United Nations Development Programme Global Environment Facility Namibia Project Document Barrier Removal to Namibian Renewable Energy Programme Response to GEF Council Comments The project was provisionally approved by the GEF Council at its meeting 10 May 2001 with some Council Members indicating concern regarding impediments to the successful implementation of the project. UNDP, as the GEF Implementing Agency, indicated that a number of provisions will be included in the final project document submitted for CEO endorsement to ensure that the project achieves its ultimate objectives. Principally, UNDP has designed an institutional arrangement that provides a high likelihood of success and assures a high degree of accountability. Government of Namibia will be the Executing Agency. Following are specific comments from the Council members, and including a discussion of how these comments are addressed in the Project Document. 1. Project replicability: The recurring problem of the financial package for such projects (external subsidies pay for over 70 percent of the equipment) raises questions of the replicability and sustainability of arrangements for off-grid rural equipment (France). One of the main barriers to the use of solar energy technologies (SETs) is that they have high first costs when compared to other business-as-usual technologies. The reasons for this high comparative cost are multiple and include duties and tariffs, the low demand, and hence number of systems installed (limited economy of scale), dispersed applications and, with respect to PVP, the lack of specialised technologies to deal with variations in water quality and solar regimes. In this context it is interesting to note that most current rural grid connections are fully subsidised, one argument being that only the larger market size achieved eventually will lead to a reduction in subsidies and a more sustainable grid operation. Clearly, off-grid customers in Namibia do not as yet enjoy levels of support comparable to grid clients. So the subsidies which range between an average of 10 and 40% for private through NGO to public installations will be phased out as an economy of scale is achieved, tariffs and duties are removed, financing is put in place and other market barriers removed or reduced. In respect of PV electrification, part of the Namibian off-grid electrification programme will release an estimated US$550 000 and US$1.1 million per year. 2. Financial viability of solar technologies in Namibia: There is very little information about the financial viability of the solar technologies in Namibia. A comparative costs 2 analysis between traditional technologies and solar technologies would be needed before project appraisal (Switzerland). One goal of the barrier removal project is the compilation of techno-economic data, which will establish a firm basis from which to compare the financial viability of solar technologies in Namibia, refer to B1.5.1. The issue was raised in the GEF STAP review and was answered there saying that this is one of the technical/public awareness barriers that will be addressed by the project see Annex C. The limited information that does exist, indicates that primary research has established the competitiveness of solar water heaters and electric hot water storage geysers despite the low price of electricity in Namibia. The price of electricity is likely to rise in the future as South Africa rationalizes its electricity industry and plans the building of further generation that the real cost and hence price of electricity is likely to rise in the near future. 3. Experiences gained in this field by other projects: The experiences gained in this field by other projects are apparently not taken into consideration as potential inputs for the proposed programme (Germany). Section A.3, and E4 i.e. Prior and ongoing assistance, describes the considerable efforts by the German GTZ has been included. 4. Specify the institutional set-up and the implementation strategy of the programme: The programme proposal does also not clearly specify the institutional set-up and the implementation strategy of the programme, which implies a considerable risk for the overall success of the programme due to the lack of ownership (Germany). Section B7 describes the proposed institutional set-up and programme implementation strategy. 5. Inputs from GTZ: There is no indication upon the inputs from GTZ, only UNDP and SADC-FINESSE activities are mentioned, on which the proposed programme will build upon (Germany). Section A.3, and E4 i.e. Prior and ongoing assistance, describes the considerable efforts by the German GTZ. 6. Rationale, objectives and strategy: The MME/GTZ Renewable Energy Programme (RE Programme) has provided valuable inputs to the Energy White Paper and should at least be mentioned (Germany). Section A.3 and E4, have been amended. 7. Capacity Building Barriers: The solar industry in Namibia is working according to market conditions, there is an open competition, so why should there be a ”regulatory framework?” A regulatory framework for off-grid activities will address one of the key policy objectives as stated in the White Paper on Energy Policy, namely level the playing field between grid and off-grid technologies, a barrier that inhibits the rapid market penetration of RET’s. 8. Comparative SET data: There is neither a lack of comparative SET data and information (see technical specifications in the various tender documents of MME’s Home Power! Programme), nor a lack of trained technicians (in total about 100, distributed all over the country)(Germany). Section A.3 and E4 describes the efforts that have been undertaken to date. 3 9. Institutional Barriers: Outsourcing of non-core functions was one of the main objectives of the re-structuring of MME and was discussed in detail and decided upon during a number of planning workshops (Germany). Considerable work to overcome institutional barriers remain, and the proposed barrier removal programme is well-suited to address these, refer to section B7 which describes the institutional arrangements. 10. Public Awareness: DWA do not promote PV pumping systems due to budgetary restrictions (Germany). The programme is designed to address the problems experienced by institutions such as the DWA and the private sector. In an addition to the assistance given to DWA, the project provides measures to reduce the financing barriers to the use of PV pumps by amongst other measures creating financing mechanisms and to provide an economy of scale subsidy to these technologies. See D1.4. 11. Public awareness: According to the experience of the RE programme, the in-depth knowledge about the electricity demand patterns of urban households, the efficiency of solar and electrical water heaters, their economic comparison and the macro-economic implications of their large scale dissemination is indispensable to successfully promote the use of solar water heaters (SWH).For this purpose, 4 studies were conducted, with the aim of designing a meaningful public awareness campaign and to eventually propose price adjustments or subsidies based on macro-economic considerations. These studies are not mentioned at all by the authors of the proposal (Germany). These comments have been inserted. Refer to section A.3. 12. Public awareness: In conclusion it can be stated that the social and public awareness barriers for SWH’s in Namibia are well known and the measures to overcome these barriers are already in progress (Germany). The programme seeks to build on these initial public awareness efforts. 13. Financial Barriers: There is no review of the existing revolving fund, its size and performance, its advantages and shortcomings foreseen in the proposal. However, this experience should be used to develop alternative strategies of financing, combining new approaches with successful features from the past (Germany). Mention of the HomePower! Fund has been included. Refer to section A.3. 14. Technical Barriers: In contradiction to the statements in chapter 3.5.1 there are already Codes of Practice and technical standards from South Africa available in Namibia. Technical specifications, e. g. for PV systems in clinics and schools, were elaborated by the RE programme in collaboration with the Ministry of Works, Transport and Communication, Department of Works, and were used in public tenders (Germany). The absence of relevant codes of practice is seen by most suppliers and government institutions, particularly the Ministry of Works, Transport and Communication and the Ministry of Trade and Industry, as a main barrier that could be removed if pertinently addressed, the technical barrier removal aspects within the proposed programme will address this issue. Key to a successful set of codes and practices will be to assess what has been undertaken in neighboring countries and decide their relevance to Namibia. 4 15. Technical Barriers: Independent test facilities should only be established in the framework of the planned Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Institute and after a comprehensive review of all existing facilities probably suitable for this task as outlined in 2 studies of the RE programme (Germany). The REEE Institute is one of the main targets to be promoted in the proposed barrier removal programme. It seeks to be a “learning Institution“, that harnesses existing capacities in Namibia and does not seek to duplicate. In its very inception the REEE institute seeks to be sleek and engender efficiency. (see B7, F.1 and Annex G) 16. Technical Barriers: The statement that funds for development projects “are often tied to specific non-Namibian suppliers” is incorrect. On the contrary, all tenders of the RE Programme were elaborated, published and evaluated according to the rules of the national tenderboard of Namibia and awarded exclusively to Namibian companies (Germany). While this procedure has been largely followed under the RE Programme, the same cannot be said for the majority of other tenders in the solar energy field. It is the purpose of the proposed programme to address this issue in more depth while encouraging sustainability of the RE programme through the nurturing of local capacity. 17. Demonstration and Pilot Activities: Most demonstration and pilot activities listed here are either in preparation (such as the comparison of advantages and shortfalls of the various SET delivery and maintenance modalities) or already in progress (set-up of outlets by private companies, government programmes to install SET’s at schools, hospitals and communal water stations, design of solar-diesel hybrid electricity supply system for Gobabeb) (Germany). While some initial work has been done, the project intends to build on these in deepening and extending the experience. Refer to section A.3 and E.4. 18. Risks and sustainability: The roles of important stakeholders in the crossinstitutional arrangement are not described (Germany). The roles of the main stakeholders have been described in the institutional section, refer to section B7 and Annex I. 19. Stakeholder Participation: The stakeholder participation and the institutional setup of the project remains vague. To leave the whole project implementation to a steering committee, whose members are not even specified, gives no indication about the ownership of the project (Germany). The roles of the main stakeholders have been described in the institutional section, refer to section B7 and Annex I. United Nations Development Programme Global Environment Facility Namibia Project Document Project Title: Project number: Country: Duration: Estimated start date: Estimated end date: Implementing Agency: Executing Agency: Co-operating Agencies: Barrier Removal to Namibian Renewable Energy Programme 1 NAM/01/G31/A/1G/99 Namibia 5 Years January 2003 December 2007 UNDP Namibian Government, Ministry of Mines and Energy (NEX) Danida, R-3-E, NamPower, NGOs Brief description: Namibia, Budget Summary (US$) with its supportive energy policy, powerful solar regime and UNDP: Phase 1 Phase 2 Total compact institutional environment GEF (main) 2,600,000 2,712,300 5,312,300 has the possibility to provide a GEF (PDF B) 103,000 small yet efficient market for solar OTHER: energy technologies. The GEF DANIDA 2,120,000 2,120,000 project proposed here will help Government 990,000 4,525,500 5,516,200 to reduce the barriers for the NamPower 758,000 758,000 development of the demand NGOs 552,000 552,000 for solar technologies and thus TOTAL: 14,361,500 mitigate greenhouse gas emissions by addressing institutional, information, human capacity, financial, technical, awareness and other market barriers to increased use of solar energy services by urban and rural households, government institutions (schools, clinics, and police stations), NGO facilities, beverage retailers, communal and commercial farmers. The project implemented in two phases will specifically assist local stakeholders in building local capacities to promote, finance, install and maintain solar applications, help to develop and implement favourable regulatory frameworks, and facilitate the establishment of viable financial mechanisms (micro lending and mortgage additions). The latter will address up-front investment cost barriers and related risk perceptions. The project will help to demonstrate viability of investments in solar energy and encourage widespread replication. The first phase will concentrate upon the technical assistance required to remove/reduce barriers while the second phase will accelerate the implementation of demonstration solar units. Expected project outputs include an increase of solar technologies (SHS, PVPs, SWH, PV refrigeration and PV institutional lighting) installations from about 7450 systems in 2000 to 41,950 systems by the year 2016. This will result in a total abatement of about 692,054 tonnes of carbon dioxide over 15 years. For the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP): …………………………………. Date:……………………….. For the Government of Namibia: …………………………………. Date:……………………….. 1 Please note: The main difference in the total budget between project brief and project document stems from the fact that Danida cannot make firm written co-financing commitments for phase 2 as was anticipated when the brief was approved. Smaller adjustments had to be made to reflect currency fluctuation. Content8 A. CONTEXT 9 A1. Description of Sector......................................................................................... 9 A2. Host Country Strategy .................................................................................... 11 A3. Prior and ongoing assistance.......................................................................... 11 A4. Institutional Framework ................................................................................ 13 B. PROJECT JUSTIFICATION14 B1. Problem to be addressed and the present situation ..................................... 14 B1.1 Capacity Barriers ........................................................................................ 15 B1.2 Institutional barriers to increased market penetration of SESs in Namibia ................................................................................................................................... 16 B1.3 Public awareness and social acceptability .................................................... 17 B1.4 Financial Barriers .......................................................................................... 19 B1.5 Technical Barriers .......................................................................................... 20 B1.6. Demonstrations and pilots .............................Error! Bookmark not defined. B2. Expected end-of-project situation ................................................................. 21 B3. Target beneficiaries ........................................................................................ 21 B4. Project strategy and implementation arrangements ................................... 22 B4.1. The project design strategy .................................................................... 23 B4.2. The project implementation strategy .................................................... 24 B5. Reasons for assistance from UNDP/GEF ...................................................... 26 B6. Special Considerations.................................................................................... 26 B7. Co-ordination arrangements.......................................................................... 27 B8. Counterpart support capacity ....................................................................... 28 C. DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE 29 D. IMMEDIATE OBJECTIVES, OUTPUTS AND ACTIVITIES 29 D1. Immediate objective ........................................................................................ 29 D1.1. Component 1: Capacity building........................................................... 29 D1.2. Component 2: Removal of institutional barriers ................................. 31 D1.3 Component 3: Public awareness and social acceptability ................... 32 D1.4. Component 4: Financial barriers removed .......................................... 34 D1.5 Component 5: Technical barrier removal/reduction........................... 37 D1.6 Component 6: Demonstrations and pilots ................................................ 38 E. INPUTS 39 E1 The Ministry of Mines and Energy ............................................................... 39 E2 Other Ministries within GRN ........................................................................ 39 E3 The UNDP ........................................................................................................ 39 E4 GTZ .................................................................................................................. 39 E5 SADC TAU ...................................................................................................... 40 E6 NGOs ................................................................................................................ 40 E7 NamPower ....................................................................................................... 40 E8 DANIDA........................................................................................................... 40 E9 Public and Private housing developers ......................................................... 40 E10 Commercial and Development Banks/finance institutions ......................... 41 E11 Namibian Bottlers ........................................................................................... 41 7 E12 The Global Environment Facility .................................................................. 41 F. RISKS 41 G. PRIOR OBLIGATIONS AND PREREQUISITES 42 G1. Prior Obligations............................................................................................. 42 G2. Prerequisites .................................................................................................... 43 H. PROJECT REVIEW, REPORTING AND EVALUATION 43 I. LEGAL CONTEXT 44 J. BUDGET 45 7 8 ABBREVIATIONS APR CBO CDM CET CTA DANIDA DEA DWA FINESSE GEF GTZ MAWRD MME MET MTI NAPCOD NDC NPC NOLIDEP ODC PAC PTR PMU PM PV PVL PVR PVT REINNAM R-3-E RET SADC SARDEP SETs SESs SHS SIDA SMEs SWH TPR TSG UNAM UNDP UNISE UNFCCC UNOPS Wp Annual Project Review Community based Organizations Clean Development Mechanism Conventional energy technologies Chief Technical Advisor Danish International Development Agency Directorate Environmental Affairs Directorate of Water Affairs Financing Energy Services for Small-scale Energy Users Global Environment Facility German Agency for Technical Co-operation Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Rural Development Ministry of Mines and Energy Ministry of Environment and Tourism Ministry of Trade and Industry Namibia’s Programme to Combat Desertification Namibian Development Corporation National Planning Commission Northern Regions Livestock Development Project Offshore Development Company Project Advisory Committee Project Termination Report Project Management Unit Project Manager Photovoltaic Photovoltaic Lighting Photovoltaic Refrigeration Photovoltaic Telecommunications Renewable Energy Information Network of Namibia Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Bureau of Namibia Renewable Energy Technologies Southern Africa Development Community Sustainable Animal and Range Development Programme Solar Energy Technologies Solar Energy Services Solar Home Systems Swedish International Development Agency Small and Medium Enterprises Solar Water Heaters Tri-Partite Review Technical Support Group University of Namibia United Nations Development Programme United Nations Initiative on Sustainable Energy United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change United Nations Operations Watt peak 8 9 A. CONTEXT A1. Description of Sector Namibia, with a territorial land area of 824,269 km², lies on the Atlantic coast of Africa between latitudes 17° and 29° South of the Equator. Bisected by the Tropic of Capricorn, the country is bordered in the west by a 1,500 km south Atlantic coastline, in the north by Angola and Zambia, in the east by Botswana, and in the south-east and south by South Africa. Namibia’s youthful population was determined to be 1.4 million by the 1991 Population and Housing Census and was projected to grow at an annual rate of 3.2 %. Currently, the population is estimated at 1.7 million, with some 42 % of the total under the age of 15 years and only 4.8% over 65. Preliminary figures of the 2001 Census indicate that Namibia’s population has grown to 1.826 million, i.e. at a rate of 2.6% since the 1991 Census. In spite of rapid urbanization, Namibia is still a rural society with fewer than 30 % of its population living in urban areas. The remaining 70% live in rural areas where subsistence agriculture is the dominant economic activity. Regional population densities vary enormously with almost two-thirds living in the northern regions while less than one tenth live in the south. With a per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of US$1.700, Namibia is defined as a lower-middle income economy ranking 79 out of 174 countries according to the World Bank which uses GDP as an income indicator. However, this indicator of national wellbeing masks a skewed income distribution, since in 1993 the richest 1% of households consumed as much as the poorest 50%. The majority of the population, particularly those in rural areas, live in conditions of relative poverty, have low literacy rates, and short life expectancy. Using these and other factors, the UNDP Human Development Index which uses income, education, life expectancy, access to clean water and modern energy services as a composite indicator, ranks Namibia 116 out of 174 countries. Namibia's strong semi-commercial water, electricity and telecommunications sectors ensure that commerce and the major urban areas are adequately and reliably supplied with these utilities. However, the majority of Namibia's population who live in rural areas in relative poverty has yet to fully experience the convenience and utility of modern energy services. The state-owned national power utility, NamPower, is responsible for Namibia’s electricity generation, imports and exports and the electricity grid. NamPower is the only bulk electricity supplier in Namibia. A coal fired thermal power station near Windhoek (120 MW), the hydro-electric plant at Ruacana (240 MW), the diesel-driven Walvis Bay Paratus power station (24 MW) and a 200 MW grid connection to South Africa provide the main sources of electric power. However, the majority of Namibia’s population has yet to experience the conveniences of modern energy services, and it is estimated that only about 16% of the total of 285,400 Namibian households have access to electricity. 