Crop Insurance Participation Decisions and Their Impact on Net Farm Income Loss of Rice Farmers in the Lakeshore Municipalities of Laguna, Philippines1 By: Armand Christopher C. Rola and Corazon T. Aragon2 Abstract The study was conducted to determine the factors affecting the participation of farmers in the Philippine Crop Insurance Corporation (PCIC) Rice Insurance Program in selected lakeshore municipalities of Laguna and to determine the effects of the program in reducing income losses. Primary data were obtained through personal interviews with 40 sample farmerparticipants and 40 non-participants using pre-tested interview schedules. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the profile of the participating and non-participating farmer-respondents. A logit model was estimated to determine the factors that influenced the rice farmer’s decision to participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program while multiple regression analysis was employed to identify the significant factors affecting percentage yield loss and the amount of indemnity payments. Cost and returns analysis was conducted to estimate and compare the profit or loss in 2010 (normal year) and in 2012 (calamity year). Mean losses in income of the farmerparticipants before and after receiving their indemnity claims were estimated to determine the extent to which the farmers’ losses were reduced as a result of their participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program. Results showed that the major reasons why the farmer-participants joined the program were: (i) securing rice crop insurance is one of the requirements of the Land Bank of the Philippines in extending loans to farmers, and (ii) participation in the insurance program is essential to avoid risk in rice farming; the major reason for non-participation was being unaware of the existence of the Program. Farmer’s decision to participate in the program was significantly influenced by their awareness of the program, tenure status, and the distance of their farms from the lakeshore. This program participation has eased farmers’ financial burden. On average, the percentage reduction in income losses was 94 percent per farm. This study recommends among others that PCIC management undertake a more intensive awareness campaign to promote wider participation among farmers/farmer groups in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program. 1 To be presented during the Annual Meeting of the Philippine Economic Society, Intercontinental Hotel Manila, November 15, 2013.This is an abridged version of the undergraduate thesis of the senior author entitled,” Factors affecting farmers’ participation in the Philippine Crop Insurance Corporation rice insurance program and the effects of the insurance program in reducing income losses of the rice farmer-participants in selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season 2012”, submitted to the Department of Agricultural Economics, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College Laguna, April, 2013; under the supervision of Prof. Corazon T. Aragon. 2 Respectively, Research Assistant, UP Center for Integrative and Development Studies (UP-CIDS) and Professor, University of the Philippines Los Baños. 1. INTRODUCTION Unexpected events with adverse results such as drought, typhoons, disease infestation, or earthquake can cause risks in farming activities. The Philippines is very much vulnerable to these production risks. The Philippines ranks 8th among the top 10 countries that are most exposed to natural hazards or multiple hazards (Regalado, 2010). Almost annually, heavy crop damages have been reported as caused by typhoons, droughts, and other natural calamities. However, risks and uncertainties could be managed so that the impact could be minimized. Risk management is concerned with reducing the possibility of unfavourable outcomes, or at least softening their effects. One way of reducing risk is through agricultural insurance. When disasters happen, farmers and/or poor farming households will have less access to risk management options needed to cope with the consequences of such events. It has been repeatedly mentioned that crop insurance through indemnity payments serves as a cushion when uncertainties occur. Estacio and Mordeno (2001) wrote that crop insurance is a risk management mechanism designed to even out agricultural risks and blunt the consequence of natural disasters to make losses, especially to the more marginalized farmers, more bearable. Several studies have however alleged that the extent by which income loss is reduced through indemnity is limited because of the small indemnity payment received (Alarkon, 1997; Bacani, 2005; Famorcan, 2006). Insurance is generally defined as: the form of risk management primarily used to hedge against the risk of a contingent, uncertain loss (Dickson, 1960). Insurance is likewise defined as the reasonable shift of the risk of a loss, from one unit to another, in substitute for payment. Agricultural insurance is not only limited to crops, but also covers livestock, forestry, and even aquaculture. Given that they produce the country’s staple which is very much vulnerable to agricultural risks, rice farmers would benefit from insurance as a strategy to deal with such risks. To address this problem, the Philippine government has come up with a range of risk management programs for farmers. One of these measures is the Philippine Crop Insurance Corporation’s (PCIC) Crop Insurance Program. Agricultural insurance is a government program that provides insurance protection to agricultural producers against loss of the crops, livestock and agricultural assets on account of natural calamities, plant pests and diseases and/or other perils. The PCIC, created through Presidential Decree No. 1467, which was promulgated on 11 June 1989 (PCIC Annual Report, 2010) is directly responsible for its implementation. Presidential Decree (PD) No. 1467, as amended by Presidential Decree No. 1733 and Republic Act (RA) 8175, tasks the PCIC to provide insurance protection to the country’s agricultural producers, particularly the subsistence farmers, against loss of their crops and non-crop agricultural assets on account of natural calamities, such as typhoons, floods, drought, earthquake, volcanic eruption, pest and disease outbreak and/or other perils” (PCIC Annual 2011). The PCIC Program provides agricultural insurance like rice crop insurance, corn crop insurance and high-value commercial crop insurance. It has partnerships with cooperatives and financial institutions like the Land Bank of the Philippines (LBP) for the delivery of indemnity payments. In Laguna, the National Irrigation Administration Region IV Employees Multipurpose Cooperative or NEMCO Office in Pila, Laguna and the New Batong Malake Multi-purpose Cooperative (NBMMPC) office in Los Banos, Laguna are two of the cooperatives that deliver indemnity payments to the farmers. Among the types of farmers covered by the crop insurance, rice farmers are included among the most vulnerable to typhoons, droughts and other extreme or risky events that can lead to significant losses or damages, subsequently reducing their income. In Laguna, the most vulnerable to floods are those whose rice farms are situated near the lakeshore. A risk management option like participating in the Rice Insurance Program of the PCIC may or may not assure the farmer of a safety net for escaping the poverty trap as it is not generally known to what extent the Rice Insurance Program of PCIC reduces the income loss of farmers through the amounts of indemnities that they receive. As argued by Leatham et al (1987) crop insurance would only be preferred by moderately risk-averse farmers when farm firm failure becomes an issue. This study hopes to shed light on the role of the PCIC’s rice insurance program on the net income losses of the participating farmers. 2. