Prof. Uri Bar-Joseph
Division of International Relations
School of Political Science
Haifa University
Tel: 972-54-4714116
Email: barjo@poli.haifa.ac.il
List of Publications (October 2009)
BOOKS
1. The Watchman Fell Asleep: The Surprise of Yom Kippur and Its Sources, New York: State
University of New York Press, 2005, 306 pages.
2. Israel’s National Security Towards the 21st Century (ed.), London: Frank Cass: 2001, 215
pages.
3. The Watchman Fell Asleep: The Surprise of the Yom Kippur War and Its Sources (Hebrew),
Tel Aviv: Zmora-Bitan, 2001, 532 pages.1
4. Amos Perlmutter & Michael I. Handel and Uri Bar-Joseph, Two Minutes Over Baghdad,
Second Edition Updated by Uri Bar-Joseph (additional 30 pages), London: Frank Cass, 2003,
xlix + 182 pages.
5. Intelligence Intervention in the Politics of Democratic States: The USA, Britain, and Israel,
University Park: The Pennsylvania State University Press, 1995, 392 pages.2
6. The Best of Enemies: Israel and Transjordan in the War of 1948, London: Frank Cass, 1987,
254 pages.
1
Winner of the Chechik Prize (2001), and The Israeli Political Science Association Best Book
Award (2002). The TV docudrama "The Silence of the Sirens," which is based on the book, was
the winner of the Israeli Academy award for the best television feature film in 2004.
2
Winner of Choice’s Outstanding Academic Books Award for 1996
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ARTICLES IN REFEREED JOURNALS AND CHAPTERS IN EDITED BOOKS
Forthcoming
1. Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose Mcdermott. “The Intelligence Analysis Crisis.” In: Loch Johnson
(ed.) The Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence. New York: Oxford UP.
2. “The Intelligence Professional Ethics,” in: Zeev Maoz and Scott Helstein (ed.) Forecasting in
Intelligence: Methods and Models From the Social Sciences.
3. “The Hubris of initial victory: The IDF and the Second Lebanon War,” in: Clive Jones (ed.)
The Israel-Lebanese Conflict: an interstate and asymmetric war in perspective (Milton Park,
UK: Routledge).
Published
4. “The 1973 Yom Kippur War,” in: Mitchell G. Bard and David Nachmias (eds), Israel Studies:
An Anthology (AICE Publication, 2009)
http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/isdf/text/barjoseph.html
5. Uri Bar-Joseph and Jack S. Levy, "Conscious Action and the Study of Intelligence Failure,"
Political Science Quarterly, Summer 2009, Volume 124, No.3, 461-88.
6. "Military Intelligence as the National Intelligence Estimator: The Case of Israel," Armed
Forces and Society
7. "Surprise as Disrupting Strategic Plans: The First Thirty Hours of the Yom Kippur War," in:
Moshe Shemesh and Zeev Drory (eds.) National Trauma: The War of Yom Kippur after Thirty
Years and another War (Beer Shaba: Ben-Gurion University Press, 2008 , 137-49 (Hebrew).
8. "Strategic Surprise or Fundamental Flaws: The Causes of Israel's Military Defeat at the
Beginning of the 1973 War," The Journal of Military History, April 2008, 72, 11-41.
9. "The Intelligence Chief who Went Fishing in the Cold: How the Identity of Israel's Most
Valuable Source in Egypt was Leaked by Maj. Gen. (res.) Eli Zeira," Intelligence and National
Security, April 2008, Vol.23, No.2, 226-248.
10. Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose Mcdermott, "Change the Analyst and not the System: A Different
Approach to Intelligence Reforms," Foreign Policy Analysis, April 2008, Vol. 4, No.2, 26-44.
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11. Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose Mcdermott, " Personal Functioning Under Stress: The Role of
Accountability and Social Support in Israeli leaders in the Yom Kippur War," The Journal of
Conflict Resolution, February 2008, Vol. 52, No.1, 144-170.
12. "Lessons not Learnt: Israel in the Post-Yom Kippur War Era," Israeli Affairs, (January 2008)
Vol. 14, No.1, 70-83.
13. "Israel's Military Intelligence Performance in the Second Lebanon War." International
Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, (December 2007) Vol.20, No.4, 583-601.
14. "Leaders Under Stress: Golda Meir and Moshe Dayan in the Yom Kippur War," in: Yosi
Goldstein and Adli Dular (Eds.), Leadership at Times of War (Rehovot: Weitzman Institute,
2007), 139-46 (Hebrew).
15. "Golda Meir, Anwar Sadat, and the Coming of the Yom Kippur War," (Hebrew) Alpayim
(969) 31, Summer 2007.
16. "A Chance not taken: Sadat's Peace Initiative of February 1973 and Its Rejection by Israel."
The Journal of Contemporary History, July 2006, Vol. 41, No. 3, 545-56.
17, Dima Adamsky and Uri Bar-Joseph, "'The Russians are not Coming': Israel's Intelligence
Failure and the Soviet Military Intervention in the 'War of Attrition' in 1970." Intelligence and
National Security, March 2006, Vol.21, No.1, 1-25.
18. "Roundtable: The Settlements," Yale Israel Journal, No.7, Summer 2005, 23-33.
19. "The Historiography of the Yom Kippur War: Major Aspects in a Thirty-Year Perspective,"
Journal of Israeli History, Vol.24, No.2, (September 2005), pp.251-66.
20. "The Crisis in Israel's National Security Conception," Maarachot, No. 401, June 2005, 10-19
(Hebrew).
21. "The Paradox of Israeli Power," Survival, Vol.46, No.4, (Winter 2004-05), pp. 137-56.
