ECON 982L: Topics in Economic Development & Transition Spring 2010 Friday 9-11 AM, Room R0.03/4 Professor Chris Woodruff, 1.119 Office Hours: Thursday 2-3:45 or by appointment c.woodruff@warwick.ac.uk “The consequences for human welfare involved in questions like these are simply staggering: Once one starts to think about them, it is hard to think about anything else.” (Robert Lucas, “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”) This course offers an introduction to recent research macroeconomic issues of economic development. By macroeconomics, we mean broad ideas rather than monetary policy or growth. As is always the case, there are so many topics, and so little time. The syllabus is designed to include a wide variety of research methods, often applied to the same question. Grades will be determined by performance on the following assignments (weight in grade in parentheses): 1) Research paper. (20%) Focusing on one topic which we cover in the course, summarize (succinctly!) the state of knowledge on that topic, and then critique the research on the topic. Which research—theoretical or empirical—is most convincing? What are the most important questions left unanswered, or answered only unconvincingly? 2) Final exam. (80%) READINGS: Introduction Week 1 (22 January) The Big Picture *Easterly, William, 2009, “Can the West Save Africa?,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol 47(2), pp. 373-448 [Link to NBER version] Burnside, Craig and David Dollar, 2000, “Aid, Policies, and Growth.” American Economic Review Vol. 90(4), pp. 847–68. [Link] Banerjee, Abhijit and Esther Duflo, 200, “The Economic Lives of the Poor,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vo. 21(1), pp. 141-167. [Link] *Caselli, Francesco (2005), “Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences,” Handbook of Economic Growth [Link] *Mankiw, N Gregory, David Romer and David N. Weil, 1992, “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, pp. 407-37. [Link] Week 2 (29 January) Institutions and History *Avner Greif. 1994. “Cultural Beliefs and the Organization of Society: A Historical and Theoretical Reflection on Collectivist and Individualist Societies.” Journal of Political Economy, 102 (October 1994): 912– 50.[Link] Botticini and Ekstein, “From Farmers to Merchants, Conversions and Diaspora: Human Capital and Jewish History,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 5(5) pp. 885-926, September 2007. [Link] *Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson (2001), "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation", American Economic Review, 91, 1369-1401 [Link] *Engerman and Sokoloff, 2000, “History Lessons: Institutions, Factor Endowments and Paths of Development in the New World, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14(3), pp. 217-232 [Link] Acemoglu, Daron and Simon Johnson, 2005, “Unbundling Institutions,” Journal of Political Economy, 113(5), pp. 949-995. [Link] Albouy, David, 2008, “The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Investigation of the Settler Mortality Data”, NBER Working paper 14130. [Link] Week 3 ( 5 February) Property rights, Contract Enforcement, Corruption *Johnson, Simon, John McMillan and Christopher Woodruff. "Property Rights and Finance," American Economic Review, December 2002. [Link] Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastián Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky, 2007, “The Formation of Beliefs: Evidence from the Allocation of Land Titles to Squatters,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 122 (1), pp. 209-241. [Link] Timothy Besley. 1995. “Property Rights and Investment Incentives: Theory and Evidence.” Journal of Political Economy, 103(5), pp 903-957. [Link] *Goldstein, Marcus and Christopher Udry, 2008, “The Profits of Power: Land Rights and Agricultural Investment in Ghana,” Journal of Political Economy, forthcoming. [Link] *Ben Olken, “Monitoring Corruption: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Indonesia,” Journal of Political Economy 115 (2), pp. 200-249, April 2007. [Link] Mauro, Paolo, 1995, “Corruption and Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (3), 681-712. [Link] Week 4 (12 February) Firms and Inequality *Ghatak, Maitreesh and Neville Nien-Huei Jiang (2002), "A Simple Model of Inequality, Occupational Choice and Development," Journal of Development Economics, 69(1), pp. 205-226. [Link] Abhijit Banerjee and Andrew Newman. 1993. “Occupational Choice and the Process of Development,” Journal of Political Economy 101(1), pp. 274298. [Link] Banerjee, Abhijit and Sendhil Mullainathan, 2008, “Limited Attention and Income Distribution”, mimeo MIT [Link] *Banerjee, Abhijit, Dilip Mookherjee, Kaivan Munshi and Debraj Ray (2001). “Inequality, control rights, and rent seeking: Sugar cooperatives in Maharashtra,” Journal of Political Economy, 109(1), pp. 138-190. [Link] *Banerjee, A., P. Gertler and M. Ghatak. 2002. "Empowerment and Efficiency: Tenancy Reform in West Bengal," Journal of Political Economy, 110(2), pp. 238-280. [Link] Besley, Tim and Robin Burgess, 2000, Land Reform, Poverty Reduction and Growth: Evidence from India,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(2), pp. 389-430 [Link] Week 5 (19 Feb) Finance Lucas, Robert E., 1990, “Why Doesn’t Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?,” American Economic Review, 80(2), pp 92-96.