IMPLEMENTATION OF COUPLED SKIN TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS AND BIAS CORRECTION IN THE NASA/GMAO FINITE-VOLUME DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM (FVDAS) Jon D. Radakovich1, Michael G. Bosilovich2, Jiun-dar Chern3, Arlindo da Silva2, Ricardo Todling2, Joanna Joiner2, Man-li Wu2, and Peter Norris3 1 NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD 2 NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD 3 NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, GEST, Greenbelt, MD 1. INTRODUCTION Surface skin temperature is a critical state because it reflects the surface radiative properties and energy budget and can dictate convective initiation. In addition, a reliable skin temperature field from the operational GMAO fvDAS (Global Modeling and Assimilation Office finite-volume Data Assimilation System) is a key requirement from scientific instrument team users. However, generating an accurate skin temperature product is a difficult problem due to the sensitivity in the parameter to error and bias in clouds, radiation, soil moisture, and precipitation. In an effort to improve the skin temperature in the fvDAS we have employed a two-fold approach via the integration of the state-of-the-art NCAR Community Land Model (CLM) version 2.0 landsurface model (Dai et al. 2002; Zeng et al. 2002) into the assimilation system, and through skin temperature analysis and bias correction. Previously, the fvDAS performed an uncoupled skin temperature analysis and bias correction based on GMAO TOVS (TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder) skin temperature observations. In this study, a new method of coupled skin temperature analysis and bias correction (BC) has been developed so the bias correction term is passed directly to the land-surface model and considered a forcing term in the solution to the energy balance. 2. MODELS & ASSIMILATION SYSTEM 2.1 The Community Land Model (CLM2) The CLM2 provides a comprehensive physical representation of soil/snow hydrology and thermal dynamics and biogeophysics. The CLM2 was developed collaboratively by an open 1 Corresponding Author Address: Jon D. Radakovich, Science Applications International Corporation, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA GSFC Code 610.1, Greenbelt, MD 20771, jrad@gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov interagency/university group of scientists, and based on well-proven physical parameterizations and numerical schemes that combine the best features of three previous land surface models: Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS; Dickinson et al. 1993), the NCAR Land-surface Model (LSM; Bonan 1996), and the IAP94 snow model (Dai and Zeng 1996). The CLM2 is a one-dimensional point model that uses sub-grid scale tiles. The CLM2 has one vegetation layer with a photosynthesisconductance model to realistically depict evapotranspiration (Bonan 1996). There are 10uneven vertical soil layers with the bottom layer at 3.43-m and water, ice, and temperature states in each layer. The CLM2 features up to five snow layers depending on the snow depth with water flow, refreezing, compaction and aging allowed. In addition, the CLM2 utilizes two-stream canopy radiative transfer, the Bonan lake model (1996), topographic enhanced streamflow based on TOPMODEL (Beven and Kirkby 1979), and turbulence is considered above, within, and below the canopy. A number of experiments were executed in order to improve the representation of surface processes in the CLM2. Modifying the drag coefficient under the canopy allowed for a reduction of the warm and dry bias. Also, changes to the interception scheme and sub-surface runoff produced a more realistic interception loss ratio, and increased the canopy throughfall leading to more soil infiltration and resulting plant transpiration. 2.2 The NASA/NCAR fvGCM and the fvDAS The GMAO has collaborated with NCAR to produce the NASA/NCAR finite-volume Global Climate Model (fvGCM; Lin and Rood 2002), which is a unified climate, numerical weather prediction, and chemistry-transport model suitable for data assimilation, with the GMAO’s finitevolume dynamical core and NCAR’s suite of physical parameterizations The GMAO’s finite-volume dynamical core is capable of resolving atmospheric motions from meso- to planetary-scale with a terrain-following Lagrangian control-volume vertical coordinate system (Lin 1997; Lin and Rood 1999). The fvGCM dynamical core formulation includes a genuinely conservative Flux-Form SemiLagrangian (FFSL) transport algorithm (Lin and Rood 1996) with Gibbs oscillation-free monotonicity constraint on sub-grid