Paper presented to the International Workshop on Social Audit, Social Accounting and Accountability, Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic, 15th – 16th May 2008 The carbon neutral public sector: an agenda for research Amanda Ball1, Ian Mason2, Suzana Grubnic3 and Phil Hughes4 1 Department of Accounting, Finance and Information Systems, and 2Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand; 3 Accounting and Finance Division, University of Nottingham, UK; 4Halcrow, Australia. Abstract In this paper, recent initiatives to implement public sector carbon neutrality in three OECD countries are reviewed in the context of the increasing visibility of climate change issues both in the media and on the political agenda. “Leading by example” has consistently been cited as a rationale for adoption of carbon neutral strategies, although factors including the size of public sector greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and the contribution of the public sector to the economy are also relevant. In our three example countries, ‘direct mandate’ by the Prime Minister (NZ); ‘organic development’ from wider central government sustainability initiatives (UK); and a more ‘laissez faire’ attitude as in Australian Commonwealth Government situation, were identified as the general pathways leading to public sector carbon neutrality implementation. A review of the public management literature revealed virtually no analysis or debate regarding public sector carbon neutrality or climate change strategies. Issues which arose in assessing the current situation of the public service included: a lack of understanding of the implementation process for carbon neutrality; a need to identify and critically examine the “threshold” at which mitigation efforts cease and offsetting is adopted; an absence of any evaluation of the “leading by example” rationale; a lack of country comparisons across various governmental systems; a gap in understanding the relationship with economic and social aspects of sustainability; and a need to evaluate the utility of the department or discrete organization as a unit of analysis. The context for these topics is the efficacy of carbon neutrality in relation to the time frame and scale of reductions of GHG emissions which are so urgently required. In order to redress this situation, and in light of the pressing nature of the climate change situation, we therefore propose an agenda of for research which encompasses these topics. Finally, we urge academics to consider research in this area with a view to contributing to the interdisciplinary solutions which we believe are required. 1 1. Introduction This paper argues for research into to the effectiveness of the carbon neutral public sector1 as an agent for meaningful action on climate change. According to widely adopted protocols (WBCSD/WRI, 2004; ISO, 2006) the process for achieving carbon neutral status includes an organisation measuring greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with its activities, reducing emissions where possible, and offsetting remaining emissions to have a zero carbon impact. We adopt the UK Sustainable Development Commission (SDC) definition of a carbon neutral organization, as follows: “…one that causes no net accumulation of CO2 emissions to the atmosphere. Therefore carbon neutrality allows emissions to be netted of in some other location, a process which is called ‘offsetting’. However the SDC would caution against a carbon neutrality policy which is focused solely on carbon offsetting. As the aim should be to reduce overall emissions over time, simply offsetting emissions without a carbon management strategy in place is at best misconceived, and at worst counter-productive.” (SDC, 2005). Climate change moved to centre stage on the political agenda of many Western countries in concert with a number of landmark publications (Gore, 2006; Gore et al., 2006; Stern, 2006; IPCC, 2007), and the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize to Al Gore and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The international scientific consensus, articulated in the IPCC report, is that “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal…” and that “Most of the global average warming over the past 50 years is very likely (IPCC emphasis) due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) increases…”(IPPC, 2007). We proceed on the basis that this science can be accepted. However, we believe along with others e.g. Metz and van Vuuren (2006) that the nature of the climate change problem will require more than economic or technical solutions; and that the academic community must work in a multi-disciplinary fashion in order to integrate social, technical, engineering and economic perspectives to contribute solutions. In this spirit, this paper is co-written by academic accountants, an environmental engineer, and a practitioner with substantial policy and practical experience of ‘greening’ public sector organizations. The backdrop to the paper is the response by several governments to the climate change agenda. Between February and June, 2007, the governments of New Zealand, Costa Rica and Norway independently issued significant statements of their intentions regarding carbon-neutrality. On 13 February 2007, New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark announced to Parliament: “I 1The public sector is pragmatically defined as organizations included in the Whole of Government Accounts, and can include national, regional and local government bodies, publicly owned corporations, health boards, and research and educational institutions (Ball and Grubnic, 2007). 