Morehead State University College of Science and Technology Department of Mathematics, Computer Science, and Physics Statistics MATH 353- 001 FALL - 2013 (Tentative, Tentative, Tentative, Tentative, .............. ) NOTE: The instructor reserves the right to make changes to this tentative course guide. Any changes during the semester will be for the benefit of the class as a whole and not for an individual or subgroups of students in the class. Instructor: Dr. Lloyd R. Jaisingh. Office: Lappin 201D (LA 201D). Office Phone: (606) - 783-2943. Office Hours: T, Th., F2 – 10:00 am. – 12:00 noon; other times by appointment. e-mail: l.jaisingh@moreheadstate.edu. Course Meeting Times and Place: Lappin Hall 129; 3:00 pm – 4:15 pm TTh. 1 Course Description: *MATH 353. Statistics. (3-0-3); I, II, III. Prerequisites: MATH 123 or MATH 131, or MATH 135, or MATH 141, or MATH 152, or MATH 174, or MATH 175. This course satisfies the area studies - natural and mathematical sciences for general education. The purpose of this course is to present key concepts from a non-calculus point of view in descriptive statistics, probability, discrete and continuous distributions, regression and correlation analysis and modeling, sampling distributions, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for one and two population parameters, and one-way analysis of variance. Applications will be in a wide variety of fields. Technology integration will be restricted to the ones used in the scientific community. This course satisfies the area studiesnatural and mathematical sciences for general education. *A student may receive credit toward graduation in only one of the following: MATH 353 or 354. Course Objectives: By the end of the semester, students will be introduced to some probability and statistical concepts that will enable them to solve and analyze basic real world problems from a statistical standpoint. Texts: (Required text) Elementary Statistics – by Robert Johnson & Patricia Kuby with ACCESS card; Cengage Learning, 11th edition. PLEASE PURCHASE THE COURSE MATERIALS FROM MSU BOOKSTORE (OR MSU BOOKSTORE WEBSITE) BEFORE LOGGING INTO WEB ASSIGN. YOU WILL NEED THEACCESS CARD IN ORDER TO LOG INTO THE COURSE AND REGISTER. NOTE: You may purchase the access only at the Web Assign website. This site includes an e-book version of the text. (Supplemental text) Statistics for the Utterly Confused, 2nd ed., by L. Jaisingh, McGraw-Hill; ISBN 0-07-146193-0. 2 Technology and Resources: You may use the MINITAB for Windows software; the TI-83/84 calculator; or Microsoft EXCEL to aid with calculations. Students may lease the MINITAB software for 6 months for a cost of about $30. Visit Minitab.com for more information. Students can access the resource website at cengagebrain.com for all student resources available for the text. You should make ample use of these student resources listed for each chapter. These will help with the understanding of the content. Course Content: (1) From the Johnson/Kuby Text Chapter 1 - Introduction to Statistics. Chapter 2 – Descriptive Analysis and Presentation of Single-Variable Data (Topics: Graphs; frequency distributions; measures of central tendency (mean , median, and mode); measures of dispersion (range, variance, standard deviation, mean absolute deviation, coefficient of variation); measures of position (z-scores, percentiles, quartiles, deciles). Chapter 3 – Descriptive Analysis and Presentation of Bivariate Data (Topics: bivariate data, scatter plots, linear correlation, linear regression). Chapter 4 – Probability (Topics: probability of events, conditional probability, rules of probability, mutually exclusive events, independent events). Chapter 5 – Discrete Probability distributions (Topics: random variables, discrete random variables, probability distribution for a discrete random variable, mean and variance for a discrete random variable, Bernoulli distribution, binomial distribution). Chapter 6 – Normal probability Distributions (Topics: normal probability distributions, standard normal distribution, applications of the normal probability distribution, normal approximation to the binomial distribution). 