnston and Kilby, 1975: Ch.4); rising agricultural output in the small-farm sector results in ‘rural growth linkages’ that spur the growth of labour-intensive non-farm activities in rural areas, and these are higher than for large farms (Johnston and Kilby, 1975; Mellor, 1976). Amongst these ideas, the notion of ‘rural growth linkages’ has proved particularly pervasive and durable (see e.g. Delgado et al., 1998; IFAD, 2001), even though the methods used to substantiate the significance of such linkages are somewhat debatable (Harriss, 1987; Hart, 1989; 1993). In the words of one authority, ‘the growth of the nonfarm economy depends on the vitality of the farm economy; without agricultural growth in rural areas, redressing poverty is an impossible task’ (Singh, 1990: xix). A crucial attribute of the narrative is that both growth and equity goals appear to be satisfied simultaneously via the emphasis on small-farm agriculture: its enduring success owes much to this felicitous conjunction of outcomes. Much rests on the rural poor being poor small farmers. This has always been open to the criticism that the poor in rural areas are often poor because they are landless. However, the small-farm paradigm counters such doubts by stating that even the landless poor gain by being employed in a buoyant labourintensive small-farm sector. Whether this remains an acceptable premise in the light of emerging evidence that the rural poor tend to depend on non-farm (and often non-rural) sources of income in order to sustain their livelihoods is a key issue that might contribute to a re-appraisal of the validity of the small-farm-first orthodoxy (Ellis, 1998). Figure 2. Dominant and sequential themes in rural development 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Dominant paradigm and switches Modernization, dual economy Rising yield on efficient small farms Process, participation empowerment SL approach Some sequential RD emphases Community Development Small farm growth Integrated Rural Development Market Liberalization Participation PRSRs Returning to the timeline, various unexplained entries can be interpreted as excursions around or non-economic bolt-ons to the core small-farm-first engine. The urban bias theory advanced by Michael Lipton in the 1970s, for example, may be interpreted as a particular detour and advocacy around the imperative of a small-farmcentered strategy (Lipton, 1977). Similarly, the sequence of debates in agricultural research policy that resulted in the 1980s’ promotion of farming systems research (FSR) as an improved process for raising small-farm productivity were entirely consistent with the small-farm orthodoxy. Process approaches to rural development The second ‘paradigm shift’ was the switch occurring during the 1980s and 1990s from the top-down or “blueprint” approach to rural development, characterized by external technologies and national-level policies, to the bottom-up, grassroots, or “process” approach (Rondinelli, 1983; Mosse et al., 1998). This envisages rural development as a participatory process that empowers rural dwellers to take control of their own priorities for change. Some key strands in this period were: the advent of farming systems research (FSR), and the growing argument that the Green Revolution in monocrop farming systems (rice and wheat), mainly in Asia, might not necessarily work for raising incomes in diverse, risk-prone and resource-poor environments (e.g. Chambers et al., 1989); a growing acknowledgement of the validity of indigenous technical knowledge (ITK), and of the ability of the poor themselves to contribute to solutions to the problems they confront (Richards, 1985); the rise of the participatory method, originating in rapid rural appraisal (RRA) techniques in the 1980s and evolving into participatory rural appraisal (PRA) and participatory learning and action (PLA) during the 1990s (Chambers, 1994; 1997); the advent of an “actor-oriented” perspective on rural policies, emphasizing that participants in rural development, including the poor themselves, are actors with differing understandings of the processes of change in which they are involved (Long and Long, 1992); structural adjustment and market liberalization beginning in the early 1980s, leading to the withdrawal of governments from previous large-scale “management” of the agricultural sector; disenchantment with the performance of governments in the delivery of rural services, leading donors to look for other partners; the rise of NGOs as agents for rural development, occurring at the same time as, and benefiting from, the decline in enthusiasm for big government; the rejection of overarching theories as a useful guide to action, arising in part from post-modern intellectual ideas emphasizing the uniqueness of local and individual experience (for an overview see Booth, 1994); the rise of gender as a concern in rural development, emphasizing the different experience of women from men, and the need to consider closely the differing impacts of rural politics on women and men. Note that these strands are interlocking and not readily separable one from another in real time, even if they