9 10 With 93% of rural households relying on fuel-wood for cooking and heating, the ecological pressures on the Namibian environment are evident. Paraffin is used by nearly half of the rural households as lighting fuel, the other main light source being candles. However, paraffin, candles and batteries deliver light of inferior quality at comparatively high cost per unit light. This has the consequence of limiting evening activities to a minimum and reducing opportunities for income generation or improvements in the quality of education, health, and police service delivery (all of which are significantly improved by a suitable supply of electricity). A vigorous rural electrification programme has extended the electricity supply to rural areas since independence. Low rural cash income is seen as a main obstacle for the rapid electrification of households, which implies that fuel-wood, paraffin and candles will remain the mainstay of rural energy provisions unless large-scale measures are introduced to alter the current user patterns Namibia’s high population growth has three main implications for the energy sector. Firstly, not only does the backlog in energy services for households need to be corrected but additional services also need to be provided for new households in both urban and rural areas. Secondly, the Namibian economy in growing will require energy services to facilitate this growth. The third important consideration relates to the impact of energy usage and production on the environment. Much of the current conventional energy consumption relies on non-renewable hydro-carbon fuels of finite quantity, which have to be fully imported to Namibia. Namibia is well endowed with largely underdeveloped renewable energy resources, such as solar and wind energy, as well as hydro-power. Namibia has one of the best solar regimes in the world with some 3,300 hours of sunshine per year, which gives it a potential average annual global solar radiation value exceeding 6 kWh/m² per day. Along some parts of the Namibian coast average wind speeds range between 6 and 8 m/s, and the total hydro-power potential is estimated to exceed 750 MW capacity. Namibia’s progressive constitution enshrines the protection of its environment and sustainable usage of its natural resources. The White Paper on Energy Policy commits government to promoting the introduction and usage of renewable energy resources. The excellent solar regime makes the use of photo-voltaic (PV) systems for remote schools and clinics, telecommunications, water pumping and home lighting potentially feasible. However, the high initial capital outlay coupled with low incomes and lack of access to credit are seen as significant barriers, with the result that solar home systems are not yet as widespread as one would expect. Government has followed an active policy in terms of PV, and the state-owned Telecom Namibia, the Ministry of Environment and Tourism and the Ministry of Health and Social Services are examples where PV technology is actively used. Solar water heating has been shown to be economically attractive. Currently, the relatively low levels of Namibian electricity tariffs combined with high prices of solar water heaters (SWH) and the non-existence of a SWH manufacturing industry has led to a situation where SWH are expensive and little used. It 10 11 is believed that an active demonstration of technology and business opportunities needs to be pursued to set a SWH development programme in motion. Currently, UNDP, SADC and other donors, such as the GTZ, NORAD and DANIDA, are actively promoting market development initiatives for renewable energy services in Namibia. The present project builds on the Namibian Energy Policy (White Paper promulgated in 1998), the work of GTZ (1993 to 1999), and the SADC FINESSE activities undertaken in 1998 and 1999 have laid initial ground will collaborate closely in the implementation of the business plans that can be seen as pilot programmes as regards the commercially, institutionally and technically sustainable solar energy activities in Namibia. The GEF activities will put in place conditions for replication of these pilot activities by promoting a policy, regulatory and market context favourable for the development of solar energy services (SES's). Namibia is a net sink for Carbon Dioxide. In 1994, their inventory year, it emitted 1827 and removed 5716 Gigagrams to and from the atmosphere. A2. Host Country Strategy In 1993, the Ministry of Mines and Energy initiated the “Promotion of the Use of Renewable Sources of Energy in Namibia” programme. The Ministry of Mines and Energy established the Energy Policy Committee (EPC) to drive the policy making process and the development of an Energy Policy White Paper in 1995. The EPC completed the “White Paper on Energy Policy” in May 1998. As a framework for the energy policies, the White Paper formulated the following energy policy goals: effective governance, security of supply, social upliftment, investment and growth, economic competitiveness and efficiency, and sustainability. The strategy for renewable energy of the White Paper was summarized as follows: “Government will promote the use of renewable energy through the establishment of an adequate institutional and planning framework, the development of human resources and public awareness and suitable financing systems. It also seeks to meet development challenges through improved access to renewable energy sources, particularly in rural electrification, rural water supply and solar housing and water heating.” The project objectives coincide with national development objectives and Namibia’s second National Development Plan (NDP 2) with specific reference to rural areas through electrification, job creation, human resource development and small-scale industry development (refer to chapter 21 in the NDP 2). A3. Prior and ongoing assistance Over the last 5.5 years the German Government through the Gesellschaft für Technische Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) has supported a Ministry of Mines and Energy programme on the “Promotion of the Use of Renewable Sources of Energy in Namibia”, launched in 1993. The aim of the programme was to “increase the use of cost effective and environmentally 11 12 sound RET’s by end users”. The MME/GTZ Renewable Energy Programme (RE Programme) has also provided valuable inputs to the Energy White Paper. Four training programmes for solar technicians, jointly organized by MME and GTZ, were undertaken. Training manuals made available and initially some 100 technicians trained, some of whom are still active in rural areas of the country. Also, a number of government officials and staff members at MME and the Department of Water Affairs (DWA) were trained on-the-job. A revolving fund scheme was established, facilitating the financing of some 500 solar home systems in rural Namibia. Mostly, the high up-front costs and strict policy of the schemes administrator, i.e. the Namibia Development Corporation (NDC) has limited the number of potential clients eligible for a loan from the revolving fund to those rural families with regular income high enough to pay back the loan. This revolving fund is now supplemented by a fee-for-service pilot scheme whereby 450 rural dwellers will be given access to RET’s over the coming three years. In a number of studies, jointly financed by MME and GTZ, the technical and economic exploitability of wind and solar resources have been assessed, the economics of some RET’s and the socio-economic impact of rural electrification were analyzed, and some RET dissemination strategies developed. It should also be mentioned that there is a local PV pump available in Namibia, being considerably cheaper than the imported models, which was explicitly supported by the RE programme. According to the experience of the RE programme, the in-depth knowledge about the electricity demand patterns of urban households, the efficiency of solar and electrical water heaters, their economic comparison and the macro-economic implications of their large scale dissemination is indispensable to successfully promote the use of solar water heaters. For this purpose, four studies were conducted, with the aim of designing a meaningful public awareness campaign and to eventually propose price adjustments or subsidies based on macroeconomic considerations. Preliminary energy usage patterns and associated micro- and macro-economic costs have been published. A preliminary assessment of the potential market of photovoltaic pumps and solar water heaters was undertaken. Some demonstration and pilot activities that the current programme will build upon have been initiated under the GTZ/MME programme (set-up of outlets by private companies, government programmes to install SET’s at schools, hospitals and communal water stations, design of solar-diesel hybrid electricity supply system for Gobabeb), or are in preparation (such as the comparison of advantages and shortfalls of the various SET delivery and maintenance modalities). The barrier removal programme can build upon these initial experiences and achievements in order to make best use of the expertise already available, and to avoid a duplication of efforts. Various other donor organisations and initiatives, such as NORAD, DANIDA, Ibis, UNDP and SADC and others are actively promoting market development initiatives for renewable energy services in Namibia. The envisaged GEF activities will put in place conditions for replication of a variety of pilot activities, by promoting a policy, regulatory 12 13 and market context favorable for the continued development of solar energy services (SES's). A4. Institutional Framework The Namibian National Energy Policy contains the elements of a Renewable Energy Programme for Namibia that underpins the proposed project. The imminent rural electrification plan and the newly created institutions involved in electricity (and energy service) distribution will drive components of the project. The Ministry of Mines and Energy The Ministry of Mines and Energy, as the custodian of Namibia's rich endowment of mineral and energy resources, facilitates and regulates the responsible development and sustainable utilization of these resources. Within the Ministry the Energy Directorate is responsible for renewable energy research and implementation of renewable energy projects. R-3-E R-3-E is an independent organization created to perform certain functions of the Ministry of Mines and Energy in the field of renewable energy. It aims to co-ordinate and advance all renewable energy and energy efficiency related developments and to disseminate reliable information to ensure the efficient and sustainable use of all energy resources for the benefit of present and future generations in Namibia. Other Ministries within GRN The Ministries dealing with water supply, health, education, public works, police, and agriculture, all have infrastructural development programmes that provide energy services such as lighting, refrigeration, water-pumping, warm water which could be undertaken using SETs. As such the involvement of the ministries is essential if the project is to successfully integrate the use of solar energy technologies throughout the public sector. The project also develops demonstration projects for facilities services by these ministries and their agents and through small economies of scale subsidies will be confirming interests in demonstration solar energy installations. NGOs Three NGOs in Namibia have agreed to be part of the project, they include the Desert Research Foundation, Namibia Nature Foundation and Ibis. They will be installing demonstration SESs in their facilities and availing their staff to learn about SES and where to apply them, how to optimally operate and maintain them. NamPower NamPower (and their agents) are seen as key to a successful outcome of the project. They will be the agency that will provide the sustainability to market transformation towards solar energy technologies post-project. Their involvement in the provision of rural electricity and the breadth of their extension of technical and administrative infrastructure throughout Namibia. 13 14 Public and Private housing developers The National Housing Enterprise (Public) and Hanover (Private) housing developers have expressed interest in including solar water heating in the houses they develop. Particularly the solar water heater component of the demonstration project will be undertaken in collaboration with these developers and will require inputs from the commercial and development banks to provide financial instruments as part of mortgages or as dedicated loans. Commercial and Development Banks/finance institutions The Commercial and development banks are expected to constribute to the project by designing and marketing financial instruments for the purchase of SESs. Purchase of the SWHs results in some US$4.2 of new business for an estimated 4500 new systems installed over the 5 years. Namibian Bottlers The Namibian Breweries has expressed interest in the project if it can be demonstrated that the technologies work in cuka shops. B. PROJECT JUSTIFICATION B1. Problem to be addressed and the present situation Although Namibia has a strong commercial energy sector, which is capable of supporting the country's commercial, industrial and service sectors, electricity is supplied to only 16% of the population, which is primarily based in urban areas. The growing need for power for lighting, entertainment, refrigeration, and media is currently not being met using grid electricity. Where this need is met, it is done through the use of relatively expensive and fossil based CO2 emitting alternatives such as diesel, paraffin, candles, coal and fuelwood. Low rural incomes, coupled with the rising cost of grid electrification due to the decreasing value of the Namibian dollar and increasing pressure by the international financing institutions on NamPower to provide a cost reflective tariff, has two main implications. Firstly, massive investments are required for the grid to reach the rural populations. Secondly, the likelihood of low electricity consumption levels will jeopardise cost recovery on rural grid connections. TABLE 1: Renewable energy technology assessment by sector and energy service SECTOR ENERGY SERVICES NEEDS HOW NEEDS ARE CURRENTLY MET ALTERNATIVE CLEAN ENERGY OPTIONS Households 1. Lighting 2. Entertainment 3. Cooking 4. Refrigeration 5. Hot water 1. Candles, paraffin, biomass 2. Dry cell batteries, car batteries 3. Firewood, animal dung, paraffin 4. Paraffin and LPG refrigerators 5. Biomass, grid power, paraffin 1. PV lighting, biogas lighting 2. PV power 3. Solar cookers, biogas cookers 4. PV refrigerators 5. Solar water heaters 14 15 Commercial Farmers Beverage Outlets Schools Clinics Police Posts and prisons Pumping water for irrigation, animal and human use 1. Beverage cooling 2. Entertainment 3. Lighting 1. Lighting 2. Entertainment 3. Information Technology 1. Lighting 2. Drug Cooling 3. Information Technology 4. Telecommunication 1. Telecommunications 2. Lighting 3. Information technology Diesel, petrol, hybrid systems 1. Paraffin or LPG gas refrigerators 2. Dry cell or car battery powered radios 3. Paraffin, candles 1. Paraffin, candles 2. Dry cell, car battery powered radios/TVs 3. Manual processing 1. Paraffin and candles 2. Paraffin and industrial LPG refrigeration 3. Manual typewriters and paper archiving/process 4. Batteries or none 1. Batteries or none 2. Paraffin and candles 3. Manual processing 1. PV pumps, 2. Wind pumps, 3. Hybrid pumping systems 1. PV refrigerators 2. PV powered TV and radios 3. PV lighting, biogas lighting 1. PV lighting, biogas lighting 2. PV powered TV and radios 3. PV powered computers & typewriters 1. PV lighting and biogas lighting 2. PV refrigeration, biogas refrigeration 3. PV powered computers 4. PV powered telecommunication systems 1. PV powered telecom systems 2. PV lighting and biogas lighting 3. PV powered computer The extent the current and potential markets for SESs in view of the low grid electrification penetration levels is summarised in Table 2 below. TABLE 2: Estimated current and potential market size for solar energy services (SES) in Namibia in 2000 Solar Energy Technology Photovoltaic Pumps (PVP) Solar Home Systems (SHS) Institutional Lighting(PVL) Photovoltaic Refrigeration (PVR) Solar Water Heaters (SWH) Current systems 700 2600 150 2000 2000 Potential market 5000 9000 500 4000 15000 The estimate of market size was made by individuals with first hand knowledge aware of the Namibian solar market. The National Energy Policy for Namibia recognises that stand-alone and other solar energy services could provide a least-cost solution to satisfy the basic energy needs in Namibia. However, the widespread application of these technologies is currently being hindered by different barriers. B1.1 Capacity Barriers 15 16 The capacity barriers identified in this project are the availability of capacity to identify, design and implement sustainable energy projects. These apply in the private, public and NGO sectors. B1.1.1 Private sector i) Absence of SETs industry regulatory frameworks. ii) Lack of comprehensive comparative SET data and information for planning and investment. iii) Limited number of skilled technicians to assess, install and maintain SET systems. iv) Spatial concentration of SET industry in Windhoek far from demand centres (which in itself contributes significantly to high installation costs). B1.1.2 Government i) Absence of SET policy implementation plans. ii) Absence of SET policy implementation structures within government. iii) Limited skills/knowledge to assess appropriate applications of SETs and assess compliance with standards and codes of practice relevant to SETs technologies, their installation, use and maintenance. B1.1.3 NGOs i) Lack of adequate information about SETs to enable NGOs to undertake meaningful advocacy and public awareness work. ii) Limited skilled human capacity within the NGO community to interpret energy policy directives affecting SETs and design manage and evaluate SET projects. B1.2 Institutional barriers to increased market penetration of SESs in Namibia Institutions involved in activities related to the SET field often don’t achieve the objectives they set themselves. They agree on objectives, share values, and intend to act co-operatively to achieve joint goals. However, they sometimes fail to achieve the goals despite the fact that they have the resources (capacity) to do this. This is often because of what may be called institutional barriers. The meaning of institutional barriers, as the term is used here, are those barriers associated with: i) structure of institutions; ii) clarity in the roles and responsibilities of institutions; and iii) communication within and between institutions, including co-ordination of activities and co-operation. Optimizing the implementation of SESs will not rely on changing institutional structures, but rather institutional barriers will be overcome by increasing the clarity of institutional roles and responsibilities and/or by improving communication within and between institutions, including co-ordination of activities and co-operation. Despite existing institutional barriers, laudable initiatives to address specific sector (e.g. technical or capacity related efforts), as well as cross-sectoral issues have been undertaken in the past. The increased use of renewable energy through the establishment 16 17 of some institutional and planning framework, the development of human resources and public awareness, and establishment of a SET-supporting financing system are already in place. The envisaged GEF programme will continue to build on these initiatives and interventions. Measures addressing the lack of technical capacity located in institutions, resources available to institutions or knowledge and awareness are not dealt with as institutional barriers but included in Component 1: Capacity Barriers. Institutional barriers include the following: i) Budget procedures do not optimize government spending balance between capital and recurrent budgets related to recurrent expenditure on non-renewable energy sources. ii) Lack of institutional ownership of policies related to SESs in sectors that are affected by existing cross-cutting policies related to SESs prevents implementation of these polices. iii) Policies that are formulated and framed in energy and economic terms are not translated into policy measures that take institutional and administrative realities into account. iv) The capacity in MME linked to renewable energy areas is out of proportion with the much larger capacity linked to other areas. v) Lack of co-operation between private and public sector institutions especially, but not limited to, their respective capabilities, responsibilities and roles. vi) Incentives for electricity suppliers to increase electricity sales are sometimes contrary to least cost energy service solutions for users and the Namibian economy. B1.3 Public awareness and social acceptability barriers There are various ways in which awareness of energy issues is raised in Namibia. For example, the ‘Home Power!’ programme has used brochures, calendars, pamphlets, radio and TV talks to reach potential users of solar home systems. However, since commencement of the programme, only 220 systems have been installed. Lack of awareness of the programme has been cited as one of the limiting factors to penetration of solar home systems (SHS). However, this programme has, despite its potential, failed to extend its scope of services into areas such as the provision of solar water heaters and photovoltaic pumping. MME has been raising awareness on energy efficiency particularly with respect to transportation by placing adverts in newspapers and on bill-boards. While these adverts have been running for more than a year, its effectiveness has yet to be evaluated. NamPower and Northern Electricity inform consumers of issues mainly relating to electricity shutdowns, via the radio and newspapers. The Department of Water Affairs (DWA) has been informing communities about changes relating to pumping and management of waterpoints through national 17 18 consultations culminating in workshops, and has developed manuals and courses for water point management committees. Agricultural extension workers are commonly the conduit for information from the Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Rural Development (MAWRD) to the farmers. The DWA and MAWRD are cited here since they are considered potential users of PV technologies as well as conduits for information dissemination and awareness raising on these technologies and their most appropriate applications. B1.3.1 Awareness/social barriers to PVP utilisation Communities and commercial farmers do not choose PVPs because they: i) lack information on PVP life-cycle cost-benefit analysis using relevant discount rates for poor communities and other end-users in comparison to other technologies. ii) are misinformed about PVP and hence believe that PVP cannot meet their water needs and will restrict their stock size. iii) are unfamiliar with the performance and operation of PVP. iv) are unaware of the environmental implications of using diesel and are not sensitised to the important role they could play in contributing to a reduction in emissions and hence saving the world and themselves. Decision makers within the Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Rural Development (MAWRD) do not promote PVPs because they: i) lack information on long term financial implications of investing in PVP rather than diesel pumps; ii) lack information needed to motivate creation of a position for an electrical engineer within DWA who would promote and supervise PVP installation; iii) lack capacity to address PVP issues; and iv) are under pressure to provide for many communities and thus the available funding is spread widely making it difficult to invest in costly technologies. Management within agricultural programmes such as SARDEP, NOLIDEP and NAPCOD do not promote PVP's because they: i) are unaware of the role of stock sizes on the community’s decision in the type of pump they prefer. The larger the stock size the higher the need for water. Communities tend to believe that PV pumps can only be used where the stock is small. ii) do not know the role they could play in promoting PVP. B1.3.2 Awareness/social barriers to SWHs usage for private and commercial usage Architects and developers do not offer SWH as an option in the house quotations because they: i) are unaware or do not have accessible information on the life-cycle costs and benefits of SWH vs. electric geysers and hence are confined to the up-front costs. ii) do not realise the long term environmental implications of using electric heaters instead of SWH. 18 19 iii) are unaware of reliability, product longevity, long-term performance, product quality, and enforceable performance guarantees. House owners do not demand SWH when building or buying a house or purchasing a new water heater, because they: i) are unaware of the life-cycle costs and benefits of SWH compared to electric heaters. ii) apply for loans with loan providers who set their loan ceilings based on income of the borrowers which are often to include additional costs such as the additional first cost of SWHs. iii) are unaware of reliability, product longevity, long-term performance, product quality, and enforceable performance guarantees. Financiers do not extend loans for SWHs because: i) they are unaware that having a SWH effectively raises the loan applicants' income and hence the ceiling which thus improves the ability to purchase SWHs. ii) they do not value SWHs when a house is being valued in spite of the energy savings in comparison with electric geysers. iii) while the bank management has noted that they would be willing to provide the additional funding needed to cover SWHs as part of the housing loan, this has yet to be communicated to the bank staff handling these issues. iv) government and industry providing attractive financing schemes to facilitate acquisition of houses by their employees do not offer opportunities to acquire SWHs. v) are unaware of reliability, product longevity, long-term performance, product quality, and enforceable performance guarantees. B1.3.3 Awareness/social barriers to SHS i) potential end-users of SHS are unaware of the Home Power! financing scheme and SHS in general since awareness campaigns are once-off and often not synchronised with easy access to SHS. ii) SHS are considered inferior to grid electricity and are considered as the electricity for the poor. iii) promoters of SHS are not informed of changes influencing consumer accessibility of SHS. B1.3.4 Awareness/social barriers to PV fridges i) lack of awareness of the availability of such refrigerators and their performance ii) lack of information on the long term cost-benefit analysis in comparison to other refrigerators B1.3.5 Across technologies-awareness/social barriers Overall there is a general lack of awareness of SETs and RE among the stakeholders. End-users are unaware of various characteristics of SETs e.g. performance. Potential promoters and disseminators of these technologies are similarly uninformed. B1.4 Financial Barriers 19 20 One of the main barriers to the use of solar energy technologies (SETs) is that they have high first costs when compared to other business as usual technologies. The reasons for this high comparative cost are multiple and include duties and tariffs, the low demand and hence number of systems installed (limited economy of scale), dispersed applications and, with respect to PVP, the lack of specialized technologies to deal with variations in water quality and solar regimes. The cost that users experience is not only related to the high first cost. The financing possibilities are often not accessible because of lending policies or they are unaffordable if the interest rate is too high, the duration of pay-back may be too long or too short, or transaction costs too high. These could all be considered as financial barriers to the market penetration of solar technologies. Indeed, such barriers are further exacerbated by the quality and quantity of information that end-users and financial institutions have access to. B1.4.1 Financial barriers to increased market penetration of SETs in Namibia i) High first cost of SETs; ii) lack of well marketed, affordable and easily accessible financing for the purchase, installation, and maintenance of SETs; iii) lack of knowledge of current and potential financiers on how to appraise applications for credit for SETs; iv) lack of skills to develop business plans for the supply/manufacture and use of SETs; v) local financiers’ limited knowledge of local, regional and international bulk lending facilities/modalities/instruments/lines of credit dedicated to clean development/the supply and efficient use of cleaner energy; vi) lack of confidence in the returns on investment (for end-users) and loan performance (for financiers); vii) comparisons of costs between SETs and business as usual technologies for equivalent energy services; viii) the imposition of import/sales/installation duties/levies/taxes on SETs; ix) uneven playing field between access to, and payment for, grid and off-grid electricity; x) limited linkage to sustained dedicated financing to government policy commitment to solar technologies (other than SHS); xi) guarantee mechanisms are not adequate to enhance confidence in the purchase of some of the SETs, and xii) inadequate financial incentives for local renewable energy entrepreneurs to bulk procure, sell, install and maintain SETs. B1.5 Technical Barriers This section deals with the technical capability of Namibia to use and promote SETs sustainably and effectively. The technical capacity of Namibia has been assessed from the perspective of the private sector, government, and NGOs. 20 21 B1.5.1 Technical barriers to market penetration of SETs in Namibia i) non-existence of norms, standards and codes of practice for performance, manufacturing, installation and maintenance of SETs; ii) non-existence of an independent SETs testing facility; iii) small and dispersed size of the Namibian SETs market does not facilitate benefits of economies of scale; iv) heavy reliance on imported SETs due to the limited local manufacturing capacity and infrastructure; v) manufacturers enjoy little support for local SETs development; vi) conclusive techno-economic data comparing different energy technologies for equivalent energy services has not been developed locally, and international experiences are not widely known; vii) little empirical knowledge of the costs and benefits of SETs is available, which often leads to decisions being made in favor of conventional energy technologies and options; viii) limited availability of adequately trained human resources within the engineering consultancy, electricity utility fraternity, academia, government, financial institutions and NGOs, to undertake and provide least cost energy planning in the provision of energy services; ix) energy usage patterns and associated micro- and macro-economic costs are little known and understood; x) a number of development projects in the SETs field are funded by donors, and funds are often tied to specific non-Namibian suppliers, which erodes the local demand and indigenous manufacturing capabilities; and xi) due to the small market size, the industry experiences capacity and quality problems. B2. Expected end-of-project situation The win-win possibilities of this project include the benefits to Namibia, on the one hand, and on the other, the potential to generate market development for solar energy technologies leading to sustained reduction in carbon dioxide emissions globally. The GEF resources will result in leveraging financial resources from the government, private sector, bi-lateral donors and end-users predominantly for the demonstration/pilot component of the project. Some of these resources (e.g. GRNs) have already been programmed but the project streamlines their utilization through synthesizing their application within this GEF project framework. These results will have a sustained impact on the quality of life of the rural and urban populations, improve energy service affordability for end-users, improve the energy service quality in health care, police and educational facilities. The impacts of a successful project on the global environment through a reduction in the emissions of GHGs would continue well beyond the lifetime of the project. The proposed project will contribute directly to the installation of solar technologies (SHS, PVPs, SWH, PV refrigeration and PV institutional lighting) from about 7450 systems in 2000 to 41,950 systems by the year 2016. In addition to domestic development 21 22 benefits the project will result in a total abatement of about 692,054 tonnes of carbon dioxide over 15 years. The following progress monitoring milestone is suggested: At least 6823 systems will be installed by 2007 (project completion). As the project is expected to have a sustained boosting impact on the Namibia RETs market, the total reductions of GHG gases will be substantially greater. Table 3: Number of solar energy systems installed over 5 year duration, as a direct consequence of the GEF intervention Solar Energy Technology # of systems installed over 5 years 211 1342 120 628 4522 Photovoltaic Pumps Solar Home Systems Institutional lighting Photovoltaic Refrigeration Solar Water Heaters (see Annex D: Estimation of number of solar energy systems installed) B3. Target beneficiaries The major target beneficiaries of the project will be the Namibian people. The main beneficiaries will be: rural and urban households that do not have electricity but can afford to make use of photovoltaic electricity for lighting (and radio); shops and bottle store in areas away from the electricity grid that sell refrigerated beverages; suppliers of PV systems, and later when replication occurs, other renewable energy technologies; commercial and communal farmers that are required to pump water; worker households on commercial farms; health workers and patients in clinics, teachers and students attending educational facilities, police station staff, staff of NGO facilities (research and conservancies), and residents of conservancies beyond the reach of the electricity grid; and urban and rural home owners in private and/or government supplied housing who can afford a hot water service. It is envisaged that beyond the project there will be further beneficiaries as the project momentum extends to other technologies and end-use sectors. To enhance the possibilities of success of the project, the active participation of end-users is essential. This will be the challenge faced by the project as Namibia is a poor country. The project is therefore designed around interventions that are most likely to succeed, and while succeeding, provide an affirming demonstration to potential future SETs and other RETs users. 22 23 The project should end up in a situation, where the environment and the general conditions for a private enterprise interests in rural and remote electrification using PV systems and water heating using solar water heaters are improved. For this to happen, the participation of the private sector in the project is essential. This will be done through the Project Management Unit (PMU) and Project Advisory Committee (PAC) of the project (see co-ordination arrangements Section B7. below). However, this should not result in conflicts of interest arising nor affect negatively the transparency and neutrality of the project with respect to the bidding and other commercial relationships the project will have with the private sector. B4. Project strategy and implementation arrangements The project will implement activities to enable the GRN to adequately transform the energy market and thus allow greater use of renewable and sustainable energy services in accordance simultaneously with the UNFCCC objectives. B4.1. Project design strategy The approach to the project has been to consult broadly with stakeholders bilaterally in meetings, multilaterally in workshops and clustered meetings and through written comments/critiques. Based on the Namibian National Energy Policy and comments drawn from these meetings, technologies that look promising from the perspective of technical, financial and environmental criteria have been selected. Of these, solar standalone technologies have been targeted as this projects contribution to the Renewable Energy Programme of Namibia implying a degree of fuel switching. In developing the project some, 30 to 40 institutions were visited by a team of expert consultants drawn from Namibia and other Southern African countries. The team was divided into smaller groups to deal with the specific barriers, in most cases teaming a Namibian with an expatriate consultant to harness in-country institutional memory. Each bilateral meeting consisted of a briefing on the proposed barrier removal project. Institutions were asked to contribute to its development by volunteering information on the barriers to transforming the energy market in favor of renewable energy from their perspective. Many of the same organizations were asked whether they were involved in complimentary work and if their mutual interests would constitute grounds for cofinancing of the project. Further development of the strategy involved two multilateral workshops with the main stakeholders and a presentation of the project concept (at a PDF-B level of detail) to the final FINESSE national workshop. These workshops provided an opportunity for detailed criticism of the project as it was designed. The project was also subject to the normal GEF project pipeline scrutiny. In the development of this project, experiences have been drawn from Zimbabwe, Malawi and South Africa. Particular attention in these regional examples of PV projects is paid to critiques of: financial mechanisms (to end-users and the PV industry); project 23 24 institutional arrangements; institutional arrangements (external to the project) and delivery modes; credit ratings of PV purchasers; project bulk purchasing and warehousing; performance standards (and compliance protocols); codes of practice; training and accreditation of technicians trainees. Lessons learned from these projects will facilitate the Namibian project’s contribution to the momentum of PV electrification in Africa. The Namibia project builds on the regional experience which includes: B4.2. The Zimbabwe GEF project where more than 9000 solar home and institutional systems were installed making use of external soft financing using predominantly commercial delivery modes. In South Africa estimates suggest that the total installed PV capacity is approximately 5MWp. Most of the systems have been entirely subsidised except for the telecommunications systems and some of the PV pumping and the majority of the solar homes systems. In South Africa, dedicated financing has been organised by suppliers using their own limited resources, typically requiring repayment over 6 months at high interest rates. The Malawi UNDP-GEF project worth some US$10.5m which has commenced in June 2002 aims to help mitigate greenhouse gas emissions by addressing institutional, information, know-how, perceived risk and other investment barriers to increased use of photovoltaic energy sources by households, institutions, commercial entities and agro-industries. Specifically the project will: Assist local stakeholders in building local capacities to promote, install and service PV applications; help to develop and implement favorable regulatory frameworks, facilitate the establishment of viable financial mechanisms (micro lending). The latter will address up-front investment cost barriers and related risk perceptions. The project will help to demonstrate viability of investments in photovoltaic energy and encourage widespread replication. Expected project outputs: Increase of off-GRID PV installations from about 5000 systems in 1998 to at least 30.000 systems by the year 2015. This will result in a total abatement of about 600,000 tonnes of carbon over the lifecycle of these systems. The following progress monitoring milestones are suggested: At least 9.000 systems will be installed by 2006 (project completion), installation of 20,000 systems is foreseen by 2012. Project implementation strategy The prospects for the success of a Renewable Energy Programme on a large scale is linked to the establishment of a flourishing market for manufacturing components, financing, distributing, installing, and maintaining the technologies involved in providing renewable energy services. However, the existence of market and non-market barriers prevents the full potential of solar energy sourced services from being achieved. By reducing or removing the identified barriers, this project will establish the necessary conditions to integrate solar energy systems into the rural electrification plan and other private and public sector strategies in a sustainable manner. The project will explore energy problems of, and solar energy options for, poor urban and rural households, facilitate income-generating activities, address renewable energy 24 25 opportunities amongst commercial and communal agricultural sub-sectors, cuka shop owners remote from the grid, institutional facilities and the urban (water heating) and rural homes (lighting, refrigeration, communications and entertainment, water heating) of Namibians. Where possible, leverage will be applied to private sector beneficiaries of project outputs (such as the commercial agricultural sector, current and prospective private homeowners and cuka shop (small informal shop) outlets for cold beverages) to provide additional services to employees or customers. For example, the cuka shops that make use of PV powered lights, refrigerators and media services will be encouraged to demonstrate the technology and become agents for PV and associated technology suppliers. Commercial farmers will be encouraged to electrify their worker’s dwellings. The project addresses awareness/social, capacity/information, institutional, technical and financial barriers to the development of a market for SESs and proposes institutional and financing mechanisms to integrate SESs into the household, agro-industrial and commercial market niches of the Namibian economy. The project specifically considers improving the skills and knowledge base of the main stakeholders, providing economy of scale subsidies and credit facilities, establishing a regulatory framework, and monitoring activities to build the market for SESs. The proposed project therefore aims at removing these barriers to expand the use of SES's in five principal markets, namely: a) SHS in households for lighting and radio/TV (rural); b) SWH for the provision of hot water, mainly in urban households; c) PVP in communal and commercial farming communities for water pumping; d) PV in the cold beverage industry for bottle cooling, lighting and radio/TV; e) PV in public institutions (e.g. schools, clinics, and police posts) for lighting, radio/TV, refrigeration and telecommunications. The final selection of technologies was made by the Namibian Government’s Ministry of Mines and Energy. Excluded from the current list of RETs are a number of sustainable energy technologies that could benefit from the replication of barrier removal activities or from a newly liberated market such as wind energy technologies, solar cookers etc. The proposed project would help the market develop and as a result would increase the number of installed solar technologies by 41,950 in 2016. This will result in a reduction of emissions in the order of 692 Gigagrams over 15 years. A summary of emissions avoidance sources is provided in Annex A. The project is to be implemented in two phases. The first is predominantly technical