Germany Spain France Italy Netherlands United Kingdom 2000 15.9 16.6 15.9 17.8 13.6 15.6 Table 1.1 Projection of the ageing population rate 2010 2020 2030 19.3 20.9 25.2 17.6 19.6 23.6 16.8 20.5 24.5 20.1 22.7 26.3 15.2 19.3 23.2 16.4 19.3 23 Population older than 65 as a percentage of total population. Population older than 60 as a percentage of total population. Source: European Commission (2000) page 5. Eurostat Projections. 2040 28.3 28.7 26.5 30.9 25.6 25.7 2050 27.7 31.5 26.8 31.3 24.4 25.4 Table 1.2 Spanish projection of population and dependency rates (thousands people and percentage) (a) 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Total Population 39941 40158 40406 40476 40292 39913 39429 38893 38240 37391 36324 Population between 0-15 years old. 6386 6147 6271 6495 6498 6190 5840 5681 5692 5730 5653 Population between 16-64 years old. 26837 26976 26763 26160 25596 24913 23976 22756 21326 19943 19179 Population of 65 and older. 6718 7035 7372 7822 8198 8809 9613 10456 11223 11718 11492 Dependency rates of younger (b) 23.80 22.79 23.43 24.83 25.39 24.85 24.36 24.97 26.69 28.73 29.48 Dependency rates of older (c) 25.03 26.08 27.55 29.90 32.03 35.36 40.10 45.95 52.62 58.76 59.92 Demographic dependency rate (d) 48.83 48.86 50.98 54.73 57.42 60.21 64.45 70.91 79.31 87.49 89.40 Age average between 16-64 37.9 39.09 40.29 41.35 42.24 42.57 42.52 42.26 41.73 40.96 40.5 Source: FEDEA (a) Projection provided by Juan A, Fernández Cordón in Mach, 2000, Instituto de Economía y Geografía (IEG) del CSIC. Population accounted at 12/31. (b) Population between 0-15 as a percentage of population in working age. (c) Population of 65 and older as a percentage of population in working age. (d) Population between 0-15 and 65 and older as a percentage of population in working age. Figure 1.1. Projection V1 (thousand people and percentage) Employed Population Employment rate 16000 90.00 14000 80.00 12000 70.00 10000 60.00 8000 Male Female Total Male Unemployed Population Female 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2000 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 30.00 2004 40.00 2000 2000 4000 2004 50.00 6000 Total Unemployment rate. Male Female Male Total Active Population Female 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 500 2020 1000 2016 1500 2012 2000 2008 2500 2004 3000 2000 25.00 23.00 21.00 19.00 17.00 15.00 13.00 11.00 9.00 7.00 Total Participation rate. Male Female Total Male Female Total 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 4000 2024 6000 2020 8000 2016 10000 2012 12000 2008 14000 2004 16000 2000 85.00 80.00 75.00 70.00 65.00 60.00 55.00 50.00 45.00 40.00 18000 Figure 2.1.A Men Qualification Composition in Working age. Without education Primary Secondary 2047 2042 2037 2032 2022 2017 2012 2007 2002 1997 Projection 1992 1987 1982 1977 Historic 2027 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Tertiary Figure 2.1.B Women Qualification Composition in Working age Without education Primary Secondary 2047 2042 2037 2032 2022 2017 2012 2007 2002 1997 Projection 1992 1987 1982 1977 Historic 2027 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Tertiary Figure 2.1.C Total population Qualification Composition in Working age. Without education Primary Secondary 2047 2042 2037 2027 2022 2017 2012 2007 2002 1997 Projection 1992 1987 1982 1977 Historic 2032 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Tertiary Figure 2.2. Projection V2 (thousand people and percentage) Employed population Employment rate 18000 100.00 16000 90.00 14000 80.00 12000 70.00 10000 Male Female Male Total Unemployed population Female 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2000 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 30.00 2008 40.00 2000 2004 50.00 4000 2000 6000 2004 60.00 8000 Total Unemployment rate Male