UNDP ‘Environment and Security Initiative in Cross Border Areas of Ferghana Valley – Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan’ Concept Note Project Area: Environmental Data Collection and Analysis & Implementation Capacity Building & Institutional Development & Cross Border Tension Mitigation Country (Countries) of Implementation: Tajikistan (Chorku, Vorukh and Surkh jamoats of Isfara district) and Kyrgyzstan (Aksay, Aktatir, Samarkandek and Dostuk ayil Okmotu of Batken district) Project Duration: 12 months Project Vision Sound environmental management and decision-making requires timely and efficient provision of information and analysis to warn the policy-makers and affected communities on possible dangers. Regular data collection and timely analysis is key to establish the link between environment hazards, competition over access to vital resources and trans boundary tensions between states and border communities. This intends to serve as an instrument for integrating environmental concerns and sustainable development principles into the development frameworks of the countries and identify capacity-building needs. This project will reduce risk of conflict arising from the management of environmental resources and foster co-operation and sustainable resource management at both national and sub-regional level. Project Goals The main goals of the project are to collect and to disseminate information and analysis of potential conflicts arising from competition over natural resources or from potential natural hazards between communities of two states of Ferghana Valley (Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan). It is also aimed at assessing the security environment more broadly and at placing environmental causes of conflict in the perspective of the wider security context. Such system of monitoring and early warning will produce substantial basis for adoption of responsible policies in maintaining secure environment. The international community would acquire an informed picture of the needs and priorities, and of capacity-building requirements which would be useful in planning practical interventions. Results and lessons learnt will also be communicated to relevant stakeholders in Uzbekistan. Efforts will also be made to ensure the participation of the communities from Uzbekistan in future endeavours in case of their interest. Project Description The project would build upon the three earlier phases of ENVSEC project “Transboundary cooperation of communities in the Ferghana Valley in an effort of sustainable development” supported by Germany and the systems of early warning and monitoring developed within the interlinked frameworks of the Cross-Border Conflict Prevention Project (northern Tajikistan/southern Kyrgyzstan) undertaken by UNDP Tajikistan and UNDP Kyrgyzstan. During the first three phases of ENVSEC project an international consultant explored possibilities of setting up a coordination and cooperation mechanism between communities, NGO and local governments in Ferghana Valley. Improved monitoring of environmental situation and natural resources was recognized as one of the priority tasks to avoid social tensions and conflicts. 1 Early warning systems established within the framework of UNDP project have been monitoring the risk factors in such fields as competition over resources (water, land and pastures), establishment of the international borders and how this affected livelihoods of the border communities, actors of the local authorities and the local security actors, and capacities to peacefully resolve conflicts. Environmentally-specific indicators include human activities which can endanger environment (cutting forest for timber because of lack of energy sources, burials of nuclear or industrial waste, air and water pollution) and natural disasters (earthquakes, floods, avalanches) and reaction of the communities and authorities. Monitoring was based on quarterly reports submitted by the local monitors, and edited and compiled together by the local analysts. These are done under close supervision of UNDP COs. The process of early warning also will include dissemination of information to policy-makers and expert community. Current project envisages engaging the team of monitors in both countries and an analyst for environment and other related data collection and provision of sound analysis on monthly basis. The analyst shall be a local specialist, recruited for the project period on a part time basis to analyze the reports collected from the field monitors on bi-monthly basis and produce 5 analytical reports during the project period. By the end of the project period the analyst will develop the final comprehensive analytical report. For efficient data collection, the team of monitors will undertake advanced trainings on proper data collection and processing, as well as producing quantitative and qualitative reports. The produced reports shall be presented to the joint commission consisting of the representatives of local authorities, relevant government structures (Committees of Emergency, Environment Committees, etc.), local and international NGOs, initiative groups, water users associations (WUAs), as well as sectors specialists to discuss the related issues and find joint solutions. In order to win more communities and establish the network between Tajik and Kyrgyz NGOs, the reports shall also be disseminated broader through local NGOs like the “Youth Group on Protection of Environment (YGPE)” in