emerge from different directions. While advocates of grassroots approaches to development may like to think that they have nothing in common with World Bank market liberalizers, nevertheless the spaces in which grassroots action flourished from the mid-1980s onwards were created in some measure by the backing off by big government from heavy-handed involvement in the rural economy. A growing disenchantment with the performance of state rural development agencies was an important shared agenda across a number of divergent rural development actors. Nor did the retreat of the state occur voluntarily, but resulted from much armtwisting by the external financial institutions under structural adjustment programmes. In addition, the World Bank has subsequently adopted, at least in principle if not always in practice, many of the ideas associated with bottom-up rural development approaches, as manifested in the Vision to Action statement (World Bank, 1997) and in the energetic pursuit of participatory poverty assessments, leading to the publication of Voices of the Poor (Narayan et al., 2000). Phases in Rural Development Practice While economic and agricultural development theories have exerted a powerful influence on rural development policies throughout the past half-century, the practices of donors and governments have also been influenced by broader thinking about social, nonagricultural and national development. This is manifested in sequential phases in rural development practice in low-income countries, occurring as a series of overlapping transitions as portrayed in the bottom half of Figure 2: (a) from community development (1950s) to the emphasis on small-farm growth (1960s); (b) continuing small-farm growth within integrated rural development (1970s); (c) from state-led rural development (1970s) to market liberalization (1980s); (d) process, participation, empowerment and actor approaches (1980s and 1990s); (e) emergence of sustainable livelihoods as an integrating framework (1990s); (f) mainstreaming rural development in poverty reduction strategy papers (2000s). This rendering has the merit of highlighting the various banners, for example “community development” (Holdcroft, 1978) or “integrated rural development” (World Bank, 1975; 1988), under which donors set their priorities for development assistance in rural areas over particular periods of historical time. However, the underlying preeminence of the small-farm efficiency paradigm is to some degree obscured in so doing, as also is the paradoxical interweaving of the market liberalization and participatory strands that featured so strongly towards the end of the twentieth century. The Livelihoods Approach: A Challenge to Farming First? It has already been pointed out above that the switch from top-down to bottom-up thinking about rural development occurs in a separate plane from economic theories about the role of agriculture in growth and poverty reduction, where the primacy of small-scale agriculture appears to roll on without serious challenge. For a recent restatement of the orthodoxy, including a vigorous reassertion of the primacy of new technology in small-farm food production, and rural growth linkages as purportedly powerful mechanisms of rural poverty reduction, see the IFAD Rural Poverty Report 2001 (IFAD, 2001). It is possible that the so-called sustainable livelihood (SL) approach (Carney, 1998; Scoones, 1998) could provide a challenge to the small-farm orthodoxy, while at the same time being entirely compatible with progress made in bottoms-up rural development. This approach has significant economic antecedents in another branch of literature that crops up in Figure 1, namely, the food-security and famine analysis originating in the publication of Amartya Sen’s (1981) seminal work on famines. The “asset vulnerability framework” which is at the centre of the SL approach arises from this literature, and engages with the factors that make rural families vulnerable to shocks, and the policies and processes that can improve their resilience in the face of disaster. The livelihoods approach also draws on other antecedents connected with the multiple realities of rural poverty (Chambers, 1983). This is not the place to expound the livelihood approach (see Ellis, 2000). In the current context, what is interesting is that it embodies no prior requirement for the poor rural individual or family to be a “small farmer”. The livelihood concept takes an openended view of the combination of assets and activities that turn out to constitute a viable livelihood strategy for the rural family. Empirical research suggests that, in reality, farming activities, on average, tend to correspond to only 40-60% of the livelihood “package” put together by rural households in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa (see, for example, Reardon, 1997). Nor do rural growth linkages explain the patterns of activity and income sources that correspond to the non-farm components of rural livelihood. On the contrary, remittances and transfers are always important, as are wages and salaries in activities that have little or nothing to do with