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY This study examined the factors affecting the rice farmers’ participation in the PCIC’s Rice Insurance Program and determined the effects of the program on the reduction in income loss of the farmer-participants in selected lakeshore municipalities of Laguna. Specifically, the study aimed to: 1. Describe the socio-economic characteristics of the non-participating and participating rice farmers in the PCIC’s Rice Insurance Program; 2. Examine the factors that influenced the rice farmers’ decision to participate or not to participate in the PCIC’s Rice Insurance Program; 3. Determine the effects of selected factors such as farm size, source of risk, farm location, and variety on the percentage of yield loss; 4. Assess the influence of percentage of yield loss, rice variety, production cost, stage of the crop when damage occurred, and farm size on the amount of indemnity payments; and 5. Determine and compare the extent of reduction in the net loss in income of the rice farmer-participants in the Rice Insurance Program by farm size, farm location, and tenure status. 3. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK The decision of the rice farming households to participate in the Rice Insurance Program is expected to be influenced by selected household and farm characteristics (household income, tenure status, farm size, farm location relative to the lakeshore), access to credit from banking institutions, membership in a cooperative, and their extent of awareness about the PCIC Rice Insurance Program (Figure 1). Rice farmers who have higher household income are less likely to participate in the Rice Insurance Program than the farmers with lower household income because even if they incur a loss, they would still have other sources of income to be used for the next cropping season. Owneroperators are more likely to participate in the Rice Insurance Program than leaseholders. Meanwhile, farmers whose rice farms are near the lakeshore are more likely to participate in the Rice Insurance Program than the farmers whose farms are located farther from the lakeshore since they expect to incur more crop losses due to flooding. Meanwhile, rice farmers who avail of a loan from banks have a higher probability of participating in the Rice Insurance Program than non-bank borrowers because it is a bank requirement for accessing loans from a bank (e.g., Land Bank). Rice farmers who lack or have limited knowledge about the Rice Insurance Program are less likely to participate in this crop insurance program of the PCIC than those who have more knowledge about the features of the program. Rice farmers who have experienced damages due to flood, drought, earthquake, and pest and disease incidence are more likely to participate in the Rice Insurance Program of PCIC. Household and Farm 4. Characteristics: Other Factors - 5.Household income 6.(farm and non-farm) - Tenure status - 7.Farm size - Location/distance of 8. the farm from the 9.lakeshore Awareness of the PCIC Rice Insurance Program - Credit access to financial institutions - Damage experienced 10. Participate/Not Participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program Figure 1. Conceptual framework showing the factors affecting the rice farmers’ decision to participate/not participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program Figure 2 shows the effects of the PCIC Rice Insurance Program on the reduction of rice farmerparticipants’ income losses through indemnity payments. Climatic factors such as floods, typhoons and droughts cause severe crop damages and result in yield and income losses of the farmers. Other factors like pest and disease incidence, fire, and earthquake also contribute to crop damages which would result in income losses. With the participation of the farmers in the PCIC’s Rice Insurance Program, these losses are expected to be reduced through indemnity payments. The extent of income loss reduction, however, may vary among the rice farmers due to variation in the amount of indemnity payments received by the farmer-participants. The amount of indemnity payments are expected to be influenced by the percentage of yield loss, total production cost incurred at the time of damage, stage of the crop at the time of loss. PCIC categorized the percentage of yield loss as the total loss (90 percent and above), partial loss (10 percent and below 90 percent), and no loss (10 percent or less). It is, therefore, expected that the amount of indemnity received by the rice farmer-participants would increase with the increase in the percentage of yield loss. Climatic Factors: Other Risk Factors: Floods Typhoons Drought Crop Damage/ Income Loss Amount of Insurance Indemnity - Percentage of yield loss - Production cost - Stage of cultivation at the time of loss - Variety - Farm size - Reduced Income - Loss Pest and Diseases Earthquakes Fires Nearness to lakeshore PCIC Rice Insurance Program Figure 2. Conceptual framework showing the factors affecting the amount of indemnity payments and the effects of the PCIC Rice Insurance Program on income loss reduction of rice farmers in selected municipalities in Laguna The amount of production inputs that can be covered by the program is from PhP 39,000 to PhP 52,000 per hectare depending on the rice variety. It is also expected that farmers who incurred higher total production cost at the time of loss would receive a higher amount of indemnity payment compared to those who incurred lower total production cost. Under the Rice Insurance Program, the stages of cultivation covered are planting (direct seeding or transplanting) to harvesting (flowering or reproductive stage). It is, therefore, expected that the amount of indemnity payment would be higher if the time of loss is during the flowering or reproductive stage compared to early stages of the rice crop. The Rice Insurance Program covers ceilings for inbred and hybrid varieties. A maximum of 20 percent to cover a portion of the value of the expected yield can be received at the option of the farmer entailing additional cost. It is expected that the amount of indemnity received will be higher for rice farmers using hybrid rice variety because of its higher expected yield and production cost as compared to the rice farmers who planted inbred rice variety. It is also expected that large farms would receive higher indemnity payments per farm than those with smaller farms since they pay more insurance premiums. Since the percentage of yield loss is a determinant of the amount of indemnity payment, the factors that affect the percentage of yield loss will be assessed in this study. The percentage of yield loss may vary depending on the farm’s location relative to the lakeshore, source of risk/damage, variety, and farm size. It is expected that rice farmers whose farms are near the lakeshore will have higher percentage of yield losses than those whose farms are far from the lakeshore. It is further expected that rice farmers whose wet season crops were damaged by typhoons and floods incurred higher percentage of yield loss than those whose crops were damaged due to pests and diseases. Rice farmers who planted hybrid rice varieties are also expected to have higher percentage of yield loss than those who used inbred varieties. Although the hybrid rice variety has a higher yield than inbred varieties, it is more susceptible to pests and diseases and is vulnerable to floods (IRRI, 2005). Rice farmers who have large farms are expected to have higher percentage of yield loss than those with smaller farms. Hypotheses of the Study 1. Household income, tenure status of the farmer, farm size, location/distance of the farm from the lakeshore, loan borrower in a bank, and extent of awareness of the rice crop insurance program significantly influence the rice farmers’ decision to participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program. 2. The percentage of yield loss is significantly affected by the location/distance of the farm from the lakeshore, source of risk/damage, rice variety, and farm income. 3. The percentage of yield loss, total production cost incurred at the time of damage, stage of the crop at the time of loss, rice variety, stage of cultivation at the time of loss, and farm size are the significant determinants of the amount of indemnity payments. 