Female Total Male Active Population Female 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 500 2016 1000 2012 1500 2008 2000 2004 2500 2000 25.00 23.00 21.00 19.00 17.00 15.00 13.00 11.00 9.00 7.00 3000 Total Participation Rate Male Female Total Male Female Total 2048 2044 2040 2036 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 4000 2032 6000 2028 8000 2024 10000 2020 12000 2016 14000 2012 16000 2008 18000 2004 20000 2000 85.00 80.00 75.00 70.00 65.00 60.00 55.00 50.00 45.00 40.00 Table 3.1 Variation of male participation rate by achieved studies level. Without Primary Secondary Tertiary education education education education 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-70 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 -50.6 12.1 -11.1 -8.7 -9.5 -4.5 -5.1 -7.0 -15.0 -31.8 -25.2 -4.04 -0.27 -0.66 -0.61 -0.85 -0.09 -0.14 -0.09 0.15 -0.44 -0.06 -9.7 24.6 -2.3 -3.3 -2.2 -3.0 -6.7 -5.9 -10.0 -33.1 -38.0 -0.52 0.20 0.03 0.00 0.04 -0.42 -0.47 -0.60 -0.91 -1.04 -0.37 -2.15 11.55 3.13 1.63 -1.87 -2.20 -3.70 -5.21 -18.93 -33.72 -32.35 0.55 -0.32 -0.39 0.23 0.03 -0.26 -0.25 0.15 -0.97 -0.42 -0.86 -28.75 -20.71 -12.79 0.28 0.21 -1.69 -0.59 -4.18 -6.50 -27.79 -37.17 4.62 1.09 -0.69 0.04 0.12 -0.26 0.00 -0.27 1.42 -2.99 1.13 Variation of female participation rate by achieved studies level. Without Primary Secondary Tertiary education education education education Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 Average of period 94-99 Total of the period. 77-99 16-19 -35.3 -4.46 -14.2 -0.67 -2.0 -0.18 -50.0 20-24 12.3 0.14 4.8 0.05 6.2 -0.68 -21.7 25-29 23.9 0.24 17.4 1.09 21.9 0.01 11.0 30-34 23.7 0.34 22.5 0.15 34.5 1.21 16.7 35-39 22.7 0.07 25.3 0.21 25.5 -0.20 26.7 40-44 18.7 0.74 28.6 0.30 26.1 0.50 26.1 45-49 11.7 0.82 15.4 0.57 27.2 0.93 20.4 50-54 5.6 0.61 12.3 0.53 19.5 0.59 24.0 55-59 0.3 0.52 5.9 -0.03 10.6 2.17 7.1 60-64 -5.8 -0.03 -12.0 -1.21 -0.7 -0.24 -33.8 65-70 -7.9 -0.19 -13.9 0.58 -14.4 0.61 -21.0 Annual growth average (1994-1999). Source: Encuesta de Población Activa (EPA). Instituto Nacional de Estadística. Average of period 94-99 -0.67 0.91 0.33 -0.45 -0.36 0.22 0.79 2.50 0.56 -4.02 -0.35 Table 3.2 Participation rate, year 1999 Without education 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-70 Male 36.26 85.21 86.53 88.83 88.03 91.96 90.36 85.30 71.18 37.47 3.76 Female 28.74 65.38 52.53 47.79 48.15 45.86 38.81 31.40 23.84 13.85 2.15 Primary education Male 30.67 89.38 96.03 96.07 96.70 94.66 93.34 90.84 77.63 42.18 4.26 Female 23.68 79.05 71.48 57.08 56.50 56.98 51.51 40.17 25.79 14.76 5.85 Secondary education Male 17.37 46.49 87.80 97.46 97.54 96.60 94.79 92.56 75.87 41.72 6.45 Female 14.08 44.63 78.26 75.68 70.19 69.44 67.39 55.92 47.61 26.07 6.69 Tertiary education Male 34.88 42.55 78.03 97.04 98.49 97.78 98.48 95.12 87.93 53.64 28.62 Female 30.00 56.75 83.08 88.03 88.41 87.96 86.75 81.64 69.41 36.57 6.84 Source: Encuesta de Población Activa (EPA). Instituto Nacional de Estadística. Figure 3.1. Male participation rate-age profile (in percentage) 100,0 90,0 80,0 70,0 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-70 Without education Primary Secondary Tertiary Figure 3.2 Female participation rate-age profile (in percentage) 100,0 90,0 80,0 70,0 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0 16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-70 Without education Primary Secondary Tertiary Table 3.3 Participation rate by educational attainment Lower than Secondary Tertiary Education Secondary. Education Male Female Male Spain 82 39 Sweden 80 67 Germany 77 46 UK 68 52 France 77 57 Portugal 90 69 Italy 74 33 Eire 81 38 USA 75 50 G7 77 50 OECD 78 51 Age from 25 to 64. Source: OECD(2000) page 269. Female 91 89 84 88 89 87 86 92 88 89 89 Male 68 83 69 76 76 80 64 63 73 70 69 92 93 88 93 91 96 91 95 94 93 93 Female 