ABI RESPONSE TO FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY CONSULTATION PAPER 143 INTEGRATED PRUDENTIAL SOURCEBOOK: FEEDBACK ON CHAPTERS OF CP97 APPLICABLE TO INSURANCE FIRMS AND SUPPLEMENTARY CONSULTATION October 2002 CONTENTS OVERVIEW 1 Executive Summary 1.1 Consultation Issues Raised in CP143 1.2 Key ABI Response Points DETAILED RESPONSE POINTS 2 Draft Rules and Guidelines on Credit Risk in Insurance Funds: (PRU 3, Formerly PRCR) including Reinsurance Credit Risk 2.1 General Points 2.2 CP143 Questions and Responses on Credit and Reinsurance Credit Risk 2.3 Credit and Reinsurance Credit Risk: Points on Individual Rules/Guidance 3 Mathematical Reserves: (PRU7.3, formerly PRIR and with Profits Insurance Capital Component (PRU7.4, formerly PRIR) 3.1 CP143 Questions and Responses on Mathematical Reserves and With Profits Insurance Capital Component 3.2 Points on Individual Rules/Guidance on Mathematical Reserves 3.3 Points on Individual Rules/Guidance on With Profits Insurance Capital Component 4 Handbook Definitions 5 Cost Benefit Analysis 2 ABI RESPONSE TO CP143: INTEGRATED PRUDENTIAL SOURCEBOOK: FEEDBACK ON CHAPTERS OF CP97 APPLICABLE TO INSURANCE FIRMS AND SUPPLEMENTARY CONSULTATION 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 Consultation Issues Raised in CP143 1.1.1 These cover three separate areas: Credit Risk in Insurance Funds including Reinsurance Credit Risk which applies to both life and non-life insurance; Mathematical Reserves for Life Assurers, and The With-profits Insurance Capital Component for Life Assurers. 1.1.2 CP143 raises the following key issues: The Credit Risk proposals cover: Credit risk generally building on an approach of inadmissibility in cases of excessive concentration as laid down in the Directives together with an overarching diversification and prudence approach; Reinsurance Credit Risk where the approach is to require notification to the FSA where exposure to a single reinsurer or reinsurance group exceeds the amount of the insurer’s capital or where premiums ceded to a single reinsurer exceed the higher of 20% of premiums or £4 million a year. The Mathematical Reserve proposals cover: Rules and guidance on the calculation of mathematical reserves including requirements relating to the valuation of policyholder options. The With-Profits Capital Component proposals cover: A “Twin Test” approach of providing for an additional capital or solvency requirement equal to the amount by which a realistic assessment of liabilities to policyholders including terminal bonuses exceeds the current prudent statutory basis 3 reserves which are not required to provide for terminal or final bonuses. 1.2 Key ABI Response Points 1.2.1 CP143 consults on three important areas. We welcome this consultation and raise a number of points on the policy and detail. In particular, the opportunity should be taken in every case to move as far as permitted by EU Directives to a realistic valuation basis. The WithProfits Insurance Capital Component is a welcome recognition of this approach. 1.2.2 Credit Risk The approach of requiring notification where exposures exceed prescribed limits is correct: reinsurance Guidance on acceptable arrangements should be given particularly where high levels of reinsurance concentration are appropriate, eg some group reinsurance arrangements; The guidance proposed is broader than reinsurance credit risk and this should be highlighted and signposted by references to other sections of the PSB; The tone of the draft guidance is too negative. This should be remedied by mention of the important role of reinsurance in limiting insurance risk. 1.2.3 Mathematical Reserves The rules should move as far as permitted by the Directives to a realistic valuation basis. In particular assumptions as to take-up of options, lapse rates and expenses should be based on the most likely outcome subject to an appropriate margin for adverse deviation. Alignment is needed of proposals for the treatment of reinsurance and emerging surplus in this CP and with those in CP144 on Financial Engineering: in particular there should be no restriction on appropriate reinsurance of policyholder funds and the rules should not be more restrictive than for implicit items. A considerable number of points of detail have been identified and need to be addressed in this section and that relating to the WithProfits Insurance Capital Component. We suggest that an early redraft should be made available for consultation. If this is not possible, we would be prepared to have detailed discussions on these with the FSA. 4 1.2.4 The With-Profits Insurance Capital Component A “Twin Test” calculation giving rise to a capital requirement is the correct approach as a liability requirement would increase solvency requirements and potentially limit investment flexibility; All inadmissible assets backing with-profits business should be taken into account in calculating the WPICC and not only those inadmissible because of the size of the holding as proposed. More guidance should be given on the calculation of the “realistic” assessment of liabilities including final or terminal bonuses; and Further details are awaited of the reporting proposals, already discussed in With-Profits Issue Paper No 2. 1.2.5 General The production of figures under the new bases for all three heads will be a considerable undertaking and a challenge at year-end 2004 particularly for companies with a year-end prior to the calendar year-end. We urge that comparatives should not be required on the new bases for a further year thereafter and that proper transitional arrangements should apply. We plan to raise the tax implications of the changes to the resilience reserves with the Inland Revenue and are concerned that there should be no detriment to policyholders. 