Statistical Tests for Effects of Introduced Fishes on Native Fish Communities Inhabiting Wet Prairie and Mangrove Habitats in South Florida Joel C. Trexler, Florida International University, Miami, FL Jerome J. Lorenz National Audubon Society, Tavernier, FL William F. Loftus U.S. Geological Survey, Miami, FL Mayan cichlids Ave. no. per net All fishes Ave. no. per net In a recent paper, we noted that the abundance of non-native fish species was generally low in freshwater marshes of the Everglades at sites distant from canals, but was relatively high in some mangrove-dominated areas north of Florida Bay. Further, we reported a negative correlation over a 10-year period between the numbers and biomass of native fish and the same parameter for the non-native Mayan 90 16 cichlid, Cichlasoma uropthalmus (Fig. total fish 14 Mayan cichlids 80 1, reprinted from Trexler et al. 2000). 12 Here we report an update from our 70 ongoing sampling in both the freshwater 10 60 Everglades habitats and the mangroves 8 north of Florida Bay. Also, we describe 50 6 the results of an analysis of fish 40 4 community data testing for evidence of 30 2 impacts by introduced taxa on native 0 ones in those habitats. 20 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Year The density and relative abundance of non-native fish taxa have remained much greater in mangrove Fig. 1. Plot of catch per unit effort of all fish and Mayan cichlids from 1990 to 2000 from drop traps placed in the habitats compared to upstream mangrove zone north of Florida Bay. freshwater marshes in Taylor and Shark River sloughs in Everglades National Park since the completion of our past analyses. In addition, we can identify no statistical evidence for effects from the non-native taxa on native fish communities in freshwater wetprairie habitats. While no effect from non-native taxa is possible, we cannot exclude several factors that can be categorized as either technical limitations of the data (effects are weak or absent relative to statistical power to detect them) or as inherent in the temporal variation in the communities themselves. The abundance and standing stocks of non-native taxa, especially the Mayan cichlid, are elevated in wet prairie habitats bordering the mangrove zone in Shark River Slough. The picture is clearly different in the mangrove zone on the northern fringe of Florida Bay. Mayan cichlids continue to be abundant in collections there. We have extended the correlation analysis reported in our earlier work to document the taxa of native species that appear to be adversely affected by Mayans. The native species sheepshead minnow (Cyprinodon variegatus) and marsh killifish (Fundulus confluentus) decline in abundance in periods when Mayan cichlids are common, and increase in periods of cold weather when Mayans relatively less abundant. Two other small, abundant native fishes, sailfin molly (Poecilia latipinna) and rainwater killifish (Lucania parva), appear to be unaffected by the changing abundance of Mayan cichlids. Our work indicates that non-native fish have altered the community structure and dynamics of native fishes in some habitats in southern Florida, but not others. There are probably multiple reasons for this, but the interaction of salinity and temperature tolerance of the introduced taxa currently present plays some role. Shafland has suggested that cold-temperature sensitivity has precluded some cichlids from expanding far from canals, where a permanent temperature refuge is provided by ground-water infusion. However, Mayan cichlids have no such refuges in the mangrove zone (the creeks there are not deep enough and their numbers do fluctuate with the severity of annual minimum temperature) and yet their abundance is much higher there than wet prairies. Thus, factors other than temperature tolerance may be involved in limiting their current expansion into wet prairies. The paucity of deep-water refuges during droughts, perhaps leading to local extirpation or severe reductions in population size may be a key factor in keeping cichlids out of the wet prairies. This research was supported by the National Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement DEB-9910514 for the Florida Coastal Everglades Long-term Ecological Research project and Cooperative Agreement 1443CA5280-01-014 from the Everglades National Park and the US Army Corps of Engineers. Trexler, J. C., W. F. Loftus, F. Jordan, J. Lorenz, J. Chick, and R. M. Kobza. 2000. Empirical assessment of fish introductions in a subtropical wetland: an evaluation of contrasting views. Biological Invasions 2:265-277 Joel Trexler, Dept. of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, University Park, Miami, FL 33199 Phone: 305-348-1966 trexlerj@fiu.edu