7.SP.1 2012 Domain: Statistics and Probability Cluster: Use random sampling to draw inferences about a population Standards:7.SP.1 Understand that statistics can be used to gain information about a population by examining a sample of the population; generalizations about a population from a sample are valid only if the sample is representative of the population. Understand the random sampling tends to produce representative samples and support valid inferences Essential Questions How can you use sampling to gain information about a population? Content Statements Student will be able to: Compare and analyze sampling methods. Use a sampling method, collect data, and summarize results. Determine whether or not a survey is biased or not Assessments Enduring Understandings Students will understand that: Ability to describe and identify population, sample of a population, random sampling, validity, reliability, invalid, inferences. Activities, Investigation, and Student Experiences Activity: Have students work in groups to develop a way to survey a random sample of students from the whole school. Have groups share their plans and vote on the best one. Then develop a questionnaire as a class and carry out the plan. Student Experiences: Abby is planning a big birthday party. She has invited everyone in her grade and has sent 80 invitations. Unfortunately, she forgot to include an RSVP on the invitation, and she wants to know how many people are coming to the party. On the invitation, Abby requested no gifts. Instead she is asking everyone to make a donation to her favorite charity. How much money can Abby make for her charity at her birthday party? Use a Sample to Make a Prediction: Abby asked 10 of her closest friends, and 9 of them will be attending the party. Based on this survey, how many people should Abby expect to come to the party? Who is the population in this event? 7.SP.1 A manager of XQJ Software surveyed 200 company employees to find out how many of the employees walk to work. The results are shown in the table. Do you think the manger chose a random sample? Why or why not? Employees at XQJ Software Total Number # Who Walk Population 9,200 300 Sample 200 40 The school food service wants to increase the number of students who eat hot lunch in the cafeteria. The student council has been asked to conduct a survey of the student body to determine the students’ preferences for hot lunch. They have determined two ways to do the survey. The three methods are listed below. Determine if each survey option would produce a random sample. Comparing Populations: The first 10 monetary donations from boys and the first 10 monetary donations from girls were recorded. Boys Donations 15,10,10,5,12,20,15,5,10,10 2. Survey the first 20 students that enter the lunchroom. Which survey option should the student council use and why? Who is the sample in Abby’s survey? Is the sample random? Explain? Using a Random Sample to Make a Prediction: Why is it important for a sample to be random in order to make an accurate prediction? How might Abby obtain a random sample? Abby has a list of everyone in her class, She numbers all the names in the list from 1 to 80 Then, Abby uses her graphing calculator to generate 20 random numbers. She emails each of the people who correspond to the randomly generated numbers and asks whether or not he or she plans to attend the party. Of the 20 people surveyed, 6 are not able to come to the party. Based on this sample, predict the total number people who will attend the party. 1. Write all of the students’ names on cards and pull them out in a draw to determine who will complete the survey. 3. Survey every 3rd student who gets off a bus. 2012 Girls Donations 10,20,5,1,20,25,15,15,10,5 Make a dot plot for each set of data. What can you infer about the donations of each of the populations? Find the mean and the mean deviation for the boys’ and 7.SP.1 2012 girls’ donations. Equipment Needed: Interactive Whiteboards Board Approved Textbooks Overhead Projector Graphing Calculators Answer the question: To find the average student donation, average the girls’ mean donation and the boys’ mean donation. Based on the mean student donation and Abby’s prediction form how many people will come to her party, how much money could be raised in donations? Teacher Resources: Illustrative Mathematics Project Illustrations NCTM Illuminations About Our Class Capture – Recapture How Much is a Million? Online Practice from IXL Statistics: Identify representative, random, and biased samples