2 DETAILED RESPONSE POINTS 2.1 Draft Rules and Guidance on Credit Risk in Insurance Funds: (PRU 3, formerly PRCR) including Reinsurance Credit Risk General Points 2.1.1 A number of points arise as to the approach adopted for this module of the Integrated Prudential Sourcebook as regards insurers’ credit risk in general and reinsurance credit risk in particular: A considerable proportion of the rules and guidance text material relates primarily to risks other than credit risk which is the risk of default by the reinsurer. For example, adequacy of reinsurance cover is relevant to capital adequacy and insurance risk systems and controls. In some cases, disputes between reinsurers and direct writers relate to contractual and documentary risk. These and similar, non-credit risk aspects should be the subject of suitable “ signposting”; 5 The rules operate by requiring notification in certain circumstances to the FSA. The guidance should be extended to explain FSA policy in dealing with such notifications particularly for situations likely to occur reasonably frequently such as intragroup reinsurance and large catastrophe recoveries. While credit risk issues are important in these circumstances, they would usually be manageable and in such cases it should be clear that levels above the notification limits are acceptable. 2.1.2 The notification limits are particularly likely to be reached with intragroup transactions. For instance: All business in a life group is written in the main company for marketing reasons. Some is immediately reinsured to specialist subsidiary or associated companies, typically linked business, annuity and pension business and perhaps PHI. This can easily lead to breach of these limits even though from a regulatory perspective there is no increased risk, in fact sometimes quite the contrary. While the detail will vary the business rationale is likely to be based on: Management of different streams of business in self standing subsidiaries to strengthen management accountability; Increased reporting transparency: in particular the solvency/free asset expectations are different for the various categories and having different operating subsidiaries enhances transparency which also helps consumer information; Taxation benefits, particularly avoiding the volatility of a fund combining different categories: in many cases the main incentive is to avoid the unpredictability and volatility of tax result which can arise from combining the businesses in one company. A group uses one company, on either the life or non-life side, to take advantage of the right of establishment under the EU passporting provisions and reinsures the business to the other group companies which specialise in the different lines. A group has a number of subsidiaries with brand strengths in different areas but for business reasons reinsures into another group company. This can happen on the life or non-life side. 2.1.3 In addition the limits are likely to be breached with reinsurance arrangements with third party reinsurers. 6 Increasingly a single shop or “open architecture” approach is being used under which a life insurer will offer investment products from other providers within the envelope of a single linked policy. In such cases, reinsurance may be used as the means of providing the link and may breach the notification limits. Reinsurance may be used by life insurers managing linked life funds who are prohibited by Section 23 of the Companies Act from holding shares in their quoted parent company to obtain exposure to the parent company, e.g. as a constituent of an index. Where the RMM requirements are low, typically because investment risk is borne by the policyholder, the notification limits are likely to be breached. 2.1.4 The rules/guidance require notification to the FSA and the FSA clearly needs such information to assess insurers’ operations. An indication of FSA policy in dealing with such notifications should be given in the guidance. Where the structures assist regulatory objectives by giving greater clarity, they are presumably to be encouraged. This is not clear from the present text. In other cases the effect may be neutral. The regulatory aim must be to identify transparently practices which are harmful. Guidance on FSA policy towards notifications would serve the following objectives: Assisting insurers in the management of risk and reinsurance programmes, Assisting line regulators particularly those new to the area; Assisting advisors and journalists in understanding insurers’ figures: the present text is likely to cast doubt in their minds in cases where this is not justified. 2.2 CP143 Questions and Responses on Credit and Reinsurance Credit Risk Q1 Do you agree that a reinsurance premium concentration limit and a reinsurance exposure limit are the most appropriate and effective means of limiting the credit risk that can arise from excessive reinsurance concentration? 2.2.1 A reinsurance premium concentration limit and a reinsurance exposure limit are an appropriate starting point to consider credit risk in respect of reinsurance transactions. They should not be regarded as inflexible prescriptive rules. 2.2.2 Firstly, credit risk has also to seen in the context of insurance and operational risk. With catastrophe covers, which should be encouraged where appropriate, it is foreseeable that the concentration limit may be breached in the event of a very severe claim which is 7 precisely what such cover is designed for. It is essential for the rules on reinsurance credit not to act as a disincentive to seeking appropriate cover and we are concerned that the current tone of the guidance could have this effect. This is particularly to the point where only a limited number of reinsurers provide cover in a particular area. 2.2.3 Catastrophe cover is needed because of the relative size of the risk, or collection of risks, to the individual insurer’s financial resources. This means, as is acknowledged in the Consultation Paper, that the likelihood of exceeding the suggested limits are much greater for smaller companies than for large ones. 2.2.4 Secondly, for the reasons outlined above, the suggested limits may not be appropriate in the case of intra-group reinsurance. As argued above, there can be compelling regulatory attractions for such arrangements. Credit concerns need to be met through appropriate systems and controls in such cases rather than numerical limits. 