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Egypt Affirmative - 9-15-11
****CASE ANSWERS**** .............................................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined.
Egypt Affirmative
****1AC**** ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
1AC - Plan Text ................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
1AC - Inherency................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
1AC - Solvency .................................................................................................................................................................................... 5
****ADVANTAGE MODULES**** ................................................................................................................................................ 6
Egypt Affirmative - Credibility Advantage - 1AC............................................................................................................................... 7
Egypt Affirmative - Democracy Advantage - 1AC ............................................................................................................................. 8
Egypt Affirmative - Rights Advantage - 1AC ..................................................................................................................................... 9
Egypt Affirmative - Stability Advantage - 1AC ................................................................................................................................ 10
Egypt Affirmative - Terrorism Advantage - 1AC .............................................................................................................................. 11
****EXTENSIONS**** .................................................................................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined.o
............................................................................................................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.
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****1AC****
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1AC - Plan Text
The Plan: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase its democracy assistance
for Egypt by funding non-governmental civil society organizations.
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1AC - Inherency
Contention One: Inherency
No aid to civil society groups now
Sharp, Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, 8-23-11
(Jeremy M., "Egypt in Transition", a report by the Congressional Research Service,
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33003.pdf, accessed 9-14-11) RKB
The degree of U.S. direct support . . . . Egypt-approved consensual, government-to-government projects.14
AND, increases in funding go to US contractors, not real NGOs
Allen, Editor of Democracy Digest, 8-19-11
(Michael , "Egypt’s military doing ‘exactly what Mubarak did’ to stifle democrats"
http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/08/egypts-military-doing-exactly-what-mubarak-did-to-stifle-democrats/, accessed 9-14-11)
RKB
The US announced $65 million in .. . . . should only fund government-approved NGOs.
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1AC - Solvency
Contention Two: Solvency
Their civil society fails arguments don't apply- NGOs are net positive for development
Tusalem, Arkansas State political science professor, 2007
(Rollin, “A Boon or a Bane? The Role of Civil Society in Third- and Fourth-Wave Democracies”, International Political Science
Review 2007 28: 361, SAGE, ldg)
Numerous studies have argued that the . . . . . . . .of democratic governance and institutional performance.
Civil society makes developmental aid effective- the aff solves the alt causes
Abdou, Middle East Youth Initiative advisor, 2011
(Ehaab, “Participation of Youth and Civil Society Key to Ensuring a More Equitable Future for Egypt and the Arab Region”, 5-29,
http://www.shababinclusion.org/content/blog/detail/1817/, ldg)
Although President Obama’s recent remarks .. .. . . ..from inception
and planning to implementation.
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****ADVANTAGE MODULES****
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Egypt Affirmative - Credibility Advantage - 1AC
The plan is key to US credibility- civil society reform is the litmus test of US involvement in the Middle
East
Kramer and Puddington, president and director of research of Freedom House, 8-4-11
(David J. and Arch, "Look to the cold war to chill fresh calls for American isolationism"
http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2011/0804/Look-to-the-cold-war-to-chill-fresh-calls-for-American-isolationism,
accessed 9-14-11) RKB
To be sure, Americans’ unease with. . . . . . .
will certainly count itself among the losers.
Credibility in the Middle East is key to overall hegemony – ensures alliances
Phillips, Middle Eastern affairs analyst, 2010
(Chris, “US hegemony in the Middle East is ending”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/may/31/us-hegemony-middleeast-ending, ldg)
While the Bush era saw the . . . . .. . …in the Middle East could be ending.
US credibility is key to solve global wars
Kagan, senior associate at Carnegie, 2007
(Robert, “End of Dreams, Return of History” Policy Review, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html#n10,
ldg)
This is a good thing, and . . . . . .involvement will provide an easier path.
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Egypt Affirmative - Democracy Advantage - 1AC
Advantage ___: Democracy
Military Censorship threatens democratic transition in Egypt
Reporters Without Borders For Press Freedom 2011
(Reporters Without Borders For Press Freedom http://en.rsf.org/egypt-two-more-journalists-to-be-tried-20-06-2011,40491.html
WDW)
Reporters Without Borders is disturbed. . . . . . .,
it will stand in the way.”
That transition is key- the impact is long-term stability of Egyptian democracy
Hassan and Shenker, Journalists The Guardian August 25, 11
(Amro and Jack, http://www.lexisnexis.com/hottopics/lnacademic/) LMM
A broad coalition of Egyptian human . . . . . . their current control of the country."
Scenario One: Famine
Democracies key to solve famine – elected officials respond to crises to secure reelection
Rubin, democracy researcher at NIAS Nordic Institute of Asian Studies, 9
(Olivier, Ph.D. in Poli Sci from U of Copenhagen, Assistant Professor at U of Copenhagen, “The Merits of Democracy in Famine
Protection – Fact or Fallacy?” European Journal of Development Research 21.5, 2009, http://www.palgravejournals.com/ejdr/journal/v21/n5/pdf/ejdr200937a.pdf, accessed 8-18-11, beh)
It was not until the beginning . . .. . . .India
has successfully combated major famines.
Famine will cause more than 20 million to die and lead to war
The Economist 2006
(Famine Spread, 2-4, lexis, DOA: 8-30-11, ldg)
Hunger in Africa's lawless north-east . . . . . . of the badlands in their thousands.