4. The rice farmers’ mean loss in farm income is significantly reduced as a result of their participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program. 5. The mean loss in farm income after receiving indemnity payments is significantly higher for farmer-participants with large farms compared to those with small farms. 4. METHODOLOGY Types of Data and Methods of Data Collection Both primary and secondary data were used in this study. Primary data were collected through personal interviews with 40 rice farmers participating and 40 non-participating farmers in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program in selected towns of Laguna around the coast of Laguna de Bay using pre-tested interview schedule. The data collected only covered the most recent calamity period that hit the province of Laguna, which was identified during the 2012 wet season cropping period. At that time, the typhoon Habagat destroyed the rice crop of most of the farmers along the lakeshore. Secondary data including the names of rice farmer-participants who received indemnity payments, the percentage of estimated yield loss by source of damage/risk, and the amount of indemnity payments that they received were obtained. Sources of secondary data included the National Irrigation Administration Region IV Employees’ Multipurpose Cooperative (NEMCO) Office in Pila, Laguna and the New Batong Malake Multi-purpose Cooperative (NBMMPC) office in Los Baños, Laguna. Sampling Procedure Rice growing, lakeshore municipalities in Laguna composed of Bay, Calauan, Pila, Sta. Cruz and Victoria which are very prone to flooding caused by typhoons were purposively selected as the study areas. These municipalities have also the highest number of rice farmers who received indemnity payments. Selection of the Sample Farmer-Respondents From the list provided by NEMCO and NBMMPC, a total of 40 farmer-respondents were randomly chosen. All the 40 rice farmer-participant respondents filed indemnity claims at the PCIC Office in Region 4. The same number of farmers whose rice farms are situated near the participants’ calamity-affected rice farms were purposively chosen in each municipality to serve as the respondents under the non-participant category. Analytical Procedure Logit Analysis Econometric methods that can be used in studying farmers’ participation in a crop insurance program are binary models such as logit and probit analyses. Logit and probit models are certain types of regression models in which the dependent or response variable is dichotomous in nature, taking a 1 or 0 value (Vashist, 2011).The logit technique allows the examination of the effects of a number of variables on the underlying probability of a dichotomous dependent variable. The logit model uses a cumulative logistic probability function while the probit model emerges from the normal distribution function. The chief difference between logit and probit models is that the logistic curve has slightly flatter tails while the normal or probit function approaches the axes more quickly than the logistic curve. The sigmoid or S-shaped curve of the cumulative logistic function very much resembles the cumulative distribution function of a random variable (Gujarati, 1988). Qualitatively, logit and probit models give similar results, but the estimates of the two parameters are not directly comparable. The logit model is generally used in preference to the probit model for the following reasons (Green, 1990; Vasisht, 2011; and Fernando, 2012): (1) logit analysis produces statistically sound results. By allowing the transformation of a dichotomous dependent variable to a continuous variable ranging from –α to infinity, the problem of out of range estimates is avoided; (2) logit analysis provides results which can be easily interpreted and the method is simple to analyze; and (3) it gives parameters which are asymptotically consistent, efficient and normal so that the analogue of the regression t-test can be applied. Considering the advantages of logit analysis over probit analysis, logit analysis was employed to determine the factors that significantly influence the decision of the rice farmers to participate in PCIC Rice Insurance Program. The logit regression model was estimated using STATA 10 software program. The general form of logit regression model is specified as: P f ( X ) e( X ) 1 ( X ) ( X ) 1 e 1 e Where: P is the vector of probabilities of a choice, E is the base of natural logarithms, X is the vector of independent variables, α is the constant, and β is the vector of other estimated coefficients corresponding to X in the model. In order to apply a linear form, the above function can be written as follows: Ln[Pi/(1-Pi)] = α + βiXi + εi where: i presents the individual farmer i, ε is error term. In this study, the empirical model of the simple logit functional form to determine the farmer’s choice of whether to participate or not participate in the Rice Insurance Program is shown below: p Zi = Ln i 1 pi = α0 + α1.educ + α2.hincome + α3.fsize + α4.distancdummye + α5.loandummy+ α6.awareness + ui where: pi = the probability of choice of farmer i with regard to participation in the Rice Insurance Program. The value of the dependent variable is 1 if a farmer chooses to participate in the program and it takes a value of 0 if a farmer decides not to participate in the program. α0 = intercept educ = level of education of the rice farmer in years hincome = household income in pesos per year fsize = actual farm area planted to rice in hectares distancedummy = dummy variable for distance of the rice farm from the lakeshore of Laguna de Bay. This variable was used to capture the effect of location of the farm from the lakeshore. A value of 0 was assigned for farms with distance of less than of equal to five kilometers (km) from the lake and 1for farms with distance of more than 5 km from the lake Loandummy = dummy for loan availment from a bank, where a farmer who availed of a loan was assigned a value of 1 and zero otherwise knowledge = extent of knowledge of the Rice Insurance Program measured in terms of knowledge score. The knowledge score was determined using screening questions to test each farmer’s knowledge or extent of awareness of the objectives, insurance application requirements, insured risks and indemnity, and claims process under the PCIC Rice Insurance Program (Appendix 1). The knowledge score was computed as the number of correct answers to 20 questions asked of the farmers about the rice crop insurance program and its processes. This was part of the interview schedule. A point for a correct answer and no point for a wrong answer will be given. The total number of correct answers was divided by the total number of questions and multiplied by 100 to get the percentage knowledge score. The highest percentage score was 100 percent while zero was the lowest. αi (i = 1 to 6) = coefficients of independent variables in the logit model e = the base of natural logarithms and approximately equal to 2.718 ui = error term The parameters were estimated by using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) technique. The marginal effects of the probability of choice of the farmers were also estimated. To determine the partial effect of factor Xi on Pi, the marginal effect of Xi on Pi was calculated by taking the partial derivative of Pi with respect to Xi. In the logit model, the marginal effect represents the change in probability caused by a unit change in Xi, ceteris paribus. To test the significance of the coefficients of the explanatory variables in the model, the ttest was used as follows: tC = /Se( ) H0: β = 0 (the independent variable has no effect on the decision to participate in the Rice Insurance Program H1: β ≠ 0 (the independent variable has an effect on the decision to participate in the Rice Insurance Program where: is the estimated coefficient of the independent variable in the model; and Se( ) is estimated standard