INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ORGANIZATION THEORY AND BEHAVIOR, 8 (3), 396-424 FALL 2005 EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS Catherine A. Ramus and Alfred A. Marcus* ABSTRACT. We bring together disparate negotiation theory research in order to identify a composite set of potential barriers to reaching agreement in environmental negotiations. This framework builds on behavioral decision theory, showing barriers that arise from personal values and institutional values and norms, as well as from situational elements that influence individual behaviors and organizational strategies. We contribute to the literature on organizational behavior by making explicit the relationship between the strength of the situation and organizational behavior related to negotiations. The elements of situational strength have not been addressed adequately in prior negotiation literature. We incorporate this concept into a comprehensive set of barriers to offer explanations for the intractability of many environmental disputes. INTRODUCTION Environmental regulatory negotiations are prevalent; government agencies often negotiate with companies, community groups, trade associations, and other stakeholders over a myriad of environmental issues ranging from rulemaking to voluntary agreements. In many cases environmental regulatory negotiations are very complex; they typically include multiple stakeholders and feature intricate technical issues and politically charged debates (Ramus, 2003). Indeed, many of the issues in -----------------------* Catherine A. Ramus, Ph.D., is Assistant Professor, Donald Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara. She studies organizational factors that influence socially and environmentally sustainable business practices. Alfred Marcus, Ph.D., is a Professor, Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota. His teaching and research interests are in strategy and public policy as it affects businesss. RAMUS & MARCUS Copyright © 2005 by PrAcademics Press EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 397 dispute are nearly intractable, with one or more parties being unwilling (or unable) to compromise because of the ideological importance of the issue. Not surprisingly, therefore, many environmental negotiations end in stalemate (Burkardt, Lamb & Taylor, 1998). In this paper we define environmental negotiations as “conflicts in which one or more parties represent” or claim to represent “the interests of the environment” (Wade-Benzoni et al., 2002, p. 42). We seek to identify the factors that influence the outcomes of environmental regulatory negotiations that range from two-party environmental permitting or enforcement negotiations to more complex multiple-party and multiple-issue negotiations such as superfund cleanup, the licensing of hydropower projects, energy development in pristine natural areas, or the harvesting of timber in old growth forests. A Description of Environmental Negotiations The nature of environmental negotiations is quite different from what many might traditionally imagine when thinking about a negotiation situation. Seldom are environmental negotiations bilateral monopoly problems where two parties bargain to reach an agreement over a single issue, like price. Environmental negotiations tend to be more complex for a number of reasons. Environmental negotiations often involve multiple interested parties (governments, multinational corporations, civil society organizations, etc.). The media and public often are watching and reacting to progress and outcomes, with stakeholders often waiting to see if progress is being made before getting involved, which can add to the complexity since those at the table never know when a different part of the public will weigh in on the discussion. Moreover, environmental negotiations are often more values-based than fact-based, with issues relating to ideology or ‘rights” in environmental disputes. In environmental negotiations there is often a disparity in power between the parties that is compensated for by coalition formation. Finally, in environmental negotiations there can be long time horizons, with parties returning to fight over the issues again and again. The inherent conflicts may never be settled. Each negotiation just resets the rules for subsequent negotiations. Furthermore, at their most complex environmental negotiations are very different from labor union disputes, one of the most studied types of RAMUS & MARCUS negotiations. Unlike labor disputes which generally involve two clearly identified interests that are roughly equal in stature (O’Leary, Durant, 398 RAMUS & MARCUS Fiorino & Weiland, 1999), conflict about environmental issues often involves multiple groups of stakeholders with different levels of power (e.g., local, state and national governments, local and national environmental groups, major corporations, and local citizens). And, unlike labor disputes where the issues are generally concrete and quantifiable (i.e., pay and benefits), environmental disputes often involve ideologically-charged and difficult to quantify issues such as species diversity versus economic growth, or preserving natural resources for future generations versus prosperity for this generation, for example. As such, the issues involved in environmental negotiations are difficult to trade off with each other. Finally, labor disputes have a highly institutionalized process with a long history that is routinely used for the resolution of differences, whereas environmental dispute resolution has no such single “tried and true” procedural blueprint upon which disputants can ground their discussions. For all these reasons we argue that environmental negotiations are more difficult to resolve than most labor negotiations and that as researchers we must probe more deeply into organizational and negotiation theory to understand their dynamics. Intractability of Environmental Negotiations Many environmental disputes are complex and resist settlement. These disputes have been called “intractable” (Campbell, 2003). But it is the settlement of just such disputes that is likely to yield the largest rewards. Other than negotiation, there are likely to be few other ways to overcome the impasses that arise from these disputes. Why are such disputes mired in deadlock? Why are they so difficult to resolve? Realworld experience in creating workable agreements remains limited (Bacow & Wheeler, 1984; Breyer, 1993; Howard, 1994; Osborne & Gabler, 1993; Sexton, Marcus, Easter & Burkhardt, 1999). According to O’Leary (1995), work based on empirical evidence on environmental negotiation is rare, the research foundations of the literature in this area are weak, and much of what we claim to know is based on speculation. Additional research and analysis is necessary to determine what works, what does not, and why. Evidence of problems in and solutions to resolving environmental disputes comes from an analysis of the reasonably successful Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR) process. ADR is meant to resolve disputes more expeditiously and with less cost than a more confrontational regulatory approach (O’Leary & Bingham, 2003). This technique EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 399 involves some form of consensus building, joint problem solving, and negotiation of conditions of compliance. The parties in the ADR process have direct face-to-face interaction, and