Tajikistan and the CAMP Alatoo in Kyrgyzstan. Both of these NGOs have established a network of NGOs operating on the environmental issues, which could equally benefit from the reports and get involved in the project as appropriate. The output of the working groups meetings shall be ready proposals for solving local challenges for tensions mitigation, which shall be brought to the attention of the national authorities, NGOs and donor agencies. Since, UNDP Kyrgyzstan is also financed by the Bureau for Conflict Prevention and Recovery (BCPR) to implement cross border related projects in the Ferghana Valley, activities under the given project will be communicated and coordinated with UNDP Kyrgyzstan accordingly. Within the project framework UNDP will have established a local fund, which shall address the local challenges through provision of grants as appropriate based on priorities and funding opportunities. Local communities’ initiatives from both the Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan on rehabilitation/construction of social infrastructure for joint use by Kyrgyz and Tajik communities such as irrigation/drinking water supply system, schools, hospitals, and roads, which might have impact on improvement of the cross border relations will be targeted. Apart from the infrastructure rehabilitation/construction, the cross border initiatives like sports events, festivals, youth camps or any other cultural activities could be supported. 2 These initiatives will be identified by the communities through the established mechanism as in below chart Data collection by the field monitors Situation in the target areas Analysis of the data Produced analytical report Activity supported and implemented. Problem resolved Decision making by the joint commission Identified activity to be supported by the Local Fund for Grants Based on the table above the monitors will collect data from the target areas. The data shall then be provided to the analyst for further analysis and production of the analytical report. The report shall then be shared with the stakeholders and presented to the joint commission consisting of Kyrgyz and Tajik representatives. The commission will review the reports findings and based on them discuss potential activities, which have a cross border importance, and jointly propose activities to be supported through the Local Fund for Grants. In addition, the commission shall outline the obligations of each side in implementation of approved activities, which shall be formalized through Memorandum of Understandings between concerned stakeholders from both countries. Once all decisions are made, the approved activities will be implemented through direct participation of the local communities in their implementation, monitoring and coordination of the activities. It is expected that implemented activities will have a positive impact on the situation in the target areas thus leading to changes. Then, the process starts all over again and it shall be functioning on permanent basis. This information gathering and analytical work will serve as a basis to organize a roundtable with participation of communities from Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and possibly Uzbekistan to discuss and agree on ways to institutionalize cooperation and early warning framework in the Ferghana Valley. Situation analysis The present problems of the environment in Central Asian republics and the threat they pose to the future give rise to a number of pressing issues including industrial hotspots, deforestation, desertification, water, natural disasters, energy, its production and consumption, pollution and economic and political considerations. The importance of environment and security is now recognized by national governments of Central Asian states and intergovernmental agencies. Environment’s present deterioration in Central Asian republics has come about mainly as a result of human activities, especially those concerned with development of industrialization during the Soviet times. Over the past 100 years industrial processes have been responsible for the pollution and degradation of the air, water and land. In addition the environment is being degraded as a result of unsustainable exploitation of natural resources and environmentally unsound agricultural practices. 3 The wide spread severe natural hazards in Central Asia are disasters of hydrosphere – flooding and drought. Disasters are taking as greater toll because there are more people living in the areas affected. More widespread results of disasters are destruction of buildings, social infrastructure, water system, power supplies and the damaging of communication links. Apart from the immediate effects of injury, death and loss of homes, there is the subsequent effect on health due to lack of clean drinking water and of food, the spread of disease. In the case of disaster effect on industrial wastes, there is the problem of the immediate and long term health effects. At the other extreme, low rainfall, deterioration of water wells lead to drought. Drought is not a direct cause of death, but it has an overall effect on peoples’ health and livelihood causing mass migration and isolation of some territories. Environment and human security are inevitably interlinked, and a healthy and secure environment is essential to the well being of the states, and its citizens, who depend on it. The Ferghana Valley is generally recognized as the region in Central Asia which epitomizes the