distribution. There is a consistent and conservative transport of air mass and absolute vorticity, and subsequent superior transport of potential vorticity by the FFSL algorithm (Lin and Rood 1997). In turn, the mass, momentum, and total energy are conserved when mapping from the Lagrangian control-volume to the Eulerian fixed reference coordinate. The physical parameterizations of the fvGCM are based on NCAR Community Climate Model version 3.0 (CCM3) physics. The NCAR CCM3 parameterizations are a well-balanced set of processes with a long history of development and documentation (Kiehl et al. 1998). The moist physics package includes the Zhang and McFarlane (1995) deep convective scheme, which handles updrafts and downdrafts and operates in conjunction with the Hack (1994) mid- and shallow convection scheme. For the radiation package, the longwave radiative transfer is based on an absorptivity-emissivity formulation (Ramanathan and Downey 1986) and the shortwave radiative parameterization uses the -Eddington method (Briegleb 1992). The boundary-layer mixing/turbulence parameterization utilizes the “nonlocal” formulation from Holtslag and Boville (1993). In addition, the NCAR WACCM (Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model) gravity wave drag is used (Sassi et al. 2003). The scheme includes parameterizations for orographic gravity waves and a spectrum of traveling gravity waves. The fvDAS first utilizes a Statistical Quality Control (SQC) system to screen the observational data through checks against the background field prior to the assimilation. The fvDAS analysis is performed by the Physical-Space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS; Cohn et al. 1998). The PSAS algorithm obtains the best estimate of the state of the system by combining observations with the forecast model first guess. The analysis equation, which encapsulates the PSAS scheme, is wa w f K wo Hw f (1) where wa denotes the analyzed field, wf represents the model forecast first guess field, wo is the observational field, K is the weights of the analysis, and H is the interpolation operator which transforms model variables into observables. In the fvDAS framework, the grid space O – F (observed skin temperature minus the forecast first guess skin temperature) values are input to PSAS. The analysis increments (wa = K(wo – H wf)), are then produced directly on the model grid, thereby preserving the balance relationships implied by the error covariance formulations. 3. SKIN TEMPERATURE ASSIMILATION & BC In addition to producing analysis increments, the observations can be used to reduce the long-term bias of the model through bias correction. For the skin temperature bias correction, a variant of the Dee and da Silva (1998) bias correction scheme was implemented where, wa K wo Hw f b f (2) wa w f bk 1 wa (3) bk bk 1 wa (4) f f f bkf is the updated bias estimate, bk-1f is the bias estimate based on the previous analysis increment (wk-1a) and wa is the analysis increment at time tk. We found however that this scheme was inadequate if the bias correction term is only applied at the analysis times. Since the skin temperature has a small heat capacity, adjustments from the analysis increment and bias correction applied only at the analysis time can quickly dissipate. The bias generation mechanism associated with the surface skin temperature acts very rapidly. As a result, an incremental BC scheme was introduced, where a BC term is added to the surface energy balance at every timestep to counteract the subsequent forcing of the analyzed skin temperature back to the initial state. For this scheme, bf is computed as in (4) and the BC term is calculated as, fb bf . (5) where is the period between analysis times. The surface temperature is solved by iteration of the energy balance. Since the temperature increment is included in the iteration, all budget terms that are a function of surface temperature adjust to the presence and magnitude of the increment at every time step. The bias correction term was added to the energy balance for the canopy and for the top layer soil/snow surface, and then updated at the analysis times. Initial results indicated that it was necessary to include the heat capacity terms for the soil/snow and canopy in the bias estimation. In addition, there was a mapping of the grid-space bias term to the CLM2 tile space. The minimal variance formulation was used in order for the dominant tiles of the grid-cell to be more greatly influenced by the bias correction. The incremental bias correction (IBC) scheme effectively removed the time mean bias, but did not remove bias in the mean diurnal cycle. To account for this deficiency a diurnal bias correction (DBC) scheme was developed, where we modeled the time-dependent bias as, b f (t ) (a j cos j t b j sin j t ) , (6) j and estimated the Fourier coefficients. a j a j wa cos j t (7) b j b j wa sin j t . (8) We determined that at a minimum it is necessary to keep diurnal (1=2/24h) harmonics. 