error of coefficient of the independent variable Reject H0 if tC> t critical value at an appropriate level of significance Cost and Returns Analysis Cost and returns analysis on per farm and per hectare bases was undertaken to determine the extent of total income loss incurred by the rice farmer-participants before receiving indemnity payments. Gross margin was used as measure of profit in rice production. Gross margin was computed as follows: Gross Margin = Gross Return – Total Variable Cost A positive gross margin means that rice production is profitable. Conversely, a negative value of gross margin indicates a loss in rice production. This will be referred to in this study as income loss before receiving indemnity claims. Estimation of Loss in Farm Income after Receiving Indemnity Claims Loss in farm income after receiving indemnity claims was estimated as follows: Income Loss in Farm Income before Receiving Indemnity Claims – Amount of Indemnity Received. The t-test of means was employed to find out if the mean loss in income after receiving the indemnity claims by the farmer-participants was significantly reduced as a result of their participation in the Rice Insurance Program. Per hectare comparison was also done. In addition, net loss in farm income was compared between small (less than or equal to 1.5 ha) and large farms (above 1.5 ha). The t-test of means was conducted to determine if there was a significant difference in the mean loss in farm income per hectare of per farm after receiving indemnity claims between these two farm size groups. Multiple Regression Analysis for factors affecting yield loss Multiple regression analysis was conducted to determine the factors affecting yield loss. Percentage yield loss (PYL) in 2012 (i.e., with calamity) was estimated as follows: = Expected yield in a normal year – Actual harvested yield in 2012 x 100 Expected yield in a normal year The percentage yield loss regression model is expressed as: PYL = a + b1X1 + b2X2+ b3X3 + b4X4+ b5X5 Where: Y = percentage of yield loss in percent X1 = Dummy for distance of the farm from the lakeshore X2 = Flood risk/damage dummy (0= no floods; 1= flood/typhoon) X3 = Pest risk/damage dummy (0 = no pest and disease incidence; 1= with pest and disease attack) X4 = Rice variety dummy (1= hybrid variety; 0 = inbred variety) X5 = farm size in hectares For the per hectare analysis, X5 was omitted in the percentage yield loss regression model. To determine the significant factors affecting the amount of indemnity payments, multiple regression analysis was also employed. The multiple regression model with the amount of indemnity payments as the dependent variable is shown below: AIP = a + b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X3+b4X4+b5X5 Where: AIP = amount of indemnity payment in pesos X1= percentage yield loss X2 = total production cost at the time of loss, in pesos X3= Dummy for the stage of the cultivation when damage occurred (0 = before flowering or reproductive stage and 1 = during the flowering or reproductive stage) X4 = Rice variety dummy (0 = inbred variety and 1= hybrid variety) X5 = farm size in hectares X5 was omitted in the AIP per hectare regression model. In both multiple regression models, the t-test was used to determine the significant independent variables that affect the amount of indemnity payment (the dependent variable). The F-test was utilized to determine the overall significance of the estimated regression model. The coefficient of multiple determination (R2) was estimated to examine the goodness of fit of the data. 5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The Study Area The province of Laguna belongs to the CALABARZON Region in Luzon. It is located southeast of Metro Manila, south of the province of Rizal, west of Quezon province, north of Batangas, and east of Cavite. The province also envelops the southern shorelines of Laguna de Bay, which is the largest lake in the country. Its capital, Santa Cruz, is one of the selected municipalities and is also near Laguna de Bay. The other lakeshore municipalities included in the study are Bay, Pila, Victoria and Calauan. Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Sample Farmer Respondents: Participants and NonParticipants in the Rice Insurance Program Age, Household Size, Household Income and Education Results of the t-test of means did not show significant differences in the mean age, household size, household income, number of children below 18 years old, the and number of employed children between the farmer-participants and the non- participants at 10 percent probability level, except for the mean educational attainment of the household head, which is significantly different between the two farmer groups at 1 percent probability level (Table 1). The rice farmer-participant respondents have an average age of 52.65 ranging from 31 to 99 years old. The non-participant respondents meanwhile have an average age of 53.55 years ranging from 31-79 years and most of them are from their 50’s to 60’s. The average household size of the participant-respondents and the non-participant respondents is four (Table 1). The non-participants have an average annual household income amounting to PhP 198,100 while the farmer-participants’ average household income is PhP 190,741. The farmerparticipants have significantly higher average formal education than the non-participants with 10.18 and 7.38 years, respectively. On average, both farmer-respondent categories mentioned that more or less one of their children is below 18 years of age and that least one of them is employed. Table 1. Average age, household size, household income, educational attainment of the household head, number of children below 18 years old, and number of employed children, 40 sample farmer-participants and 40 sample nonparticipants in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS Average age (years) FARMERPARTICIPANTS NON- PARTICIPANTS 52.65 53.55 Household size (number) 4 4 Household income (PhP) 190741 198100 Formal education (years) 10.18 7.38*** Number of children below 18 years old 1 1 Number of employed children 2 2 Note: The results of the t-test of means did not show significant differences in the mean age, household size, household income, number of children below 18 years of age, and the number of employed children between the farmer-participants and the non- participants at 10% probability level, except for education which is significantly different between the two farmer groups at 1% probability level Gender Distribution, Main Occupation, and Engagement in Off and Non-Farm Activities The number and percent reporting by gender distribution, main occupation and in offfarm and non-farm activities of the farmer respondents are shown in Table 2. Majority of the farmer-participants and non-participants are mostly male representing 77.5 and 72.5 percent of the total, respectively. The main occupation of most of the farmer-participants and the nonparticipants is farming as cited by 85 and 97.5percent of the respondents, respectively. Table 2. Number and percent reporting by sex distribution, main occupation, engagement in off- and non-farm activities, and tenure status, 40 sample farmer-participants and 40 non-participants in the Rice Insurance Program in selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 ITEM Sex Distribution Male Female Total Main Occupation Farmer Government Employee Private Employment Agricultural Trader Carpenter Total PARTICIPANTS Number Percent NON PARTICIPANTS Number Percent 31 9 40 77.5 22.5 100.0 29 11 40 72.5 27.5 100.0 34 4 1 1 85.0 10.0 2.5 2.5 39 97.5 2.5 100.0 40 100.0 1 40 Engaged in Off Farm Work Yes No Total 10 30 40 25.0 75.0 100.0 6 34 40 15.0 85.0 100.0 Engaged in Non Farm Work Yes No Total 21 19 40 52.5 47.5 100.0 17 23 40 42.5 57.5 100.0 Tenure Status Owner-operator Lessee Owner-tenant Total 9 30 1 40 22.5 75.0 2.5 100.0 5 34 1 40 12.5 85.0 2.5 100.0 Table 2 also shows that a relatively higher percentage of the farmer-participants (25%) are engaged in off-farm jobs than the non-participant respondents (15%). Both farmer groups reported that they worked as hired labor in other farms during peak labor demands (e.g., planting and harvesting) to augment their household incomes. In addition, both farmer categories claimed that they have made themselves available even in non- farm work particularly during the lean labor demand for their respective farms. A higher percentage (52.5%) of the farmer-participants compared to non-participant respondents (42.5%) mentioned that they likewise engage in nonfarm jobs. Majority of the farmer-participants are leaseholders (75 percent). Only 22.5 percent were owner-operators. A lone respondent (2.5%) is both an owner as well as a tenant. Most (85%) of the non-participants are also leaseholders. About 12.5 percent tilled their own farms and only one non-participant is both an owner and tenant of the farms that he tills. Farm Characteristics Results of the t-test of means showed that the mean farm size and the mean number of parcels were not significantly different between the sample farmer-participants and the nonparticipants at 10 percent probability level. The average farm size of a participant-respondent is 2.68 hectares while that of the non-participant is 2.43 hectares (Table 3). The farmer-participants also reported to have an average number of parcels of 14 compared with 12 for the nonparticipants. Most (82.5%) of the sample farmer-participants reported that their rice farms are situated less than five kilometers away from the lakeshore. Conversely, majority of the non-participants (52.5%) mentioned that their rice farms are located more than five kilometers away from the lakeshore. Most of the farms of both farmer groups (85% of the farmer-participants and 92.5% of the non-participants) are situated in low lying/flat areas. The major source of irrigation water of the sample farmer-participants is communal irrigation system (45%), followed by the National Irrigation System (35%). Only 25 percent of the farmer-participants rely on pumps and spring water for irrigation. In contrast, majority (70%) of the non-participants use pumps or spring water to irrigate their farms. Only 17.50 percent and 15 percent of the non-participants source their irrigation water from the communal irrigation system and the National Irrigation System, respectively. Table 3.Farm characteristics of 40 sample farmer-participants and 40 non-participants in the Rice Insurance Program, in selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 FARMERFARM CHARACTERISTICS PARTICIPANT NON- PARTICIPANT Average farm size (ha)a 2.68 2.43 Average number of parcelsb 14.43 12.00 Number Percent Number Percent Geographical Location Less than 1 km from the lakeshore 16 40.0 11 27.5 1-5 km from the lakeshore 17 42.5 8 20.0 7 17.5 21 52.5 34 85.0 37 92.5 6 15.0 3 7.5 National Irrigation System 14 35.0 6 15.0 Communal Irrigation System 18 45.0 7 17.5 Pump/Spring 10 25.0 28 70.0 More than 5 km from the lakeshore Farm Topography Flat/Low lying Elevated Water Sourcec a Results of the t-test of means showed that there is no significant difference in the mean farm size between the two farmer groups (t-value is 0.429) at 10% probability level b Results of the t-test of means showed that there is no significant difference in the mean number of parcels between the two farmer groups (t-value is 0.705) at 10% probability level c The total percentage exceeds 100% since two participant and one non-participant reported two sources of irrigation water Results of Logit Analysis Showing the Factors the Significant Factors that Influence the Farmers’ Decision to Participate or Not to Participate in the Rice Insurance Program of PCIC Results of the logit analysis reveals that knowledge score or awareness of the farmer about the Rice Crop Insurance Program, tenure status, and the distance of the farm from the lake were the significant factors that influenced the farmer’s decision on whether to participate or not participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program (Table 4). Table 4.Results of logit analysis showing the factors that influence the farmer’s decision to participate or not participate in PCIC Rice Insurance Program, 80 sample farmer-respondents, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 VARIABLE Constant CCOEFFICIENT t-VALUE 6.30*** 3.06 10.75*** 3.98 MARGINAL EFFECTS t-VALUE OF MARGINAL EFFECT Independent Variables: Knowledge Score Education 2.66** 0.24ns 1.41 -6.74E-07ns -0.38 1.72* 1.59 0.40* 1.82 Area Planted 0.16ns 0.59 0.04ns 0.57 Distance from the lake -2.34* -1.76 Household Income Tenure Dummy Bank availment 0.39ns X2 80.43*** Pseudo R2 1.22 0.06ns 4.03 -1.67E-07 -0.52** -0.09ns 1.50 0.00 -2.17 -0.31 0.72 ***, **, and * - mean significant at 1%, 5%, and 10% probability level, respectively ns – not significant at 10% probability level As expected, the coefficient of knowledge score is highly significant at one percent probability level and is positive, indicating that the higher the awareness of the farmer or knowledge about the Rice Insurance Program, the higher is the probability that he/she will participate in the program. The coefficient of the tenure dummy variable is positive and significant at 10 percent probability level. This means that an owner-operator is more likely to participate in the program than a lessee. In other words, the more secure the tenure status, the higher is the probability that the farmer will participate in the insurance program. Meanwhile, the coefficient of dummy for the distance of the farm from the lake is negative and significant at 10 percent probability level. The negative coefficient indicates that the farther the distance of the farm from the lakeshore, the lower the probability that a farmer will participate in the Rice Insurance Program. Household income, educational attainment of the farmer, area planted, and credit access from a bank were found to have no significant influence on the farmer’s decision to participate in the Rice Insurance Program at 10 percent probability level. The possible reason why credit access from a bank has insignificant effect on farmers’ participation in the Rice Insurance Program is that both the participant and the non-participant-respondents might have availed of loans from banking institutions. The regression line is quite robust with a Х2 highly significant and Pseudo R2 equal to 0.72. The Pseudo R2 implies that the variation in the independent variables collectively explain 72 percent of the variation in the probability of farmers’ participation in the Rice Insurance Program. Marginal effects refer to the changes in probability given a unit change in the independent variable and are a more useful basis for interpreting the results of the logit model. The estimated marginal effects as shown in Table 4 suggest that the impact of the independent variables such as knowledge about the program, tenure, and distance of the farm from the lakeshore on the farmer’s decision to participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program is statistically significant. In particular, knowledge about the program as measured by the knowledge score appeared to have a higher impact on the probability of participating in the PCIC Program. For example, a 1 percent increase in the knowledge score will increase the probability of participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program by approximately 3 percent, holding other factors constant. An owneroperator has 0.4 percent more probability to be a participant in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program than the tenant/lessee while an increase in farm distance by more than five kilometers from the lakeshore lowers the probability of participation by 0.52 percent. Reasons for Participating/Non-participating in the Rice Insurance Program The sample farmer-participants cited that the major reason for their participation in the program is that getting rice insurance is part of the lending requirement of the LBP when they borrowed from the bank (Table 5). Table 5. Reasons for participating in the Rice Insurance Program, 40 sample