2 believe that New Zealand can aim to be the first nation to be truly sustainable—across the four pillars of the economy, the society, the environment, and nationhood. I believe that we can aspire to be carbon neutral in our economy and way of life.” (Clark, 2007). On 21 February 2007, it was reported that the government of Costa Rica was developing plans to begin offsetting all the country’s carbon dioxide emissions (McPhaul, 2007a) and on June 7, 2007 President Oscar Arias announced “Here's the big goal, which I am personally declaring for the first time tonight. By 2021, Costa Rica's 200th birthday, we will be a carbon neutral country” (McPhaul, 2007b). Meanwhile, on 19 April, 2007, Norwegian Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg had announced in a speech to the Norwegian Labour Party that “In the period up to 2050, Norway will undertake to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions equivalent to 100% of our own emissions.” (Anon, 2007a). Subsequently the target date for Norwegian carbon neutrality was brought forward to 2030 (Archer and Bergsli, 2008). Although several media reports have presented these quests in terms of a race to be first in the carbon-neutrality stakes (Marks, 2007; McPhaul, 2007a; Anon, 2008a), it is possible that many poorer countries are virtually carbon-neutral due to poverty limiting their ability to generate substantial levels of CO2. The New Zealand vision is of particular interest in that it was accompanied by systematic plans for a carbon-neutral public sector, with a commitment for six Government Departments to become carbon neutral by 2012, and for the remaining 22 core public service departments to develop plans during that period. In Costa Rica the emphasis appeared to be on government funded tree-planting programmes, a voluntary carbon tax on visitors and businesses, the “cleaning up” of fossil fuel-fired power plants, and the promotion of hybrid vehicles. Norway, the world’s 5th largest oil exporter, has proposed state investment in carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology, increased fuel taxation, and planting trees and stopping deforestation in developing countries. The public sector is also a core element in other government strategies, notably that of the UK, with for example “Central Governments office estate to be carbon neutral by 2012” (SDC, 2006). Significant areas of the wider public sector, notably local governments, are also getting in on the act. For example, in December, 2007 the Wellington City Council, in New Zealand, agreed to achieve carbon neutrality by 2012 (WCC, 2007). Although there is evidence that public sector organizations are either taking up carbon neutrality, or being asked to become carbon neutral, there is little evidence of academic debate or research that provides a detailed analysis of the outworking of a carbon neutral approach to climate change policy for different public sector functions. This situation needs to be redressed, given the huge political, media and public concern with international policy goals for stabilizing global temperature; and the possibility that ‘carbon neutrality’ will become a primary policy goal. 3 In order to contribute an agenda for research, the remainder of this paper is structured into three substantive sections. The next section discusses possible insights from the academic literature. Based on the authors’ expertise and physical locations, section 3 looks in more detail at how policies and approaches to carbon neutrality are being implemented in New Zealand, Australia and the United Kingdom. Building on insights from theory and practice of carbon neutrality in the public sector, section 4 provides an analysis and agenda for research on carbon neutrality. 2. Literature Review Climate change has occupied natural science researchers for many decades (Christianson, 1999; Weart, 2003). In 1988 the IPCC was created to “evaluate the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action, primarily on the basis of peer-reviewed and published scientific literature” (Oreskes, 2004) and their current position is now widely known. Whilst assertions of significant debate within the scientific community continue to be propagated in the media, most relevant scientific bodies hold similar positions to that of the IPCC e.g. Anon (2005), and there is little disagreement with the consensus position (Oreskes, 2004). In the technology and engineering literature significant bodies of work concerned with technical solutions to the problem of excessive carbon emissions have appeared – for example, from the early 1990’s onward on how to capture and store carbon dioxide emissions from coal-fired electricity generation. This literature has recently begun to address the public perception of such solutions e.g. Huijts et al. (2007), and journals such as “Energy Policy” embrace topics including “economics, planning, politics, pricing, forecasting, investment, conservation, substitution and environment”. Although a growing body of work addresses high level strategies for making substantial reductions (up to 90% compared to 1990 levels) in the GHG emissions of the industrialised societies (e.g. Dyson, 1976; Kok et al, 2002; Pacala & Socolow, 2004; Verweij et al., 2006; Monbiot, 2006; IPCC 2007), there is an absence of discussion about organisation-level responses to climate change to inform our study. But as Vermeulen and Kok (2002) argue, although reductions of this magnitude will require actions at national or international levels, “in most cases the transitions depend on far-less structured decision-making mechanisms”. This will necessarily depend on “the acceptance and willingness of many (our emphasis) businesses, local institutions and individuals to contribute to the transitions.” Ideas about how business organisations might address climate, ‘carbon accounting’ and ‘neutrality’, would seem to fit with the extant corporate social responsibility (e.g., Jackall, 1988; 4 Fineman, 2001; Crane, 2000) and accountability literatures (e.g. Milne et al., 2006, 2007ab), but this work has barely begun to address either the conceptual framework, or the detail, of how organizations’ responsibilities in respect of