agricultural linkages. The starting point of the livelihood approach – the assets and diverse strategies of a poor household – is therefore fundamentally different from the principles underlying “small-farm first” thinking, and can lead analysis in new directions. The evidence for sub-Saharan Africa points to the gathering momentum of livelihood strategies based on part-time farming supplemented by other activities and income sources (Bryceson and Jamal, 1997). One reason that this occurs is the continued sub-division of land at inheritance, resulting in declining farm size, and this is especially prevalent in areas of high agricultural potential. However, the implications of such rural livelihood strategies for poverty-reduction policies are hitherto poorly assimilated, resulting potentially in policy drift with no clear sense of direction (Bryceson and Bank, 2001). Conclusion Currently few developing country governments, and few donors, take a sufficiently cross- or multi-sectoral view of the possibilities of rural poverty reduction Notwithstanding energetic assertions about the underfunding of agriculture (e.g. IFAD, 2001), the reality on the ground is that agriculture is preferred in the public funding of services to rural productive activity (via research, extension, credit, seeds and so on) to say, providing an enabling environment for start-up non-farm activities, or removing barriers to trade and mobility, or reducing licensing requirements for small businesses, or a host of other potential means by which the options and opportunities of the rural poor can be expanded in their non-farm variety and range. If a new paradigm of rural development is to emerge, it will be one in which agriculture takes its place along with a host of other actual and potential rural and nonrural activities that are important to the construction of viable rural livelihoods, without undue preference being given to farming as the unique solution to rural poverty. It is in this sense that the cross-sectoral and multi-occupational diversity of rural livelihoods may need to become the cornerstone of rural development policy if efforts to reduce rural poverty are to be effective in the future. MAJOR GOVERNMENT POLICIES AFFECTING RURAL DEVELOPMENT Government Policies Affecting Rural Development A. Development Strategies and Economy-wide Policies There has emerged a consensus among economic researchers that the failure of the Philippines to grow robustly on a sustainable basis and to induce substantial poverty reduction during the last half century stems mainly from the absence of an “effective allocation mechanism” that allows the true comparative advantage of various industries to emerge (Bautista, Power and Associates, 1979; de Dios and Associates, 1993; Bautista and Tecson, 2000). Instead, past governments introduced distortions in economic policies, which, in not a few cases, made socially undesirable investments attractive to private investors and desirable ones (i.e., promising and efficient activities) relatively unprofitable (Power and Sicat, 1971; Medalla et al., 1995; Fabella, 2000). Such policies not only hampered economic growth at the national level but also produced side effects deleterious to rural development. From the 1950s to the 1980s, an array of policies meant to push the country towards an import substituting industrialization track inadvertently stunted the development of the rural sector by creating a bias towards large-scale, capital-intensive manufacturing industries located in urban areas (especially Metro Manila) to the detriment of rural enterprises which are inherently smaller in size, hire more labor and make greater use of local materials (Medalla et al., 1995; Ranis and Stewart, 1993). These policies also created an incentive structure that was significantly biased against agriculture, the economic backbone of the rural sector. Trade and exchange rate policies then distorted the relative prices of agricultural inputs and outputs, preventing an efficient allocation of resources, and tended to heavily favor the manufacturing sector over agriculture, non-tradable over tradable goods, and import-competing over export products. In the long run, resources move away from agriculture and export sectors; new investments into these sectors are discouraged. Since agricultural production is more labor-intensive, less import-dependent, and more efficient in earning (or saving) foreign exchange than industrial production (especially of import-competing industrial consumer goods), the premature shift of resources away from agriculture dampens the growth of employment opportunities and output in rural areas. Many authors point out that the bias did not come largely from measures aimed directly at agricultural commodities, although government interventions in the form of taxes, custom duties, subsidies, quantitative trade restrictions, import prohibitions, price controls and monopoly control in international trade had, up until the late 1980s and mid1990s, affected agricultural incentives. It was rather the indirect effect of the overall development strategy that accounted for a substantial part of