assistance to barrier removal activities, and the second predominantly demonstration and pilot project implementation. The first phase starts at the outset of the project for 2,5 years and the second phase (2,5 years) continues until the end of year 5. The first phase will undertake the technical assistance to the barrier removal including considerable capacity building in government, NGOs, finance, and other sectors, institutional development, reduction of financial barriers, building public awareness, and technological barrier reduction. These activities will lay the way for an accelerated 25 26 demonstration of the solar technologies in the second phase. At the end of Phase 1, once most of the instruments addressing removal of the institutional barriers are in place, Phase 2 will move to support an innovative loan/grant mechanism that will be extended through the Namibian banking sector and parastatal housing delivery agents and the Namibian Development Corporation. The demonstrations chosen for the Phase 2 exercise will further make a showcase of how best to link with the NamPower over time to future delivery of off-grid solar systems for grid connected power supply through their agents. Equally important in this second phase will be to link government, NGO and private sector (Breweries) to the successful (and lower incremental costs/less risky) first phase demonstrations. B5. Reasons for assistance from UNDP/GEF UNDP's mandate is sustainable development with special focus in four key areas: i) eradication poverty; ii) increasing women's role in development; iii) providing people with income earning opportunities and livelihoods; and iv) protecting and regenerating the environment. Energy production and consumption are closely linked to these issues as stated by the UNDP Initiative on Sustainable Energy (UNISE) and in the recent UNDP publication "Energy after Rio: Prospects and Challenges". UNDP is focusing on energy as an essential instrument for socio-economic development. The document strongly emphases the efficient use of energy, as well as the use of renewable sources of energy. As a non-annex 1 country, party to the UNFCCC, Namibia has access to the GEF to assist in undertaking projects that can show positive incremental costs in the reduction of Greenhouse Gas emissions. The project is consistent with the objectives of the GEF Operational Program 6: Promoting the adoption of renewable energy by removing barriers and reducing implementation costs. This project responds to these guidelines by describing activities that remove barriers to the renewable energy programme in Namibia. As an implementing agency for the GEF, UNDP has played an important role in the development and management of capacity building and technical assistance projects funded by the GEF. Through its global network of field offices, UNDP is in an excellent position to assist countries in developing and implementing project activities of this type. B6. Special Considerations The environmental impacts of this project are positive. The substitution of solar systems for fossil fuels reduces the emissions of CO2, CO, suspended particulates etc. Likewise, it reduces the transport of fuel (kerosene, candles and diesel). A major risk of a negative impact on the environment could be the increased use of batteries containing lead and sulphuric acid and their improper displacement. To mitigate such an event, it will be necessary to strengthen the existing systems of recycling or to create new ones. Consideration will also be given to balancing battery cost with lifetime in order to reduce disposal. 26 27 B7. Co-ordination arrangements The project will be executed nationally under the National Execution Modality (NEX). MME will be the executing agency. MME will delegate certain functions to the newly created R-3-E institute on a contractual basis. The activities described in the project are to be implemented by a PMU that will be put in place by MME for the 5-year duration of the project in two phases of 2,5 and 2,5 years durations. Most likely the PMU will be hosted by R-3-E. The PMU will be advised by a Project Advisory Committee (PAC), composed of public and private sector institutions (that are key receivers of policy insights). The PAC will guide the implementation of the project to ensure that the results are disseminated to, and evaluated by, relevant stakeholders and that they support the smooth transition from this enabling activity to the further development and growth of the RET market in Namibia. PAC specific functions are: Advise the PMU on all aspects of the project Review and comment on progress reports Serve as a sounding board for the PMU Disseminate project results and raise awareness of project activities and successes Interpret the policy implications of the outputs of the project and devise ways in which they can be incorporated into policy. The existing R-3-E steering committee could act as the PAC. This committee is currently comprised of the following organizations: The Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME); Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI); Premier Electric (nominated by NamPower); Polytechnic of Namibia University of Namibia Multidisciplinary Research and Consultancy Center (MRCC) Group for Advancement of the Rational Use of Energy in Namibia (GARUEN) Desert Research Foundation of Namibia (DRFN) City of Windhoek The committee should consider co-opting the following organizations Other electricity distributors Representatives of local government co-ordinating bodies NGOs (NNF, Ibis); Women action for development (WAD); Financiers (Commercial Banks, Parastatal Development Financing institutions (eg. AgriBank, Namibia Development Corporation, Development Fund of Namibia etc.); Namibian Breweries 27 28 In determining the final composition of the PAC, efforts will be made to ensure that the key sectors are equally represented including key government ministries, financial institutions, training institutions, NGOs, private industry, and potential users. The following institutional arrangement is suggested for the project, as shown in Figure 1. FIGURE 1: The institutional arrangements of the project MME PAC comprised of main stakeholders. The already established committee for the R-3-E would be most suitable. The PMU Others sub-contract 3 sub-contract 2 sub-contract 1 Technical backstopping will be provided on an ad-hoc basis by in-country or international consultants from the region. However, where skills are not available or where specialist skills or experience cannot be located regionally, consultants from beyond the region will be recruited. B8. Counterpart support capacity The Government of GRN participates in the project with an in-kind and counterpart financing of US$5.516 million, which consists mainly of resources from the: i) MME fiscal allocations to solar energy and RE related projects that fall under the umbrella of the Renewable Energy Programme; 28 29 ii) Funds that are allocated in ministries for energy service infrastructure (water pumps for communal agriculture, lighting for institutions, water heating for institutions, lighting for staff of clinics and schools, and refrigeration for clinics and hostels. iii) A direct allocation of Nam$1 million per annum from the MME budget to the R-3-E; and iv) In kind contributions in the oversight and implementation of the project. For phase 1 the GRN supports the overall goal of this project with approximately US$990,000 through funds allocated in the MME and other ministerial budgets. For phase 2 support in the range of US$4,525,500 has been estimated. The phase 2 funds will be allocated in budgets delineated in the second National Development Plan (NDP2). C. DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE The development objective of the project is “to increase affordable access to sustainable energy services through the further development of a market for SET's in Namibia that contribute to climate stabilization by reducing CO2 emissions through the removal of technical, financial, social, institutional, capacity, public awareness and social acceptability barriers.” D. IMMEDIATE OBJECTIVES, OUTPUTS AND ACTIVITIES D1. Immediate objective The immediate objective is “to remove barriers to the delivery of commercially, institutionally, and technically sustainable SES including electricity production (for offgrid lighting, radio, TV, water pumping, and refrigeration), and water heating to the household, institutional, commercial, and agro-industrial sectors and to demonstrate the enabled environment through affirming demonstrations of the applications of the technologies.” D1.1. Component 1: Capacity building The capacity building component of the project is targeted at four groups: the Private Sector (PV industry); the Government; the PMU and NGOs. In the private sector, the overriding objective is to build capacity of the Sustainable Energy sector to provide high quality service to the markets. The main objective of the Government is to prepare a SET implementation plan to guide SET development activities in collaboration with other relevant government agencies. As and extension at arms length of government, the project will build the capacity of a project management unit to take on the day-to-day tasks of managing the project and specified tasks. In the case of institutional capacity building in the PMU the following objectives apply: i) to establish an excellent PMU that has the capacity to plan, implement and review the project and contribute to the momentum for sustainability of the RE sector post-project; ii) for the PMU to network with key local and international 29 30 role players that will focus interest and enthusiasm on the project and its outcome; and, iii) to design and implement a RE (focusing on PV) resource centre that archives and makes available information collected and generated over the duration of the project, and co-ordinates and provides courses/training on RE. For the NGOs the primary objective is to provide NGOs with adequate and relevant information on SETs so as to enable them carry out advocacy and promotional work and identify appropriate applications for the use of SETs. Private sector Output 1.1 Training programme for private sector technicians developed and executed Activity 1.1.1 Facilitate developing and undertaking training activities for technicians and SET trainers Output 1.2 Decentralised SET industries adequately equipped with skilled personpower and resources to provide SET back-stopping activities, including installation and maintenance Activity 1.2.1 Promote the establishment of decentralised SET industries in the regions. (Activity 2 needs to be implemented in parallel with activity 6. See 3.1.3.3 below.) Government Output 1.3 Dedicated training programmes for SET staff in MME, MIT, DoW and other Government agencies involved in SET delivery activities developed and executed Activity 1.3.1 Develop and undertake training for government officers involved in SET activities Output 1.4 A SET master plan is developed Activity 1.4.1 Develop a SET implementation plan PMU Output 1.5 The project management unit is equipped to manage a five-year barrier removal project Activity 1.5.1 Establish the PMU Activity 1.5.2 PMU staff participates alongside other key project players in technical and management training courses and workshops Activity 1.5.3 PMU staff participates with key project players in international conferences, workshops, trade fairs/expos Activity 1.5.4 The PMU will design and implement a RE/PV resource centre 30 31 NGO Output 1.6 NGO training programmes developed and executed so that the NGO community understand the implications of SETs and are able and willing to advocate its use for certain energy services where appropriate Activity 1.6.1 Undertake training of NGO analysts (and technicians where appropriate) D1.2. Component 2: Removal of institutional barriers The primary objective is to remove budgeting, subsidies, information and other institutional barriers to the appropriate use of SESs in planning processes at inter-sectoral levels. Output 2.1 Consideration of the economic cost benefits of SESs is included in development planning processes at inter-sectoral level Activity 2.1.1 Build processes to assess economic costs and benefits (taking into account the discount rates experienced by the various market segments) of SESs into the development planning processes at inter-sectoral level. Identify relevant inter-sectoral development planning processes. Insert appropriate technical assistance into the processes. Insert assessment that optimises recurrent and capital expenditure over full life cycle costs incorporating full consideration of SESs options into the above. Output 2.2 Institutions optimize recurrent and capital expenditure over full lifecycle costs incorporating full consideration of SESs options Activity 2.2.1 Support institutions in optimising recurrent and capital expenditure over full life cycle costs, incorporating full consideration of SESs options. Do this by providing an analysis of their annual budgets that indicate savings that could be realised by employing SESs. Output 2.3 Institutions take ownership of and implement energy policies related to SESs in the White Paper on Energy Policy. Activity 2.3.1 Interpret the policies in the White Paper on Energy Policy related to SESs and translate them into policy implementation measures that can be effectively implemented in those institutions that need to implement them. Ensure that the formulation of the policy implementation measures is carried out in a process that leads to ownership of the policy by the institution that will carry out the measure. Output 2.4: A level playing field is established between SESs and grid electricity. 31 32 Activity 2.4.1 Support the incorporation of the goals of policies aimed at achieving a level playing field between SESs and grid electricity into the regulatory and institutional measures for the electricity sub-sector. This will be done by supplying the necessary technical support to the Electricity Control Board. Output 2.5 Grid electricity suppliers are informed of project activities and support the project implementation. Activity 2.5.1 Ensure effective involvement of grid electricity suppliers in the barrier removal project. D1.3 Component 3: Public awareness and social acceptability The overriding cross technology awareness building and social acceptability objective is to create awareness throughout Namibia of SETs, addressing the particular needs of the stakeholders. PVP awareness/social barrier removal Output 3.1 Increase in knowledge on PVP and decision making power among the communities, commercial farmers and MAWRD decision makers. Targeting communities Activity 3.1.1 Development and dissemination of accessible educational materials on PVPs through workshops, waterpoint committee meetings, community meetings, church gatherings, radio, video, and illustrative brochures. Training of NGO’s, CBO’s, church leaders, community leaders, waterpoint caretakers and agricultural extension workers working in the targeted areas where PVP could be a viable option. The individuals should be trained on PVP, to become community advisors on water pumps by means of short courses, workshops and demonstrations. Targeting commercial farmers Activity 3.1.3 Dissemination of information on lifecycle cost benefit analysis and availability of concessionary credit to commercial farmers via farmers associations, farmers union publications, banks, radio and TV. Activity 3.1.2 Targeting decision makers in government Activity 3.1.4 An MME co-ordinated workshop aimed at sensitising MAWRD decision makers on PVP. 32 33 Activity 3.1.5 Workshops and educational materials targeting MAWRD programmes to inform them of PVP as well as their role as potential promoters of PVP. SWH Awareness/social barrier removal Output 3.2 Increased knowledge of SWH and costs and benefits of SWH compared to electric geysers. Activity 3.2.1 Designing and disseminating educational materials on costs and benefits using relevant social discount rates of SWH vs. electric geysers through workshops and engineers/plumbers association networks, newspaper adverts, calendars, brochures and training courses. The dissemination would piggy-back on existing information networks as much as possible. This activity should be extended to include communal/commercial farmers as well, and similarly to other technologies. Activity 3.2.2 Seeking visible support from key political and social figures to elevate the status of SWH through demonstration, workshops, radio & TV talks where the key figure portrays support for SWH. Activity 3.2.3 Demonstrating the performance of SWH to relevant decisionmakers within the various institutions. SHS Awareness/social barrier removal activities Output 3.3 Increased knowledge of RE technologies among potential end-users. Activity 3.3.1 Long-term awareness campaign via a mobile Renewable Energy (RE) promotion programme, spearheaded by the R-3-E Institute. This would demonstrate the technologies and also provide opportunities for accessing these technologies. Some of the activities would include use of audio-visual material to educate end-users, targeted workshops, talks and lectures at schools and other education institutions. This awareness vehicle is to be used for all solar technologies promoted by the full project. Activity 3.3.2 Design and disseminate illustrative brochures communicating reasons for using SHS instead of grid electricity and information on SHS and how to access it. Activity 3.3.3 Activity 3.3.4 Design training materials on SHS and other SETs applications. Create an active network among the stakeholders, i.e. suppliers of SHS, financiers and MME. Output 3.4 Increased knowledge about how to access SHS. 33 34 Activity 3.4.1 Train advisors who would assist consumers in accessing SHS. PV fridge barrier removal Output 3.5 Increased awareness of the costs and benefits of PV refrigerators compared to other refrigerators. Activity 3.5.1 Develop and disseminate comparative information on cost and benefits based on relevant social discount rates of DC refrigerators to potential users - cuca shops, breweries and other beverage companies as well as distributors and retailers in remote areas. Compile and disseminate information on sources of PV refrigerators. The dissemination would be via radio, TV, farmers associations, MTI SMEs associations and links. Cross-sectoral workshops Output 3.9 Increased knowledge of RE, and SETs in particular including awareness of performance and sources of SETs and where to get arrange finance for them and understanding of costs and benefits of SETs. Activity 3.9.1 A series of workshops are conducted across the regions targeting end-users, distributors and promoters of the SETs aimed at raising awareness of the energy service needs and where these can optimally be met using SETs. The methods used to raise awareness at these workshops include demonstrations of the SETs by means of educational material such as brochures and videos as well as discussions. The workshops would be tailored to meet the needs of the targeted groups. The workshops will be used to establish energy advisory networks for policy research and advocacy. D1.4. Component 4: Financial barriers removed The primary objective of this component is to reduce/overcome the financial barriers to the supply, installation, purchase and maintenance of SETs including reduction of the price and ready availability of finance for the purchase and maintenance of systems. This component of the project details activities that could remove/reduce financial barriers to SETs. The financial barriers that exist can be addressed using different project instruments designed specifically to target each of a variety of solar technologies, their users, suppliers and financiers. A desired outcome will be for potential users of these SETs, whether government, community, wealthy or poor individuals, to see financial benefits to the use of the technologies from day one. The optimum outcome would be for end-users to access finance and be able to feel first cost reduction benefits from day one of the installation of their solar system. Similarly suppliers, financiers, maintainers, manufacturers/assemblers see improved sales and 34 35 increased financial benefits as a result of financial barriers being removed to their enterprises. Output 4.1 First cost of SETs is significantly reduced. Activity 4.1.1 Develop a strategy to reduce the first cost of SETs exploring the optimal application of economy-of-scale subsidies, bulk procurement and warehousing and local manufacture/assembly of SETs. Output 4.2 Financiers make affordable loans to SETs users and SES providers. Activity 4.2.1 The project will work with current and potential financing institutions (Commercial Banks, Building Societies, Agricultural Banks, Parastatal Development Banks and Funds, Utilities and small lenders) to design the modalities for a low interest, low deposit, limited collateral financial vehicle/mortgage supplement dedicated to SETs. The financial vehicle/s will take into account the discount rates experienced by the various market segments and devise differential pricing to encourage access to the poor and contribute to rural development. Output 4.3: Financiers are able to appraise loans for SETs users, suppliers, entrepreneurs and manufacturers. Activity 4.3.1 In collaboration with the range of financial institutions, the project will compile, and develop training tools to deepen the appreciation and implications of financing the purchase and manufacture/assembly of SETs systems. Indicative training tools could include written and audio-visual documentation, exposure to projects in the SADC region and beyond, study tours, workshops, staff exchanges, in-house short-term specialist consultancies and so on. Output 4.4 Financiers, suppliers and manufacturers of SETs are able to identify opportunities and design business plans to take advantage of these. Activity 4.4.1 Compile and develop training tools to identify, design and market business plans for the supply and local manufacture/assembly/warehousing of SETs in collaboration with a range of financial institutions, suppliers of SETs and potential bulk procurers of SETs (developers, Government institutions and NGOs). Output 4.5: Financiers are able to locate and engage with international concession finance companies dedicated to clean development and they are able to develop protocols to cover exchange rate risks. Activity 4.5.1 Build the knowledge of, and protocols for access to and use of local, regional and international bulk lending 35 36 facilities/modalities/instruments/lines of credit dedicated to clean development/the supply and efficient use of cleaner energy in collaboration with a range of financial institutions, suppliers of SETs and potential bulk procurers of SETs (developers, Government institutions and NGOs). Output 4.6 Confidence in the financial benefits of SETs is enhanced. Activity 4.6.1 Monitor and evaluate the progress in the installation and the loan servicing of SETs loans to end-users and suppliers. Publish and present the evaluated reports in local public media and through REINNAM and regional newsletters/magazines/ journals. Output 4.7 Comparative financial costs and benefits of using SETs compared to other alternatives are established and disseminated. Activity 4.7.1 Establish and compare the financial costs and benefits of using SETs and alternatives for various energy services through technical (under Namibian field conditions) and financial testing and monitoring of SETs and equivalent alternative energy services. This information will then be compiled in both technical and publicly available media and updated as input prices change. Output 4.8 All direct and indirect taxes and levies are identified and removed/reduced where appropriate. Activity 4.8.1 Identify all direct and indirect taxes/duties/levies on the import/sale/installation of SETs/SETs components and develop mechanisms to reduce or remove these. Output 4.9 The micro and macro economic costs and benefits of SETs are publicised and workshopped with policy holders in a clear and accessible way. Activity 4.9.1 Identify all direct and indirect taxes and subsidies that are part of the grid and off-grid electricity price build-up and use these to argue for even-handedness in the development of policy and policy instruments that support or hinder the implementation of SETs. Output 4.10 Instruments/measures are designed and used to level the financial playing field between SETs, grid electricity and fossil fuels. Activity 4.10.1 Identify all fiscal, donor and multi-lateral support for the use of SETs that can be attributed to the Namibian Government's energy and/or climate related policy. Use these levels of support to argue for/sustain levels of Government financial commitment to the implementation of policy. 