Document of The World Bank Report No: PROJECT BRIEF ON A PROPOSED CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR {AMT} MILLION – TO BE FIXED AT NEGOTIATIONS (USD 6.96 MILLION EQUIVALENT) AND A GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF USD 5.0 MILLION AND A PHRD GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF USD 2.7 MILLION TO THE AZERBAIJAN REPUBLIC FOR A RURAL ENVIRONMENT PROJECT January 7, 2005 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective January 7, 2005}) Currency Unit = Special Drawing Rights SDR 1 = US$1.52592 US$1 = SDR 0.655342 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AREP BTE CAS CBD CENN CEPF CIS DBCDSPNA EBRD ECA EIA EU FAO GEF GO GOA IUCN ME MENR METT NEAP NGO NP NSAPBC ONP ONPA OPN OSCE PA PAD PDO PHRD PIU RECC SCAWM Azerbaijan Rural Environment Project Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum Country Assistance Strategy Convention on Biological Diversity Caucasus Environmental NGO Network Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund Commonwealth of Independent States Department of Biodiversity Conservation and Development of Specially Protected Natural Areas (within the Ministry of Ecology) European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Europe and Central Asia Environmental Impact Assessment European Union Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Global Environment Facility Global Objective Government of Azerbaijan The World Conservation Union Municipal Enterprise Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool National Environmental Action Plan Non-governmental organization National Park National Strategy and Action Plan on Biodiversity Conservation Ordubad National Park Ordubad National Park Administration Operational Policy Note Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe Protected Area Project Appraisal Document Project Development Objective Japan Policy and Human Resources Development Fund Project Implementation Unit Environmental Centre for the Caucasus State Committee of Amelioration and Water Management SDNP SDNPA SDR SME SPPRED STAP UNDP USAID VC WWF Shah Dag National Park Shah Dag National Park Administration Special Drawing Rights Small and Medium Enterprises State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel United Nations Development Programme United States Agency for International Development Village Cluster World Wild Fund for Nature Vice President: Country Manager/Director: Sector Manager: Task Team Leader: Shigeo Katsu Donna Dowsett-Coirolo Juergen Voegele Agnes Kiss AZERBAIJAN Rural Environment Project CONTENTS Page A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE ................................................................. 1 1. Country and sector issues.................................................................................................... 1 2. Rationale for Bank involvement ......................................................................................... 6 3. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes .................................................... 7 B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION ................................................................................................. 7 1. Lending instrument ............................................................................................................. 7 2. Project development objective and key indicators.............................................................. 7 3. Project components ............................................................................................................. 8 4. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design .......................................................... 13 5. Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection ............................................................ 14 C. IMPLEMENTATION ........................................................................................................ 16 1. Partnership arrangements (if applicable) .......................................................................... 16 2. Institutional and implementation arrangements ................................................................ 18 3. Monitoring and evaluation of outcomes/results ................................................................ 20 4. Sustainability..................................................................................................................... 21 5. Critical risks and possible controversial aspects ............................................................... 21 6. Loan/credit conditions and covenants ............................................................................... 23 D. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ................................................................................................. 23 1. Economic and financial analyses ...................................................................................... 23 2. Technical ........................................................................................................................... 24 3. Fiduciary ........................................................................................................................... 26 4. Social................................................................................................................................. 26 5. Environment ...................................................................................................................... 27 6. Safeguard policies ............................................................................................................. 28 7. Policy Exceptions and Readiness...................................................................................... 29 Annex 1: Country and Sector or Program Background ......................................................... 30 Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies ................. 38 Annex 3: Results Framework and Monitoring ........................................................................ 39 Annex 4: Detailed Project Description ...................................................................................... 45 Annex 5: Project Costs ............................................................................................................... 51 Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements ................................................................................. 52 Annex 7: Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements ..................................... 60 Annex 8: Procurement ................................................................................................................ 61 Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis ............................................................................. 65 Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues ............................................................................................ 66 Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision ..................................................................... 67 Annex 12: Documents in the Project File ................................................................................. 68 Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits .............................................................................. 69 Annex 14: Country at a Glance ................................................................................................. 70 Annex 15: Incremental Cost Analysis ....................................................................................... 71 Annex 16: STAP Review and World Bank Response .............................................................. 78 A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE 1. Country and sector issues Azerbaijan is a mountainous country of 86,600 km2 and a population of about 8 million people. It lies on the western coast of the Caspian Sea among the mountain ranges of the Greater and Lesser Caucasus and the Talish mountains. Mountains cover about 44% of the territory, and forests cover about 11%. Azerbaijan’s economy declined significantly following independence in 1991, slipping to one of 7 lowest income countries in the ECA Region. Over the past five years there has been progress in many areas, and Azerbaijan is moving towards middle income status as benefits from increasing oil development start to flow. But the country faces continuing problems of regional income disparities. In the mountain areas targeted by this project, most people fall under the poverty line of US$ 24 per month (average income is $16 per month in villages above 2000 meters). In the past, about 80% of rural households, including most households in the project areas, were connected to the gas and electricity network and enjoyed a reliable and highly subsidized energy supply. Supplies are now erratic and expensive, and the households have largely turned to fuel wood for their energy needs. Prior to 1991, Azerbaijan also relied on cheap wood imports from Russia, but today wood supplies come exclusively from State forests, resulting in rapidly increasing deforestation. Demand for wood fuel exceeds sustainable annual fuel wood yields by up to a factor of ten in some areas. Azerbaijan is facing many of the same challenges as other CIS transition economies, including a daunting agenda of policy and institutional reforms needed to redefine the role of the state and create essential underpinnings of a market economy. One of the six strategic pillars of the State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development (SPPRED) is an enabling environment for income-generating opportunities. ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT AND NATURE PROTECTION Environmental management is recognized as an important right and obligation in the Constitution of the Azerbaijan Republic (1995). In addition to guaranteeing environmental safety and ecological balance and calling for participation of the general public and civic organizations in environmental protection, it identifies biological diversity as a basic environmental principle. The Law on Specially Protected Natural Areas and Objects (2000) provides for the protection and preservation of natural areas, both for the protection of biological variety and ecology and to provide for tourism and recreation. The law includes provisions for taking into consideration social and economic factors and interests of local people, and for participation of the population and social organizations in preserving Protected Areas (PAs). The Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR) was created in 2001 to integrate all aspects of environmental protection and management, including environmental assessment and monitoring (including reporting on the state of the environment), management of forests and wildlife resources, and of specially protected natural areas1. 1 There is an independent Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, with similar responsibilities 1 The National Environmental Action Plan (NEAP), completed in 1998, identifies priorities relating to reducing pollution damage from oil extraction and industry; halting the decline of sturgeon populations and water quality in the Caspian Sea; protecting biodiversity and improving the management of forests, pastures and agricultural lands; preserving cultural heritage; addressing ecological problems with regional or global impacts; and improving the institutional and policy framework for environmental management. The NEAP also identifies specific biodiversity conservation priorities, including strengthening of the PA network through: (i) the adoption of national parks as instruments for the sustainable use of biodiversity, to complement the existing protected area network which emphasizes strict nature reserves; (ii) creation of new protected areas, and (iii) the implementation of pilot projects in sustainable uses of biodiversity which address rural poverty as a root cause of biodiversity degradation and loss. The National Strategy and Action Plan on Biodiversity Conservation (NSAPBS), currently under preparation2, is built upon two main pillars: (i) preservation, improvement and rehabilitation of key ecosystems and natural habitats by enhancing and efficient management of protected areas; and (ii) optimal utilization of the country’s economic and social potential at the national and regional level, including sustainable usage of the biological diversity of Azerbaijan. Currently PAs cover approximately 7% of the country3, but most are small and fragmented, and the overall network is incomplete in terms of ecosystem coverage. The Government of Azerbaijan (GOA) signed the Convention on Biological Diversity in 2001, and has made a major commitment to protecting biodiversity, including maintaining and substantially expanding the nation’s PA system to increase coverage of under-represented ecosystems. By 2010 the PA system is to be expanded from about 7% to about 10% of the national territory. Creation of the Shah Dag National Park (SDNP) and expansion of the Ordubad National Park (ONP) are among the highest priorities. Management of existing PAs remains inadequate, due to factors such as institutional weakness and inadequate human and financial resources, and poverty and pressure for economic development in rural areas. Furthermore, the prevailing model for PAs in Azerbaijan, as in much of the CIS, is based on centrally controlled, Strict Nature Reserves (Zapovedniks) 4. In accordance with the NEAP and NSAPBC, the GOA has begun to diversify the national PA system, created the country’s first four National Parks in 2003-20045. National Parks have the status of PAs6 but, unlike Strict Nature Reserves, allow for zones of limited economic activity (primarily tourism). The multi-purpose, multi-stakeholder approach proposed for the SDNP represents an important further step in pioneering a more inclusive approach, with benefits to local communities. 2 Preparation begun in 2003, by the State Committee for Ecology, in cooperation with stakeholders inside and outside Government (funding and Technical Assistance from GEF/UNDP) 3 Comprised of 38 PAs: 14 Strict Nature Reserves, 20 sanctuaries, 4 national parks 4 The other main category of PA under the Soviet system, Wildlife Sanctuaries (Zakazniks), are primarily for control of hunting and are generally not managed as actual PAs 5 Ordubad, Shirvan, Ag-Gel and Absheron NPs 6 Nature Protection Institution and Research Institution under the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources 2 NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT Forests: Almost all natural forest in Azerbaijan belongs to the State and is designated as Forest Fund land. During the Soviet era, forest inventory and planning were centralized in Moscow and in the Caucasian Forest Stocks Projection Institute in Georgia, leaving little forest management capacity in Azerbaijan after independence. The Forestry Development Department and its Forest Protection and Rehabilitation Units (MENR) were established in 2002, but their staff lack training and experience. Since 2003, all forest cutting, for either commercial or sanitary purposes have been suspended by the MENR, and officially only forest residues are collected and sold. However, it is generally recognized that large quantities of standing trees continue to be cut illegally. Over the past ten years, forest coverage in Azerbaijan has been reduced from about 14% to 11% of the land area. A National Programme on the Rehabilitation and Extension of Forests (established by Presidential Decree in December, 2001) aims to restore 20,000 ha of existing forest and plant some 43,000 ha of new forest, but due to insufficient funding, only about 3,000 ha of planting were completed in 2003. Meadows/Grasslands/Pastures: All high elevation summer pastures and a large proportion of mid-elevation winter pastures belong to the State. Some small pasture areas and hayfields belong to, or are under the management of, local municipalities. Municipal pastures are free for use, while grazing rights on State pastures are leased by the State Land Committee, together with Rayon Executive Authorities, to individuals or companies on the basis of grazing permits, usually with a duration of 10-15 years. While grazing rights are in principle allotted on the basis of numbers of animals, there are no specific legal provisions in the grazing contracts, and no monitoring on the part of authorities, to ensure that the official stocking rates are followed. In the SDNP area, it is estimated that the actual stocking rates are as much as five times higher than the official norm (totaling 2.5 million animals, as opposed to 500,000). Water: Azerbaijan has a serious problem of water deficit and poor water quality. Most agriculture is dependent on irrigation and is therefore largely limited to the more fertile lowland areas. Rivers carry heavy sediment loads due to soil erosion from overgrazing and deforestation. The Water Code (1997) encompasses principles of economic development and environmental protection and calls for water management to be based on river basins, but in practice water management is based on administrative units with little coordination within river basins. Both the State Committee of Amelioration and Water Management (SCAWM) and the MENR have responsibility for aspects of water management, with some overlap and conflict in their mandates. In practice, the SCAWM focuses mainly on irrigation, including improvement of irrigated land, and MENR maintains a system of monitoring water levels and quality. Fees for water abstraction have not kept up with inflation, and water payment systems are generally not based on actual water use. Thus there is little incentive for downstream users (such as lowland farmers and urban populations) to use water efficiently or to support watershed protection. GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY SIGNIFICANCE Azerbaijan lies at the convergence of three biogeographic regions (Europe, Central Asia and Asia Minor), resulting in high biodiversity. The Caucasus mountains have been identified by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) as a Global 200 Ecoregion, and by Conservation 3 International as one of the world’s 25 biodiversity “hotspots” (the only one in the ECA region) 7. The Caucasus “hotspot,” which spans six countries, has one of the highest levels of endemism in the temperate world, and is believed to contain more than twice the animal diversity found in adjacent regions of Europe and Asia. It has been named a large herbivore hotspot by WWF's Large Herbivore Initiative, as eleven species of large herbivores, as well as five large carnivores, are found over a relatively small area. The flora is particularly rich in endemic and relict plants that escaped a series of glaciations in sheltered pockets. It includes over 7,000 plant species, of which 4500 can be found in Azerbaijan (along with 600 species of vertebrates and at least 14,000 species of insects). Seven percent (270) of Azerbaijan’s plant species are endemic to the country. Almost half of the forest in Azerbaijan is found in the Greater and Lesser Caucasus regions. The vegetation of the Caucasus also represents one of the richest gene banks of plant species useful for agriculture and medicine. A recently completed ecosystem profile and five year investment strategy for the Caucasus eco-region8 identified 10 corridors that encompass the vast majority of conservation targets, including protection of most of the 51 globally threatened species. Five of these corridors were identified as top priority for conservation action, including the Greater Caucasus (which encompasses the proposed SDNP) and the East Lesser Caucasus (encompassing the ONP). Both the SDNP and ONP include elements of important transboundary migratory corridors. In addition to their significance as global, regional and national biodiversity assets, both the SDNP and ONP represent important economic assets, due to their rich natural resources and tourism potential. The proposed expanded ONP contains a large proportion of all high elevation pasture in the Nakchchivan Autonomous Republic. Shah Dag is Azerbaijan’s second highest mountain and serves as a watershed which provides much of the water for Baku and the Absheron Peninsula, which is home to nearly 30% of the country’s population. THREATS TO BIODIVERSITY The Caucasus ecosystem profile identified deforestation, overgrazing and hunting as the three greatest direct threats to biodiversity9. The end of importation of wood from Russia and elsewhere in the USSR, the collapse of natural gas supply systems and the presence of large numbers of internally displaced people from the war with Armenia all contribute to rapid ongoing deforestation in the project areas. Forest edges are also being pushed back (to higher elevations) as a result of grazing pressure. Overgrazing of pastures has become a serious threat in the project areas since the late 1980’s, as more people took up shepherding or increased their herds in response to growing unemployment and declining economic opportunities in other sectors. There is clear evidence of overgrazing at all altitudinal levels (montane, sub-alpine and alpine), with a visible trend of replacement of the original grassland species by unpalatable or grazing-resistant species such as sedges, flatweeds, and mat-grass. In sub-alpine meadows, which serve as summer pastures 7 The Caucasus hotspot spans 500,000 km2 of mountains between the Black Sea and Caspian Sea, including parts of Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and small parts of Russia, Iran and Turkey. 8 By the Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund -- a joint initiative of Conservation International (CI), the Global Environment Facility (GEF), the Government of Japan, the MacArthur Foundation and the World Bank 9 Poverty and political insecurity were identified as important underlying causes 4 overgrazing and associated disturbance is contributing to declines in wild goats and chamois. In the lowland grasslands, where the same sheep herds go for winter pasture, severe overgrazing is significantly impacting the endemic flora and fauna of steppe ecosystems. Competition for grazing has contributed to the decline of Persian gazelle and, indirectly, striped hyena. Traditionally, sheep were grazed in alpine meadows, with subalpine meadows reserved for fodder production and used during the winter months. However, traditional grazing areas in the north Caucasus (Dagestan, Georgia) are no longer accessible, and livestock is kept nearer to villages all year round, resulting in overgrazing of subalpine meadows as well as degradation of fragile subalpine woodland ecosystems. There is evidence of significant declines in populations of large mammals, particularly ungulates and predators such as wolf, lynx and brown bear. While there is little by way of concrete data, it is believed that illegal hunting has a significant impact, along with habitat loss and competition with domestic livestock. RELATION TO GEF OPERATIONAL PROGRAMS Biodiversity conservation is the key focal area for the project. The project addresses GEF strategic priorities for biodiversity conservation through: (i) catalyzing sustainability of protected areas, (ii) mainstreaming biodiversity in production landscapes and sectors, and (iii) generating and disseminating best practices for addressing current and emerging biodiversity issues. Project activities will directly support innovative practical approaches called for by the 7th Conference of the Parties (COP-7) of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) in its Decisions VII/1 “Forest Biological Diversity”, VII/11 “Ecosystem Approach”, and VII/28 “Protected Areas”. The project follows the GEF Strategic Guidelines and incorporates elements of several GEF Operational Programs: No. 3 (Forest Ecosystems): by supporting in-situ protection of ecologically mature temperate forest ecosystems under threat, and combining strict protection and multiple use to achieve sustainable forest management. Among other things, it will support the first comprehensive forest inventory and status assessment since 1984, making it possible to make sound management decisions. No. 4 (Mountain Ecosystems): by supporting in-situ conservation and sustainable use of biological resources, expanding and improving connectivity of the protected area system in the Greater and Lesser Caucasus mountains, and combining productive, socioeconomic and conservation goals. No. 12 (Integrated Ecosystem Management): by emphasizing the creation of an enabling environment for biodiversity conservation, forest and rangeland management, the strengthening of institutional capacities at local, regional and national levels as well as investments in sustainable natural resource management. 5 The GEF grant would finance costs of activities required to achieve global conservation benefits, which would be incremental to the baseline national program undertaken by the Government with support from the World Bank IDA credit and the PHRD grant (see Annex 15 - Incremental Cost Analysis). 2. Rationale for Bank involvement The proposed Azerbaijan Rural Environment Project (AREP) supports the Country Assistance Strategy for Azerbaijan (CAS)10, which stresses the need to generate jobs and nonoil-based economic growth by improving the business environment, particularly in smaller urban and rural areas. The Bank’s support for rural development in Azerbaijan has largely focused on irrigated, arable land in low elevation areas, rather than the mountains. The AREP targets rural mountain areas, which are among the poorest in the country. While commercial agriculture and related activities represent a logical development target in low elevation areas, the prospects and comparative advantage of mountain areas lie in their natural resource assets. The SPPRED highlights the importance of environmental management: in a recent Bank review of integration of environment in Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers, Azerbaijan was ranked 5th out of 53 countries worldwide11. The IDA strategy identified in the CAS includes support (together with GEF) for an environmental project to support participatory approaches to sustainable forest, pasture and protected area (PA) management, and for promoting sub-regional cooperation in the globally significant ecosystems of the Caucasus mountains. The AREP will support these CAS goals by enabling rural communities in the project areas to participate in the management of PAs, to adopt more profitable and environmentally sustainable livestock production systems, to restore and manage forest areas for a more sustainable wood supply, and to stimulate the development of income-earning activities relating to natural resource use. In keeping with the NEAP, the Bank’s strategy for assistance to Azerbaijan in the environment sector has two main pillars: (i) managing environmental challenges connected with development of the oil industry and broader economic development especially in coastal areas; and (ii) addressing sustainable natural resource management within the context of rural development and conservation of Azerbaijan’s key ecosystems. The Azerbaijan Urgent Environmental Investment Project (AUEIP) and the regional Caspian Environment Program have focused on the first aspect. The AREP would be the first Bank-financed operation to support the NEAP objectives of improved pasture and forest management and biodiversity conservation. It offers the opportunity to bring to Azerbaijan a considerable body of knowledge and experience from similar initiatives across the ECA region and elsewhere. The AREP provides for continuity in the Bank’s support for improving the policy and institutional framework for environmental management. The AUEIP supported the creation of MENR and built its capacity in relation to Environmental Impact Assessment, remediation and monitoring of oil pollution and hazardous wastes, and fisheries. The AREP will help MENR develop essential capacity for forest and pasture management and enable it to expand the 10 FY03-05 CAS, April, 2003 Bojo et al., 2004. Environment in Poverty Reduction Strategies and Poverty Reduction Support Credits. Environment Department Papers No. 102, The World Bank. 11 6 national PA system more effectively, thus meeting international commitments. Equally important, the multi-stakeholder, landscape management approach will provide the opportunity for the MENR to exercise its intended role as an integrator and coordinator of diverse sectoral and local interests in support of environmentally sustainable development. While there is considerable interest on the part of Government and within the donor community to develop rural tourism in Azerbaijan, and particularly in mountain areas that form part of a Caucasus region destination, existing programs are small (less than $1 million) and focus mainly on national policy and strategy, awareness raising, training, information and capacity building. For successful tourism development, this must be complimented by on-theground investment in park management and key infrastructure, which represents a substantial part of the proposed AREP. 3. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes The project will contribute to the restoration, protection and management of globally significant mountain forest and alpine meadow ecosystems, including a number of endemic and endangered species and transboundary migrants. The creation of the SDNP will greatly increase the area of the globally recognized (“hotspot”) Caucasus eco-region under protection. By pioneering a new model of PA in Azerbaijan, it will help shift biodiversity and protected area policies and practices away from the highly centralized and exclusive model inherited from the Soviet era, towards a more modern, inclusive approach that combines biodiversity and ecosystem protection with providing economic and other benefits to local communities. The project will also introduce active management of pastures for the first time, and support the development of a participatory approach to natural resource management overall. Equally importantly, the project will contribute to lasting poverty alleviation in some of the poorest areas of Azerbaijan, by introducing and catalyzing the adoption of more modern, sustainable, and value-added approaches to natural resource use and agricultural production and diversification of economic activities, including development of rural/eco-tourism. B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION 1. Lending instrument Specific Investment Loan, GEF grant, PHRD grant 2. Project development objective and key indicators 2a. Project Development Objective (PDO): The PDO is to introduce improved natural resource management and related economic activities in two mountainous areas of Azerbaijan, in order to enhance the ecological quality and the sustainable productivity of high elevation forests and pastures. 