they reach decisions by mutual agreement. They jointly explore and resolve their differences with the assistance of a third-party mediator or facilitator, who in most cases has no formal authority to impose an outcome on the parties. The various parties in ADR processes are free to withdraw and seek resolution through other means at any time. Bingham, in a 1986 study, assessed the effectiveness of ADR. She examined 132 cases; three out of four of the cases involved site-specific issues, and one in four involved broad policy issues. Bingham reported that agreement had been reached in a high percentage of the cases she examined — 79% of the site-specific cases and 76% of the policy issues — and that 80% of the site-specific cases and 41% of the policy cases featured solutions that were fully implemented. However, the main reasons for the high rate of success in the examined cases had to do with the pre-screening of the disputes. Facilitators only selected cases that met criteria they believed were necessary for a positive outcome. These pre-screening criteria included: number and types of parties, authority of parties to the negotiation to make decisions, the presence of incentives to reach agreement, agreement of parties regarding facts and scope of issues, clear deadlines, clarity/ agreement over procedural steps, ability of negotiation to satisfy each party’s interests, and whether the dispute was already in litigation. These criteria provide us with clues as to what makes some disputes nearly intractable. Intractable disputes would tend to have: - Several parties that have been vociferous opponents for considerable periods, - Few incentives to agree, - Lack of consensus about the facts and scope of the issues, - Unclear deadlines, - Uncertainty about procedures, - The inability of the parties to satisfy each other’s underlying interests, and - Ongoing litigation, which stands in the way of settlement. 400 RAMUS & MARCUS Understanding the Barriers, Including Situational Strength In this paper we help to coalesce this thinking with the purpose to provide a better understanding of the complete set of barriers that may prevent participants of a complex environmental negotiation from reaching an agreement. We draw on Raiffa’s (1982) traditional decision theory work and related research (Bazerman, 1998; Bazerman & Neale, 1992; Neale & Bazerman, 1991; Thompson, 1990, 1998; Wade-Benzoni et al., 2002) that questions whether the behavioral decision theory underlying Raiffa’s approach can fully explain failures in ideologicallybased disputes involving intractable or nearly intractable societal issues in areas such as the environment. Accordingly, we include factors such as individual values and various social institutions that influence ideologically-based negotiations. In addition, we are interested in the impact of a set of situational factors that are missing from the general negotiation literature, namely factors related to the strength of the situation (Mischel, 1968; 1973). Bazerman, Curhan, and Moore (2000) have asserted that situational factors are often more important than dispositional variables in determining variance in individual negotiators’ behaviors. Prior research on negotiation processes has focused on the impact of a variety of situational factors on negotiations; for example, structural power differences, the history of the relationship between parties, the involvement of third parties, etc. have been the subject of research (Boardman & Horowitz, 1994; Marwell, Ratcliff, & Schmitt, 1969; Pruitt & Johnson, 1972). Nevertheless, situational strength has been rarely discussed in the negotiation literature despite the fact that it can influence individual and organization perception and feature cognitions concerning the context of the dispute, such as clarity of the legal mandate, the certainty of deadlines, the clarity of one’s own and the other parties’ goals, the certainty of negotiation procedures, and the certainty that the negotiated outcome will satisfy the interests of each of the parties. We go back to an important literature about situation strength that we believe can be usefully applied to environmental negotiations. Mischel (1968; 1973; see also Shamir, 1991) showed the effect of situational strength on individual behavior. Situations that are characterized by clear goals, well-recognized rules of conduct, availability of rewards, and a strong rewards-performance relationship are “strong” ones. They tend to produce uniformity in behavior. “Weak” situations, in contrast, EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 401 feature unclear goals, ambiguous rules of conduct, uncertain availability of rewards (desirable outcomes), and an imprecise link between performance and desired outcomes. “Weak” situations produce more variance in behavior. We maintain that if there is uncertainty around key situational aspects – uncertainty around legal mandate, deadlines, stakeholder goals, procedural steps, and desired outcomes — that the negotiations will be more intractable because there will be greater variance in the behaviors of the individuals and the organizations involved. These types of uncertainty increase the chances for stalemate. They interact with factors mentioned in the literature to build resistance to resolution. For example, where greater uncertainty exists with regards to the legal mandate (a weaker situation), we would expect greater variance in negotiator behavior resulting in turn in greater difficulty in coming to terms. On the other hand, where the legal mandate is clear (a stronger situation), we would expect greater uniformity in negotiator behavior and greater ease in avoiding deadlock. The strength of a situation affects an organization’s strategy as well as individual behaviors. Weick (1996) argued that there were reciprocal influences between the two, and our argument is that the situational strength affects both. While Mischel (1968) explained that there are mechanisms whereby individual behavior is affected by the strength of the situation, the key mechanism at the organizational level for forming collective views of external stimuli is culture according to Schein (1985). It is clear that the strength of the situation can affect both collective and individual behavior. The weaker the situational strength, the more varied we would expect to find organizational strategies, and the more varied the behavior of individuals. We will argue below that most environmental negotiations are weak situations, which leads to a greater difficulty to find mutually-agreeable resolutions. Table 1 shows which aspects of decision theory analysis are particularly salient when analyzing environmental negotiations (number and nature of the parties, number and nature of the issues, 3rd party intervention, and history/power parties), and which factors need to supplement this framework to make it more complete — values (selfenhancement, self-identity, and self-perception), and organizational/ institutional factors (regulative, normative, and cognitive). To these we add factors related to situational strength, elements which have been missing in the previous literature. 