Multivariate Statistical Analysis Mid Term Solution November 9, 2012 4 pages, 14 problems, 100 points 1. Eigenvalues: 9, 1 1 1 Corresponding normalized eigenvectors: [√2 ]′ √2 and 1 [√2 −1 ′ √2 ] . (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1 1 5 4 2. [ ] = 9 [√2 ] [√2 1 4 5 1 ]+ √2 1 1 √2 [−1] [√2 √2 −1 √2 ]= √2 9 9 1 [29 2 9] 2 2 2 +[ 1 1 −2 −2 1 ]. (7%) 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------3. max π±′ππ± π±≠0 π±′π± = 9, min π±′ππ± π±≠0 π±′π± = 1. (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4. (1)When at least one deviation vector lies in the (hyper) plane formed by any one linear combinations of the others In other words, the columns of the matrix of deviations are linearly dependent (2) When the sample size is not larger than the number of variables. (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------π 5. π Μ = π±Μ = [ ], π [ π−π [ ] π−π π−π Μ = π {[π − π] [π − π πΊ π π−π π − π] + [ π−π [ ] π−π π−π π−π [ ] π−π π − π] + [ π−π π π − π]} = π [ π − π] + π π ]. (7%) π π ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on Eq. (5 - 6) or (5 - 7), 1 ο© 5 ο 4οΉ ο© ο 0.5οΉ T 2 ο½ n ο¨x ο μ 0 ο©' S ο1 ο¨x ο μ 0 ο© ο½ 30οο 0.5 1.5ο οͺ 9 ο« ο 4 5 οΊο» οͺο« 1.5 οΊο» ο© ο 8.5οΉ 10 10 ο½ οο 0.5 1.5οοͺ 6. . (7%) οΊ ο½ ο΄ 18.5 ο» 61.6667 3 ο« 9.5 ο» 3 ( n ο 1) p 29 ο΄ 2 58 Critical value ο½ Fp , n ο p (0.05) ο½ F2, 28 (0.05) ο» ο΄ 3.34 ο» 6.92 nο p 28 28 T 2 οΎ critical value. ο reject H 0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- From Eq. (5 - 18), p( n ο 1) Fp ,n ο p (0.1) ο» 5.179 nο p ο¨x ο μ ο©' S ο1 ο¨x ο μ ο© ο£ 5.179 ο½ 0.17263 . (7%) 30 p( n ο 1) By Eq. (5 - 19), major axes ο¬i Fp ,n ο p (0.1) and directions e i n( n ο p ) n ο¨x ο μ ο©' S ο1 ο¨x ο μ ο© ο£ 7. namely, major axes 3 0.172633 ο» 1.2464 and 0.172633 ο» 0.4155. directions 1 ο©1οΉ ο©0.7071οΉ 1 ο© 1 οΉ ο© 0.7071 οΉ οͺ1οΊ ο» οͺ0.7071οΊ and οͺ οΊο»οͺ οΊ 2ο«ο» ο« 2 ο« ο 1ο» ο« ο 0.7071ο» ο» ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use Eq. (5.24), 8. x1 ο p( n ο 1) s Fp , n ο p (0.1) 11 ο£ ο1 ο£ x1 ο« nο p n x2 ο p( n ο 1) s Fp , n ο p (0.1) 22 ο£ ο2 ο£ x2 ο« nο p n p( n ο 1) s Fp , n ο p (0.1) 11 nο p n p( n ο 1) s Fp , n ο p (0.1) 22 nο p n p( n ο 1) Fp , n ο p (0.1) ο½ 5.17857 ο½ 2.27565 nο p . 0.5 - 5.17857 5 5 ο£ ο1 ο£ 0.5 ο« 5.17857 , ο1 ο ο¨- 0.429, 1.429 ο© 30 30 0.5 ο 5.17857 5 5 ο£ ο2 ο£ 0.5 ο« 5.17857 , ο2 ο ο¨- 0.429, 1.429 ο© 30 30 (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------From Eq. (5 - 29), x1 ο tn ο1 ( 0.1 s11 0.1 s ) ο£ ο1 ο£ x1 ο« tn ο1 ( ) 11 2p n 2p n 0.1 s22 0.1 s ) ο£ ο2 ο£ x2 ο« tn ο1 ( ) 22 2p n 2p n 9. t29 (0.025) ο½ 2.045 x 2 ο t n ο1 ( 0.5 ο 2.045 . (7%) 5 5 ο£ ο1 ο£ 0.5 ο« 2.045 , ο1 ο ο¨- 0.3349, 1.3349 ο© 30 30 5 5 ο£ ο2 ο£ 0.5 ο« 2.045 , ο2 ο ο¨- 0.3349, 1.3349 ο© 30 30 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------10. one-at-a-time confidence intervals: each interval consider only one dimension at a time, don’t care the other dimensions. 0.5 ο 2.045 T 2 simultaneous confidence intervals: all linear combinations of the unknown parameters. 