7 2b: Global Objective (GO): The GO is to protect biodiversity in two globally significant biodiversity areas within the Caucasus and Zangezur mountains, and introduce and pilot an inclusive model of Protected Area management in Azerbaijan. Key indicators for the PDO and GO are: Establishment of SDNP (343,000 ha), and enlargement of ONP (from 12,200 to 137,000 ha), as multi-purpose national parks with suitable institutional structures and management systems in place12; Development and initial implementation of zoning and management plans for SDNP and ONP, following a participatory process, with an associated increase in both strictly protected areas and areas under improved ecological management13; Implementation of pilot community-based forest restoration and management activities on unforested and highly degraded lands (covering 300 ha by midterm, and 1,000 ha by end of project); Adoption of more modern, productive and sustainable livestock husbandry practices by at least 20% of households in (55) participating villages; 150 or more environmentally friendly, financially sound, small/medium enterprises identified, initiated and publicized (all or most receiving small grants from the project as part of their overall financing package); Midterm and end-of-project surveys indicate significantly increased awareness and understanding of, and support for, multi-purpose national parks (and more broadly, for environmentally sustainable development and natural resource management) within the project areas. 3. Project components OVERVIEW The project will support the restoration, protection and improved management of economically and biologically important forest and pasture land, much of which is currently poorly managed and heavily degraded. The main instrument for achieving this will be the establishment of the two large NPs, bringing the areas under the jurisdiction of MENR and providing a vehicle for developing and implementing ecosystem scale management plans. The multiple-use PA model will allow existing residents of the park areas to remain in place, retain ownership of their land, and to engage in environmentally sustainable agriculture and other activities, based on jointly developed zoning and management plans. At the same time, the project aims to promote the development of more sustainable livelihoods and economic activities 12 Including core conservation areas totaling ca. 57,500 ha in SDNP; ca. 21,500 has in ONP 13 Specific end-of-project targets include: in SDNP: strictly protected forest area to increase from 12,800 ha to about 40,000 has and strictly protected high elevation meadow/summer pasture area from 8,200 ha to about 20,000 has, restoration and/or improved management of 50,000 ha. of forest and 20,000 ha of high elevation summer pasture; in ONP: improved protection for 1,155 ha of forest and 12,200 has of high elevation summer pasture within existing conservation areas, improved grazing management in about 26,000 has of summer pasture, and delineation and protection of important wildlife migratory corridors in lower elevation areas. 8 in the project areas. In the short term the focus is on reducing pressure on natural resources and ecosystems and mitigating potential negative socio-economic impacts of increased restrictions on forest and pasture use, by helping assisting local communities to develop alternatives and to improve the productivity and sustainability of their traditional economic activities, particularly livestock husbandry. The longer term objective is to promote a diversification of local economies, making them less dependent on mass consumption of natural resources. Tourism represents one of the few sectors in which biodiversity-rich areas, including mountains, have a comparative advantage, and there is growing interest in and support for transboundary tourism in the Caucasus ecoregion. While tourism prospects for ONP are limited at this time14, there is already a modest tourism industry in the SDNP area. If properly directed and supported, this could grow over time into a significant contributor to local economies and a source of sustainable financing for the park. Therefore, developing park infrastructure and management capacity for ecotourism, and assisting local communities to develop tourism-related economic activities, are also important project objectives. COMPONENT 1. National Parks Establishment and Management (US$ 8.72 million): This component will support the legal establishment (Shah Dag) and expansion (Ordubad) of the two national parks, creation and strengthening of modern park management institutions and systems, and the development and implementation of management plans. The multiple-use model will be implemented by establishing different management zones within the parks, including: core conservation zones, restoration zones, sustainable natural resource management zones, tourism development zones, and residential and economic development zones. The total area of the SDNP will be about 343,000 ha, and the ONP will be enlarged from 12,200 to 137,000 ha15. About 50,000 ha of forest and 40,000 ha of pasture (mainly alpine and sub-alpine meadow) are expected to be included within core conservation zones of the two NPs, compared with 36,400 ha currently within Strict Nature Reserves (Zapovedniks) in the project areas. Almost all of State Forest land is expected to fall within core conservation or restoration zones. The majority of land in both areas is grassland and meadow habitat, currently heavily used for grazing (low and mid-elevation pastures in winter, high elevation pastures in summer). Livestock density is far in excess of the sustainable carrying capacity (in some areas, up to five times higher). However, their numbers cannot be drastically reduced in the short term, because of lack of management and enforcement capacity and also because it would have unacceptable impacts on local livelihoods. The project will focus on beginning a transition towards sustainable use by restoring and introducing management in about 15-20% of the total pasture area, identified as highest priority on the basis of biodiversity value and ecological functions such as erosion control. These grazing restrictions will be implemented in parallel with measures to compensate for their economic impacts (e.g. increased fodder production, developing alternative sources of income). 14 Due issues of access and security In addition to the existing ONP, this will encompass the existing Ordubad Natural Reserve ((27,869 ha) and Shakhbuz Strict Nature Reserve (3,300 ha) 15 9 The proposed SDNP area contains State, municipal (Balladiya16) and privately owned land, and the intention is that the current owners will retain ownership rights, subject to the park’s restrictions and regulations17. Residents of sixteen Districts (Rayons) hold grazing rights within the area, and a number of central government Ministries and agencies also have mandates and programs within the area. The project will provide technical and financial support to establish an institutional structure that provides for the effective participation and coordination of all these stakeholders. The expanded ONP will include only a few villages and therefore will not need a similar institutional structure. The project will support measures to modernize and improve park management capacity and increase participation of stakeholders in both parks. Specific activities to be financed under this component include: delineation and demarcation of park boundaries; technical assistance and training for institutional capacity building; forest and pasture inventories, preparation of zoning and management plans and annual operating plans; implementation of management plans, including rehabilitation and limited construction of critical infrastructure needed for park management and supporting activities (e.g. tourism) and essential equipment; establishment and implementation of an ecological monitoring system; and operating costs (with GEF covering incremental costs associated with the creation and testing of new institutional structures and addressing new mandates, such as building partnerships with local communities and other stakeholders). The component will be implemented by the Ministry of Ecology, Department of Biodiversity Conservation and Development of Specially Protected Natural Areas (DBCDSPNA), with support and assistance from the Project Implementation Unit (PIU). The component will be financed by GEF ($2.11 million), IDA ($3.65 m), PHRD ($1.70 m) and GOA ($1.27 m). COMPONENT 2. Community-level investment in sustainable agriculture and natural resource management (US$ 4.21 million): This component will assist communities living inside or immediately adjacent to the two national parks to shift their traditional agricultural and natural resource use practices towards more modern and efficient approaches that place less pressure on natural resources and natural ecosystems. The main focus is on livestock husbandry, which is the economic mainstay of local communities, and also one of the greatest threats to the area’s biodiversity and ecological systems, particularly in the vulnerable high elevation summer pastures. In particular, the aim is to promote dairy cattle, which are typically kept close to home and also offer the greatest potential for a return on investment. Assistance will also be provided for restoring and improving the management of badly degraded municipal pastures close to villages. Communities will develop village investment plans, drawing upon a menu of options (fodder seeds, fertilizers, agricultural equipment, small scale irrigation, milk collection and storage facilities, artificial insemination services, fencing material for pasture management, etc.). In addition to fodder production, access to agricultural machinery and irrigation will help villagers to increase production of potatoes and other marketable crops. Under Azerbaijan law, Municipalities (Balladiyas) are not government structures but are recognized as” nongovernmental systems of organization of citizens’ activity” legally empowered to settle issues of local importance. They are legal entities and can own land and property and hold bank accounts. 17 Under the principle of “servitude” under Azerbaijan law 16 10 Local demand for wood in the SDNP area is estimated to be as much as 20 times the sustainable off-take level18, with the gap being met through illegal, unsustainable cutting. The project will support community-based reforestation and management of currently treeless or badly degraded municipal and State forest lands as an alternative source of wood, and will support demonstrations of the benefits of more efficient heating stoves and development and promotion of alternative sources of energy. The project will target 55 villages, representing about half of the total population in the two parks19. The villages and VCs will be selected on the basis of criteria, including their dependence on the natural resources of the park areas (and consequently the threat they currently represent to the park and their potential to be negatively affected by access restrictions imposed by park management); their interest in participating and willingness to organize themselves and to contribute time and labor; the amount of cultivatable land potentially available for forage production, etc.. Specific activities to be financed under this component include: technical assistance, small scale works (ponds and pipelines for irrigation; facilities for the MEs); goods and equipment for the village investments and services; and operating costs for the Municipal Enterprises that will implement Component 2 activities. This component will be financed by GEF ($1l19 m), IDA ($2.29 m), PHRD ($ 0.46 m), and Government ($ 0.48 m). COMPONENT 3: Rural Enterprise Development (US$ 1.96 million) In the past there were some medium-sized factories and workshops for carpet-making, leather work and other handicrafts, juice-processing, etc. in the project areas, but these activities have virtually disappeared since independence. Tourism is also very limited, with few modern accommodations and services (mainly owned by people from outside the area). Component 3 aims to stimulate economic diversification in the areas by assisting local entrepreneurs to obtain the technical and business information and advice and the financing they need to start or expand small and medium commercial enterprises. The information and advice will be provided by small mobile business advisory teams funded by the project that will assist interested clients to identify and assess the viability of commercial ventures, prepare business plans and obtain financing. These teams will also help PIU and Government to identify and alleviate policy, regulatory and other types of constraints to SME development. The project will provide matching grants of about $2000-$10,000, based on an independent evaluation of the business plans. When the business plans call for a larger amount or longer term financing, the advisors will help the prospective entrepreneurs apply for loans from existing banks or other credit institutions. For both the technical assistance and matching grants, priority will be given to activities that are linked to national park objectives, including tourism-related enterprises, alternative energy and energy efficiency, and value-added processing of sustainably harvested (non-threatened) natural products such as fruits and nuts. Enterprises that support Component 2 objectives (e.g. processing of dairy products) will also be particularly 18 100,000 m3 per year, compared with 5,000 m3 per year. Including 67% of the population inside the SDNP, and 29% of the population of villages inside or close to the boundaries of the ONP, as expansion of the ONP will have comparatively little impact on these villages 19 11 encouraged. Proposals from the poorest villages, or with a strong public goods element, will receive a higher proportion of grant financing, up to 100% in some cases. Given the time and resources available, the objective is not to achieve a large scale transformation of local economies, but to catalyze a shift by stimulating interest, demonstrating and testing different types of business opportunities, building local understanding and capacity for business planning and development, and creating an environment that will encourage other SME programs and micro-credit institutions to increase their presence in the project areas. This component will be financed by IDA ($0.65 million), GEF (0.63 million), PHRD ($0.53 million) and Government (0.15 million). COMPONENT 4: Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation, and Communications (US$ 1.78 million) This component will support overall project management and administration, including the staffing and operating costs of a central Project Implementation Unit and three “branch” PIUs (two in Shah Dag area, one in Ordubad area). The branch offices are needed because of the size, remoteness, difficulty of access and poor communications infrastructure of the project areas. The PIU will be responsible for procurement, financial management and general administration, including facilitating inter-Ministerial and inter-agency coordination, and for developing and implementing a Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) system addressing both project operations and impacts, and be responsible for progress reporting. For Component 1, the M&E system will make use of the GEF/WWF Alliance PA Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool (METT). The PIU will also coordinate several cross-cutting activities, including the development and implementation of a communications plan (in collaboration with local authorities and NGOs) to increase awareness and knowledge of the project and its objectives and activities at all levels; detailed socio-economic studies to improve targeting of project benefits; and facilitating the development of a cross-sectoral, multi-stakeholder tourism development plan for the greater Shah Dag area. This component will be financed by GEF ($1.07 m), IDA ($0.37 m), and Government ($0.32 m). 12 Project Costs Indicative % of Cost Total (US$'000) PHRD % of Bank % of GEF % of Financing PHRD GOA % of Financing Bank Financing GEF (US$'000) Financing Financing GOA (US$'000) Financing (US$'000) Financing (US$'000) Financing Component National Park 1 establishment and management Community-level investment in 2 agriculture and NR management 3 Small enterprise development Project management, monitoring and 4 evaluation, and communication Total Project Costs Notes: $8.72 51.7% $3.65 52.4% $2.11 42.2% $1.70 63.0% $1.27 57.2% $4.42 26.2% $2.29 32.9% $1.19 23.8% $0.46 17.0% $0.48 21.6% $1.96 11.6% $0.65 9.3% $0.63 12.6% $0.53 19.6% $0.15 6.8% $1.78 10.5% $0.37 5.3% $1.07 21.4% $0.0 0.0% $0.32 14.4% $16.88 100% $6.96 100% $5.00 100% $2.70 100% $2.22 100% Differences due to rounding. 4. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design Based on experience with similar projects in the Europe/Central Asia Region and elsewhere, the following lessons have been incorporated into the project design: Project design should be focused, limited in terms of geographic area and types of activities; new approaches should be piloted before mainstreaming them at national level; Be realistic about what can be achieved within the available time frame and the capacity of implementing agencies, particularly when the project involves introduction of new ideas, approaches and skills, establishment of new institutional structures (or substantial strengthening of very weak ones) or revision of legal framework, and community mobilization and participation; Set specific and realistic objectives and interim targets, which can be used to evaluate progress and re-orient components or implementation approaches if needed; Recognize that pilots and demonstrations of new approaches and technologies can carry high transaction costs; For effective protection and sustainable management of biodiversity and natural systems, follow a strategy of combining enforcement and incentives (either by itself is unlikely to be effective); Phase in restrictions on natural resource use and access, based on institutional capacity to make, implement and enforce plans and regulations, and on the ability to provide realistic alternatives and compensation to local communities for short-term economic losses; 13 Involve key stakeholders early in the project design and in the preparation phase to ensure ownership and to ensure that the design and specific investments make sense in the country and local contexts; Combine financial assistance for SME start-ups/expansion with professional business advice (for market analysis, business planning, evaluation of technologies, etc.) and, to the extent possible, address constraints in the overall environment for business (tax and other policies, regulatory processes, infrastructure, etc.); These lessons are reflected in the project design. For example, the project will focus on the Shah Dag and Ordubad areas, rather than addressing the overall PA system. The objective is to test and demonstrate a multi-purpose, inclusive, landscape approach to PA management in these areas, which can then be applied in other areas. Considerable effort has been made to involve local stakeholders in the preparation phase, for example through the establishment of local project offices. Communities will be invited and assisted to participate in park management (e.g. through the Advisory Committee and the park management planning process), and will also have clear incentives to do so. A substantial communications/outreach program will ensure that local residents understand the objectives of the project, its implications and the opportunities it will provide. Component 2 is strongly focused on livestock improvement and related economic activities (the main livelihood of local communities currently and for the foreseeable future), rather than supporting a broad menu of potential local development objectives. Implementation targets (e.g. total areas for introduction of pasture management and afforestation; numbers of participating villages in Component 2, numbers of SMEs to be initiated) are purposely modest, based on a realistic implementation schedule that allows adequate time for recruiting key personnel and procuring required works and goods; carrying out community mobilization, awareness-raising and participatory planning activities; building institutional capacity; developing business plans; etc. The project includes a substantial investment in Technical Assistance (TA), to compensate a severe shortage of existing services in the project areas and to ensure that community-level and individual enterprises are well designed and likely to succeed. However, the TA is primarily local, and capacity building and in-service will be a major element of the consultants’ responsibilities. Experience from the Rural Investment Project (AzRIP), among others, indicated the importance of identifying institutional mechanisms for implementing community-level investment activities under Component 2. Following the dissolution of Soviet-style collectives after independence, there has been little organization of local community institutions other than the quazi-governmental Municipalities. While Azerbaijan legislation allows for formation of NGOs and community groups, the process can be very cumbersome and time-consuming, particularly for groups based outside Baku. Based on consultations with stakeholders and legal specialists, Municipal Enterprises were selected as the most appropriate vehicle, as they are already familiar to most people, are relatively easy to create, and their assets belong to the municipality, which is a well-established elected body representing the entire community. 5. Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection The project will introduce and implement the concepts of a multi-purpose national park and an ecosystem approach to biodiversity conservation in two priority mountainous areas. An 14 initial proposal for a broader project to create a coordinated national Protected Areas (PA) system was rejected, in view of weak institutional capacity and the need to pilot new approaches before embarking on a more ambitious expansion program. In both the Shah Dag and Ordubad areas, the highest priority biodiversity conservation sites (e.g. alpine meadows) are dispersed across large areas. The main alternatives for protecting these sites were: (i) establishing a network of relatively small, disconnected PAs; (ii) creating large, conventional national parks, which would exclude human habitation and all economic activities other than tourism; and (iii) the proposed model of creating large, multi-purpose national parks which accommodate the resident populations and their economic activities within an overall management framework. The first option was rejected as operationally impractical and ecologically unsound as it fails to address the linkages between the core conservation areas and surrounding areas. The second option was rejected, as it would have involved relocating more than 60 villages (over 30,000 people) and taking large areas of valuable pasture and forest permanently out of economic use. Both the first and second options would also have perpetuated the unsustainable and increasingly unacceptable status quo of isolating local communities from the valuable resources and economic potential of the PAs. The third option was selected as the most appropriate for achieving the joint objectives of protecting the most significant and vulnerable biodiversity assets, while helping to improve the livelihoods of poor rural communities on a sustainable basis. The SDNP will be by far the largest PA in Azerbaijan and among the largest in the world. There were proposals for an even larger park, including the coastal area of Samur-Yalama and further extensions in the Gubar and Gusa Rayons. These proposed extensions were rejected because of the impracticality of including areas that are already heavily populated and developed. The Samur-Yalama area is being developed as a separate PA. Given the weak local technical and institutional capacity in relation to modern approaches to PA management, high value livestock production and commercial development, the option of a purely technical assistance/ capacity building project was considered. However, this would have meant disregarding the demand and urgent need for interventions on the ground and the importance of actually demonstrating the viability and benefit of these new approaches. Therefore, the project was designed to combine a major investment in capacity building with other investments, many of which are at a pilot/demonstration level. The heavy investment in TA will help fill the immediate need for skilled and experienced personnel to get activities moving. The consultants will also have the responsibility to provide in-service training and capacity building for their counterparts. To facilitate this capacity building, most TA contracts are long-term, providing continuity. International consultants will return repeatedly (for several months each year) to provide ongoing advice and support, while avoiding the risk that they simply take over their counterparts’ responsibilities. The initial project design included a large component for rural energy development, on the grounds that alternative sources of energy (e.g. natural gas supply) must be restored if communities are to reduce their use of the forests for fuelwood. This component was dropped because of concern that it made the project too complex and difficult to implement. Sustainable energy issues are still addressed in the project on a smaller scale, through support for tree planting and reforestation on municipal lands and heavily degraded state forest lands near settlements, and through support for demonstration and promotion of fuel-efficient stoves and 15 alternative fuels. Consideration was given to including a micro-credit element in Component 3 (Small Enterprise Development), but this was rejected in favor of matching grants, in view of the complexity of implementing micro-credit and the Bank’s policy to avoid ad hoc micro-credit programs. The possibility of entering into a partnership arrangement with one or more existing micro-finance or lending institutions was explored (e.g., by providing them with “expansion grants” to open offices in the project areas). However, no suitable partner was identified. While no credit mechanisms are included in the project, the responsibilities of the business advisory service providers will include assisting clients to identify and access loans from existing sources when appropriate. C. IMPLEMENTATION 1. Partnership arrangements (if applicable) Cooperation among numerous actors and stakeholders will be essential for implementation of the AREP. Unlike other PAs in the country, the SDNP and ONP will include land and infrastructure that is owned by municipalities or individuals and is used for agriculture and other economic activities. MENR, which has the overall mandate for management of all PAs, will also have to coordinate with several other sectoral ministries with ongoing interests and programs in the area. Various specialized government agencies will also play important roles, such as the Institutes of Zoology and Botany of the Azerbaijan Academy of Sciences, which will participate in biodiversity assessment and monitoring. As part of the “hotspot” Caucasus ecoregion, Azerbaijan benefits from a number of regional programs by bilateral and multilateral donors and international NGOs. The Regional Environmental Centre for the Caucasus (RECC, supported by the European Union, Switzerland and the U.S. among others) and the Caucasus Environmental NGO Network (CENN, supported by the Sacred Earth Network) are funding a variety of educational and other activities by regional and local NGOs, including mechanisms for transboundary cooperation in natural resource management and conservation. For example, the RECC’s Swiss-financed Transboundary Grants Programme recently approved a grant to the Azerbaijan Society of Ornithologists (and the Georgian Centre for Wilderness Protection) for conservation of highland ecosystems. This will include pilot projects with local communities (hunters, shepherds, teachers, etc.) on monitoring and management of natural resources, and a demonstration project on conservation of the endangered Caucasus Black Grouse. The CENN focuses on strengthening capacity and building coalitions and networks among local NGOs in the South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia). The Eurasia Foundation’s South Caucasus Cooperation Program provides support for local organizations to implement cross-border programs, including one for promoting the development of agro-ecotourism. Among international NGOs, the Tbilisi-based Caucasus Regional Office of the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) has been supporting and carrying out conservation activities in the Caucasus for over 10 years, with an emphasis on creation and improving management of PAs, protection of endangered species (e.g. projects for conservation of leopards and Caucasus deer), developing ecotourism, and promoting sound environmental policies and environmental education. WWF coordinated the development of the Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund 16 (CEPF) ecosystem profile for the Caucasus biodiversity hotspot, which identifies conservation priorities and targets. The ecosystem profile was developed with the participation of over 130 local and international experts, and provides a framework for inter-governmental and donor coordination. It helped define the proposed boundaries of the NPs and will be an important input for park management planning. The CEPF itself may provide co-financing for some communitybased conservation activities to be supported under the AREP. The local NGO sector is relatively poorly developed, particularly outside Baku. However, several NGOs that are active in the project areas have been involved in preparation of the AREP and/or are expected to participate in implementation. These include general environmental organizations concerned with environmental policy, protection, education and monitoring (e.g., the Information-Analytic Environmental Agency (ECORES); Azerbaijan