WP4: Climate Change Resilient City Planning and Climate-Neutral Infrastructure Revised Workplan December 2011 Objectives • Based on the challenges identified and the data collected in WP1, the overall objective of WP4 is to plan an integrated approach to climate change resilient city planning and the development of climate-neutral infrastructure to reduce a city’s overall “ecological footprint” (impact on the environment and ecosystem services). This integrated approach will address challenges related to flood risk management practices, rain water management, treatment and recycling of water, ecological sewage systems, municipal energy systems based on renewable energies and more sustainable transport management practices. • For each of these individual challenges, new approaches to climate change planning and the development of climate neutral infrastructure will be proposed and where feasible tested (or modelled). • The final objective is to measure impact and results of pilot actions or models in the participating case study areas and to use this data to develop visions, feasible strategies, spatial scenarios and guidance tools that would enable adaptive governance, collaborative decision-making, and behavioural change contributing to improved climate change resilient city planning and climateneutral infrastructure throughout the TURaS project network and in a wider European context. Participants and MMonths Deliverables to EU EU Deliverable 4.5: Report on climate change resilient city planning, due month 36 T4.1 Workpackage kick-off meeting Lead Partner: VU-IVM, UEL, LjubU; RDA-LUR A meeting will be planned around June 2012 Rotterdam with all groups involved in WP4 to discuss and plan the various sub-tasks of the work package. At this meeting, all cases will present a report with an inventory of (1) stakeholders requirements (2) extended description of methods (3) Overview of available data and required additional data Over the course of the TuRAS project the annual project meetings will also be attended by the parties involved. T4.2 Urban planning and adaptation to flood risk (VU-IVM) Lead Partner: VU-IVM. Partners involved: UEL, LjubU; RDA-LUR, BioAzul. Main contact: Hans de Moel (hans.de.moel@ivm.vu.nl) Contact LjubU: Primoz Banovec () Description: The main objective of this WP is to assess current and future trends in flood risk in coastal cities. For this, we first perform an assessment of international flood risk management practices with a focus on Flood damage reduction. The research activities will focus developing a spatial planning strategy for the City of Rotterdam, which combines urban development with flood protection, such as combinations of embankments with urban development, new building codes to flood-proof houses in relation to risk zoning and possibilities to combine urban (re-) development and new properties with dike reinforcement. Flood damage models generally have three components (1) hydrological characteristics (2) damage potential (3) stage damage functions. These functions describe the relation between the hydrological characteristics (e.g. flood depth and velocity) and potential flood damage. For Rotterdam, we propose to modify the existing HIS-SSM model, which is now used on a national scale. After setting up the model, we propose test the spatial planning strategy and elaborate on assessing uncertainty in the results. The City of Ljubljana and Ljubljana urban region have also developed a flood damage model. Exchange of methodologies with other partners will improve the approach to the flood damage model leading to improved use of flood damage function and flood hazard scenarios. Activities IVM: This task will focus on creating a methodology and tool to evaluate flood-damage reducing measures. Activities carried out within this task include: 1. Case study report with inventory of:: a. Flood damage modeling methods b. Empirical flood damage data c. Damage reducing measures that can be undertaken, along with information on their effectiveness and costs 2. Develop Flood risk model: Create a general flood damage modeling framework that is flexible enough to include several hydrological drivers (inundation depth; velocity; duration), types of damage (direct, indirect) and measures (both spatial, as building specific). Identify possible flood characteristics (maps denoting e.g. inundation, flow velocity) and land-use characteristics (i.e. building types, land-use classes). 3. Test effectiveness of spatial planning and building code measures (Outer and inner dike areas) Apply model on case study area using scenarios related to urban developments (see task 4.3) and use of adaptation measures to assess the effectiveness. We propose to use optimization or MCA techniques to assess the effectiveness of measures 4. Expand on the modeling framework by incorporating indirect effects. Activities University of Ljubljana: In the framework of the listed task the exiting knowledge on flood management in Ljubljana urban region (NUTS 3) will be upgraded. Current situation is characteristic for many EU cities and countries in which EU Flood Directive (2007/60) is under implementation. Flood hazard maps are mostly prepared, and the flood prone areas well identified. But this is only the beginning of the process which should initiate development of adequate mitigation measures which are leading towards the long term reduction of flood risks. The next steps: identification of measures, their selection, design, financing, implementation, and performance monitoring, should follow with necessary public participation. Foreseen input of the UL-FGG in the flood management issues will be focused in this direction. Together with the TURAS partner Regional development Agency of Ljubljana Urban Region (RDA LUR) existing flood risk maps of LUR will be joined (now they are dispersed as their development is performed by local communities / NUTS 5 /LAU 2 municipalities) and analysis