Appendix 1: Outline of Included Studies by Author reference. Further information Date of sample: refers to birth year unless otherwise specified. Quality Control Assessment Scale used : Wells, Shea, O’Connell, Peterson, Welch, Losos&Tugwell (2013) : The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for assessing the quality of nonrandomised studies in meta-analyses. Maximum score of 8 for Cohort Study, 9 for Case Control. For further detail on quality assessment score please refer to appendix 3 and 4. Further notes on study method: Additional notes were added from the paper if deemed as helpful in adding to the evaluation of the study method, or in the interpretation of the authors’ findings. 1 Author reference Date of Sample Participant Detail(Cases & Controls) Diagnostic scale used to assess case-ness. Aetiological factors measured Quality Control Assessment( QAR) Abel, Wicks, Susser, Dalman, Pedersen, Mortensen& Webb (2010) 1973-1984 Follow up:2002. Total of cohort:1, 077 ,393 from singleton live births in Sweden. 5445 cases of schizophrenia and other related disorders within this sample. ICD 9&101 Low birth weight (<2500 g and low for gestational age) 5.5/8 Further notes on study methods (not within QAR) e.g. how did they recruit?_ •”Low weight” was defined by the World Health Organisation but arbitrary cut off; not categorical. Stratifying into 500g cut offs is questionable re. utility of it. •Useful that the study used only term births over 37 weeks. So can more reliably measure birth Summary of study findings An association between birth weight and adult mental disorder was found, but with no indication the effect was specific to a birth weight less than 2500 g or to Schizophrenia. Low birth weight may represent a mechanism for a general psychiatric vulnerability rather than one specific to 1 ICD: International Classification of diseases: Codification/Classification of Diseases from the World Health Organisation 1 2 2 Allebeck, Adamsson ,Engstrom&Rydber g (1993) 1971-1983: 112 cases of schizophrenia (Stockholm County Only:populatio n around 1.5 million) ICD 8 & DSM III2 Cannabis Use 5/8 weight with less confounding by abnormal development. • Birth weight of an Infant provides little information about the path of its growth in utero in either an adverse or favourable maternal environment • The study included a large enough sample to detect small effects that may occur across the normal birth weight range. •Cannabis may be used for selfmedication during a prodromal phase of psychosis. However within the study temporal findings make this less likely and give strength to causality. Schizophrenia. Equally low birth weight may be a marker of risk for another variable. 69% of the cases had a record of heavy cannabis abuse at least 1 year before onset of psychotic symptoms. Cannabis use shown to be linked to positive symptoms only. The Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM):Codification/classification from the American Psychiatric Association 2 3 Andreasson, Engstrom, Allebeck& Rydebeck(1987) Majority born:19491951. Surveyed 1969/1970. Follow up 1983. 45570 men, 246 cases of Schizophrenia ICD8 -Cannabis Use (Category of usage: None, 1-10,1150,50+). 6/8 •Difficulties of non-anonymous questionnaire and response bias. •Asked about other drug and alcohol use. •Controlled for other social adjustment variables. Relative risk of schizophrenia in cannabis users was found to be 6 x higher than nonusers. (1-10 uses: 1.3x risk; 11-50 uses: 3x, 50+ uses: 6x). However cannabis may be a stressor for those vulnerable to developing schizophrenia rather than a necessary or sufficient factor. Of 274 schizophrenics only 21 were in the high consuming group and only 49 had ever tried cannabis. Additionally the use of cannabis for selfmedication for previous psychiatric symptoms cannot be ruled out within the study methodology. 4 Andreasson, Allebeck &Rydebeck(1989) Born 19491951 conscripted 1969-1970 8483 men, 42 cases of schizophrenia. ICD 8 -Cannabis Use(Category of usage: None, 1-10,1150,50+). 6.5/8 •Importantly controlled for Hereditary presence of schizophrenia, other drug and alcohol use, negative social background There was no evidence of mental disorder prior to cannabis abuse within the study, even if the role of personality traits could not be fully assessed. The 3 factors. 