85 92 83 87 83 93 81 80 82 80 83 Total Male 86 87 85 86 85 90 80 87 88 82 87 Female 51 81 66 73 69 72 47 55 73 64 64 Table 3.4 Calibrated Participation Rate (in percentage) Without education* Male Primary education Female Male Secondary education Female Male Tertiary education Female Male Female Male Total Female Objective 70 45 88 63 89 70 93 80 82 64 25-64 Result 70 45 88 63 89 70 90 84 81 60 25-64 Result 69 45 77 57 71 56 85 80 74 55 16-64 * The objectives of participation rate in ages 25 to 64 corresponding to “without education” and “Primary education” attainment levels, reproduce the rates of “lower than secondary “ of the G7 group in Table 2.2. Source: Encuesta de Población Activa (EPA). Instituto Nacional de Estadística and author’s calculations Figure 3.3: Age Participation rates Profiles, 1998 SPAIN 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 IRLAND 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 female 45-54 55-59 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 female 45-54 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 female 55-59 60-64 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 female 20-24 55-59 60-64 15-19 20-24 male 25-34 25-34 35-44 35-44 female 55-59 60-64 55-64 45-54 55-59 60-64 55-59 60-64 55-59 60-64 male 45-54 male G7 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 male 45-54 female GERMANY 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 45-54 35-44 female USA 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 15-19 male 45-54 25-34 ITALY 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 UK 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 20-24 male FRANCE 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 15-19 60-64 male 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 female Source: “Labour Force Statistics 1978-1998”. OECD(1999) and author’s calculation. 45-54 male Figure 3.4 A) Female Objective Participation rate-Age Profile 1,000 0,900 0,800 0,700 0,600 0,500 0,400 0,300 0,200 0,100 0,000 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 without education primary secondary tertiary B) Male Objective Participation rate-Age Profile. 1,000 0,900 0,800 0,700 0,600 0,500 0,400 0,300 0,200 0,100 0,000 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 without education primary secondary tertiary Table 3.5 Okun’s Law, Males Without education Age 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 ̂ -1.68* (-3.8) -0.89* (-2.89) -0.55* (-2.75) -0.48* (-2.73) -0.46* (-2.96) R2 0.41 0.27 0.24 0.25 0.28 Primary education ̂ -1.76* (-3.76) -0.84* (-3.22) -0.37** (-1.88) -0.23 (-1.03) -0.19 (-0.56) Secondary education ̂ R2 0.41 R2 0.44 -1.73* (-4.01) -0.76* (-3.14) -0.33** (-1.87) -0.27** (-1.78) -0.51** (-2.4) 0.32 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.32 0.13 0.12 0.20 Tertiary education ̂ -1.42** (-2.03) -0.69* (-3.78) -0.16** (-2.01) -0.13 (-1.07) -0.17*** (-1.36) R2 0.17 0.40 0.15 0.04 0.06 Notes: 1 2 Results estimated with Ordinary Less Square for the equation: Ut=(GDPt-1-GDPpott-1)+t (t-statistic in brackets). *, ** and *** denote significant levels to 1%, 5%, 10% and 20 degrees freedom. Table 3.6 Okun’s Law Female Without education Age 16-24 25-49 50-64 16-24 25-49 50-64 ̂ -1.57* (-4.34) -0.63* (-2.69) -0.29* (-2.69) -1.66* (-4.45) -0.63* (-3.48) -0.43* (-3.74) 2 R 0.42 0.06 -0.13 0.47 0.31 0.35 Primary education ̂ -1.64* (-4.65) -0.88* (-3.55) -0.34 (-1.05) -1.71* (-4.23) -0.73* (-3.7) -0.20 (-1.18) Secondary education ̂ 2 R 0.50 0.30 0.00 Total 0.47 0.36 0.02 -1.70* (-4.85) -0.59** (-2.37) 0.04 (0.08) 2 R 0.53 0.11 -0.01 -1.72* (-5.18) -0.57* (-2.97) -0.26*** (-1.59) Notes: 1 2 Results estimated with Ordinary Less Square for the equation: Ut=(GDPt-1-GDPpott-1)+t (T-statistic in brackets). *, ** and *** denote significant levels to 1%, 5%, 10% and 20 degrees freedom. 