interrelation between environment and security issues. Hundreds of villages and numerous local NGOs and enterprises are shared between the three bordering countries Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. Cooperation, information sharing and building trust and confidence over borders is a priority issue. Sound environmental management and decision-making requires timely and efficient provision of information and analysis to warn the policy-makers and affected communities about possible threats and dangers. Regular data collection and timely analysis is a key to establishing the link between environment hazards, competition over access to vital resources and trans boundary tensions between states and border communities. Aimed with this information and knowledge communities can work together to reduce risk of conflict arising from the management of environmental resources and foster co-operation and sustainable resource management across borders. Cooperation in the Ferghana Valley is urgent, among others, in such spheres as sharing of water resources and disaster management. It is estimated that between 1994 and 2004 cumulative damage from natural disasters amounted to 300 million USD (http://www.envsec.org/centasia/pub/ferghana-report-engb.pdf). Transboundary tensions over water between communities in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan (http://www.iwpr.net/?p=rca&s=f&o=343749&apc_state=henh) gave a glimpse of what may happen in the absence of effective cooperative frameworks. The proposed target areas of Isfara district in Tajikistan and the Batken district of Kyrgyzstan suffer shortage of access to the natural resources such as land, water and pastures resulting in violate conflicts and continuous tensions. Conflicts over water resources have been aggravating year by year for the last 10 years, which requires immediate actions and interventions to avoid further escalation of conflicts. Moreover, tensions are escalating over access to pastures by Tajik herdsman who traditionally used the Kyrgyz pastures by mutual informal agreements. Access to the pastures is being hampered by reinforcement of borders from the Kyrgyz side, which has intensified the last couple of years. And finally, with increasing density of population and disputed lands conflicts over land plots is rising. 4 Project Activities Recruitment of new monitors and an analyst in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Training of all monitors on environmental risk factors; Data collection and analysis on environmental and border issues, production of local reports every two months; Establishing joint commission/working groups; Dissemination of reports and recommendations to stakeholders; Conducting round tables on bi-monthly basis; Establishing local fund for grants; Addressing the prioritized challenges; Conducting awareness campaigns. Project Outcomes Strengthened awareness and capacity of the Local Cross border communities in identifying and addressing environmental and cross-border challenges to mitigate potential conflicts; Project Outputs Mechanisms for regular information collection and analysis established Conflicts mitigation processes enhanced through established working groups and supporting identified priorities by grants. Improved understanding of communities and proposals on institutionalizing cooperation and early warning frameworks in Ferghana Valley Indicators A team of monitors consisting of 7 local people established in the target areas and trained; 6 reports produced and disseminated to the project stakeholders; 6 round tables held and priorities identified and presented to the national governments and the donor agencies; At least 4 of identified priorities addressed through grants; The population of 7 target communities have greater awareness on cross border/environment issues Project Management UNDP Tajikistan – overall coordination on sub regional level, methodology development, expert and logistical support, quality control of the expert work, supervision of monitors and analysts. ENVSEC – communication of project successes and experience to donors and international organizations in Europe; support in coordinating the activities with other ENVSEC supported activities in the region 5 Executor: UNDP/TAJ Communities Programme, Khujand Area Office Project Budget No Activity Unit 1 Recruiting the team of monitors and their salaries for 10 months 2 Capacity building trainings to the monitors Recruiting an analyst and salary 7 monitors *10 months 2 3 Cost per Amount in Remarks Unit in USD USD 51.4 3,600 The monitors will be recruited for the period of 10 months. 1,500 3,000 1 analyst *11 months 6 163.6 1,800 Locally hired. 500 3,000 It is expected that in total there will be 6 Round Tables conducted for the commission. Each round table will require renting premises, transportation costs, coffee breaks, meals, handouts, rent of equipment, facilitators’ fees, and etc. The priorities in the target areas will be identified by the joint commission during their meetings Publication of 6 reports, as well as other awareness raising materials Coordination meetings of specialists from Taj and Kyr 4 Round tables 5 Local fund for grants 3 12,300 36,900 6 Publications awareness campaigns 6 333.3 2,000 7 Coordination meetings 3 866.7 2,600 and raising 6 8 9 Project administration costs (communication, travel, etc.) UNDP management fee 7% ENVSEC management fee 6% Total 8,455 4,655 3,990 70,000 German Ministry – US$ 66,500 UNDP – US$ 3,500 7