402 RAMUS & MARCUS TABLE 1 Barriers to Reaching Agreement in Environmental Negotiations Factors Related to Values Issues related to core values (valuation of life, right to pollute, value of species diversity, etc.) Easier not to act (e.g., putting a firm out of business today vs. protecting future generations) Regulative, normative and/or cognitive barriers due to pre-existing institutional norms and values Factors Affecting Certainty Potential for third-party intervention Different opinions related to scientific or technical information Lack of clarity of legal mandate Uncertainty around deadline for reaching agreement Uncertainty around procedures that will be followed by lead organization Uncertainty of organizational goals for negotiation Uncertainty that negotiated outcome will lead to desired outcome Factors Affecting Complexity Number and nature of parties (More than two parties) Number and nature of issues (More than two issues) History and relationship of parties (Long standing tensions between organizations) Perceived imbalance in power between the parties Multiple levels of negotiation: Across the table with other negotiating teams; Between negotiations team members; Between different parts of the organization; Between the organization and the public Our contribution here is two-fold. We first bring together multiple conflict resolution/negotiation theories into a single, composite whole; then we add a new set of factors, which we call situational strength, to the analysis of the multiparty negotiation process. In so doing we hope to catalyze thinking of both researchers and practitioners as to the range of key variables that influence outcomes. FRAMEWORK FOR ANALYZING ENVIRONMENTAL NEGOTIATIONS EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 403 To achieve our purpose of developing a complete set of explanatory factors for the intractability of many environmental negotiations, we start with Raiffa’s decision theory analysis presented in the Art and Science of Negotiation (1982). Raiffa is very good at helping us understand the role of additional parties, additional issues, time (deadlines), third-party intervention, and history and relationships as they affect the dynamics of particular negotiations, and hence allows for the systematic study of factors that add to or reduce the complexity of a negotiation. Number and Nature of Parties An important factor in environmental negotiation, one that Raiffa (1982) considered to be critical, is that typically more than two parties are involved. The implication of more than two parties being involved is that several negotiations are taking place simultaneously (Wood & Colosi, 1996a; 1996b; 1996c; also see Putnam’s 1988 paper for a discussion of the dynamics involved in two-level negotiations). The basic situation most people envision when they think about a negotiation is bargaining “across the table.” Individuals, representing the interests of their respective organizations, try to find agreement on issues about which there is contention. However, this basic situation masks a set of social interactions that is more complex. In most cases, teams of negotiators represent organizations, and the different team members represent diverse organizational interests. According to Wood and Colosi (1996a; 1996b; 1996c), as representatives of distinct organizational factions the team rarely functions as a monolith. The team is almost always divided internally. Members of the team are almost always negotiating among themselves. Indeed, they may have very different negotiating styles, making it hard for them to reach agreement and arrive at a coherent and unified strategy. In most cases of multi-party environmental negotiations a separate set of negotiations are taking place between negotiating team members at the same time that these teams are negotiating with their counterparts from other organizations. Another complicating factor is the level at which bargaining takes place during a negotiation. In environmental and/or international negotiations members of the public have an interest in the outcome, but citizens are not formally involved (Raiffa, 1982; Schelling, 1978; 1980). They may not have a seat at the table, but they care about the results. 404 RAMUS & MARCUS Different members of the public can make demands based on what they find out about what is happening. Environmental negotiations are seldom conducted entirely in secret, and all types of information may be leaked — some intentionally and some inadvertently. The dissemination of this information creates additional scrutiny of the process and added pressures upon the negotiators which the parties to the negotiation have to manage. For our purposes it is important to understand that the multiple levels of negotiations that typically take place add complexity to a situation that already is highly uncertain at the outset. In sum, environmental negotiations typically are multi-party and multi-level in nature, and these factors increase the complexity of the negotiations. There is a vast difference in the difficulty of coming to an agreement in a negotiation with three parties as compared to two (Raiffa, 1982). With each additional party that joins the negotiation, the complexity of reaching agreement increases as groups and sub-groups form around particular issues and additional bargaining takes place making it more difficult to reach agreement. In the case of environmental negotiations, there are some examples of two-party negotiations between an agency and one other organization (e.g., permitting, voluntary agreements, enforcement actions), but there are also many more examples of negotiations where multiple stakeholders become actively involved (e.g., federal regulatory rule-making, licensing and relicensing hydropower projects, superfund cleanups) wherein the prospects of agreement go down. Number and Nature of Issue(s) Another factor that adds to the difficulty of reaching agreement is the number of issues on the negotiating table. On the face of it, it would seem that the more issues present, the more complex the negotiations, the more difficult it is to reach agreement. If the issues were highly technical, as is often the case in environmental negotiations, it would only add further to the difficulty. Different parties with different beliefs regarding the “facts” — the scientific and technical realities being debated — would have a hard time agreeing (O’Leary & Bingham, 2003; Ramus, 2003). The added complexity can prevent the parties from arriving at a solution, but the upside of having more than one issue on the table and some degree of ambiguity in the issues being debated is the potential it provides to satisfy all the parties. These factors can provide more for the parties to work with in their effort to find joint gains. EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 405 Joint gains can arise when different parties attach different values to the issues present; in this way, the pie of benefits grows and it may be possible to come to terms when an agreement was otherwise out of reach. (See Lax and Sebenius [1986], and Walton and McKersie [1965] for more on integrative bargaining). This type of complexity, therefore, actually can be an ally in reaching a solution. Indeed, Marcus, Geffen and Sexton (2002) found that in Project XL it was the relative complexity of the Weyerhaeuser facility along the Flint River in Georgia where diaper fluff was produced and there were myriad air, water, and solid waste problems that made it easier to reach an agreement. One environmental goal was played off against another, and the whole package had something to offer all of the parties (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002). But, the downside of such complexity is that