Breakout sessions Breakout Process You have each been randomly assigned to one of four breakout groups – see coloured marker on front of your folder. Venues are shown below. To help these discussions, we have assigned 3 facilitators to each breakout group. There will be one facilitator from Scottish Government policy, one from Scottish Government delivery (RPID) and the third will be a researcher/analyst either from the Scottish Government’s RESAS or from the James Hutton Institute. The facilitators (lead in bold) are shown below. Blue Group (Garden suite/Meadow): Rosi Waterhouse, Alan Fraser, Dave Miller Red Group (Garden suite/Orchard): Jo O’Hara, Roy McLachlan and Keith Matthews Yellow Group (Garden suite/lounge): Helen Stanley, Drew Sloan, Neil Swanson Green Group (Ballroom): John Brownlee, Ian Davidson, Adele McAnuff All breakout groups should nominate a rapporteur to summarise the main points from the group’s discussions back to the conference. BREAKOUT DISCUSSIONS PAYMENT REGIONS The draft direct payments regulation allows us to create different payment rates in Scotland by defining payment “regions” (for example, based on areas of land of a similar quality which we have defined in some way) and by dividing Scotland’s direct payment budget between these payment regions in some objective way. The modelling work by JHI has considered both of these aspects. Payment regions can be, but do not need to be, contiguous areas of land. They need to be areas of land which can be classified as being similar in some objective way. Therefore we need to consider what characteristics we can use to identify land of a similar type. JHI’s modelling has considered a number of different ways in which land could be categorised. We could devise payment regions based on the agricultural capability of the land and Scotland has a unique system to do this, which is the Land Capability for Agriculture (LCA) classification system. A similar approach would be to use the Less Favoured Area (LFA) classification and to group land of a similar LFA type into the same payment region. Alternatively, although we know that Europe will not allow us to link payments with current production, we could use historic production patterns such as arable, permanent grass and rough grazing to indicate established land types that can be used to identify payment regions. Another way could be to use historic Single Farm Payment (SFP) values to identify land traditionally used for similar types of activity which can then be assigned into the same payment region. Question 1: Does the group have any views on the relative merits of these different ways of defining land of a similar type for classification into payment regions? Payment regions can also be defined at different levels of scale. The two levels which have been considered by the JHI in this round of modelling are the farm- and the parish-levels. With farm-level payment regions, all the relevant land on a farm will be assigned to its appropriate payment region. This means that land within one business may be assigned to more than one payment region and regional boundaries would in effect cross the farm. With parish-level payment regions, parishes will be assigned to a payment region depending on the overall composition of the parish. In this case, all the land on a farm is likely to be assigned to a single payment region. Question 2: Does the group have any views on the relative merits of using the farm versus the parish as the level for defining a payment region? PAYMENT REGION BUDGETS Having considered payment regions, we now need to think about how we should allocate funding between the payment regions. Again a number of different methods have been evaluated by the JHI research and these are set out below. The models do not take account of other schemes which may be funded in Scotland or other decisions that we will need to take such as any movement of funds from Pillar 1 to Pillar 2. In addition, Scotland’s future budget allocation is not yet known. For each of these budgetary options examined by the JHI, an initial funding pot for each payment region has been calculated and then this baseline sum has been divided by the total area of eligible land in that region. This gives an average area rate (€/ha) for each payment region and this reflects the final position when direct payments, including the Greening payment, are 100% area-based. Funding could be divided between payment regions based on the current amounts of funding going to those regions (i.e. a historic budget scenario). The second way used to divvy up budgets in this round of modelling is by taking account of the relative quality of the land by considering the farm gate, agricultural output value. In this case, the standard output was calculated and assigned to the land, the land was assigned to payment regions and regional output totals worked out. Scotland’s direct payment budget was then divided between the regions to reflect each region’s share of the total standard outputs. Regional budgets could also be allocated according to the relative amount of land in each region. However, this would in effect give a common flat rate across all of Scotland and we know this is not appropriate given the diversity of agriculture across Scotland. Therefore, this option was adapted (weighted) to influence how the funding is distributed between the regions. This means that different options could be evaluated to reflect different sorts of possible policy outcomes. For example, the weighting could favour “production” or weightings could favour poorer quality land and “environmental” outcomes. An Olympic Podium weighting has been used on models with three payment regions to explore what could happen if funding was targeted at intermediate land where farming options are starting to be reduced and where returns from the market may not always adequately compensate farmers for the challenges they face when farming this type of land. In this case weightings were used to allocate the lowest per hectare rate to the poorest quality land, the highest rate on the intermediate quality land and a middle rate on the best quality land. An adjusted historic weighting was used to favour poorer quality land and it was used on regional models with either two or three payment regions. Weightings were used to increase the rates on the poorest quality land with this increase being funded by the funds that would otherwise have been allocated to the other region (s). Question 3: Does the group have any views on the relative merits of these different ways of dividing Scotland’s direct payment budget between the payment regions. SCENARIOS MODELLED BY JHI Future Basic Payments in Scotland will be made in payment regions as set out above. So having looked at each of these issues in turn we now need to look at scale, land type and budget distribution when they are combined. Question 4: Does the group have any comments on any of the scenarios modelled by JHI? THE FUTURE As the presentations showed, no matter what payment regions we decide upon for the future CAP in Scotland, there will be significant impacts for Scottish businesses. Question 5: How do the group think Scottish farming will adapt to the future? If you have any further comments please send to the CAP Moving Forward Mailbox at: CAPMovingforward@scotland.gsi.gov.uk by 15th May 2013. Annex A Regions for Evaluation Regional Model Number of Regions Farm Level - LCA 1a 2 Farm Level - LCA 1b 3 Farm Level - LCA 1c 4 Farm Level- LFA 3 Farm Level – Land Type 3 Parish Level – LCA 1a 3 Parish Level – LCA 1b 9 Description of Regions Parish Level – Historical SFP 9 Parish Level – Land Type 3 1 – 5.3 6.1 – 7 1 – 3.1 3.2 – 5.3 6.1 – 7 1 – 3.2 4.1 – 4.2 5.1 – 5.3 6.1 - 7 Non-LFA LFA LFA-HIE Arable (incl. Temporary Grass) Permanent Grass Rough Grazing 1 – 3.1 3.2 – 5.3 6.1 – 7 1 – 3.1 (Dominance = >75%) 1 – 3.1 (Dominance = 50-74%) 3.2 – 4.2 (Dominance = >75%) 3.2 – 4.2 (Dominance = 50-74%) No Dominant Class (but most land is 1 – 4.2) 5.1 – 5.3 (between 50 and 74% in terms of dominance) No Dominant Class (but most land is 5+) 6.1 - 7 (Dominance = 50-74%) 6.1 – 7 (Dominance = >75%) €1-<20; €20-49; €50-99; €100149; €150-199; €200-249; €250-299; €300-349; €350+ Arable (incl. Temporary Grass) Permanent Grass Rough Grazing