Topic 6.1.1 1. Compare and contrast the long-wave patterns for a summer and winter mean flow discussing the role of thermal and orographic features in the maintenance of the typical long-wave pattern. (a) In middle and upper troposphere (500-mb) Winter (January) mean flow: An intense polar vortex over the Canadian artic islands A broad trough extends southward through Quebec and the eastern US A broad ridge along the Canadian Rockies and over Alaska Large height gradient over most of N. America, greater over the eastern half than the western half Summer (July) mean flow: The arctic vortex essentially vanished Flow is weak and largely zonal A broad trough persists in the east, a slight ridging over the Rockies A large high pressure over the southern half of US, and a trough apparent off the west coast Difference: Westerly flow is more intense and extends to lower latitudes in winter than in summer (due to the relatively strong temperature gradient in winter) Common point: in both seasons a broad trough in the east and a broad right over the Rockies. This is because the orographic forcing is more important in middle and upper troposphere (the long-wave trough and ridge are the indicative of the Rossby wave generated when the westerly flow passing over the Rocky mountains) (b) In low level or near surface (1000-mb) Differential heating over the land and water (sea) is a major factor determining the seasonal changes near the surface. In winter, the relatively warm oceans act as heat sources for atmosphere, and land as heat sinks; the roles exchanged in summer (causes of monsoon) In winter lowers are evident over the northern oceans (i.e., Aleutian low over North Pacific and Iceland low over North Atlantic), while cold high dominates the continents. The northwesterly flow from high arctic (Arctic pipeline) advects cold and dry air southwards over much of the areas east of the Rockies southwesterly and southerly flow over the west coast; Thermal trough over the Great Lakes and off the eastern seaboard In summer subtropical highs are obvious and strong over the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans A thermal low appear over the continent (centered over the deserts over the southwestern US) The cyclonic flow about this low combines with the anticyclonic flow around the Atlantic high to pump warm, moist air northward from the Gulf of Mexico into eastern Canada 2. Describe the characteristics of blocking patterns in terms of shape, scale, duration, geographic and seasonal frequency. Blocking: breakdown of the upper zonal flow, where the mean stream in mid-latitudes splits into two branches; The northernmost branch curves to the left and follows the western flank of an amplified ridge; developed to a closed anticyclone (typical diameter 2000 km); The southern branch curves right and then passing south of a series of cold lows. The blocking anticyclone is warm and thermally symmetric near the core and is capped by a cold high tropopause. It moves very little and blocks the eastward progression of the following systems which are diverted either to the north or the south of the block Due to its persistence (8-9 days), must be considered in medium-range weather forecast (droughts or prolonged wet spells) Shape: “” shape (as described above) Inverted “” shape (cut-off cold low) Complex block: repetitions of the blocking development producing an extended block (“” type) over a long sector of the hemisphere, with two bands of upper westerly winds and a band of zonal easterlies in the middle latitudes Geographical distribution: Two preferred formation regions: (1) in the Atlantic Ocean off the west coast of Europe; (2) the Bering strait Latitude: high frequency at 56N (at 48N and 64N less than half) Seasonality (frequency): Spring > winter > summer > fall Duration (average in Canada): Spring 9.7 days; winter 13.4 days; summer 11.1 days; fall 7.1 days 3. Explain how the location of the long wave influence the location and movement of cyclone and anticyclone Long waves are roughly stationary (progress very slowly eastward); short waves moves very fast eastward through long waves The short waves are obliged to follow the meandering of the long waves (long wave steers the short waves) Short waves are commonly associated with the developing surface cyclones: intensifying surface cyclones are usually found downstream from the short-wave troughs; a series of surface cyclones can be superimposed on a single planetary wave; surface cyclone families are most often found between long-wave troughs and