climate change will occur. In the social and environmental accounting research literature, there is, notably, “…almost a complete absence of any "carbon accounting" (Gray et al., 2007). A partial explanation may be that until very recently large, transnational corporations in particular were in fact engaged in aggressive lobbying against climate policies, a position they rapidly reversed following the Kyoto Conference; and business has only very recently begun to take a more proactive position on climate (e.g. Gough and Shackley, 2001; Vermeulen and Kok, 2002; Levy and Rothenberg, 2002; Becken, 2004). Even with this change, corporate perspectives are reported as being based on economic interests, and scepticism towards climate change science is “institutionalized within American companies” (Levy and Rothenberg, 2002). In the public sector, the literature underlines the role of local government agencies in particular as having responsibilities and decision-making powers in traffic, public transport, economic development, housing, and urban and land-use planning which have led to a “degree of political support for climate change policies”, but with authorities lacking central government political and financial support, as well as, in many cases, competence to act (Ball, 2002; Coenen and Menkveld, 2002; Vermeulen and Kok, 2002; Allman et al. 2004). Perhaps unsurprisingly, then, insights into how public sector organisations address climate change are absent from such journals as Public Management Review in the public management literature. Other literature does offer insights about the outworking of carbon neutrality. Increasing debate is occurring over the role of offsetting (e.g. Bäckstrand and Lövbrand, 2006; Smith, 2007), and the extent to which it can be a real contributor to GHG reductions (e.g. Gössling et al., 2007), as opposed to simply being a means of moving responsibilities elsewhere, sometimes with sometimes inequitable results (O’Riordan, 2004) or perverse environmental outcomes (Bäckstrand and Lövbrand, 2006). Yet, worryingly, it seems that offsetting as opposed to mitigation is dominating corporate organizational strategies on climate change (Jordan and Lorenzoni, 2007; Thornes and Randalls, 2007). The ‘grey’ literature (Auger, 1998; GreyNet, 2008) is the source of a considerable amount of the material appearing in this field from “research-based groups” (Gough and Shackley, 2001), for example the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research (UK) and the PEW Centre on Global Climate Change in the USA, and is a notable phenomenon. However, the lack of peer-review means that such sources must be treated with caution. 5 To summarise, insights from the peer-reviewed literature into role and efficacy of the public sector in climate change mitigation to assist with the paper are, unfortunately, virtually nonexistent. 3. Developments in Practice 3.1 New Zealand The New Zealand Government proposed relatively detailed plans and guidelines for the achievement of carbon neutrality following on from the 2007 announcement by Prime Minister Helen Clark (op cit). This mandate was passed to the Ministry for the Environment, who assumed a leadership and co-ordination role, but also to individual departments, each of which has a responsibility to deliver contracted services to a Minister of the Crown. Six lead departments were selected to become carbon neutral by 2012 on the basis of their data collection performance in a sustainability initiative known as Govt3, which focused on waste reduction, buildings, transport, office consumables and equipment (MfE, 2008). This programme produced energy data, which would be crucial in assessing carbon emissions, and sustainable procurement information. Significant features of the carbon neutrality guidelines include a) an emphasis on mitigation prior to offsetting, b) a clear statement that some offsetting will nonetheless be required, and c) that offsetting projects will be located within New Zealand and managed by a single agency. The “leading by example” ethic is clearly invoked as the primary rationale for the initiative (MfE, 2007a), whilst recognising at the same time that the direct impact of public service carbon neutrality on national CO2 emissions will be small at approximately 2% of New Zealand’s total emissions (MfE, 2007b). The emphasis on mitigation prior to offsetting is explicitly stated and justified in terms of maintaining credibility: “Offsetting emissions without having made plausible efforts to reduce emissions first would compromise the credibility of a carbon neutrality initiative and could possibly prevent external verification of departments’ carbon neutral status.”. (MfE, 2007b) The subsequent use of offsetting is justified on the basis that 100% emissions reduction solely by mitigation measures is not considered a practical possibility, largely on account of transport issues (MfE, 2007d). The issue of achieving authentic permanent carbon sequestration (permanence) from offsetting projects is included, and in fact made a legal requirement (MfE, 6 2007c). The potential for conflict between carbon neutrality aspirations and conventional economic goals is recognised and the need to identify the threshold at which offsets become the preferred option has been highlighted as a matter for further investigation (MfE, 2007b). The threshold issue is one which we believe to be of particular relevance for future research. Departments are given specific guidance in terms of the time frame for initial offsetting actions: “For the 5 departments for which we have good existing baseline information, trees will be planted on New Zealand Crown land in winter 2008 to offset the residual emissions so that these departments become fully carbon neutral by 2012 when tree growth will exceed emissions. Modelling shows that approximately 6 square kilometres of forest would be required to offset the 5 departments for 20 