2.2.5 It should also be noted that the majority of non-life claims against reinsurers are likely to be of a contingent nature, ie to relate to reserves to pay claims incurred, whether reported on not, where a settlement has not yet been reached with the policyholder. Similarly with life business the reinsurance cover may relate to, for instance, mortality claims which will occur over an extended period. With both life and non-life business there are likely to be different levels of cover provided by different reinsurers. The insurer must be satisfied that the cover is adequate in foreseeable circumstances. The interaction between different reinsurance treaties can mean analysis between different reinsurers may be less simple than suggested in the guidance: for instance the interaction between excess of loss cover on an individual claims basis and excess of loss cover across the account. Provision should be made in the guidance for appropriate recourse to estimation techniques rather than the present flavour of exact quantification. 2.2.6 The longer term objective must be to cover reinsurance, and other credit, risk as part of the assessment of economic capital requirements. This will depend upon realistic accounting and a more scientific method of risk assessment. In the short term the guidance should encourage insurers who wish to use such approaches to do so and provide for recognition where this is done. 2.2.7 The guidance does not define when the reinsurer fails to meet its obligations. The point at which failure is recognised is relevant because the exposure to an individual reinsurer varies, sometimes materially, over the life of a treaty. Current exposure does not necessarily adequately capture the risks to which the fund is exposed. Should guidance be provided on future exposure resulting from present contractual obligations and what should the net asset comparator be? 8 Q2 Do you agree that the limits are set at a suitable level? 2.2.8 The limits are probably set at a not unreasonable level for notification to the FSA under 3.10.29R and 3.10.35R. The major question, which should be clarified in guidance, relates to the FSA approach in response. We would urge that this should in particular cover: Large excess of loss and similar catastrophe recoveries; Common intra-group transactions as discussed above. 2.2.9 The guidance should indicate: Circumstances where no further action is to be expected; Clarify that reaching the limits gives rise to a notification duty only and that amounts in excess are not automatically inadmissible or in breach of an insurer’s duties under the rules; Stress that reinsurance cover is an appropriate insurance risk management tool and that credit risk considerations are only one, albeit an important, aspect to be considered by the insurer. 2.2.10 As the consultation paper acknowledges, problems are most likely to arise with small insurers and hence the £4 million alternative limit in 3.10.31E. For that reason guidance is particularly important as many such firms will be low impact and will not have the same opportunity to discuss matters with their regulator as those in larger firms. Q3 Would it be useful if we included further guidance, for instance in the form of flow charts, on how to apply the counterparty limits? Such guidance could be very useful. It should apply to all credit risk and not be limited to reinsurance credit risk. 2.3 Credit and Reinsurance Credit Risk: Points on individual rules/ guidance 3.10.3G 2.3.1 This summarises the guidance as covering credit matters. If other matters, particularly those relating to wider aspects of reinsurance, are to be covered in the module, attention should be drawn to them here. 3.10.4G 2.3.2 A cross reference to PRIR and reinsurance in underwriting( PRIR 1.3.2(4)), claims management (PRIR 1.3.3(2)), records (PRIR 1.3.8(6)) and capital adequacy (PRIR 2.3.6) and similar references would appear appropriate. 9 3.10.5G 2.3.3 The importance of contingent (increased) exposure is analysed in terms of credit risk. Surely this analysis is more important for insurers in terms of underwriting/reserving risk where the whole point is to ensure adequate cover in changed circumstances? Measurement would appear primarily part of stress/scenario testing for adequacy of capital resources, on which consultation is awaited, with credit risk being a second order but very important consideration. 3.10.6G 2.3.4 This guidance is concerned with the implications of credit risk for credit derivatives and credit insurance. This should be cross referred to in the rules/guidance on insurance risk, eg underwriting etc in PRIR, as applicable to credit insurers which may need to be expanded. 3.10.7G 2.3.5 Again a lot of this guidance should be cross referred to in the relevant sections of PRIR. 3.10.7(5)G 2.3.6 Should the guidance on derivatives refer to the possibility of an asset becoming a liability/ a form of reverse credit risk? 3.10.8G 2.3.7 The reference to “rules” should also cover guidance and evidential provisions. 3.10.9G 2.3.8 This should also cross refer to 3.10.7G. 3.10.10G 2.3.9 This cross-refers to the rule in PRMR12.3.1 including the requirement that derivatives should be held for efficient portfolio management or reduction of investment mismatch. The guidance that a significant exposure to credit risk does not achieve these purposes even if it results in the reduction in other risks, eg market risk, needs clarification. Presumably “credit risk“ here means a significant risk of default and not a significant exposure relative to the risk being covered by the derivative as otherwise the effect would be greatly to reduce the scope for use of derivatives as an overall risk reduction mechanism. 