5 Andréasson & Allebeck, (1991). Conscripted in 1969/70. Follow up 1983. 49,464 Young Swedish males who were conscripted for compulsory military service. ICD 8 Alcohol (more than 250 g alcohol per week) 6/8 •Considerable underreporting of alcohol consumption has been shown in several previous studies which leads to suggestions it may also have authors concluded a different pattern of mental deterioration was found among cannabis users, with a more abrupt onset of schizophrenic symptoms than nonusers. There was no major difference between users and nonusers in heredity for schizophrenia (or other psychiatric disorders). Negative social background factors were more common among cannabis abusers. Although the number of cases in this study was small, the findings support the hypothesis that cannabis does play an aetiological role in schizophrenia. Although a dose response relationship between alcohol and Schizophrenia was found within the study, as abstainers also had an increased risk further research is 4 6 Cederlof, Bergen, Langstrom, Larsson ,Boman, Craddock ,Ostberg ,Lundstrom Sjolander, Nordlind, Landen& Lichtenstein (2014). Total population register used:those registered as Swedish residents 1968 onwards. Definitive dates not discussed. A total of 788 individuals with Darier disease and 3,228 of their firstdegree relatives were identified. 770 cases were used in the final analysis. ICD 8,9&10 Darier Disease 7/8 been underestimated in this study. needed to clarify the findings and whether any underlying moderators can explain the results. What emerges is a group with multiple hardship in which high alcohol consumption may be one factor among many influencing the aetiology of schizophrenia. •Limitation: Those that receive one diagnosis may be more be more likely to receive another due to bias from clinicians. An increased risk was found for later Schizophrenia in individuals with Darrier Disease. However the increase was greater for bipolar suggesting any association may reflect a general psychiatric vulnerability rather than a direct temporal link. The authors suggest this underlying vulnerability is likely to be genetic but further research is needed. 5 7 Class, Abel, Khashan, Rickert, Dalman, Larsson, Hultman, Långström, Lichtenstein & D‘Onofrio(2014) 1992-2000 for childhood outcomes 1973-1997 adulthood outcomes 8 Dalman &Allebeck (2002) 1960-1977 9 Dalman,Allebeck, Cullberg, Grunewald&Koster( 1999) 1973-1977 (Diagnosis follow up 1987-1995) Total Sample: 738144 children & 2155221 adults. ICD 8,9&10 Maternal Stress: death of a first-degree relative during (a) the 6 months before conception, (b) pregnancy or (c) the first two postnatal years. 6/8 1043 matched controls. 524 subjects with schizophrenia ICD 9&10 Paternal Age 8/8 507516 children. 238 with schizophrenia. ICD 8&9 Obstetric complications and characteristics of neonate. 5.5/8 2400 with schizophrenia. •Childhood outcomes could not include schizophrenia only Austism Spectrum Disorder and Asperger Disorder. •Schizophrenia diagnosis was up to 35 •Importantly controlled for maternal age, parity, marital status, socioeconomic status, maternal psychotic illness, and obstetric complications. •Controlled for differences between gender. No association was found for schizophrenia but associations were found for other psychiatric morbidities. The odds of schizophrenia in offspring of fathers 45 years old or older were 2.8 times as great as in offspring of fathers aged 20– 24 years An association between Obstetric complications and Schizophrenia was found with preeclampsia (an indicator of foetal malnutrition) This was shown to be the strongest individual risk factor for later development of Schizophrenia within the study. 6 10 11 Dalman, Thomas, David, Gentz, Lewis & Allebeck (2001) David, ,Malmberg, Brandt, Allebeck &Lewis (1997) Born since 1969 Follow up 1971-1994 1969/1970 (Follow up 1983) Swedish conscripts 524 cases of schizophrenia, 1043 controls 49968 male conscripts. 