of possible mitigation measures identified. The measures will follow on the basis of previous and active EU FP projects (FLOODsite, CORFU). Appropriate selection of measures cannot be performed within the local community as they should be analysed on a basin scale, they will be analysed in spatial temporal frame (short, term long term) providing an example and shared experience of the TURAS project and as demonstration and dissemination framework. The measures involve constructive as well as non-constructive measures with special focus on expected flood damage evaluation. Basic outputs will therefore be: (1) integration of existing knowledge on flood management which is currently dispersed among different local communities, (2) definition and evaluation of suitable flood mitigation measures, (3) public participation in the evaluation of measures and programming of the measures (4) sharing the experience and applied methodologies with other TURAS partners involved in flood management and water management in cities. The lead of these activities will be taken by IVM-VU. Input from other partners involved is envisaged to be related to data collection (activity 1: LjubU) and testing of the develop model and methodology in other cities (like the City of Ljubljana). T4.3 Urban planning support through land use modelling (VU-IVM) Lead partner: VU-IVM Partners involved: UEL Main contact: Peter Verburg (peter.verburg@ivm.vu.nl) Description: This task will build on existing approaches for land use modelling and ecosystem service assessment in city environments to analyze potential conflicts and strategies for urban planning accounting for climate resilient measures (identified in tasks 4.1, 4.3 and 4.4) and other urban green components. An innovative methodology will be developed to map the spatial distribution of climate resilient services in city environments with a specific focus on services related to climate adaptation and climate neutral infrastructure. Resulting maps will show possible synergies in urban functioning and possible conflicts which diminish the functionality of the incorporated measures. Land use modelling will be incorporated to account for autonomous changes in the urban environment affecting the urban functions. Visualisation tools will be developed to provide input for stakeholder discussion on possible urban planning strategies. Finally, the results of the model simulations will be used to provide guidelines for urban planners to develop a plan for climate resilient city. Activities: This task will focus on creating tools to a tools and methodologies targeted to optimize green infrastructure and planning policies in urban environments. Activities carried out within this task will be performed in close collaboration with spatial planners of the case-study area in order to optimize its potential use. Activities include: 1. Creating an urban land-use model for the case-study area (Rotterdam), by identifying distinct urban land-use classes and their relation with factors driving urban land-use. Input from UEL 2. Create and model autonomous urban land-use change scenarios as baseline 3. Identify measures to create climate resilient city, related both to mitigation and adaptation 4. Incorporate adaptation measures related to flooding (T4.2), green infrastructure (T4.4) and the identified measures (from previous step) into the modeling framework to assess their potential and effectiveness and to simulate the most effective scenario for urban developments in the area (related only to flooding, only to green infrastructure, and by incorporating all measures). The lead of these activities will be taken by IVM-VU. Input from other partners involved will be related to green infrastructure measures to be incorporated in the modeling framework (UEL) T4.4 Urban water management (UEL) Lead partners: UEL Other partners involved: VU-IVM, BioAzul. Main contact: Darryl Newport: Darryl@UEL-Exchange.uel.ac.uk Description: In WP4, the University of East London Sustainable Research Institute proposes to bring together work disseminating from WP1 and WP2 as a quantitative geo-spatial analysis of the potential contribution of retrofit green roofs to storm water attenuation across urban landscapes. High density urban living creates numerous environmental consequences. Of particular global concern is the large expanse of impervious surfaces which lead to rapid rainwater run-off and overloading of storm drains and increases the tendency of rivers to overtop their banks and flood surrounding land. Such impacts are accentuated where cities are developed within existing floodplains and in areas with high annual rainfall. Restoration of green infrastructure is a potential intervention for these problems. Establishing biodiversity-focused green infrastructure provides numerous ecological and economic benefits including water management. Building on the urban spatial mapping of WP1, the proposed model would use the case study area of Greater London for spatial analysis of the potential area available for retrofitting green roofs (public, residential and office buildings). Once established, variable green roof coverage scenarios for this area would be combined with quantified storm water attenuation values disseminating from WP2 (innovative design of green roof systems to maximise ecosystem services). Using this state-of-the-art urban geospatial model, the potential contribution that green roof retrofitting could make to annual urban storm water management could be quantified. Once established, this model would be transferable to other urban areas throughout the TURaS network and beyond. BioAzul will complement this activity by looking into the possibility of the treatment and recycling of ‘grey-water’ using biofilm plants to return cleaned waste water to the water cycle. Activities: 4.4.1: Case study Report London with an inventory of (1) general description of the city: geography, socio-economic