1 Supporting information Materials Methods and Results Alignment of full-length HBV sequences. All available full-length sequences of HBV were downloaded from the NCBI nucleotide sequence database queried on July 2010 (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov). We used all available HBV sequences in order to represent the global diversity in our study. The alignment of the 3,246 previously reported (Supporting file) and 434 unpublished sequences as part of HBV genotype D genetic characterization studies (1-3) was performed using CLUSTAL W version 1.74 (4) and manually edited to maintain the reading frame. The final alignment consisted of 3,378 sequences after the exclusion of inter-subtype recombinants (302) reported previously or detected as part of our previous study (5). The edited length of the alignment was 2,913 nucleotides. The dataset consisted of the major genotypes A-H sampled globally, as well as the recently identified genotype J (6) and HBV sequences from non-human primates including chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes troglodytes), gorillas (Gorilla gorilla), orangutans (Pongo pygmaeus) and gibbons (Hylobates and Nomascus). Genotype I was excluded due to its recombinant nature as reported previously (7). Selection of genomic region and dataset for the HBV phylodynamic analysis. Given that HBV has evolved over a long period of time, we selected the least divergent region in order to minimize the effect of saturation (Supporting figure S1) (8-10). To identify the region of lowest sequence divergence, we generated a fulllength genomic similarity plot of 118 sequences with a sliding window of 350 nucleotides moving in steps of 50 nucleotides using SimPlot version 3.5.1 (11). We included the most divergent sequences from all subgenotypes for which full-length genomic sequences were available (A1-A6, B1-B9, C1-C9, D1-D7, F1-F4 and genotypes E, G, H and J). According to the similarity plot, the most similar region was the overlapping S/P spanning sites 30-710 of the alignment, as well as a small fragment at the 3’ nonpolymerase (P) gene of approximately 300 bp (sites 1100-1395) corresponding to 2 positions 157-845 and 1162-1458 of the reference X02496 (genotype D) strain (12). Accordingly, we selected the overlapping S/P coding region (681 nt in length) as having the highest genetic similarity between all HBV genotypes. Moreover, as described previously (13), given the discordant clustering between “non-recombinant” HBV genotypes across the genome, this region (except for the genotypes A and G) shows the least discordance between genotypes. This renders it appropriate for studying the long-term evolution of HBV. Finally, the S gene is one of the cold spots for inter-subtype recombination (13-15). For the phylodynamic study, we selected at least 2 sequences from each of the HBV subgenotypes (A-D and F) and genotypes (E and G), respectively, while the only available full-length sequence of the recently identified genotype J was included in the analysis. Sequences were selected from the following subgenotypes: A1-A6, B1B9, C1-C9, D1-D7 and F1-F4. To ensure that the basal divergence in each clade was represented in our dataset, sequences were selected according to the branching order in the full-length genomic phylogenetic tree. Specifically, we selected the most distal sequences within the subgenotypes, as well as a set of sequences across the subgenotype clades. In addition to the sequences selected according to the criteria above, we performed a manual search in the nucleotide sequence database for partial sequences from the S/P region, isolated from indigenous populations from various parts of the world. Specifically, we focused on HBV sequences available at least in the S/P region, sampled from Pacific Oceania. The initial peopling of these areas occurred during known time periods, thus suggesting that they can be used as control calibration points for the dating of HBV lineages in these populations. The HBV sequences included in the analysis were from Indonesia, Near Oceania (New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Bismarck Archipelago), Remote Oceania (Vanuatu, Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand, Samoa, Tonga, Hawaii), Micronesia (Kiribati), Indonesia and Madagascar, as well as from the ancient African population the Bantus (16-21). Phylogenetic analyses and test for recombination. Phylogenetic trees were inferred by Neighbor-Joining (NJ) using maximum-likelihood distances under the general time-reversible (GTR) model of nucleotide substitution, with Γ-distributed rates among sites, as implemented in PAUP*4.0b10 (22). Visualization of the 3 estimated trees was performed using MEGA (version 4.0) (23) and FigTree (version 1.3.1) (http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/figtree/). All partial sequences included in the phylodynamic analysis were individually examined for any evidence of recombination by bootscanning analysis, using a sliding window of 350 bp moving in steps of 50 nt as implemented in Simplot. Recombination analysis was performed on all full-length sequences. Putative recombinant sequences showing evidence for discordant phylogenetic clustering within the S/P overlapping region were excluded from the analysis. Phylodynamic analyses Bayesian molecular clock analyses. The nucleotide substitution rate and the parameters of the demographic model were co-estimated using a Bayesian phylogenetic method as implemented in BEAST version 1.5.1(24). We used the GTR model of nucleotide substitution, assuming Γ-distributed rates among sites and a proportion of invariant sites. To accommodate rate heterogeneity among lineages, branch-specific rates were assumed to follow a lognormal distribution (an uncorrelated lognormal relaxed clock) (25). To model the population history, we