years.” (MfE, 2007d) Target dates for reporting were also clearly specified and emissions inventories and emissions reduction plans for all 34 departments were posted on the MfE website on 4 April, 2008. Accounting requirements are prescribed and independent auditing of offset projects indicated: “The Carbon Neutral Public Service programme will be required to have an accurate, transparent and auditable registry system to demonstrate the retirement2 of the credits or offsets used in the Carbon Neutral Public Service programme…The Ministry for the Environment will commission an independent auditor to validate forestry offset projects and certify they have sequestered the necessary amount of carbon in order to claim carbon neutrality for the six Stage 1 agencies.” (MfE, 2007c). Other provisions clearly spell out the management structures to be set in place. The potential role of carbon markets and the price of carbon is identified, signalling an expectation the public sector will be involved in some aspects of carbon trading (MfE, 2007b). Credits will be managed through a New Zealand Emissions Units Register. Overall we believe that a relatively robust approach to implementing a carbon neutral strategy in the public sector has been outlined in New Zealand, at least for the first 6 departments involved. The degree to which this vision will be fulfilled, and the barriers and opportunities which are revealed over the next few years will be informative, and provide considerable opportunities for research. This we will elaborate on in the discussion and analysis to follow. 3.2 Australia In Australia, as with many responses to policy problems addressed at Commonwealth, State and Territory level, there has been a range of carbon neutral public sector responses, and 7 differing levels of commitment. Drawing on policy documents, we summarise key responses towards climate change and a carbon neutral public sector in table 1, which highlights relevant climate change strategy, overall emissions reduction target, carbon neutral commitment and key public sector actions. Table 1: Selected Australian Commonwealth, State and Territory Key Responses to Carbon Neutrality in the Public Sector Jurisdiction Public Sector Employees (2007) Overall Strategy Overall Target: emissions Australia 230,800 (Commonwealth) In development Limit emissions in 2008-2012 to 108 percent of its emissions in 1990 (Kyoto target) Commitment to national emission trading system Major study (Garnaut review) to report on future directions in mid-2008 New South Wales 503,300 NSW Greenhouse Plan 2005-08 NSW State Plan 2006 Victoria 360,000 GHG Key Instruments/ Actions Not explicit Energy Efficiency in Government Operations program Energy intensity portfolio targets and environmental management systems (EMS) Reduce emissions by 60% on 2000 levels by 2050 New Government buildings minimum of 4.5 star environmental rating 60% cut in emissions by 2050 (from 2000) and a return to year 2000 emission levels by 2025 Sustainability Action Statement 2006 60% reduction in emissions by 2050 (from 2000) Victoria Greenhouse Strategy Victorian Renewable Energy Target (VRET) requires 10% of Victoria's energy to be derived from renewable sources by 2016 Energy Efficiency Action Plan 2006 Public Sector Carbon Neutral Commitment Not explicit Building energy management Individual agency commitments to carbon neutrality e.g. Sydney Water and City of Sydney $50 m on energy efficiency for public facilities and schools Partial: Government car fleet carbon neutral (from January 2007) New Government buildings minimum of 5 star environmental rating Target to improve Government energy efficiency by 20% by June 2010, and purchase 25% of electricity as Green Power by June 2010 Retrofitting of state housing properties $15 m on energy efficiency for public hospitals, schools and aged care facilities Expansion of EMS use by departments 150 hybrid vehicles government fleet in Individual agency commitments to carbon neutrality e.g. EPA Victoria, Parks Victoria Queensland 334,800 Climate Smart 2050: Queensland Climate Change Strategy 2007: a low carbon future 60% reduction in emissions by 2050 (from 2000) Carbon neutral government office buildings by 2020 Energy Management Strategy to address agencies energy use Commitment to source 5% renewable energy Offset emissions from the vehicle fleet: 50% by 2010 and 100% by 2020 Western Australia 173,600 Making Decisions for the Future: Climate Change Action Statement 2007 60% reduction in emissions by 2050 (from 2000) Purchasing 20% of its electricity from renewable energy sources by 2010 8 Partial: State Government car fleet is carbon neutral Energy Smart Program Government Smart Government purchasing Jurisdiction Public Sector Employees (2007) Overall Strategy Overall Target: emissions GHG Public Sector Carbon Neutral Commitment Key Instruments/ Actions South Australia 128,800 Tackling Climate Change 2007-2020 Limit emissions to 108% of 1990 levels in 2008-12 SA Government to reach carbon neutral status for its own operations by 2020 Purchase minimum of 30% of accredited green power (50% by 2014) All ACT agencies will work towards becoming carbon neutral – to generate no net emissions from their activities Resource management plans (by 2009) with annual reporting Reduce emissions by 60% (to 40% of 1990 levels) by 2050 Australia Capital Territory 88,100 Climate Change Strategy 2007-2025 Reduction of 60% of 2000 levels of emissions by 2050 Climate Change Action Plan 20072011 Milestone of limiting 2025 emissions to 2000 levels All schools will become carbon neutral by 2017 New Government buildings minimum of 5 star environmental rating $1 m energy efficiency loan fund for agencies School environmental management plans, energy audits and reduction initiatives Most Australian Governments have emphasized the role of government in “leading by example” to reduce GHG emissions in key policy documents (see table 1). For