3 Chapter 7 – Sample Variability (Topics: sampling distributions, sampling distribution of sample means and sample proportions, sampling distributions for the difference between two sample means and two sample proportions). Chapter 8 – Introduction to Statistical Inference (Topics: point estimate for mean and large sample confidence interval estimates for means, large sample hypothesis test for the mean, p-values, classical approach). Chapter 9 – Inference Involving One Population (Topics: small sample hypothesis tests for the mean, large sample hypothesis test and confidence interval for the Binomial proportion, hypothesis test for a single variance and standard deviation). Chapter 10- Inferences Involving Two Populations (Topics: dependent and independent samples, inferences for the difference between two population means for both dependent and independent samples, inferences for the difference between two proportions, inferences for the ratio of two variances). Chapter 12 – Analysis of Variance (Topics: one-way ANOVA, applications of one-way ANOVA, assumptions for one-way ANOVA). Chapter 13 – Linea Correlation and Regression Analysis (2) Relevant assignments from the Utterly Confused text. Assignment Break Down: Exams – Total of 12 exams (75% of the course). HW – Total of 10 assignments (25% of the course) Each question will be assigned a score of 10 points. Exams and HW: All exams and HW assignments will be done online in the Enhanced Web Assign software. PLEASE MAKE USE OF THE VIDEO LECTURES AVAILABLE FOR EACH CHAPTER. 4 Contents for this course are located at https://www.webassign.net/login.html? To register online into the course and the grade book please use the following course key NOTE: THE WEEKS LISTED BELOW FOLLOW THE WEEKLY SCHEDULE FOR THE SPRING (2013) SEMESTER FOR MOREHEAD STATE UNIVERSITY. THE LITSED WEEKS IN WEB ASSGIN DO NOT NECESSARLY FOLLOW THIS SCHEDULE. WHAT YOU NEED TO PAY ATTENTENTION TO ARE THE DUE DATES AND TIMES FOR THE ASSIGNMENTS. Exams and Home Work: Week 1: Monday, August 19th – Friday, August 23rd NO ASSIGNMENTS ARE DUE DURING WEEK 1. Week 2: Monday, August 26th – Friday, August 30th HW 1 is due no later than Tuesday, August 27th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 1 is due no later than Wednesday, August 28th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 1 and HW 1: Topics covered in Chapter 1. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 1). 5 Week 3: Monday, September 2nd – Friday, September 6th HW 2 is due no later than Tuesday, September 3rd @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 2 is due no later than Wednesday, September 4th @6:00 pm. EXAM 2 and HW 2: Topics covered in Chapter 2. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapters 1, 2, 3, and 4). Week 4: Monday, September 9th – Friday, September 13th HW 3 is due no later than Tuesday, September 10th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 3 is due no later than Wednesday, September 11th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 3and HW 3: Topics covered in Chapter 3. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 5). Week 5: Monday, September 16th – Friday, September 20th HW 4 is due no later than Tuesday, September 17th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 4 is due no later than Wednesday, September 18th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 4 and HW 4: Topics covered in Chapter 4. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 7). 6 Week 6: Monday, September 23rd – Friday, September 27th HW 5 is due no later than Tuesday, September 24th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 5 is due no later than Wednesday, September 25th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 5 and HW 5: Topics covered in Chapter 5. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 8). Week 7: Monday, September 30th – Friday, October 4th HW 6 is due no later than Tuesday, October 1st @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 6 is due no later than Wednesday, October 2nd @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 6 and HW 6: Topics covered in Chapter 6. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 9). Week 8: Monday, October 7th – Friday, October 11th HW 7 is due no later than Tuesday, October 8th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 7 is due no later than Wednesday, October 9th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 7 and HW 7: Topics covered in Chapter 7. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 10). 7 Week 9: Monday, October 14th – Friday, October 18th HW 8 is due no later than Tuesday, October 15th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 8 is due no later than Wednesday, October 16th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 8 and HW 8: Topics covered in Chapter 8. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapters 11 and12). Week 10: Monday, October 21st – Friday, October 25th HW 9 is due no later than Tuesday, October 22nd @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 9 is due no later than Wednesday, October 23rd @ 6:00pm. EXAM 9 and HW 9: Topics covered in Chapter 9. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 12). Week 11: Monday, October 28th – Friday, November 1st HW 10 is due no later than Tuesday, October 29th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 10 is due no later than Wednesday, October 30th @ 6:00 pm. Exam 10 and HW 10: Topics covered in Chapter 10. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapters 12 and 13). 8 Week 12: Monday, November 4th – Friday, November 8th NO HW IS ASSIGNED FOR CHAPTER 12 EXAM 11 is due no later than Wednesday, November 6th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 11: Topics covered in Chapter 12. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 15). Week 13: Monday, November 11th – Friday, November 15th NO HW IS ASSIGNED FOR CHAPTER 13 EXAM 12 is due no later than Wednesday, November 13th @ 6:00 pm. EXAM 12: Topics covered in Chapter 13 pages 406 to 426. (Johnson/Kuby). (Supplemental reading – Utterly Confused: Chapter 5). Week 14: Monday, November 18th – Friday, November 22nd MAKE UP EXAMS 1. THIS WILL BE GRANTED ON INDIVIDUAL REQUEST(S). 2. MAKE UP WORK CAN ONLY BE DONE AND SUBMITTED BETWEEN NOVEMBER 18th AND NOVEMBER 22nd, 2013 BY 6:00 PM. 3. THESE ASSIGNMENTS WILL BE AVAILABLE FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE SEMESTER UNTIL THE DUE DATES, SO YOU HAVE AMPLE TIME TO COMPLETE ONTIME. HOPFULLY, WE WILL NOT HAVE TO IMPOSE THE FOLLOWING PENALTY. 4. NOTE: A penalty of 50% will be imposed on any make up assignments. 9 Note 1: Ten to twenty minutes at the beginning of each class period will be allocated to discuss any difficulties relating to the content for the previous day’s lecture. Note 2: No student is allowed to be playing computer games, accessing the internet; e-mailing; text-messaging; videoing; recording lectures etc. during class time. Accessing the internet will only be allowed if it is a class activity. Students who violate these class policies will be asked to leave the classroom for that class period. Note 3: All cell phones; beepers; i-pods; tablets, etc. must be turned off during class time and be placed in your backpacks, pockets, hand bags etc., away from sight. If you are expecting an emergency, you may have it in the vibration mode, but still away from sight. Grading Policy: A = 90% B = 80% C = 70% D = 60% E = 00% - 100% - 89% - 79% - 69% - 59% Academic Honesty: Cheating, fabrication, plagiarism or helping others to commit these acts will not be tolerated. Academic dishonesty will result in severe disciplinary action including, but not limited to, failure of the student assessment item or course, and/ or dismissal from MSU. If you are not sure what constitutes academic dishonesty, read the Eagle: Student Handbook or ask your instructor. An example of plagiarism is copying information from the internet when appropriate credit is not given. The policy is located at http://morehead-st.edu/units/studentlife/handbook/academicdishonesty.html 10 Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA): In compliance with the ADA, all students with a documented disability are entitled to reasonable accommodations and services to support their academic success and safety. Though a request for services may be made at any time, services are best applied when they are requested at or before the start of the semester. To receive accommodations and services the student should immediately contact the Disability Services Coordinator in the Office of Academic and Career Services, 223 Allie Young Hall, 606-783-5188, www.moreheadstate.edu/acs/ Campus Safety Statement: Emergency response information will be discussed in class. Students should familiarize themselves with the nearest exit routes in the event evacuation becomes necessary. You should notify your instructor at the beginning of the semester if you have special needs or will require assistance during an emergency evacuation. Students should familiarize themselves with emergency response protocols at http://www.moreheadstate.edu/emergency Note: The campus safety statement is provided for your benefit. Please visit the web site to review the protocols. A. Purpose of the Course This course will provide students with experiences designed to improve their understanding of elementary descriptive and inferential statistics. The purpose of this course is to develop thinking skills so that students can be more effective in designing a study, in collecting, organizing, and presenting data. Also, students will be able to use the information from data and appropriate technology to make inferences on populations and to prepare professional documents to present their findings. 