10 3.10.11R 2.3.10 A number of points arise: It would be helpful if this rule could have an explanatory note to point out that it covers “ credit risk” because much of the wording suggests that it covers “market risk” where similar principles apply which are the subject of PRMR11 for insurers; In particular it would be helpful to mention the areas where it is most likely to be applicable, eg brokers balances, reinsurance recoveries, subrogation recoveries, bank and similar deposits and balances with stock brokers and recoveries under derivative contracts The approach in the rule of diversification and prudence underlies the regulatory approach from core principles downwards. What is “so that it will remain able to meet its liabilities as they fall due” meant to add in the context of “credit risk”? This suggests some form of overall financial resources stress test which would not be limited to credit risk and here does not seem the place for it. 3.10.12/13/14/15G 2.3.11 These sets of guidance can be looked at either: In terms of high-level principles, or In terms of compliance objectives where the major question becomes one of degree of depth with which each is approached and record keeping. 2.3.12 The approach intended, as we understand it, is to place the onus on management to use a risk based approach including an assessment of materiality. The impression given by the rules is that regulators will be looking for documentation to cover each of the issues raised in each case. It would be better if the guidance could be less prescriptive and bring out that different insurers will have different profiles which will need to be covered differently. 3.10.18R 2.3.13 This rule requires “appropriate professional advice” if a firm is to rely on “preferential access” to a counterparty’s assets. It would be helpful for this to clarify that appropriate professional advice does not necessarily imply external professional advice. 11 3.10.12R 2.3.14 Does a “counterparty “ include a custodian for the purposes of this rule which effectively requires a stress test to determine whether the failure of a counterparty would cause the insurer to default? The answer appears to depend on whether the default of the custodian would affect the assets held but amplification on the point appears welcome. 3.10.25R and 3.10.26R 2.3.15 These two rules apply the Directive approach to asset admissibility. The text would be clearer if it made plain the effect of the rules that excess holdings are inadmissible as opposed to constituting a breach of the rules. 3.10.26 expresses the limits in terms of percentages of technical reserves. This approach follows the directive but is inconsistent with the current UK approach of applying the directives to all assets and reduces the comparative proportion of the assets which may be admissible. 3.10.27R and 3.10.28R 2.3.16 What is an investment fund for the purposes of rule 3.10.27. Are unit trusts and OIECs treated differently? 3.10.29R 2.3.17 Major points on this rule are made in the introduction to this section above. Other points: The test is by reference to an insurers’ capital. This should be formally defined. Informally we understand that the FSA intention is to define it as the excess of admissible assets over liabilities as shown in the FSA Return; Greater certainty is required on the calculation of the “exposure” to a reinsurer (see comments on Rule 3.10.37 below); How is the test to be applied in a composite insurer? Presumably the life and non-life elements will be treated separately? 3.10.30G 2.3.18 Is the test of a “reasonably prudent provision for credit loss which is reasonably foreseeable” the same as that applied by generally accepted accounting standards such as the ABI SORP? If so, this should be stated, otherwise the difference should be made clear: 12 3.10.31E 2.3.19 The comments made in the introduction to this section apply to this evidential provision; Also: A test by reference to gross earned premiums for the year may be inappropriate when a block of business is reinsured. This may relate to blocks of business written in previous years particularly with life and long-tail non-life business; This guidance is not suited for run-off business where no premiums are being written. 3.10.35R 2.3.20 This rule should have guidance to cover situations where noncompliance with 3.10.3E is to be expected: see introduction to section. 3.10.36G 2.3.21 It might be helpful to note that in some circumstances all that will be required is a simple explanation that the exposure will be selfcorrecting, eg when a large recoverable arises to meet catastrophe claims. 3.10.37R 2.3.22 It is not clear whether the calculation of “reinsurance exposure” by reference to net assets is the same test as used in the ABI SORP in calculating the relevant liabilities and reinsurance recoveries or whether a different test is expected in which case it should be specified. It is important to avoid parallel similar calculations unless there is good reason. Our preferred approach is to use the SORP approach which fits in with the alignment of valuation rules to UK accounting standards as discussed in paragraph 2.11 of the CP. 3 MATHEMATICAL RESERVES: (PRU 7.3, FORMERLY PRIR) AND WITH-PROFITS INSURANCE CAPITAL COMPONENT (PRU 7.4, FORMERLY PRIR) 3.1 CP143 Questions and Responses on Mathematical Reserves and With Profits Insurance Capital Component Q4 Do you agree with the new proposed “Twin Test” approach for the treatment of final bonuses? 3.1.1 Yes. This approach combines the objectives of consumer protection and regulatory transparency while avoiding increases to liabilities which would have the effect of further restricting investment flexibility. In 13 particular it avoids the problems which would have arisen with “margins on margins” and the resilience reserve if provision for final bonuses had been included as a liability. 3.1.2 The twin test approach is based on a comparison of the attributable solvency margin and mathematical reserves calculated on the statutory basis with a calculation including provision for future final bonuses calculated on a realistic or fair value basis. Relatively little detail is given of the realistic methodology applicable for such a basis in practice which is important to ensure consistency between insurers. More detailed guidance would be valuable. With-Profits Review Paper No 2 discussed many of the issues involved in the calculation of the with-profits benefits reserve with more detail than is included in the draft rules and guidance. We await further consultation on these. 