Ecological Union; Xazri TETA; CENN); with biodiversity conservation (e.g. WWF-Azerbaijan; Birdlife; Azerbaijan Zoological Society; Azerbaijan Animal Protection Society, etc.), and with rural/sustainable development (e.g., Azerbaijan Mountain Regions Development Association (ADRIA); Rural Development Programme for Mountainous and Highland Areas). Tourism is expected to be an important aspect of the development and sustainability of the SDNP, and SDNP in turn is likely to become a major focus of Azerbaijan and Caucasus tourism in the future. It is therefore significant that tourism development is emerging as a major focus of international assistance and NGO activity in Azerbaijan, as the GOA and donors recognize its potential linkages with poverty reduction and environmental objectives. In 2004, UNDP and GOA launched a “pro-poor” tourism project aimed at integrating domestic tourism development and poverty reduction (e.g. by constructing Visitor Centers in rural areas and training low income youth for employment in the sector). Other recent or current activities include a Eurasia Foundation project to develop transboundary hiking routes and agroecotourism; the World Bank-financed Cultural Heritage Project; the Trans-Caucasus Tourism Initiative co-financed by the World Bank and the Swiss Government; a WWF initiative on ecotourism development in the Caucasus supported by the German government; rehabilitation of cultural heritage sites in and around Sheki funded by the Norwegian government; and a rapid assessment of tourism potential undertaken in 2003 as the first phase of a program of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) to support growth of the tourism sector in Azerbaijan. Most of these programs are implemented with local NGO partners (e.g., the Eurasia Foundation project implemented in Azerbaijan by the eco-tourism NGO Pilgrim and by the Azerbaijan Climbing Club). Other likely partners in the future include USAID, and the Soros Foundation (which is already supporting capacity building for rural tourism in several other countries in the region, such as Ukraine, Poland, Crimea, Mongolia). This diversity of supporters and initiatives makes coordination and partnership essential. Following a meeting of the UN Poverty Thematic Group in March, 2004, a Tourism Steering Group was established in Baku to facilitate information flow among interested parties. The rural enterprise development component of the AREP will also benefit from partnership with numerous organizations and initiatives involved in developing small and medium enterprises in Azerbaijan, such as the EU/EBRD-funded Business Advisory Services Programme and the Azerbaijan Business Development Program20. Also, as noted in Section B4, 20 likely to be funded by USAID 17 some enterprises applying for grants under Component 3 will require additional loan financing to be viable. The AREP will not provide credit, but will seek partnership with existing microfinance institutions. While the operating costs of the parks are expected to be met mainly by Government, (in the future) in part from tourism revenues, the MENR and the Bank will also explore the possibility of partnership with the private sector. The oil industry (led by British Petroleum, in the context of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline) has already become involved in supporting conservation, environmental management and sustainable development in Azerbaijan and neighboring countries. At present their support is focused on the pipeline route, but there could be the potential for broadening private sector support to encompass corporate sponsorship of other environmental initiatives, including biodiversity conservation and national parks, as is the case in many other countries. Another avenue to be explored is partnership with downstream users of water, including the city of Baku and the petroleum and other industries concentrated on the Absheron peninsula. In many countries arrangements have been brokered for downstream water consumers to contribute to the protection of watersheds in the context of payment for environmental services. Similarly, the project will explore opportunities for carbon financing (payment for reducing carbon emissions/sequestration of carbon). There will be several avenues for NGOs and other stakeholders to participate in or collaborate with the AREP. The participatory park management planning process will open the way for key stakeholders and knowledgeable partners to influence key decisions relating to biodiversity protection and natural resource us. In some cases, the project will complement or support ongoing NGO activities, and in other cases NGOs will be contracted to undertake project-supported activities. Technical support and implementation of grant programs under Components 2 and 3 will be contracted out to firms and/or NGOs, which will need to team up with knowledgeable local organizations in order to work effectively in these remote mountain areas. The communications/outreach, social impact assessment and monitoring programs coordinated by the PIU will all be carried out in cooperation with NGOs and community groups, some of which participated in local consultations during the preparation phase, including public dissemination and discussion of the EIA. 2. Institutional and implementation arrangements A Project Implementation Unit (PIU), established under the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources, will have overall responsibility for project implementation and coordination. In view of the size and remoteness of the project areas, there will be a central PIU in Baku and three small regional branch offices located in Guba, Gusar and Ordubad Rayons. The Baku office will provide project-wide services such as planning, procurement, financial management, M&E and reporting, training on project implementation procedures, and cross-sectoral coordination and government liaison (e.g., as Secretariat for the Project Steering Committee). The regional offices will consist of a local coordinator and an assistant, and will be responsible for awareness raising and communications at the local level, day-to-day implementation support (including disbursement of grant funds under Component 2), organizing field visits, data collection for monitoring, etc. These offices will also serve as a home base for the long-term technical service providers under Components 2 and 3. 18 The DBCDSPNA within MENR will have overall responsibility for implementation of Component 1 (National Parks Establishment and Management). For ONP, the existing park administration will continue, with some restructuring and increase in staff to address the much larger area and expanded program of management activities. The SDNP will require creation of a new administrative structure to accommodate the diversity of land use, land ownership and stakeholders. Unlike the case in existing National Parks, land within SDNP that is currently owned by Municipalities or private owners will not be transferred to the State, but will continue to be held by the current owners, but subject to regulations and requirements established through the park management plan (under a legal principle of servitude). The SDNP structure will include a multi-sectoral Governing Board, an executive SDNP Administration (SDNPA) and a Stakeholder Advisory Group. The Governing Board will be chaired by MENR and will include representatives from other Ministries with direct interests in the area (e.g. Agriculture, Tourism, etc.), Rayon Executive Authorities, Balladiyas, NGOs and the private sector. The MENR will delegate specific functions to the Governing Board, including responsibility to approve the park management plan and annual work plans. The SDNPA will be the management entity for the SDNP, responsible for park protection and management and for community relations, in accordance with approved management and annual work plans. It will incorporate some of the staff of the existing PAs and the State Forest Enterprise in the area. These institutional structures for SDNP will be described in and established through the SDNP Charter. The SDNPA will coordinate with Rayon Executive Authorities and Balladiyas in areas of joint responsibility, such as the issuing of grazing permits within the park. A multi-sectoral team of technical advisors will be engaged to provide ongoing advice, support and in-service training and capacity building for the new SDNPA and the ONPA. The main institutional mechanism for implementation of Component 2 will be Municipal Enterprises (ME), which are non-profit legal entities owned by the Balladiyas. One ME will be established for each Village Cluster (VC), comprised of 3-5 villages. Although the project will meet capital and operating costs of the MEs for 18 months, MEs will charge for services such as artificial insemination, milk collection, agricultural extension and short-term rental of agricultural equipment. The fee levels will be set to cover operating costs over the long term, with fees that are collected during the project support period going into a capital fund for the ME. It is anticipated that the MEs will continue to provide some of these services beyond the life of the project. Three teams of locally-based long term consultants (Village Planning Teams) will be engaged by the PIU (under a single contract) to assist communities to prepare and implement village investment plans, with each team of three people providing four months of support to each VC. Implementation of Component 3 will be contracted to business consulting firms or suitable NGOs. There will be one contract for provision of mobile business advisory teams (five teams of 2 people each), whose responsibilities will include: (i) preparation and dissemination of awareness-raising and instructional materials; (ii) one-on-one support to interested clients to identify business opportunities and prepare business plans and grant applications; and (iii) where appropriate, assisting clients to identify credit providers and prepare loan applications. A second contract will be awarded for administration of the matching grants program. 19 Most procurement of goods, works and services for project implementation will be done by the PIU. However, the MEs will procure materials and services required for implementing village level investment activities under Component 2, following the World Bank’s guidelines for community-based procurement. The SDNPA will be authorized to purchase recurrent items (e.g. fuel, stationery) on a Statement of Expense basis. Obtaining transportation and other operational requirements for the technical service providers for Components 2 and 3 will be the responsibility of the respective contractors. 3. Monitoring and evaluation of outcomes/results Annex 3 provides the overall framework, indicators and initial targets for monitoring and evaluation of project outcomes. This will serve as the basis for development of a more detailed M&E program. One of the professional PIU staff (Assistant Project Manager) will be primarily responsible for preparation and implementation of this M&E program (job description will indicate this represents 50% of his/her time). Because of the current lack of site-specific socioeconomic for the project areas, a social and economic impact assessment has been included as a separate activity under Component 4. This will include an initial baseline study to be undertaken during the first year, with updates at midterm and end of the project. Ecological monitoring and assessment (starting with detailed baseline inventories) is an important element of Component 1, and will be the responsibility of the SDNPA and ONPA, with assistance from Technical Advisors provided under the project. Because existing forest and pasture inventories and wildlife surveys are badly out of date, the target indicators and baseline values will be developed during the first year. The WWF/World Bank Alliance/GEF Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool (METT) will be used to assess the impact of investments in capacity building for PA management. The METT “Reporting Progress Scorecard,” which is designed for site-level assessments, will be completed for each of the parks several times during the course of the project. The scorecards will be completed by small teams comprised of the Directors and senior field staff of each park, at least one representative of local government, one representative of a municipality inside the park, and one representative of a conservation NGO active in each of the project areas. The scorecard will also be reviewed by the World Bank as part of project supervision. 20 4. Sustainability The project aims to put in place systems for more sustainable use of natural ecosystems that are currently being overused and degraded, and to promote economic development that will reduce reliance on mass consumption of natural resources. In the short term this will be mainly through improved protection, but the longer term objective is develop community/user-based management systems and to trigger a shift from traditional, low-input livelihoods based on mining of natural resources (forests and pastures) towards more value-added economic activities that are less dependent on these resources or use them more efficiently. Because of the short time frame, the project can only serve as a catalyst for such a shift, by introducing new approaches, demonstrating opportunities, changing incentives, providing some start-up capital, and improving market access through rehabilitation of key access roads. The multiple-use National Park model is expected to be more sustainable in the long run than a large, conventional park that excludes all economic use of natural resources, because it will have greater local and national support. The project is expected to provide a model of integration and stakeholder participation to be replicated elsewhere within the national PA system. The Government is committed to expanding its PA system (with a target of at least 10% of the country’s total land area) and to providing the recurrent budget to maintain the staffing and operations of the parks. Government resources available for this purpose are expected to increase over the next few decades as a result of economic growth from oil revenues. Nevertheless, project preparation has emphasized the need to be limit capital investment and operating costs for the parks in order to avoid the all-too-common “boom and bust” phenomenon when project funding ends. A substantial part of the planned project investment is for tourism development, as both NPs have the potential to generate revenue from tourism in the future, from entry fees and tourism concessions. Entry fees (or possibly even concession fees) will probably not be introduced initially, but will become a factor in later years. At present the parks cannot legally retain revenues to supplement operating budgets, but this is likely to change over the next few years as the entire PA system becomes modernized. The community level investments to be supported under Component 2 are expected to be sustainable because they will be selected by the communities based on their own needs and priorities. The Municipal Enterprises that will be formed to implement this aspect will have low operating costs and will operate on a cost recovery basis, so that they can continue beyond the life of the project. By contrast, the more expensive technical advisory services are not expected to continue after the end of the project, but rather to develop lasting local capacity in key aspects such as park management dairy production, and business planning and management. To maximize viability and sustainability of small enterprises supported by the project, the matching grants will require applicants to provide at least 50% of start-up cost and present a longer term financing plan. 5. Critical risks and possible controversial aspects The project is introducing a model of multiple-use PA model which is new to Azerbaijan and involves new approaches, players, attitudes and skills. Implementation could be delayed or undermined by difficulties in establishing effective institutional mechanisms for cross-sectoral 21 coordination, and in finding experienced and motivated individuals to fill key positions in the Park Administrations. To mitigate this risk, the project includes up-front capacity building measures such as training and long-term on-site support from an experienced international advisory team. Tying major investment to approval of park management plans will help to provide a strong incentive for ensuring that institutions and put in place and planning is completed in an appropriate and timely fashion. There is potential for conflict among stakeholders, particularly in the case of pastures, given the importance of livestock, the large number of traditional users, and the entrenched grazing permit system. The project design therefore emphasizes awareness raising and education, consensus building and participatory park planning, and gradual phasing in of pasture management, together with incentives which will be agreed upon through the consultative process. The risk of burdening already poor communities by restricting their access to natural resources will be mitigated by linking restrictions on grazing and forest use with measures to compensate for their economic impacts. In accordance with the Process Framework these measures will be particularly targeted to the affected communities. At the same time, there is a risk of unrealistically high expectations regarding the immediate and short term benefits from the project, including direct project investment, employment by the parks, and income from tourism and other enterprises. This is being addressed through a communications strategy that aims to provide clear and accurate information about what the project can and cannot do, stresses mutual responsibilities for project implementation, and emphasizes the importance of longer term benefits from improved natural resource management. To avoid encouraging local entrepreneurs to invest time and resources in enterprises with a high likelihood of failure, matching grants will be provided only on the basis of professional assessment of business plans. Rehabilitation of key access roads is also expected to contribute significantly to the success of local enterprises. The risk of “elite capture” of project benefits is addressed through linking assistance to transparently developed Village Management Plans, and by emphasizing community level investment, channeled through locally elected Municipalities. Tourism development is seen as an important area of future economic growth, particularly in the SDNP area. There is a risk that poorly planned and poorly regulated tourism stimulated by the project could have negative environmental and social impacts, beyond the direct potential project impacts that can be addressed through the Environment Management Plan. Mitigation measures for this risk include designating the entire area as a National Park and putting it under the overall jurisdiction of the MENR, which has a permanent mandate to ensure that the park’s conservation and environmental objectives are met; inclusion of environmental NGOs and other interested stakeholders in the SDNP Governing Board; establishment of park management planning and monitoring systems; and a dedicated communications and education program to raise awareness locally and nationally regarding the importance of maintaining the natural ecosystems protected by these parks. There is often a concern that development projects in and around Pas can serve as magnets, attracting more people into the area and thereby increasing pressure on natural resources. There is little such risk in this case, as populations in these project areas have been declining in recent years, as a large percentage of young people (up to 80% in some villages) leave the area seeking better employment opportunities and quality of life. While project 22 activities are expected to improve local incomes and quality of living conditions to some extent, it is very unlikely that they will result in immigration to the area (or even any significant impact on the emigration trend). Similarly, support for intensification of livestock production is not expected to result in an increase in livestock using already over-grazed areas, as the support will target improved varieties and dairy cattle, which are financially profitable only if reared under controlled, mainly stall-fed conditions. Furthermore, the designation of the areas as national parks will substantially increase the possibility of exercising control over factors such as inmigration, secondary development and increased grazing pressure. The high per capita costs of Components 2 and 3 may raise some questions, but they are the result of local realities such as the small populations of the villages, their remoteness and difficulty of access, the lack of experience with modern production and business methods, and the lack of technical and financial advisory services which requires that the project engage large teams of local consultants to fill the gap. It is also important to recognize the pilot and demonstration nature of these interventions, which are intended to catalyze larger impacts and benefits over the long term. Costs could be substantially decreased by reducing the amount of technical assistance, but this would greatly undermine the likelihood of success. 6. Loan/credit conditions and covenants TO BE COMPLETED AT APPRAISAL D. APPRAISAL SUMMARY 1. Economic and financial analyses The economic and financial analysis is under preparation and will be completed by Appraisal. The GEF Incremental Cost Analysis is attached (Annex 15). Many of the benefits of the project are unquantifiable (e.g. conservation of biodiversity and ecosystems), or impossible to quantify at this time due to lack of data on the current situation or trends (e.g. pasture productivity and average income from livestock, extent of soil erosion, tourist spending, etc.). Therefore, the economic and financial analysis will be a blend of qualitative descriptions of costs and benefits and, quantitative estimates where these are appropriate. One important issue is the financial sustainability of the two National Parks. Operational costs of most PAs world wide are met through a combination of Government subvention, donor and NGO contributions and revenues earned primarily from tourism (entry and concession fees). In the case of SDNP and ONP, direct revenue from tourism is expected to be very limited, particularly in the short term as the Government does not propose to introduce park entry fees for at least the first few years (an awareness-raising and educational campaign is needed to introduce this concept, which is fairly novel in the region). Concession fees for private sector tourism facilities within the park can become a source of revenue in the near future, but preparation studies indicated that a “fee holiday” should be offered for the first few years as an incentive for 23 would-be local investors and to build support for the park among local communities. Grazing fees could also eventually be allocated for park management, but this is likely to meet considerable resistance from the Rayon Executive Authorities who currently collect them. Similarly, sale of wood or wood cutting licenses could be a source of revenue for SDNP in the future, but only after the current ban is lifted, which is likely to happen only after restoration and improved management activities are well underway. There is very little donor or international NGO funding going to these areas at present, but once the parks are well established and publicized it is likely that they will attract more interest and support. Overall, however, it is expected that the majority of funding for operation of these two NPs (as with all other PAs in Azerbaijan) will be provided from the Government budget after the close of the project. This is a realistic expectation, given the anticipated growth in the Azerbaijan economy due to increasing oil revenues over the next 1-2 decades. However, attention is being paid to limiting capital investment and staffing costs (and therefore, future annual operating costs) at moderate levels. Components 2 and 3 will support activities that should create direct financial and economic benefits for local communities. However, an appropriate direct rate-of-return analysis would be difficult to do. First, the up-front investment costs and transaction costs will be unavoidably high, given the remoteness of the target areas and the lack of existing capacity and services. Second, some of the most important benefits, such as improvement of pastures and reforestation, are expected to take a few years to materialize, both because of the time needed for natural restoration and growth processes and because the project will only be able to support relatively small scale interventions that will serve as pilots and demonstrations. The broader benefits are expected to result from replication of these activities across much larger areas after the project. The economic and financial analysis undertaken for the activities likely to yield more direct, short-term benefits (e.g. intensified livestock and dairy production and other small enterprises), projects a strong positive rate of return. However, the sensitivity analysis indicates that these are very dependent on assumptions regarding production costs, output volumes and market prices. Thorough, professional market analysis and business planning will be essential to ensure that enterprises supported by the project have a good chance of success. 2. Technical This project addresses a challenge that is increasingly common around the world: how to conserve biodiversity in areas large enough to encompass ecological systems and migratory species. Like many countries in the ECA region, Azerbaijan inherited the Soviet approach to PAs, which was based mainly on the most extreme form of exclusive PA, Strict Nature Reserves (zapovedniks) set aside only for protection and research, allowing no economic activity or management intervention within their boundaries21. The result was a fragmented system of small, isolated PAs, which are relatively ineffective for conservation and make no economic contribution to local or national economies. The conservation community has recognized the limitations of this type of model, and is increasingly emphasizing large scale, “ecosystem management” models such as Biosphere Reserves, Protected Landscapes and mixed-use Marine Unlike the U.S. National Parks, often regarded as the progenitor and model of the “exclusive PA,” Zapovedniks do not allow even non-consumptive uses such as tourism and recreation 21 24 Reserves. While differing in many ways, such PAs generally share some key features: (i) zoning of the overall area into smaller sectors which are managed for different uses (strict biodiversity protection, tourism development, low-intensity use of natural resources, sustainable agriculture, etc.); (ii) some type of institutional mechanism for planning and coordinating land and resource use across the whole area; and (iii) the expectation that they will provide a source of economic and other benefits for local communities and make a contribution to the national economy. The GOA has made a commitment to expand its Protected Area (PA) system over the next decade to make it equal to at least 10% of the country’s total land area, to reduce fragmentation, and to ensure that all its natural ecosystems are well represented22. Recognizing that this cannot be achieved through the traditional zapovednik model23, MENR has decided to try a multiple-use, ecosystem management approach. The challenge will be to find the institutional model (or models) that is most appropriate for the specific conditions of Azerbaijan in general, and the project areas specifically. There are numerous existing models to draw upon, particularly from western and central Europe where, in contrast to the U.S., Latin America, Africa and Asia, multiple-use PAs with resident populations are the norm (in large part because, by the time national PA systems were being created in Europe, there was little pristine and uninhabited landscape to be protected). There is considerable diversity across the countries, reflecting differences in legal, political and cultural factors such as land ownership (public, private or mixed), role of national vs. local government, role of local communities and NGOs, role of private sector, etc. Areas that are called National Parks under national laws of European countries do not necessarily qualify as National Parks according to IUCN24 (Category II in the IUCN classification system for PAs). In many cases they are actually more consistent with, less stringent designations, such as Category V (Protected Landscapes and Seascapes). It is anticipated that the SDNP and ONP will be established as National Parks under Azerbaijan law, in order to give MENR a clear mandate and jurisdiction to coordinate planning and management of land and resources across the entire areas. However, some revision of the Law on Specially Protected Natural Areas and the Land Code may be needed to accommodate the proposed aspects of multiple use/multiple ownership and stakeholder participation. In any case, the details of an appropriate management structure and approach will have to be developed and tested over time. The project will support international TA and training (e.g. cross-country visits) to help Azerbaijan identify the best model(s) for the local context. Improved forest and pasture management, including the introduction of community-based approaches, are very important to achieving the project objectives. Azerbaijan currently has little experience or capacity in either. The project will help to fill this gap by providing technical assistance and training, including exposure to the experience of neighboring countries which have been dealing with similar challenges, in many cases under World Bank-financed projects (e.g. Turkey, Georgia). 