36 37 Activity 4.10.2 Design and implement methods to broaden and deepen the MME's revolving fund by means of more technologies and more turnover. Output 4.11 Financial guarantees linked to the introduction of new SETs are in place. Activity 4.11.1 Design financial guarantee mechanisms that oblige suppliers or their agents to service/replace faulty or failed SETs systems. Output 4.12 Entrepreneurs are making money from SETs. Activity 4.12.1 Develop and implement sufficient financial incentives for local renewable energy entrepreneurs to sell, and enhance the quality of installations and maintenance of SETs. Output 4.13 Strategies are in place whereby successful financial tactics can be extended to other sustainable energy technologies and techniques. Activity 4.13.1 Develop strategies to remove barriers to sustainable energy solutions not included on the short-list of SETs contained in this project. The rationale and lessons for replicability could be based on the successful barrier removal activities for the shortlist of SETs contained in this project. D1.5 Component 5: Technical barrier removal/reduction The main objective of the reduction of technological barriers is to facilitate, support and strengthen the introduction of the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (R-3-E) Institute in Namibia, which will provide detailed technical information and develop and apply appropriate norms, standards and codes of practice as required by the SET industry and their market. This section describes an effective technical capacity building activity that will enhance, accelerate and sustain the removal of barriers constraining the effective use of SETs in Namibia. Output 5.1: A well-functioning national information dissemination and technical standards body such as the R-3-E Institute will ensure that RE technologies of high standard reach the consumer (see Annex H). Also, manufacturers and developers have the opportunity to have their products tested and nationally certified, which will enhance their product image and place it on a list of equipment eligible for public tender. As Namibia’s economy is closely coupled to that of other southern African countries, it is recommended that technical standards should coincide with others in the SADC region, whereby country offices should be responsible if expertise in a particular field exist. Activity 5.1.1 Strengthen the technical, institutional and human capacity aspects of the R-3-E Institute through training, study tours and 37 38 other exposures for the staff to other similar regional and international institutions. D1.6 Activity 5.1.2 Facilitate the operations of the R-3-E Institute, and to generate and distribute information and data (including standards, norms and codes of practice) on SETs their comparative costs and most suitable applications. Activity 5.1.3 Develop study materials, courses and laboratory classes at tertiary institutions, the R-3-E Institute and the national vocational training centres to educate learners about energy usage patterns and their economic implications. Component 6: Demonstrations and pilots The objectives of the demonstration component of this project are two fold: i) to test the transformed market for SESs and refine project activities to successfully complete the market transformation; and ii) to tangibly/visibly raise the profile SES technologies through affirming demonstrations of their appropriate applications throughout Namibia. This component of the project draws together the barrier removal activities and tests and refines strategies to remove/reduce barriers in the SETs market, including information, materials and financial modalities, as well as building awareness of solar energy services in institutions and individuals. Output 6.1: Detailed design of the different delivery and maintenance modalities i.e: i) utility delivery and maintenance mode for households; ii) commercial delivery and maintenance mode for households; iii) industry delivery and maintenance mode for cold beverage outlets; iv) government delivery and maintenance modes for clinics, schools, police stations and prisons; and v) NGO delivery and maintenance mode for conservancies, clinics, schools, NGO training and research facilities. Activity 6.1.1: The detailed design of delivery and maintenance modalities (see Annex F). Output 6.2: Maintenance is conducted within each delivery mode, and may also make use of SETs installation and maintenance entrepreneurs. Activity 6.2.1: The implementation of affirming demonstrations in different sectors. Output 6.3: Delivery of 6823 solar systems over a 5 year period commencing from the beginning of the project. 38 39 Activity 6.3.1: Design of demonstration indicators (including loan servicing, income generation and social impacts), monitoring and analysis of demonstration projects. E. INPUTS Resource inputs to the project are in-kind and in-cash. The in-kind contributions are from government and other institutions volunteering their time on the PAC, providing offices for the PMU and seconding a staff member to the PMU. The following inputs are expected to be in-cash co-financing and contribution in-kind to the project: E1 The Ministry of Mines and Energy The Ministry of Mines and Energy will execute the project on behalf of the GRN. The MME will channel the contributions of the GRN and GEF to the project management unit for implementation of the project. The MME is expected to contribute some US$2.43million to the project. This contribution consists of funds already allocated to RE programmes and the R-3-E which complement the activities of this project. These funds have been allocated in the ministry’s budget plan. In addition MME will second a staff member to be part of the PMU and act as a day to day link between the PMU and MME. Also, MME will provide appropriate office space for the PMU. E2 Other Ministries within GRN The Ministries dealing with water supply, health, education, public works, police, and agriculture, all have infrastructural development programmes that provide energy services such as lighting, refrigeration, water-pumping, warm water which could be undertaken using SETs. As such the involvement of the ministries is essential if the project is to successfully integrate the use of solar energy technologies throughout the public sector. The project also develops demonstration projects for facilities services by these ministries and their agents and through small economies of scale subsidies will be confirming interests in demonstration solar energy installations. The ministries are expected to contribute US$3.1million from their budgets over the 5 years of the project for energy infrastructure. Again, all these funds have been allocated in the respective ministerial budgets. E3 UNDP The UNDP is one of the agents for GEF and has been the implementing agent for both the SADC Finesse programme, and the PDF-B which led to this project document. The UNDP through its Namibian country office will implement the project. The UNDP provides administrative support to the project as per NEX guidelines. E4 GTZ Over the last 5.5 years the German Government through the Gesellschaft für Technische Zusammenarbeit has supported a Ministry of Mines and Energy programme on the “Promotion of the Use of Renewable Sources of Energy in Namibia”, launched in 1993. The aim of the programme was to “increase the use of cost effective and environmentally sound RET’s by end users”. While GTZ is no longer assisting the MME directly, its involvement with other sectors of the economy bodes well for the integration of 39 40 renewable energy. The GTZ involvement in renewable energy in Namibia has set the stage for this project. E5 SADC TAU The SADC TAU hosted the UNDP Finesse programme in its application to 6 countries in the region. The Finesse programme identified some of the barriers being addressed in this project. E6 NGOs Three NGOs in Namibia have agreed to be part of the project. They include the Desert Research Foundation, Namibia Nature Foundation and Ibis. They will be installing demonstration SESs in their facilities and availing their staff to learn about SES and where to apply them, how to optimally operate and maintain them. NGOs are expected to contribute some US$ 552,000 to the project. E7 NamPower NamPower and their agents are seen as key to a successful outcome of the project. They will be the agency that will provide the sustainability to market transformation towards solar energy technologies post-project through their involvement in the provision of rural electricity and by way of the breadth of their extension of technical and administrative infrastructure throughout Namibia. NamPower and their agents are expected to contribute US$758,000 to the project. E8 DANIDA Danida through the “Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Capacity Building in Namibia” programme have developed project ideas that complement the GEF project. Close collaboration between these two projects will be required to avoid duplication. Danida is expected to allocate US$ 2.12 million to their intervention, which is scheduled to run in parallel with the first phase of this project. Administration and management of the Danida project will however be separate and independent from the UNDP-GEF project. The UNDP/GEF project focuses on promotion of solar energy, while the Danida project has a wider perspective on sustainable energy. But the project will to some extent support and facilitate the UNDP/GEF project by strengthening the capacity of the newly established network organisation, R-3-E Bureau, which is foreseen to also promote solar energy issues. The main components of the Danida supported project are: R-3-E Bureau Capacity building Efficient Use of Energy in Low Cost Housing, planned, implemented and used (a demonstration project) REEECAP, Capacity building initiative bringing REEE issues on the agenda of the Integrated Development Plans of Village Development Committees and Constituency Development Committees. E9 Public and Private housing developers The National Housing Enterprise (Public) and private housing developers have expressed interest in including solar water heating in the houses they develop. Particularly the solar water heater component of the demonstration project will be undertaken in collaboration with these developers and will require inputs from the commercial and development banks to provide financial instruments as part of mortgages or as dedicated loans. 40 41 E10 Commercial and Development Banks/finance institutions The Commercial and development banks are expected to constribute to the project by designing and marketing financial instruments for the purchase of SESs. Purchase of the SWHs results in some US$4.2 of new business for an estimated 4500 new systems installed over the 5 years. E11 Namibian Breweries The Namibian Breweries has expressed interest in the project if it can be demonstrated that the technologies work in cuka shops. The breweries are therefore conditional cofinanciers expected to provide US$1.2 million which has not been included as cofinancing within the project boundary. E12 The Global Environment Facility The Global Environment Facility has agreed to finance the incremental cost of the project. The Government of Namibia will complement the project with the baseline costs in-cash and in-kind. The incremental cost matrix is presented in Annex A. The contribution of GEF is US$ 5.31 million over the 5 years of the project. The GEF will make US$2.6 million available in the first phase of the project. F. Sustainability and Risks Sustainability The primary objective of this barrier removal project is to put mechanisms in place that will create a favorable environment for private entrepreneurs to seize the opportunity of a transformed market and take over the investment process for replication and sustainability in the medium to long term. The implementation of this project will not only improve the commercial attractiveness of solar energy technologies and services. It will also transform the market through capacity building, institutional strengthening, public awareness, the provision of financial incentives, technical standardization, information dissemination and technology testing, and the implementation of demonstration and pilot activities. To enable sustainability of the project momentum, it is expected that upon completion of the project, MME and R-3-E shall continue to play a key co-ordinating role in the implementation of renewable energy activities in Namibia. Institutional mechanisms for this continuity are provided through the steady flow of funds into capacity building, awareness raising and other barrier removal activities that creates an enabling environment in which the market for solar energy services can thrive. By attaching middle level managers and technicians to the PMU and seconding MME staff to the PMU the project shall have trained a pool of expertise whom the MME and the Private Sector may redeploy for their own long term renewable energy activities. There are various options for the continuation of the PMU at the end of this project: the unit may cease to exit; it may be subsumed by a semi-autonomous body in the government such as R-3-E, parastatal or commercial financier; or it may be taken over by the industry association. An appropriate decision on this would be made before the end of the project. The Project Manager will be tasked with exploring options for sustainability 41 42 of the momentum particularly amongst financiers, NGOs and dealers on completion of the project. Risks The inherent risks of this barrier removal project include limited vision, lack of sector commitment and consensus, and a lack of implementation initiatives. Through an unfolding mechanism in the establishment of the project implementation modalities, it is expected that the various sectoral interests are represented in the process. This will provide the momentum to launch the project successfully, ensuring that the necessary capacity and resources are employed thus minimizing the risks. The establishment of the R-3-E Institute will further enhance continuity of the process through its services to the industry. A significant portion of the pool of expertise that will be created with the implementation of the project (Advisory Committee, Project Management Unit and support services) is expected to remain actively involved in the sector after project completion. G. PRIOR OBLIGATIONS AND PREREQUISITES Prior Obligations Namibia signed the UNFCCC in June 1992. This was ratified on 2 April, 1995 and entered into force. The ultimate objective of the Convention is “…the stabilization of greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within the time frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner”. (UNEP/WMO, 1992) At the Rio Conference, energy played a major role, because energy supply and use was recognized as one of the major cause of environmental degradation both at the local level as globally. Energy issues prior to Rio were concerned mainly with increasing energy supply, energy consumption per capita being a key indicator of modernization and progress. After Rio, attention of energy planners shifted to the amount of energy services delivered not to the amount of energy used. The Rio Conference also recognized energy as essential for development and Malawi along with 149 other countries committed themselves to Sustainable Development and Protection of the Environment and this resulted in the Rio declaration, Agenda 21, and in the UNFCCC. To this effect, Agenda 21, Chapter Nine makes the following important point: “Much of the world’s energy is currently produced and consumed in ways that could not be sustained if technology were to remain constant and if overall quantities were to increase substantially. The need to control atmospheric emissions and other gases and substances will increasingly need to be based on efficiency in energy production, transmission, distribution and consumption and on growing reliance on environmentally sound energy systems, particularly new and renewable energy sources of energy”. 42 43 As a signatory to the Convention, Namibia is fully committed to comply with the provisions of UNFCCC, and Agenda 21 by promoting the production and use of alternative energy technologies. As a first step to fulfilling its commitment, GRN has produced an inventory of greenhouse gas emissions and sinks for 1990 and with the assistance of UNDP. Prerequisites i) ii) iii) iv) GRN will support the project implementation process in-cash and in-kind as explained above; GRN will provide data to project staff and consultants as may be required for the implementation of the project activities; GRN will provide office space and second at least one staff to the PMU; GRN agrees to remove import duties on technologies employed by the project; Assistance for the project will be provided only if the pre-requisites stipulated above have been fulfilled or are likely to be fulfilled. When anticipated fulfillment of one or more prerequisites fails to materialize, UNDP-GEF may, at its discretion, either suspend or terminate its assistance. H. PROJECT REVIEW, REPORTING AND EVALUATION As soon as the PMU is in place the PM will prepare an inception report including a detailed work plan and monitoring plan. The purpose of the inception report shall be to identify, at the very outset of the project, potential gaps, overlaps, and other risks to successful implementation, potential partners and sources of information from which the project stands to benefit. Particularly the coordination with the Danish funded projects needs to be further clarified during the inception process. UNDP shall be responsible for monitoring the project on a continuous basis. The PM and his collaborating staff shall be responsible for co-ordinating and supporting the monitoring process. Monitoring activities shall include regular visits of project sites, regular meetings of project staff, and biannual meetings between project staff and PAC. In order to facilitate the PAC meetings, the PM, with the assistance of his collaborating staff, shall prepare and submit to PAC biannual reports on the progress of the project including the sub-tasks. In line with regular UNDP and GEF Monitoring, Evaluation and Reporting procedures the project shall be subject to the annual Tripartite Review (joint meeting of the representatives of GRN and UNDP-Namibia) mechanisms, the Project Implementation Review (PIR) and an independent evaluation at the end of the current phase I. The evaluation at the end of phase I will be the most important input for deciding on continuation with phase II. At the end of phase II another independent final evaluation will be conducted. Prior to the TPR the Annual Performance Report (APR) will be 43 44 submitted to the TPR participants. The format for the APR is the same as the PIR format and will be made available to the PM. A Project Terminal Report (PTR) shall be prepared by the PM for consideration at the terminal annual review. The PTR shall be prepared in draft in advance to allow its preview and technical clearance before final tabling. UNDP’s extensive experience in monitoring large projects will be drawn upon to ensure that the project activities are monitored and properly documented. In this programme, the repayment records of end-users, income generation and social impacts etc., is of particular importance. This is essential for sustainability of the solar energy systems, and for future expansion of the programme. The project-planning matrix with the monitoring indicators is presented in Annex B. The project will actively engage in cross project learning and sharing of knowledge and lessons. This means the project will engage in an active dialogue with similar GEF and non-GEF projects, particularly in Southern Africa to both share the Namibian experience and learn from others. I. LEGAL CONTEXT This project document shall be the instrument referred to as such in Article 1 of the Standard Basic Assistance Agreement (SBAA) between the GRN and the UNDP, signed by the parties on July 15, 1977. The host-country implementing agency shall, for the purpose of the SBAA, refer to the Government co-operating agency described in that Agreement. The following types of revisions may be made to this project document with the signature of the UNDP Resident Representative only, provided he or she is assured that the other signatories of the project document have no objections to the proposed changes. Revisions in, or addition of, any of the annexes of the project document (with the exception of the Standard Legal Text for non-SBAA countries which may not be altered and the agreement to which is a pre-condition for UNDP assistance); Revisions to the project will be permitted through agreement with the MME are allowed which; i) do not involve significant changes in the immediate objectives, outputs or activities of a project, but are caused by rearrangement of inputs agreed to or by cost increases due to inflation; and, ii) mandatory annual revisions, which rephase the delivery of agreed project inputs or increased expert or other costs due to inflation or which take into account agency expenditure flexibility. The Government will provide the Resident Representative with certified periodic financial statements, and with an annual audit of the financial statements relating to the status of UNDP (including GEF) funds according to the procedures set out in Section 30503 of the UNDP Policies and Procedures Manual (PPM) and Section 10404 of the UNDP Finance Manual. The Audit will be conducted by the legally recognized auditor of the Government, or by a commercial auditor engaged by the Government. 