3.1.3 It is important for the headings, descriptions and layouts used in the relevant reporting forms to be properly thought through so that they are as helpful to users as possible and do not mislead users with nonspecialist knowledge of the industry. It is also important for the calculation to be properly understood. In particular we are concerned that the difference between the two amounts in the Twin Test may not be properly understood. For instance: The absence of a capital component could be interpreted as an absence of funding for future final bonuses while it may in fact be an indication of the strength of the fund; Conversely, a high capital component does not necessarily mean a higher ability to pay final bonuses: in each case a judgment depends on a range of factors including strength of reserving in the first test and the bonus policy adopted including the proportionate weighting given to ongoing reversionary bonuses and final bonuses; Similarly the “Free Asset Ratio” depends on a number of factors and caution must be given to its interpretation. 3.1.4 It is arguable that the guidance should provide more detail on the FSA’s views on the concept of a realistic valuation. While accounting is moving in this direction and some high level principles are emerging a lot of the detail has still to be developed. Alternatively an approach of leaving the management of each company responsible for the realistic calculation could be adopted but in this case it should be clearly stated. Such an approach would fit with the move to a concept of responsibility by firms for their risks rather than a single prescriptive approach. 3.1.5 A particular point arises on the realistic calculation which should be raised at this stage. The present drafting provides for assets in excess of the admissibility limits to be taken into account in the realistic valuation. In accordance with the realistic approach account should be 14 taken of all inadmissible assets which in the view of the insurer are available to meet with profits expectations. In particular derivatives can have an important role here where they are held, for instance, to hedge interest risks on guarantee annuity options. 3.1.6 A number of points arise on the drafting of the text of the proposals and these are dealt with below. Q5 For overseas firms, should the rules in PRIR 3 apply worldwide or just to the UK branch business? 3.1.7 The approach should be based on extent to which home country activities could affect UK policyholders. Other relevant factors include: 3.2 Extent or otherwise of UK style with-profits written outside UK (if not written outside UK, then extension would not affect them); Regulatory position concerning with-profits in home jurisdiction and need to avoid regulatory duplication; Position of products in other jurisdictions similar in concept to with-profits and how they would be treated. Points on Individual Rules/Guidance (PRU 7.3 Mathematical Reserves) 7.3.10 3.2.1 Ahead of the development of internationally agreed actuarial standards, an approach of “paying regard to best actuarial practice” may be more appropriate than a requirement to follow “generally accepted actuarial best practice” particularly in areas where practice is developing and may not be standardised such as the calculations for the With-Profits Capital Requirement. 7.3.12 3.2.2 The requirement to state the effects of changes should be qualified, like the approach to quantification of changes, by insertion of “as far as practicable” before changes. 7.3.15 3.2.3 This rule on margins for adverse deviation should clarify that it does not require account to be taken in the calculation of the margins for adverse deviation of market risk which is currently the subject of the resilience reserve and will be, subject to consultation, covered by a new capital requirement. 15 7.3.16 3.2.4 The guidance about considering the risk premium that an independent reinsurer would require should be limited to cases where there is a sufficiently developed and diversified market for the particular form of risk. In particular: Only a single reinsurer may write the particular form of risk; The premium charged is often dependent on the size of the risk and the spread of risks in a particular block of business, eg mortality risk of a whole block of business or of selected risks in that block may be very different, and It should not be assumed that reinsurers will be willing to make available premium rates in cases where no business is likely to result to them particularly where production of a quotation by the reinsurer requires actuarial and other calculations by the reinsurer. 7.3.17 3.2.5 This guidance concerns use of external proxies for market risk premiums when these are not available. A number of points arise: The words “proxy for the market risk” would be better described as “proxy for the risk”. “Market risk” has a technical meaning which could suggest a reference only to investment markets when in fact the risk premium will depend on financial, mortality and similar factors; Stochastic models are valuable when there is a broad range of possible outcomes but in other cases when the range of outcomes is narrower other approaches such as adjusted mortality tables are more appropriate. The guidance should make this clear. A prime purpose of an adverse deviation margins is to cover cases where it is not possible to calibrate stochastic models: again this point should be made. 7.3.24 and 7.3.25 3.2.6 Rule 7.3.24 is drafted in terms of individual contracts and the guidance in 7.3.25 expands the rule to cover groups of contracts. It would appear more appropriate for the two to be combined into a single rule. 16 7.3.26 3.2.7 The guidance here should follow GN8 3.3.5 where in stead of “at any time” the guidance is to carry out specimen calculations when calculation at every future duration is inappropriately onerous. 7.3.27 3.2.8 It would be helpful to include a reference to future premiums subject to 7.3.33 in the list of cashflows to be valued. 7.3.27 and 7.3.32 3.2.9 The interaction of this rule with 7.3.27 is unclear. 