22 In keeping with IUCN goal for global PA coverage e.g., given that the proposed SDNP has a resident population of over 27,000, and pastures that are currently used by livestock owners from 16 Rayons 24 e.g., according to IUCN, management standards for a National Park includes preservation of ecological integrity, and exclusion of any use that might deteriorate it, in at least 75% of the area. 23 25 For Components 2 and 3, technical issues mainly relate to the need to identify technologies for intensified livestock husbandry and other enterprises that are acceptable to and feasible for local communities, environmentally sustainable and economically viable and competitive. This will be a significant challenge, as the project areas have comparative disadvantages in terms of climate, terrain and biological productivity (e.g. short growing seasons, soils vulnerable to erosion, limited surface water, difficult access to markets, etc.). However, they also have comparative advantages for certain activities, such as tourism, production of popular wild fruits, nuts and medicinal plants and traditional handicrafts. The objective is to capitalize on these advantages by supporting enterprises that make use of the rich natural resource assets of the area, while putting measures in place to ensure that this does not stimulate over-harvesting of biodiversity or other negative impacts, such as ecological destruction due to poorly planned or unregulated tourism development. Several of the project activities and objectives are in principle eligible for carbon financing: reforestation/afforestation, shifting from unsustainable to sustainable forest utilization, restoration/revegetation of pastures, and introduction of alternative energy and energy efficiency. However, during project preparation it became clear that the data needed (e.g. data on current standing stock of trees and potential extent of reforestation) are presently lacking. During project implementation, the implementing agencies will work with specialists to explore the potential for carbon financing and develop specific proposals. 3. Fiduciary TO BE COMPLETED AT APPRAISAL 4. Social Although no villages or households will be relocated and land ownership and rights will not be affected, the WB’s Involuntary Resettlement Policy is triggered because the establishment/ enlargement and improved enforcement of the two NPs will reduce access to pastures and forests that are traditionally used and important for local livelihoods. This includes both local communities and absentee livestock owners and non-residents involved in trade of wood and other forest products. In the long term restoration and sustainable management of these ecosystems will benefit the users, but the short term impacts need to be mitigated, as detailed in the Resettlement Process Framework. These include involving local users in park zoning and management planning, phasing in of grazing restrictions, and support for developing alternative livestock rearing methods, sources of wood, and income sources (including some employment in the parks themselves). Development assistance provided under Components 2 and 3 will be particularly targeted to villages that are most affected (those nearest areas which become closed to grazing). Matching requirements for grants will be reduced or eliminated for applicants from the highest elevation (poorest and most vulnerable) villages, and for enterprises with particularly high social benefits. Data on resource use and users in the project areas are lacking or unreliable, making it impossible to identify the subgroups most likely to be affected or to assess the likely impacts accurately. The PIU will put in place a program to monitor socioeconomic impacts of the project, starting with a detailed baseline to be prepared in the first year. The results will be used to modify project components and implementation where needed, for 26 example to address the needs of any subgroups (e.g. women, youth, internally displaced people) that are identified as particularly vulnerable. 5. Environment EIA Category: B The project is expected to have an overall positive environmental impact by conserving globally and nationally significant biodiversity, protecting rare, transboundary ecosystems and the enhancing the sustainability of natural resource use in the project areas. Other likely environmental benefits include: reduced soil erosion (improving downstream water quality), flood moderation (protecting downstream infrastructure such as roads, bridges and irrigation systems), and carbon sequestration in improved pastures and forests. Barn improvements (sanitation and ventilation) under Component 2 will improve environmental health conditions both for livestock and for the people who handle them The Environmental Assessment undertaken during project preparation identified the following issues (in keeping with WB policies, the EA included social issues): Construction and/or rehabilitation of infrastructure within the NPs, including checkpoints and guard stations, visitor centers, roads and trails, etc. could have direct impacts on flora and fauna at the construction sites or result in erosion, and generate wastes requiring disposal. However, these works will be small scale and limited in extent; Increased tourism/recreational use of the two areas could result in impacts such as disturbance of wildlife, generation of solid waste, overuse or pollution of surface water, and various social disruptions; Some micro-projects under Components 2 and 3 (e.g., small scale irrigation, marketing of non-forest timber products) could lead to environmental impacts associated with construction, waste disposal, over-harvesting of vulnerable species, increased agrochemical fertilizer use, etc. Mitigation measures are outlined in the Environmental Management Plan, and will be incorporated into the Project Implementation Plan, and into the Operational Manual for Components 2 and 3. These include assessing proposed construction sites for potential biodiversity or environmental concerns, including waste management measures and site clean-up requirements in construction designs and contracts, environmental screening of micro-project proposals, etc. The EMP also lays out responsibilities of the MENR and other government agencies, the PIU and micro-project beneficiaries. These include carrying out the appropriate level of environmental screening or assessment, based on the type of activity in question, obtaining required clearances and environmental permits and monitoring compliance and impact. Public Participation Public consultation during project preparation included over 30 meetings in both project areas, involving over 700 local stakeholders. Consultants preparing the EIA met with 27 stakeholders in including local public officials (local representatives of the Rayon Executive Authorities, local staff of concerned Ministries, Directors of Ismailly and Pirkuli Nature Reserves and of six Forestry Units), elected municipality leaders, NGOs, representatives of the scientific community, school directors and teachers and other community members including elders (aksakkals), shepherds, farmers, small business owners, handicraft makers, youth and women. NGOs participating in the discussions included WWV-Azerbaijan, Chevre, Biodiversity Centre, Zoological Society, Hayajan, Regional Resource Centre, and Matanat. The consultant preparing the Process Framework met with communities to discuss their perceptions and concerns, such as anticipated restrictions on access to pastures and their priorities for development assistance and delivery mechanisms. Most of the consultants undertaking preparation studies also met with local stakeholders to discuss the specific aspects of the project with which they were concerned, as did members of the World Bank task team during preparation support missions. The meetings have been facilitated by local Project Coordinators based in Guba and Nakhchivan respectively, and details are available from the PIU. A second phase of public consultations will take place in January, 2005, after the EA document and the Process Framework are finalized and available for public review and discussion. This round will allow stakeholders to review findings and comment on proposed mitigation and management options. The consultations will be carried out by the Project Implementation Unit / two regional Project Coordination Units, with the assistance of several NGOs which have expressed their willingness to help facilitate such meetings and have appropriate experience and facilities. Some of these NGOs have been collaborating with the project team (e.g., the NGO Saniya participated in 2001 Identification Mission), and/or are engaged in related projects (e.g., Caucasus Environmental NGO Network; the Regional Environmental Center), or are working with vulnerable groups such as women and youth in the region (e.g. the National Assembly of Youth Organizations; the Civil Initiatives Center). The Aarhus Convention Center, supported by the OECD and based in the Ministry of Ecology, will be one of the locations for dissemination of the EIA and PF documents. The PIU will document all the meetings and have relevant minutes and protocols archived in files. 6. Safeguard policies Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Environmental Assessment (OP/BP/GP 4.01) Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04) Pest Management (OP 4.09) Cultural Property (OPN 11.03, being revised as OP 4.11) Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) Indigenous Peoples (OD 4.20, being revised as OP 4.10) Forests (OP/BP 4.36) Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37) Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP/GP 7.60)* Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP/GP 7.50) * Yes [ x] [x ] [] [] [ x] [] [x ] [] [] [] No [] [] [x ] [] [] [x ] [] [ x] [x ] [x ] By supporting the proposed project, the Bank does not intend to prejudice the final determination of the parties' claims on the disputed areas 28 The Natural Habitats policy and the Forest policy are triggered because the project areas include relatively pristine natural habitats, a large part of which is indigenous forest, for which management plans will be developed and implemented. However, the project will result in improved protection of these areas, not result in any destruction or increased exploitation. Natural areas with high biodiversity value, including the existing PAs, will be incorporated into the two new NPs as core conservation areas, and their protection is expected to improve as a result of the project. All management activities relating to natural forests and other natural habitats will be consistent with the WB policies. 7. Policy Exceptions and Readiness TO BE COMPLETED AT APPRAISAL Issues to be addressed include: Legal Framework for Protected Areas: indicate whether revisions are required for establishment of the multiple use/multiple ownership National Park; possible conflict between the Law on Specially Protected Natural Areas and the Land Code. 29 Annex 1: Country and Sector or Program Background AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Country and sector issues Azerbaijan is a mountainous country of 86,600 km2 and a population of about 8 million people. It lies on the western coast of the Caspian Sea among the mountain ranges of the Greater and Lesser Caucasus and the Talish mountains. Mountains cover about 44 percent of the territory, and forests cover about 11 percent. Azerbaijan became independent in 1991 and embarked on a transition towards a market economy. The country’s economic prospects were bright at the dawn of the 20 th century due to oil and gas resources, but then slipped to become one of 7 lowest income countries in the ECA Region. According to the Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy paper (2001), 90 percent of the population suffered a decline in their monthly mean expenditures between 1995 and 1999. Over the past five years, however, there has been progress in many areas. Azerbaijan is moving towards middle income status as benefits from increasing oil development start to flow. But the country faces continuing problems of regional income disparities. Poverty assessments indicate that rural poverty rates are somewhat lower than urban in general, but this is not true of mountain areas, where they are among the highest in the country. Almost all crop agriculture comes from low elevation, irrigated lands, while those at high elevations rely primarily on extensive livestock production. Most people in the project areas are under the poverty line of US$ 24 per month (average income is $16 per month in villages above 2000 meters). Azerbaijan has been amongst leaders in CIS in farm privatization and registration of arable land, but this has also been mainly in low elevation areas with limited progress in the highlands, while land rights and responsibilities for pasture and forest land remain unclear. Azerbaijan is facing many of the same challenges as other CIS transition economies, including severe economic contraction during early 1990’s, with sharp increase in poverty, and a daunting agenda of policy and institutional reforms needed to redefine the role of the state and create essential underpinnings of a market economy. One of the six strategic pillars of the State Program on Poverty Reduction and Economic Development (SPPRED) is an enabling environment for income-generating opportunities. POLICY AND LEGISLATIVE BASIS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT AND NATURE PROTECTION The Constitution of the Azerbaijan Republic (1995) recognizes the importance of environmental management. Article 39 states (inter alia) that everyone has the right to live in a healthy environment and the right to information about ecological conditions. Article 78 declares that every citizen is responsible for the protection of the environment, and Chapter IX empowers municipalities to approve and implement local ecological programs. The Law on Environmental Protection (1999), provides a strong legal, economic and social framework, with 30 provisions to: “guarantee environmental safety and the ecological balance of the environment, prevent the impact of socioeconomic and other activities, preserve biological diversity, and effectively manage the use of nature” It calls “balancing the achievement of social, economic, moral and aesthetic objectives” and also for ‘”the participation of the general public and civic organizations in environmental protection.” It also stipulates that the preservation of biological diversity is one of the basic environmental principles, and gives the State supreme powers and duties in defining biodiversity conservation policy, including: (i) issuing decisions on, setting quotas and limits for, and regulating use of plants, wild animals and other natural resources; (ii)approving and implementing conceptual plans and comprehensive programs for the use, conservation and renewal of natural resources; (iii) designing and undertaking national inventories and monitoring for environment and natural resources; (iv) maintaining a national list of rare and endangered plant and animal species (national Red Data Book); and (v) approving the list of special environmental sites of scientific, environmental and biological importance and establishing protected areas. The National Environmental Action Plan (NEAP), completed in 1998, identified environmental issues and proposed short, medium and long term actions in six priority areas: Pollution damage from industries (particularly oil and petrochemicals), energy and transport; Problems of the Caspian Sea, including the dramatic decline in sturgeon populations; Protecting biological diversity and forest, pasture and agricultural land management; Cultural heritage; Ecological problems with regional or global impacts; and Development of the institutional and policy framework to monitor, coordinate and manage environmental issues more effectively. The Urgent Environmental Investment Project (UEIP)25 focused on petrochemical and Caspian Sea issues, as does the Caspian Environment Program, in which Azerbaijan is a participant. Several additional potential IDA-financed operations have been identified to continue support in these areas. The proposed Rural Environment Project addresses the priorities of biodiversity protection and forest and pasture management, targeting the mountain areas which are identified in the national Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan as being among the country’s most important in terms of regional and global biodiversity significance. These mountains are also important cultural heritage areas, as well as serving as a major watershed for the capital of Baku and other urban and industrial areas. A sound regulatory framework for environmental management is in place, although implementation capacity and compliance need strengthening. The Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR) was created in 2001 to integrate all aspects of environmental protection and management, including environmental assessment and monitoring (including reporting on the state of the environment), management of forests and wildlife resources, and of specially protected natural areas26. Azerbaijan has made significant progress since 1992 in 25 IDA, 1998 There is an independent Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, with similar responsibilities 26 31 international cooperation on nature protection, by becoming Party to five international conventions dealing with biodiversity and adopting laws on protection of nature, wildlife and protected areas27. In addition to the Law on Environmental Protection, the most recent and important is the Law on Specially Protected Natural Areas and Objects (2000) and the associated Presidential Decree for its application. This law provides the legal basis for protecting and preserving natural areas in the territory of Azerbaijan. Such areas are defined for the “protection of biological variety and ecology,” and to provide for tourism and recreation. The law includes provisions for taking into consideration social and economic factors and interests of local people, and for participation of the population and social organizations in preserving PAs. The Law on Wildlife (1999) defines principles of wildlife management including monitoring, habitat preservation, conservation of wintering and nesting grounds and forms and rights of use (including fee-based hunting). Similarly, the Forest Code (1997) defines State ownership of all forests and makes provisions for use of this forest fund based on lease agreements and permits/licenses. The National Strategy and Action Plan on Biodiversity Conservation (NSAPBS)28 identifies priorities for biodiversity conservation, including developing strategic plans for protection of biodiversity “hotspots;” updating and completing biological inventories; developing realistic, ecologically-driven and participatory forest management plans; improving financial resources for management and expansion of Protected Areas (including through partnership with other government agencies, NGOs and local communities), and revising the legal and regulatory framework to support these objectives. The strategy is built upon two main pillars: (i) preservation, improvement and rehabilitation of key ecosystems and natural habitats by enhancing and efficient management of protected areas; and (ii) optimal utilization of the co8untry’s economic and social potential at the national and regional level, including sustainable usage of the biological diversity of Azerbaijan. The NEAP also identifies specific biodiversity conservation priorities, including strengthening of the PA network through: (i) the adoption of national parks as instruments for the sustainable use of biodiversity, to complement the existing protected area network which emphasizes strict nature reserves; (ii) creation of new protected areas (including Shah-Dag National Park and Ordubad National Park among the top priorities), and (iii) the implementation of pilot projects in sustainable uses of biodiversity which address rural poverty as a root cause of biodiversity degradation and loss. These priorities have been included in a “Development Chart of the Specially Protected Natural Territories Network of Azerbaijan to 2010,” prepared by the national Academy of Sciences. Currently PAs cover approximately 7 percent of the country29, but most are small and fragmented, and the overall network is incomplete in terms of ecosystem coverage. The GOA signed the Convention on Biological Diversity in 2001, and has made a major commitment to protecting biodiversity, including maintaining and substantially increasing expanding the nation’s Protected Area (PA) system. This includes the establishment of a national ecological 27 Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES); Convention on Wetlands of International Importance (RAMSAR), Convention on the Conservation of European Wildlife and Natural Habitats (Bern), Convention for the Protection of the World Cultural and Natural Heritage (Paris) 28 Preparation begun in 2003, by the State Committee for Ecology, I cooperation with stakeholders inside and outside Government (funding and Technical Assistance from GEF/UNDP) 29 Comprised of 38 PAs: 14 Strict Nature Reserves, 20 sanctuaries, 4 national parks 32 network of specially protected natural areas (AZECONET), incorporating the most important terrestrial habitats and ecosystems requiring protection. By 2010 the PA system is to be expanded by 500,000 hectares. Creation of the Shah Dag NP and expansion of the ONP are among the highest priorities. However, management of existing PAs remains insufficient, due to factors such as institutional weakness and inadequate human and financial resources, and poverty and pressure for economic development in rural areas. Furthermore, the prevailing model for PAs in Azerbaijan, as in much of the CIS, is based on centrally controlled, Strict Nature Reserves (Zapovedniks)30. While strict reserves are needed to protect the highest value and most vulnerable ecosystems, as a rule this model is not well suited to current socio-economic and political conditions, which call for greater attention to economic sustainability and to addressing the needs of local communities. Also, in view of development pressures in rural areas, it will clearly not be possible to establish an additional 500,000 hectares of exclusive, strict nature reserves. Therefore, in accordance with the NSAPBC, the GOA created the country’s first four National Parks in 2003-200431. National Parks have the status of PAs32 but, unlike Strict Nature Reserves, allow for zones of limited economic activity (primarily tourism). However, current legislation describing objectives and responsibilities of NPs does not include any provision regarding benefiting communities, and the four National Parks created to date do not make any such provisions in their management. The opportunity to pilot and demonstrate a more inclusive approach on a large scale is one of the main benefits and objectives of the proposed project. NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT Virtually all natural forest in Azerbaijan belongs to the State and is designated as Forest Fund land. The effectiveness of forest management in the country is limited by financial constraints and by a lack of technical and institutional experience in forest inventory and planning. Prior to independence, forest inventory and planning was centralized in Moscow, and field inventory work were the responsibility for by the Caucasian Forest Stocks Projection Institute in Georgia. The completed management plans were simply given to the Azerbaijani forestry staff to implement. Since 2002, the Forestry Development Department and its Forest Protection and Rehabilitation Units (MENR) have been responsible for developing forest management plans, but they lack the necessary training and experience, particularly in modern methods and approaches. Since 2003, all forest cutting, for either commercial or sanitary purposes have been suspended by the MENR, and officially only forest residues are collected and sold. However, it is generally recognized that large quantities of standing trees (an estimated 30,000 – 40,000 m3/year of wood) continue to be cut illegally. According to the most recent comprehensive forest inventory (1984), the total woodland area of Azerbaijan was 1,213,700 hectares, or 14% of the total territory33. By 2001 it was 30 The other main category of PA under the Soviet system, Wildlife Sanctuaries (Zakazniks), are primarily for control of hunting and are generally not managed as actual PAs 31 Ordubad, Shirvan, Ag-Gel and Absheron NPs 32 Nature Protection Institution and Research Institution under the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources 33 Compared with 34% forest cover in Russia and 40% in Georgia 33 estimated to have declined to 11%, or lower. A National Programme on the Rehabilitation and Extension of Forests (established by Presidential Decree in December, 2001) aims to restore 20,000 hectares of existing forest and plant some 43,000 hectares of new forest. However, due to insufficient funding, only about 3000 hectares of planting were completed in 2003. All high elevation summer pastures and a large proportion of mid-elevation winter pastures belong to the State, as part of the Azerbaijan Republic national land fund. There are also some pasture areas and hayfields belonging to, or under the management of, local municipalities. Municipal pastures are free from taxation, while State pastures are leased by the State Land Committee, together with Rayon Executive Authorities, to individuals or companies for fee on the basis of grazing permits. Lease periods are typically 10-15 years. Those applying for grazing permits indicate the number of animals to be grazed, and are allocated suitable land areas based on official stocking rates that take into account factors such as vegetation coverage, soil condition, etc. On average the official rates are 4-6 head per hectare for winter pastures and somewhat higher for summer pastures. However, there are no legal provisions in the grazing contracts, and no monitoring on the part of authorities, to ensure that these stocking limits are followed. In fact, it is estimated that in the Shah Dag area, actual stocking level are as much as five times higher than the official rates (a total of about 2.5 million animals, as opposed to 500,000). As a whole, Azerbaijan has a serious problem of water deficit and poor water quality. While this is more of an issue in arid lowland areas, mountain regions also experience low rainfall, placing a major constraint on agricultural production. Rivers carry heavy sediment loads due to soil erosion from overgrazing and deforestation. The Water Code (1997), the Law on Amelioration and Irrigation, and the Law on Water Supply and Wastewater (1999) set the legal basis for water use and management in Azerbaijan. The Water code encompasses principles of economic development and environmental protection, and calls for water management to be based on river basins. In practice, however, it is based on administrative units with little coordination within river basins. The State Committee of Amelioration and Water Management (SCAWM) is primarily responsible for management of water resources in the Azerbaijan, including allocation of abstraction rights for surface water and monitoring of use levels34. However, since its creation, the MENR has overall responsibility for the conservation of water resources and the prevention of pollution, and for monitoring water quality and abundance, so there is overlap in the mandates. In practice, the SCAWM focuses mainly on irrigation, including improvement of irrigated land. Agriculture in lowland areas is heavily dependent upon irrigation, but irrigation is poorly developed in mountain areas. Water use for irrigation has declined significantly since independent, in large part as a result of deterioration in infrastructure. Fees for water abstraction have not kept up with inflation, and water payment systems are generally not based on actual water use. Thus there is little incentive for downstream users (such as lowland farmers and urban populations) to save water or to support watershed protection. 34 The National Geological Exploration Service (MENR) is responsible for regulating and controlling abstraction of groundwater. 34 GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY SIGNIFICANCE Azerbaijan lies at a crossroads where the flora and fauna of three biogeographic regions converge, resulting in high biodiversity. The region contains species typical of Europe (e.g. bear, lynx, chamois, red deer), Central Asia (e.g. wild goat, leopard) and Asia Minor (e.g. striped hyena, Persian gazelle). The Caucasus mountains have been identified by the World Wide Fund (WWF) for Nature as a Global 200 Ecoregion, and by Conservation International as one of the world’s 25 biodiversity “hotspots” (the only one in the ECA region)35. These designations are based on criteria such as high species richness, levels of endemism, and taxonomic uniqueness. The Caucasus “hotspot,” which spans six countries, has one of the highest levels of endemism in the temperate world, and is believed to contain more than twice the animal diversity found in adjacent regions of Europe and Asia. It has been named a large herbivore hotspot by WWF's Large Herbivore Initiative, as eleven species of large herbivores, as well as five large carnivores, are found over a relatively small area. The flora is particularly rich in endemic and relict plants that escaped a series of glaciations in sheltered pockets. The vegetation of the Caucasus represents one of the richest gene banks of plant species useful for agriculture and medicine. It includes over 7,000 plant species, of which 4500 can be found in Azerbaijan (along with 600 species of vertebrates and at least 14,000 species of insects). Seven percent (270) of Azerbaijan’s plant species are endemic to the country. The Greater and Lesser Caucasus regions in Azerbaijan are represented by vast forests, which make up over 48 percent of all the forest areas of the country. The flora is dominated by oak species, mixed with others such as hornbeam, lime, sweet chestnut, ash and others at lower altitudes, and burch, beech and maple in the higher zones. Pine forests are restricted to several areas in the east. The mountain zone also contains Caucasian pear (Pyrus caucasicum) and Oriental apple (Malus orientalis), and other wild relatives of major horticultural species. From 2500 to 3000 meters above sea level, the rich sub-alpine zone contains regionally endemic birch and oak species. Above that lies the alpine zone, dominated by short-grass meadows, alpine meadows and Rhododendron, and a sub-nival zone with over 300 plant species, many of them associated with rock and talus substrates. Through a series of analytical reports and stakeholder workshops, the Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund36 has recently completed an ecosystem profile and five year investment strategy for the Caucasus eco-region. The ecosystem profile emphasizes conservation outcome targets defined at three levels: species (extinctions avoided); sites (areas protected); and landscapes (corridors created). Local conservation experts and other stakeholders identified 10 corridors that encompass the vast majority of outcomes defined for the Caucasus hotspot, including most of the 51 globally threatened species. Five of these areas were identified as top priority for conservation action, taking into account representativeness, level of biodiversity, threats, current investments and other factors. These five corridors, covering 14.2 million hectares, account for 68 percent of the total area and 66 percent of the site outcomes of all 35 The Caucasus hotspot spans 500,000 km2 of mountains between the Black Sea and Caspian Sea, including parts of Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and small parts of Russia, Iran and Turkey. 