Edinburgh Time-Lapse Project PHASE II Reservoir Geophysics Group Institute of Petroleum Engineering Heriot-Watt University Edinburgh EH14 4AS Colin MacBeth 2 August 2003 SUMMARY The Edinburgh Time-Lapse Project (ETLP) is a UK-based university research consortium specialising in the application and development of analysis tools for engineering-consistent quantitative interpretation of 4D seismic data. Understandably, the research programme has a strong emphasis on the integration of seismic and reservoir engineering. The consortium is now in its second phase of research which started on June 2003 and will last until June 2006. Our raison d’être is to deliver accurate estimates of those reservoir parameters and their distribution that are of most value to the reservoir engineer for understanding the reservoir and near well-bore flow dynamics. These estimates are designed to be of direct interpretative benefit and can be used to constrain and modify the reservoir model for better forward predictions. Our research is achieved through appropriate use of full-wave seismic modeling tools, reservoir modeling, improvements to the petro-elastic model and the development of innovative seismic processing/interpretation methods. All ETLP research areas are driven by data donated from sponsors. Our current work portfolio covers fields categorized as either ‘safe bets’ or a ‘good chance’ in the northern North Sea, Southern Gas Basin, the West of Shetlands, and the shallow water Gulf of Mexico. The next three-year phase (Phase II) of the project will continue to concentrate on fields in the UKCS, actively pursuing 4D seismic research that can be categorized into four general areas: Module 1 – Quantification of fluid saturation and contacts Module 2 – Monitoring of depleting reservoirs Module 3 – Assessment of challenging reservoirs Module 4 – Independent estimation of pressure and saturation The precise emphasis and resources committed to each category was defined by our sponsorship group at the business meeting in May 2003. ETLP is ideally placed to pursue the above research due to its unique location within the Institute of Petroleum Engineering at Heriot-Watt University, recognized over the past 10 years by its 5* research rating. This provides the project with access to well-founded Rock Physics and Rock Mechanics laboratory facilities, together with staff in the necessary range of supportive disciplines in Reservoir Description that include Petrophysics, Structural geology, Drilling, and Reservoir Engineering. The ETLP consortium started Phase II of its research activity in June 2003, however new entrants are welcome to join the sponsorship group at any point throughout the programme. 2 SNAPSHOT OF PHASE I ACHIEVEMENTS - June 2000 to June 2003 During Phase I of the ETLP project the consortium was sponsored by nine companies: BP, Shell, TFE, Statoil, Enterprise Oil, Schlumberger, Landmark, Concept Systems and Fairfield Inc. Publications The Heriot-Watt team wrote and submitted over 6 papers for international journals, and presented a further 36 expanded abstracts at EAGE, SEG, PESGB, and NPD conferences and workshops. Further details and downloads of these publications are available from our website: http://www.pet.hw.ac.uk/research/etlp The ETLP toolbox Our 4D toolbox has been assembled over the past 3 years. It now contains: cross-equalization and warping tools for post-stack processing 4D cross-equalization workflows SVD (singular value decomposition) differencing tools seismic modelling codes Petrophysical calculator 3D visualization software for simulator to seismic computations simulator-to-4D seismic link Studies completed during Phase I Research projects successfully completed in accordance with our Phase I proposal fall into four originally proposed categories: Acquisition and processing: Investigates the influence of water velocity variations on the interpretation of the 4D signature – with a particular emphasis on permanent OBC installations at the Teal South and Foinaven fields Post-stack cross-equalization of OBC and towed streamer data for analysis of compaction and production in the Valhall field Post-stack cross-equalization to determine whether it is possible to obtain a 4D signature from a depleting gas reservoir in the SGB Application of an SVD-based difference technique, selective spectral decomposition, and a cross-equalization flow to provide an enhanced 4D signature of water sweep in low net-to-gross areas on the Nelson field 3 4D-specific attributes Use of a spectral decomposition technique to determine 4D timethickness variations due to production in a Gulf of Mexico reservoir Spectral decomposition investigated to interpret shadowing effects in producing turbidites Robust determination of P-wave AVOA for 4D OBC at the Teal South field, Gulf of Mexico New-wave Petrophysics: Development of new pressure sensitivity law for 4D feasibility studies, upscaling of laboratory tests and subsequent categorization of North Sea sandstones Quantification of gas saturation from seismic amplitudes in the Foinaven field Feasibility study to analyse the effect of fractures on the clarity of the 4D signature for a depleting gas sand reservoir Links and integration with the reservoir simulator: Geological model building, reservoir and seismic modelling of low netto-gross regions on Nelson – implications for injection and production Combined fine-scale geological and 4D seismic interpretation to resolve well-well connectivity issues on Foinaven Use of P-P and P-S information to jointly constrain the reservoir model in the Teal South field A single seismic history match using seismic anisotropy from a turbidite sand A single history match using the P-P and P-S amplitude response enhanced by multi-component –related petrophysical developments Time-lapse borehole seismic analysis for Qarn Alam (VSP) and Steepbank (cross-well), involving the first use of spectral decomposition and SVD for cross-equalization. 