195 Cases of schizophrenia. ICD 8&9 ICD8&DSMIII Asphyxia at Birth/Obstetric complications Low IQ 6/8 5/8 •Controlled for maternal age, parity, marital status, socioeconomic status, maternal psychotic illness, and obstetric complications. •Men only and all aged 18. •Reasons why low IQ associated still unknown. •Controlled for age factors(older may mean more cognitively impaired) Signs of asphyxia are independently associated with Schizophrenia. Other factors showed significance but this disappeared after confounders and other obstetric complications were taken into account. Low scores on verbal tasks and mechanical knowledge led to increased risk of Schizophrenia. The effect of IQ and later psychotic illness was highly significant for psychotic disorder and Schizophrenia specifically. But low IQ had low predictive power predicting only 3.1% of cases. Within this study risk for Schizophrenia was also attenuated in comparison to risk for other psychoses 7 12 David, Malmberg Lewis,Brandt& Allebeck (1995) 1969-1970 conscripts. 1970-1983 psychiatric admission 50087 Swedish male conscripts, 203 with Schizophrenia. ICD 8 Left-handedness, epilepsy, hearing impairment 3/8 13 Ek, Wicks,Magnusson &Dalman(2012) 1955-1985 Adoptive children, total: 31 188, 131 with schizophrenia. ICD 8&9 Adoptive paternal age(Psychosocial influence) 7/8 •Hearing may be a proxy for something else; possibility it exposes individual to perceptual abnormalities. •Reporting/recall bias on past behaviour may be present from self-report; handedness also based on selfreport. •Limitation we don’t know when the sensory deficit occurred. •Excluded were individuals living with a biological parent at any 5 year point when they were 1–15 years old (n = 1337), not living in a family household (n = 257), or adopted by grandparents or siblings (n = 230). Schizophrenia was 1.81 times higher amongst those with severe hearing loss, but epilepsy and left-handedness did not prove significant. Authors conclude previous results suggesting neurodevelopmental anomalies may be result of bias and that hearing impairment is the only variable of true influence here. This study shows that advancing adoptive paternal age did not increase adopted children’s risk of developing schizophrenia or non-affective psychosis suggesting any previous association shown with advancing paternal age in familial studies is likely to have a stronger genetic aetiology.Further studies are needed 8 to confirm this finding. 14 Ek, Wicks, Svensson, Idring,& Dalman(2014) Born between 1955 and 1985 1 294 063 individuals 3447 cases of Schizophrenia. ICD 8,9,10 Delayed Fatherhood(rather than advancing paternal age per se) 7/8 1973-2006 (diagnosis) 15 Ekeus, Olausson &Hjern (2005) 1973–1979 follow up 1987-2002. 292 129 First born children . 366 cases of Schizophrenia. ICD 9&10 Advancing parental age(maternal and paternal) 6/8 •Paternal age was divide into <20, 20–24, 25–29, 30–34, 35–39, 40–44, and ≥45 years. But may have benefited if over 45 was categorised further. •Level of urbanicity was chosen to represent an indicator of cultural factors of late parenthood and environmental factors such as toxins. Paternal unemployment was used an indicator of socioeconomic status. The association between advancing paternal age and increased risk of schizophrenia in offspring disappeared after controlling for delayed fatherhood •Obstetric complications, such as instrumental deliveries and abnormal positions, increased with increasing Considerable risks for psychiatric disorders such as schizophrenia remained after adjustments for social factors. The association between paternal age and schizophrenia is not due to paternal age per se, but rather to an unknown factor associated with both delayed fatherhood and schizophrenia. 9 16 17 Fors, Abel, Wicks, Magnusson &Dalman (2013) Frans ,McGrath , Sandin, Lichtenstein Reichenberg Långström & Hultman (2011) 1975-1985. Within inpatient care 1973-2004 20 cases of Schizophrenia. 