7.3.33 is drafted on the basis of a net premium approach by requiring the value attributed to the future premium not to exceed that attributable to a net premium. As the net premium is calculated after an implicit allowance for expenses, there is an inconsistency with the requirement to include a provision for future expenses under 7.3.27. 7.3.27 should be clarified to permit an implicit or net premium approach to expenses and it should be noted that the criteria in 7.3.47 relating to prudent provision for expenses applies both to explicit and implicit methods. 7.3.38 3.2.10 This rule seems to repeat 7.3.10 and it is not certain what it is expected to add. 7.3.40 3.2.11 Two points: The net premium is a valuation concept and it therefore appears more appropriate not to preface it with the words “the value of“ in the first line; The cross referencing in the first indent of 7.3.40(1)(a) should also include (4); 7.3.49 3.2.12 The reference to “ surplus “ in 7.3.49(1) should be to “margins”. 7.3.53 3.2.13 The requirement to set mortality and morbidity by reference to the residence of the policyholder should be by reference to the residence of the life or lives assured. This can be seen clearly in the case of a group policy where the policyholder is the employer and the employees 17 are based in different countries with different mortality and morbidity expectations. 7.3.59 and 7.3.62 3.2.14 The implications of the first sentence about providing for the benefit which the firm expects the policyholder to be most likely to take are not clear particularly when read in conjunction with 7.3.62 which is in terms of the benefit of the greatest benefit (to whom unspecified) which presumably is meant to cover the greatest cost to the firm. It is not clear how this would operate if the firm expected 60% to choose the option that was cheaper to the firm and 40% the option most expensive to the firm. We favour an approach of providing for the most likely outcome subject to an appropriate margin for adverse deviation. 7.3.60 3.2.15 The guidance here should restrict the recommendation to use stochastic models to cases where calibration is possible and where there is a sufficiently wide range of outcomes for this to be the appropriate approach. This point is also raised under 7.3.17 above. Stochastic modelling is valuable in cases where there is a wide range of outcomes such as in financial markets. Some options in policies are linked to these, eg guaranteed annuity rate options. Others such as options to increase cover irrespective of state of health are primarily linked to factors such as morbidity for which stochastic methods are inappropriate. 3.2.16 The use, or otherwise, of stochastic models also depends upon the approach to be followed in respect of 7.3.59 and 7.3.62. If a worst case scenario is to be used, there is no need for a stochastic approach. 7.3.63 3.2.17 The position would be set out more accurately if “the option has value whether it is exercised or not” were amended to read “the option has value whether it is expected to be exercised or not”; 7.3.67 The requirement to provide on the basis of the worst case scenario should be in terms of the worst case scenario reasonably foreseeable; The guidance should provide only for the calculations to be done on a reasonable basis: for instance with expense guarantees to ascertain the worst case possible would require examination of the impact at every future point in time when a policy could be discontinued which would be very complex especially when the 18 right to discontinue is continuous and not a predetermined intervals. The value of such a calculation is also subject to doubt. 7.3.75G 3.2.18 This rule bars recognition of future surplus under reinsurance contracts except in the case of shareholder funds. This approach conflicts with the approach in CP144 for financial engineering which applies an approach consistent with that for implicit items. We would argue that future surplus should be capable of recognition for the purposes of rules 7.3.71 and 7.3.74 to the extent that it does not accrue to the benefit of with-profits policyholders e.g. non-profit and linked business or is not required to meet statutory obligations. There is a case for a degree of greater flexibility particularly in the case of mutuals because all surplus accrues to the with-profits policyholders and also where the transactions do not affect asset shares. In all cases due regard should be had to the effect of the transactions on the overall risk reduction and management of the with-profit fund. Provided the guidance is to be interpreted in this spirit, departure from it should be acceptable. 3.3 Points on Individual Rules/Guidance (PRU 7.4 With-Profits Insurance Capital Component) 7.4.7G 3.3.1 The proposed flowchart is not included in the CP. It would be useful to have it for consideration. 7.4.8R 3.3.2 This rule provides the calculation of the with-profits capital requirement by reference to items attributable to with-profits business. It should clarify how excess admissible assets are attributable to with-profits business: is this at the discretion of the company or is some form of pro-rata approach envisaged? 3.3.3 We urge that all inadmissible assets backing with-profits business should be allowed to be taken into account to reflect their economic role when calculating the WPICC. Under the current draft account can be taken only of assets inadmissible by reason of the size of the holding. This should be extended to cover all inadmissible assets recognised under a realistic accounting basis, notably derivatives, acquisition costs of properties and interests in subsidiary companies. 3.3.4 Paragraph 14.6 suggests that assets in excess of admissibility limits are a deduction from the with-profits benefits reserve rather than an increase in the assets available to meet the sum of the solvency requirement and relevant mathematical liabilities. Does anything turn on this difference in treatment? 