4D interpretation of steam flooding in a heavy oil reservoir, including petrophysical development. ETLP 4D datasets used during Phase I studies Foinaven (NW Shetlands), Nelson (Northern North Sea), a Southern Gas Basin field, Valhall (Norwegian Sea), Teal South (Gulf of Mexico). Borehole seismic data include Qarn Alam (Oman) and Steepbank (Canada). 4 PHILOSOPHY In the past, time-lapse seismic surveys have added value by helping to infer bypassed hydrocarbons and sense significant reservoir phenomena such as gas-cap expansion, water encroachment or remaining compartments of oil. Rudimentary processing and interpretation of seismic amplitudes has demonstrated that in many cases the technique does fulfill the desired objective of inferring fluid movements associated with hydrocarbon production. This has been shown to be achievable for a variety of reservoir types and IOR processes involving steam, hydrocarbon gas and water injection, or more complex recovery scenarios such as WAG. Indeed, with more than a decade of 4D examples, the scientific rationale and business case for using this technique can be considered generally sound. However, as 4D seismic enters a new generation of activity in which the initial successes of the West of Shetlands and Northern North sea have now being joined by many other successes from fields elsewhere in the world, the challenge to industry is to make the method deliver more precise and direct engineering nformation in those fields where 4D has already been shot and analysed. A second priority is to open up the application of this monitoring technique to more difficult cases, two such examples of which are depletion in low permeability reservoirs and compacting reservoirs. ETLP recognizes that advances in 4D interpretation require that reservoir seismic and engineering must be fully integrated, and perhaps even combined as a separate subject in it’s own right. In particular, to achieve a true 4D interpretation, time-lapse seismic signatures must be interpreted by honouring rock physics, fluid physics, seismic wave propagation, geology, and engineering principles. Our own work achieves this by blending the understanding of wave propagation effects with flow properties and preserving a particular focus on the petro-elastic domain. Within this context, our aim is to increase our understanding of what is possible and what is not, and to reduce the frequency of ‘4D surprises’ often revealed in case studies. It is highly likely that engineering-true interpretation might require some modifications or even a complete re-haul to cherished seismic theories that have in many cases been founded on naïve assumptions about the physical properties of the reservoir fluids and geology - this remains to be seen. ETLP provides detailed research projects on true 4D interpretation focused by sponsors’ datasets. We seek new ways of accurately estimating reservoir engineering parameters directly from the 4D response and evaluate how they contribute to an improved reservoir model. The ultimate aim of our research is to build a suite of interpretative tools or scenarios to help companies best achieve a high-resolution dynamic reservoir characterization of their reservoirs. 5 TECHNICAL PROGRAMME The Phase II technical programme builds on our Phase I research by identifying several topics where substantial concentrated effort is required for progress in quantifying the interpretation of 4D seismic. Reservoir-related problems are broadly categorized into four modules whose central concerns are (1) saturationdominated processes, (2) pressure-related issues, (3) difficult reservoirs with uncertain or currently un-recognizable 4D signatures, and finally (4) the challenge of estimating pressure and saturation independently. Each module addresses a number of specific questions for which the success of 4D relies. For example: Can gas saturation be accurately estimated with several seismic surveys at our disposal? Is it possible to estimate gas saturation to a fraction of a percent? What is the limit of the seismic method for detecting the exact vertical and lateral distributions of the reservoir fluids? Can individual flow units be defined? Can pressures be estimated to within several hundred psi? Can pressure depletion in fractured or non-fractured zones in gas reservoirs exhibit a visible 4D signature. What is the nature of the 4D signature in low permeability carbonates? Can production and mechanical effects be separated in difficult reservoirs such as the compacting chalks in the Norwegian Sea. Can we estimate the pressure and saturation fields in the hydrocarbon reservoir. Indeed, is there a unique answer to this, or can they never be resolved independently? Still much debated and currently un-resolved. These, and many more related questions are addressed in the four modules that constitute the ETLP technical programme, laying down a series of targeted studies that explore critical links between the seismic and engineering domains. The work relies upon sponsor-donated data to provide a focus for extensive indepth research. Each ETLP study involves our unique blend of field data processing, modeling, empirical measurement and theoretical developments, and will be composed of the following basic ingredients: full-wave seismic modeling 4D-specific processing petro-elastic model development reservoir modeling Existing datasets will continue to be analysed, with additional datasets having been set by sponsors at our business meeting in May 2003. 