0.57 0.25 0.07 Tertiary education ̂ -2.03* (-2.92) -0.80* (-4.86) -0.11 (-0.92) -1.83* (-2.93) -0.59* (-6.05) -0.13*** (-1.38) R2 0.29 0.51 0.00 0.29 0.62 0.03 Figure 3.5: Okun’s Law coefficient stability. A) Males Primary education Secondary education Without education -0.5 0.0 0.0 -1.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 -1.5 -1.5 -2.0 -2.0 -2.5 -2.5 -3.0 -3.0 -3.5 -3.5 Tertiary education 4 2 -1.5 0 -2.0 Age 16-24 -2 -2.5 -3.0 -3.5 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -4 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -6 82 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.2 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -0.2 -0.8 -0.4 -0.2 84 ± 2 S.E. 96 98 ± 2 S.E. 0.5 -0.4 0.0 Age 35-44 -0.6 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0 -1.0 -1.2 -1.5 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -1.2 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.4 96 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 -0.6 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.8 1.0 96 98 ± 2 S.E. 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 0.0 -0.4 Age 55-64 84 Recursive C(1) Estimates 1.5 0.2 82 98 ± 2 S.E. 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.8 -1.2 -1.5 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -0.4 -0.8 -1.0 -1.0 -1.2 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -0.6 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 82 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 -1.5 -1.5 -2.0 -2.0 -2.5 -2.5 -3.0 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates B) Females Primary education Secondary education Without education 84 ± 2 S.E. 96 98 ± 2 S.E. Tertiary education 0 2 -1 0 -2 -2 -3 -4 Age 16-24 -3.0 -3.5 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.5 96 98 84 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.0 96 98 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 -1.4 -2.0 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 0.2 96 98 -1.6 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 96 98 82 84 ± 2 S.E. 86 88 90 92 94 Recursive C(1) Estimates 2 1.5 96 98 ± 2 S.E. 0.4 1.0 0.0 98 -1.0 -1.5 -2.5 90 96 ± 2 S.E. -1.2 -2.0 88 94 -0.8 -1.0 86 92 -0.6 -0.5 84 90 0.0 -1.5 82 88 -0.4 -0.5 -1.5 86 -0.2 0.5 0.0 -1.0 84 Recursive C(1) Estimates -1.0 Age 25-49 -6 82 ± 2 S.E. 1.0 -0.5 0.0 -4 82 ± 2 S.E. 0.2 1 0.5 0.0 -0.2 0.0 Age 50-64 -0.2 0 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 -1 -0.6 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -1.5 82 84 86 88 90 92 Recursive C(1) Estimates 94 96 ± 2 S.E. 98 82 84 86 88 90 92 Recursive C(1) Estimates 94 96 ± 2 S.E. 98 -2 82 -0.8 84 86 88 90 92 Recursive C(1) Estimates 94 96 ± 2 S.E. 98 82 84 86 88 90 92 Recursive C(1) Estimates 94 96 ± 2 S.E. 98 2050 2047 2044 2041 2038 2035 2032 2029 2026 2023 2020 2017 2014 2011 2008 2005 2002 Figure 3.6: Macroeconomic Scenario. (In growth rates) 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 GDP Potential GDP GDP per capita Productivity Figure 3.7. Projection V3 (thousand people and percentage) Employed Population Employed rate 18000 105.00 16000 95.00 14000 85.00 12000 75.00 10000 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 Male Total Active population Total Female 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2004 2000 2048 2044 0.00 2040 0 2036 5.00 2032 500 2028 10.00 2024 1000 2020 15.00 2016 1500 2012 20.00 2008 2000 2004 25.00 2000 Female Unemployment rate 2500 Female 2012 Male Total Unemployed Population Male 2008 2000 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 Female 2008 Male 2024 2020 2016 2012 35.00 2008 45.00 2000 2004 55.00 4000 2000 6000 2004 65.00 8000 Total Participation rate. 20000 85.00 18000 80.00 16000 75.00 14000 70.00 12000 65.00 10000 Male Female Total Male Female Total 