The following appeared in the January 14, 2001 issue of THE NEW YORK TIMES: RACIAL MATH ON TURNPIKE More Stops, Fewer Arrests, and Divided Conclusions BY IVER PETERSON TRENTON, Jan. 12 — The argument over racial profiling by state troopers in New Jersey has become an argument over numbers. To the lawyers who have leveled charge after charge of racial profiling on the New Jersey Turnpike since 1994, the first survey of highway users and a new breakdown of stop-and-arrest rates by race are clear proof that troopers are stopping minorities at a greater rate than before, even though the number of arrests declined. But to state officials, the results are inconclusive, and proof that they need time to collect more data and install a better reporting system. "You ask me what does it mean that stops are marginally up and arrests are marginally down, and I don't have answers to that question," Attorney General John J. Farmer Jr. said on Wednesday, when the new statistics were released. "The whole point of the reform effort is to put into place a system that will enable us to tell you what these numbers mean." Even the Black Ministers Council of New Jersey, which is leading the drive for new anti-profiling laws, said it was willing to give the police the benefit of the doubt, at least until the next set of numbers comes out this summer. In April 1999, when state officials stopped denying that state troopers on the turnpike were singling out minority drivers, they agreed to start releasing periodic summaries of all traffic stops by state troopers by race and by offense. The first such report was released last year. The assumption was that any evidence that minorities were being stopped at rates greater than their numbers on the highway would be proof of bias, and the report released on Wednesday, which included the first look at the racial makeup of the turnpike's users, seemed to show just that. According to the figures, blacks accounted for about 12.5 percent of all motorists on the turnpike but experienced 23.3 percent of all stops during the six months from May through October last year. Blacks were driving 22 percent of the vehicles stopped from January through April, the period covered by the first of the state's periodic reports. William H. Buckman, a Moorestown lawyer, filed one of the first racial profiling lawsuits in 1994 after becoming suspicious over the number of minority defendants coming to court with tickets for petty violations. To him, the latest report shows the practice is continuing. "My review of these materials is that there are still a very high number of warnings being issued, and that statistic tells me that profiling is still afoot," Mr. Buckman said. "I mean, the stop rate of minorities went up, and I think Attorney General Farmer's comments that they can't tell anything from these numbers is very telling. For years they denied it, then they admitted it, and now they have these numbers, and if the best they can say is they can't interpret them, I think reading between the lines, they're saying they haven't stopped it yet." The disparity between population and stops seems to be the greatest on the southern half of the turnpike, where a decade ago the state police made headlines with an aggressive campaign against interstate drug smugglers, and where the original racial profiling suit against the state was fought and won by minority drivers. There, according to the latest report, AfricanAmericans accounted for 15.1 percent of all motorists but for 31.5 percent of all stops from last May through last October, an increase from 29 percent from January through April. take a lot more than the almost cosmetic changes than the attorney general has promised." The Rev. Reginald T. Jackson, executive director of the Black Ministers Council, said he was particularly troubled by the apparent increase in the stop rate for blacks along the turnpike patrolled by the Moorestown station, which covers the stretch south of Exit 7. Yet he said his group was unwilling to leap to conclusions so soon. For one thing, Mr. Jackson said, the population survey, which has a wide margin of error, is based on questionnaires handed out at toll booths and may not give an accurate picture of who is using the turnpike. "I guess part of me wants to find a conclusion here, but I think we should be cautious," he said. "You can almost make a report like this say anything you want, and I think we are going to have to wait until the next report in another six months." Ed Lennon, president of the State Troopers Fraternal Association, asserts that it defies common sense to believe that troopers would increase the number of racially biased stops after the spotlight was turned on them, particularly now that nearly every marked patrol car is equipped with a video camera and microphone to record each stop. "Right there on the camera is proof positive for the reason for every stop," Mr. Lennon said. The police have long disputed the assumptions that all races drive similarly and that any disparity in stop rates indicates some bias. The arrest figures released on Wednesday showed that African- Americans were more likely to get moving violations, which are mostly for speeding, than their numbers would suggest, but that whites were statistically more likely to be arrested for drunken driving. Mr. Buckman, the lawyer, rejects Mr. Lennon's assertion that troopers do not respond differently to a driver's skin color. "You're talking about an organization that is deeply entrenched with the culture of profiling," Mr. Buckman said. "Because of its history and hierarchy and training policies, it is going to 2