the policy bias in the past (e.g., Intal and Power, 1990; Bautista, 1987; Bautista and Tecson, 2000). The primary channel had been the overvaluation of the domestic currency, which in turn had its roots in the industrial protection system and in fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies, specifically those adopted to promote import substitution and accommodate current account imbalances. Estimates of the overvaluation of the domestic currency in the 1970s and 1980s are in the order of 20-30 percent. Making use of the same methodology, Bautista (1990) showed that these rates are much higher than those derived for Thailand (16-24 percent) and Malaysia (less than 3 percent). B. Sectoral Policies In the early 1970s, government interventions in Philippine agriculture started to rise in unprecedented proportions. The government intervened intensively in agricultural production, marketing and international trade. The intervention in the rice sector was precipitated by a rice crisis in 1971-72 resulting from both local (poor weather, pest infestation and the great flood in Central Luzon) and international (a sharp price hike in the world market) shocks. The government responded to the crisis by imposing price controls on rice and embarking on a massive program aimed at achieving rice selfsufficiency. Dubbed Masagana 99 and launched in 1974, the program called for government assistance in the form of credit, irrigation, extension services and fertilizer subsidy. Furthermore, the National Grains Authority (NGA), the government’s rice and corn agency, expanded its control of the food sector to include the effective monopolization of wheat (beginning 1975) and soybean (beginning 1978) imports. Marketing controls included all food commodities by the early 1980s when the NGA was transformed into the National Food Authority (NFA) as the government’s food price stabilization arm. The NFA financed its expanded operations partly from price margins on its duty-free imports. In the case of the export crop sector, the government’s intervention shifted from its traditional role of allocating domestic sugar quotas, collecting minor export taxes and undertaking research and extension in tandem with the private sector, to one of monopolizing domestic and export marketing. The economic consequences and cost of government interventions in the 1970s and 1980s have been well documented in the literature. In most cases, the interventions were either ineffective or yielded results contrary to avowed intentions. In the case of rice, for example, while increased government intervention during the 1970s reduced seasonal fluctuations in palay (paddy) prices, the intervention was inadequate to maintain producer prices at the official floor price. This meant that the opportunities to sell at the official price had to be rationed, often to the disadvantage of small farmers. In addition, because the difference between official ceiling and floor prices was insufficient to cover normal marketing margins, the intervention prevented the development of private trading and storage. Arguably, the government’s objective of reducing marketing margins could have been achieved with non-price policy interventions such as investment in transport and communication infrastructure. One other major piece of policy measure that was high on agenda during the early 1970s was agrarian reform (land reform). Presidential Decree No. 27 (PD 27) was issued stipulating that all rice and corn fields of over 7 hectares be transferred to the tenants who tilled them at a price 2.5 times the value of average annual production and that all the rice and corn lands of 7 hectares or less under share tenancy be converted to fixed-rent leasehold with the official rental ceiling of 25 percent of average output for the three ‘normal’ years prior to land reform. Compared to the earlier land reform legislations, PD27 expanded the potential coverage of the lands under the reform program by lowering the retention limit, among other things. While the 1970s saw an unprecedented rise of government interventions in agriculture in the form of price and quantitative controls, levies and taxes as well as entry into activities for which the public good argument was unjustified, the late 1980s saw an undoing of these policies towards a market-oriented agricultural economy, relieved of the burden of explicit as well as implicit taxation of agriculture. The deregulation that commenced starting 1986 took the following forms: Lifting of the export ban on copra and export taxes on copra (10 percent) and coconut oil (5 percent); Abolition of monopsonistic agencies and arrangements in sugar and coconut trading and the dismantling of government monopoly control over international trade in coconut oil, corn, soybeans, soybean meal and the marketing of sugar; controls on rice, poultry products and pork; Opening up of import trade in wheat, flour and animal feeds to the private sector; Divestment of the National Food Authority (NFA) from non-grain activities and the reorientation of its primary function to price stabilization of rice and corn; and -specific funds into the Comprehensive