it can overwhelm negotiators who are not patient enough to manage the complexity of the issues. In summary, negotiations with more than one issue involved often allow parties to make trades which increase the likelihood of agreement. On the other hand, when many issues are involved, as is the case for many environmental disputes, resolution of the dispute can become increasingly difficult. Resolving such disputes requires negotiators to have patience, and necessitates creativity and excellent problem solving skills on the part of the negotiators. Possibility of “Third” Party Intervention If a trained, outside facilitator1 can be brought in (who is customarily referred to as a “third-party,” even when there are more than two disputants), the prospects for a settlement generally improve. Raiffa (1982) holds that third party intervention can improve the chances for a settlement in most circumstances. Indeed, one of the distinguishing features of the successful XL negotiations that Marcus, Geffen and Sexton (2002) described was the presence of a third party facilitator. A third party facilitator played a role in EPA’s negotiating successful XL agreements with Weyerhaeuser, Intel, and Merck; the unsuccessful 3M negotiation, the one that Marcus, Geffen and Sexton (2002) analyzed that ended in stalemate, did not involve an outside facilitator. However, empirical studies show that third parties do not always have this beneficial effect. In a fascinating analysis in which Leach and Sabatier (2003) examined 50 randomly selected watershed partnerships 406 RAMUS & MARCUS in California and Washington between 1999 and 2001, they found that there was a statistically significant negative relationship between the direct involvement of a trained outside facilitator and the achievement of a negotiated agreement. The trained, outside facilitator actually impeded resolution of some of these conflicts. Leach and Sabatier (2003, p. 167) commented that “despite their best intentions” the paid facilitators in some cases evoked “feelings of resentment.” Their “professional training in the arts of consensus building” in fact was “a detriment.” It led the facilitators “to devote excessive amounts of time to getting the process right,” and in so doing delayed the important substantive negotiations that had to take place. When a third party is present, each party to the negotiation has a new set of tactical options relating to how much it should reveal to the third party about its interests and how cooperative and how truthful it should be with the third party. The third party may add to the complications rather than reduce them, and the end result may be that the issues become harder to resolve. Thus, it is difficult to predict with certainty whether facilitator involvement will improve the chances of coming to a negotiated agreement in environmental disputes. History of the Relationship and the Perceived Power of the Parties In most environmental negotiations the parties have a long-standing relationship and a history of negotiating around similar issues. The parties over time have observed each other’s behavior to determine if they can trust each other and work together. Through trial and error they have discovered the degree to which mutual rewards may be possible. Repeated interactions, therefore, may be a necessary element in forging cooperative solutions.2 One aspect of repeated negotiations amongst the parties is that each disputant is concerned with its reputation. In game theory, this concern helps the parties cooperate. It assists in overcoming prisoners’ dilemmas. Through ongoing interactions, the parties wise up to the benefits of collaboration. However, according to Raiffa (1982), their repeated interactions just as easily can lead the parties to believe that competitive behavior makes sense, even though it can contribute to friction which builds up over time and makes the parties malevolent antagonists. It can spoil the atmosphere for negotiations. With repetition, each party may want to build a reputation for toughness to obtain long term rather than shortterm rewards. When parties interact repeatedly, they may develop into EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 407 long-standing adversaries. The history and content of their longstanding opposition plays a pivotal role. In their ongoing encounters, the parties are seeking not just an advance over the status quo, but an outcome proportionate to the weight and legitimacy of claims they made historically. These claims no longer are tied to specific issues, but instead are related to an underlying sense of fairness about their cause. Thus, the parties may fear setting a precedent in one negotiation because it will carry over to the next, and in these circumstances it is their repeated interaction and ongoing ties that are of vital concern and not the outcome of a specific encounter. For example, in Project XL, EPA officials were reluctant to make concessions to 3M because they were concerned that they might have to make the same concessions to another, less well-intentioned company (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002). They did not want to set a precedent that would carry over to other cases. Raiffa (1982, p. 13) maintains that adversarial relations fester and build over time until they climax in situations where the parties think they are dealing with “strident antagonists” and face malevolent, untrustworthy characters whose promises are suspect. These instances are likely to be the hardest to resolve. In fact, Marcus, Geffen and Sexton (2002, p. 171) found in the course of their XL research that EPA staff participating in the XL projects had “an ingrained culture and skepticism toward industry that led to strong concerns over the enforceability of XL agreements” with business partners. Thus, they were highly reluctant to make any concessions out of a concern that these concessions would carry over to other issues. The perceived power of the disputing parties affects these perceptions. Fineman (1998) documented how Environmental Agency inspectors in England and Wales would use smaller businesses’ fear and uncertainty of regulations to their advantage in enforcement negotiations, whereas when negotiating with larger businesses they had less perceived power. With more perceived power, the larger businesses often persuaded the inspectors to accept “a more favorable, less stringent” deal (Fineman, 1998, p. 958). Power is thus another important variable that has to be considered. Individual Values and Institutional Forces Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) argued that traditional decision theory is not incorrect in any fundamental way, but they argued that values and 408 RAMUS & MARCUS social institutions also have to be considered — and furthermore, that they play an especially important role in ideologically-based negotiations. In their view, ideologically-based negotiations invoke value systems “biases” that make it difficult for parties to collaborate. We agree with Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) that value systems are institutionally influenced, and that the role of institutional forces on negotiating values and behaviors must be considered. Values There are a number of ways that values affect individual behaviors in environmental negotiations. Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) maintained that egocentrism is exacerbated in environmental negotiations because of the uncertainty associated with most environmental issues. Almost every environmental issue has uncertainty associated with it (e.g., what is the “safe” level of a pollutant or of a resource to be used, what is the extent of the problem, and/or what is the urgency or the need for agreement). A good example would be global climate change. Virtually everyone agrees that there has been a buildup of CO2 in the atmosphere, but there is serious dispute about the effects of this buildup and what society can do about it. In situations where there is this uncertainty, egocentric interpretations of fairness are likely to surface as barriers to resolution. Indeed, in the CO2 controversy, countries have been anything but selfless in their environmental negotiations. Thus, we would expect more difficulty in reaching agreement in environmental negotiations where there are scientific and other forms of uncertainty. Another issue is that environmental values can be defined in such a way as to make it difficult for the parties to make tradeoffs cognitively or emotionally for the sake of a mutually-beneficial outcome. When the issues involve core values, Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) maintained that people are less likely to consider tradeoffs. Environmental issues often relate to people’s core values; they strike a strong emotional cord. For example, their appeal is preservation of natural resources, loss of life, the need for species diversity, the survival of the planet, etc. Thus, the closer an issue comes to an individual’s core values, the more difficult it will be for that person to make explicit trades during a negotiation. Since success in reaching a negotiated solution requires making trade-offs between issues that parties value differently, solutions are difficult to find if trading is essentially taboo for all or some of the parties. EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 409 Self-Perception Effects Actions Self-perception is another matter that Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) discussed in their work. Behavioral research indicates that people are more likely to hold themselves accountable for harms they cause than harms that they fail to prevent (Wade-Benzoni et al., 2002). An environmental example would be an individual who feels guilty for driving a car that causes CO2 emissions, but at a different level, he/she does not feel the same guilt for not reaching an environmental agreement to safeguard future generations from environmental harm caused by our generation. Acts of omission over which people have little control do not negatively affect a person’s self-perception in the same way that direct acts in the here and now that cause clear harm do. Since individuals are more likely to blame themselves for acting than not acting, it is easy to see how substantial delays and stalemates might be the norm in environmental negotiations (Wade-Benzoni et al. 2002). The global climate change negotiations are a good example of a case where not doing anything is easier for most of the parties than committing to a concrete course of action. Social Institutions Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002) also discussed the problems that social institutions can sometimes create for environmental problem solving. The institutional pressures to which they refer are regulatory, normative and cognitive in nature. The law, as a source of a regulation, may create unnecessary tension; it can set up adversarial relationships between the parties as they struggle to determine the precise level of a standard or decide what the law really allows or expects in a given situation.3 Laws prevent the achievement of integrative agreements when they “take on a life of their own leaving rationality, innovativeness, and societal interests behind,” according to Wade-Benzoni et al (2002, p. 48). When a law is used as an end-in-itself it can increase intractability in environmental negotiations. The normative aspect of institutions can also inhibit dispute resolution. Normative thinking that is incorporated into educational curricula and professional standards can make it difficult for different groups to communicate. For example, less than 20 percent of business schools integrate environmental learning into their instructional curricula; economists tend to treat environmental protection as an 410 RAMUS & MARCUS externality to market forces; and, professional accounting practices consider pollution costs a liability, not an asset (Wade-Benzoni et al., 2002). Thus, those trained in these disciplines are not likely to consider the impact of and to invest in the resolution of environmental disputes. Organizational divisions into separate units and offices tend to perpetuate these differences arising from differing professional training and standards. For example, most state environmental, health and safety departments deal with environmental issues from a “letter of the law” compliance perspective. Enforcement personnel in these departments generally have difficulty participating in collaborative approaches necessary for non-adversarial problem solving. It is difficult for them to overcome their disciplinary background. Finally, cognitive beliefs that underlie institutions can act as additional barriers to agreement. Wade-Benzoni et al. (2002, p. 51) use the example of the persistent belief that economic development and environmental protection are largely incompatible goals. This belief often underlies the win-lose perspective organizations bring to the negotiation table, resulting in a distributive battle in negotiations instead of leading to the development of a joint problem-solving effort. Effects of Situational Strength on Individual Behavior and on Organizational Strategy The factors discussed thus far provide a formidable array of barriers to be overcome if environmental disputes are to be negotiated to a successful conclusion. Let us just repeat what they are: the number and nature of the parties and issues, third party intervention, history and perceived power of the parties, values, and institutions. However, we believe that this list does not include an additional set of factors that have not received sufficient attention. Previous discussions of environmental negotiation analytics have not explicitly discussed the role of situational strength in negotiation behavior. Below we discuss five types of factors that affect cognitions of situational strength. We set up a theory-based argument for the inclusion of situational strength factors in a conceptual model of barriers to environmental dispute resolution. We argue that there is an important relationship between the strength of the negotiation situation and the outcome. Situational strength is a moderating factor. Since situational strength’s effects on negotiation outcomes is a new concept, before describing the EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 411 factors in detail we build the argument for their inclusion in the conceptual model. For clarity, we describe an example of a weak negotiation situation before building the theoretical argument. An example of a weak situation is the solvent-contaminated wipe rulemaking (Ramus, 2003). The legal mandate is unclear. There is no clear deadline by which the EPA needs to promulgate the rule, as the rulemaking is essentially voluntary on the part of the Office of Solid Waste (OSW). Different parties to the rulemaking have very different