36 joint initiative of Conservation International (CI), the Global Environment Facility (GEF), the Government of Japan, the MacArthur Foundation and the World Bank 35 10 corridors. Ninety percent (46) of the species outcomes are found in these five corridors, including all six critically endangered species. All 18 landscape species are represented within the five target corridors, as well as half of the bird congregation areas, and 14 of the 17 restricted-range species that are found in all 10 corridors. All major habitats are represented in the target corridors. Two of these five target corridors are the Greater Caucasus (including the proposed Shah Dag NP) and the East Lesser Caucasus (including the Ordubad NP). The Greater Caucasus Corridor consists of about 4.68 million hectares of middle and high mountain areas of the Greater Caucasus Range. The profile identified 40 specific “outcome sites” in the Greater Caucasus corridor, making up almost half the total area, containing twenty globally threatened and seven restricted-range species. About 35 percent of the corridor is currently under some form of protection, including 15 strict nature reserves, three national parks and 23 sanctuaries and other areas. In several cases there are adjacent reserves on opposite sides of national borders, offering great potential for transboundary cooperation, for example in the form of wildlife corridors to facilitate migration. Illegal logging, overgrazing, poaching and political strife were identified as the main threats to biodiversity in the region. The Easet Lesser Caucasus Corridor is home to 14 globally threatened species, including leopard and hyena. The Ordubad NP includes portions of transboundary migration corridors for four endangered ungulate species. In addition to their significance as global, regional and national biodiversity assets, both the SDNP and ONP represent important economic assets, due to their rich natural resources and tourism potential. The proposed expanded ONP contains a large proportion of all high elevation pasture in the Nakchchivan Autonomous Republic. Shah Dag is Azerbaijan’s second highest mountain and serves as a watershed which provides much of the water for Baku and the Absheron Peninsula, which is home to nearly 30 percent of the country’s population. THREATS TO BIODIVERSITY During the Soviet era, Azerbaijan imported large amounts of wood from Russia and other parts of the USSR, and also distributed subsidized natural gas in mountain areas. Since the collapse of the USSR, deforestation has become a major threat to Azerbaijan’s biodiversity, due to both illegal harvesting of timber and uncontrolled fuelwood exploitation. The presence of large numbers of internally displaced people from the war with Armenia has further aggravated the situation, as has a greatly weakened government forest service. Forest edges are also being pushed back (to higher elevations) through grazing pressure. Overgrazing of pastures due to overstocking has also become a major problem, beginning in the late 1980s as herds grew in response to growing unemployment and declining economic opportunities in other sectors. There is clear evidence of overgrazing at all altitudinal levels (montane, sub-alpine and alpine), with a visible trend of replacement of the original grassland species by unpalatable or grazing-resistant species such as sedges, flatweeds, and mat-grass. In sub-alpine meadows, which serve as summer pastures overgrazing and associated disturbance is contributing to declines in wild goats and chamois. In the lowland grasslands, where the same sheep herds go for winter pasture, severe overgrazing is significantly impacting the endemic 36 flora and fauna of steppe ecosystems. Competition for grazing has contributed to the decline of Persian gazelle and, indirectly, striped hyena. Traditionally, sheep were grazed in alpine meadows, with subalpine meadows reserved for fodder production and used during the winter months. However, traditional grazing areas in the north Caucasus (Dagestan, Georgia) are no longer accessible, and livestock is kept nearer to villages all year round, resulting in overgrazing of subalpine meadows as well as degradation of fragile subalpine woodland ecosystems. There is evidence of significant declines in populations of large mammals, particularly ungulates and predators such as wolf, lynx and brown bear. While there is little by way of concrete data, it is believed that illegal hunting has a significant impact, along with habitat loss and competition with domestic livestock. RELATION TO GEF OPERATIONAL PROGRAMS The proposed project falls under the Biodiversity Conservation Focal Area of the GEF, and is consistent with several GEF Operational Programs: Biodiversity, Mountain Ecosystems, Forest Ecosystems, and Integrated Ecosystem Management. The project’s proposed interventions follow the GEF OP guidance by emphasizing the creation of an enabling environment for biodiversity conservation, forest and rangeland management; supporting sustainable protected areas; the strengthening of institutional capacities at local, regional and national levels; and investing in sustainable natural resource management. 37 Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project PROJECT/DATE DONOR SECTOR ISSUES ADDRESSED Urgent Environmental Investment Project IDA Cultural Heritage Project (1999) IDA Caspian Environment Programme GEF/UNDP Trans Caucasus Tourism Initiative (Pilot Program) Small CDD Grants Program Preparation of Biodiversity Strategy, Action Plan and National Report Caucasus Ecosystem Profile WB/ Govt. of Switzerland Building institutional capacity for environmental management (MENR), Restoring cultural heritage sites in Baku, Sheki and Khatum (Nakhchivan); supporting community-led tourism, training and capacity-building Develop and implement strategies for restoring and managing biodiversity and environmental quality of the Caspian Sea (including a small grants program implemented by WB) Development of infrastructure and capacity for communitybased tourism Transboundary Grants Programme Swiss Government, through Regional Environment Center for Caucasus WB/Norwegian Trust Fund GEF/UNDP Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund Identified priority conservation areas and targets; will provide small grants to NGOs to support implementation of the resulting strategy Conservation of highland ecosystems, community-based natural resource management, protection of endangered species 38 OED Rating or IP/DO ratings from PSR (For WB-financed Projects) Annex 3: Results Framework and Monitoring AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Outcome Indicators PDO To introduce improved natural resource management and related economic activities in two mountainous areas of Azerbaijan, in order to enhance the ecological quality and the sustainable productivity of high elevation forests and pastures Establishment of a pasture management and monitoring system over approximately 35,000 ha Preparation of forest management plans based on updated inventories Adoption of improved livestock husbandry methods by at least 20% of residents of target villages Global Objective To protect biodiversity in two globally significant biodiversity areas within the Caucasus and Zangezur mountains, and introduce and pilot an inclusive model of Protected Area management in Azerbaijan Addition of 353,000 ha to the Protected Areas system of Azerbaijan Adoption of key elements of stakeholder participation and multi-purpose management approach in other PAs in Azerbaijan 39 Use of Outcome Information Monitoring data from pilot pasture areas will be used to assess and raise awareness concerning the benefits of improved pasture management. The quality of forest management plans will indicate success of capacity building in forest management. The extent to which farmers in participating villages adopt improved livestock methods under the project will indicate whether a broader economic transition is likely to be successful in the longer term Successful establishment of SDNP and expansion of ONP will indicate that the multiple use/multiple ownership model of PA is feasible in the Azerbaijan context Successful involvement of stakeholders in park planning and management under the project will indicate that Azerbaijan is ready to move beyond the traditional centralized control model Intermediate Results One per Component Component 1 (Park Establishment and Management) Results Indicators for Each Component* 353,000 additional hectares legally designated as protected area (approval of NP charters) Establishment and increasingly effective management of two model large, multiple-use National Parks (Shah Dag and Ordubad) 100% of planned NP management positions, and 75% of planned staff positions filled with qualified personnel NP Governing Board established Management and zoning plans completed for SDNP and ONP Increase in number of people entering SDNP park, who indicate their primary purpose is tourism Percent increase in dry vegetation biomass in Priority 1 pasture conservation/management areas Component 2 (Communitylevel investment in sustainable agriculture and natural resource management) Traditional economic activities (particularly livestock husbandry) shifted towards more modern, value-added approaches that place less demand on natural resources Increase in average value of ecological forest quality index for SDNP Hectares under forage crop production in the target village clusters Percent increase in average household income from dairy products in target village clusters Number of cows/village/year artificially inseminated in target village clusters Number of hectares of trees planted (on municipal & unforested Forest Fund land) Number of village pasture management plans prepared (for municipal pastures) 40 Use of Results Monitoring Establishment of Governing Board and filling of management and staff positions will signal readiness to move into implementation of Component 1 activities Completion of management and zoning plans will indicate that mechanisms for participatory planning and management are in place, and will trigger investment in infrastructure, equipment, etc. Increase in tourist entries to SDNP will indicate infrastructure investment and other support for tourism development is successful Improvements in measures of pasture and forest quality will indicate that technical approaches are appropriate and management institutions are functioning as intended Adoption of forage crop production and artificial insemination, and preparation of pasture management plans, will confirm local farmers’ commitment to shifting to more modern and sustainable livestock production Increase in average household income from dairy products will indicate strategies for transforming livestock production are successful and profitable Meeting tree planting targets will confirm local communities’ commitment to become more self-sufficient in fuel production and reduce pressure on natural forest Component 3 (Rural Enterprise Development) Opportunities for development of environmentally friendly local small/medium enterprises demonstrated (with particular emphasis on tourism) Number of business plans developed with assistance of Mobile Business Advisory teams Percentage of the business plans that relate to tourism Number of grants awarded for small enterprises Meeting the target for total number of business plans (200), and a high proportion of proposed enterprises (150) qualifying for grants, will confirm demand and commitment on the part of local entrepreneurs and indicate that the Business Advisory Teams are functioning well If a substantial proportion (30% or more) of business plans relate to tourism enterprises, it will confirm that tourism is regarded as a promising economic sector and strengthen the case that it can become a viable alternative to destructive natural resource use Component 4 (Project Management and Monitoring) Project objectives and targets of multi-sectoral coordination and implementation achieved Project Monitoring and Evaluation indicators identified and tracked Socio-economic impact indicators identified and tracked Survey results show significant increased local knowledge and understanding of, and support for, the two multi-purpose National Parks Shah Dag region tourism strategy and plan prepared and supported by broad stakeholder group Percent of activities in Annual Work Plans completed on schedule *Quantitative targets provided in results monitoring table 41 Achievement of these targets will indicate the PIU is functioning effectively, and that there is commitment to cross-sectoral coordination. Results from the socio-economic impact monitoring may lead to changes in project design or implementation, aimed at avoiding negative impacts and maximizing local benefits Arrangements for results monitoring Outcome Indicators Baseline Target Values YR2 YR3 YR1 YR4 Data Collection and Reporting Frequency and Data Collection Responsibility for Reports Instruments Data Collection Results Indicators for Each Component Component One : Approval of NP charters 0 75% of NP planned management staff positions filled 0 NP Governing Board established 0 1 Management and zoning plans completed 0 inventories; staff training Increase in number of people entering park who indicate their primary purpose is tourism TBD in Yr. 1 with survey 1 Signed Charter 100% dept. heads; 30% staff 100% dept. heads; 75% staff PIU MENR PIU 1 MENR 25% Hectares under protection (Protected Area) SDNP Ordubad NP 84,000 ha 12,200 ha 343,000 ha 137,000 ha Increase in biomass in highest priority pasture areas (as determined by management plans) TBD by NP management plan Baseline determined Change in average value of a forest quality index in SDNP Determined by inventory in Yr. 1 10% Baseline determined 42 NP Authority Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers PIU NP management plans, M&E reports NP Authority >0 NP Authority Outcome Indicators Baseline Target Values* YR2 YR3 YR1 YR4 Data Collection and Reporting Frequency and Data Collection Responsibility for Reports Instruments Data Collection Component Two : Hectares under forage crop production Negligible (~ 0 ha) TBD TBD TBD TBD Rayon Executive Authority Number of hybrid cows in project area TBD TBD TBD 2000 5000 Rayon Executive Authority Increase in average household income from dairy products in villages receiving assistance TBD by appraisal 10% over baseline 20% over baseline Hectares of trees planted (municipal & deforested Forest Fund land) 0 300 ha Number of village pasture management plans for municipal pastures 0 5 15 During 3rd and 4th year Household income survey PIU 1000 ha Municipality & PIU 25 PIU Component Three: Mobile teams of business advisors hired and equipped 0 mobile teams Business plans developed 0 Grants provided for small enterprises 0 150 % of business plans related to tourism 0 30% 5 mobile teams PIU 100 200 43 Business Service providers PIU Business Service providers Component Four: I.R. indicators identified All indicators Identified; baselines completed Tracking Increased knowledge, understanding and support for multiple-use parks No info Design survey & baseline Interim survey E.O.P. survey survey PIU Socio-economic impact indicators developed and tracked No info Design survey & baseline Interim survey E.O.P. survey survey PIU Shah Dag regional tourism strategy developed and supported by broad stakeholder group General MoT strategy exists Mechanism in place Draft strategy and plan Stakeholder endorsement 80% 80% 80% Monitoring and Evaluation indicators identified and tracked % of activities in annual work plans completed on schedule Tracking * cumulative values 44 Tracking Yearly PIU PIU 80% Progress reports PIU Annex 4: Detailed Project Description AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project The project will support the restoration, protection and improved management of economically and biologically important forest and pasture land, much of which is currently poorly managed and heavily degraded. It also aims to reduce pressure on these natural resources by assisting local communities to develop alternatives (e.g., woodlots and livestock fodder), to improve the productivity and sustainability of their traditional economic activities (particularly livestock husbandry), and to diversify into other economic activities such as tourism, handicrafts, and marketing of sustainably harvested non-timber forest products. The main instrument for achieving these objectives will be the creation of two large, inclusive national parks (NPs). These will differ from the four existing NPs in the country, which have no resident populations and in which tourism is the only permitted economic activity or land use other than protection and research37. The Shah Dag National Park (SDNP) and the enlarged Ordubad National Park (ONP) will be created using a multiple-use/landscape management model, including an institutional structure park management which includes local communities and other stakeholders. Also unlike existing NPs, the parks will have an explicit objective (stated in their Charters) of providing benefits for local communities, in addition to protecting biodiversity and natural ecosystems. While common in western and central Europe, this model of PA is new to most CIS countries, including Azerbaijan. The multiple-use model will allow existing residents of the park areas to remain in place, retain ownership of their land, and to engage in environmentally sustainable agriculture and other activities, based on jointly developed zoning and management plans. Updated inventories and assessments to be undertaken during the first year of the project will be used to identify core conservation areas for strict biodiversity protection, and to determine the types and levels of acceptable land and resource use in other areas. The project will also include a variety of measures to help close the gap between local demand for, and sustainable supply of, wood products. Similarly, pressure on natural pressures will be reduced by promoting and supporting fodder production and stall feeding. Tourism represents one of the few sectors in which biodiversity-rich areas, including mountains, have a comparative advantage, and there is growing interest in and support for transboundary tourism in the Caucasus ecoregion. Therefore, developing park infrastructure and management capacity for ecotourism, and assisting local communities to develop tourism-related economic activities, are also important project objectives. Tourism development planning for the parks will emphasize integration both with national tourism strategies and priorities (e.g. propoor rural tourism, cultural heritage attractions, national circuits) and regional (transboundary) initiatives. 37 Strict Nature Reserves (Zapovedniks) do not even allow tourism 45 The economic development aspect of the project consists of two elements: (i) community-level investment to restore and improve the productive base for agriculture and livestock (e.g. pasture improvement, small scale infrastructure, access to agricultural machinery, basic services to support genetic improvement of livestock, etc.); and (ii) assistance to individual entrepreneurs to start or expand environmentally and economically sound commercial enterprises. The first element addresses the urgent, short- term need for poverty alleviation and for mitigating potential negative impacts of new restrictions on access to forests and pastures. While priority will be given to the villages most affected by such restrictions, it is expected that most or all villages within the project area will benefit from some assistance under this component. The second element is intended to help lay the groundwork for a longer-term shift of the local economic base away from activities based on large-scale, low-value consumption of natural resources, towards more sustainable alternatives such as tourism, stall-based dairy cattle and high value, specialty tree crops. This economic evolution will take a considerable period of time and investment and support from many sources. The aim under this project is necessarily modest: to provide demonstrations and models, and to catalyze the development of local financial and technical services and systems to support this type of commercial development over the long term. COMPONENT 1. National Parks Establishment and Management (US$ 8.72 million): This component will support the legal establishment (Shah Dag) and expansion (Ordubad) of the two national parks, creation and strengthening of modern park management institutions and systems, and the development and implementation of management plans. The multiple-use model will be implemented by establishing different management zones within the parks, including: core conservation zones, restoration zones, sustainable natural resource management zones, tourism development zones, and residential and economic development zones. Almost all of the State Forest land in the SDNP (ca. 90,000 ha) is likely to fall into the core conservation, ecological protection or restoration zones. The 1500 ha of forest that will be incorporated into the expanded Ordubad NP is expected to become core conservation area. With respect to pastures, in SDNP, about 10,000 ha is expected to be placed into core conservation zones, with most of the remaining area zoned for controlled grazing. The existing Ordubad NP contains about 12,000 ha of high elevation pasture land from which grazing has already been eliminated and which is likely to become core conservation. The additional 125,000 has to be included in the expanded park will continue to be used for grazing. In both areas, livestock density is far in excess of the sustainable carrying capacity (in some areas, up to five times higher). However, their numbers cannot be drastically reduced in the short term, both because of political pressures and because it would have unacceptable impacts on local livelihoods. In addition, institutional and technical capacity for pasture and grazing management will have to be built over time, as there is virtually no existing local experience or capacity. This is particularly true as the objective is to develop community-based management systems. The project will focus on starting a transition towards sustainable use by restoring and introducing management in about 10-20% of the total pasture area, identified as highest priority on the basis of biodiversity value and ecological functions such as erosion control. These grazing restrictions 46 will be implemented in parallel with measures to compensate for their economic impacts (e.g. increased fodder production, developing alternative sources of income. According to Azerbaijan legislation, all land within PAs belongs to the State and falls under the sole jurisdiction of the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR). However, the proposed SDNP area contains State, municipal (Balladiya 38) and privately owned land, and the intention is that the current owners will retain ownership rights, subject to the park’s restrictions and regulations39. It also covers parts of six Rayons, with ten more holding grazing rights within the area. A number of central government Ministries and agencies also have mandates and programs within the area. The project will provide technical and financial support to establish an institutional structure that provides for the effective participation and coordination of all these stakeholders (e.g., through a multi-sectoral Board and stakeholder advisory committees). The expanded ONP will include only a few villages and therefore will not need a similar institutional structure. The project will support measures to modernize and improve park management capacity and increase participation of stakeholders in both parks. Specific activities to be financed under this component include: delineation and demarcation of park boundaries; technical assistance and training for institutional capacity building; preparation of zoning and management plans and annual operating plans; implementation of management plans, including rehabilitation and limited construction of critical infrastructure needed for park management and supporting activities (e.g. tourism) and essential equipment; establishment and implementation of an ecological monitoring system; and operating costs (with GEF covering incremental costs associated with the creation and testing of new institutional structures and addressing new mandates, such as building partnerships with local communities and other stakeholders). The component will be implemented by the Ministry of Ecology, Department of Biodiversity Conservation and Development of Specially Protected Natural Areas (DBCDSPNA), with support and assistance from the Project Implementation Unit (PIU). The component will be financed by GEF ($ 2.11 million), IDA ($ 3.65 m), PHRD ($1.70 m) and GOA ($1.27 m). COMPONENT 2. Community-level investment in sustainable agriculture and natural resource management (US$ 4.42 million): This component will assist communities living inside or immediately adjacent to the two national parks to shift their traditional agricultural and natural resource use practices towards more modern and efficient approaches that place less pressure on natural resources and natural ecosystems. The main focus is on livestock husbandry, which is the economic mainstay of local communities, and also one of the greatest threats to the area’s biodiversity and ecological systems, particularly in the vulnerable high elevation summer pastures. Component 2 will help make it possible to reduce grazing pressure, by assisting local communities to shift away from their reliance on grazing sheep on deteriorating natural pastures, towards a more intensive Under Azerbaijan law, Municipalities (Balladiyas) are not government structures but are recognized as” nongovernmental systems of organization of citizens’ activity” legally empowered to settle issues of local importance. They are legal entities and can own land and property and hold bank accounts. 