4. RESULTS The motivation for this study is demonstrated in Figure 1, which shows the surface skin temperature from an off-line landsurface model with coupled skin temperature assimilation and bias correction. The skin temperature from the experiment with assimilation only (blue line) reveals the rapid dissipation of the analysis increment after the analysis time due to the small heat capacity of the skin temperature. The skin temperature from the experiment with incremental bias correction (green line) shows the benefit of the inclusion of the bias term at every timestep, and so the experiment closely follows the observations (black line). Figure 1. One-day cycle of surface skin temperature from a point. Remotely sensed skin temperature (black), model simulation (red), model with assimilation only (blue) and model with assimilation and incremental bias correction (green). The coupled skin temperature technique was tested in the fvDAS CLM2 framework and run at 1 x 1.25 horizontal resolution with 55 vertical levels for May through September 2001. The July 2001 period will was the focus for this study. The atmospheric analysis is performed every 6 hours, while the surface temperature analysis is done every 3 hours. The surface temperature bias estimate is updated in step with the atmospheric bias correction at a 6-hour frequency. Several experiments were performed in order to evaluate the methodology. The 3-hourly surface skin temperature observations from ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project; Rossow and Schiffer, 1991) were used for the surface analysis and bias correction. The ISCCP skin temperature is much more dense than the GMAO TOVS so we hope to better simulate the diurnal cycle of the skin temperature. The experiments (Table 1) included a control (CTL) where an uncoupled analysis of ISCCP skin temperature was performed, Experiment One (EXP1; Equation 5), where there was an analysis of ISCCP skin temperature along with coupled incremental bias correction, and Experiment Two (EXP2; Equations 6-8), where there was an analysis based on ISCCP along with coupled diurnal bias correction. Figure 2 shows the July 2001 global monthly-mean standard deviations and biases between the experiments and the ISCCP observations for the analysis and the background. The standard deviations decrease gradually with each successive improvement to the methodology. The coupled bias correction results in a ~0.6 K reduction of the warm bias with respect to ISCCP, while nearly all of bias is eliminated in the analysis due to the bias correction. The impact of the DBC is most visible in the monthly-mean diurnal cycle, which will be discussed later. elimination of the spatial differences in EXP2 when compared EXP1. Analysis Table 1: Description of experiments. Experiment CTL EXP1 EXP2 Description fvDAS with uncoupled ISCCP analysis fvDAS with coupled ISCCP analysis and IBC fvDAS with coupled ISCCP analysis and DBC 3 2.5 Bias 2 (K) StdDev 1.5 1 Figure 3. July 2001 monthly-mean surface skin temperature differences (K) for the analysis (ANA) with the control (CTL) and experiment (EXP2) versus the ISCCP observations. 0.5 0 BKG-CTL BKG-EXP1 BKG-EXP2 ANA-CTL ANA-EXP1 ANA-EXP2 -0.5 Background Figure 2. July 2001 global monthly-mean surface skin temperature biases and standard deviations (K) between the experiments and ISCCP observations for the analysis (ANA) and background (BKG). The July 2001 monthly-mean skin temperature for the analysis and the background from the ISCCP coupled diurnal bias correction experiment (EXP2) was compared against the control run (Figures 3-4). The comparisons of the analysis (Figure 3) show that with assimilation and bias correction the skin temperature closely draws to the ISCCP observations. In addition, there is an impact in the background skin temperature (Figure 4) due to the coupled bias correction, which reduces the warm bias and the standard deviation with respect to ISCCP. However, the effect of the coupling is not robust enough to eliminate the inherent bias in the model. The improvement resulting from the coupled DBC (EXP2) compared to the IBC (EXP1) is revealed in Figures 5-6, which show the skin temperature differences for the analysis and the background against the ISCCP observations for the daytime component