goals for the outcome, with some wanting no change in existing regulations and others wanting new regulations. The OSW staff has no clear procedure to follow in a voluntary rulemaking of this type. Many of the parties to the negotiation are uncertain about whether a proposed rule will lead to their desired outcome. Almost all environmental negotiations are similar to this situation in that they have some factors that make them “weak” situations. But it is important to mention that the strength of a situation is a continuum. The solvent-contaminated wipes rulemaking is clearly weak because all five factors that we argue affect the strength of environmental negotiations are relatively weak. But, it is just as easy to identify cases where some of these factors are relatively weak and others are relatively strong. Our point is that the relative strength of the factors, as it increases, aids in the resolution of the conflict because there will be less variation in individual and organizational behavior. Building a Theory around Situational Strength in Multi-party Environmental Negotiations Situational aspects create expectancies in individuals that influence behaviors. Mischel (1968, p. 293) showed that “what a person does cannot be isolated meaningfully from the conditions in which he does it.” Each individual has a set of rules that guide their own behaviors (selfregulatory systems) in any given situation; different individuals may behave differently in the same situation because of such differences in self-regulatory systems. That said, Mischel’s work showed that “strong” situations, “characterized by well-recognized rules of conduct that constrain behavior, induce uniform expectancies regarding appropriate response patterns and provide adequate incentives for the performance of these response patterns” result in less behavioral variance among individuals than weaker situations where certainty of rewards and clarity 412 RAMUS & MARCUS of goals do not exist (Shamir, 1991, p. 407). Thus, the role of certainty, clarity and expectancies that are created by situational elements play an important role in determining behaviors. This line of research has important implications for behavioral analysis in multi-party environmental negotiation situations. Most environmental negotiations are fraught with uncertainty, either surrounding the legal mandate, the deadlines for reaching agreement, the goals that can be obtained from the negotiation, the procedures that will be followed, and/ or whether the negotiated outcome will lead to the desired outcome for each of the parties. In the words of Mischel and Shamir, most environmental negotiations are “weak” situations. If variance in individual behaviors is greater in such weak situations where goals, rewards and outcomes are unclear, then we would expect more difficulty in reaching agreement when one or more of these several situational uncertainties exist. On the other hand, when there is reduced uncertainty (or greater clarity) around these situational elements, we would expect greater uniformity of behavior by the negotiators, resulting in a greater likelihood of reaching a negotiated agreement. This type of insight is what lead Bingham (1986) to reject using ADR in some environmental disputes. Organizational researchers “study how organizational settings and organizational members influence each other and are influenced in turn” (House, Rousseau & Thomas-Hunt, 1995, p. 74), showing that the causal links between individual behaviors and organizational behavior run in both directions.4 With regards to situations, Rousseau and Fried (2001) argued that context, including aspects related to the strength or weakness of the situation, are highly important when studying worker-job factors in organizational behavior. Weick (1996), building on the work of Mischel (1977), made the case that individual behaviors influence organizational behavior and that researchers “need to think differently about interactions between individuals and their surroundings depending on whether the situation is weak or strong” (Rousseau & Fried, 2001, p. 2). There is a parallel between individual behaviors and organizational behaviors related to perceptions of situational strength. We argue that situational elements of negotiations will influence organizational behavior and the development of organizational negotiation strategies. An organization’s culture is the lens through which the external EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 413 situational elements of the negotiation will be formed into a collective view or organizational strategy for reacting to this external stimulus. The organization will develop a strategy, which will in turn have an effect on the degree of tractability of a negotiating situation. Just as we have predicted in the case of the behavior of individuals, if the organizations involved in the negotiation perceive the situation to be weak then we would predict greater variability in organizational strategies within that negotiation situation. “Weak” Legal Mandates Make Agreement More Difficult to Achieve The first point we make is that the clarity of the legal mandate for an environmental negotiation can vary widely depending on the situation. For example, the parties to XL negotiations operated under the assumption that they had insufficient legal authority to fulfill XL’s goals (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002). EPA’s legal staff made it clear that XL projects would violate legal and regulatory requirements. Another example is that the EPA’s Office of Solid Waste wanted to write a rule that gave a conditional exemption to generators of wipes containing various hazardous solvents (Ramus, 2003). The industrial laundry associations argued that the Office of Solid Waste did not have a legal mandate to regulate wipes that are laundered for reuse because they are not solid waste. The law says that an item must first be classified as “solid waste” before it can be regulated as a “hazardous waste.” Using this and other arguments the trade associations for industrial laundries successfully blocked the rulemaking effort of the Office of Solid Waste, while participating in regular negotiations with other stakeholders who had an interest in obtaining the conditional exemption. An unclear legal mandate leaves the way wide open for numerous interpretations and results in broad variations in behaviors among the negotiators. Negotiators for the industrial laundry trade associations used blocking tactics because they believed the Office of Solid Waste was on “weak” legal ground, arguing that this office did not have the legal right to regulate since the towels are not even “solid waste.” Negotiators for disposal wipes trade associations ignored and pushed aside the legal mandate issue and focused instead on appealing to the EPA staff’s sense of “fairness,” maintaining that similarly contaminated materials should be regulated in the same manner. 