Agricultural Loan Fund (CALF) to unify various agricultural lending programs and minimize government participation in these programs. Despite these reform measures, however, the deregulation of agriculture was left substantially incomplete. Reforms undertaken did not include the abolition of the remaining restrictions such as: and corn; Import controls on sugar; Import prohibitions on onions, potatoes, garlic, cabbage, coffee and seeds; Hectarage controls on banana production; Centralized importation of ruminants (for breeding and/or slaughter) and beef; ctions on animal and animal products; and agricultural goods. Rather than expanding the scope of deregulation, which could have had a positive impact on the welfare of rural population (see Balisacan, 1991), the government moved instead to strengthen the regulation of agriculture, especially over the international trade of agricultural products. In 1992, Congress, with the endorsement of the executive branch, passed the Magna Carta of Small Farmers (Republic Act 7607), which barred importation of agricultural products produced locally in sufficient quantity. Another major government program initiated in the late 1980s with a profound effect on the agriculture sector was the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program (CARP). Launched in 1988 under Republic Act 6675, the program covered, unlike its predecessor PD27, all agricultural lands, regardless of commodity produced and type of tenurial arrangement and included the provision of support services for farmers. CARP intends to redistribute about 580,000 hectares of rice and corn lands (which was also covered under PD27) and over 2 million hectares of privately-owned nonrice/ corn lands (which was newly covered under CARP) over a period of ten years. The huge budgetary requirement of the program, together with the limited capacity of the agencies tasked to implement it, stood in the way of swift implementation. The uncertainty surrounding the program implementation served to discourage the flow of private investments into agriculture as well as encouraged non-planting and premature conversion of agricultural lands into nonagricultural uses, a trend exacerbated by weak monitoring of the government and absence of a comprehensive land use policy (e. g., Medalla and Centeno, 1995). Aside from dampening the flow of agricultural investments, the CARP also diminished the collateral value of agricultural lands by constraining private land sales. This feature of the program has caused the demise of private markets for agricultural lands. Indeed, the amount of loans (at constant prices) granted by private and government banks in the early 1990s was only half of that in the early 1980s. Loans by private institutions, including private commercial banks, dropped by much more than loans by public institutions. Loans per peso of agricultural value added fell from about 0.42 in 1980-82 to 0.20 in 1985-87 and 0.16 in 1991-92 (Balisacan, 1998). As we saw in the previous section, production growth rates decelerated during the 1980s and the early 1990s for most crops. The deceleration can be attributed to the combination of some exogenous factors (such as price changes in world market, natural calamities and droughts) and government policies. The negative policy impact includes the unintended negative side effects of CARP as mentioned above as well as the sharp fall in public investment in agriculture – especially rural roads, irrigation and research – in the 1980s and early 1990s. In particular, investments in agricultural research and development (R&D), the single most important source of long-term output growth, stagnated in the 1970s and then dropped in absolute value in the 1980s; the total spent on R&D in the early 1990s comprised merely 60 percent of that in the early 1970s. A change in the policy environment had been anticipated with the country’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995 since this required opening up local agricultural markets to competition as well as enacting laws prescribed by the trade treaty.5 Political negotiations to win public support for this policy direction, in turn, severely weakened the drive towards greater openness in the farm sector. Rice, for instance, has been exempted from the trade commitments for a period of ten years. In 1996, Congress passed a law (Republic Act 8178) lifting all quantitative restrictions on agricultural imports (save for rice) but replacing non-tariff barriers with the highest possible tariff protection of 100 percent (i.e., the ceiling or binding tariff rates).6 Clarete (1999) pointed out that the manner of “tariffication” resulted in tariff levels that exceeded the corresponding equivalent rates of most products. The tariff rate equivalent of quantitative restrictions on corn, for example, was estimated to be only 60 percent, but government “tariffied” the commodity at the maximum rate of 100 percent.7 David (2000) similarly expounded that binding tariffs were higher than either the nominal protection rates from quantitative trade restrictions or the book tariff rates under EO 470. As noted in the previous