used a Bayesian skyline plot (BSP) with 10 groups of intervals, where intervals are separated by coalescent events (24). Posterior distributions of parameters were obtained by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analysis, which was run for 30106 steps in most cases, with a burnin of 3106 steps. MCMC chains were sampled every 1,000 steps. The program Tracer v1.4 (http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/tracer/) was used to check for convergence and to determine whether sufficient mixing of the Markov chain sampler had been achieved in the posterior target distribution (effective sample size>100). The maximum-clade-credibility tree for each analysis was identified using the program TreeAnnotator (24). Hypothesis testing for a recent HBV origin. The time to the most recent ancestor (tMRCA) of HBV lineages was recently inferred to be less than ~1,500 years for human sequences (26). This estimate was based on an analysis of 108 HBV sequences sampled across 21 years (1983-2004), calibrated using the known sampling 4 times. Several studies have indicated that the ability of sequence ages to provide sufficient calibrating information depends on the structure and spread of sampling times (27, 28). More recent analyses that use viral “fossils” (i.e. viral elements that have been preserved in animal genomes through germline inheritance) have shown that molecular clock analyses in old viral phylogenies using synchronous isolation dates results into severe underestimation of time to Most Recent Common Ancestor (tMRCA) dates (29). This phenomenon was revealed due to the plethora of animal genomes that provided us with specific viral “fossils”, but could not have been taken into account in previous analyses. Given that the sampling times of HBV only span two decades, it is expected that they would not be appropriate for calibrating the evolutionary timescale of HBV, which might span 40 ka. To investigate further and more specifically this expectation, we simulated 10 datasets constrained on the topology reported previously (26) (same number of sequences, genotype distribution, monophyly of each clade and sampling dates within the period of 1983-2004). However, the age of the root was rescaled so that it was drawn from a normal distribution with a mean of 40 ka. The simulated evolutionary rate was 2.2x10-6 substitutions/site/year, as estimated here (see below). The selection of 40 ka for the age of the root was based on the comparison of the total tree length with the length of the coalescence for genotypes F/H which, according to the global HBV phylogeography, corresponds to the settlement of the Americas ~15 ka ago (30). Therefore, if the hypothesis that HBV has been co-diverging with humans is indeed correct, our approach investigates whether evolutionary changes occurring over a short period of time (~20 years) are sufficient for calibrating an analysis of an old phylogeny. Phylogenies were simulated in BEAST (version 1.5.1) (24), while sequence alignments were generated using Seq-Gen version 1.3.2 (31). The simulated alignments were analyzed in BEAST (24) using the sampling times as calibrations, following the study by Zhou et al (26) and showed that the tMRCA is severely underestimated. Our simulations suggest, as has been empirically shown for other viruses (29), that molecular clock analysis of HBV needs to be performed using deeper calibration points; this view is currently widely accepted (29). The only endogenous viral element related to HBV has been found in inverterbates (sbhse) indicating a slow evolution of Hepadna viruses as expected under the human-HBV co-divergence 5 hypothesis (32). However, these viral elements are much more divergent than HBV and cannot be used to calibrate the molecular clock of within HBV genetic diversity. We should note however that at the time previous molecular clock analyses (26, 3335) were conducted the requirement of deep calibration points had not been explored. 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Epidemiol Infect 1999;122:139-143. 10 Figure legends Supporting figure 1 Similarity plot of full-length genomic HBV genotype A against genotypes B-J, using a sliding window of 350 nts moving in steps of 50 nts. Positions in the alignment are shown on the horizontal axis. The data set comprises 118 sequences and includes different HBV subgenotypes sampled globally. Supporting figure 2 Dated HBV phylogeny showing subgenotypes within genotype A. HBV isolates are coloured according to their geographic origin; similarly, nodes are coloured according to their origin as inferred by phylogeographic analysis. All nodes with posterior probabilities higher than 0.85 are denoted by stars. Numbers on the horizontal axis correspond to years before present. Supporting figure 3 Dated HBV phylogeny showing subgenotypes within genotype B. Supporting figure 4 Dated HBV phylogeny showing subgenotypes within genotypes F and H. 11 Supporting Table 1 Prevalence of HBV infection (HBsAg) among indigenous populations Geographic area Prevalence Study Australia 17.0% (39) Papua-New Guinea 15.0% (12, 40) Palau 3.0% (40) Guam 4.0% (40) Truk 7.0% (40) Ponape 2.0% (40) Majuro 16.0% (40) Nauru 16.0% (40) Solomon Islands 20-30% (41-43) Kiribati 32.0% (40) Vanuatu 40.0% (40) Tuvalu 7.0% (40) Tahiti 2.0% (40) Hawaii 3.6% (44) New Zealand (Maori) 10.0-12.0% (45) Indonesia 2.1-10.5% (46, 47) Taiwan 15.0% (45) Brazil (Amazon Basin) 0-21% (48, 49) Venezuela 5-30% (50, 51) Near Oceania Remote Oceania Eastern Asia South America 12 Bolivia 9.5% (52) Peru 9.4% (53) Brazil (Parakana) 1.1-5.4% (54) Canada 3.0% (55) Canada (Nunavut) 4% (56, 57) Labrador 3.2% (58) Greenland 7.0-16.6 (59-62) Alaska 6.0% (63) Siberia (Yamal-Nenets) 3.0% (64) Siberia (Altaian village) 13.0% (65) Siberia (Novosibirsk) 1.1-3.5% (66) Siberia (Kamchatka) 12.0% (67) Arctic