downstream ridges (PVA zone); surface anticyclones are intensified between long-wave ridges and downstream troughs (NVA zone) Changes in the pattern of a planetary wave (e.g., zonal long wave number) usually herald a major cyclone genesis event. A vigorous new surface cyclone usually forms ahead of the new amplifying wave. 4. Discuss the dynamical factors that influence the formation of cyclones and anticyclones including the characteristics of two types of dynamical secondary circulations having limited vertical extend Dynamical factors influence cyclones: Orographic forcing: lee side generally favors cyclonegensis (Alberta, Colorado) Baroclinic instability (wind shear) Localized thermal forcing (heating or cooling) Coastal cyclonegenesis: land-sea contrast, sensible heating, latent heating Upper level initiation (divergence, long-wave PVA, Jet stream ) Changes of the latitude (change in f) Friction difference (from relatively smooth water surface to rough land) Dynamical factors influence anticyclones: Upper level initiation (NVA, convergence, Jet stream) Break up from subtropical high Localized cooling Break up from Artic high Some synoptic scale systems Cold Arctic high Thermal high Stagnant dry air cooled by radiation at high lat. during long nights over snow or ice Weakens in vertical, often replaced by a low aloft Diurnal variation: little change fast moving after leaving source region; steered by flow aloft cirrus up to the ridge Thermal low Stagnant dry air heated by ground at low lat. during long days over sand surfaces Weakens in vertical and disappear Strongest during summer afternoon Stationary over the heat source Cu, sand whirls or dust devils Instability trough Strong flow of cold air heated by passing over warmer water and by latent heat Weakens in the vertical Little diurnal change, most frequent in winter Stationary over the heating source until the flow changes Sc, Cu, Cb, Cloud lines (streaks, squalls), snow flurries Orographic trough Strong flow of mountain, vertical stretching to the lee side produces trough (net heating exceeds cooling due to latent heat) Weakens with height Little diurnal changes Stationary with respect to mountains until air flow changes Wave clouds, Ac, lenticular Chinook arch Subtropical high (deep) Hadley Cell, upper convergence, low level subsidence, high pressure belt broken up by land-sea effects Intensifies with height Little diurnal change Slow moving, south of westerlies Middle clouds on the west side; subsidence inversion on southeast side Cold low (deep) Occluded low, cut-off low, concentric contours Intensifies with height Little diurnal change Slow moving Multi-layered middle cloud, Cu, Cb 5. Describe the North American monsoon (direct thermal effect of N. Amer. continent) Monsoon is continental secondary circulation of direct thermal origin, having profound effect on the weather during summer and winter seasons Winter monsoon: surface circulation over North America is weakly anticyclonic with ridge along the eastern slope of the Rocky Mountains (to the west is the giant Aleutian low); at 500-mb the ridge is weakened and displayed westward to the coast, with a trough of low pressure over the eastern side of the continent prevailing wind over central and eastern part: strong component from N to S frequent outbreaks of cold dry air masses from the Arctic to subtropics An active frontal zone established off the southeast coast (between polar cold air and warm moist northward maritime tropical air) significantly increases the precipitation in eastern US and Canadian maritime provinces On the west coast, considerable northward component of the prevailing wind gives milder and wetter climate; but whether increase in the precipitation is doubtful Summer monsoon: The monsoon circulation over N. A. is weakly cyclonic; the center of this thermal low is over the southwestern US; the Pacific subtropical high extends onto the west coast; the Atlantic high extends westward, dominating most of eastern US at 500-mb, the low pressure trough is weakened and displaced westward over the west coast; the Atlantic high is strengthened and extended westward nearly to the southern Pacific coast light southerly winds over much of the central & eastern of the continent, wind turns southwest and west at high latitudes spread moisture warm and sultry summer weather, with widespread occurrence of thunderstorms and heavy convective rains due to continental heating significantly increases rainfall in east divide of the continent On west coast, winds are commonly