conditions, etc (2) stakeholders requirements (3) extended description of methods (4) Overview of available data and required additional data T4.5 Improved climate-neutral infrastructure (BioAzul; Aalborg; LjubU, RDA LUR) Lead partner: BioAzul Other Partners involved: Aalborg University with Aalborg municipality; LjubU, RDA LUR Activities BioAzul: Main contact: Pilar Zapata. pzapata@bioazul.com (***Possibly this activity will be shifted to Wp6) Description: This task will examine the development of innovative solutions to tackle climate-neutral infrastructure for sustainable waste, water, energy and transport management taking into account where possible the use of organic materials/products and green processes – inspired by nature (i.e.: biomimicry). Some measures to be implemented related to the sustainable management of the city and its resources are listed below and build on state of the art from previous pilot experiences carried out in Freiburg and Stockholm. Research will follow the concept of Integrated Solid Waste Management (ISWM) to achieve a more sustainable use of transport and infrastructure in a city, and will focus on two areas: • an examination of ISWM practice which is the use of rubberized asphalt for urban transportation infrastructure. This concept recycles abandoned tires and combines this with asphalt. This significantly reduces automobile noise levels, reduces road slickness during rain events, reduces driver glare and most importantly. In addition it reduces porosity releases thermal energy at a quicker rate – thus improving the urban heat island effect. • an investigation of the use of sewage water in a digester mixed with organic house to produce biogas for both cooking and heating and cars and public transport. Activities: 4.4.1: Case study Report Seville with an inventory of (1) general description of the city: geography, socio-economic conditions, etc (2) stakeholders requirements (3) extended description of methods (4) Overview of available data and required additional data Task 4.5. University of Aalborg Main contact Bernd Möller (berndm@plan.aau.dk) Description: The University of Aalborg will lead the aspect of this task related to climate-neutral infrastructure for energy. An important means to achieve municipal energy systems based on increasing shares of renewable energy sources, tentatively up to 100% by the year 2030 or 2050, are advanced district heating systems as a form of green municipal infrastructure. These district heating systems are fed by renewable energy such as geothermal heat, biomass, waste to energy, or heat pumps running on excess electricity in power systems with high shares of fluctuating wind energy. They achieve lower distribution net losses as they run on lower temperatures, and supply a building stock with low energy buildings and existing buildings with substantial achievements within heat savings. Aalborg municipality and Aalborg University will be requested to contribute to this WP with an energy atlas comprising the current and possible future heat supply and demand of the city and the surrounding towns and villages. The objective is to make the municipality of Aalborg independent of imported fossil fuels, at lower costs than in a business-as-usual scenario. Thereby the municipality may become more resilient to energy crises and contribute to the mitigation of climate change. The energy atlas maps current and possible future heat demand, the possibilities to connect to district heating, the carbon footprint of buildings, and also the costs related to this. Users may contribute their recorded energy consumption and efficiency measures. The energy atlas is designed to be a public planning and decision support system, which may also be accessible to communities and single households. The municipal works of Aalborg contribute with extensive data on heat consumption and distribution networks. A link between urban strategic energy planning and urban planning can be established by using the urban heat and energy atlases, which comprise a highly detailed spatial database on the urban building stock and energy infrastructures, to extract spatial relations and parameters such as building density, use and function of urban neighbourhoods, studies of urban densification vs. sprawl, or other. Activities: The case study report is going to be prepared for the geographical extent of the municipality of Aalborg and in co-operation with the Municipal District Heating company of Aalborg. The case study comprises the following: A general description of the city: geography, socio-economic conditions, energy policy and climate strategy General information on geography, socio-economy etc. with geospatial information Overview on current local energy policies by the municipality Discussion of the recently commissioned energy and climate strategies A description of stakeholders and their requirements for improved climate-neutral infrastructure Public administration Public utilities Private corporations SME’s Citizens Knowledge institutions An extended description of methods Mapping energy demand and supply by means of energy atlases Strategic municipal energy planning Consumer interaction with energy atlases An overview of available data and required additional data National building registers Digital topographical databases Municipal civic data registers Utility databases Data gathered from consumer participation Task 4.5 University of Ljubljana; City of Ljubljana Natasa Pichler-Milanović, UL Robert Rijavec, UL Maša Šorn, RDA LUR natasa.pichler-milanovic@fgg.uni-lj.si robert.rijavec@fgg.uni-lj.si masa.sorn@ljubljana.si Description: The University of Ljubljana will lead the aspects of research related to climate neutral transport infrastructure and in particular build on the latest research in Intelligent Transportation Systems and services (ITS), especially Traffic Management Systems (TMS), Public Transport Management System (PTMS), Traveller Information System (TIS) and Parking Management System (PMS). ITS integrate telecommunications, electronics and information technologies - in short, ‘telematics’ - with transport engineering in order to plan, design, operate, maintain and manage transport systems. This integration aims to improve safety, security, quality and efficiency of the transport systems for passengers and freight, optimising the use of natural resources and respecting the environment. To achieve such aims, ITS require procedures, systems and devices to allow the collection, communication, analysis and distribution of information and data among moving subjects, the transport infrastructure and information technology applications. The main condition for mutual accessibility of urban areas is the reorganization of transport (especially passenger transport) with user and environmental friendly transport system. Slovenian public opinion strongly favours modern trams or Light Rail Transit (LRT) in the city of Ljubljana, but due to high investment costs it was not applied in Ljubljana in the past. Therefore the research aims to develop a model for alternative intelligent transport systems and services and to pilot test this model in the Ljubljana urban region. The research and models will analyse what would happen if new approaches for sustainable transport management are not introduced and the impact that introducing such measures would have on reducing a city’s ecological footprint. A pilot will be carried out as a case study on one of the main Ljubljana's arterial. It will be analysed what will happen in the city centre of Ljubljana, if the cross section of roadway will be enlarged for one lane or special bus lane with priority bus system will be introduced. Analyses will be carried out by performing special traffic simulations. To make all this more and more complex and sophisticated systems to work harmonically, it is necessary to improve on current system design of ITS on an urban level. It will be called an ITS architecture. The application of the methodology developed for the LUR region to other regions of Europe will be assessed and recommendations made. Activities: Congested and polluted streets are serious problem for many of Europe’s towns and cities. People are using private vehicles rather than public transport for journeys. We need for transport more time because transport is less efficient. This cause more pollution and increase in energy use. We could say that such a transport could be one of the reasons for climate change. Before we define the plan of measures we would like to re-open a forum talking about the common city transport policy. We would like to know the problems and priorities of cities transport objects at least from decisions makers. In the past there were many EU projects doing that (for example ITS City Pioneers), but they were successful only in some smart, modern and »big-sized« cities. We must agree that planning transport means planning land use and vice versa, planning land use means planning transport. In this case we would like to introduce ITS (Intelligent transport system and services) for »middle-size« cities and their surroundings which are in development stage. We would also like to add a task to WP 4.3 Urban planning / Land use modelling. The result will be the priority list of transport objects from all TURAS cities partners which could be used for land use modelling and also for transport planning and modelling. According to WP 4.5 we would like to open a debate about ITS tools and the possibility of common integration using ITS architecture. We intend to define the priorities of ITS user needs especially with the object how to change the pollution from transport system. Hypothetically we will model the measure of changing modal split using state-of the art micro simulation software to detect the pollution change (for example Synhro/Simtraffic or PTV Vissim). We will map the pollution before and after using GIS software (for example ESRI ArcGis). T4.6 Measurement of results and impact leading to recommendations for climate change resilient city planning and the development of climate-neutral infrastructure in other participating TURaS partner cities and in a wider European context. (VU-IVM) Lead Partner: VU-IVM Partners involved: All other WP partners and U STUTT Main contact: Jeroen Aerts (jeroen.aerts@ivm.vu.nl); Hans de Moel (hans.de.moel@ivm.vu.nl) Description: IVM will lead the WP4.6 which aims at integrating the activities and results in WPs 4.2 to 4.5. The main goal of WP4.6 is to develop guidelines for urban planners that layout building blocks to develop a plan for a climate resilient city and to reduce the city’s overall ecological footprint. The guidelines will describe how the innovations in (1) flood risk management, (2) urban water management and (3) climate neutral infrastructure can be implemented in urban planning Special attention will be paid to (a) the costs of climate resilient measures, (b) governance aspects such as the involvement of stakeholders and (c) the use of space each of the resilience strategies require. The land use model developed in WP4.3 will be a key tool, which integrates the claims on space from new water and energy management strategies and shows potential areas of conflicts when implementing such a plan. This will be done for one TURaS partner city (either Aalborg or Rotterdam or Ljubljana depending on the case study results). Based on these model outputs, the methodological experiences from other WPs and inputs from stakeholders in partner different cities, the generic guidelines can be developed with their pros and cons. Activities: In this synthesis activity, the results from the different tasks will be brought together in a report with recommendations. The lead of this activity will be taken by IVM-VU. Input from other partners involved is related to the incorporation of the results of each partner (all).