39 Under the principle of “servitude” under Azerbaijan law 38 47 livestock production system involving fodder production and stall feeding of higher quality animals. In particular, the aim is to promote dairy cattle, which are typically kept close to home and also offer the greatest potential for a return on investment. Assistance will also be provided for restoring and improving badly degraded municipal pastures close to villages, and for development of community-based grazing management plans for these areas. The objective is not to eliminate extensive sheep grazing on natural pastures entirely, but to make it ecologically sustainable. For example, due to a shortage of fodder, shepherds currently bring herds into summer pastures too early, before the vegetation has had a chance to become established. This destructive practice can only be eliminated through a combination of better controls and providing viable alternatives such as increased availability of fodder. With the help of a technical advisory team, communities will develop village investment plans, drawing up on a menu of options aimed at facilitating this transition in livestock production (inputs, equipment and small scale irrigation for fodder production; milk collection and storage systems; artificial insemination services; barn improvement; restoration and management of nearby municipal pastures; etc.). Villagers have also indicated that access to agricultural machinery and irrigation will enable them to resume growing potatoes and other crops which were important income earners in the past. With the end of subsidized natural gas and timber from the Soviet Union, local forests have become the main source of wood for fuel and construction in the project areas. Current local demand for wood in the SDNP area is estimated at 100,000 m3 per year, while sustainable wood off-take may be as little as 5,000 m3 per year40. The gap is currently being met through illegal, unsustainable cutting. Restoration and long-term sustainable management of the forests will require stricter enforcement but, as in the case of pastures, this will have negative impacts on local welfare and livelihoods. To help address this problem, the project will support communitybased reforestation and management of currently treeless or badly degraded municipal and State forest lands as an alternative source of wood. It will also support demonstrations of the benefits of more efficient heating stoves and development and promotion of alternative sources of energy. Villages will be organized into Village Clusters (VC) for efficiency of service delivery and to achieve a critical mass of users for sustainability of investments such as agricultural mechanization centers and milk collection centers. The project will provide such support to 55 villages, in 15 VCs, representing about half of the total population in the two parks41. The villages and VCs will be selected on the basis of criteria including their dependence on the natural resources of the park areas (and consequently the threat they currently represent to the park and their potential to be negatively affected by access restrictions imposed by park management); their interest in participating and willingness to organize themselves and to contribute time and labor; the amount of cultivatable land potentially available for forage production, etc.. 40 The precise figure will only be known when new forest inventories and management plans are completed during Years 1-2 of the project 41 Including 67% of the population inside the SDNP, and 29% of the population of villages inside or close to the boundaries of the ONP. It should be noted that the expansion of the ONP will have relatively little impact on these villages, compared to potential impacts on those inside SDNP. 48 Specific activities to be financed under this component include: technical assistance, small scale works (ponds and pipelines for irrigation; facilities for the MEs); goods and equipment for the village investments and services; and operating costs for the Municipal Enterprises that will implement Component 2 activities. This component will be financed by GEF ($1.19 m), IDA ($2.29 m), PHRD ($ 0.46 m), and Government ($ 0.48 m). COMPONENT 3: Rural Enterprise Development (US$ 1.96 million) There is presently little commercial activity in the project areas, other than low value livestock production. Crops are grown mainly for family use or sold locally. In the past there were some medium-sized factories and workshops for carpet-making, leather work and other handicrafts, juice-processing, etc. in the larger towns, but the plants have almost all closed since the end of the Soviet era. These activities now continue only at a household level with very limited sales, mainly on an ad hoc basis to tourists. Tourism itself is limited, with approximately 100,000 people per year visiting the Shah Dag area, many of whom are low-spending day trippers. The few relatively modern accommodations and services are mainly owned by people from outside the area, while some local families and businessmen running low-end guest houses, home stays, small restaurants and shops. The project areas are rich in tourism potential and in natural resources such as wild fruits and nuts, herbs and medicinal plants, honey, etc., but the revival of commercial activity is severely hampered by a lack of accessible and affordable credit, poor infrastructure and market access resulting in uncompetitive products; outdated equipment and facilities, and most of all by a lack of familiarity with modern production, business and marketing practices. Stimulating small and medium enterprise (SME) development is a popular focus of both Government and donor-funded programs in the country, but mostly targets urban and low-elevation (irrigated) agricultural areas. However, people in the project area are highly motivated to embark upon commercial enterprises, both in familiar (e.g. handicrafts, fruit) and less familiar (tourism) sectors. Component 3 aims to stimulate economic diversification in the areas by assisting local entrepreneurs to obtain the technical and business information and advice and the financing they need to start or expand small and medium commercial enterprises. The information and advice will be provided by small mobile business advisory teams funded by the project 42 that will assist interested clients to identify and assess the viability of commercial ventures, prepare business plans and, where necessary, obtain financing. The technical advisors will also help PIU and Government to identify and alleviate policy, regulatory and other types of constraints to SME development, The project will support a matching grants program to provide start-up grants of about $2000 - $10,000, based on an independent evaluation of the business plans. When the business plans call for a larger amount or longer term financing, the advisors will assist the prospective entrepreneurs to apply for loans from existing banks or other credit institutions. For both the technical assistance and matching grants, priority will be given to activities that are linked to national park objectives, including tourism-related enterprises, alternative energy and energy efficiency (e.g. improved heating stoves), and value-added processing of sustainably harvested 42 five teams of two long-term local consultants each, with overall support from a short term international consultant 49 (non-threatened) natural resources such as fruits and nuts. Enterprises that support Component 2 objectives (e.g. processing of dairy products) will also be particularly encouraged. Proposals from the poorest villages, or with a strong public goods element, will receive a higher proportion of grant financing, up to 100% in some cases. However, grants will only be provided based on a solid business plan (including market analysis) that indicates the enterprise is likely to be commercially viable. (Rehabilitation of key access roads under Component 1 is also expected to contribute significantly to the likelihood of success of businesses, by improving access to inputs and markets). Given the time and resources available, the scale of intervention will be relatively small, with a target of 200 business plans completed and 150 grants awarded by the end of the project43. The objective is not to achieve a large scale transformation of local economies, but to catalyze a shift by stimulating interest, demonstrating and testing different types of business opportunities, building local understanding and capacity for business planning and development, and creating an environment that will encourage other SME programs and micro-credit institutions to increase their presence in the project areas. This component will be financed by IDA ($ 0.65 million), GEF (0.63 million), PHRD ($0.53 million) and Government (0.15 million). COMPONENT 4: Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation, and Communications (US$ 1.78 million) This component will support overall project management and administration, including the staffing and operating costs of a central Project Implementation Unit and three “branch” PIUs (two in Shah Dag area, one in Ordubad area). The branch offices are needed because of the remoteness, difficulty of access and poor communications infrastructure of many of the project sites. They will provide day-to-day support and oversight for project activities and serve as the home base for long and short term consultants in the field, including the mobile technical teams described in Component B. The PIU will be responsible for procurement, financial management and general administration, including facilitating inter-Ministerial and inter-agency coordination. It will also develop and implement a Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) system addressing both project operations and impacts, and be responsible for progress reporting. Under this component, the PIU will also coordinate several cross-cutting activities, including the development and implementation of a communications plan (in collaboration with local authorities and NGOs) to increase awareness and knowledge of the project and its objectives and activities at all levels and to disseminate information on results; evaluation of the socio economic impacts of the project (including a detailed baseline survey and assessment, to fill important existing gaps in the site-specific data socio-economic survey); design and oversight of monitoring and evaluation of the project as a whole; and facilitating the development of a cross-sectoral, multi-stakeholder tourism development plan for the greater Shah Dag area. This component will be financed by GEF ($1.07 m), IDA ($ 0.37 m), and Government ($0.32 m). 43 Since the mobile technical teams will work closely with applicants throughout the process, it is assumed that most business plans that reach the stage of completion will be eligible for grants 50 Annex 5: Project Costs AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Project Cost By Component and/or Activity 1. National Park establishment and management 2. Community-level investment in agriculture and natural resource management 3. Small enterprise development 4. Project management, monitoring and evaluation, and communications Total Baseline Cost Physical Contingencies Price Contingencies Total Project Costs1 Front-end Fee Total Financing Required 1 Local Foreign Total US $million US $million US $million 5.46 2.36 7.82 2.68 1.23 3.91 1.64 1.42 0.26 0.24 1.90 1.66 11.20 0.45 0.80 12.44 4.10 0.11 0.22 4.43 15.30 0.56 1.02 16.88 12.44 4.43 16.88 Identifiable taxes and duties are US$m ___, and the total project cost, net of taxes, is US$m___. Therefore, the share of project cost net of taxes is ___%. 51 Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Project implementation arrangements will be detailed in the Project Implementation Manual (PIM), which will include Operational Manuals (OM) for Components 2 (community level investment) and 3 (rural enterprise development). These OMs will be concise and written in a user-friendly manner to be easily understood and followed by those responsible for implementation of these activities and by the beneficiaries. A draft PIM will be reviewed at project appraisal, and an approved final version will be a condition of project effectiveness. Overall project coordination, implementation and cross-cutting Activities (Component 4) The Project Implementation Unit (PIU) of the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR) will be responsible for overall coordination of project implementation, including program planning, administration, procurement and financial management (except where this is specifically delegated to others, such as Municipal Enterprises), monitoring and evaluation, and reporting. The PIU has been in existence for over five years and has considerable previous experience with World Bank-financed projects. The PIU Director will have overall responsibility. However, because the PIU also has other functions (including implementation of other projects), a Project Coordinator and Assistant Project Coordinator will be engaged specifically for the REP. They will be selected based both on project administration experience and on their technical backgrounds, with the aim of covering both the biodiversity conservation/NRM and the rural development aspects of the project. The Assistant Project Coordinator will spend half or more of his/her time developing and coordinating the implementation of the cross-cutting programs for which PIU is directly responsible (M&E, assessment of socio-economic impacts and tourism plan for the greater Shah Dag area). As needed, training will be provided to prepare him/her for these responsibilities. The central PIU will also include a procurement specialist, a financial management specialist and an accountant. Due to the distances involved and the poor infrastructure in the project areas, three small Project Coordination Units (PCUs) -- decentralized branches of the PIU -- will also be established for the life of the project (one in the Ordubad area, one in eastern Shah Dag and one in western Shah Dag). Each PCU will have a staff of two people: a Local Project Coordinator with experience in project administration and natural resource management and/or rural development, and an assistant with experience in procurement and financial management/accounting. The PCUs will be the local “face” of the project. They will provide day-to-day advice and support to the implementers of all three components, will be primarily responsible for liaison between beneficiaries and local governments and the PIU, will keep records and collect information for the M&E program, and will provide logistical assistance and serve as a home base for the short and long term technical advisors. 52 Component 1: National Parks Establishment and Management Under the Law on Specially Protected Natural Areas and Objects (2000), the Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources (MENR) has the legal mandate to manage all Specially Protected Natural Areas (SPNA). MENR therefore will have overall responsibility for implementation of this component, through its recently established Department of Biodiversity Conservation and Development of Specially Protected Natural Areas (DBCDSPNA). However, the DBCDSPNA is a small, central policy and coordination unit, not an implementing body. In Azerbaijan, each SPNA is established as a separate legal entity with its own Charter, which lays out its objectives, rules and regulations and a management body (hereafter called the Park Administration, or Administration). As is the case for all SPNAs, the salaries and basic operating costs of the ONP and SDNP Administrations will be the responsibility of Government (recurrent cost budget). However, the project will provide capital investment (additional facilities and equipment), training and technical assistance, and incremental operating costs associated with building their capacity to increase their effectiveness and to implement the new model of a multi-purpose national park. Ordubad National Park The ONP is an existing PA, with an approved Charter, and an Administration (ONPA). Its current size is 12,200 hectares, and it is classified as a Strict Nature Reserve. Under the project, the ONP will be expanded to over 137,000 hectares, and it will be reclassified as a National Park. It will encompass large, multiple use areas (mainly wildlife migration corridors) in addition to the existing Reserve, which will become a core conservation area within the park.. Therefore, the existing ONPA will be expanded, both at the field level (increased number of “rangers,” and at the management level to increase capacity in areas such as natural resource management, community relations and tourism development and management. The MENR will provide a proposed expanded structure for the ONPA at project appraisal, including an indication of the additional staff to be hired and associated costs. Shah Dag National Park The proposed SDNP presents a greater institutional challenge than the ONP. It covers a much larger area, includes large areas of State forest as well as State pasture land, and encompasses more Rayons, villages and municipal and private lands. Municipalities and private individuals will retain ownership of their land that falls within the park, and will continue to use it for agriculture, tourism and other economic purposes. Therefore, the SDNP’s administrative structure must include mechanisms to bring these diverse interests together and enable them to participate in decision-making and implementation of management plans. The creation of a new entity provides the opportunity for piloting an innovative approach in the country, which will be modeled on similar multiple use and multiple ownership PAs elsewhere (e.g. national parks in many European countries, and a variety of protected landscapes and marine reserves around the world). A structure has been proposed by the PIU and project preparation team and is currently under review by Government. The MENR will provide a proposed version for discussion among the Government, the Bank and key stakeholders at project appraisal. The final, approved 53 version of the institutional structure, and its relationship to the MENR and DBCDSPNA, will be described in the SDNP Charter and/or Bye-laws, which will also legally establish the subsidiary bodies described below and detail their respective authority and responsibilities. The Charter and Bye-laws will be finalized and approved prior to project effectiveness, or during the first year of the project. The proposed structure consists of three main elements: A multi-sectoral, multi-stakeholder Governing Board, to which MENR will delegate overall responsibility for managing the SDNP and its resources. Among its responsibilities will be the approval of SDNP Management Plans, which should be prepared every five years. The Board will include representatives from key central Ministries and departments (see below), Rayon Executive Authorities (1 or 2 representatives, rotating among the six Rayons within SDNP), Municipalities (2 or 3 representatives, rotating among the approximately 60 within SDNP), an environmental/conservation NGO active in the area, and local business (particularly tourism). The resulting Board will be large (about 10-13 members), but it would be difficult to make it smaller without excluding important stakeholders; A SDNP Administration, reporting to the Governing Board. Because of the large area and difficult communications, it is proposed that the SDNP will be divided into three semi-autonomous regional operational units, each headed by a Deputy Director, under the coordination of one overall Director. This will involve establishing four administrative basis (although the overall park headquarters can share facilities with one of the regional headquarters). A draft initial staffing plan for the SPNA has been submitted to Government for review. In addition to the administrative, security, research and other functions that are common to park Administrations elsewhere in the country, the SPNA will have departments or units responsible for management of forests and pastures, community/stakeholder partnership, and tourism development and management; Three Stakeholder Advisory Groups, one for each sub-region, to complement the Governing Board, and provide for a wider range of stakeholders to provide input to management decisions and express their views and concerns; As noted above, there are a number of government agencies and departments with direct interests and active programs in the SDNP area. Some of these will be subsumed by the SDNPA while others will continue in parallel and partnership with SDNPA: 44 45 Existing SPNAs in the SDNP area will be dissolved as separate legal entities and will become parts of the SNPA. This includes the Ismayilly and Pirgulu State Natural Reserves (zapovedniks44), and the Ismayilli and Gusary (Gebele) State Nature Preserves (zakazniks45). The SDNP management planning process will determine their status of these areas, but it is expected that most of their areas will become core conservation Strict nature reserves, where no exploitation of living resources or modification of habitat is allowed Wildlife reserves, where particular species are protected from hunting 54 zones within the SDNP. The staff and facilities of the existing SPNAs will be taken over by the SDNP as appropriate. The Ismayilly SNR has a staff of about 37, including a Director, Deputy Director, Economist, Bookkeeper, 3 Administrators, 3 Researchers, 8 Circuit Inspectors (8) and 18 rangers (Chasseurs). The Pirgulu SNR has a staff of about 28 with a similar structure. Both have small, old administration buildings in poor repair and are lacking in equipment and facilities. The Ismailly and Gusary SNPs do not have separate Administrations, but are subordinated to the two SNRs. Each has several field staff (Chasseurs) mainly tasked with anti-poaching. 46 47 State forests in Azerbaijan are under the jurisdiction of the MENR Department of Forest Extension and Development (DFED), which delegates management responsibility for specific forest units to State Enterprises for Forest Conservation and Restoration (SEFCR). The functions of the SEFCR include protection of forests against illegal cutting, fire and pests; rational, managed cutting of forests46; improving forest quality through replanting; and protection of biological and landscape diversity. Their structure is inherited from the Soviet era, with forest utilization and forest protection carried out by the same staff. There are currently six such forest management units and SEFCRs within the SDNP area (Gusary, Guba, Shemaha, Ismayilly, Gabala, Orghuz), with a total of about 375 staff. Under the proposed structure, these six SEFCRs will be dissolved. Responsibility for management of State forests within SDNP will be transferred to a forest management department or unit within the SDNPA, which will take on many (although probably not all) of the current SEFCR staff. The management of State pasture lands is legally complex and practically non-existent at this time, aside from administration of grazing rights. Winter and summer pastures are owned by the State, and are leased out to individuals for use through a permitting/contract system. Because pastures fall into the category of Lands of Agricultural Destination47, they are under the overall responsibility of the Ministry of Agriculture (MA). Regional representatives of the MA must agree to any contracts for leasing agricultural lands under State ownership (including pastures). However, they do not currently engage in any active management, such as planning, regulation, monitoring or enforcement. Regional representatives of the State Land and Cartography Committee (SLCC) at the Rayon level (RLCD) are responsible for some aspects of control and protection of land, including in principle the monitoring and reporting on soil quality, prevention of land degradation (e.g. erosion, salinization, etc.). However, they have little capacity for this and do not appear to have relevant programs or activities in the project areas. Chief Local Executive Authorities (CLEA) of the Rayons are key players, in that they actually issue and sign the individual grazing contracts, in consultation with the MA and RLCD. These contracts only specify the area of summer pasture involved and the duration of the license (maximum 15 years). The area covered in the contract is in principle based on the number of animals to be brought there (based on standard stocking rates), but the contracts do not actually specify an allowable number, so it is not possible to enforce. In practice shepherds typically bring much larger flocks, resulting in overgrazing. The contracts also do not set dates for the grazing season, with the result However, MENR imposed a ban on forest cutting in 2003, aside from very limited sanitary cutting Under the Land Code of Azerbaijan 55 that herds are often brought into the summer pastures early in the Spring, before the vegetation has had a chance to become well established. Introducing effective management for sustainable use of pastures is one of the main objectives of bringing these areas into the SDNP. Overall responsibility for State pasture lands will transfer from MA and SLCC to the SDNPA, which will designate areas available for grazing and establish overall parameters and conditions for the contracts (e.g. numbers of animals and entry and exit dates). The Rayon CLEAs will continue to issue the contracts to individuals and sign grazing contracts. The SDNPA will include a pasture management unit which will be responsible (in partnership with the users) for assessing pasture quality and ecological status, identifying priority areas for temporary closure or improved management, setting quotas and other use parameters, enforcing contracts and monitoring ecological impacts. However, capacity for pasture management is virtually non-existent at this time, and limiting access to certain areas or sizes of herds will undoubtedly be difficult both politically and socio-economically (risk of creating unacceptable negative impacts on poor local communities). Building capacity and acceptance will both take time. Therefore, pasture management will be phased in gradually, with only about 10-15% of the available grazing area in the SDNP expected to be brought under effective, sustainable management by the end of the project. These priority areas will be identified in the first SDNP Management Plan, based on factors such as biodiversity significance, ecological function (e.g. controlling soil erosion), and level or imminent threat of degradation. erosion control)Because of the lack of experience with such management and the need to. The remaining (non-priority) pasture area will be administered in the same way (grazing contracts issued by CLEAs based on the SDNP Management Plan and general conditions established by the SDNPA Director), but without the detailed use specifications, enforcement or monitoring. Other agencies with responsibility for management of land and/or natural resources within the proposed SDNP area include: the MENR Biodiversity Department and Scientific Coordination Council for Hunting Issues48 (setting hunting quotas and issuing hunting licenses); the MENR Department of Environmental Policy and Nature Protection (enforces environmental regulations in general); the State Committee on Amelioration and Water Resources (SCAWR) under the Cabinet of Ministers (rational use of water resources, including irrigation); the Ministry of Sport, Youth and Tourism (standards and regulations for tourism facilities); and the Municipalities, which own and control small areas of municipal forest and pasture land. In addition, there are important non-governmental stakeholders, including local residents, other livestock owners with existing grazing rights within the park, owners of tourism facilities, hunting associations, conservation organizations, etc. In other PAs in Azerbaijan such sectoral interests are usually limited to small scale infrastructure (e.g. telephone lines or pipelines) within the park, or narrowly defined use rights (e.g. mineral extraction at certain sites). In SDNP they will be much more significant, and cross-sectoral cooperation will be essential. 48 Comprised of the Head of the MENR Biodiversity Dept., representatives from scientific institutions, enterprises and NGOs 56 This will be achieved through adoption and implementation of a park Management Plan approved by the multi-sectoral Governing Board. . Component 2: Community-level Investment in Sustainable Agriculture and Natural Resource Management This component will finance goods, works and services to assist farmers in the project areas to modernize their livestock production methods, with the overall objective of catalyzing a shift away from a reliance on extensive grazing of sheep on natural pastures towards more intensive rearing of livestock (particularly dairy cattle) with much greater use of forage crops. It will support investments that are implemented by and benefit community groups rather than individuals. The implementation approach involves three main elements: Village clusters Because villages49 in the project area are small and scattered, it is not cost-effective to deliver goods and services to them individually. Furthermore, a critical mass of users is needed to make some types of investments (e.g. agricultural mechanization centers, milk collection equipment) economically viable and sustainable. The 63 villages within the proposed SDNP and the 33 villages within or adjacent to50 the proposed expanded ONP have therefore been grouped into Village Clusters (VCs). In view of the limited time and resources available, 11 of the 18 SDNP VCs identified in SDNP and 4 of the 10 ONP VCs will receive technical assistance and direct investment support under the project51. The proposed 15 VCs have been identified and prioritized based on criteria such as proximity of the villages to one another, population density, ease of access, availability of agricultural land for fodder crop production, and the extent to which the villages represent a source of pressure on the natural resources in the parks (and are likely to suffer negative impacts due to grazing restrictions). Municipal enterprises Providing investment and implementing activities at the community level is a particular challenge in Azerbaijan, because there are few substantial community organizations, and many people are wary of entering into arrangement that remind them of Soviet era communal structures. The legal mechanisms for establishing NGOs and community-based organizations can also be time consuming and difficult, for example requiring multiple visits to Baku. The Municipalities (balladiyas) provide a good basis for community-level investment and action in that they are local (village level), well-recognized and established legal entities (able to own property and hold bank accounts), and have an elected leadership which is empowered to make decisions on local-level issues. They are independent of the central government, and may be regarded as quasi-NGOs in which village level decision-making and community property are vested. However, they do not themselves have the structure or staff to implement project activities. Therefore, it is proposed that the VCs will establish a Municipal Enterprises (MEs) 49 Essentially the same as municipalities, or Balladiyas Within about 10 km of the proposed boundary 51 With three Technical Advisory teams working for 3 years, this amounts to 4 months of TA support per village cluster 50 57 for this purpose. MEs are non-profit corporations created and legally owned by the Municipalities. As such, they can hold assets and earn revenues, but these belong to the Municipalities (and thus to the villagers whom they legally represent), rather than to government or any individuals. MEs can be established through a relatively simple and clear legal process, including the establishment of an accountable governance structure and adoption of Bye-laws to create legally binding objectives and administrative procedures. Each VC will establish one ME (either by an elected “lead” Municipality or through a joint ownership mechanism), which will be responsible for implementation and operation of all community-level investments. The project will finance a few full-time staff and simple office and storage facilities for the MEs, and will provide the staff with training in procurement, accounting and key technical skills. The MEs’ activities will be financed through grants made by the project and deposited into their bank accounts. They will be responsible for procurement of goods and services, following the World Bank’s Guidelines for Community Level Procurement. The local PCUs will advise and support the MEs to help ensure they meet Bank and Government appropriate procurement and accounting requirements. The project will provide initial capital equipment and supplies and cover the staff and operating costs of the MEs for 18 months. However, it is expected that the MEs will continue to operate beyond the life of the project, maintaining the assets (equipment, storage facilities) and providing services which are not taken over by private sector providers. (For example, milk collection is likely to remain a community level activity, while artificial insemination and leasing of agricultural machinery are likely to become an attractive private business once the project has helped to stimulate demand in the project areas). To enhance their long-term sustainability, MEs will charge for their services from the beginning, probably below-cost in the first (introductory) year, but at a cost-recovery level by the end of the project (with a small profit margin for future capital reinvestment). Component 3: Rural Enterprise Development This component will provide technical assistance and business advice, and start-up financing for prospective entrepreneurs in the project areas to establish or expand environmentally and socially sound small and medium enterprises. While it would be preferable to work with and build capacity among local (long-term) technical and financial service providers, these are virtually non-existing in or in reasonable proximity to the project areas, and it is beyond the scope of the project to support their establishment. Instead, the PIU will engage experienced companies or NGOs to field five small (two-person), mobile Business Advisory teams for the life of the project, and to administer a modest matching grants facility. It is not expected that either will continue beyond the end of the project. Sustainability in this component will derive from the viability of the enterprises that this technical and financial support helps to launch, and from the demonstration effect that will stimulate others to initiate similar types of enterprises in the future. The Business Advisory Teams will be responsible for raising awareness and stimulating interest among prospective entrepreneurs, helping them to identify potential business opportunities and analyze their viability, develop business and financing plans, prepare 58 applications for the matching grants program and, where larger amounts or longer term financing are required, to identify and apply for credit from existing lending institutions. The company or NGO selected to administer the matching grants facility will be responsible for evaluating proposals for their technical, financial, environmental and social viability and passing recommendations to an awarding committee (headed by the PIU); administering and monitoring the use of grant funds; and regular reporting to PIU on progress of implementation of these activities. 