northwest and north, making climate cooler and drier than it would be (if the zonal westerlies were not disturbed), decrease the rainfall 6. Describe the thermally induced circulations, e.g., cold high, warm low, instability trough Warm low: The local heating lifts the isobaric surface in the atmosphere over the heat source produce an upper level high and divergence reduces the surface pressure Inflow of air into the surface low + earth rotation + surface friction cyclonic circulation at the surface Cold high: The isobaric surface sinks over the heat source due to local cooling produce an upper level low and convergence inflow of air aloft increases the surface pressure and outflow in lower atmos. the gradient and equilibrium establish a cyclonic circulation aloft and an anticyclonic circulation at the ground Instability trough: When cold continental flow out from the Arctic high pass over the warm water of Great Lakes and East US, the air is warmed from below, instability develops and get a thermal low trough, which is called “instability trough” 7. Indicate areas in North America favored for cyclogensis and anticyclogenesis for both summer and winter and discuss the dominate physical process in each one For cyclonegenesis Location Physical process Colorado, Alberta Lee-side of Rockies; Orographic forcing East coast or the western Atlantic Cold air move to warm, moist surface Strong baroclinic instability (land-sea contrast) The Gulf of Alaska Combined effect of topography and heating The Great Lakes Thermal forcing winter Location Physical process Alberta-Northwest territories border Alberta-Montana-South Dakota Orographic forcing Along the east coats of N. America The Gulf of Alaska Orographic effect or friction difference summer For anticyclogenesis Location Physical process Northern Canada winter Thermal forcing (over snow and ice) The Great Plain of US Location Physical process Southwestern Canada Subtropical high intrude summer 8. Describe the general storm tracks over North America Generally, cyclones and anticyclones are more intense, numerous, and displaced farther south in January than in July Cyclones form in the lee of Rocky Mountains and along the east coast of N. America, and generally propagate to the east or northeast Anticyclones are generated over the snow and ice fields of Canada and just to the south of jet stream; tend to propagate to the east and southeast Four preferred cyclone tracks in winter: The first enters the northwestern boundary of N. America and terminates along the Pacific northwest coast by the northern Rocky Mountains The second and third originate from Alberta and Colorado, continue east-southeast and northeast respectively and merge over the Great Lakes before taking a more northerly track into The fourth begins off the Virginia- North Carolina coast (some from the Gulf of Mexico) and move parallel to the east coast toward Greenland Five preferred cyclone tracks in summer: Two cross central Canada merging over the Hudson Bay One cross northern US The fourth along the northeast coast of N. America The fifth in the Gulf of Alaska to west coast Topic 6.1.2 1. Describe the “energetics” approach Energetics approach is a method for accessing cyclone development potential based on the energy conservation cycle that occurs in mid-latitude cyclogenesis. It is a conceptual model upon which physically realistic diagnosis of the potential for cyclone development may be made based on standard weather map 2. Define APE, ZAPE, EAPE, ZKE, EKE APE (available potential energy): the maximum potential energy that the atmosphere possesses, which can be converted to kinetic energy Modify APE: Sensible heat transfer: Amount of solar radiation (latitude, cloud cover, albedo, topography) Surface type (land, water, snow/ice) Latent heat transfer: Condensation of water vapor – enhance APE if release heat in warm air ZAPE (zonal available potential energy): thickness and contours parallel and straight; little advection possible EAPE (eddy available potential energy): thickness and contours parallel and wavelike with a meridional component; significant advection possible ZKE (zonal kinetic energy): kinetic energy of zonal flow EKE (eddy kinetic energy): kinetic energy of eddy flow, usually related to vertical motion 3. Describe the mean energy cycle for the northern hemisphere Solar radiation Friction ZAPE ZKE EAPE EKE Daibatic heating Friction 4. Using meteorological charts, describe how to assess the amount of APE (in both ZAPE and EAPE), the processes affecting the amount of APE and the process of changing ZAPE to EAPE The amount of APE (in both ZAPE and EAPE) is assessed by the strength of T or thickness gradient displayed on upper air mass Baroclinic zone (sfc or 850, T > 15 high; 1000-500 thickness > 30 dam, high) Sharpness of front zone (sfc or 850) Amplitude of thermal pattern (500 or 850, > 15 lat ?) The processes affecting the amount of APE (changing APE) Cold or warm air supply? 