example, on 18 February 2008, the South Australian Premier Mike Rann declared that “the State Government must set a clear example by reducing its carbon footprint” given it was one of the largest GHG emitters in South Australia (Rann, 2008). The State Government would work towards becoming carbon neutral for its own operations by accelerated purchases of accredited Green Power and other carbon offsets (Rann, op cit): By 2010, offsetting 30 percent of GHG emissions by purchasing Green Power and the balance through the purchase of other carbon offsets By 2014, offsetting 50 percent of GHG emissions from its operations, achieved by purchasing of 50 percent of its electricity requirements from Green Power and the balance by purchasing other carbon offsets By 2020, offsetting all of its emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by purchasing an equal amount of Green Power and other carbon offsets. Earlier, in January 2008, South Australia’s Cabinet Ministers became the first in Australia to offset the GHGs used in the course of their duties, including all air travel. In other jurisdictions, not all Government Ministers or Members of Parliament have been as ready to commit to carbon neutrality often leaving it to the core public sector. As can be seen from table 1, some governments, such as South Australia and the Australia Capital Territory, have been more committed to a carbon neutral public sector, whereas other jurisdictions are only prepared to commit to a percentage reduction, or only focus on government vehicle fleets (New South Wales and Victoria) or buildings (Queensland). In New South Wales and Victoria, individual agencies have been allowed to assess the relative merits of becoming carbon neutral and then take appropriate action. 9 Environment Protection Authority (EPA) Victoria, for example, has gone carbon neutral. In February 2007, EPA Victoria (with some 400 staff) committed to becoming carbon neutral to experience the challenges of going carbon neutral first hand and to provide practical support to companies interested in climate change. EPA Victoria’s primary approach to carbon management is to implement cost-effective, direct emission reduction projects in its operations. EPA is committed to improving its carbon management plan each year in line with its own draft Carbon Management Principles (EPA Victoria, 2007a) and the plan will be externally assured each year. Two key lessons learned by EPA Victoria were the “concept of ‘carbon neutrality’ is not yet well defined” and “the market for green power and offset products is evolving” (EPA Victoria, 2007b). Australian Governments have significant purchasing power to influence the supply of renewable energy (green power) and the supply of low emission goods and services. Adopting more energy efficient practices and green purchasing is a short-term measure that provides savings in government energy costs and supports the market for climate-friendly goods and services. In Victoria, the Government has stated it will use its significant purchasing power when buying everything from cars to paper, to send strong market signals for sustainable products and services. The State Government of Victoria spends around 15 per cent of Victoria’s gross state product. The Queensland Government also recognises its notable levels of spending on goods, services and construction. Australia is still determining how it will respond to climate change at the Commonwealth (national) level although there has been a commitment to a national emission trading system by 2010 (Wong 2008). Following the change in Australian Government in late 2007, a strategic review of climate change policies has been commissioned by the present Labour Government (Tanner and Wong, 2008). The review, due in July 2008, will develop a set of principles to assist its assessment of whether existing programs are complementary to an emissions trading scheme. The future outlook for a carbon neutral public sector may in part be unclear pending the full implementation of an ETS, and decisions on what other climate change programs are required that are “efficient, effective and complementary to the emissions trading scheme” (Tanner and Wong, 2008). 3.3 United Kingdom Former Prime Minister Tony Blair pledged that the public sector would lead by example to combat climate change (SDC, 2005), and this was re-affirmed by then Secretary of State for the Environment David Miliband (Defra, 2006). Government has committed to making its office 10 space carbon neutral by 2012 with the wider public sector following by 2015; and there is an aspirational target of cutting GHG emissions from government offices by 30% by 2020. Government has committed to offsetting emissions arising from official and ministerial air travel from April 2006 and has developed a Government Carbon Offsetting Fund (GCOF) for this purpose. The Government’s intent may be inferred from the Climate Change Bill, a legislative framework on the management of carbon emissions (Defra, 2007a), expected to become effective by mid-2008. The Bill binds the UK to a 60% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 against a 1990 baseline, a target reduction of 26-32% by 2020, and a system of carbon budgets that will constrain the total amount of emissions in a given time period. The Committee on Climate Change at the request of Government is currently considering an upward revision from 60% to 80%, although this falls short of the 100% claimed possible by the Liberal Democrats (Liberal Democrats, 2007). Notably, the Government has requested the Committee to take into account “economic circumstances, and in particular the likely impact of the decision on the economy and the competitiveness of particular sectors of the economy” (Defra, 2007b). At present, the Bill requires an annual emissions statement by the Government, an annual progress report to Parliament by the ‘independent’ Committee on Climate Change, and