2 Thus T simultaneous confidence intervals are with more strict constraints, and need longer intervals to satisfy them . (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11. Initial estimate ο~1 ο½ 4ο«2 ο½3 2 , ο~2 ο½ 6ο« 4ο«8 ο½6 3 (3 ο 3)2 ο« (4 ο 3)2 ο« (2 ο 3)2 2 ~ (6 ο 6) 2 ο« (4 ο 6) 2 ο« (8 ο 6) 2 8 ~ ο³ 11 ο½ ο½ , ο³ 22 ο½ ο½ , 3 3 3 3 (3 ο 3)( 6 ο 6) ο« ( 4 ο 3)( 4 ο 6) ο« ( 2 ο 3)(8 ο 6) 4 ο³~12 ο½ ο½ο . 3 3 ο© ο1 οΉ ο©ο³~11 | ο³~12 οΉ οͺ οΊ ~ οͺ ˆ ο½ οο , Σ Partition μ ο½ οͺ ο ο ο« ο ο οΊοΊ , and predict οͺ οΊ οͺ οͺο«ο³~12 | ο³~22 οΊο» ο« ο2 οΊ ο» 4 3 ο1 ~ x11 ο½ ο~1 ο« ο³~12ο³~22 ( x12 ο ο~2 ) ο½ 3 ο« ( ο ) (6 ο 6) ο½ 3 3 8 ~ 2 ο¦ 4οΆ 3ο¦ 4οΆ 2 ο1 x11 ο½ ο³~11 ο ο³~12ο³~22 ο³ 12 ο« ~ x112 ο½ ο ο§ ο ο· ο§ ο ο· ο« 32 ο½ 9 3 ο¨ 3οΈ 8ο¨ 3οΈ ~ x11x12 ο½ ~ x11x12 ο½ 3 ο΄ 6 ο½ 18 ~ ~ ο© x11 ο« x21 ο« x31 οΉ ο©3 ο« 6οΉ ο© 9 οΉ T1 ο½ οͺ οΊο½οͺ οΊο½οͺ οΊ ο« x12 ο« x22 ο« x32 ο» ο« 18 ο» ο«18ο» ~ ο© 2 2 2 ~ οͺ x11 ο« x21 ο« x31 T2 ο½ οͺ x ~x ο« x x ο« x x ο« 11 12 21 22 31 32 ~ ~ ο½ T1 ο½ ο©3οΉ , μ n οͺο«6οΊο» ο© 29 ~ ~ T2 ~ ~ οͺ 3 Σο½ ο μμ ο½ οͺ 50 n οͺ ο«3 ~ οΉ x11x12 ο« x21x22 ο« x31x32 οΊ ο©29 50 οΉ ο½οͺ 50 116οΊο» 2 2 2 οΊ ο« x12 ο« x22 ο« x32 ο» 50 οΉ ο© 2 3 οΊ ο© οΉ 3 ο ο3 6ο ο½ οͺ 3 οͺο 4 116 οΊ οͺο«6οΊο» οΊ οͺ 3 ο» ο« 3 ο 4οΉ 3 οΊ 8 οΊ οΊ 3 ο» . (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------12. Eq. (6-21), p. 285, Textbook n1 ο 1 n2 ο 1 60 ο©5 4οΉ 60 ο©7 2οΉ ο©6 3οΉ S pooled ο½ S1 ο« S2 ο½ ο« ο½ . n1 ο« n2 ο 2 n1 ο« n2 ο 2 120 οͺο«4 5οΊο» 120 οͺο«2 7οΊο» οͺο«3 6οΊο» Eq. (6-24), p. 286, Textbook , ο©ο¦ 1 1 οΆ οΉ T ο½ ο¨x1 ο x2 ο©' οͺο§ο§ ο« ο·ο·S pooled οΊ ο«ο¨ n1 n2 οΈ ο» ο1 ο¨x1 ο x2 ο© ο» 47.4444 , 2 larger than the critical value ( n1 ο« n2 ο 2) p 120 ο΄ 2 240 Fp , n1 ο« n2 ο p ο1 (ο‘ ) ο½ F2,120 (0.1) ο» ο΄ 2.35 ο» 4.74 . ( n1 ο« n2 ο p ο 1) 119 119 Thus the hypothesis H 0 : μ1 ο½ μ 2 is rejected at 10% significance level. (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Follow the equation in p. 291, ο1i ο ο2i : ( x1i ο x2i ) ο± tn 1 ο« n2 ο2 13. ο11 ο ο21 : ο 2 ο± t120 (0.025) ο12 ο ο22 : 1 ο± t120 (0.025) ( ο‘ ο¦1 1οΆ ) ο§ο§ ο« ο·ο· sii, pooled 2 p ο¨ n1 n2 οΈ 2 ο΄ 6 ο» ο2 ο± 1.98 ο΄ 0.4435, i.e., (-2.88, - 1.12) 61 . 2 ο΄ 6 ο» 1 ο± 1.98 ο΄ 0.4435, i.e., (0.12, 1.88) 61 (7%) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------14. Assume that the pair of paired samples are with n data, mean difference πΜ , and standard deviation of difference sd. The confidence interval by the paired πΌ π comparison is πΜ ± π‘π−1 ( 2 ) ππ. While if we use the unpaired method to the same √ πΌ 1 1 paired samples, the confidence interval will be πΜ ± π‘π+π−2 ( 2 ) √(π + π) π ππππππ Since π−1 π−1 π ππππππ = π+π−2 π π + π+π−2 π π = π π , the confidence interval using unpaired method can be reduced to πΌ 1 1 πΌ 2 πΜ ± π‘π+π−2 ( ) √( + ) π ππππππ = πΜ ± π‘2π−2 ( ) √ π π 2 π π 2 π The lengths of the confidence intervals for the paired and the unpaired methods πΌ π π will be 2π‘π−1 ( 2 ) √π πΌ √2π π . √π and 2π‘2π−2 ( 2 ) πΌ Because for n not too small, π‘π−1 ( 2 ) πΌ π π does not larger than √2π‘2π−2 (πΌ), 2π‘π−1 ( 2 ) √π Thus the paired method is more accurate. (9%) πΌ √2π π . √π is smaller than 2π‘2π−2 ( 2 )