2015 Occasional Workshop Schedule Mosher Alumni House, UC Santa Barbara October 2, 2015 7:45-8:25 Registration, coffee, light breakfast 8:25-8:30 Opening Remarks Session 1. Environmental Policy and Behavior Chair: Hendrik Wolff, University of Washington 8:30-9:00 Prices Versus Social Nudges For Motivating Energy Conservation Laura Grant, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Discussant: Jonathan Kadish, UC Berkeley 9:00-9:30 The Not-so Marginal Value of Weather Warning Systems Ben Miller, RAND Corporation Economics of a Light Bulb: Experimental Evidence on CFLs and End-User Behavior Robyn Meeks, University of Michigan Estimating Returns to Lobbying Using Prediction Markets Ashwin Rode, University of Chicago 9:30-10:00 Bans Versus Fees: Disposable Carryout Bag Policies and Bag Usage Rebecca Taylor, UC Berkeley Discussant: Kevin Roth, UC Irvine 10:00-10:30 A Global Experiment in Black Market Dynamics: The Effect of Legal Ivory Sales on Illegal Ivory Production Solomon Hsiang, UC Berkeley Discussant: Andrew Plantinga, UC Santa Barbara 10:30-11:00 Break Session 2. Resources Chair: Gary Libecap, UC Santa Barbara 11:00-11:30 Distributional Effects of Changing Water Rights Institutions in Klamath County, Oregon Karin Donhowe, UC Santa Barbara Water Storage Capacities versus Water Use Efficiency: Substitutes or Complements? Xie Yang, UC Berkeley Mining and Quasi-Option Value Charlie Kolstad, Stanford University Session 3. Fisheries Chair: Rebecca Toseland, Harvard University 11:30-12:00 An Empirical Model for Estimating State Transitions Jude Bayham, CSU Chico The Economic Gains to Accounting for Fisheries Induced Evolution Amanda Faig, UC Davis Empirical Evidence on the Economics of Stakeholder Opposition to Fishery Rationalization Sara Sutherland, UCSB 12:00-1:30 Lunch Session 4. Environment and Development Chair: Ram Fishman, George Washington University and Tel Aviv University 1:30-2:00 Information Strategies for Energy Conservation: A Field Experiment in India Magali Delmas, UCLA Discussant: Peng Zhang, UC Santa Barbara 2:00-2:30 Deforestation in Malawi: The Role of Agricultural Subsidies and Ethnic Favoritism Ryan Abman, San Diego State University Public Health Effects of Ecosystem Degradation: Evidence from Deforestation in Indonesia Teevrat Garg, London School of Economics Out of the Darkness and Into the Light?: Development Effects of Rural Electrification in India Fiona Wilkes, UC Berkeley 2:30-3:00 Infrastructure Development Can Benefit the Environment: Electrification, Agricultural Productivity and Deforestation in Brazil Ahmed Mobarak, Yale University Discussant: Teresa Molina, USC Session 5. Theory Chair: Robyn Meeks, University of Michigan 3:00-3:30 Natural Resource Federalism Daniel Kaffine, University of Colorado-Boulder Global Reshuffling Carol McAusland, University of British Columbia When is a Backstop Not a Backstop? James Roumasset, University of Hawaii 3:30-4:00 Break Session 6. Energy Chair: Derek Lemoine, University of Arizona 4:00-4:30 Path Dependence in U.S. Coal-fired Electricity Kyle Meng, UC Santa Barbara Discussant: Discussant: Matt Woerman, UC Berkeley 4:30-5:00 From Fossil Fuels to Renewables: The Role of Electricity Storage Itzi Lazkano, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee From Plows to Horizontal Fracking: Anti-Commons and Unintended Consequences of Land Privatization Bryan Leonard, UC Santa Barbara Projecting the Impact of Climate Change on U.S. Electricity Load 5:00-7:15 6:15-7:30 Catherine Hausman, University of Michigan Evening Reception, Marine Science Institute, 2nd floor Deck (see p. for campus map)* Depart to Santa Barbara* October 3, 2015 7:45-8:30 Coffee, light breakfast (location: Mosher Alumni House) Session 7. Adaptation to Climate Change Chair: Andrew Plantinga, UC Santa Barbara 8:30-9:00 Estimating Adaptation Using Forecasts Jeffrey Shrader, UC San Diego Discussant: Hendrik Wolff, University of Washington 9:00-9:30 When Water Runs Out: Scarcity, Adaptation and Migration in Gujarat Ram Fishman, George Washington University & Tel Aviv University Climate, Insurance, and Innovation: The Case of the U.S. Agriculture Ruiqing Miao, Auburn University Ownership of the Commons and Informal Insurance Against Climate Shocks Insurance Frederik Noack, UC Santa Barbara Session 8. Climate Change Policy Chair: Kyle Meng, UC Santa Barbara 9:30-10:00 The Climate Risk Premium Derek Lemoine, University of Arizona Discussant: Gernot Wagner, Environmental Defense Fund 10:00-10:30 The Fragility of Robustness: Climate Policy When Damages are Unknown Ivan Rudik, Iowa State University Dynamic Efficiency Costs of Non-Efficiency Objectives in Tradable Permit Programs Kailin Kroetz, Resources for the Future An Imperfect Storm: Fat-Tailed Hurricane Damages, Insurance, and Climate Policy Marc Conte, Fordham University 10:30-11:00 Break Session 9. Air Pollution and Weather Costs Chair: Fernando Aragon, Simon Fraser University 11:00-11:30 Canary in a Coal Mine: Impact of Mid-20th Century Air Pollution on Infant Mortality and Property Values Edson Severnini, Carnegie Mellon University Discussant: Christopher Severen, UC Santa Barbara 11:30-12:00 Quantifying the Effect of Extreme Heat on Cognitive Ability: Evidence from the California High School Exit Exam James Gillan, UC Berkeley Strategic Placement of Ambient Pollution Monitors: How Local Regulators Comply with Federal Rules Corbett Grainger, University of Wisconsin-Madison Air Pollution and Defensive Expenditures: Evidence from Particulate-Filtering Facemasks Junjie Zhang, University of Chicago Session 10. Climate Change, Agriculture, and Ecosystems Chair: Eric Edwards, Utah State University 12:00-12:30 Assessing Local Vulnerability to Climate Change in Agriculture: An Application to the State of Tocantis, Brazil Miriam Juarez Torres, Bank of Mexico Discussant: Olivier Deschenes, UC Santa Barbara 12:30-1:00 Farmers, Bats, and Pesticides Use: Using White Nose Syndrome To Learn About The Beneficial Spillover Effects of Bats on Farmers Eyal Frank, Columbia University Harnessing Enforcement Leverage at the Border to Minimize Biological Risk from International Live Species Trade Amanda Lindsay, UC Davis Learning About a Moving Target in Resource Management: Optimal Bayesian Disease Control Michael Springborn, UC Davis 1:00-2:30 Lunch and Adjourn