850 or SFC, yes, APE Latent heat release in warm (cold) air mass? SFC, Satellite or Radar Sensible heating (cooling) in warm (cold) air mass SFC or Satellite Solar radiation heating warm (cold) air mass APE () Long wave radiation cooling warm (cold) air mass APE () Mixing air mass; lower the center of mass APE The processes converting ZAPE to EAPE Thermal pattern phase lag and trend (500mb) Thermal fields distortion cold air injection (SFC or 850mb) by topography, vorticity; perturbation in mean flow TROF/RDG tilt (500 or 250mb) TROF/RDG diffluene (500 or 250mb) 5. Using meteorological charts, describe the processes converting EAPE into EKE, and list the factors influencing the conversion rate Atmosphere tries to eliminate the T gradient in ways of mixing air mass; ascent (descent) of warm (cold) air convert EAPE to EKE Factors: Vorticity advection 500mb, PVA ascent; NVA descent Thickness advection 500mb, PTA ascent; NTA descent Diabatic heating (sensible, latent heating) SFC, Satellite or Radar Stability SFC or Tephi Openness of the wave Location of surface low relative to upper Jet stream (right entry, left exit) Speed and curvature of Jet Stream (approaching trough or diffluence deepen sfc low) Changes in surface friction 6. Using meteorological charts, describe the processes converting EKE into ZKE and frictional loss , and list the factors influencing the conversion rate Some of the energy is returned to the mean westerlies by converting EKE into ZKE, through: Northward transport of westerly momentum, i.e. positively tilted trough/ridge Southward transport of westerly momentum, i.e. negatively tilted trough/ridge; often forms cut-off lows Adiabatic cooling in warm air; warming in cold air Warm or cold air sources are cut off as wave matures Frictional loss: different orographic roughness of underlying surface, from land to water, move onshore or offshore; from plain to mountains or reverse 7. Describe the potential for development of a baroclinic wave, in terms of individual processes in the energy cycle Existing high APE supply Sharp frontal zone Strong baroclinicity Large amplitude of thermal pattern Continued APE supply for cyclone development cold air supply to the west of low warm air supply in warm sector latent heating in warm air mass sensible heating in warm air mass (from land to sea) Strong conversion rate of ZAPE to EAPE Distort thermal field (cold air injection triggered by topography or upper level disturbance; TROF/RDG tilt; TROF/RDG diffluence) allows warm advection to build strong RDG, cold advection to deepen the trough Strong conversion rate of EAPE to EKE Strong upward motion to deepen the surface low PVA and PTA promote the conversion of EAPE to EKE Strong CYC Jet, surface low under right entrance or left exit Weak instability Low conversion rate of EKE to ZKE Low conversion rate ZKE loss 8. Describe how satellite imagery may be used to access the energetics of a system The extent and intensity of clouds provide an assessment of the stability and vertical motion (EAPE to EKE) The comma cloud pattern can be used to identify the location of vorticity maximum, where vertical motion is strong (EAPE to EKE) Loop the satellite images, the flow can be observed as becoming more merdional from sharpening of the ridge line, indicating ZAPE to EAPE The strength and curvature of upper jet stream in satellite indicate the sharpness and depth of the baroclinic zone in low and middle level, showing existing APE supply The size and thickness of cloud in satellite image provide a clue of latent heat release in warm/cold air mass (change in APE supply) Underlyling surface roughness can be seen in satellite, combing with location and movement of cloud, can infer diabetic heating and sensible heating (change APE supply) ** Facts for northeasters A name given to a strong steady wind from the northeast that is accompanied by rain and inclement weather. It often develops when a storm system moves northeastward along the coast of N. America. Also called Nor’ester. Exist strong APE Strong baroclinic zone, between by the cold air mass from the Artic and warm air mass from