IR 425 The New Triangle: China, the U.S. & Latin America Prof. Carol Wise Spring 2014 T-TH 5:00-6:20 p.m. SOS B40 School of International Relations University of Southern California Office hours: Wednesday 2:30-5:00 pm (VKC 328) Direct line: 213-740-2138 E-mail: cwise@usc.edu COURSE OBJECTIVES: The rapid rise of China in the international political economy raises any number of intriguing policy research questions. With a strong emphasis on the role of economic policy as a crucial part of this process, this seminar will explore historical, conceptual, and contemporary issues and trends as they relate to the new U.S.-Latin America-China triangle that has emerged in the Western Hemisphere over the past decade. First, we will explore China’s relations with the U.S. and with Latin America prior to its initiation of market reforms in the late 1970s; second, we will compare and contrast the reform record of China and Latin America, as well as the ways in which reform outcomes have affected U.S. relations with China and Latin America. Finally, we will debate contemporary issues, including the impact of the 2008-09 financial crises on US-China relations and the global community, China’s strengthening economic ties with key Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico) and what this implies for US- Latin American relations, and the possibility for increased Chinese cooperation and leadership in vital global issue areas like energy, climate change, and natural resource management. The overriding goal of this course is to sharpen students’ analytical and writing skills, with a focus on policy analysis and problem-solving. COURSE REQUIREMENTS: Two 8-page position papers that concisely analyze and discuss a major policy issue or decision and which offers alternative policy options and/scenarios. Each paper will be worth 15% of your grade. In-class mid-term exam, worth 30% of your grade. Take-home final exam, worth 30% of your grade. Participation in ongoing weekly seminar discussions and small group presentations (based on theme of a given week) (10%). Students who intend to miss more than two seminar sessions are advised not to take the course, as more than two unexcused absences will result in a grade reduction. Completion of all assigned readings prior to each meeting. All readings on the syllabus have been posted on Blackboard. 1 For Disabled Students: Any student requesting academic accommodations based on a disability is required to register with Disability Services and Programs (DSP) each semester. A letter of verification for approved accommodations can be obtained from DSP. Please be sure the letter is delivered to me as early in the semester as possible. DSP is located in STU 301 and is open 8:30 a.m.-5:00 p.m., Monday through Friday. The phone number for DSP is (213) 740-0776. CLASS SCHEDULE AND ASSIGNED READINGS Week 1: Introduction and Overview Jan. 14: Course Plan Jan. 16: Structural Shift Robert Devlin, “China’s Economic Rise,” in Riordan Roett and Guadalupe Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere: Implications for Latin America and the United States (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2008), pp. 111-147. PDF posted on Blackboard Rhys Jenkins, “China’s Global Expansion and Latin America,” Journal of Latin American Studies, vol. 42, no. 4 (2010): 809-837. PDF posted on blackboard Week 2: The U.S.-China-Latin America Triangle Jan. 21: Divergent Views Xiang Lanxin, “An Alternative Chinese View,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 44-58. PDF posted on blackboard Jiang Shixue, “The Chinese Foreign Policy Perspective,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 27-43. PDF posted on blackboard Barbara Stallings, “The U.S.-China-Latin America Triangle: Implications for the Future,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 239-259. PDF posted on blackboard Jan. 23: Mixed Consequences Francisco E. González, “Latin America in the Economic Equation---Winners and Losers: What Can Losers Do?” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 148-169. PDF posted on blackboard Juan Gabriel Tokatlian, “A View from Latin America,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 59-89. PDF posted on blackboard Ariel C. Armony, “The China-Latin America Relationship: Convergences and Divergences,” in Adrian Hearn and Jose Luis Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America: Tracing the Trajectory (Boulder and London: Lynne Rienner Books, 2011). PDF posted on blackboard 2 A BRIEF HISTORICAL BACKDROP Week 3: Film Week Jan. 28: Film, “The Mao Years” Jan. 30: Film on “The Deng Years” Week 4: Rapprochements with China Feb. 4: The U.S. Rapprochement Film Clips from Nixon’s 1972 Trip to China Joseph Camilleri, Chinese Foreign Policy: The Maoist Era and its Aftermath (Seattle: University of Washington Press, 1980), pp. 3-46, 178-195. PDF posted on blackboard Margaret MacMillan, “Nixon, Kissinger, and the Opening to China,” in Fredrik Logevall and Andrew Preston, eds., Nixon in the World: American Foreign Relations 1969-1977 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008) pp. 107-125. PDF posted on blackboard Feb. 6: Latin America’s Rapprochement Cecil Johnson, Communist China & Latin America, 1959-1967 (New York: Columbia University Press, 1970), pp. 1-52, 286-304. PDF posted on blackboard Robert North Belmont, The Foreign Relations of China (CA: Wadsworth, 1978, third edition), pp. 179-222. PDF posted on blackboard Week 5: U.S.-Latin American Relations Post-1945 POSITION PAPER NO. 1 DUE BY 6:00 pm ON FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 14 Please submit paper through “turn-it-in”on Blackboard Feb. 11: Ongoing Misunderstandings Mark Atwood Lawrence, “History from Below: The United States and Latin America in the Nixon Years,” in Fredrik Logevall and Andrew Preston, eds., Nixon in the World: American Foreign Relations 1969-1977 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008) pp. 269-288. PDF posted on blackboard Michael Kryzanek, U.S.-Latin American Relations (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2008, fourth edition), pp. 1-60. PDF posted on blackboard Jeffrey Taffet, Foreign Aid as Foreign Policy: The Alliance for Progress in Latin America (New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 11-46. PDF posted on blackboard 3 Feb. 13: Periodic Disappointments Michael Kryzanek, U.S.-Latin American Relations (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2008, fourth edition), pp. 61-124. PDF posted on blackboard Jeffrey Taffet, Foreign Aid as Foreign Policy: The Alliance for Progress in Latin America (New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 47-94. PDF posted on blackboard Week 6: The Impetus for Economic Reform in both Regions Feb. 18: China in the Late 1970s Shaun Breslin, China and the Global Political Economy (London, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), pp. 40-81. PDF posted on blackboard Barry Naughton, Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform 1978-1993 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1995), Introduction & pp. 27-96. PDF posted on blackboard Feb. 20: Latin America---Prelude to the 1982 Debt Crisis Peter Kingstone, The Political Economy of Latin America (New York, NY: Routledge, 2011), pp. 19-44. PDF posted on blackboard Rosemary Thorp, Progress, Poverty and Exclusion: An Economic History of Latin America in the 20th Century (Washington, DC: Inter-American Development Bank, 1998), pp. 159-199. PDF posted on blackboard A FORK IN THE REFORM ROAD Week 7: Bumpy Starts Feb. 25: China---Reformulation and Debate Shaun Breslin, China and the Global Political Economy (London, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), pp. 82-105. PDF posted on blackboard Barry Naughton, Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform 1978-1993 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1995), pp. 173-243. PDF posted on blackboard Feb. 27: Latin America’s ‘Lost Decade’ of the 1980s Rosemary Thorp, Progress, Poverty and Exclusion: An Economic History of Latin America in the 20th Century, pp. 201-239. PDF posted on blackboard Week 8: Washington Dogmatism versus Beijing Pragmatism March 4: Beijing Pragmatism 4 Shaun Breslin, China and the Global Political Economy (London, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), pp. 106-130. PDF posted on blackboard Yingyi Qian, “How Reform Worked in China,” in Dani Rodrik, ed., In Search of Prosperity (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003), pp. 297-333. PDF posted on blackboard March 6: Washington Dogmatism Nancy Birdsall and Augusto de la Torre, Washington Contentious (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Inter-American Dialogue, 2001), pp. 1-17. PDF posted on blackboard Peter Kingstone, The Political Economy of Latin America (New York, NY: Routledge, 2011), pp. 45-90. PDF posted on blackboard Week 9: China-Latin American Ties Spring to Life in the 2000s March 11: Opportunities and Challenges Ruben Gonzalez-Vicente, “Mapping Chinese Mining Investment in Latin America: Politics or Market?” The China Quarterly, vol. 209 (2012): 35-58. PDF