WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION __________________ WDS-PWS/SHW-IBFRBW-PP/Doc.3 STAKEHOLDERS WORKSHOP TO IMPLEMENT A PILOT PROJECT ON IMPACT-BASED FORECASTING AND RISK-BASED WARNINGS NAYPYITAW, MYANMAR, 28-30 September 2015 ORIGINAL: ENGLISH HAZARD, IMPACT AND WARNING TEMPLATES Instructions: Please fill in the following templates using the examples as guidance prior to the Myanmar Stakeholder Workshop, NayPyiTaw, 28-30, September, 2015. This information will be refined and used during the workshop. Hazard Template Identify the types of severe weather that impact your sector or activities. List the primary, secondary and tertiary effects of severe weather following the examples shown in the table. Event 1 Example: Tropical Cyclones Hazard Template Primary Secondary Strong winds Riverine and coastal flooding Lightning Heavy rainfall Surface water flooding Tornados Flash flooding Storm surge Landslides Tertiary Loss of infrastructure systems and services (shelter, transportation, schools, hospitals, energy supply, communication) Infectious diseases Water insecurity Widespread economic losses 2 Example: Monsoons Strong winds Riverine and coastal flooding Heavy rainfall Surface water flooding Thunderstorms Flash flooding Landslides Loss of infrastructure systems and services (shelter, transportation, schools, hospitals, energy supply, communication) Infectious diseases Widespread economic losses 3. WDS/PWS/WKSHP-IBF-PP/Doc.3, p. 2 4, 5. 6. WDS/PWS/WKSHP-IBF-PP/Doc.3, p. 3 Impact Template Identify the types of impacts, including social and economic issues, caused by the primary, secondary and tertiary hazards that affect your sector or activities, which you listed in the Hazards Template. The template includes an example of some hazards caused by a tropical cyclone. Impact Template Minimal Impacts Minor Impacts Significant Impacts Severe Impacts Example 1. Event: Tropical Cyclone – Selected Hazards: Rainfall, Wind, Loss of Infrastructure, Disease Generally no impact expected Isolated and minor flooding of low lying land and roads Isolated instances of spray/wave overtopping of coastal defenses Little or no disruption to travel although wet road surfaces or waterlogging could lead to difficult conditions Isolated damage to vegetation due to wind 2. 3. 4. Localized flooding of land and roads Localized flooding could affect individual properties Individual properties in coastal locations affected by spray and/or wave overtopping Localized disruption to key infrastructure identified in flood plans (e.g. rail and utilities) Local disruption to travel Localized damage to properties due to wind Flooding affecting properties and parts of communities Damage to buildings/infrastructure is possible Possible danger to life due to fast flowing/deep water/wave and storm surge overtopping/wave inundation, landslides and wind Disruption to key infrastructure identified in flood plans (e.g. rail, utilities and hospitals) Disruption to travel is expected. A number of roads are likely to be impassable Outbreaks of waterborne diseases possible Isolated food shortages Localized water contamination Widespread flooding affecting significant numbers of properties and whole communities Collapse of buildings/infrastructure is likely Loss of electrical supply Water contamination Shortage of food Noninfectious diseases resulting from poor nutrition Danger to life due to fast flowing water/ deep water/ wave, storm surge overtopping and wave inundation, landslides and wind Widespread disruption or loss of infrastructure identified in flood plans Large scale evacuation of people may be required Severe disruption to travel. Outbreaks of waterborne diseases expected WDS/PWS/WKSHP-IBF-PP/Doc.3, p. 4 Advisory Template Identify the main elements that make a good warning and actions to be taken to mitigate risk. The template includes a generic public sector example. Please consider how this type of message can be adapted to the specific circumstances of your specific sector or activities. Advice Template Very low risk Low risk Medium risk High risk 1. Example of flood risk for general public associated with Tropical Cyclone WARNING: Unlikely the Tropical Cyclone (Event) will affect the designated region ACTION: Keep an eye on the weather and flood forecasts WARNING: Likely the tropical cyclone will cause some limited flooding and wind damage in the designated region WARNING: Likely the tropical cyclone will cause widespread flooding and wind damage in the designated region WARNING: Certain tropical cyclone will cause widespread flood and wind damage in the designated region ACTION: Remain alert and ensure you access the latest weather forecast for up to date information. Prepare to take action to protect life, livelihood and property in the designated region. ACTION: Secure property and livelihood assets. Be prepared to evacuate. ACTION: Evacuate if ordered to do so by civil protection Be aware of the potential risk of landslides and flash floods in your area. Follow civil protection orders. Maintain radio/media watch for latest updates. _______ Be prepared for extraordinary measures to protect life and property