44 45 J. BUDGET Table 4: Project Budget Phase I (UNDP format) BL Desription 10 PROJECT PERSONNEL 11 International expert and consultants 1101 International advisors 1197 1199 International expert and consultants Line Total 13 Admin and Support Personnel 1301 Administration Secretary 1302 1303 1399 Driver Account Clerk Line Total 15 Duty Travel 1502 Monitoring and evaluation 1599 Line Total 16 Mission Cost 1601 Mission Cost 1699 Line Total 17 National Professionals 1701 Project Manager 1702 1703 Assistant project manager Management consultants Total Net Amount 2003 2004 2005 375,000 150,000 150,000 75,000 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 375,000 150,000 150,000 75,000 Net Amount 200,000 75,000 75,000 50,000 W/M 16 6 6 4 Total 200,000 75,000 75,000 50,000 Net Amount 575,000 225,000 225,000 125,000 W/M 46 18 18 10 Total 575,000 225,000 225,000 125,000 Net Amount 27,500 11,000 11,000 5,500 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 27,500 11,000 11,000 5,500 Net Amount 27,500 11,000 11,000 5,500 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 27,500 11,000 11,000 5,500 Net Amount 32,500 13,000 13,000 6,500 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 32,500 13,000 13,000 6,500 Net Amount 87,500 35,000 35,000 17,500 W/M 90 36 36 18 Total 87,500 35,000 35,000 17,500 Net Amount 150,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Total 150,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Net Amount 150,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Total 150,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Net Amount 35,000 10,000 10,000 15,000 Total 35,000 10,000 10,000 15,000 Net Amount 35,000 10,000 10,000 15,000 Total 35,000 10,000 10,000 15,000 Net Amount 75,000 30,000 30,000 15,000 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 75,000 30,000 30,000 15,000 Net Amount 60,000 24,000 24,000 12,000 W/M 30 12 12 6 Total 60,000 24,000 24,000 12,000 Net Amount 42,000 18,000 12,000 12,000 14 6 4 4 W/M 45 46 1704 1705 1706 1799 19 Economist consultants Finance Specialist-Consultant Legal Advisor Line Total PROJECT PERSONNEL TOTAL 20 SUBCONTRACTS 21 Subcontracts A 2101 Capacity building - local companies 2199 Line total 22 Subcontracts B 2201 Awareness workshops - local companies 2299 Line Total Total 42,000 18,000 12,000 12,000 Net Amount 9,000 30,000 12,000 9,000 W/M 10 4 3 3 Total 30,000 12,000 9,000 9,000 Net Amount 30,000 6,000 6,000 18,000 W/M 10 2 2 6 Total 30,000 6,000 6,000 18,000 Net Amount 18,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 W/M 6 2 2 2 Total 18,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 255,000 96,000 87,000 72,000 Net Amount W/M 100 38 35 27 Total 255,000 96,000 87,000 72,000 1,102,500 416,000 407,000 279,500 Net Amount W/M 236 92 89 55 Total 1,102,500 416,000 407,000 279,500 Net Amount 162,500 50,000 90,000 22,500 Total 162,500 50,000 90,000 22,500 Net Amount 162,500 50,000 90,000 22,500 Total 162,500 50,000 90,000 22,500 Net Amount 93,000 20,000 40,000 33,000 Total 93,000 20,000 40,000 33,000 Net Amount 93,000 20,000 40,000 33,000 Total 93,000 20,000 40,000 33,000 23 Subcontracts C 2301 Institutional development - local companies Net Amount 2399 Line Total 24 Subcontract D 2401 Application of subsidy 2499 29 Line Total SUBCONTRACT TOTAL 30 TRAINING 31 FELLOWSHIPS 3101 Short courses 3102 Scholarships 3109 Line Total 32 Group training 962,000 200,000 462,000 300,000 Total 962,000 200,000 462,000 300,000 Net Amount 962,000 200,000 462,000 300,000 Total 962,000 200,000 462,000 300,000 Net Amount 100,000 - 100,000 Total 100,000 - - 100,000 Net Amount 100,000 - - 100,000 Total 100,000 - - 100,000 Net Amount 1,317,500 270,000 592,000 455,500 Total 1,317,500 270,000 592,000 455,500 Net Amount 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Net Amount 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Total 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Net Amount 75,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 Total 75,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 Net Amount 46 47 3201 Study tours 3299 Line Total 39 TRAINING TOTAL 50 MISCELLANEOUS 52 Reporting costs 5201 Communications 5299 Line Total 53 Sundries 5301 Sundries 5399 Line Total 59 99 MISCELLANEOUS TOTAL BUDGET TOTAL Net Amount 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Net Amount 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Net Amount 105,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 Total 105,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 Net Amount 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Total 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Net Amount 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Total 45,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Net Amount 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Net Amount 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Total 30,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 Net Amount 75,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 Total 75,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 2,600,000 746,000 1,059,000 795,000 W/M 236 92 89 55 Total 2,600,000 746,000 1,059,000 795,000 Net Amount 47 48 ANNEXES Barrier Removal to Namibian Renewable Energy Programme Annex A: IncrementalCosts .......................................................................... p. 2 Annex B: Project Planning Matrix ................................................................. p. 8 Annex C: STAP Roster Technical Review and Response ............................ p. 12 Annex D: SES Market Assessment Matrix ................................................... p. 17 Annex E: Preliminary Project Schedule .............................................................p. 19 Annex F: Delivery and Maintenance Modalities -------------------------------- p. 20 Annex G: Brief overview of the Namibian R-3-E Institute .......................... p. 26 Annex H: Terms of Reference: Project Manager/Co-ordinator .................. p. 28 Annex I: Terms of Reference for Project Management Unit ..................... p. 30 Annex J: Danida Co-financing letter ............................................................. p. 31 Annex K: Government Endorsement letter ................................................... p. 32 48 49 Annex A: Incremental cost matrix A.1 Broad Development Goal The developmental goal being pursued through this project is the provision of energy to the population of Namibia. This includes electricity production for off-grid lighting, radio, TV, water pumping and refrigeration, and water heating to the household, institutional and commercial sectors. A.2 Baseline Under baseline assumptions, Namibia would be expected to pursue these energy service by way of the least-cost, conventional options, notably through grid-extension; the use of small diesel gen-sets; or the use of kerosene and candles for lighting and refrigeration. However, if Namibia had an efficient market for renewable energy, there would be numerous potential win-win investment possibilities in solar and renewable energy technologies that would be undertaken in the absence of this project. Different barriers related to human resources, institutional capacity, available information, technical skills and financing possibilities hinder the development of these opportunities. Throughout peri-urban and rural Namibia, grid electrification is on the increase, however there are numerous unelectrified households where lighting is primarily delivered using kerosene and candles. This service is costly to households and could be delivered at better quality to those who could afford it through the use of PV lighting systems. Under the baseline, households and institutions (government and NGO) will continue to use kerosene for lighting. Under the baseline, beverage retailers use kerosene refrigerators and lighting in shops; farms and institutions use diesel pumps on commercial farms and at communal water points; and urban households use electric hot water storage geysers for water heating. Estimates of the current levels of market penetration of the technologies are estimated at 2600 SHS; 700 PVPs; 2000 SWHs; 150 PV’s for institutional lighting and media; and 2000 PV fridges in shops, farms and clinics. The baseline includes the marketing and processing of loans via the NDC’s HomePower! Programme. A.3 Global Environmental Objectives The global environmental objective is the development of the market for SES’s that contributes to climate stabilisation by reducing CO2 emissions through the removal of technical, financial, social, institutional and capacity barriers. A.4 GEF project activities Project activities aim at removing barriers to the implementation of solar technologies in different applications in Namibia. The increase in the use of solar systems will reduce the amount of CO2 emitted in providing lighting, water heating, and refrigeration. At the end of the project, it is anticipated that there will be a vibrant and growing solar energy service market in Namibia. The barriers identified relate to limited institutional capacity, lack of public awareness of both the potential and feasibility of PV’s in Namibia, lack of commercially-oriented or 49 50 institutional high-profile champions demonstrating successful usage of selected solar applications, and financial barriers to the commercial financing of solar energy systems. The first set of project activities is designed to strengthen Namibian capacity in private, government and NGO sectors to be able to identify applications, manage and maintain, use and oversee solar installations as well as the manage the project. The second set of project activities aims at removing the institutional barriers to the increased use of solar energy technologies. The third component aims at creating public awareness and social acceptability of solar energy services amongst end-users, suppliers, policy makers and other stakeholders. The fourth component considers the financial and the fifth technical barriers to solar energy. The sixth and final component synthesises all of the components by setting up affirming demonstrations applying a range of delivery, financing and maintenance modalities linked to the programmes of the private sector, government and NGO institutions and the parastatals, such as the electricity distribution utilities. All GEF project activities are summarized in the Incremental Cost Matrix, Table AI.1. A.5 System boundary The system being considered in this project is the Namibian energy system. The principal sub-markets for the range of solar technologies considered are: unelectrified urban and rural households for PV light and refrigeration and SWHs; unelectrified institutional use in schools, school hostels, police outposts, NGO facilities and health clinics for PV lighting, PV refrigeration and SWHs; PVPs for commercial farms and communal water points; and PV refrigerators and lighting for beverage retailers. The barriers removed by the project will also facilitate market creation for other possible stand-alone and grid connected solar applications and extended use of renewable energy services. No changes in project design could be expected to occur with reasonable shifts in the system boundary. The project exclusively deals with the operational emissions of the baseline and alternative technologies. The project boundary includes all 6 of the project components, in the sixth including project contributions to the demonstrations, but excluding the contributions of cofinanciers/purchasers/users of the demonstrated SES’s. A.6 Additional benefits Additional benefits attributable to project activities can be expected to take several forms. First, employment will be created amongst installers and maintainers of the solar systems. Those consumers investing in PV systems for lighting will receive substantially higher quality lighting at virtually the same cost as in the baseline, contributing to their standard of living and education. In addition, local, particularly indoor air quality will improve due to reduced CO and particle emissions from paraffin (kerosene) and diesel. A.7 Project Costs The entire project costs US$14.36 million of which GEF is being asked to grant US$5.3 million over 5 years for the barrier removal activities defined in the project. It is 50 51 anticipated that 10 years after the end of the project, the solar market in Namibia will continue to grow at rates summarized elsewhere in the brief. In addition to the domestic benefits, global benefits will include reduction of 692,054 tons of CO2 (or 188,742 tons as C) by 2016 implying a unit abatement cost of US$28.1/ton of C over 15 years (using the GEF contribution as the numerator). 51 52 Table A.1 Incremental Cost Matrix Components Cost category 1. Overcoming capacity building barriers in private, government and NGO sectors and the PMU. Baseline 2.Institutional Strengthening 3. Overcoming Social/awareness barriers. 4. Overcoming financial barriers Costs (in US$ 1000s ) 0 Alternative 801.1 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) Baseline 801.1 Alternative 2850.1 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) 2850.1 Baseline 0 0 Alternative 332.5 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) Baseline 332.5 Alternative 3070.3 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) 1858.3 1,212 Domestic benefits Global Environmental benefits Capacity to develop, design and monitor solar technologies not available in Namibia, Renewable Energy Institute substantially strengthened with support from UNDP Solar industry, Government officials and NGO/CBO workers appropriately trained; PMU trained to undertake project activities, Renewable Energy Institute substantially strengthened Increased human and institutional capacity to sustain a solar programme developed in Namibia Institutional barriers to the application of solar energy and implementation of enabling solar energy policy continue to exist within government and other sectors. Institutional barriers are reduced, government decision makers plan in a more integrated manner, grid versus off-grid playing fields are leveled, capital and operation budgets are talking together and a Project Management Unit is established to manage this project. Institutional barriers are reduced, government decision makers plan in a more integrated manner, grid versus off-grid playing fields are leveled, capital and operation budgets are talking together and a Project Management Unit is established to manage this project. With the exception of HomePower! Marketing, public, private sector and government unaware of solar costeffective applications, where to source PV systems and how to finance them Public aware of cost effective solar applications, where to source PV systems and how to finance them Namibian public aware of PV electrification, where to source and how to finance them First costs reduce market penetration of solar technologies, financial institutions unable to process loans for solar systems. Funds available via NDC through HomePower! Fist costs of solar technologies are lowered, and financial institutions process loans for solar systems. Revolving fund is extended and financial guarantee is established. First costs of solar systems are lowered, financing marketed and available for solar systems Revolving fund is extended and financial guarantee is established. None 52 Solar technical capacity increased Solar technical capacity increased None Institutional support is gained for the application of solar energy technologies. Institutional support is gained for the application of solar energy technologies. None Increased awareness of the PV applications Increased awareness of the PV applications None Market extended for credit sales of solar technologies. Solar market market expands, demonstrable PV electrification progress 53 5. Overcoming technical barriers 6. SES demonstration projects TOTAL Baseline 0 Alternative 1,519.1 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) 1,519.1 Baseline 0 Alternative 5,586 Increment (Alternative – Baseline) 5,586 Baseline 1,212 No technical and financial costs comparisons between solar and other technologies exist, no standards or codes of practice exist for solar systems in the Namibian market. Technical and costs comparisons exist, standards and codes of practice for installation and maintenance exist for solar technologies. A Renewable Energy Institute linking government, users and suppliers disseminates information and oversees the transformation of the grid-electricity energy market to a more balanced renewable energy and conventional electricity market. Technical and costs comparisons exist, standards and codes of practice for installation and maintenance exist for solar technologies. A Renewable Energy institute linking government, users and suppliers disseminates information and oversees the transformation of the energy market to renewable energy. Households predominantly use kerosene and candles for lighting, kerosene for refrigeration, diesel for water pumping, electric hot water storage geysers for water heating. PV pumps are installed; Namibian Breweries provides retailers with PV refrigerators; households, conservancies, educational and health facilities are lit with PV systems; and water heating is achieved using SWHs. GEF develops protocols for demos and disseminates lessons about experiences and learning Better quality of light in PV-lit buildings, PV refrigeration of beverages and drugs, reduction of CO2 and particulate emissions, more cost effective water heating using SWHs. NDC continues financing PV lighting systems using MME revolving fund, and total SET market grows at a rate of 2.5% pa. 53 None Solar energy is championed and becomes the cost effective and reliable alternative to fossil and biomass based energy services Solar energy is championed and becomes the cost effective and reliable alternative to fossil and biomass based energy services. 2,942 SHS, 792 PVP, 2,263 SWHs, 2,263 PV fridges, and 170 PV Institutional installations, are installed by government, NGOs and private users over 5 years. 116,601 tons of carbon as carbon dioxide emissions (tc) over 5 years. Between 2001 and 2006. 4,284 SHS, 1,003 PVP, 6,785 SWHs, 2,891 PV Fridges, 290 PV Institutional installations, are installed by government, NGOs and private users over 5 years. 217,475 tons of carbon as carbon dioxide emissions (tc) over 5 years since the initiation of the project. 1,342 SHS, 211 PVP, 4,522 SWHs, 628 PV Fridges, and 120 PV Institutional installations are installed by government, NGOs and private users over 5 years. 100,874 tons of carbon as carbon dioxide emissions (tc) over 5 years since the initiation of the project 3,766 SHS, 1,014 PVP, 2,897 SWHs, 2,897 PV Fridges, 217 PV Institutional installations, are installed by governrnent, NGOs and private users over 15 years. 375,296 tons of carbon (as carbon dioxide) emissions (tc) over 15 years from 2001 to 2016. 54 Alternative 14,362 DANCED, GEF, UNDP, GRN, SIDA, NamPower (Premier Electric) Northern Electricity, NGOs, and others join forces to address barrier removal for solar technologies Increment (Alternative – Baseline) 13,150 New and growing renewable energy industry springs up; a precedent is achieved for the widespread use of other renewable energy technologies; socio-economic improvements for Namibian people and other countries in the region. 54 11,600 SHS, 5,700 PVP, 17,000 SWHs, 7,000 PV Fridges, 650 PV Institutional installations, are installed by government, NGOs and private users over 15 years. Systems avoid 1,067,348 tons of carbon (as carbon dioxide) emissions (tc) during the period from 2001 to 2016. Barriers to PV electric lighting, PV powered refrigeration, SWHs, and PV pumps are removed. 