414 RAMUS & MARCUS Equally important to individual behaviors in negotiation settings are a range of organizational behaviors. Each organization, when perceiving that a legal mandate is either strong or weak, will use this information to develop the most appropriate strategy to get their interests met during the negotiation. They often prepare position papers that bring evidence to bear supporting the arguments they direct their negotiators to use at the negotiating table. In the case of a perception that the legal mandate is weak or unclear, organizations sensing that an agreement would not serve their interests will tend to marshal the evidence and argue against any regulation, claiming that the agency in question has no legal mandate upon which to act. In contrast, organizations that benefit from a rulemaking action will search for arguments unrelated to the legal mandate to strengthen their case, trying to find alternative principles to strengthen its use. Thus, in those situations where the environmental law or legal mandate is not transparent, reaching agreement will be far more difficult. On the other hand, when the legal mandate is transparent and clear for all parties, a negotiated agreement may be easier to reach as uniformity of behavior at both an individual and organizational level will be more likely to occur. Unclear behavioral mandates exist in all weak negotiation situations. Other characteristics of these situations are uncertainty around deadlines, lack of clarity about goals, uncertainty about negotiation procedures, and uncertainty about the parties reaching their desired outcomes. These factors also interact at individual and organizational levels. Uncertainty around Deadlines When an environmental law sets no clear deadline for a rule-making then we would expect the ambiguity of this situation to result in greater differences in individual behaviors and in organizational strategies. Burkardt, Lamb and Taylor (1998), among others, have demonstrated clearly that when disputants feel pressure from deadlines they are more ready and able to resolve environmental issues. Clarity of Negotiation Goals for each Party Many environmental negotiations do not have a clear set of goals to be achieved through the negotiated agreement. If clear goals for the overarching negotiation do not exist, then reaching agreement will be more difficult because both individuals and organizations will be less EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 415 likely to set clear goals for themselves in their own negotiation activities. For example, in the case of Project XL, the negotiations bogged down because of lack of clarity about how to make a trade-off between superior environmental performance (SEP) and regulatory flexibility (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002). Both SEP and regulatory flexibility were poorly defined, and the meanings of these concepts were the source of nearly endless debate among the negotiation participants. In the case of the solvent-contaminated wipes rulemaking, the goals of the negotiation also were unclear throughout. The generators of the wipes wanted guidance, but they did not want a new regulation. The EPA Office of Solid Waste was pursuing rulemaking because it wanted to create a legal exemption for particular cases. The disposal wipe trade representatives wanted any guidance or law that would exempt their product from being treated as hazardous waste. In both the XL and solid waste cases the business representatives had clearer goals than did those from government agencies. Business managers must operate according to quantifiable and discrete financial targets, and their performance is evaluated using indicators such as market share, profits, and return on investment (Sexton et al., 1999). Regulatory officials have goals that are more vague and indefinite and not as easily measured (e.g., improving environmental quality), and their performance is judged according to more subjective criteria such as the status of public health and the general state of the environment. As a rule, business managers will place a high value on efficiency while government representatives will place a high value on equity, accountability, and responsiveness in addition to efficiency. Business managers, in fact, have increasingly adopted organizational structures designed to allow them to respond quickly to rapid changes in the marketplace, while government representatives — reflecting the checks and balances in the Constitution — have maintained complicated, bureaucratic, and overlapping structures which operate at a more measured pace. Government representatives also must cope with distributional conflicts that arise among diverse interests operating in a democracy. Business managers, on the other hand, must cope with the needs of customers and the expectations of shareholders, and in meeting those needs they are frequently rewarded for taking timely action. These are essential facts or principles associated with the way representative government and markets have been set up in the U.S. 416 RAMUS & MARCUS It is also important to recognize that for staff in either business or government to have clear goals, their organizations must engage in internal negotiation to arrive at such goals. Sometimes the amount of internal negotiation required is quite extensive, but without this kind of timely negotiation it is nearly impossible to establish a discrete set of goals for the negotiation. The prospect for a successful outcome of an external negotiation diminishes greatly in the absence of successful internal negotiation. Brett, Northcraft and Pinkley (1999, p. 447) argued that before negotiating, parties must come to a clear understanding of their preferences for the accomplishment of optimum results. They noted that the negotiation itself often becomes a process of discovery and clarification of their own goals. Without clarity of negotiation goals conflict resolution is difficult indeed; prolonged and often fruitless negotiations become likely outcomes. Certainty regarding Negotiation Procedures/Processes In short what we are saying is that when the rules of engagement are clearly delineated, negotiators are in a strong situation. However, environmental negotiations often lack clear procedural guidelines. For example, in the 3M XL case a key mistake was the failure of the Minnesota State Pollution Control Agency and EPA Region 5 to work out a Memorandum of Understanding that would clarify the responsibilities of each party (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002). There was an inability to bring clarity to the rules. When procedures and processes are not clearly delineated, negotiators face a weak situation; unclear procedures add ambiguity to the situation. We argue that they create uncertainty and increase the likelihood that individuals and organizations will act in disruptive ways. For example, the encounters between 3M and EPA that took place during the XL negotiations were surprisingly disruptive. An important meeting between the Minnesota delegation and EPA Region 5 started with a “spirited exchange” according to one account (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002, p. 79). This exchange was best described as a heated argument that arose as a consequence of unclear goals and the lack of certainty about procedures. Certainty that Negotiated Outcome Will Lead to Desired Outcome for Parties As in other types of negotiations, situational uncertainty often exists in environmental negotiations as to whether a particular negotiated EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 417 outcome will lead to a desired outcome. Weak situations contribute to this uncertainty. For example, a main reason that the EPA opposed the 3M XL proposed agreement was the absence of a guaranteed level of direct environmental benefits. The EPA staff argued that if facilities are granted flexibility, they must in turn provide a guaranteed level of superior environmental performance (Marcus, Geffen & Sexton, 2002, p. 100). 