the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean An sharp frontal zone, between the cold continental high and the Atlantic high at low latitudes with strong wind shear and T gradient Continued APE supply Cold air supplied by the cold continental high in the cold air mass Warm air supplied by the Atlantic high in the warm air mass Moist air from Atlantic ocean provide latent heat release in the warm air mass The warm Gulf stream provides sensible and latent heat to the warm sector Conversion ZAPE to EAPE Cold air injection, triggered by the Appalachian mountains Vorticity perturbation: by existing wind shear at the surface Conversion EAPE to EKE In upper level (500mb), climatologically in winter there is a broad trough extending from Quebec to Southern US (caused by the orographic forcing by Rocky Mountains). East coast is right underneath the downstream of this long-wave trough, the upper level divergence favors the upward motion Sustaining the EKE Water surface causes instability Warm advection and PVA Upward motion cloud and precip. latent heat release more strong upward motion Dissipation of EKE Water surface has less friction than land surface last longer Topic 6.1.3 1. Indicate the relationship of a mature baroclinic wave to the following upper fields 500mb contour ridge and trough 500mb trough axis is to the west of surface low 500mb ridge axis is to the east of surface low Divergence aloft favors cyclone development at surface NTA (PTA) before (after) upper trough favors sinking (rising) motion Area of significant upper level divergence/convergence Convergence over the region of cold outbreak to the west Divergence over the center of the low Areas of significant low level divergence/convergence Predominance of convergence in the central part of the low Divergence on the outskirt 2. Sketch diagrams showing the 3-D trajectories of airflow through a mature baroclinic wave, including the warm, cold and dry conveyor belts Warm conveyor belt (WCB): originates from relatively easterly flow at low lattitudes. This air turns northward to flow approximately parallel with the cold front and ascends while turning anticyclonically above the warm front joining the upper-level flow northeast of the surface low near the upper-level ridge. Cold conveyor belt (CCB): originates in the anticyclonic low-level flow to the rear of the surface high east of the surface low. The air approaches the low from the east and rises rapidly as it moves toward the west from underneath the WCB belt. It continues to rise and turn anticyclonically toward the northeast and merges with the WCB in the upper troposphere near the ridge. Dry conveyor belt (DCB): originates in high troposphere or low stratospheric levels downstream from the ridge far to the northwest of the surface low. A portion of the air stream descends anticyclonically to the lower troposphere west of the trough stream and east of the surface high pressure system; some of this air splits with the anticyclonic stream, crosses the trough axis, flow parallel to the WCB within cloud-free zone, and ascend above and also around the middle-upper cloud deck of the cold conveyor belt. A southwesterly jet streak whose core lies long the eastern edge of the cold tongue extends along the line of confluence between the WCB and the dry stream. Southerly air flowing over the warm sector at high levels above the WCB originates at the middle and upper levels with the tropical easterlies east of the upper trough axis. This air may be unsaturated when it reaches the warm secotor, so that it must flow over or around the conveyor belt cloud shield. 3. Related the characteristics of the airflow to various upper and surface features, and their influence on the large scale cloud and precipitation patterns associated with a baroclinic wave The clouds and precip. associated with WCB are along the cold front and north of the warm front, forming the comma tail and body Clouds and precip. associated with the CCB are low and middle clouds, situated west and north of the surface low, forming the westward extension of the comma head The distinctly sharp edge of the cloud pattern on the west edge of the comma tail , and the northern and northwestern portion of the comma head, compromising anticyclonically curved cirrus shield northeast of the low is due to the confluence of the moist air with the dry airstream Southerly flow from upper-level tropica easterlies may condense to form an extensive sharp cirrus shield over the warm sector or within a narrow cloud band along the comma tail