31,159 additional systems installed between 2001 and 2016 avoid an incremental 692,052 tons of carbon (as carbon dioxide) or 188,742 tons carbon (as carbon) emissions (tc) during their lifetime at a cost of US$5.3 million to GEF. 55 Annex A (continued): CO2 mitigation Constants used: 12 kg C per 44 kg CO2 1.7 kg CO2 / kg wood 3.18 kg CO2 / ltr kerosene 0.081 ltr kero / hour burning lamps 2.96 kg CO2 / kg LP Gas 0.08 kg LPG / hour burning SHS in 15 years: 3,076 tC 0.917 kg C / kg coal 0.519 kg coal / kWh for Eskom electricity therefore 0.917 kg C/kg coal * 44/12kg CO2/kgC * 0.519 kg coal / kWh => 1.745 kg CO2 / kWh SHS (50 W) 50 W => 0.05 kW => 109.6 kWh/a at 365.25 days with 6 hours / day sunshine 109.6 kWh/a => 109.6 * 1.745 kg CO2 / kWh = 191.3 kg CO2 / a => 2869 kg CO2 / 15 year PVP assume 660 Wp 0.66 kW => 1.446 MWh/a at 365.25 sunshine days at 6 hours per day 1 446.4 kWh/a => 2524 kg CO2 / a => 128.2 t CO2 / 15 years SWH assume: 3.0 kW element for 200 litre geyser heating 200l/day by 40 deg C at 80% efficiency assume: 15% technical losses in electrical transmission 13.4 kWh/d => 4897 kWh/a => 8.545t CO2/a => 128t CO2/15 years 200 l / day = 73000 l / a => 8.545 kg CO2 / a / 73000 l / a = 0.117 kg CO2 / ltr PV Inst assume average 330 W system, since 50*150 + 30*400 + 20*600 are installed 722.7 kWh/a at 365 days at 6 hours per day Kerosene fridges assume 1 ltr kerosene per day, in a typical 120 ltr fridge 3.18 kg CO2 / ltr * 365.25 = 1161 kg CO2 per annum per fridge Paraffin Lamp assume 2 candles per household per day = 2 parafin lamps per household per day for 4 hrs per day 0.081 ltr kero/hour * 4 hours / day = 0.324 ltr kero / day = 118.3 ltr kero / a 118.3 ltr kero => 118.3 * 3.18 kg CO2/ltr kero = 376 kg CO2 / household per year Diesel Pumping assume 5l diesel for 6.5 h at 2.1 m3/h => 0.75 l diesel for 2.1 m3 => 0.36 l diesel / m3 0.75 * 3.18 kg CO2 / ltr kero = 2.38 kg CO2 / 2.1 m3 => 1.13 kg CO2/ m3 Diesel Lighting assume 5l diesel for 6.5 h driving a 3.5 kVA genset => 0.75 l/h for 3.5 kWh => 0.21 l / kWh 0.21 l/kWh * 3.18 kg CO2 / ltr kero = 0.68 kg CO2 / kWh Replace paraffin fridge with PV fridge save 1161 kg CO2 / fridge / a Replace paraffin lamp with SHS save 376 kg CO2 / household / a Replacement off grid connection with SHS save 52.17 kg CO2 / a Replace Diesel Pump with PVP save 1.13 kg CO2 / m3 Replace Diesel Lighting with PV institutional lighting save 0.68 kg CO2 / kWh Replace electric geyser with SWH Technology Current SHS 2,600 PVP 700 SWH 2,000 PV Inst 150 PV Fridges 2,000 Save t CO2 /a 978 1,444 17,082 74 2,322 21,899 save 0.117 kg CO2 / ltr hot water Potential Save Pot t CO2 / a 9,000 3,384 5,000 10,311 15,000 128,115 500 246 5,000 5,805 147,861 Tons / Unit / a 0.38 2.06 8.54 0.49 1.16 55 56 ANNEX B: PROJECT PLANNING MATRIX SUMMARY OBJECTIVELY VERIFIABLE INDICATORS MEANS OF VERIFICATION Widespread adoption of SET's and quantified CO2 emission reduction. National GHG Inventories and Reports to UNFCCC. Evaluation Reports. CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS AND RISKS Global Objective: To increase affordable access to sustainable energy services through the further development of a market for SET's in Namibia that contribute to climate stabilization by reducing CO2 emissions through the removal of technical, financial, social, institutional, capacity, public awareness and social acceptability barriers Consistency with GRN development, energy and environment policies. Immediate Objective: To remove barriers to the delivery of commercially, institutionally, and technically sustainable SES including electricity production (for offgrid lighting, radio, TV, water pumping, and refrigeration), and water heating to the household, institutional, commercial, and agro-industrial sectors and to demonstrate the enabled environment through affirming Identified barriers to SES delivery removed; and Tax returns. Turnover of private sector institutions dealing with solar energy technologies increases by an average of 10% per annum over the project period. 56 Consistency with GRN Energy Policy. GRN and other stakeholder participation. 57 demonstrations of the applications of the technologies. Component 1: Capacity in government, SET Industry, NGOs, Financing Agencies, and PMU built REINNAM transformed into R-3E Institute and industry association within phase 1; PMU staff engaged and PMU offices established within phase 1; and 50 technicians, project developers, and analysts from government, private and NGO sectors trained in aspects of solar energy by the project in phase 1 the same number again by the end of phase 2. Progress Reports from PMU, R-3-E Institute and other participating agencies; Minutes of meetings; Independent Mid Term and Terminal Reports; Training courses and workshop evaluation reports by various target trainee groups; and Technical reports on SET status and comparative techno economic data Component 2: Institutional barriers among government, SET Industry, NGOs, Financing Agencies and PMU removed Consideration of economic cost and benefits of SESs are included in development planning processes at intersectoral level by the end of phase 1; Institutions optimise recurrent and capital expenditure over full life cycle costs incorporating full consideration of SESs options and relevant discount rates by the end of phase 2; and Progress Reports from participating agencies; Minutes of meetings; Independent Mid Term and Terminal Reports; A level playing field is established between SESs and grid electricity by the end 57 GRN willing to institute fiscal policy reforms to level playing field Utilities will to participate as delivery mode Annual budgets; New SET projects; Grid electricity companies participation; Legislation on fiscal policy affecting SETs; GRN, financing agencies, training institutes, industry, and individuals wish to collaborate, share information and other resources; Infrastructure and human resource capacity exists or can be built to establish a decentralised SET institutional mechanism and achieve effective training results; Qualified personnel are available to man PMU and R-3-E Institute and manage project affairs; and Qualified consultants are available to undertake various techno-economic studies. GRN, financing agencies, training institutes, industry, and individuals wish to collaborate, share information and other resources 58 of phase 2. Component 3: Public Awareness and Social Acceptability of SES's increased Number of enquiries made and SES installations increases at an average rate of 25% per annum over the duration of the project. Component 4: Financial Removed Barriers Component 5: Technical barriers removed financiers make affordable loans to SETs users and solar energy service (SES) providers by the end of phase 1; instruments/measures are designed and untilised to level the financial playing field between SETs, grid electricity and fossil fuels by the end of phase 2; government votes for increasing fiscal allocations increasing at 10% in real terms per annum for the implementation of the SETs component of energy policy; and The number of entrepreneurs making money from SETs increases by 10% per annum over the duration of the project. R-3-E Institute strengthened as information and SET Media messages will have the intended impact; and Consumer public willing to accept new technologies. Annual progress reports, mid-term reports, terminal reports Fiscal policy Legislation on SETs Annual Financial Reports all direct and indirect taxes and levies on SETs are identified and removed/reduced by the end of phase 2; Content and delivery evaluation reports; Consumer public has access and uses one or all of the media applied; Consumer public is literate to comprehend media messages; 58 Annual progress reports, mid term reports and terminal GRN, financing agencies, training institutes, industry, and Individuals wish to collaborate, share information and other resources; GRN willing to institute fiscal policy reforms in support of SETs; Financing agencies willing to provide loans under dedicated SET financing mechanisms and users willing and able to repay loans; and Market response to SETs good. SET industry willing to participate in and accept and abide by 59 dissemination, standards and testing facility by the end of phase 1; Component 6 SES Demonstration/Pilot Projects Implemented Authoritative SET data sheets and information services developed by the end of phase 1; evaluation reports; SET data sheets; SET systems standards Dossier; Code of Practice Dossier; and Guidelines Documents new standards and code of practice; and R-3-E Institute functionally effective to serve as an industry association and agency responsible for establishing and enforcement of codeof-practice. Commitment to the project by industry, GRN, end-users, financiers secured; Guidelines on technical standards and norms and compliance regimes developed by the end of phase 1; Operational code of practice among SES operators instituted by the end of phase 1; Standards and compliance regime implemented by the end of phase 2. Criteria for SET demo target areas identified; demo areas selected; demo planning protocols developed and approved by MME and demo implementation plans outlined by the end of phase 1; Detailed design of different institutional delivery and maintenance modalities developed and functional by the end of phase 2; Detailed design of different financial mechanisms developed and functional; and delivery of at least 6823 SETs over a 5 year period. 59 Progress Reports; Site and systems evaluation reports; Inspection reports on installed systems; and Mid-Term and Terminal Evaluation Reports. GRN enacts appropriate legislation supporting SETs Key players satisfied with project design Whole and retail financing is made available Demonstration results and critical success/failure factors documented Critical mass for SETs attained with replication. Annex C: STAP Roster Technical Review and Response STAP REVIEW OF UNDP/GEF PROPOSAL ENTITLED: Barrier Removal on Namibian Renewable Energy Programme Dr. Ashok Gadgil, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Overall Impression: This is a thoughtfully written and strong proposal. It is especially well written in the societal and institutional aspects of introducing solar energy technologies on a commercial scale in Namibia. It is somewhat weaker in its engineering and technology-economics aspects. However, these shortcomings can be easily corrected, and do not detract substantially from the overall strength of the proposal. Key Issues 1. Scientific and Technical Soundness The basis for the project is the technical and scientific assumption that there is much renewable energy to be cost-effectively tapped in Namibia, and of this solar energy forms a vital part. This is a valid and sound assumption The second assumption is that solar energy is not being tapped on a significant scale primarily for weakness in the factors that this project will strengthen: providing analysis, training, and awareness, removing institutional barriers, implementing demonstration projects, providing publicity, and availability of financing. This assumption (although likely to be true) remains untested, and is one of the necessary risks that the project must document and accept. 2. Identification of global environmental benefits and/or drawbacks of the project The project aims to introduce renewable energy technologies by removing various institutional, informational, policy, technical and financial barriers. The project will save about 200,000 tons of C at a price of about US$30 per ton of carbon. This is somewhat expensive, however this is not the only criterion by which the project should be judged. (Incidentally, the carbon savings price given in Annexure A, paragraph A.7 is incorrect by a factor of 3). There are no global environmental drawbacks of the proposal. 3. How the project fits within the context of goals of GEF, its operational strategies, programme priorities, GEF Council guidance and relevant conventions. The project fits well within the goals of GEF and its operational strategies and priorities. It aims to create a viable and sustainable solar energy technologies market in Namibia, systematically 61 identifying and removing various barriers to the commercialization of solar technologies in Namibia. The activities identified in the proposal fit GEF programme priorities and meet the council guidance. 4. Regional Context In the SADC region, Namibia is well integrated in the economic and commercial networks of the region. Namibia receives plentiful sunshine, and could easily use several of the mature solar energy technologies to reduce its CO2 emissions and gain some independence from imported fossil fuels. 5. Replicability of the project The proposal has a good social analysis of barriers to solar technologies in Namibia. Several of the problems identified in Namibia in this section are also seen on other developing countries. The sections of the project dealing with removal of these barriers are replicable in other countries. 6. Sustainability of the project Project is designed to be sustainable beyond the horizon of GEF support. Secondary Issues The proposal has no significant linkages to other focal areas (e.g., biodiversity protection or coastal waters). It does not have linkages to other programmes or action plans at the regional level. Other (non-stated) beneficial or damaging environmental effects are negligible. The degree of involvement of stakeholders in the project is planned to be adequate. The project will build significant capacity in Namibia in the private, NGO and government sectors for solar energy system commercialization The project is innovative in terms of comprehensively addressing removal of barriers at the technical, institutional and financial level, and also in terms of private sector, NGO and government institutions. Additional Comments 1. In Background and Context section 2 “Summary”, the last sentence is confusing since the previous statement says that there will be 7450 systems in 2000, and the last sentence says that there will be at least 6823 systems installed by 2006. Perhaps the authors mean “additional systems”? 2. Background and Context Section 9. The annual solar radiation surely exceeds 6 kWh/sq.m. by a huge margin. Please correct the error. 61 62 3. Background and Context Section 10. Here we discuss making PV systems for home lighting and water pumping financially feasible. However, nowhere in the proposal there is any discussion of costs per system, and how does each compare to the income at the top of the income distribution (at the top of the income distribution are the potential customers). 4. Background and Context Section 10 also suggests that electricity is competing with solar hot water. What is the hot water use pattern in Namibia (temperature, amount, time of day)? How much do Namibian households spend on hot water as a function of their incomes? If these data are unavailable, who will collect them? Without these data, we can’t say that solar hot water will successfully replace electricity. 5. Rationale, Objectives and Strategy Table 1 (Renewable energy technology assessment) needs to incorporate quantitative data. If these data are unavailable, the project must make explicit provision to gather these data at project startup. Later on, in section 38, we talk of doing cost-effectiveness calculations. Where are (or who will collect) the data for these calculations? 6. Project Activities Section 3.1.3.3 talks of training NGO technicians. This is puzzling, as they are not needed anywhere in the project activities. What the NGO do need are analysts. And these analysts need training, which is missing. 7. Project Activities section 3.2.1, part (vi). We need to bear in mind that sometimes the social objective of making electricity affordable (and thus available) to every segment of society over-rides the narrower economic objective of recovering full costs of electricity. In such cases, lifeline rates for small users and higher rates for large users may be a better solution. 8. Project Activities section 3.3.1, paragraph 51. Section (I). Lifecycle cost-benefit analysis requires a discount rate for future expenses or future savings. It is well known that even in rich industrial countries, consumers exhibit discount rates for future savings from 30 to 50% per annum. For poor consumers in poor countries, the discount rates are much higher. So, sometimes, it is not lack of analysis, but desperation about putting bread on the table this evening, Project Activities that causes minimizing of first costs, rather than of life-cycle costs. 9. Project Activities sections 54, 55 and 56. Need to add issues of reliability, product longevity, long-term performance, product quality, and enforceable performance guarantees. Again, for section 55 (I), please bear in mind the above caveat about life-cycle costs. 10. Project Activities Section 66 and 74. Again whose discount rates will you use in determining costs and benefits? From whose perspective? 11. Project Activities section 82. “too long” is what would make sense, where you say “too short”. If the pay back is too short, everyone is happy! 12. Project Activities section 101. The first sentence needs to be reworded. Reads awkward, about “feeling” first cost benefits from day one. What is that? 62 63 13. Project Activities section 110. The last sentence of section (I) needs to be rewritten. set of technical standards should coincide…” What about other set? “..one 14. Project Activities section 122. Table 3. Suggest re-title table to replace the word “currently” with the words “over 5 years project duration”. 63 64 RESPONSE TO STAP REVIEW Comment 1: On the second assumption, this is based on the experience of local authors who have through the years witnessed how incremental changes in "providing analysis, training, and awareness et cetera" have positively stimulated the Namibian solar market, and changed attitudes. It will be of interest to the reviewer to note that Namibia is the first country in Africa that has developed an electrification master plan in which off-grid electrification (mainly via solar and hybrid generation) is treated on the same footing than grid electrification. Also, we have initiated both fee-for-service and ownership-based solar electricity provision, ideas that would not have been possible to initiate and implement if the above assumption had been completely baseless. it is an assumption, but it is based on Namibian realities, which limits the risk to the project considerably. Comment 2. It is assumed that the GEF contribution of US$ 5.3 *10^6 is used as the numerator in this calculation (as explicitly mentioned in brackets at the end of the section A.7): this implies that 188,742 t of C saved at a GEF cost of 5.3 m US$ is equal to US$ 28.1/ton C. The carbon savings price as calculated above is correct if the assumptions that are explicitly stated leading to this number are properly taken into account. .Comment 3. No response necessary. Comment 4. No response necessary. Comment 5. No response necessary. Comment 6. No response necessary. Secondary Issues This is not quite correct. There is mention of the large complementary programme of DANCED. See section 130. Additional Comments 1 Corrected. 2 This has been corrected, the sentence should read"...average global solar radiation value exceeding 6 kWh/m^2/day". 3 In fact, PV systems for home lighting and water pumping are primarily for people in the rural areas with little disposable income and far away from the electricity grid, while those customers "at the top of the income distribution" are usually found near to the national electricity grid. In the absence of solid statistics we can say that the cost of a SHS constitutes between 120% to 180% of an "average rural person" (here I assume an income per month between N$ 300 and N$ 450 with the SHS costing some N$ 6,500, while the numbers are of course much worse for PVP) 64 65 4 Some of this work has been done as part of solar energy programme of the Ministry of Mines and Energy. An indication of consumption patterns is included below. Should there be gaps these could be undertaken under the Institutional (see para 39) and technical barrier components (see para 109). A Namibian middle class urban family has a per person consumption of 22.7 +- 6.9 litres/day of hot (55 - 65 deg C) water per day for the entire year. There are two dominant hot water usage peaks, namely in the morning from 5h30 to 8h30, and in the afternoon from 16h30 peaking at 19h00 and dropping below the daily average at 21h00. The peaks are similar for low (high) income groups with a daily average consumption of 21.8 +-5.3 l/day (37.9 +- 7.8 l/day). People spend some 2.6% (high), 4.4 % (middle) and up to 10% (low urban income, but still with grid electricity) of their monthly gross salary on hot water, but many of the poor (urban, peri-urban and definitely rural) do not spend money on hot water as it is considered unaffordable. Some field-data has been collected and analysed (DW von Oertzen et al) but a comprehensive data collection effort should be one of the first tasks of the R-3-E Institute (See technical barriers section: section 10), this Institute being one of the measures proposed in the Project Brief to collect and analyse data of this nature. BUT, from the experiences of owners of solar water heaters one can conclude that they have the definite potential to replace electrical geysers. The government initiated studies on this matter conducted by the Namibian lead author of this Project Brief clearly indicate the micro- and macro-economic advantages of a rapid introduction and retro-fitting of SWH in urban areas. 5 Quantitative data are currently not available in a concise format. Again, the very first actions of the proposed R-3-E Institute will have to be designed to compile and collect data, and bring them into a unified user-friendly format. As said in the Additional Comment 4, "...a comprehensive data collection effort should be one of the first tasks of the R-3-E Institute 6 The point is taken and changes are included in the text. 7 This is indeed correct and is currently investigated in detail by the Namibian Electricity Control Board, ie the National Electricity Regulator. 8 This is included in 3.3.1 9 These issues are included in awareness barriers to SWHs in paragraph # 55, 56, and 57. 10 Now included in paragraphs 67 and 75. 11 Corrected. 12 The sentenced has been rephrased . 13 The activity has been rewritten to exclude expectations of a second set of standards. 14 Corrected. 