19 3.3.5 “Assets in excess of admissibility limits” as used in paragraph 14.6 appears clearer than “excess admissible assets” as used in the draft text which can be mistaken to mean admissible assets in excess of the solvency margin and mathematical reserves. It does not, however, cover the point, which is clear from the definition section, that it is meant to apply to assets which are inadmissible only by reason of being in excess of the holding limits. A clearer expression might be “assets inadmissible by reason of exceeding the admissibility limits”. 7.4.11R 3.3.6 Would it be helpful to include guidance to the effect that all liabilities to policyholders are covered including guarantees and the value of options? What is the rationale for excluding liabilities from deposit back arrangements? 7.4.13 Two points; The requirement in 7.4.13 (4) to take into account “discretionary benefits and charges which must be at least equal to the amount required by the firm to fulfil its regulatory duties to pay due regard…” would be better phrased “discretionary benefits at least equal to, and charges no more than, the levels required…”. The comments relating to actuarial practice in 7.3.10 above also apply to 7.4.13(5) 7.4.16-7.4.19 3.3.7 Is a separate valuation for each contract basis appropriate in calculating the With-Profits Insurance Component? Clearly, it has to be the starting point but the WPCC is meant to be calculated on a realistic basis and in accordance with such a basis 7.4.18 permits a contract to be treated as an asset unlike the prudent basis. This suggests that the wording of this section places too much emphasis on a separate valuation for each contract. It would appear better for: the section to be headed “ Valuation of contracts”, for it to say that a separate valuation approach is only the starting point, for the permitting of contracts as assets to be in the body of the rule, and for the guidance to clarify that in most cases an overall (pooled or aggregate) approach is likely to be appropriate under any of the three methods. In particular the wording should clarify that an approach to the calculation of aggregate shares and future cash 20 flows on a specimen policy (or specimen with-profits unit) basis is permitted to reflect the practice in many offices. 7.4.17 3.3.8 The guidance here appears applicable to the prospective cash-flow method and should be under that head, ie 7.4.20 et seq. 7.4.21 3.3.9 This refers to cash flows “….in principle the same as those valued under mathematical reserves”. Does this mean it will not be possible to assume any additional lapses under the prospective method? 7.4.21 and 7.4.25 3.3.10 Both of these should have a consistent approach requiring records to be kept. The methodology and assumptions, including assessments of market movements, business strategy and expense levels which may include future redundancies, are commercially and probably price sensitive and should not be revealed in the public domain. 7.4.22 and 7.4.27 3.3.11 The references to final bonuses declared should be to final bonuses added. A declaration is made of final bonuses at, say, the beginning of the year and these are subsequently added as maturity etc occurs which is the point in time affecting the cash-flows which the realistic basis is seeking to capture. 7.4.23 3.3.12 A number of points: It is important to note that that there are various methodologies for calculating asset shares and the rules and guidance should recognise this; Asset share calculations do involve cash flows but are wider and also take account of movements in asset and liability valuations and the terminology should reflect this; The list of cash flows and movements in value should be extended to include: o Asset appreciation/depreciation; o Movements in provisions for liabilities including those relating to expenses 21 o Movements for reserves for mortality, funding for guarantees on future payouts, funding for future smoothing etc o Provisions for charges (as opposed to expenses), mortality etc where the risk for these is met by the insurer in return for a charge on the fund; Reinsurance should be included only in cases where it affects the asset shares and should then be accounted for on a accruals basis and not a cash basis as suggested by the current wording. 7.4.27 3.3.13 This rule as currently drafted deals with “benefits in excess of asset shares”. A number of fundamental points arise: Asset share is a methodology to give a guideline as to benefit expectations and is not usually a precise indication of payout levels from individual policies because, to take just one instance, of the smoothing effect of with-profits bonus declarations; While it is founded on a retrospective calculation of current asset share, in practice the most important aspect is its use on a projected basis to determine funds needed now to provide for a level of bonus declarations to satisfy PRE; Smoothing and guarantees approach which mean in practice that some policyholders receive more than their asset share and others less. New, more transparent forms of with-profits can involve guarantees being funded by explicit deductions from asset shares over the lifetime of the policy including the future as well as the past. The same effect is achieved for some more traditional forms of with-profits by paying out less than the asset share when the guarantee is not biting. There can also be increases to asset shares through the addition of, for instance, surplus from non-profit business. The effect of the present drafting is to require an additional provision to be made on each occasion where an insurer plans to declare bonuses above asset share but with no corresponding adjustment for bonus payments below the current asset share level. One effect of this would to discourage the smoothing which is a major attraction of with profits business to consumers. Another would be to require the holding of more capital than is required on a realistic basis. 