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 50.00 2008 4000 2004 55.00 2000 6000 2000 60.00 8000 Figure 4.1: Compared total effects. (thousand people and percentage) 2040 2044 2048 2044 2048 2044 2048 2036 2040 2040 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2000 2048 2044 2040 82.00 2036 84.00 10000 2032 86.00 11000 2028 88.00 12000 2024 90.00 13000 2020 14000 2016 92.00 2012 15000 2008 94.00 2004 96.00 16000 2000 17000 2008 Employed rate 2004 Employed Population Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Unemployed Population Unemployment rate. 3000 18.00 16.00 2500 14.00 2000 12.00 1500 10.00 8.00 1000 6.00 500 4.00 0 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 2048 2044 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 2.00 Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Active population Participation rate 18500 72.00 17500 70.00 16500 68.00 15500 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 2012 2008 2048 2044 2004 Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth 2040 2036 2032 2028 2024 2020 2016 60.00 2012 62.00 11500 2008 12500 2004 64.00 2000 13500 2000 66.00 14500 Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Table 4.1: Tax level for labour income in Spain (2001) More than Quota (In Euros) (In Euros) 0.0 0 3678 662 12873 2869 25134 6339 40460 12040 67433 24178 Source: Ministerio de Hacienda. Tax rate for the rest. 0.180 0.240 0.283 0.372 0.450 0.480 Figure 4.2: Wage Curves and labour income tax rates. Wage Curves males (in Euro) Labour income tax rates males. 18000 0.350 16000 0.330 14000 0.310 12000 0.290 10000 0.270 8000 0.250 6000 0.230 4000 0.210 2000 0.190 0 0.170 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Without education Primary Secondary 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 Tertiary Without education Wage Curves females (in Euro). Secondary Tertiary Labour income tax rates females. 40000 0.310 35000 0.290 30000 Primary 0.270 25000 0.250 20000 0.230 15000 0.210 10000 0.190 5000 0.170 0 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 Sin Estudios Obligatorios Secundarios Teciarios 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 Sin Estudios Obligatorios Secundarios Teciarios Figure 4.3: Tax revenues of labour incomes. Comparison of projections. Percentage difference respect projection V1 Males Males (in millions of Euro) 650000 45.00 600000 40.00 35.00 550000 30.00 500000 25.00 450000 20.00 15.00 400000 10.00 350000 5.00 300000 Aging (generational accounting) Education Labour dynamic and growth Education 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 2025 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2007 2004 2001 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 2025 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2007 2004 2001 0.00 Labour dynamic and growth Percentage difference respect projection V1 Females Females (in millions of Euro) 420000 140.00 370000 120.00 100.00 320000 80.00 270000 60.00 220000 Labour dynamic and growth 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 2025 2022 2019 2016 Education Labour dynamic and growth 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 2025 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2007 2004 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 0.00 2025 10.00 400000 2022 20.00 500000 2019 30.00 600000 2016 40.00 700000 2013 50.00 800000 2010 60.00 900000 2007 70.00 2004 Labour dynamic and growth Percentage difference respect projection V1 Total 1000000 2001 2013 Education 1100000 Education 2010 Labour dynamic and growth Total (in millions of Euro) Aging (generational accounting) 2007 2001 2049 2046 2043 2040 2037 2034 2031 2028 2025 Education 2001 Aging (generational accounting) 2022 2019 2016 2013 2010 2007 2004 0.00 2001 20.00 120000 2004 40.00 170000