farmer-participants, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012. REASONS FOR PARTICIPATING Part of the requirement for applying for an agricultural loan a NUMBER 34 PERCENTa 85.0 To reduce risk in farming 26 65.0 Recruited by the technician of the cooperative 2 5.0 Convinced by friends 1 2.5 Total exceeded 100 percent due to multiple responses of some respondents Majority (95%) of the farmer non-participant respondents for the 2012 wet season crop have not previously participated in the program, the major reason for non-participation in the program was their being unaware of the existence of the rice crop insurance program of the PCIC as cited by 57.9 percent of the farmer respondents who have not previously participated in the program (Table 6). The other major reason for non-participation, as reported by 39.5 percent of farmer non-participant respondents, was their “being busy” to attend to the documentation requirements of the program. It was also found in this study, that technical assistance of the technicians of NEMCO and NBMMC has been ably provided. Table 6. Reasons for non-participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program, 38 sample non-participants, selected lakeshore municipalities of Laguna, 2012 wet season. NUMBER 22 PERCENTa 57.9 Too busy to participate 15 39.5 Benefit of insurance not proven 6 15.8 Can financially sustain farming business 5 13.2 Too many requirements 2 5.3 REASONS Unaware of PCIC Rice Insurance Program a Total percentage exceeds 100% due to multiple responses of some respondents Results of Regression Analysis to Assess the Factors Affecting Percentage Yield Loss Results of the multiple regression analysis to determine the factors affecting percent yield loss showed that the flood risk variable had a positive and significant coefficient. The coefficient implies that 25 percent of the yield loss in the sample farms is due to the occurrence of floods (Table 7). The pest risks coefficient is negative and not significantly different from zero in both equations. The same is true with farm location, rice variety, and farm size which are not statistically significant at 10 percent probability level. Table 7. Results of multiple regression analysis showing factors affecting yield loss on a per farm and per hectare basis of 40 participant respondents in selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 PER FARM ITEM PER HECTARE Coefficient t-Value Coefficient t-Value 48.42*** 3.07 48.42*** 3.07 Farm Location -3.36ns -0.35 -s3.90ns 0.41 Flood Risk 25.55* 1.80 25.80* 1.84 Pest Risk -4.12ns -0.31 -4.61ns -0.36 Rice Variety 10.39ns 0.72 11.07ns 0.79 Farm Size -0.59ns -0.39 F-Statistic 1.85 2.33** R2 0.21 0.21 Constant Coefficients of Independent Variables: ***, **, and * mean significant at 1% , 5%, and 10%, respectively ns – not significant at 10% probability level Only the F-statistic of theper hectare equation is significant at 5 percent level. This implies that the independent variables collectively affect the percent yield loss for the per hectare analysis. The R2 in both forms of equation is 0.21, which indicates that only about 21 percent of the variation in percent yield loss is explained by the independent variables included in the equation (Table 7). Only the hypothesis that flood risk affects percent yield loss was proven. Comparison of Mean Amount Indemnity Received by Percent Yield Loss, Variety Planted, Production Cost, and Farm Size Table 8 compares the average amount of indemnity received by the farmer-participants by percent yield loss, variety planted, production cost, stage of production when calamity occurred, and farm size. Results indicate that the average amounts of indemnities received by the farmer-participants increased as the percent yield loss increases. The average amount on indemnity for rice farms that incur yield losses ranging from 0-25 percent was estimated at PhP 6,000 while rice farms that recorded losses that ranged from 26-50 percent were given average indemnities amounting to PhP 10,848. The most affected farms (76-100 percent yield loss) were indemnified with an average of PhP17,895. These findings suggest that the severity of damage to rice crops increases as manifested in percentage losses were fairly treated in terms of higher average amounts of indemnities. The average amount of indemnity is also positively influenced by the total cost of production incurred by the farmers. For a farmer that recorded a total production less than PhP25,000, an average indemnity of PhP9,527 has been received. For production costs that belong to the ranges PhP25,000-49,999 and PhP50,000 and above, average indemnities of PhP 10,818 and PhP 14,932 were respectively provided by the PCIC. Similarly, this study found out that average amount of indemnity increases when the time of disaster occurred during the later stage of crop production. Table 8. Average amount of indemnity received by 40 sample farmer-participants in selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 ITEM NUMBER AVERAGE AMOUNT OF INDEMNITY (PhP) Range of Percent Yield Loss: 0-25% 26-50% 51-75% 76-100% F-Value 2 13 7 16 6,000 7,065 10,848 17,895 15.07*** Variety Planted: Hybrid Local t-Value 35 5 11,838 12,360 46.20*** Range of Production Cost Less than Php 25000 Php 25000-49999 Php 50000 and above F-Value 11 15 14 9,527 10,818 14,932 51.95*** Stage of Crop Production Vegetative to Tillering Flowering Harvesting F- Value 12 27 1 10,013 12,406 21,000 18.79*** Farm Size Range: 1.5 ha and below Above 1.5 ha t -Value 19 21 11,318 12,432 21.28*** ***Significant at 1% probability level When natural calamities happened during vegetative, flowering and harvesting stages of crop production, average indemnity amounts of PhP10,003, PhP12,406 and PhP21,000 were received by the farmer-participants, respectively. Results also show that the average amounts of indemnities similarly increase with farm size but on a smaller proportion. Moreover, affected farms that utilized local rice varieties received an average amount of which is slightly higher than rice farms planted to hybrid varieties of rice. Results of the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) in Table 8 suggest that the variations among groups for percent yield loss, production cost, and the stage of the crop categories were highly significant at one percent probability based on the Fstatistics. However, ANOVA does not indicate which pairs of groups are significantly different from each other. The t-test of means was therefore conducted to assess which pairs of groups for the afore-mentioned categories are significantly different. Further analysis showed that all the pairs of groups compared for the afore-mentioned categories are significantly different at one percent probability level. Results of Regression Analysis to Assess the Factors Affecting the Amount of Indemnity Payment In both the farm and per hectare equations, percent yield loss exhibits highly significant regression coefficients, indicating that it influences the amount of indemnity payments significantly (Table 9). At the farm level, an increase of one percent in the percent yield loss increases the amount of indemnity paid by PhP137. On a per hectare basis, the amount would be PhP145. Results also indicate that at the farm level, the regression coefficient of production cost is positive and highly significant at one percent probability level. This is also true for the per hectare basis. Table 9. Results of multiple regression analysis showing the factors affecting the amount of indemnity payment on per farm and per hectare basis, 40 sample farmerparticipants, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 PER FARM ITEM Constant Coefficient -411.53 PER HECTARE t-Value Coefficient t-Value -0.12 -3156.36 -0.75 Regression Coefficients of Independent Variables: Percent Yield Loss 137.91*** 3.38 145.33*** 3.42 Production Cost 0.088*** 2.67 0.19 1.46 Stage of Cultivation of Rice Crop 1539.01 0.55 2316.72 0.79 Variety Dummy -1370.79 -0.37 -1573.30 -0.40 Farm Size F-Statistic R2 817.51* 4.80*** 0.41 1.69 4.20*** 0.32 ***, * - Significant at 1% and 10% probability level, respectively The stage of cultivation of the rice crop represented by the before flowering stage and during and after the flowering stage did not yield significant results. The coefficient is positive, but not significant at 10 percent probability level. Variety also does not have a significant influence on the amount of indemnity payment. At the farm level equation, farm size had a positive and statistically significant coefficient. The result implies that as farm size increases by one hectare, the amount of indemnity payment increases by PhP817. The estimated F-statistics shows the overall significance of the estimated equation. As shown in Table 9, the F-statistics for both farm and per hectare equations are significant, thus implying that the variables taken together, affect the dependent variable (amount of indemnity). R2 at the farm equation is 0.41, while R2 in the per hectare equation is 0.32. For the per farm equation, the R2 value indicates that 41 percent of the variation in the amount of indemnity is explained all the independent variables included in the estimated regression model. Comparison of the Costs and Returns between the 2010 and 2012 Wet Season Rice Crops Results of the cost and returns analysis for a normal year represented by 2010 wet season and for a calamity year represented by the 2012 wet season are summarized in Table 10. The average per farm gross margin or profit in the last normal year 2010 was PhP 66,672.23. Adjusting this to 2012 prices using the CPI as deflator, the 2010 wet season deflated gross margin (expressed in 2012 prices) is estimated to be PhP 72,347.63. On the other hand, the average loss per farm during the wet season 2012 was PhP 12,776.10. Farmers reported the cause of loss to Habagat. On a per hectare basis, the average gross margin was PhP 29,345.17 in 2010 and PhP 31,843.15 as expressed in 2012 prices. The loss per hectare during the wet season of 2012 was PhP 5,623.28. In effect, the total income loss per farm and per hectare as a result of the calamity in 2012 relative to the 2010 normal year was PhP 59,571.53 and PhP 26,219.87, respectively. This can also be construed as the cost of damage during the wet season 2012 due to the calamity. Meanwhile, Table 11 shows the costs and returns comparison between farms which are near the lake (0-5 km from the lakeshore) and those far from the lake (>5 km from the lakeshore) on a per hectare basis. The average per hectare gross margin of a farm near the lake during the wet season 2010 was PhP 30,790.72, which is equivalent to PhP 33,411.75 in 2012 prices. Those that are far from the lake had an average gross margin of PhP 28,348.87 in wet season 2010. Adjusted to 2012 prices, this is estimated at PhP 30,762.03. The average loss in wet season 2012 experienced by the participants with farms near the lake was estimated to be PhP 9,483.68 as a result of the Habagat while participants whose farms are far from the lake has a lower estimated loss of PhP 2,962.62. These results show the higher vulnerability of the farms near the lake than those farther from the lake to the vagaries of the extreme weather events. The comparison of per hectare costs and returns during the normal year and the calamity year between the farmer-participants by tenure status is summarized in Table 12. The average per hectare gross margin in 2010 of the owner-participants was PhP 28,994.82 which is equivalent to PhP31,462.97 in 2012 prices. The tenant farmer- participants had a 2010 wet season net income average of PhP30,038.75, equivalent to PhP 32,595.77 in 2012 prices. During the wet season 2012, the average loss of PhP 10,307.37 was experienced by the ownerparticipants; while a meager gross margin of PhP 3,649.67 was received by the tenantparticipants. The positive gross margin of the tenants was attributed to the lower production cost they incurred compared to the owners, which may be a function of the low levels of input use of the tenants. Tables 13 and 14 illustrate the comparison between the costs and returns between farmerparticipants who operate small farms (0.5-1.9 ha) and those who have larger farms (>2 ha), on per hectare and per farm basis, respectively. The average gross margin per hectare of the farmerparticipants who have small farms in a normal year (2010) was PhP 31,309.72, which is equivalent to PhP 33,974.93 in 2012 prices (Table 25). During the calamity year of 2012, the average loss per hectare incurred by the participants who have small farms was estimated at PhP 6,771.21. Those who have large farms had an average gross margin per hectare in 2010 of PhP28,448.53, equivalent to PhP 30,870.18 in 2012 prices. An average net loss, however, for the participants who have large farms was estimated to be PhP 5,099.35 per hectare in 2012 wet season. On the other hand, the average gross margin per farm of small farms during the normal year (2010) was PhP 38,769.61, and equivalent to PhP 42,069.83 in 2012 prices (Table 14). For the large farms, these figures were PhP 104,422.82 in 2010 actual prices and PhP 113,311.71 in 2012 prices. During the calamity year (2012), the estimated average loss per farm was PhP 8,384.52 for small farms. For large farms, the estimated loss of the participants was estimated to be PhP 18,717.65, on the average. Table 10. Average gross income, production cost, amount of indemnity received, and profit/loss per farm and per hectare of 40 sample farmer-participants in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2010 and 2012 PER FARM ITEM Gross Income (PhP) Production Cost (PhP) Profit/Loss Before Receiving Indemnity (PhP) Amount of Indemnity Received (PhP) Profit/Loss After Receiving Indemnity (PhP) PER HECTARE Normal 2012 Actual Year in 2012 with Calamity Prices Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Normal Year (2010) 122,945.00 133,410.57 44,782.25 54,113.12 58,719.44 19,710.50 56,272.78 61,062.94 57,558.35 24,767.95 26,876.29 25,333.78 66,672.23 72,347.63 -12,776.10 26,345.17 31,843.15 -5,623.28 0 0 11,952.85 0 0 5,260.94 66,672.23 72,347.63 29,345.17 31,843.15 -362.35 -823.25 Note: Gross margin analysis was used in estimating profit/loss in rice production. Production costs only include variable costs. Table 11. Average gross income, production cost, amount of indemnity received, and profit/loss per hectare by farm location of 40 sample farmer-participants, in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2010 and 2012 >5 KILOMETERS 0-5 KILOMETERS Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Gross Income(PhP) 54,813.92 59,479.89 15,121.36 53,630.11 58,195.32 22,873.42 Production Cost(PhP) 24,023.19 26,068.14 24,605.04 25,281.25 27,433.29 25,836.04 30,790.72 33,411.75 -9,483.68 28,348.87 30,762.03 -2,962.62 0 0 6,776.94 0 0 4,216.08 30,790.72 33,411.75 -2,706.75 28,348.87 30,762.03 1,253.46 ITEM Profit/Loss Before Receiving Indemnity (PhP) Amount of Indemnity Received (PhP) Profit/Loss After Receiving Indemnity (PhP) Note: Gross margin analysis was used in estimating profit/loss in rice production. Production costs only include variable costs. Table 12. Average gross income, production cost, amount of indemnity received, and profit/loss per hectare by tenure status of 40 sample farmer-participants in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2010 and 2012 OWNER TENANT Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Gross Income (PhP) 56,737.33 61,567.04 18,038.92 48,918.03 53,082.13 23,019.67 Production Cost (PhP) 27,742.51 30,104.07 28,346.29 18,879.28 20,486.36 19,370.00 Profit/Loss Before Receiving Indemnity (PhP) 28,994.82 31,462.97 -10,307.37 30,038.75 32,595.77 3,649.67 0 0 5,746.34 0 0 4,300.00 28,994.82 31,462.97 -4,561.03 30,038.75 32,595.77 7,949.67 ITEM Amount of Indemnity Received (PhP) profit/Loss After Receiving Indemnity (PhP) Note: Gross margin analysis was used in estimating profit/loss in rice production. Production costs only include variable costs. Table 13. Average gross income, production cost, amount of indemnity received, and profit/loss per hectare by farm size, 40 sample farmer-participants in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2010 and 2012 0.5-1.9 HECTARES ITEM Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices >2 HECTARES 2012 Actual with Calamity Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Gross Income (PhP) 56,488.76 61,297.31 18,795.29 53,028.85 57,542. 