6 Module 1 – Quantification of fluid saturation and contacts Changes in fluid saturation and ‘contact’ location need to be estimated with a determined accuracy. This module aims to explore and classify the limits of monitoring saturation changes, and to capture the uncertainty inherent in the 4D seismic method. It will offer developments towards an improved understanding of saturation-dominated processes for a range of production and injection scenarios, and the possibility of new saturation equations. Innovative seismic processing and interpretation techniques will be investigated to determine their value in improving the overall definition of oil, water and gas movement. An example of one possible approach (also used in Phase I) is the use of spectral decomposition for gas saturation. If the opportunity arises we will also consider the possibility of using multi-component seismic. One aim is to develop alternative saturation equations beyond the patchy and homogenous approach. For this, we intend to make use of a simple and practical saturation model that honours the reservoir fluid and rock conditions as measured from the wireline log (including dipole sonic) and seismic data. The resultant law will correctly account for realistic gas and water saturation conditions (which quite probably lies somewhere between patchy and homogeneous as in Brie’s law), and will be based on equivalent medium theory. This saturation law will be developed in partnership with our collaborator, Wayne Pennington of Michigan Technological University. It is anticipated that this will lead to a better understanding of gas coning, gas injection, and bright spots. Seismic modelling will be used for fine-scale evaluation of dynamic features occurring during water injection such as (a) the formation of high permeability streaks or slumping; (b) the complex movement through regions of low net-togross leading to a characteristically patchy distribution; (c) near well-bore effects such as coning and fingers, or the effects of thermally induced fracturing as a consequence of the injection process. This work will help better quantify and monitor the risk of early breakthrough, and address questions such as: Where is the saturation ‘front’? How fast is it traveling? When and where will it break though? Modelling will also be used for solving issues connected with gas saturation. One such problem arises for oil reservoirs initially just above bubble point, for which gas exsolves from the oil due to drop in pressure during production. A critical question is whether production will lead to mobile gas that forms a gas cap or whether the gas remains in trapped as bubbles in the pore space. Can seismic detect the different cases? This is important for constraining reservoir connectivity between sands or relative permeability. This work may also help in monitoring the displacement performance in a gas injection process, or help engineers to distinguish between viscous fingering, gravity segregation and permeability heterogeneity. 7 Module 2 – Monitoring of depleting reservoirs This module consists of two topics, which build on work completed in Phase I. The first contrasts pressure depletion in sandstone and carbonate reservoirs, and assesses the feasibility of monitoring these effects using 4D data. The work is also relevant to other reservoirs with low porosity or high initial pressure, for which pore pressure is a dominating influence. The following issues could be considered in this study: the role of reservoir heterogeneity (porosity and permeability) the role of sedimentary architecture on monitoring reservoir performance the seismic influence of partial aquifer support monitoring a waterflood, with particular interest in the lateral displacement of the front and appropriate saturation laws the role of stress instead of pressure the benefits of using converted waves Datasets for this work are from gas condensate reservoirs in the Miskar field, Tunisia, and the Sleipner Vest field, Norway. The second part of this module is the evaluation of stress sensitivity laws for shaly sands, and the extension of this to treat reservoir variability. This will catalogue existing literature and theory, and use these to make predictions of the likely effects in a reservoir setting. Particular attention will also be placed on clays in sandstones and the influence of the clay distribution on the stress sensitivity. The work will draw experience from past work in the West of Shetlands and Central North Sea. The following will be considered: VP/VS Seismic anisotropy Layered systems of sand and shale Links between elastic and flow properties Clay distribution in sands Relationship to Vshale Uniaxial compression versus pressure Compilation and generalization of elastic properties of shales This work will also consider methods for ground-truthing in situ pressure dependency. In particular, it will tackle up-scaling between laboratory estimates and the seismic, where a genuine disparity has been demonstrated with synthetic sandstones. This will be accomplished by field study and modeling for selected datasets where the effects for pressure can be isolated. 