22. "The Interaction Between Intelligence Officers and Policymakers Prior to the 1973 War,"
The War of Yom Kippur and Its Lessons Tel Aviv: Ministry of Defense, The Broadcasted
University, 2004), 28-36 (Hebrew).
23. "The War of Yom Kippur as a 'War of Choice'," The War of Yom Kippur and Its Lessons Tel
Aviv: Ministry of Defense, The Broadcasted University, 2004), 114-122 (Hebrew).
24. "The Sources of the Problematic Relationship Between Intelligence Producers and
Consumers," Leaders and Intelligence (Tel Aviv: Ministry of Defense, The Broadcasted
University, 2004), 42-54 (Hebrew).
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25. "Intelligence and Politics," Leaders and Intelligence (Tel Aviv: Ministry of Defense, The
Broadcasted University, 2004), 55-67 (Hebrew).
26. "Unconcluded Conclusions," in: Anat Kurz (ed.) Thirty Years Later: Challenges to Israel
Since the Yom Kippur War (Tel Aviv: The Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, Tel Aviv
University, 2004), 23-30 (Hebrew).
27. "Intelligence Failure and the Need for Cognitive Closure: The Case of Yom Kippur," in:
Richard K. Betts and Thomas Mahnken (eds), The Paradox of Intelligence: Essays in Memory of
Michael I. Handel (Frank Cass, 2003), 166-89.
28. Uri Bar-Joseph and Arie W. Kruglanski, “Intelligence Failure and the Need for Cognitive
Closure: On the Psychology of the Yom Kippur Surprise,” Political Psychology, Vol. 24, No.1,
(March 2003), pp.75-99 (Alphabetical order).
29. “Israel's National Security Towards the 21st Century: Introduction,” The Journal of Strategic
Studies (A Special issue on: Israel’s National Security Towards the 21st Century), Vol.24, No.2,
(June 2001), pp.1-12.
30. “Towards a Paradigm Shift in Israel’s National Security Conception,” Israel Affairs, Vol.6,
No. 2&3, (Spring 2000), pp.81-103.
31. “Fifty Years of Israeli Deterrence Policy: Lessons from the Past, Thoughts for the Future,”
Maarachot, No. 366-367, October 1999’ pp.12-30 (Hebrew).
32. “Israel’s 1973 Intelligence Failure,” Israel Affairs, Vol.6, No.1, (Autumn 1999), pp.11-35.
33. Uri Bar-Joseph and Zachary Sheaffer, “Barings and Yom Kippur: Surprise Despite Warning
in Business Administration and Strategic Studies,” International Journal of Intelligence and
CounterIntelligence, Vol.11, No.3 (Fall 1998), pp.331-349 (Alphabetical order).
34. “The Surprise of Yom Kippur and Its Causes,” Maarachot, No.361, November 1998, pp.1428 (Hebrew).
35. “Israel’s Northern Eyes and Shield: The Strategic Value of the Golan Heights Revisited,”
The Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol.21, No.3 (September 1998), pp.46-66.
36. “A Bull in a China Shop: Netanyahu and Israel’s Intelligence Community,” International
Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, Vol.11, No.2 (Summer 1998), pp.154-174.
37. “Variations on a Theme: The Conceptualization of Deterrence in Israeli Strategic Thinking,”
Security Studies, Vol.7, No.3 (Spring 1998), 149-184.
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38. “State-Intelligence Relations in Israel: 1948-1996,” Journal of Conflict Studies Vol.17, No.2
Fall 1997), 133-156.
39. "Rotem: The Forgotten Crisis on the Road to the 1967 War," Journal of Contemporary
History, Vol. 31, (1996), 547-566.
40. The Rotem Crisis,” Maarachot, No. 347, April 1996, pp. 16-28 (Hebrew).
41. "Israel Caught Unaware: Egypt's Sinai Surprise of 1960," International Journal of
Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, Vol. 8, No. 2 (Summer 1995), 203-219.
42. "The Wealth of Information and the Poverty of Comprehension: Israel's Intelligence Failure
of 1973 Revisited," Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 10, No. 4, (October 1995), 229-240.
43. "Israel's Intelligence Failure of 1973: New Evidence, A New Interpretation, and Theoretical
Implications," Security Studies, Vol. 4, No. 3, (Spring 1995), 584-609.
44. "Don't Let Them Estimate: Why the IDF Should Not Be Responsible for Political
Intelligence," Maarachot, No. 328, January-February 1993, 38-45 (Hebrew).
45. John Ferris and Uri Bar-Joseph, "Getting Marlowe to Hold His Tongue: The Conservative
Party, the Intelligence Services and the Zinoviev Letter," Intelligence and National Security,
Vol. 8, No. 4, (October 1993), 100-137 (order according to relevant contribution).
46. Uri Bar-Joseph and John Hannah, "Intervention Threats in Short Arab-Israeli Wars: An
Analysis of Soviet Crisis Behavior," The Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 11, No. 4, (December
1988), 46-76 (order according to relevant contribution).
47. "Methodological Magic," Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 3, No. 4, (October 1988),
134-155.
48. "The Hidden Debate: The Formation of Nuclear Doctrines in the Middle East," The Journal
of Strategic Studies, Vol. 5, No. 2, (June 1982), 205-227.
ADDITIONAL WORKS
Book reviews in: The Journal of Strategic Studies, Intelligence and National Security, Jewish
History, Israel Studies Forum.
25 values in: Haber Eitan and Schiff Zeev, The Lexicon of the Yom Kippur War (Zmora Bitan,
2003) (Hebrew).
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About 50 Op-Ed contributions to Ha'aretz (1997-2007). About 15 Book reviews in Ha'aretz
Book Supplement.
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