87 Production Cost (PhP) 25,179.04 27,322.38 25,566.50 24,580.32 26,672.69 25,227.56 Profit/Loss Before Receiving Indemnity (PhP) 31,309.72 33,974.93 -6,771.21 28,448.53 30,870.18 -5,099.35 0 0 8,147.82 0 0 3,943.33 1,376.62 28,448.53 30,870.18 -1,156.03 Amount of Indemnity Received (PhP) Profit/Loss After Receiving Indemnity (PhP) 31,309.72 33,974.93 20,128.21 Note: Gross margin analysis was used in estimating profit/loss in rice production. Production costs only include variable costs. Table 14. Average gross income, production cost, amount of indemnity received, and profit/loss per farm by farm size, 40 sample farmer-participants in the Rice Insurance Program, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2010 and 2012 0.5-1.9 HECTARES ITEM Gross Income (PhP) Production Cost (PhP) Profit/Loss Before Receiving Indemnity (PhP) Amount of Indemnity Received (PhP) Profit/Loss After Receiving Indemnity (PhP) >2 HECTARES Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity Normal Year (2010) Normal Year in 2012 Prices 2012 Actual with Calamity 69,947.83 75,902.06 23,273.48 194,647.06 211,216.19 73,882.35 31,178.22 33,832.23 31,658.00 90,224.24 97,904.48 92,600.00 38,769.61 42,069.83 -8,384.52 104,422.82 113,311.71 -18,717.65 0 0 10,089.13 0 0 14,474.34 38,769.61 42,069.83 1,704.61 104,422.82 113,311.71 -4,243.30 Note: Gross margin analysis was used in estimating profit/loss in rice production. Production costs only include variable costs. Effects of Participation in the Rice Insurance Program on the Reduction of Farm Income Losses As shown in Tables 10 to 14, the average amounts of losses before the farmers received their indemnity claims were lower than the average amounts of losses after receiving their indemnity claims. The reduction in farmers’ losses was due to the payment of their indemnity claims by PCIC. Table 15 summarizes the results of the t-test of means to determine whether the reduction in the farmers’ income losses was significant. It can be noted that the amounts of losses were significantly reduced as a result of the sample farmers’ participation in the Rice Insurance Program at one percent probability level. Considering all the farmer-participants, the average amount of loss reduced was PhP 11,952.85 per farm and PhP 5,260.94 per hectare. On average, the amount of loss reduced was higher for farmers with farms located near the lakeshore (PhP 6,774.94/ha) as compared to those whose farms are situated far from the lakeshore (PhP 4,216.08) since the former received higher indemnity payments considering that they incurred substantial losses compared to the latter. On a per farm basis, the average amount of loss reduced for bigger farms (PhP 14,474.34) was higher that that of the small farms (PhP10,089.13). Big farms received a larger amount of indemnity compared to small farms. Table 15. Results of the t-test of means to determine the significance of the reduction in income losses as a result of the farmer-participants participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program, 40 sample farmer-participants, selected lakeshore municipalities in Laguna, wet season, 2012 ITEM AVERAGE AMOUNT OF INCOME LOSS REDUCEDa (PhP) 11,952.85 t- VALUE All Farms, Per Hectare 5,260.94 -6.10 Farms Near the Lakeshore (Per Ha) 6,776.94 -5.42 Farms Far from the Lakeshore (Per Ha) 4,216.08 -6.39 Owner (Per Ha) 5,746.34 -7.36 Tenant (Per Ha) 4,300.00 -3.96 Small Farms (Per Ha) 8,147.82 -4.85 Large Farms (Per Ha) 3,943.33 -5.05 Small Farms (Per Farm) 10,089.13 -6.04 Large Farms (Per Farm) 14,474.34 -5.79 All Farms, Per Farm -8.22 a This is the difference between the average amount of loss before receiving the indemnity payment and the average amount of loss after receiving the indemnity payment. The resulting difference is the amount of indemnity payment. 6. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS Findings from the logit analysis revealed that the farmer’s decision to participate in the program was significantly influenced by their awareness of the program, tenure status, and the distance of their farms from the lakeshore. The estimated marginal effects suggest that the impact of the independent variables such as the farmer’s knowledge about the program, tenure status, and the distance of the farm from the lakeshore on the farmer’s decision to participate in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program is statistically significant. In particular, knowledge about the program as measured by the knowledge score appeared to have a higher impact on the probability of participating in the PCIC Program. Multiple regression results showed that percent yield loss is highly influenced by flood risks. Regression results likewise revealed that the significant factors that affected the amount of indemnity payment were percentage yield loss, production cost, and farm size. The amount of indemnity received by a farmer-participant was found to increase with the increase in percentage yield loss. The amount of indemnity was also positively influenced by the total cost of production and farm size. Results of the study showed that the sample farmers’ participation in the Rice Insurance Program of the PCIC has eased their financial burden as a direct result of the indemnities they received. The reduction in mean income losses as a result of the sample farmers’ participation in the PCIC Rice Insurance Program was highly significant at one percent probability level. On average, the percentage reduction in income losses was 94 percent per farm. Based on the results of the study, the following recommendations are suggested: 1. The PCIC management should undertake a more intensive awareness campaigns among participating farmers/farmer groups and other stakeholders to include lending institutions and NGOs. The awareness campaign should focus on the details of the mechanics of the program such as the loss cap provisions by type of pest attack and stage of crop production. Lack of awareness among the farmer-participants has been the root cause of the problems, such as delays in processing of documents and failed expectations of the farmers. Non-participation in the program was also attributed to lack of knowledge or awareness of the program; 2. A more accurate estimation procedure in assessing crop yield loss must be developed by the PCIC. This recommendation is an offshoot of the major problem on the standing crop basis that was mentioned by the farmers as a major basis in assessing both the prevalence and severity of the damage on the rice farms caused by natural calamities. Perhaps a more technically-based approach may be adopted by the team of adjusters and can possibly be facilitated by updating their capabilities through attendance in actual damage-estimation training. A training module of this type maybe requested from the Department of Agriculture or from academic institutions such as the College of Agriculture (CA) of UPLB; 3. The risk classification of the insured farms should be updated. Given the changing biophysical environment as a result of the climate change phenomenon, it is time for the PCIC to update the risk classification of rice farms. Since premium payments vary by risk classification, a single risk classification category for Laguna (e.g., high risk) should be revised depending on the particular location of the participating farmer’s farm. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The authors would like to express their gratitude to Mr Virgilio Lawas of the New Batong Malake Multipurpose Cooperative (NBMMC) and Mr Robert Acuno of the National Irrigation Administration Region IV Employees Multipurpose Cooperative (NEMCO) for providing us the secondary information in the study. 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