an annual response to that report by the Government. A strengthening of annual reporting is proposed in a requirement, amongst others, that the Committee provide a view on whether targets and budgets are likely to be met. The implication is that lack of progress toward Government specific targets would undermine the overall emissions reduction framework. The Government have expressed that top-down sectoral targets would be too prescriptive and unhelpful but, nevertheless, expectations on opportunities for reducing emissions in different sectors would be provided in budgets (Defra, 2008). Doubts on targets being met in the Bill coupled with Government not meeting its targets would naturally call into question expectations set for other parts of the economy. Following commitments of a carbon neutral estate2, the Government developed the Sustainable Operations on the Government Estate (SOGE) framework for assessing the 2 The pledge to offset carbon emissions from all government buildings was announced by former Prime Minister Tony Blair on June 12 2006, and was attributed to an intention by government to lead by example on measures to combat climate change. More cynically, commitments on a carbon neutral estate followed pronouncements by both the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties to assert themselves as concerned and able to protect the environment (Hall, 2006). 3 The Sustainable Operations on the Government Estate (SOGE) framework issued in 2006 replaces the 2002 framework for Sustainable Development on the Government Estate. 11 sustainability of its activities3. All 21 core departments, together with executive agencies and selfselected non-departmental public bodies, report data to the Sustainable Development Commission (SDC), an independent adviser to the UK Government, which analyses the data and illustrates performance against each of the SOGE targets in a traffic light system. At present, there is a debate on the issue of offsetting, with a request by SDC to Government to supply definitive guidance. Unlike New Zealand, offsetting projects are not required to take place within the physical boundaries of the nation (Defra, 2007b). On air travel, the GCOF consists of a flexible portfolio of projects located across developing nations such as Brazil and Vietnam, and developed nations such as China. Defra argues for the need to retain some flexibility in the framework in the Climate Change Bill, but cautions that the purchasing of emissions reductions credit “… may restrict the place of decarbonisation of the UK economy and lead to higher mitigation costs in the long run” (Defra, 2007b). The SOGE framework consists of three elements: fourteen SOGE outcome-orientated performance targets; eight ‘Government to Mandate’ requirements; and, a series of commitments on management and support functions. The 14 SOFE targets are further classified under climate change and energy; sustainable consumption and production; and, natural resource protection. Apparent within the targets is an emphasis upon reduction (e.g. reducing water consumption) and on efficiency (e.g. energy). The latest report by the SDC points to unease over data quality and management and, in some cases, a lack of understanding about how a department has performed (SDC, 2007). Results reported against the SOGE framework for the time period from April 2006 to March 2007 are not encouraging, with over half of Departments not on track to meet reduction targets of 12.5% by 2010/11 (SDC, 2007). Adjusting MOD data to exclude a recently privatised organisation from the selected baseline data, carbon emissions from offices across the government estate have reduced by 0.7%. Generally, excellent progress is reported against energy efficiency and waste reduction targets, good progress against recycling and procurement of renewable electricity, and some or no progress on carbon emissions from vehicles and reduction of water consumption targets. No department reported verification by an external body suggesting caution in viewing results. More positively, all Departments with the exception of four (from twenty) indicate upward movements in ‘direction of travel’ (SDC, 2007), indicating an improvement in performance compared to the previous year and a potential to recover. All Departments have achieved at least some progress on the renewable energy target (SDC 2007). The target of 12 sourcing at least 10% of electricity from renewables by 31 March 2008 has been exceeded, and most recent results suggest that 28.3% of electricity is now sourced from renewable sources at pan-governmental level (SDC, 2007). The Local Government sector accounts for approximately 1.4% of the total UK building energy consumption4, and emits in the region of 0.95 million tonnes of CO2 per annum (Anon, 2008b). Although the majority of councils have been reported as not having a climate change strategy in place (Anon, 2007b), as at December 2007, a third of councils were engaged with the Carbon Trust on its Local Authorities Carbon Management (LACM) programme. For example, Belfast City Council has developed a Carbon Management Action Plan (with a focus on leisure centres, vehicle fleets, landfill, offices and staff awareness) which includes baseline data on CO 2 emissions and cost, and provides outcomes on key actions (Anon, 2004). Another development in Local Government is the ‘Merton rule’, which requires developers to install equipment on site to deliver at least 10% of a new building’s energy from renewable sources. Since its introduction in 2003, over 100 authorities have adopted the rule and the London Authority has increased minimum requirement to 20% (Seager, 2007). Other sources of change in the sector may follow from Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s call for the creation of ‘eco-towns’ (Miller, 2008); and from the Audit Commission’s introduction of natural resource management into its methodology for assessing the performance of local authorities in England. In summary, Central Government in the UK has focused upon legally enforcing the need to reduce carbon emissions as a nation, and on establishing accountability frameworks to ensure progress within government departments. Work is required within Departments and the broader public sector to develop and maintain effective systems to monitor, measure and assess environmental impacts of operations. Present systems are orientated toward housekeeping and ‘quick wins’, and the most current results by SDC suggests the need to reverse the trend in amounts of carbon emitted. Local Government has a longer history in environmental practices than other parts of the public sector, and carbon management strategies are emerging, if slowly. 