11 B. General Education Goals Student Learner Outcomes for the Morehead State University General Education Program 1. Communication Skills Students will demonstrate ability to: 1a. Listen and speak effectively in conversational, small group, public and intercultural contexts 1b. Read college-level critical, creative and technical texts for comprehension 1c. Write effectively for a variety of target audiences using conventions associated with standard English 1d. Convey quantitative and qualitative relationships using symbols, equations, graphs, and tables 2. Intellectual Skills Students will demonstrate ability to: 2a. Employ current technologies to locate, analyze, evaluate and use information in multiple contexts and for a variety of purposes 2b. Recognize and effectively utilize both deductive and inductive reasoning 2c. Thoughtfully analyze and evaluate diverse points of view 2d. Perceive and articulate ethical consequences of decisions and actions 12 2e. Apply knowledge and skills to new settings and complex problems 2f. Explore the connections among practical, esoteric, critical and creative thinking 3. Quantitative Skills Students will demonstrate ability to: 3a. Analyze situations and/or problems using arithmetic, geometric, algebraic and statistical methods 3b. Use deductive reasoning in a formal, symbolic, axiomatic system 3c. Verify answers to mathematical and scientific problems in order to determine reasonableness, identify alternative methods of solution, and select the most reliable results 5. Knowledge of the Natural World Students will demonstrate ability to: 5a. Comprehend and apply basic scientific, quantitative, and technological methods and knowledge of natural systems to the solution of scientific problems 5b. Employ scientific methods and theories to analyze and address open and debated questions in the sciences 5c. Analyze explanations to classify them as scientific or nonscientific 13 C. Teaching Strategies Because students learn differently, a variety of teaching strategies will be used in the course. These strategies include: Inquiry-Based Teaching: Students will be given experiences which will allow them to formulate their understanding of elementary probability and statistics. Use of Multiple Representations: The instructor will give the class experiences in presenting concepts from a multiple representation standpoint which may include graphical, numerical, natural language, statistical language, and concrete and iconic modeling. Use of Appropriate Technology: The students will be instructed with the use of computers or the graphing calculator when appropriate. This experience will allow the students to become familiar with the technology. NOTE: PLEASE PAY VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE DATES LISTED IN THE 2013 FALL ACADEMIC CALENDER GIVEN BELOW. LAST DAY TO DROP A FULL TERM COURSE OR WITHDRAW FROM THE UNIVERSITY WITH A GRADE OF W IS NOVEMBER 1ST, 2013. UNIVERSITY ACADEMIC CALENDAR Fall Semester - 2013 August 14 Wednesday - Campus-wide Convocation; division, college, and department meetings 15 Thursday - Class scheduling in academic departments - Residence Halls open for freshmen to move in - Business Day (offices open until 5:30 p.m.) 16 Friday - Class scheduling in academic departments - Business Day (offices open until 5:30 p.m.) 19 Monday - All on-campus and off-campus classes begin - Late fee in effect 14 - Last day to: 26 Monday 27 Tuesday Register for credit Change from credit to audit Add a class or change sections Change to pass-fail option Change from audit to credit - Last day for 100% credit of creditable fees (partial or full withdrawal) - Last day for payment in full or completion of an online Protect Class Schedule Plan - Class schedules dropped for students who have not paid in full or completed an online Protect Class Schedule Plan September 2 Monday - Labor Day (University closed) 3 Tuesday - Last day for 75% refund - Final drop of class schedules for students who have not paid in full or completed an online Protect Class Schedule Plan 10 Tuesday - Last day for 50% credit of creditable fees (partial or full withdrawal) 17 Tuesday - Last day for 25% credit of creditable fees (partial or full withdrawal) - Last day to withdraw from a first half-semester class with an automatic grade of “W” October 9 Wednesday 10 11 Thursday Friday 14 Monday 15 Tuesday -First half-semester classes end - Fall Break (Students only) - Midterm grade reports due in Registrar’s Office by 9:00 a.m. - Second half-semester classes begin - Last day to add a second half-semester class - Last day to apply for Fall 2013 graduation without penalty November 1 Friday - Last day to drop a full-term course or withdraw from school with automatic grade of “W” 6 19 Wednesday Tuesday - Advance Registration for Spring and Summer 2014 18 Monday - Last day to drop a second half-semester class with a grade of “W” 27 29 Wednesday Friday - Thanksgiving Break December 2 Monday - Classes Resume 9 10 Monday Tuesday - FINAL EXAMINATIONS 11 Wednesday - Departmental Activities 8:00 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. - Final Exams begin 12:45 p.m. 12 13 Thursday Friday - FINAL EXAMINATIONS 14 Saturday - Commencement; 10:30 a.m. 17 Tuesday -Grades due in Registrar’s Office by 9:00 a.m. 20 Friday -Winter leave begins 15