59 Annex 7: Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project THIS ANNEX IS UNDER PREPARATION AND WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. 60 Annex 8: Procurement AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project THIS ANNEX IS UNDER PREPARATION AND WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. Table A: Project Costs by Procurement Arrangements (US$ million equivalent) Procurement Method1 Exenditure Category 1. Works 2. Goods 3. Services 4. Community Procurement 5. Training 6. Grants 7. Incremental Operating Costs & Recurrent Costs Total ICB 0.00 (0.00) 0.42 (0.38) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 NCB 2.59 (2.33) 1.86 (1.67) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 Other2 0.14 (0.13) 0.66 (0.60) 4.48 (3.85) 3.72 N.B.F. 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (3.28) 0.35 (0.35) 1.00 (1.00) 1.36 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.31 (3.28) 0.35 (0.35) 1.00 (1.00) 1.67 (0.00) (0.00) (1.09) (0.00) (1.09) 0.42 (0.38) 4.44 (4.00) 11.50 (10.10) 0.31 (0.00) 16.88 (14.48) Total Cost 2.73 (2.46) 2.94 (2.65) 4.48 (3.85) 3.72 1 Figures in parentheses are the amounts to be financed by the {Loan/Credit/Trust Fund}. All costs include contingencies. 2 Includes civil works and goods to be procured through national shopping, consulting services, services of contracted staff of the project management office, training, technical assistance services, and incremental operating costs related to (i) managing the project, and (ii) re-lending project funds to local government units. 61 Table A1: Consultant Selection Arrangements (optional) (US$ million equivalent) Selection Method Consultant Services Expenditure Category A. Firms B. Individuals Total QCBS QBS SFB LCS CQ Other N.B.F. 2.88 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.06 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.85 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.70 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) Total Cost1 3.79 (0.00) 0.70 (0.00) 2.88 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 0.06 (0.00) 0.85 (0.00) 0.70 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) 4.48 (0.00) Table B: Thresholds for Procurement Methods and Prior Review1 Expenditure Category Contract Value Threshold (US$ thousands) Procurement Method Contracts Subject to Prior Review (US$ millions) 1. Works 2. Goods 3. Services 4. [fill in] 5. [fill in] 6. [fill in] 1 Thresholds generally differ by country and project. Consult OD 11.04 "Review of Procurement Documentation" and contact the Regional Procurement Adviser for guidance. Total value of contracts subject to prior review: {value} Overall Procurement Risk Assessment: {High/Average/Low} Frequency of procurement supervision missions proposed: One every {number} months (includes special procurement supervision for post-review/audits) 62 Table C: Allocation of IDA Proceeds Expenditure Category Works Goods Training Grants Incremental Operating Costs Unallocated Total Project Costs Front-end Fee Total Amount in US$ million 1.91 3.34 0.21 0.50 0.65 0.36 6.96 Financing Percentage 60% 60% 55% 50% 40% 6.96 Table D: Allocation of GEF Proceeds Expenditure Category Works Goods Consulting Services – foreign individuals and firms (a) Components 1 through 3 (b) Component 4 Consulting Services – individuals and PIU staff (a) Component 4 Consulting Services – local firms (a) Component 4 Training Grants Incremental Operating Costs Unallocated Total Amount in US$ million 0.95 1.67 Financing Percentage 30% 30% 0.11 0.04 5% 85% 0.43 75% 0.29 0.17 0.50 0.65 0.18 5.00 85% 45% 50% 40% 63 Table E: Allocation of PHRD Proceeds Expenditure Category Consulting Services – foreign individuals and firms (a) Components 1 through 3 Consulting Services – individuals and PIU staff (a) Components 1 through 3 Consulting Services – local firms (a) Components 1 through 3 Total Amount in US$ million Financing Percentage 1.75 80% 0.27 75% 0.68 2.70 95% Use of statements of expenditures (SOEs): {if applicable} Special Account: {if applicable} 64 Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project THIS ANNEX IS UNDER PREPARATION AND WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. 65 Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project SEE SECTIONS D4, D5 AND D6 FOR A PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION OF SAFEGUARD POLICY ISSUES. THIS ANNEX WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. 66 Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project THIS ANNEX IS UNDER PREPARATION AND WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. Planned Actual PCN review Initial PID to PIC Initial ISDS to PIC Appraisal Negotiations Board/RVP approval Planned date of effectiveness Planned date of mid-term review Planned closing date Key institutions responsible for preparation of the project: Bank staff and consultants who worked on the project included: Name Title Bank funds expended to date on project preparation: 1. Bank resources: 2. Trust funds: 3. Total: Estimated Approval and Supervision costs: 1. Remaining costs to approval: 2. Estimated annual supervision cost: 67 Unit Annex 12: Documents in the Project File AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project THIS ANNEX IS UNDER PREPARATION AND WILL BE FINALIZED PRIOR TO APPRAISAL, AS PER BANK REQUIREMENTS. 68 Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Difference between expected and actual disbursements Original Amount in US$ Millions Project ID FY Cancel. Undisb. P070989 2003 Purpose ED SECT DEV (APL #1) IBRD 0.00 IDA 18.00 SF 0.00 GEF 0.00 0.00 18.69 P008286 2003 IRRIG DIST SYS & MGMT IMPROVMT 0.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 P066100 2002 IBTA 2 0.00 9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 P040716 2001 HIGHWAY 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 P069293 2001 HEALTH REF LIL 0.00 5.00 0.00 P070973 2001 FIN SCT TA 0.00 5.40 0.00 P008284 2000 IRRIG/DRAINAGE REHAB 0.00 42.00 P058969 1999 CULT HERITAGE PRSV 0.00 P057959 1999 EDUC REF 0.00 P035770 1999 PILOT RECON P035813 1999 P055155 P040544 P008288 Orig. Frm. Rev’d 0.00 0.00 36.40 0.00 0.00 9.77 -0.16 0.00 0.00 42.62 -1.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.18 -2.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.97 -1.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.50 12.42 0.00 7.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.60 3.37 -1.11 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.14 1.17 1.16 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 2.35 -7.44 AGRIC DEVT & CREDIT 0.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.72 14.10 0.00 1998 URG ENV INVST 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.43 8.66 3.28 1997 FARM PRIV 0.00 14.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 1.29 0.00 1995 BAKU WS 0.00 61.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.60 9.24 9.22 0.00 313.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 205.11 46.31 5.11 Total: STATEMENT OF IFC’s Held and Disbursed Portfolio (In Millions of US Dollars) Committed Disbursed IFC IFC FY Approval Company Loan Equity Quasi Partic. Equity Quasi Partic. 1999 Amoco Caspian 21.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 1998 Azerb. JV Bank 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0/03 Azerigazbank 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1997/98 Baku Coca Cola 2.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 1999 Baku Hotel 10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 1999 Early Oil Fin 10.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 MFB Azerbaijan 0.00 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.00 0.00 0/03 Rabitabank 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1999 Turkish Petrol 8.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 1999 Unocal Chirag 12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.75 0.00 0.00 66.31 2.75 0.00 0.00 Total portfilio: 68.71 Loan Approvals Pending Commitment FY Approval Company 2001 Azer JV Increase Loan 0.00 Total pending committment: 0.00 69 Equity Quasi Partic. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Annex 14: Country at a Glance AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project Azerbaijan P R IC E S a nd G O V E R N M E N T F IN A N C E D o m e s t ic pric e s (% change) Co nsumer prices Implicit GDP deflato r G o v e rnm e nt f ina nc e (% o f GDP , includes current grants) Current revenue Current budget balance Overall surplus/deficit 19 8 2 19 9 2 2001 2002 .. .. .. .. 1.5 2.5 2.7 0.7 Inf la t io n ( %) 30 20 10 0 97 -10 .. .. .. .. .. .. 21.5 4.7 0.9 28.0 5.4 -0.5 98 99 00 01 02 -20 GDP deflator CPI TRADE 19 8 2 19 9 2 2001 2002 (US$ millio ns) To tal expo rts (fo b) n.a. n.a. M anufactures To tal impo rts (cif) Fo o d Fuel and energy Capital go o ds .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 788 .. .. .. 2,046 .. .. 205 1,465 .. .. 138 1,969 .. .. 226 2,136 .. .. 732 Expo rt price index (1995=100) Impo rt price index (1995=100) Terms o f trade (1995=100) .. .. .. .. .. .. 262 98 268 259 98 264 2002 E xpo rt a nd im po rt le v e ls ( US $ m ill.) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 96 97 98 99 00 Exports 01 02 Imports B A LA N C E o f P A Y M E N T S 19 8 2 19 9 2 2001 (US$ millio ns) Expo rts o f go o ds and services Impo rts o f go o ds and services Reso urce balance .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,369 2,130 239 2,667 3,121 -454 -10 Net inco me Net current transfers .. .. .. .. -367 77 -385 70 -20 Current acco unt balance .. .. -52 -768 Financing items (net) Changes in net reserves .. .. .. .. 317 -266 965 -197 M emo : Reserves including go ld (US$ millio ns) Co nversio n rate (DEC, lo cal/US$ ) .. .. .. 54.2 725 4,656.7 721 4,860.7 19 9 2 2001 2002 .. .. .. 1,266 0 235 1,438 0 314 C urre nt a c c o unt ba la nc e t o G D P ( %) 0 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 -30 E X T E R N A L D E B T a nd R E S O UR C E F LO WS 19 8 2 (US$ millio ns) To tal debt o utstanding and disbursed .. IB RD .. IDA .. -40 C o m po s it io n o f 2 0 0 2 de bt ( US $ m ill.) To tal debt service IB RD IDA .. .. .. .. .. .. 132 0 2 187 0 2 Co mpo sitio n o f net reso urce flo ws Official grants Official credito rs P rivate credito rs Fo reign direct investment P o rtfo lio equity .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 45 88 36 227 0 .. 179 -79 .. .. G: 82 B: 314 F: 190 C: 279 E: 453 D: 120 Wo rld B ank pro gram Co mmitments Disbursements P rincipal repayments .. .. .. .. .. .. 50 28 0 70 82 57 0 A - IBRD B - IDA C - IM F D - Other multilateral E - Bilateral F - Private G - Short-term Annex 15: Incremental Cost Analysis AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project 1. Overview The project’s global objective is to restore and protect biodiversity in two globally significant biodiversity areas in the Caucasus (Shah-Dag) and Zangezur (Ordubad) mountains through the establishment of an inclusive model of Protected Area management. The project will allow the GoA to pioneer a new model of Protected Area in Azerbaijan that will help shift biodiversity and protected area policies and practices away from the highly centralized and exclusive model inherited from the Soviet era towards a more modern, inclusive approach that combines the objectives of biodiversity and ecosystem protection with the objectives of providing economic and other benefits to local communities. The project will also contribute to lasting poverty alleviation in the project areas by introducing and supporting the adoption of more modern, sustainable, and value-added approaches to natural resource use and agricultural production and diversification of economic activities (particularly the development of rural/ecotourism). The cost of achieving the GEF alternative is US$16.88 million, of which US$8.99 is for baseline activities and US$7.89 is for incremental activities. GEF financing is requested to cover US$5.00 million of the incremental costs. The remaining US$2.89 million in incremental costs is financed by a PHRD technical assistance grant (US$1.70 million) and the government counterpart contribution (US$1.19 million). 2. Context and Broad Development Goals Azerbaijan is a mountainous country of 86,600 km2 that lies on the western coast of the Caspian Sea among the mountain ranges of the Talish mountains and Greater and Lesser Caucasus. The Caucasus have been identified by the World Wide Fund for Nature as a Global 200 Ecoregion, based on selection criteria such as species richness, levels of endemism, taxonomic uniqueness, unusual evolutionary phenomena, and global rarity of major habitat types. It is also one of Conservation International’s 25 global biodiversity “hot spots.” The proposed Shah Dag National Park, located in the Greater Caucasus mountain range, is in a watershed that drains to the Caspian Sea. The area encompasses the highest peaks of the Greater Caucasus, and the highest peak (Shah Dag Mountain) in Azerbaijan. The proposed park and its surrounding buffer zone form a microcatchment that serves as a conservation unit containing essential elements of the Caucasus mountain ecosystem. The natural habitats, which consist mainly of broadleaf forests and rangeland (mostly alpine and subalpine meadows), play a critical role in watershed protection, and contribute to local economy and subsistence. The recently established Ordubad National Park covers 12,200 ha in the southern slopes of the Zangezur mountains, located in the Nakhichevan Autonomus Republic, which is adjacent to Armenia and Iran. The park is rich in biodiversity, with a number of endemic and endangered 71 or threatened species of mammals, birds, reptiles and plants, and represents an important area for transboundary migratory wildlife. The proposed Park extension covers an additional 125,000 ha. In recent years, large parts of the park’s forest and pasture land have become badly degraded through over-use. While grazing land is allocated on a permit basis, there is no management, monitoring or enforcement of grazing activities, resulting in pastures that are heavily over-utilized and deteriorating. Similarly, lack of access to affordable energy has led to an increase in harvesting for fuelwood by the local population, resulting in degraded forest lands. The over-use and degradation of the forests and pastures presents an important economic problem, due to declining productivity, and a serious threat to globally significant biodiversity. 3. Baseline Scenario The Government recognizes the negative trend in natural resources management, and has prepared analyses and actions plans to address them, including a National Environmental Action Plan (1998) and Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (2000). In addition to these priority setting and consensus building activities, the GoA has: (i) created a Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources, which was recently elevated from state committee status as a means to integrate forestry, range management, and protected areas management functions; (ii) enacted several codes for natural resource conservation and use (forests, fisheries, wildlife); and (iii) collaborated with FAO and counterparts in Turkey and Georgia as a first step in understanding how other countries in the region are dealing with these problems. The Government has made a major commitment to conserving biodiversity, including substantially increasing the network of Protected Areas (PAs) in the country. However, the prevailing model for PAs in Azerbaijan, as in much of the CIS, is based on centrally controlled, Strict Nature Reserves (Zapovedniks). These strict reserves can be useful for protecting small areas of high value and vulnerable ecosystems, but are insufficient for the long term conservation of the region’s biodiversity. Moreover, management of the PAs is generally ineffective, due to: (i) poverty and pressure for economic development; (ii) gaps in legislation and institutional and governance weaknesses; and (iii) inadequate staffing, lack of modern management plans, and lack of financial resources for effective administration. Under the Baseline scenario, the following outputs would be expected: Establishment and management of National Parks along the lines of the traditional system of protected areas. Parks would focus primarily on strict nature reserves and would not incorporate biodiversity conservation on a broader, multiple- use, landscape level. Forest and pasture inventories/assessments would be carried out over several years (rather than through a rapid assessment), limiting the ability of the park managers to establish and implement effective management plans. As a consequence, forest areas would continue to decline as the local population continued to cut down trees and branches for fuelwood. Overgrazing on alpine pastures outside of the Parks’ core reserve areas would also continue, resulting in reduced grass cover, erosion, increased flooding and sedimentation downstream, and loss of biodiversity. Overall, biodiversity would continue to decline due to the loss of 72 forests, overgrazing, uncontrolled hunting and collection of non-timber forest products, and unregulated, increased development. Community livestock intensification, resulting in increased numbers of hybrid cattle and improved and increased dairy production. However, intensifying livestock production without sufficient environment management could easily result in increased pressure on the Parks’ resources, especially sensitive high alpine summer pastures, and further degradation of community pasture lands. Increased development of enterprises in and around the Park based on Park amenities and natural resources, without environmental management. Focus on tourism-based business results in the establishment of additional resorts, restaurants and recreational activities without appropriate zoning or development regulation to ensure that impacts on natural resources and biodiversity are controlled. While the baseline scenario would generate domestic benefits, it would have very limited global impacts. It would not be sufficient to address the existing threats to the most critical areas of the highest biodiversity and international conservation importance. Moreover, it would not adequately integrate biodiversity conservation on a broader, landscape-level, which is necessary for long-term ecosystem management and biodiversity conservation. Total expenditures under the Baseline are estimated at US$8.99 million. 4. Alternative Scenario The GEF Alternative Scenario would build on the baseline by supporting incremental activities in the project areas needed to achieve global environmental benefits. The proposed alternative would strengthen management capacity for biodiversity conservation by expanding protected area management from small, strictly protected reserves, to broad, multi-purpose national parks. The model of large, multi-purpose parks with diverse land ownership and management zones is well established in many western and central European countries, but it is quite new to Azerbaijan. There is as yet no national park that encompasses a variety of land and resource uses, or has a substantial resident human population. The multiple-use model being introduced under the GEF Alternative will create a mechanism for involving local communities and other key stakeholders in park management, and ensuring that they benefit from the conservation and improved management of the park’s valuable natural resources. The multiple-use protected areas will be implemented by establishing different management zones with different levels of management intervention, from core conservation zones (where biodiversity is main maintained in a natural state with no intrusive use or management) to sustainable natural resource management zones (where controlled grazing and timber harvesting is allowed, based on ecological targets and monitoring). The park will also include tourism, residential and economic development zones. In addition to the direct global benefits resulting from the increased protection of the internationally significant ecosystems, the project will establish strategic partnerships with local land owners, land users, and communities which would greatly contribute to the long-term 73 sustainability of the conservation effort. The community natural resource activities and small business development assistance are expected to be instrumental in strengthening the partnership with and commitment of local land owners, land users, and communities to conservation of the Park’s natural and globally important resources. Specifically, the GEF Alternative would support the following activities: Establishment and management of National Parks through pioneering a new, multipurpose model of Protected Area that not only conserves biodiversity through core conservation zones, but also protects and enhances biodiversity over a larger area by combining the objectives of biodiversity and ecosystem protection with the objectives of providing economic and other benefits to local communities. Under the GEF Alternative, the parks will have larger core conservation zones, better monitoring and increased stakeholder participation. Pasture and forest assessments will be undertaken rapidly, to allow park managers to prepare and implement management plans within the first year or two of park establishment. Improved community-level livestock management. The GEF Alternative will build on the baseline by incorporating environmental practices into livestock management, including demonstrating the value of pasture restoration through pasture management trails. Over the long-term, the increased income from improved livestock management should reduce the communities’ dependence on traditional livestock, thereby reducing grazing pressure on the park’s pasture resources, particularly the high-altitude summer pastures with highest biodiversity values. Support for developing small enterprises that improve livelihoods for the local population while reducing impacts on the Park’s natural resources and biodiversity. Technical assistance will identify and encourage business ideas that are linked to conservation objectives. Specific focus will be given to ecotourism development (versus mainstream tourism development) that intentionally limits visitor impacts on park resources and strives to preserve the Park’s globally important ecosystems and associated biodiversity. Project management, monitoring and evaluation and communications. The GEF Alternative will support implementation of project activities with global values. It will improve monitoring and evaluation of project activities and measure the project’s environmental and social impact. A communications program will increase public awareness and understanding of biodiversity conservation and, in particular, the role of multiple-use national parks in protecting, conserving and managing the country’s unique biodiversity. Total expenditures under the Alternative Scenario are estimated at US$16.88 million. 5. Incremental Costs The estimated Baseline and GEF Alternative project costs are summarized in the Incremental Cost Matrix below. The difference between the costs of the Baseline ($8.99 million) and the cost of the GEF Alternative ($16.88 million) is $7.89 million, of which $5.00 million are 74 GEF costs. This represents the incremental cost for achieving global environmental benefits. A GEF grant of $5.00 million is requested. The reminder of the incremental costs will be financed by the PHRD grant ($1.70 million) and the Azerbaijan Government ($1.19 million). 75 Incremental Cost Matrix Component National Parks establishment and management Category Baseline GEF Alternative Communitylevel investment in sustainable agriculture and natural resource management Cost (US$ million) 3.97 8.72 Incremental Costs 4.75 Baseline 3.11 Domestic Benefits Global Benefits Improved infrastructure and equipment for park. Technical assistance to improve park management. Less stakeholder participation in park management. Increased recreation and tourism and associated benefits (e.g. recreational enjoyment, expenditure, profits and economic development), but potential for uncontrolled development that damages natural resources. Increased area under protection, but managed through traditional models of strict reserves, resulting in limited protection of biodiversity Same as above, plus: Same as above, plus: Increased technical capacity to manage multiuse National Parks Recreation and tourism opportunities managed for environmental benefits Conservation of globally significant biodiversity mainstreamed into management of multi-use National Parks Reduced erosion of the pastures and associated reduction in mudslides, downstream flooding, and downstream sedimentation in irrigation systems. Larger core conservation zones and larger overall park area under some form of protection and management. Rapid assessment of forest and pasture resources allow management regimes to be put in place quickly. Increased stakeholder participation in park management planning. Increased livestock intensification without environmental management. Improved livelihoods from improved livestock and increased dairy production. 76 None. Category Cost (US$ million) Domestic Benefits Global Benefits GEF Alternative 4.42 Same as above, plus: Shift from traditional livestock production to hybrid livestock reduces pressure on park’s pastures, especially highalpine pastures with global biodiversity Increased tourism services for international visitors. Component Rural enterprise development Increment 1.31 Baseline 1.29 GEF Alternative Project management, monitoring and evaluation, and communications TOTAL 1.95 Additional indirect benefits from reduced grazing pressure and new forest growth (e.g. watershed protection, erosion and sedimentation control). Increased revenues, income and jobs for local people. Indirect and induced economic benefits as purchases of raw materials and spending of incomes flow through the local economy. Same as above, plus: Same as above, plus: Environmentally sensitive businesses maintain Park resources for local and national benefits (recreation, environmental services). Environmentally sensitive businesses reduce pressures on natural resources of Park, resulting in conservation of globally significant biodiversity. Park activities carried out efficiently. Some increased knowledge of ecological areas of global significance. Increment 0.66 Baseline 0.62 GEF Alternative 1.78 Same as above, plus: Same as above, plus: Better monitoring and evaluation of social and environmental impacts. Increased recreational consumer surplus and non-use values as people’s understanding of wildlife and features in the National Parks improves. Increased awareness of global values of critical biodiversity and ecosystems in new National Parks Increased support for conservation of globally significant areas. Increment 1.16 Baseline 8.99 GEF Alternative 16.88 Increment 7.89 Requested from GEF: 5.00 77 Annex 16: STAP Review and World Bank Response AZERBAIJAN: Rural Environment Project 1. OVERVIEW This project is within the GEF Biodiversity Focal Area, is relevant to GEF Operational Programmes 3 (Forest Ecosystems), 4 (Mountain Ecosystems) and 12 (Integrated Approach to Ecosystem Management), and it appears to comply with all GEF criteria. The project aims to restore and conserve forests and grassland ecosystems in parts of the Greater Caucasus and Zangezur mountains, while introducing an approach to ecosystem management that will relive future pressures and that is new in the Azerbaijan context. The target area is of exceptional global significance for biodiversity, being located within one of the world’s 200 most speciesrich and endemic-rich ecosystem complexes. These biodiversity resources are threatened by over-harvesting of timber and fuelwood, and by over-grazing. The project is adequately designed and responds to considerable local input as well as lessons learned, although certain apparent weaknesses (such as an over-reliance on tourism and limited exploration of sustainable financing mechanisms) could be corrected as it is developed further. 2. OBSERVATIONS IN RELATION TO KEY GEF ISSUES 2.1 SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOUNDNESS. From the project documents it seems that the central issues to be addressed by this project in the mountains of Azerbaijan are: A demand for locally-sourced timber and fuelwood to replace the wood and gas provided by the former Soviet Union, combined with a lack of resources for the government agencies responsible for managing production and protection forests, leading to forest ecosystem damage. The closure of traditional transfrontier grazing as a result of political and military events in neighboring territories, preventing flocks of Azerbaijan sheep from being herded into seasonal grazing areas and greatly increasing the continuity of grazing in the vicinity of Azerbaijan villages and the intensity of grazing in seasonal pastures within Azerbaijan, leading to grassland ecosystem damage. This combination of circumstances means that montane forest and grassland ecosystems are steadily being degraded in areas that are among the most important regionally and globally for dryland temperate biodiversity, and that are also economically vital as water catchments for Baku and other towns and cities of Azerbaijan. The project therefore aims to encourage and enable the various stakeholders in two large mountain areas to cooperate in understanding the constraints and opportunities in their environments and to negotiate and establish new ways of using their resources so that their livelihoods can become more sustainable, while preserving the economic and biodiversity services provided by those environments to the Azerbaijan and global communities. 