Spatial Decision Support Systems for Ecological Restoration and Management Leonard G. Pearlstine and Frank J. Mazzotti Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Ft. Lauderdale, FL Donald L. DeAngelis US Geological Survey, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL Decision support systems (DSS) are broadly defined as computer-based systems used to aid decision makers using data and models to solve unstructured problems (Sprague and Carlson 1982). Support methodologies that help authorities involved in ecological restoration sort out all the decision variables and parameters, categorize problem solving heuristics, and appreciate the impacts of potential policy actions are critical to successful planning and management (Kersten et al. 2000). DSS supports adaptive management initiatives by facilitating the planning process in goal formation, selection of alternative strategies for implementation, and targeting monitoring. A complete spatial DSS requires more than just the provision of a simple interface for viewing spatial data. Components of a DSS may include: (1) knowledge acquisition and representation, (2) goals and issues identification and conflict resolution, (3) alternatives evaluation, and (4) group negotiation support. Establishing a modular design and evaluating the need for these components as DSS development progresses can seamlessly integrate them as necessary and as funding and time permits. Knowledge acquisition and representation is principally the ability to bring in and update spatial data layers used to portray landscape and habitat variables, the decision rules for how these data layers interact, and easy to navigate viewers for display of the data. A preliminary list of available spatially explicit data layers from modeled output that may be a part of the decision process in south Florida includes: (1) Vegetation Classification and Modeling; (2) Wildlife Species Habitats; (3) Hydrology; (4) Urban Growth and Socioeconomic; and Sealevel Rise Models. Defining a goal or multiple goals establishes endpoints. The DSS helps the user evaluate compatibility of the goals, resolve conflicts in the proposed goal set, and estimate how successful a particular alternative will be in achieving a set of goals (Nute et al 2000). A DSS should provide tools for priority setting and for measuring changes in the landscape with indices of landscape pattern, linkages and fragmentation, diversity, ecological integrity that match published success criteria such those prepared for the Working Group of the South Florida Ecosystem Restoration Taskforce (Science Subgroup 1997). It is also in alternative evaluation that we need to deal explicitly with the limitations of our data and models. There is uncertainty in all science to varying degrees, but that is not a reason to discard that information; that is the reason for uncertainty analyses and sensitivity analyses as an integral part of DSS. Group negotiation management helps the decision makers organize their ideas, formulate relationships surrounding issues and arguments, and refine their understanding of the problem and their own value systems (Holsapple and Whinston 1996). Adaptive Management Decision Support Structured Issues Well defined statement of management goals and objectives But… “Real world” issues are Ill-Structured * Conflicting objectives * Ambiguities in criteria for success * Institutional confusion * Unknown contribution of environmental drivers * Lack of sci. understanding of management consequences * Turbulent political agencies Alternatives Evaluation & Ranking Issues & Goals Identification & Conflict Resolution Group Negotiation Support Knowledge Acquisition & Representation Figure 1. Implementation of decision support systems within the adaptive management structure. Evolutionary prototyping Sprague and Carlson (1982) is a development cycle of prototype DSS development, evaluation, and refinement, repeated continually until (and beyond) its implementation. Verification, validation, and extensive user involvement are vital parts of the evaluation cycle (D’Erchia et al. 2001). Any successful support system will be characterized by concise and succinct presentation of the issue and consistency of internal data and procedures (Hill 1982). None of this works without knowing the culture and legal requirements of the agencies that will be using the DSS. Development must include the user. The collaboration of key agency individuals, their interaction with other agencies, and their knowledge of other agencies’ needs helps to ensure that this effort will be focused on the needs and objectives of on-the-ground natural resource planners and managers. A DSS will only be successful if it contributes to the implementation of agency objectives and is valued by the decision-makers. Literature Cited D’Erchia, F., C. Korschegen, M. Nyquist, R. Root, R. Sojda, and P. Stine. 2001. A framework for ecological decision support systems: building the right system and building systems right. U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Information and Technology Report USGS/BRD/ITR2001-0002. Reston, VA. 50 p. Hill, P.H. (editor), 1982. Making decisions: a multidisciplinary introduction. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA. 264pp. Holsapple, C.W. and A.B. Whinston. 1996. Decision support systems: a knowledge-based approach. West Publishing Co., St. Paul Minn., 713 p. Kersten, G.E., Z. Mikolajuk, and A.G. Yeh, 2000. Decision support systems for sustainable development: a resource book of methods and applications. Kluwer Academic, Boston, MA. 423pp. Nute, D., G. Rosenberg, S. Nath, B. Verma, H.M. Rauscher, M.J. Twery, M. Grove. 2000. Goals and goal orientation in decision support systems for ecosystem management. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 27:355-375. Science Subgroup. 1997. Ecologic and precursor success criteria for South Florida ecosystem restoration. Report to the Working Group of the South Florida Ecosystem Restoration Taskforce. Sprague, R.H., Jr., and E.D. Carlson. 1982. Building effective decision support systems. Englewood, Cliffs, NJ, Printice-Hall, 329 p. Leonard G. Pearlstine, Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, 3205 College Ave., Ft. Lauderdale, FL 33314 Phone: 954-577-6354, email: pearlstn@ufl.edu