65 66 Annex D: SES Market Assessment Matrix Appendix D: Scenario Development of Projected Outputs of GEF intervention Year(s) Baseline: no project intervention Number of Estimated Number of current potential systems in market systems in market market size A SHS PVP SWH PV Fridges PV Institutional 2000 SHS GEF PVP Intervention SWH 2001 PV Fridges 2006 PV Institutional 2006 2011 - 2011 2016 - NOTE: SHS PVP SWH PV Fridges PV Institutional SHS PVP SWH PV Fridges PV Institutional 2,600 700 2,000 2,000 150 7,450 9,000 5,000 15,000 5,000 500 sub-total for year 2000 2,942 792 2,263 2,263 170 sub-total for last 5 years cumulative total saved 3,328 896 2,560 2,560 192 sub-total for last 5 years cumulative total saved 3,766 1,014 2,897 2,897 217 sub-total for last 5 years cumulative total saved Full Project with GEF intervention project t CO2 Number of Number of t CO2 Number of saved by t CO2 saved systems systems: saved by t CO2 saved systems in t CO2 saved GEF pilot & by market due to pure pure GEF GEF pilot & total in given time in 5 year demo stimulation GEF demo intervention market interval interval contribution in 5 year intervention in 5 year contribution in 5 year interval A+B+C interval B+C B interval 988 1,442 17,080 2,320 51 21,881 5,265 5,600 7,790 2,658 2,525 1342 1,275 5,265 7,684 2,367 15,793 1,575 8,110 211 1,087 7,684 91,011 7,000 192,150 4,737 101,139 4522 96,545 91,011 12,362 3,667 16,433 1,404 4,071 628 1,821 12,362 279 317 459 147 180 120 147 279 116,601 232,626 116,025 100,874 116,601 116,601 232,626 116,025 100,874 116,601 5,632 8,600 10,640 5,272 5,008 5,632 8,220 4,033 24,377 3,137 16,157 8,220 97,360 12,000 298,900 9,440 201,540 97,360 13,224 5,333 21,267 2,773 8,042 13,224 306 483 663 291 357 306 124,742 355,847 231,105 124,742 241,343 588,473 347,130 241,343 6,047 11,600 13,490 7,834 7,443 6,047 8,826 5,700 32,960 4,686 24,134 8,826 104,542 17,000 405,650 14,103 301,108 104,542 14,200 7,000 26,100 4,103 11,900 14,200 337 650 676 433 338 337 133,953 41,950 478,876 344,922 133,953 375,296 1,067,348 692,052 375,296 1) Assume baseline growth of 2.5 % per annum 2) Assume that GEF intervention opens and develops market to 33% of its year 2000 estimated potential every 5 years 3) Assume that non-operational systems are replaced 4) Assume that equipment implementation program evenly spread over 5 year period 66 67 67 68 Annex E: Project Schedule 68 69 Annex F: DELIVERY AND MAINTENANCE MODALITIES TARGET SECTOR HOUSEHOLD Non-Electrified Households SOLAR ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY DELIVERY TECHNOLOGY SERVICE MODALITY Solar Home Light & Radio/TV Systems Water Heating Solar Water Cooking Heaters Solar Cookers INSTITUTIONAL 1. Non-Electrified Schools 2. Non-Electrified Clinics Solar Home Systems Solar Home Systems PV-Refrigerators Solar Water 3. Non-Electrified Heaters Prisons Solar Home Systems 4. Non-Electrified PVPolice Posts Communication Solar Home Systems PVCommunication AGRICULTURAL 1. Diesel Commercial PV Pumps Farmers PV Pumps 2. Diesel Village Communities COMMERCIAL Non-Electrified PV-Refrigeration Beverage Outlets Lighting, Radio/TV Lighting, Radio/TV Drug Refrigeration Water Heating Lighting, Radio/TV Telecommunication Lighting, Radio/TV Telecommunication Commercial (PV Industry, Utility, NGO) Commercial (PV Industry, Utility, NGO) Commercial (PV Industry, Utility, NGO) Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Government-PV Industry Water Pumping for Commercial (PV Cattle Pump Industry) Water Pumping for Government (Water Cattle Department ) Cooling, Lighting, Namibia Bottlers Radio/TV Annex G: Institutional delivery and maintenance modalities Annex D presents SES market segments targeted by the present project, SESs to be offered to each market segment and institutional modalities to be applied in the delivery of these services. Figures G.1 to G.5 are schematic illustrations of how project Funds, SESs and Maintenance Support Services are going to flow within the framework of each institutional modality. Notes on how each of these institutional delivery modalities is designed to operate are provided below. Throughout the descriptions of the delivery modalities, grant funds are referred to. The average level of grant funding or subsidy is described in Annex D. 69 70 In all of the modality diagrams refer to flows of finance, technical assistance, SETs and information respectively. F.1 Utility Delivery Mode for Households NamPower is about to publish its rural electrification master plan (off-grid planning forms part of master plan), which promises electrification of rural areas. Realities on the ground however, are such that large sections of the rural population will not be connected to the grid in the foreseeable future because of the ever-increasing costs and the practicalities of grid extension to spatially dispersed population settlements. The utility modality is driven by policy commitments of the national utility for rural electrification coupled with the limitations imposed by the ground realities of delivering on this promise. The key players in the Utility Mode are: i) Members of the PV Industry in Namibia who source and supply the required SETs; ii) Two utilities, namely: Northern Electricity and Premier Electric (a distribution subsidiary of Nampower), which will procure in bulk and warehouse SHS for installation in the homes of new applicants deemed uneconomic for grid connection in the short to medium term. The utilities have the choice of using their own engineers (who would have been specifically trained under the project to handle SETs) to carry out the installations and maintenance or out-source any of these services to the PV Industry operators. The utility would own the PV system and be responsible for its maintenance. iii) Un-electrified end-users would be required to pay a one-time connection fee, the amount of which would be equal to the tariff paid by domestic pre-paid consumers of the grid (currently set at N$120). They would also be required to pay a flat monthly charge as contribution towards the repayment of the PV system, spread over its lifespan of 15 years. The PV will operate on the pre-paid metering system where, in the event of a default, the system would stop working. The monthly repayments would include a small levy (to be determined) which would go into an existing fund purposely set to enable the utility to recover its subsidy to PV clients on connections. iv) Government to enter into agreement with the utilities on the operation of this modality, provide loan guarantees and import incentives on equipment (e.g. reduced import duties and surtaxes) as is the case with CET equipment. v) Throughout PV is used as an example of the SETs, though the utilities may extend their services. 70 71 vi) FIGURE F.1. Utility Delivery Mode for Households DONOR PMU FUND MANAGER PV SUPPLIER UTILITY UN-ELECTRIFIED RURAL AND PERI-URBAN HOUSEHOLDS F.2 Commercial Delivery Mode for Households and Commercial Farmers: Players in this modality are: i) The PMU that identifies projects and advises utility, PV suppliers and Fund manger. Arranges for technical assistance where required. ii) Project Donors who provide grant funds; iii) Special Purpose Vehicle Fund Manager (SPV-FM) who manages grant funds and makes available own funds on credit to end-users and PV suppliers; iv) PV-suppliers who source systems, as well as install and maintain them under contract; and v) End-users who in this case are non-electrified rural and urban households. The players of this modality require that grant funds lined up under the project be deposited with a Fund Manager identified under the SPV. PV Suppliers shall identify clients to participate in the Project. Once interest from clients is secured, a PV Supplier will prepare a Business Plan (BP) on behalf of the client for submission to the SPV-FM for funding consideration. The SPVFM will appraise the BP for its creditworthiness while PMU will appraise it for its technical merits and advise the SPV-FM accordingly. The approved BP will be passed on to the PV Supplier (by the household) to undertake, under contract, PV installations at the household in question. Payment to the PV Supplier will be made by the SPV-FM after certification of installation by PMU Inspectors. The utility will act as the wholesale and retail financier and could act as the supplier as well. Critical to this modality is the avoidance of passing on cash to clients. Instead, paid up equipment shall be delivered on a turn-key basis. Clients will repay loans to the SPV-FM via the utility at agreed terms (on interest rates and grace periods). 71 72 FIGURE F.2 Commercial Delivery Mode for Households and Commercial Farmers PMU PV-SUPPLIERS DONOR S AND FINANCIERS FUND MANAGER RURAL AND URBAN HOUSEHOLDS and COMMERCIAL FARMERS F.3 Industry Delivery Mode for Cold Beverage Outlets The main players in this delivery mode are: i) Project Donors and Financiers; ii) Project Management Unit iii) SPV-FM; iv) Namibia Breweries and Namibia Beverages (beverage wholesalers); v) PV Refrigerator Suppliers; and vi) Un-electrified Beverage Outlets in rural and peri-urban areas (beverage retailers). Project donors make available grant funding. This grant is deposited with the SPV-FM. The beverage wholesalers raise the remaining from either their own internal resources (as is currently done with Paraffin Fridges if at all) or from a combination of own internal resources and SPV-FM bulk-funding, or wholly from SPV-FM bulk-financing. Once the beverage wholesalers have affirmed the availability of their contribution, the SPV-FM releases the project’s grant contribution for the purchase of PV Refrigeration equipment from a SETs supplier who in turn enters into an installation/maintenance contract with beverage wholesalers. The beverage wholesalers will then identify the outlets where the equipment is to be installed. The contribution of the bottling companies can be passed on to the beverage retailers as outright grants or as loans (as practised with high turn-overoutlets), or better still, in combination of grant and loan. PMU identifies projects, provides technical backstopping for installation and maintenance inspections as per established standards and codes. The beverage retailers will, where interest exists, be trained to work on commission as PV supply industry agents. This training can be seen as part of the Component 1 Capacity Building and Institutional Strengthening within the PV Industry. Typically the retailers could target beverage clientele with PV system sales. 72 73 FIGURE F.3: Industry Delivery Mode for Cold Beverage Outlets PROJECT DONORS PMU PV FUND MANAGER BEVERAGE COMPANIES PV SUPPLY INDUSTRY NON-ELECTRIFIED BEVERAGE RETAIL OUTLETS F.4 Government Delivery Mode for Clinics, Schools, Police and Prisons and Farming Communities As part of its social responsibility policy, GRN is in the process of developing a rural infrastructure to improve the efficiency of social service delivery in its network of schools, clinics, police posts and prisons in remote areas. These facilities either use CO2 emitting energy (e.g. paraffin for lighting), or do not have modern energy services. This project will target these facilities. Under this arrangement, project donors for the Barrier Removal Project will make a grant contribution to the cost of PV systems. The PMU shall work in collaboration with the respective ministries/departments to identify schools, clinics, police posts and prisons requiring support. The SPV-FM shall pass on project funds to the PV suppliers to install systems at identified sites. In addition to project identification, the PMU shall provide technical backstopping by way of inspecting installations and arranging for maintenance contracts with local PV. 73 74 FIGURE F.4: Government Delivery Mode for Police and Prisons, Schools, Clinics and Communal/Commercial Farmers PMU PROJECT FINANCIERS GOVERNMENT AGENCY FUND MANAGER PV-SUPPLIER UNELECTRIFIED SCHOOLS, CLINICS, POLICE POSTS, PRISONS AND FARMING COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE F.5 NGO Delivery Mode for Conservancies, Training/Research Facilities, Schools; Clinics and Farming Communities The NGO modality is a variant of the Government Delivery Modality applied to public institutions using grant funds. While both rely on PV-suppliers to install and PV entrepreneurs to maintain PV-systems, the NGO modality, unlike the Government mode, relies on an existing network of NGOs as a conduit for passing on grant funds, as well as serving as agents for technology dissemination, advocacy and capacitating local communities. The possibility of the NGO Delivery Mode piggybacking on the Awareness component of the project will be explored early in the project. During the demonstration component of the project, the NGO modality will be applied to the conservancies, houses, and other facilities of the NGOs. FIGURE F.5: The NGO Delivery Mode for Conservancy, Schools, Clinics, Research and Training Institutions, and Farming Community PROJECT DONORS /FINANCIERS PMU FUND MANAGER DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEES NGO/CBO UNELECTRIFIED SCHOOLS, CLINICS, POLICE POSTS, PRISONS, FARMING COMMUNITY 74 PV SUPPLIER 75 Annex G: The Namibian Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Institute (R-3-E) A Brief Overview The Namibian Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) commissioned a project in late 1999 to formulate the organisational and operational guidelines for a Namibian Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (R-3-E) Institute, and set into motion the founding and operation of such an Institute. The primary functions of the R-3-E Institute are envisaged to be in the field of information dissemination, setting of performance and quality standards, testing of equipment and labelling thereof, and R-3-E related consulting and planning. It has become evident that a number of test facilities exist in Namibia operating in complete isolation from each other. This automatically leads to the multiplication of equipment purchases, staffing and test venues. However, the scarcity of finances, knowledge and experience in Namibia dictates that duplication efforts must be avoided, which requires that existing resources are pooled or shared. This realisation demands a small, market and service oriented R-3-E Institute, which develops smart partnerships between government, the private sector and other participants, co-ordinating and regulating all Namibian R-3-E activities. Currently it is envisaged that the R-3-E Institute will evolve in three phases: Phase I: from year 0 for about 2 years, i.e. from 2000 to 2001 The R-3-E Institute will deliver some core services, while the Namibian market and industry commitment is established and deepened. In this phase the core activities will be promotion of R-3-E technologies, building a sustainable information dissemination strategy, co-ordinating local R-3-E efforts and co-operating with local partners, the co-ordination of basic equipment testing, facilitation in R-3-E related consulting and planning activities. Phase II: from year 3 for about 2 years, i.e. from 2002 to 2003 Here the R-3-E Institute will actively co-operate with regional and international partners to broaden its information dissemination efforts, expand and deepen its promotion of R-3-E technologies campaigns, facilitate local and regional partners in equipment testing and labelling activities Phase III: year 5 of operation and beyond, i.e. beyond 2003 This phase will be characterized by a mature operation of the R-3-E Institute, i.e. funding mechanisms have been established, a sustainable operation modus has been formulated, and credible partners have been found who form part of the supportive backbone of the Institute. 75 76 At the time of writing this overview, the following developments have already taken place with regard to the R-3-E Institute development: a group of base stakeholders of the R-3-E Institute has been identified from amongst representatives of government ministries, the private sector, parastatals and tertiary institutions, a mission statement, short term goals and a business definition have been defined, a preliminary organisational structure of the R-3-E Institute has been agreed on, a short and medium term operational strategy has been developed, taking cognisance of the limited financial resources and the Namibian economic conditions, resource and test centres that will be collaborative partners of the R-3-E Institute have been identified, an analysis of the various independent Namibian test facilities has been undertaken and an integrative procedure how future duplication of services and equipment purchases can be avoided is currently being developed, international and regional collaborating partners have been identified. The R-3-E Institute will initially require support for its operation: the technical, institutional and human capacity aspects will have to be strengthened. Effective information dissemination strategies will have to be developed, supported by locally produced information and data on SET’s, and their comparative costs and benefits. Also, study materials, courses and laboratory classes at tertiary institutions and vocational training centres will have to be developed. From the above it is evident that the envisaged technical barrier removal activities are well suited to facilitate, support and strengthen the R-3-E Institute. The R-3-E Institute is relying solely on finance secured from private sector, government department and NGO membership to the Institute, as well as a fee-for-service structure that is currently under development. Its institutional structure makes it independent of direct government intervention, yet relying on close linkages to government ministries departments, such as the Ministry of Mines and Energy, the Ministry of Works, Transport and Communications and the Directorate of Rural Water Supply and others. This will free the Institute from government bureaucratic procedures and enable a dynamic and market driven organization. 76 77 ANNEX H: Terms of Reference: Project Manager/Co-ordinator JOB DESCRIPTION TITLE ORGANISATION : Project Manager : Project Management Unit CONTRACTING PARTY : Namibian Government REPORTS TO DURATION : PS of Mines and Energy : Five Years (renewable) DUTY STATION : Windhoek Namibia REMUNERATION : Commensurate with qualifications, skills and experience REQUIREMENTS : Applicants must have post-graduate training in any one of the following fields of study: development economics with a strong energy systems planning and management component; and/or engineering with energy systems planning bias and/or economics background. In either case, candidates must also fulfil a combination of at least the following conditions: Work experience with alternative energy technologies, mainly renewable energy systems; At least five years experience in the energy field at the household, small-scale commercial, agro-industrial and/or institutional level in public or private sector; At least five years work experience at senior management level with demonstrable project level management skills and ability to coordinate activities involving a large contingent of professional consultants drawn around the country and/or internationally; Working knowledge of the Namibian energy sector. RESPONSIBILITIES Directing activities of the PMU covering: day-to-day management and co-ordination; budgeting; forward planning; advice on policy direction; liaising with project participants and stakeholders; 77 78 preparation and presentation of project status reports to the steering committee; preparing subcontractors terms of reference and contracts; supervision of contracts; technical assistance; and project execution of all tasks identified under the project specified in this Project Document. DUTIES Lead, manage and coordinate the day to day management of the PMU to be established in Windhoek including administration, accounting, technical expertise, and actual project implementation and reporting; Lead the development of detailed project design including preparation of subcontractors terms of reference, identification and selection of national, regional and international subcontractors, cost estimation, time scheduling, contracting, and reporting on forward planning of project activities and budget (list of subcontractors is provided below); Coordinate activities of consultants including contract management, direction and supervision of field operations, logistical support, review of technical outputs/reports, measurement /assessment of project achievements and cost control; Supervise the selection of demonstration sites and actual installation and follow-up evaluation of demonstration facilities identified in this project Document; Assist in the design, supervision and where possible delivery of the training and outreach activities of the project; Provide technical assistance in renewable energy policy discussions and development; Plan and coordinate various workshops identified in this Project Document; Assist in developing institutional delivery modes for renewable energy services for different end use sectors in Namibia; Assist in developing a special purpose financing vehicle for renewable energy industry and end users; Assist the Secretary to the PAC and maintain records/minutes of proceedings of this Committee; Take responsibility for the quality and timing of project outputs; Assist in overall project monitoring and evaluation; and Undertake other management duties that contribute to the effective functioning of the project. 78 79 Subcontractors will be contracted to undertake specific project tasks according to the final project schedule. Subcontractors may be individuals and/or organizations, whichever is appropriate for a given task. When subcontractors are in the employment of the project, they form part of the PMU and benefit from the support of the PMU support staff. 79 80 ANNEX I: Terms of Reference: Project Management Unit See section B7. In the text of the Prodoc text. The PMU’s function is to manage the project on a day-to-day basis in a flexible manner. The main output of the PMU is to assist the sub-contractors in executing projects and recording the methodology, successes and failures of these components of the overall project. The chief executive officer of the PMU, the Project Manager (PM), provides strategic direction to the PMU and takes ultimate responsibility for the scheduling and quality of all project outputs. The PM has final responsibility for advising the PAC on the members of the PMU. The job description/TOR of the PM is a component of the project document (See Annex H). The PMU has access to core professional staff when required that may include: a project manager; an assistant project manager; an international technical advisor; policy researcher and advocate (part time); an energy planner (part time); an economist (part time); a legal expert (part time); a management consultant (part time); and other contracted specialists (institutional development, capacity building, workshop designers and facilitators etc.). The PMU will also include a member of the MME who is seconded and whose salary will be augmented as the budget allows. The MME staff member will be seconded to the project to work alongside the policy research and advocacy PMU member. This person will be seen as a link between the PMU and MME whose TOR will be negotiated between the PM and the MME prior to selection and secondment. In addition to the staff who embody the professional skills associated with the outputs of the project, core administrative staff will be required with skills that are: a middle management, personal assistant and understudy to the PM; secretarial; accounting; and support staff with skills in language and information interpretation and draft editing. The PMU is comprised as far as possible of Namibian private/non-governmental experts/ consultants. Attached to each of the core functionaries are young professionals whose capacity will be built through on-the-job training. The trainees can be drawn from government, non-government, tertiary education and/or private sectors. The professional staff of the PMU should apply gender sensitivity in selection. 80 81 Annex J: Danida Co-financing Letter 81 82 Annex K: Government Endorsement Letter 82