NAME
SASI
BACKGROUND
Last update
Developer
Developed in the project
Ownership
Main applications
Documents of reference
Running time
Size of total results
Data exchange format
Software platform
2011
IRPUD/TU Vienna/S&W
EUNET/SASI (1996-2000)
Not commercialised.
The SASI model is a recursive simulation model of socioeconomic development of regions in Europe subject to exogenous
assumptions about the economic and demographic development
of the European Union as a whole and European and national subsidies and infrastructure investments. The SASI model differs
from other approaches to model regional development by modelling not only production (the demand side of regional labour markets) but also population (the supply side of regional labour markets). The SASI model was applied in EU projects SASI, IASON,
ESPON 1.1.1, ESPON 2.1.1, ESPON 1.1.3, AlpenCorS, STEPs,
SETI and national projects in Germany.
http://www.spiekermann-wegener.de/mod/pdf/AP_0801.pdf
30 minutes per scenario
27 MB per scenario
Results can be provided in any format.
Intel Visual Fortran Composer and ArcGIS.
SAMPLES
Reference data from
Regional data: 2004 (update to 2007 ongoing), network: data
2007 (continuously updated).
Other type of information Socioeconomic data for 1,276 EU NUTS-3 regions, 54 equivalent
regions in other European countries and 41 external regions. Multimodal transport networks with 16,000 road links, 11,500 rail
links, 6,300 air links and about 5,000 access links between region
centroids and network nodes for every fifth year between 1981
and 2031 (update of regional data to 2007 ongoing).
Main data sources
Region data maintained by S&W, network data maintained by
RRG (restricted information).
POSTULATES
Forecast up to
Geographic coverage
Adm. desegregation
Thematic scope
Theory
2030 (2050 in ET2050)
EU27 and neighbouring countries.
NUTS-3 (conversion to 2006 NUTS-3 regions ongoing).
Regional GDP, employment, population and labour force and
cohesion and polycentricity.
Extended production function including accessibility indicators as
additional production factors.
QUERIES
European and national
subsidies
How will European and national subsidies affect regional economic development, employment, population, travel and goods
flows, CO2 emissions, territorial cohesion and polycentricity?
How will European and national infrastructure investments affect
regional economic development, employment, population, travel
and goods flows, CO2 emissions, territorial cohesion and polycentricity?
How will rising energy costs affect regional economic development, employment, population, travel and goods flows, CO2
emissions, territorial cohesion and polycentricity?
European and national
infrastructure investments
Energy costs
R E S U L T S (Main families of indicators)
Population indicators
Economic indicators
Accessibility indicators
Cohesion indicators
Transport indicators
Environmental indicators
Typical graphic output
(maps, diagrams)
Population by age, sex, nationality, labour force participation,
education, net migration and net commuting by NUTS-3 region
by year.
GDP by industry, by worker, by capita, employment by industry
and unemployment by NUTS-3 region by year.
Accessibility by mode (travel/goods) by NUTS-3 region by year.
Cohesion and polycentricity indicators of NUTS-3 regions by
year.
Travel and goods flows between NUTS-3 regions by mode by
year (development ongoing).
Energy consumption and CO2 emissions of transport by NUTS-3
region by year (development ongoing)
Time-series diagrams by country or macro region by scenario,
maps or 3D surfaces of indicators or indicator differences between scenarios by NUTS-3 region.
ADAPTATIONS PLANNED IN THE FRAME OF ET2050
Sample
Results
Conversion of region system to 2006 NUTS-3 regions. Update of
regional and network data to most recent data.
Extension of forecasting horizon to 2050.
Extension of questions by travel and goods flows and CO2 emissions of transport.
Travel and goods flows and CO2 emission of transport.
Date
14-10-2011
Postulates
Questions