posted on blackboard Rhys Jenkins, “The ‘China Effect’ on Commodity Prices and Latin American Export Earnings,” CEPAL Review, vol. 103 (April, 2011): 73-87. PDF posted on blackboard Javier Santiso and Rolando Avendano, “Economic Fundamentals of the Relationship,” in Hearn and Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America. PDF posted on blackboard March 13: Mid-term Exam Week 10: SPRING BREAK CHINA’S ENTRY INTO THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE IN THE 2000s COUNTRY CASES Week 11: Competitive Disadvantage March 25: Mexico and Central America’s China Conundrum Roberto Hernandez, “Economic Liberalization and Trade Relations between Mexico and China,” Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, vol. 41 (2012): 49-96. PDF posted on blackboard Francisco Haro Navejas, “China’s Relationship with Central America and the Caribbean States,” in Hearn and Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America. PDF posted on blackboard March 27: China’s Incursions into NAFTA 5 Enrique Dussel Peters, “The Auto Parts-Automotive Chain in Mexico and China: Co-operation Potential,” The China Quarterly, vol. 209 (2012): 82-110. PDF posted on blackboard Enrique Dussel Peters and Kevin P. Gallagher, “NAFTA’s Uninvited Guest: China and the Disintegration of North American Trade,” CEPAL Review, vol. 110 (2013): 83-108. PDF posted on blackboard Week 12: Conflict and Crisis across the Pacific April 1: Growing Tensions between China and the U.S. Daniel Erikson, “Conflicting U.S. Perceptions of China’s Growing Inroads in Latin America,” in Hearn and Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America. PDF posted on blackboard Cynthia Watson, “The Obama Administration, Latin America, and the Middle Kingdom,” in Hearn and Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America. PDF posted on blackboard April 3: Surviving the Global Financial Shocks of 2008-2010 Leslie Armijo, Carol Wise, and Saori Katada, “Unexpected Outcomes: How the Emerging Economies Survived the Global Financial Crisis.” PDF posted on blackboard Week 13: China-Latin America---Comparative Advantage I April 8: Chile & Peru---China’s Voracious Appetite for Mineral Imports Juan Carlos Gachuz, “Chile’s Economic and Political Relationship with China,” Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, vol. 41 (2012): 133-154. PDF posted on blackboard Ruben Gonzalez-Vicente, “The Political Economy of Sino-Latin American Relations: A New Dependency?” Journal of Current Chinese Affairs, vol. 41 (2012): 97-131. PDF posted on blackboard Carol Wise, “Great Expectations: China’s Free Trade Agreements with Chile and Peru.” PDF posted on blackboard April 10: Class Dinner, 5:00 pm Bacaro L.A. 2308 South Union Avenue Week 14: Comparative Advantage II---Argentina and Brazil April 15: Brazil and China’s Feeding Frenzy POSITION PAPER NO. 2 DUE BY 6:00 pm ON FRIDAY, APRIL 18. Please submit through “turn-it-in” on Blackboard. 6 Daniel Cardoso, “China-Brazil: a Strategic partnership in an Evolving World Order,” East Asia, vol. 30, no. 1 (2013): 31-51. PDF posted on blackboard Rhys Jenkins and Alexandre Barbosa, “Fear for Manufacturing? China and the Future of Industry in Brazil and Latin America,” The China Quarterly, vol. 209 (2012): 59-81. PDF posted on blackboard April 17: Argentina---A Newfound Friend in China? Jorge Eduardo Malena, “China and Argentina: Beyond the Quest for Natural Resources,” in Hearn and Leon-Manriquez, eds. China Engages Latin America. PDF posted on blackboard Eduardo Daniel Oviedo, “Argentina Facing China: Modernization, Interests, and Economic Relations Model,” East Asia, vol. 30 (2013): 7-34. PDF posted on blackboard THE CHINESE CENTURY: ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS Week 15: Environment & Energy Issues April 22: Environment Elizabeth Economy, “The Great Leap Backward?” Foreign Affairs (September/October 2007). PDF posted on blackboard Doug Guthrie, China in the Global Economy (New York, NY: Routledge, 2012), pp. 157-176. PDF posted on blackboard April 24: Energy Wenran Jiang, “China and India Come to Latin America for Energy,” in Sidney Weintraub, ed., Energy Cooperation in the Western Hemisphere (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2007), pp. 476-494. PDF posted on blackboard Luisa Palacios, “Latin America as China’s Energy Supplier,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 170-192. Week 16: Wrapping Up April 29: Final Presentations May 1: Final Presentations Take-Home Final Exam Due on May 10 at 6:00 pm. Please submit through “turn-it-in” on Blackboard. 7