78 It is understood that the four project components will focus respectively on: National Parks Establishment and Management. This will support the legal establishment (Shah Dag) and expansion (Ordubad) of two multiple-use national parks, creation and strengthening of park management institutions and systems, and the development and implementation of park zoning and management plans. Specific activities will include: delineation and demarcation of park and zone boundaries; technical assistance and training; preparation of zoning and management plans and annual operating plans; implementation of management plans, including rehabilitation and construction of infrastructure for park management and supporting activities such as tourism and procurement of equipment; establishment and implementation of an ecological monitoring system; and operating costs. Community-level investment in sustainable agriculture and natural resource management. This will assist communities living inside or immediately adjacent to the two national parks to make their agricultural and natural resource use practices more efficient and sustainable. Communities will be encouraged to develop investment plans for more intensive livestock production systems involving fodder production and stall feeding of higher-quality animals, and particularly the promotion of dairy cattle. It hoped that these measures can allow grazing to be managed and livestock numbers regulated so that overgrazed ecosystems can recover. Pressure on forests will meanwhile be relieved by providing alternative sources of wood through reforestation of degraded lands, and more efficient stoves will also be introduced to reduce fuelwood demand. Rural Enterprise Development. This aims to stimulate economic diversification by helping local entrepreneurs to obtain the technical and business information, advice and financing to start or expand environmentally-friendly commercial enterprises. Business advisory teams will assist clients to identify and assess the viability of commercial ventures, prepare business plans and, where necessary, obtain financing. The project will support a matching grants program to provide start-up grants, based on an independent evaluation of the business plans. Priority will be given to activities that are linked to park objectives, including tourism-related enterprises, alternative energy and energy efficiency, and valueadded processing of sustainably harvested natural resources, or to those that support community objectives such as the value-added processing of dairy products. Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation, and Communications. This will support overall project management and monitoring, while also including activities to build awareness of the project, evaluate its socio-economic impacts, and facilitate the development of a cross-sectoral, multi-stakeholder tourism development plan for the greater Shah Dag area. The project documentation contains an analysis of lessons learned from other projects, and how these are reflected in the project design. The following lessons are mentioned: Focus. The project design should be focused in terms of geographic area and types of activities, piloting new approaches before mainstreaming them at national level. Realism. Project designers should be realistic about what can be achieved, particularly when the project involves introducing new ideas, approaches and skills, establishing new 79 institutional structures (or strengthening weak ones), and community mobilization and participation. Cost of pilot activities. Pilots and demonstrations of new approaches and technologies can carry high transaction costs, and should not be required to achieve the economic efficiency or cost-effectiveness that would be expected of large-scale implementation. Symmetry. For effective protection and sustainable management of biodiversity and natural systems, enforcement and more positive incentives should be applied in a balanced way. Pace of change. Restrictions on natural resource use and access should be phased in, based on institutional capacity to make, implement and enforce plans and regulations, and on the ability to provide realistic alternatives and compensation to local communities for short-term economic losses. Stakeholder involvement. Key stakeholders should be involved early in the project design and preparation, to ensure ownership and that the design and investments make sense in the country and local contexts. Business planning and incentives. Combine financial assistance for SME startups/expansion with professional business advice (for market analysis, business planning, evaluation of technologies, etc.), while also addressing constraints in the overall environment for business (tax and other policies, regulatory processes, infrastructure, etc.). Technical assistance. Limit the amount of international technical assistance in favor of local TA and local capacity building. In general, these lessons are reflected in the project design, although it remains an ambitious enterprise in a demanding environment, with a challenging set of aims for a four-year project. While the design is technically sound, it would be surprising if implementation were to be smooth and an extension were not to be needed in the end. 2.2 GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS. The Caucasus mountains have been identified by WWF as a ‘Global 200 Ecoregion’, and by CI as one of the world’s 25 biodiversity ‘hotspots’. The area spans six countries, has one of the highest levels of endemism in the temperate world, and is believed to contain more than twice the animal diversity found in adjacent regions of Europe and Asia. The flora of the area contains over 7,000 species, many of them endemic and/or associated with human uses in agriculture and medicine. Azerbaijan itself has a flora of about 4,500 species, seven percent of which are endemic to the country. There are also about 600 vertebrate species and at least 14,000 species of insects. Recent studies have identified ten areas in the Caucasus mountains where focused action would help achieve most conservation priorities, and two of the five most important are in target areas of this project, which therefore demonstrably addresses a number of global biodiversity targets. Expected global environmental benefits can be assessed by comparing the without-project and with-project scenarios: 80 Without-project scenario. Protected areas would continue to be established and managed in traditional, top-down ways, without much local participation and support, and without addressing landscape-scale processes of biodiversity loss. Information about forest and range condition would accumulate slowly, limiting management effectiveness, and ecosystems would continue to be degraded through over use. There would be some community investment in livestock intensification, but this would likely increase pressure on ecosystem resources and pasture lands. Unsustainable and environmentally-damaging tourism development would continue, and overall the without-project scenario would provide some local and national benefits, though not necessarily sustainable ones, while contributing little to meeting global aims. With-project scenario. Protected area management would be expanded from small, strictly protected reserves, to broad, multi-purpose national parks, with capacity to manage these being strengthened. This will create a mechanism for involving local communities and other key stakeholders in park management, ensuring that they benefit from the conservation and improved management of the park’s natural resources. Community natural resource activities and small business development assistance will help strengthen partnerships with local land owners, land users, and communities. The parks will have larger core conservation zones, better monitoring and increased stakeholder participation. Environmental practices will be incorporated into livestock management, including demonstrating the value of pasture restoration through pasture management trails. Meanwhile, small enterprises will be encouraged that improve local livelihoods and reduce poverty while reducing impacts on natural resources and biodiversity. Educational programmes will increase public awareness and understanding of biodiversity conservation and the role of multiple-use national parks in protecting, conserving and managing the country’s biodiversity resources. 2.3 GEF CONTEXT. The project addresses GEF strategic priorities for biodiversity conservation by: catalyzing sustainability of protected areas; mainstreaming biodiversity in production landscapes and sectors; and generating and disseminating best practices for addressing current and emerging biodiversity issues. Project activities will support innovative practical approaches called for by the 7th Conference of the Parties of the Convention on Biological Diversity in its Decisions VII/1 “Forest Biological Diversity”, VII/11 “Ecosystem Approach”, and VII/28 “Protected Areas”. The project follows the GEF Strategic Guidelines and incorporates elements of several GEF Operational Programs, notably the following: No. 12 (Integrated Ecosystem Management): by emphasizing the creation of an enabling environment for biodiversity conservation, forest and rangeland management, the strengthening of institutional capacities at local, regional and national levels as well as investments in sustainable natural resource management. No. 4 (Mountain Ecosystems): by supporting in-situ conservation and sustainable use of biological resources, expanding and improving connectivity of the protected area system in the Greater and Lesser Caucasus mountains, and combining productive, socioeconomic and conservation goals. 81 No. 3 (Forest Ecosystems): by supporting in-situ protection of ecologically mature temperate forest ecosystems under threat, and combining strict protection and multiple use to achieve sustainable forest management. Among other things, it will support the first comprehensive forest inventory and status assessment since 1984, making it possible to make sound forest management decisions. The GEF grant would help meet the costs of activities required to achieve global conservation benefits, which would be incremental to the baseline national program undertaken by the Government with support from elsewhere. 2.4 REGIONAL CONTEXT. The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 fundamentally transformed the circumstances of the whole Caucasus region, as external subsidies and political controls were lost and various of the former Soviet republics opted for independence or generated armed movements designed to obtain independence. As with several other newly independent countries in the region, the political economy of Azerbaijan underwent a major transformation during the 1990s, as the important Caspian Sea oil fields were developed and a coalition of international oil companies moved in and exerted their influence, including BP-Amoco, Exxon-Mobil and the Turkish Petroleum Corporation. Major pipelines are being built to move Caspian oil and gas to western markets, including the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Oil Pipeline and the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum (BTE) Gas Pipeline. These are multi-billion dollar investments, and the medium-term future of Azerbaijan seems destined to be as a resource provider for western Europe and beyond, with all that implies. Whether this will contribute to or further inflame the instability of the region as a whole is unclear, and much will depend on the equity with which petroleum revenues are invested and the opportunities for meaningful participation in governance and economic activity are distributed. 2.5 REPLICABILITY. The project is designed to strengthen the ability of communities to manage and conserve their environmental resources (e.g. by clarifying tenure, educating, promoting conflict resolution, and improving relations between communities and with government). This approach is adapted to ongoing processes of reform in Azerbaijan, and is in principle applicable in other countries where similar reforms are implemented. Such reforms can be done in various ways, with differing outcomes, but in general the future seems likely to hold an increasing number of countries where accountable executive power has been transferred to smaller political units. Hence the lessons of this project may be expected to become more relevant to more places in the future. The most replicable aspects will be to do with processes by which local societies are empowered and by which new relationships are negotiated and maintained, rather than with the technical interventions appropriate to any particular social and ecological system. It might be suggested that interchange among projects within the GEF and other investment portfolios in countries where fundamental governance reform is underway or planned would help promote the spread of successful ideas and practices in this context. 82 2.6 SUSTAINABILITY. The project will contribute to the implementation of the National Environmental Action Plan (NEAP), which was completed in 1998 and which identified environmental issues and proposed short, medium and long term actions in several priority areas that are relevant to the project, including: Protecting biological diversity and forest, pasture and agricultural land management; Cultural heritage; Ecological problems with regional or global impacts; and Development of the institutional and policy framework to monitor, coordinate and manage environmental issues more effectively. The NEAP also identified specific biodiversity conservation priorities, including strengthening of the protected area network through: the adoption of national parks as instruments for the sustainable use of biodiversity, to complement the existing protected area network which emphasizes strict nature reserves; creation of new protected areas (including Shah-Dag National Park and Ordubad National Park among the top priorities); and the implementation of pilot projects in sustainable uses of biodiversity which address rural poverty as a root cause of biodiversity degradation and loss. According to the project documents, a sound regulatory framework for environmental management is now in place in Azerbaijan, although implementation capacity and compliance need strengthening. A ministry, MENR (variously called in the project documents the Ministry of Ecology and the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources) was created in 2001 to integrate environmental protection and management, including environmental assessment, monitoring and reporting, management of forests and wildlife resources, and of protected areas. A number of laws have also been adopted, which together provide a legal basis for forest management (1997), wildlife management (1999), and protected area management (2000). These laws envision a degree of consideration of the interests of local people and their participation in decisions regarding the management of natural resources. In 2003, Azerbaijan initiated a process of preparing a National Strategy and Action Plan for Biodiversity Conservation (NSAPBC), which has built on the existing legislation by recommending a new category of multiple-use protected area, that of national parks, which are modeled on the ‘protected landscape’ concept and which allow for the inclusion of zones of limited economic activity (primarily tourism). The first four of these were created in 2003-2004, including one (Ordubad) that is a target of this project, but further development of legislation and management arrangements will be needed before these areas can meet the vision of the NSAPBC in terms of local participation and benefit capture. The project document observes that “the opportunity to pilot and demonstrate a more inclusive approach on a large scale is one of the main benefits and objectives of the proposed project.” 83 Thus the project is positioned within and anticipates the direction of government policy and legislation, so its accomplishments should eventually be embedded in a supportive administrative environment. It is also likely that local people living in an around the new or expanded national parks will, in the course of the project, become used to participating in their management and these arrangements also have the potential to be socially sustainable. Less clear are arrangements for financial sustainability. National park management is expected to be a fiscal burden upon government pending some unspecified measures for cost recovery, largely from tourism, following modernization of the whole protected area system. Some of the municipal enterprises to be financed under Component 2 and private ones to be financed under Component 3 may prove to be viable, but as with the park system there is a large assumption in the project document about the growth of tourism in the mountains of Azerbaijan, and this is unsupported by detailed analysis. On this issue the recent history of Azerbaijan is not particularly encouraging, as organized crime and corruption are believed to have accompanied the growth of petroleum investments and revenues, the war in Nagorno Karabakh continues, and there are rumors of security problems linked to the presence of training grounds for paramilitary nationalist and Islamic extremists. This contextual background is not mentioned in the project documentation, yet even an optimistic assessment of the situation in Azerbaijan would suggest that the country is not quite ready for a project that relies so much on tourism. On the other hand, the country is westwardlooking and allied to Europe and the USA via its treaties and business links, so it may be realistic to believe that as it becomes more closely engaged with the western economic system the position may become more favorable. Meanwhile, implementation of the proposed project would provide a mechanism for dialogue and capacity building with local stakeholders, laying the foundations for more effective intervention later on. A final point is that two kinds of partnership that might contribute to the sustainability of the mountain national parks are not explored in the project document. One is the possibility of building links with the private oil companies that have become established in Azerbaijan, that have invested heavily in the country, and that clearly intend to stay there for decades. Private sponsorship of conservation areas and associated community development activities has become widespread internationally, and many large companies now see this as an essential part of their corporate social responsibility policies and duties. The other possibility would be to seek ways for the cities and businesses downstream of the mountain parks and dependent on water from them, to contribute to their maintenance costs. It has long been accepted by conservationists that communities which participate in maintaining valuable water catchment ecosystems have a valid claim to share in the profits of economic activities that they indirectly support, and this project could be used as a way to explore the policy implications of this with the government of Azerbaijan and the municipal authorities of Baku and other cities. Either of these approaches might be used to establish a trust fund or similar mechanism outside direct government control, to provide for permanent grant financing of community-based and other conservation initiatives in and around the mountain parks. A commitment to explore such mechanisms would add credibility to the project documentation, as it would help to render the financing of the postproject situation less nebulous than it is at present. 84 3. OBSERVATIONS IN RELATION TO SECONDARY GEF ISSUES 3.1 LINKAGES TO OTHER FOCAL AREAS. Preventing further deforestation in the Caucasus would provide a link to carbon storage and the reduction of net greenhouse gas emissions. 3.3 LINKAGES TO OTHER PROGRAMMES AND ACTION PLANS. The project will contribute to implementing the Azerbaijan NEAP and NSAPBC, and to the further development of protected area and natural resource management capacity. 3.4 OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS. The overall environmental impact of the project should be favorable if its key outputs are obtained. There remains, however, the usual concern that substantial project investment in a poor, rural area may stimulate in-migration, leading to worse pressures at project completion than would otherwise have been the case. This risk should be mitigated by the strengthening effect of the project on local resource tenure, but is also another reason why clearer arrangements for sustainable financing of conservation and community-based activities after the project would be desirable. 3.5 INVOLVEMENT OF STAKEHOLDERS. Stakeholder input to project design to date has involved a series of consultative meetings attended by more than 700 local residents and field-based representatives of the concerned ministries, the National Academy of Sciences, officers of forestry units and Nature Reserves, heads of municipalities and other municipal officers, village opinion leaders (e.g. school directors), and local NGOs. Further meetings are planned for early 2005. 3.6 CAPACITY-BUILDING ASPECTS. According to the project appraisal document, the project will support the establishment of a new type of institutional structure to provide for the effective participation and coordination of park stakeholders, including building the capacity of the management and staff. It is clear that all the specific activities to be supported in and around the parks imply that the capacity of participants will need to be strengthened, or else will become strengthened through implementation. There is a strong reliance throughout on the notion that teams of consultants will be responsible for building this new capacity, presumably through training, but the precise modalities are not specified. Likewise, the process of encouraging and guiding the development of village investment plans and business plans is expected to have a significant impact on local capacity in certain respects. 85 3.7 INNOVATIVENESS. In the Azerbaijan context, the attention paid to local stakeholder participation in project design, implementation, and the flow of benefits from resource use, is innovative, as it aims to help replace an older, command-based model of conservation and resource management inherited from the former Soviet Union. 4. CONCLUSION The main reservations that this reviewer has with the project are as follows, and they should be addressed as the project is developed further: Over-ambition. There is the sense that a great deal has to be achieved quickly, much of it innovative in the local context, over a large area with poor infrastructure and communications, in collaboration with numerous highly-conservative villages and a government system that is still weak. It may be desirable to substitute a slower-paced project building on existing strengths, more educational in nature, and more oriented to capacity building. Over-reliance on tourism. It seems unlikely that international tourist arrivals will increase anytime soon in Azerbaijan because of the security situation, and even if they did experience has shown that tourists can easily be deterred by unpredictable acts of terror or other crime. On the other hand, the internal recreational market for the Azerbaijan middle classes and expatriates working in the energy sector may be more reliable. A more careful analysis of this whole issue would be desirable. Missed opportunities for sustainable financing. There is scope for new kinds of partnerships to be developed, especially with the energy and water sectors, which could allow long-term funding arrangements to be put in place to support community-based education, conservation and livelihood development activities in and around national parks. These should at least be explored to give more of a sense that the project may be able to establish something durable in the long term. 86 World Bank Response to STAP Review 1. The Reviewer’s main concern is that the project appears ambitious, particularly in view of the limited country capacity and the four-year time frame. In fact, the length of the project will be revisited during Appraisal and it is quite possible that it will be increased to five years. At the same time, it is important to balance caution regarding implementation capacity with the need to begin addressing urgent issues and achieve impacts on the ground in a reasonable time frame. This balance was discussed at length during the pre-appraisal mission, and detailed implementation schedules were prepared for all activities, on a quarterly basis. In each case, time was built in explicitly for elements such as recruiting consultants, establishing institutions, completing initial assessments and inventories, etc.. As a result, many activities are only projected to begin in Year 2, and some only in Year 3, and quantitative targets were scaled down accordingly. For example, it was agreed that improved grazing management can only be established on 10-20% of the total pasture area within the two parks during the life of the project, since introducing this new approach must begin with detailed pasture inventories, building institutional and technical capacity, awareness-raising, and consultations and negotiations with stakeholders. (The last could be particularly time consuming, as there may be resistance on the part of some stakeholders who benefit from the status quo.) We agreed it is better to carry out a sound process for a small area, rather than target a larger area and risk a rushed job. Similarly, it was agreed that only about half the villages in the project areas can be covered under Component 2, because the Technical Advisory Teams will need to spend at least 4 months working with each Village Cluster to help them prepare and implement village plans. Some of the activities under Component 1 can only begin after the park management plans have been completed, while others can begin earlier. A good example of how the project design accommodates this is the road rehabilitation component. An initial US$ 377,000 has been allocated up-front for rehabilitation of 130 km of key segments of access roads and bridges, which can already be identified as essential for improving park management, tourism potential and the financial viability of local enterprises, and which do not involve construction in or near sensitive biodiversity areas. The bidding documents for these works will be prepared prior to project effectiveness so that work can begin in Year 1. An additional US$ 435,000 has been placed in reserve for rehabilitation of about 150 more km of roads, tracks and trails that will be identified in the park management plans. 2. A second issue is the financial sustainability of the parks, and to what extent growth in tourism revenues will be able to cover future operating costs. In response, Sections C4 and D1 of the Project Brief have been revised to clarify the situation and expectations in this regard. In fact, while tourism revenues (e.g. entry and concession fees) should contribute to park management in the longer term, this is not expected to be the case for the next few years. The Government does not plan to introduce entry fees initially, based on regional experience (e.g. from Georgia) that public awareness must be raised and park facilities and services must first be improved. There will be concession fees for private operators, but these fees will initially be set at a low level to attract “pioneers.” Grazing fees may also contribute in the future, but this will 87 require transferring this revenue from the Rayon Executive Authorities to the park administration. Finally, under existing legislation, Pas in Azerbaijan cannot retain any revenues earned, although this is likely to change within the next few years, partly as a result of the project. Tourism development is regarded more as a means of increasing benefits for the parks’ neighbors and contributing to the national economy through taxes, rather than as a source of direct funding for the parks. Funding for park operations is expected to come mainly from the central government budget. This is a realistic expectation, given the projected growth in government revenues from the rapidly developing oil sector, and the President’s personal and public commitment to expand and improve the national PA system. At the same time, attention has been paid to limit investment and operating costs during the life of the project, to avoid the all-too-common “boom and bust cycle” when project funding ends. Finally, tourism is indeed expected to become a significant economic activity in the project areas (particularly Shah Dag) in the future. It is one sector where these mountain areas have a clear competitive advantage, and there are numerous initiatives underway to support development of tourism in the Caucasus region (see Section C1). However, this project is regarded mainly as a means of securing the natural assets, developing local capacity and catalyzing investment. In the project economic and financial analysis (in progress), estimates for growth in tourism income during the life of the project are modest. Most of the short term local economic benefit is expected to come from improvements in livestock productivity and related income. 3. We have taken the point regarding opportunities for partnership with the private sector (especially the oil industry) and water sector (see Section C1). 4. The Reviewer raises the issue of possible in-migration to the project area as a result of project investment. We recognize that this is often a legitimate concern, but feel it does not apply in this case, and we have revised Section C5 to clarify this point. The project areas have been steadily losing population rather than gaining, as the majority of school leavers (as much as 80% in some villages) depart to seek better employment opportunities and living conditions. The scale of development assistance or employment associated with the project are not expected to be sufficient to affect this trend in any significant way. The expectation is that it will be sufficient to achieve a modest improvement in quality of life in these poor villages, and to compensate for negative economic impacts of the project, such as restrictions on grazing and stronger enforcement against illegal woodcutting. 5. At the Reviewers suggestion, we have elaborated on the capacity building that the various consultants will provide (Section B5 and B6). 88