22 3.3.14 The implications for the rule and guidance are: The reference to “benefits in excess of asset share” should be redrafted to allow for benefits being less than asset shares to the extent that this is consistent with PRE; The rule should be limited to the extent to which over a long period of time the insurer expects the differences between payouts and asset share to require additional funding for the withprofits business; The guidance should place more emphasis on the considerations affecting projections of asset shares which are likely to include stochastic modelling of financial markets. It should also refer to the future adjustments to asset shares that would result from the assumptions, particularly for financial markets, assumed in the projections and any stochastic modelling. 3.3.15 A number of other points arise: The aim is a realistic calculation and the guidance should specify that this approach is to be followed with for instance realistic assessments of future events such as surrenders etc; The projected transfers to shareholders should be covered in the calculation; Provision should be made in the calculation for the effect of guarantees and options and the approach to be followed: a cross reference to 7.3.57 to 7.3.63 would be appropriate. 7.4.29-34 3.3.16 This rule specifies that under the profit accrual method the With Profits Insurance Capital Component equals the sum of the technical provisions relating to with profits business and the fund for future appropriations. The following points arise: The fund for future appropriations includes funds providing security for non with profits business and to attribute it all to with profits business overstates the assets properly available to back with-profits business; Where the fund for future appreciation covers some or all of the required solvency margin, how is this to be treated? 23 4 HANDBOOK DEFINITIONS 4.1 Excess Admissible Assets 4.1.1 A broader approach should be adopted whereby all inadmissible assets used to back the with-profits business should be deductible in the calculation of the with profits capital component. If the present approach is to be retained, the expression “assets in excess of admissibility limits“ conveys the intention of the rules more clearly. 4.2 Final Bonus 4.2.1. The definition should be extended to cover “top-up” bonuses that apply to instalment of with-profits annuities. 4.3 Insurer’s Capital 4.3.1 This is referred to in 3.10.29 and should be defined. See the comments above on that rule. 4.4 Mathematical Reserves 4.4.1 The text should clarify that the With Profits Insurance Capital Component is not part of mathematical reserves. 4.5 Net Premium 4.5.1 The definition of “ Net Premium” has a number of weaknesses not present in IPRU(INS): The definition should recognise that some premiums are variable, eg step increases; The definition should not be restricted to premiums payable for the whole term of the policy as this is not always the case; The definition should make clear that the net premium is calculated as from the start of the policy (ie in the past) by reference to the benefits and not vice versa; Reference should also be made to disability cover; The reference should be to 7.3.45. 5 COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS Q6 Do you consider the analysis in Annex C to be a fair estimate of the costs and benefits of our proposals? 5.1. This is best answered under the two main headings. 24 5.2 5.3 Reinsurance Credit Risk This response assumes that the guidance will be expanded to remove the need for extensive waivers as are likely to be required by meeting the points raised in our response over intra-group and similar situations where notification will be required but where changes to business practice are unnecessary. Otherwise extensive and unnecessary costs are likely to arise; The incidence of costs is likely to fall unevenly between companies with some being required to do extensive analysis and others relatively little affected; Costs will be affected by whether regulators expect detailed analysis of exposures and particularly contingent exposures or whether the rules can be satisfied at a high level. In many cases it is likely to be clear that the limits are not approached and further detailed analysis of aggregation will not be required for credit risk purposes although the system will still need to cover other aspects of credit risk, eg reviewing credit rating etc, but this should already be in hand; Where an insurer is required to change significantly the reinsurance programme, the costs are likely to be particularly high; Overall the costs are likely to be significant for some companies and the CBA may have relatively understated the impact on them, and The reference to costs of derivative protection are probably understated unless the view is taken that derivatives used for credit risk relate to the “efficient portfolio management “ of the reinsurance cover and are hence admissible assets. This approach appears valid in respect of reinsurance recoveries, ie debts due from reinsurers, but should be clarified in respect of derivatives used to cover credit risk in respect of contingent cover, ie where cover is supplied but no claims have been made under it and consequently no debt due to the insurer or asset has arisen. Life Mathematical Reserves and the With Profits Insurance Capital Component The main cost will be the extent to which companies respond by raising fresh capital: this is difficult to estimate but it is important for it not to lead unjustifiably to the closure of viable with-profits funds; 25 5.4 The estimate of the cost of “reeducation” of analysts is significantly too low. Companies will need to explain both the aim of the changes and also the impact on their own product lines; The cost of the introduction and development of stochastic and similar modelling will be very significant although benefits will accrue to the industry. Resilience Reserves 5.4.1 The changes to the treatment of resilience reserves are not the subject of consultation in this CP except to the extent that an estimate of the cost of tax changes has been included in the CBA. This is a matter which we propose to pursue with the Inland Revenue and are concerned that there should be no detriment to policyholders. Ref J/640/025G 4 November 2002 [N012609A.cleanversionFR&T.BMCH.NOTES.02] 26