4 Energy consumption mostly includes heating, lighting, and use of office equipment and air conditioning. The statistic by the Carbon Trust is stated to encompass buildings ranging from housing and local estate offices to community centres and sports centres as well as administrative offices. 13 4. Analysis: Determining the Research Agenda 4.1 Introduction Ultimately, it is only the global set of carbon accounts that really matters. Here we seek to examine whether ‘public sector carbon neutrality’ contributes to reduction of GHG concentrations in the global atmosphere. Below we set out a research agenda in component parts, each potentially contributing to the ‘bottom line’. 4.2 Implementing carbon neutrality: processes and systems A useful research exercise will be to survey and summarise practice in implementing carbon neutrality, with the aim of widely disseminating examples of best (and worst) practice to the research and practice communities. The role of, and approach taken with, carbon accounting and assurance, including standards (e.g. WBCSD/WRI, 2004; ISO, 2006), will be an important focus here. This is to do with the straightforward reason that we expect other (financial) accounts to be robust and audited; and the same should apply to carbon accounting (or any form of environmental accounting). The UK experience with the SOGE framework indicates a need for research into the ease with which organisations establish data systems and establish baselines for setting targets; and whether concern with production of data per se may serve to postpone or divert attention from framing how services could be delivered in low-carbon ways. 4.3 The ‘offset threshold’ A recurrent theme in this paper has been the determination of the critical ‘offset threshold’ – i.e. the point at which public sector organisations ‘hit the wall’ for whatever reason, are unable to reduce carbon emissions beyond a certain level, and go for off-setting. An important area for research will be to identify where this critical point of balance is being struck in different organizations and jurisdictions; and what sort of paradigm shift is required to move to a situation where carbon neutral strategies become ‘mitigation intensive’ – i.e. where offsetting is the minor part of the strategy and activities become decoupled from fossil fuel consumption. We anticipate thorny issues arising in the use of offsetting, given that offsetting is known to sometimes bring perverse environmental outcomes, e.g., the planting of single species plantations negatively affecting biodiversity and stream flow. An important collaborative research exercise, with the scientific and engineering community, will be to continually monitor the quality and permanence of carbon offset programmes, including evaluation of the range of standards for offsetting (e.g. The Gold Standard, 2008). 14 4.4 Leading by example? The NZ, Australian and UK governments all stress that the public sector will lead by example on carbon neutrality. A challenging topic for research will be to examine whether any leading actually takes place, what is its character and what are its outcomes. An interesting experiment would be to track the number of enquiries about how to go carbon neutral received by lead agencies; and to track developments in organizations seeking advice from public sector organizations. Other experiments might determine the extent to which initiatives are taken up by employees outside the workplace. Our discussion of developments in Australia demonstrated that the public sector’s use of its purchasing power will be an important focus for research. A useful research exercise would be to track the changes public sector organizations actually make over time, and in what areas of expenditure, in order to try to influence the supply chain through the purchase of goods and services that are sustainable, ethical and demonstrate value for money. A further question is how far agencies would be prepared to go in changing purchasing or contracting behaviour. As Kerr (2006) argues, the political economy of structural reform in natural resource use is fraught with understandably resistant responses from parties who lose out. Thus we concur with O’Riordan (2004) that an important aspect of this research will be to investigate partnership arrangements between government, private capital and civil associations. Given that public services are often determined by basic, personal social needs, research into the public sector’s response to the use of offsets in particular should reveal important insights about people’s behaviour when they encounter the ‘hitting the wall’ phenomenon. In the extreme, could it be that going carbon neutral simply seems too full of contradictions and difficulties for people to handle; and that the concept will end up in the ‘too hard’ basket? Herein lays a fascinating research topic. 