8 Module 3 – Assessment of challenging reservoirs This module considers oil reservoirs that are classified as a ‘good chance’ for the application of 4D technologies but are nevertheless at the boundaries of our current understanding and require further specialized attention. For the purposes of this work two categories of reservoir will be considered: Compacting reservoirs – this particular topic is most relevant to chalk fields such as Ekofisk and Valhall. Here, the 4D signature is easily observed and Phase I work has demonstrated that 4D warping tools can deliver a high resolution picture of the compaction process. One problem however is to disentangle the seismic response due to production from that due to compaction. Our aim is to use the data from our previous study to guide a modelling exercise to explore the coupling between the petrophysical and geomechanical components of the system, and investigate different pre- and post-stack seismic attributes. The following subjects will be covered: fluid flow versus compaction effects database of chalk properties development of a dynamic petro-elastic model 4D time lapse effects possible PP versus PS analysis Data from the Valhall field in Norway will be considered as part of this project. Low permeability reservoirs - the seismic, rock and fluid properties of low permeability reservoirs such as the gas-bearing Rotliegend sandstone in the southern gas basin are strongly influenced by the presence of compliant fracture clusters. Although forming only a small part of the available porosity, high pressure differentials, fractures will deform these features and this could lead to a strong stress-sensitive seismic signature. This project will involve the following: study of the rock and fluid physics stress-sensitive Petro-elastic model determination of the nature and magnitude of the 4D seismic signature geological and reservoir modeling of the effects of production field data analysis A third Deepwater Reservoirs project is being considered, dependent upon datasets becoming available. 9 Module 4 – Independent estimation of pressure and saturation Separation of pressure-related and saturation-related influences on the seismic response is the holy grail of 4D seismic. It is our belief that this procedure cannot be uniquely accomplished without recourse to additional constraints from the stress -dependent rock (petro-elastic) and fluid (reservoir engineering) properties. In this module, this statement will be placed on a firmer quantitative footing by a simulator to seismic study to examine the ultimate resolution capability of the seismic method. The development of a new technique will use a practical classification scheme combined with our sandstone database to enable us to draw correlations and reorganize the reflectivity equations. Early work focusing on the West of Shetlands has suggested some new relations for achieving pressure-saturation separability. Future developments will expand the applicability of our results to other oil reservoirs and test the techniques in a number of different production and injection scenarios. Conventional and un-conventional seismic attributes considered will include the AVO gradient, AI/GI parameters, elastic impedance, VP/VS, extended elastic impedance, amplitude, or spectrally decomposed amplitude. Provision of a robust method that can monitor changes in pressure and saturation in the reservoir or near-borehole environment in the future requires the following to be addressed: two and three fluid phases pressure gradients and vertical saturation distributions calibration saturation laws using module 1 spectral decomposition Bayesian inference methdologies uncertainties dynamic well ties novel seismic attributes 10 ETLP PERSONNEL The ETLP research team consists of allied senior staff, two postdoctoral researchers, eight PhD students and benefits from an annual influx of summer students on the Master’s programme. ETLP has a close association with other active areas of research within the Reservoir Geophysics Group and the Institute’s Reservoir Description Group. DELIVERABLES TO SPONSORS ETLP annual report in browsable CD form bi-annual consortium meetings analysis of sponsor-related data from key locations advance viewing of submissions to geophysical and engineering journals regular interim meetings for individual project updates consultancy MEETINGS There are two meetings per year, scheduled to be in the winter and summer months. Past meetings have typically been held in early November and late May. SPONSORSHIP FEE The sponsorship fee is £24k per annum, rising in £900 increments each year. Companies are free to join at any time during our three-year phase but will be required to contribute a penalty of 15k for doing so. CONTACTS Further information can be found on the ETLP web site: http://www.pet.hw.ac.uk/research/etlp or by contacting Professor Colin MacBeth, Reservoir Geophysics Group, Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK. Tel: 0131-451-3607; Fax: 0131-451-3127 Email: colin.macbeth@pet.hw.ac.uk 11