section, after a decade of stagnation in the 1980s, production growth in the agricultural sector recovered in the 1990s. The combination of the sweeping reforms in nonagricultural sectors and the increasing government protection on agriculture apparently led to a rise in relative prices of agricultural products in domestic market, and thus may partially explain the upturn in agricultural growth in the 1990s. The Agriculture and Fisheries Modernization Act (AFMA) was enacted in 1997 partly in response to the farm lobbies’ opposition to the country’s entry to the WTO. The AFMA prescribes a coordinated set of measures aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of domestic agriculture in the global marketplace. These include infrastructure development, devolution of communal irrigation systems to local government units, budgetary allocation for R&D in agriculture, phase-out of directed credit programs, and provision of post-harvest facilities While there have been efforts to liberalize the agriculture sector, crucial restrictions remained, such as the continued monopoly of the NFA over rice trade and hectarage controls on banana production. In addition, profitability levels of the sugar and corn sectors were becoming artificially high due to increased protection afforded by the new tariff regime as well as regulatory barriers, reducing the competitiveness of allied industries. Corn is the main input of the livestock sector, while sugar is an essential ingredient in the food processing industry. The land reform program, meanwhile, could not be completed as scheduled (i.e., by 1997) although relevant local agencies performed relatively well compared to their predecessors in terms of land distribution. Only a little over half the total coverage was achieved. Implementation had been particularly slow for public alienable and disposable (A & D) lands and private agricultural lands (other than rice and corn lands), representing about 45 percent and 25 percent, respectively, of the total coverage of the program. For public A&D lands, the poor performance could be traced mainly to delays in undertaking land surveys, slow reconstitution of land records and sluggish resolution of land conflicts among competing claimants. For private agricultural lands, the main problems included the time-consuming process involved in land acquisition and distribution, insufficient technical capacity of implementing agencies, legal disputes relating to coverage and land valuation, landowners’ resistance, harassment, an unstable peace and order condition and budget constraints (Balisacan, 1996c). As noted earlier, the negative indirect effects of the slow and incomplete implementation and the uncertainty created as a result (i. e., disincentives for private investment, incentives for non-planting or premature land conversion and negative effects on land market transactions) continue to be a serious problem for stimulating agricultural development. A convenient summary measure of the direct impact of trade and industrial policies is the effective rate of protection (ERP), defined as the percentage excess of protected value-added over non-protected value-added of a particular economic activity. This measure takes into account the changes in the domestic prices of both inputs and outputs arising from tariffs and import controls. A positive ERP implies that the sector is accorded protection by the system of tariffs and import controls while a negative ERP indicates that the system penalizes (i.e., taxes) the activity of the sector. The primary and agricultural sectors typically had lower ERPs than manufacturing during the period between 1965 and the early 1990s—most of the period under our review. The agricultural sector as a whole was thus penalized vis-à-vis the manufacturing sector in terms of relative prices up to the early 1990s (Table 8). Through the 1990s, however, such bias against agriculture (at least on aggregate) appears to have finally disappeared; the ERPs for agriculture became roughly equivalent to the ERPs for manufacturing. Such result can largely be attributed to the substantial changes in the country’s tariff structure over the last ten years. Clarete’s (1991) and Medalla’s (1992) assessment of EO 470 indicates that the tariff reform program moved the country towards a lower, sector-neutral and trade-neutral effective protection policy. With the steady progression of the tariff reform program during the period, the 1990s saw both declining protection rates of manufactured inputs (including agricultural inputs) and increased (tariff) protection of major agricultural commodities for which quantitative restrictions have been removed. Falling input prices (with the obvious exception of yellow corn for the livestock industry) imply that the effective protection level of agriculture afforded by domestic policy has outstripped the nomina protection level of the sector. SUMMARY The paper attempted to portray evolving ideas in rural development over the past half-century. Generally, there are only 2 major paradigm shifts of rural development in the Philippines. 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