4.5 International Comparative Research In writing this paper and focusing briefly on only three OECD countries, we have been struck by the differences between governments’ approaches to committing their public sector to become carbon neutral as part of a wider programme of policies on climate change. Our brief country case studies reveal possibilities including a direct mandate from the Prime Minister (NZ); the Australian experience appears to be somewhat laissez faire; and the UK model has evolved out of government’s attempts to increase accountability for the sustainability of the government estate. A worthwhile topic for international collaborative research will critically evaluate the differences in approaches over a range of governmental systems. It would be of particular value to hear from 15 researchers in less economically developed (as opposed to western industrialized) countries, where governments seem to have no voice in debates about a carbon neutral public sector. A useful subsidiary question would be to ask what resources governments are committing to support the transition – both in terms of support for internal carbon management initiatives, and in providing assistance in response to consequent structural change. 4.6 Will carbon neutrality come to dominate at the expense of a fuller understanding of sustainability issues? We anticipate that carbon neutrality will become a core issue, if not a key performance indicator, in many public sector organisations and agencies. Here we are mindful that accounting, including ‘carbon accounting’, whilst hugely useful, can also turn the world into a series of quantifications; questions of how many?, how much?, at what level? etc. Further dangers lie in the enduring performance measurement focus in the public sector (Lapsley, 2008). Our concern here, per the lessons of critical accounting research, is that to privilege the calculative eye of carbon accounting may render less visible social and economic ideals. The alternative is to keep to the fore the wider picture, inspired by the central problematic, as Orr (2007) puts it: “So, what does a carbon-neutral society and increasingly sustainable society look like?” Here we are also mindful of the wider mentality of business-case, win-win, arguments for eco-efficiency, or going carbon neutral in the private sector; which privilege easy wins, but do not address underlying problems of what gets produced and consumed and why (Milne et al., 2006, 2007ab; Orr, 2007). 4.7 Unit of analysis Carbon neutrality strategies in NZ, Australia and the UK indicate that the unit of analysis for the carbon neutral public sector is the government department, agency or other organization. An important area for research is to examine the impact of using this unit of analysis in the context of the national and global carbon account. This raises the question of whether governments should identify the ‘big hitters’ in their public sectors; allowing some an easier ride. For instance, amongst the 6 NZ lead government departments on carbon neutrality, are the carbon impacts of the policy-based Treasury significant in comparison to the much larger, operations-based Department of Conservation? Further questions arise where the public sector is engaged in major climatechange-causing activities, for instance in the coal industry (which operates as a state-owned enterprise in NZ, for instance). 16 4.8 Time-frame and rate of contraction of emissions We argue that at the heart of any concern with climate change strategies must be a connection with the ineluctable reality of climate change science. All the available evidence points to a need for a rapid rate of emissions reduction in order to improve our chances of living comfortably on the planet (Meyer, 2000); with targets commonly set to be met by 2030-2050 (i.e. soon). Perhaps out of all possible roles for academics is the need to design research which continually engages politicians, and policy- and decision-makers about the essential concern with achieving a stabilisation of GHG concentrations in the atmosphere; and about their professional and personal motives for actions they take which increase or reduce GHG emissions. 5. Conclusions Public sector carbon neutrality has been mandated or voluntarily adopted in three OECD countries where climate change issues are high on the political agenda. In all jurisdictions reviewed in this paper, government agencies have consistently stressed the rationale of “leading by example” for adoption of carbon neutral strategies. Our introductory look at developments internationally suggests that there are at least three different paths to public sector carbon neutrality. These are ‘direct mandate’ by the Prime Minister (NZ); ‘organic development’ from wider central government sustainability initiatives (UK); and a more ‘laissez faire’ attitude as in Australian Commonwealth Government situation. The public management literature is notable in that it contains virtually no academic analysis or debate regarding public sector carbon neutrality or climate change strategies. We believe that there is an urgent need to redress this situation, and have therefore identified an agenda of pressing issues for research. These are, to summarise: understanding the implementation process; identifying and debating the offset threshold; critically evaluating the “leading by example” rationale; initiating country comparisons across various governmental systems; understanding the relationship with economic and social aspects of sustainability; and investigating the utility of the department or discrete organization as a unit of analysis. An overriding goal is to evaluate and engage debate about the efficacy of carbon neutrality in the context of the time frame and scale of reductions of GHG emissions which are so urgently required. Given the current predominance of carbon neutrality as a national, public sector and business response to climate change, we urge academics to consider addressing these issues both 17 from the perspective of their own disciplines, and with a view to contributing to the interdisciplinary solutions which we believe are required. 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