3M, in turn, rejected EPA’s counter offer as not offering enough flexibility to justify the level of environmental improvement EPA was demanding. Rather than taking away from the compliance burden, 3M believed that EPA’s counterproposal added further burdens to it. For both parties, the need for certainty that their goals would be met was understandably high in the issues under negotiation and neither was satisfied that if a negotiated outcome was achieved their goals would be met. Uncertainty around goals, procedures, legal mandates, and outcome expectancies create weak situations where behaviors are likely to be varied, unpredictable, and immoderate. However, when a “hurting stalemate” exists and all the parties experience heightened risk and uncertainty and believe that failure to reach a negotiated agreement is worse than the many of the alternatives available, the chances that the parties will settle may increase (Burkardt, Lamb & Taylor, 1998, p. 886). The fear of what would happen if they did not settle could overcome uncertainty and trigger the development of a strong situation where greater uniformity of behavior among parties could be expected. But this fear would exist only if there were no obvious alternatives to a negotiated agreement for each of the parties. There has to be no best alternative to a negotiated arrangement (BATNA) left for the partners in a weak situation to turn it around and make it strong. Finally, it is important to note that we believe that parties to a negotiation have power over the strength of the situation. For example, some might argue that laws pre-exist the negotiation and are difficult to change, but we can point to many examples of where parties to a negotiation have influenced the law. This is also the case with regards to the process, or the procedures, or the deadlines, or goals etc. Parties can work together in order to make the situation strong. The difficulty with changing intractable negotiations into tractable ones is often that at least one party has it in their best interest to prevent making the situation strong! 418 RAMUS & MARCUS CONCLUSION We have delineated a set of elements that can affect the likelihood of parties reaching agreement in multi-party environmental negotiations. This framework is a composite of factors that the general negotiation theory literature indicates as relevant to negotiated agreements, and in addition we have included a new set of factors that we believe help explain why environmental negotiations often fail to result in agreements. In particular, we argue that factors related to situational strength can be powerful barriers in environmental negotiations because in many cases these environmental dispute situations lack clear legal mandates, established deadlines, specific negotiation goals, processes / procedures, and there is often a lot of uncertainty that the negotiated outcome will lead to the desired outcome for each party. As such, many environmental disputes are weak situations where we would predict large variance in both individual negotiator behavior and in organizational strategies for engaging in the negotiation. This framework is a useful analytical tool for researchers as it provides a better understanding of why environmental disputes are difficult to settle. Intractability starts to set in because of the organizational factors and individual behaviors discussed in the existing literature on negotiation and conflict resolution. We argue that intractability of environmental negotiations is exacerbated by situational factors that may be present. In our view one of the important contributions of this paper is that it clearly delineates a set of situational factors that have been missing in previous research. Our work represents an advance over what we have seen previously, but it requires much additional empirical work. Variables we discussed need to be operationalized and measured, and the model of factors needs to be tested across a variety of environmental negotiations. Nonetheless, we believe that the model is a useful one for researchers to employ in their research on conflict resolution in environmental and natural resource disputes under negotiation. We hope this paper inspires research studying how elements of situational strength determine outcomes in the realm of environmental negotiation, and how individual and organizational behaviors are affected by these elements. Just as Sebenius (1983) argued that parties to a negotiation and issues being disputed can be tacitly or explicitly changed, we believe that negotiators can influence the entire set of barriers delineated in Table 1 EXAMINING BARRIERS TO NEGOTIATED ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS 419 of this paper. As such we consider the list in Table 1 to be a helpful blueprint for policymakers and other practitioners involved in environmental negotiations for assessing the potential barriers that might exist in a given situation. One potential practical application for this framework would be to use Table 1 as a checklist in preparing for negotiations. Before a negotiation begins a negotiator could place a check mark in front of each item that could pose a potential barrier. The negotiator could estimate the potential for reaching agreement, and understand more fully the obstacles that will have to be overcome to reach an acceptable agreement. The list can help interested parties identify where they might develop creative options for dealing with barriers. For example, a policy maker can clarify procedures, set deadlines and specify relevant legal mandates, as well as make their organizational goals more explicit. Obviously, parties that prefer that no agreement be reached will have it in their best interest not to be “honest brokers” in this type of exchange. They will work to increase the complexity and weaken the situation. Table 1 can be used to increase the barriers to agreement as much as to make it more likely that parties in the negotiation will settle. Although we believe in principle that agreement is better than nonagreement, sometimes it may be better for the parties to walk away from the negotiating table. It may be better to agree to disagree than to come to a false, forced, or poorly conceived settlement. Still, our primary sympathies are with those looking to reach agreement in environmental negotiations. There are many tragic situations that could be better dealt with if negotiated solutions were achieved and intractability overcome. Many scholars have written extensively about tactics that can be used to achieve the best outcome for one’s self or one’s organization (Fisher & Ury, 1981; Lewicki, Hiam & Olander, 1996; Lewis, 1999; Saner, 2000; Shell, 1999; Ury, 1993). We believe that choosing from among these tactics can be more effectively done if negotiators and organizations understand the obstacles they face and the individual, organizational, and situational dynamics underlying these obstacles. To this end, we have provided the theoretical framework found in this paper. NOTES 420 RAMUS & MARCUS 1. We are talking about facilitators, not mediators in the context of the following discussion. 2. Lamb, Burkardt and Taylor (1996, p. 181) comment: “Different regulatory implementation negotiations typically involve representatives from the same organizations. 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