of the monthly-mean diurnal cycle. Notice the reduction in the standard deviation and the Figure 4. July 2001 monthly-mean surface skin temperature differences (K) for the background (BKG) with the control (CTL) and experiment (EXP2) versus the ISCCP observations. Analysis There was also an impact in other background diagnostic fields such as the 2m temperature and specific humidity, sensible and latent heat flux, sea-level pressure, winds, the soil moisture, and precipitation. In Figure 7, the warm colors represent improvement compared to the control in the EXP2 background monthly-mean 2m air temperature against observed station air temperature. There is an overall improvement globally in the 2m temperature due to the DBC, especially over eastern North American and Western Europe. This is a very positive result given that the station air temperature is a completely independent observation source and it shows the coupling has a beneficial influence in other fields. Figure 5. July 2001 surface skin temperature differences (K) for the analysis (ANA) with the control (CTL) and experiments (EXP1 & EXP2) versus the ISCCP observations for the daytime component of the monthly-mean diurnal cycle. Background Figure 6. July 2001 surface skin temperature differences (K) for the background (BKG) with the control (CTL) and experiments (EXP1 & EXP2) versus the ISCCP observations for the daytime component of the monthly-mean diurnal cycle. Figure 7. July 2001 improvement (red) in the background (BKG) monthly-mean 2 m air temperature (K) for the experiment (EXP2) versus control (CTL) against observed station air temperature. In addition, we have another independent validation source, which is the CEOP (Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period; Bosilovich and Lawford, 2002) in situ reference site dataset. As seen in Figure 8, the CEOP in situ data include stations at many different locations around the world representing varied climate regimes. Ultimately, CEOP will also include a range of operational analysis datasets that can be used to evaluate the surface energy balance with land data assimilation. The CEOP dataset allows for comparison of observed surface pressure, surface temperature, sensible and latent heat flux, winds, specific humidity, and the radiative fluxes. The July 2001 monthly-mean diurnal cycle of energy fluxes for the Rondonia CEOP in situ site were compared with the background from the EXP2 and CTL (Figure 9). The plot includes the net downward radiative flux (Rn), the sensible heat flux (Hs), the latent heat flux (LE), and the ground heat flux (Hg). The simulated sensible and latent heat flux improved due to the coupled diurnal bias correction in EXP2. The ground heat flux is the residual from the energy balance and the increase in EXP2 is caused by the contribution from the bias term. In Figure 10, the July 2001 monthlymean diurnal cycle of skin temperature and the 2 m temperature for the Rondonia site were compared with the background from the EXP2 and CTL. The diurnal bias correction causes a significant reduction in the daytime warm bias in the skin temperature and the 2 m temperature and more closely matches the CEOP observations. CTL EXP2 Figure 10. Monthly-mean diurnal cycle of the surface skin temperature (black) and 2 m temperature (red) for the Rondonia CEOP in situ site. 5. SUMMARY Figure 8. Station locations of the CEOP reference sites. CTL EXP2 Figure 9. Monthly-mean diurnal cycle of the energy fluxes (W/m2) for the Rondonia CEOP in situ site. Observations are the dotted lines and the plots include net radiation (black), sensible heat flux (red), latent heat flux (blue) and the ground heat flux (green). In this study, a new technique of coupled skin temperature analysis and bias correction was implemented in the GMAO fvDAS (Global Modeling and Assimilation Office finite-volume Data Assimilation System). The bias correction term is passed directly to the land-surface model and considered a forcing term in the solution to the energy balance. Both incremental and diurnal bias correction techniques were applied where the bias correction term is added to the surface energy balance at every timestep to counteract the subsequent forcing of the analyzed temperature back to the initial state. Experiments were conducted based on remotely-sensed skin temperature observations from ISCCP (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project; Rossow and Schiffer, 1991). Results have shown that there is an impact in the background skin temperature that reduces the bias compared to the ISCCP observations assimilated. 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