[Link] *Rajan, R. and Luigi Zingales, 1998, "Financial Dependence and Growth," American Economic Review, 88 (3), 559-586. [Link] Caselli, Francesco and James Feyrer, 2007, “The Marginal Product of Capital,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 122(2), pp.535–568. [Link] King, Robert G. and Ross Levine, 1993, "Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might be Right," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), pp. 717-737. [Link] *De Mel, Suresh, David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff, 2008, “Returns to Capital in Microenterprises: Evidence from a Field Experiment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(4), pp. 1329-1372. [Link] Banerjee and Duflo, 2008, “Do Firms Want to Borrow More? Testing Credit Constraints Using a Directed Lending Program,” MIT mimeo [Link] *Abhijit Banerjee and Kaivan Munshi, 2004, “How Efficiently is Capital Allocated? Evidence from the Knitted Garment Industry in Tirupur.” Review of Economic Studies, 71(1), pp. 19-42. [Link] Khwaja, Asim and Atif Mian, 2005. “Do Lenders Favor Politically Connected Firms? Rent provision in an Emerging Financial Market,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(4), pp. 1371-1411. [Link] Microfinance *Banerjee, Abhijit, Esther Duflo, Rachel Glennerster and Cynthia Kinnan (2009) The Miracle of Microfinance? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation, Mimeo MIT. [Link] Karlan, Dean and Jonathan Zinman, 2009, “Expanding Microenterprise Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts in Manila,” Mimeo Yale [Link] Week 6 (26 Feb) Firm Efficiency Harvey Leibenstein , 1966, “Allocative Efficiency vs. ‘X-Efficiency’,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 56, No. 3. (Jun., 1966), pp. 392-415. [Link] *Bloom, Nicholas and John Van Reenen, 2007, “Measuring and Explaining Management Practices Across Firms and Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 2007. [Link] *Hsieh, Chang-Tai and Peter Klenow, 2007, “Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India,” NBER Working Paper 13290. [Link] Foster, Lucia, John Haltiwanger and Chad Syverson, 2008, “Reallocation, Firm Turnover, and Efficiency: Selection on Productivity or Profitability,” American Economic Review, 98(1), pp. 394-425. [Link] Banerjee and Moll 2009, “Why Does Misallocation Persist?”, Mimeo MIT [Link] Bloom, Nick, Raffaella Sadun and John Van Reenen, “The Organization of Firms Across Countries,” NBER Working Paper 15129 [Link] *Bloom, Nick, Benn Eifert, Aprajit Mahajan, David McKenzie and John Roberts, 2009, “Management Matters: Evidence from India”, working paper, Stanford University [Link] *Sutton, John, 2004, “The Auto-component Supply Chain in China and India: A Benchmarking Study.” Unpub. Paper, LSE. [Link] John Sutton. 2000. “The Indian Machine-Tool Industry: A Benchmarking Study.” Unpub Paper, LSE. [Link] Week 7 (5 Mar) Market Forces *Murphy, Kevin, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny (1989), "Industrialization and the Big Push", Journal of Political Economy [Link] *Michael Kremer. 1993. “The O-Ring Theory of Economic Development.” Quarterly Journal of Economics v. 108 no. 3, pp. 551-75. [Link] Rosenstein-Rodan, Paul, 1943, “Problems of Industrialization of Eastern and South- Eastern Europe”, Economic Journal v 53, No. 210/211, p 202-11. *Verhoogan, Eric, 2008, “Trade, Quality Upgrading, and Wage Inequality in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 123(2), pp. 489-530. [Link] Donaldson, David, “Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the Impact of Transportation Infrastructure” [Link] Week 8: (12 Mar) Organization of Firms and Interfirm Relationships *Bertrand, Marianne, Simon Johnson Krislert Samphantharak and Antoinette Schoar, 2008, “Mixing Family With Business: A Study of Thai Business Groups and the Families Behind Them,” The Journal of Financial Economics, 88 (3), 466-498. [Link] Khanna, Tarun and Yishay Yafeh, 2007, “Business Groups in Emerging Markets: Paragons of Parasite?’ Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 45, pp. 331372 [Link] *Andrabi, Tahir, Jishnu Das and Asim Khwaja, 2009, “Report Cards: The Impact of Providing School and Child Test-scores on Educational Markets,” working paper, Kennedy School of Government [Link] McMillan, John and Christopher Woodruff, 1999, “Interfirm Relationships and Informal Credit in Vietnam,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114: 12851320. [Link] *Banerjee, Abhijit and Esther Duflo, 2000, “Reputation Effects and the Limits of Contracting: A Study of the Indian Software Industry,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(3), pp. 989-1017 [Link] Iyer, Raj and Antoinette Schoar, 2009, “The Importance of Holdup in Contracting: Evidence from a Field Experiment,” working paper, MIT. [Link] Andrabi, Tahir, Maitreesh Ghatak and Asim Khwaja, 2006, “Subcontractors for Tractors: Theory and Evidence on Flexible Specialization, Supplier Selection, and Contracting,” Journal of Development Economics Volume 79(2), pp. 273-302 [Link] Week 9 (19 Mar) Informality De Soto, Hernando, 1989, The Other Path, pp. 231-258. Djankov, Simeon, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer, 2002, “The Regulation of Entry,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(1), pp. 1-37. [Link] *Kaplan, David, Eduardo Piedra, and Enrique Seira, 2007, “Entry Regulation and Business Start-ups: Evidence from Mexico,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4322. [Link] Bruhn, Miraim, 2008, “License to Sell: The Effect of Business Registration Reform of Entrepreneurial Activity in Mexico,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4538. [Link]. Bertrand, Marianne and Francis Kramarz, 2002, “Does Entry regulation Hinder Job Creation? Evidence from the French Retail Industry,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4), pp 1369-1413. [Link] Rauch, Jim, 1991, “Modeling the Informal Sector Formally” Journal of Development Economics, 35(1), pp. 33-47. [Link] *Farrell, Diana, 2004, “The Hidden Dangers of the Informal Economy, Mckinsey Quarterly, 2004, Issue Number 3. [Link] *Lagakos, David, 2009, “Superstores or Mom and Pops? Technology Adoption and Productivity Differences in Retail Trade,” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department Staff Report 428 [Link] *De Mel, Suresh, David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff, 2009, “What is the Cost of Formality? Experimentally Estimating the Demand for Formalization,” mimeo Warwick [Link]