Scenario Two: Middle East War
Success of Egyptian transition determines Mideast peace
Harrison, Washington political science lecturer, 2011
(Ewan, “Egypt and the world after Mubarak”, 3-2, http://www.stlbeacon.org/voices/in-the-news/108596-egypt-and-the-world-aftermubarak, ldg)
The most tantalizing questions raised by . . . . . . . prize worth taking risks to achieve.
Middle East war goes nuclear
Russell, Naval Postgraduate School National Security professor, 2009
(James, "Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Nuclear War and Escalation in the Middle East",
http://www.nps.edu/academics/sigs/ccc/people/biolinks/russell/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf, ldg)
Strategic stability in the region is . . . . . . . . substantial risk for the entire world.
AND, civil society reform solves- its key to a stable transition from the military
Paciello, Center for European Policy Studies, 2011
(Maria, “Egypt: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition”, May,
http://www.medproforesight.eu/fr/system/files/MEDPRO%20TR%20No%204%20WP2%20Paciello%20on%20Egypt_0.pdf) RKB
The pace and extent of political . . . . . . . political concessions aimed at containing street protests.
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Egypt Affirmative - Rights Advantage - 1AC
Advantage ___: Rights
Military rule in Egypt leads to rights violations
Innocent, foreign policy analyst at the Cato Institute and Bouasri professor of Arab Studies at the International Center for
Language Studies, 4-21-11
(Malou and Abdelilah respectively, “End US Aid to Egypt” CATO Institute <https://store.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=13047
WDW)
Sadly, in Egypt's case, a freely .. . . . . . curfew and a ban on demonstrations.
Egypt’s military destroys free speech
Freedom House; Independent watchdog organization 2011
(Freedom House Press Release; “Egyptian Military Sends Troubling Signal With Sentencing of Blogger” WDW)
Freedom House strongly condemns today’s sentencing . . . . . .Free in Freedom of the Press 2010.
The plan solves- civil society reform promotes governmental transparency and checks corruption
Bakolias, Fordham JD, 2000
(Maria, “Legal and Judicial Development: The Role of Civil Society in the Reform Process”, Fordham International Law Journal,
Volume 24, Issue 6 2000 Article 3, http://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1778&context=ilj, ldg)
Another pressing issue is that many. . . . . . ,
it could be a more active role.
Each invasion of freedom must be rejected- our impact outweighs
Petro, 74
(Prof of Law @ Wake Forest, Toledo Law Review, n. pag.)
It is seldom that liberty of . . . . . identified
and resisted with undying spirit.
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Egypt Affirmative - Stability Advantage - 1AC
Advantage ___: Stability
Civil society in Egypt is unstable now- after-effects of the revolution
Sharp Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs 2011
(Jeremy, “Egypt in Transition” WDW)
However, rapid
political change also has. . . . . . . , as a possible model for Egypt to emulate.
Political instability causes regional transition wars that risk escalation- AND Democracy assistance solves
- it provides certainty and decreases conflict
Savun and Tirone, University of Pittsburg Political Science assistant professor, 11
[Burcu, University of Pittsburg Political Science assistant professor, and Daniel, University of Pittsburgh political science Ph.D.
Candidate, "Foreign Aid, Democratization, and Civil Conflict: How Does Democracy Aid Affect Civil Conflict?," American Journal
of Political Science, Vol 55 Issue 2, p233-246, April 2011, Wiley Online Library, accessed 5-16-11, mss]
It has been suggested that democratizing states.. . . . . , and projecting avenues for future research.
Failed states cause great power wars – power vacuums and competing interests make intervention
inevitable – effectiveness key to deter escalation
Grygiel, John Hopkins IR professor, 2009
(Jakub, “Vacuum Wars: The Coming Competition Over Failed States,” American Interest, Jul/Aug 2009, http://www.the-americaninterest.com/article.cfm?piece=622, ldg)
Mention “failed states” in an academic . . . . . . . direct involvement of two or more powers.
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Egypt Affirmative - Terrorism Advantage - 1AC
The plan is key to contain Al Qaeda- success of democratic movements is key to dampen anti-US
sentiment
Zarate and Gordon, Senior Adviser and Research Assistant with the CSIS, 2011
(Juan C. and David A., " The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda", The Washington Quarterly, 34:3 pp. 103122
http://www.twq.com/11summer/docs/11summer_Zarate_Gordon.pdf, accessed 9-14-11) RKB
If inadequate reform leads to disillusionment. . . . . . . .
on the disillusionment of democrats and dissidents.
AND, its specifically true for Egypt
Garvey, Strategic Intelligence Studies Graduate Student- American Military University, 6-11-11
(William R., "Whither Al-Qaeda? The Future of Extremist Groups in Post-Revolutionary North Africa"
http://www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/Garvey11.pdf, accessed 9-14-11) RKB
The results of this study may . . . . . . . . on the path they will tread.
Al Qaeda will go nuclear- there is motive and means for an attack
Rhodes, affiliate of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford, 12-14-2009
(Richard , "Reducing the nuclear threat: The argument for public safety"
http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/op-eds/reducing-the-nuclear-threat-the-argument-public-safety, accessed 9-14-11) RKB
The response was very different among . . . . . . .in the name of sending a message.
That causes global nuclear war- confusion in the aftermath will provoke nuclear retaliation
Ayson, New Zealand Centre for Strategic Studies professor and director, April 2010
(Robert, “After Terrorist Nuclear: Envisaging Catalytic Effects”, Informaworld) bct
A terrorist nuclear attack, and even . …. . . . . help the chances of nuclear restraint.
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