213 controls. Complete data for both grandparents and parents: 2511 cases 15619 controls. ICD-10: Inpatient admissions in hospital since 1987. ICD 8,9,10 Abnormal physical and behavioural development (in childhood): Hearing and speech impairment aged 4. Advancing paternal and grand-paternal age. 6/9 6/8 maternal age. So unclear whether maternal age or the complication itself that is the issue. •Excluded acute schizophrenia episode=useful •Schizophrenia and psychoses cases together •Difficulties of participant recruitment highlighted here. Majority didn’t reply. Don’t’ know those with the largest impairments weren’t the most socially isolated. •Sample population between 18-28. •Looked at gender separately. Both hearing and speech impairment in childhood linked to increased risk of early onset schizophrenia. The study shows that hearing impairment is likely to be important in more than just elderly populations for psychosis development. . Offspring of older fathers at greater risk of schizophrenia was confirmed. First study to find association with grandparent age (but maternal side only). Having a maternal grandfather over age 55 led to an 10 18 Fouskakis, Gunnell Rasmussen, Tynelius,Sipos& Harrison (2004) 1973-1980 Continued follow up to 1999 at aged 16. Sample of 696025, 506 developed schizophrenia. ICD 9&10 Season of Birth(alternative explanations) 4/8 •Possibility that sample lacked statistical power to capture differences 19 Giordano, Ohlsson, Sundquist, Sundquist and Kendler(2015) Diagnosis 2000-2010 5456 individuals with an initial diagnosis of schizophrenia, matched with five schizophreniafree controls. ICD 10 Cannabis 7/9 •To consider potential prodromal effects, investigated the time between Cannabis and schizophrenia diagnosis at 1-, 3-, 5- and 7-year intervals. increased risk in offspring; however further clarification with regards to the mechanisms behind this is needed. A moderate increased risk of schizophrenia was shown amongst winter births, but this did not reach conventional levels of statistical significance. There was also no association shown with non-affective psychoses. Finally, there was no evidence that these associations were confounded by measures of foetal growth or maternal socioeconomic position. The authors concluded that Cannabis abuse has an appreciable causal impact on future risk for schizophrenia. However, population-based estimates of cannabis– schizophrenia co- 11 20 Gunawardana, Davey Smith, Zammit, Whitley, Gunnell,Lewis&Ras mussen(2011) 1973–1980 183 921 born in Sweden and still resident there at aged 16 included in the final analysis, 164 with schizophrenia ICD 9&10 Pre-conception interpregnancy interval 6.5/8 •Causality issue: Not cannabis use but the legal consequences of its use/environment you may find yourself in. morbidity substantially overestimate their causal association. •A shorter pregnancy interval is more commonly found in male offspring and may explain the findings. Those born with shorter inter-pregnancy intervals(where maternal folate stores are being replenished) had a higher risk of schizophrenia. However findings may be largely explained by women who conceive following a short inter-pregnancy interval differing on a number of characteristics that could subsequently influence risk of schizophrenia, (compared with women with longer intervals.) Adjustment for confounders attenuated the associations we observed by 12 approximately 30%. 21 22 Gunnell, Harrison, Rasmussen, Fouskakis&Tynelius (2002) Born 19731980 Conscripted before 1994 109 643 subjects with a mean 5-year follow-up, 60 of these developed schizophrenia. ICD 9&10 Prenatal and early childhood exposures on intellectual development (and then later schizophrenia) 5.5/8 •Information on family history of psychosis was not available for all individuals. Gunnell, Harrison, 2 Whitley, Lewis, Tynelius& Rasmussen(2005) Birth Register (1973–1980), Inpatient and Discharge Register (1988–2002), Military Service Conscription Register (1990– 1997), and the Population and Housing Censuses (1970 &1990). 719,476 followed up from 16 for a mean of 9.9 years. ICD9&ICD 10 Birth weight Ponderal Index(Birthweight/birt h length) Birth length(Foetal and childhood growth) 5/8 •Restricted to term babies. •No evidence that birth length, ponderal index or gestational age differed between genders. •Large numbers of schizophrenia cases gives adequate power to sample. 736 of these developed schizophrenia. Poor scores for each of the five tests were Associated with a 3to14foldincreasedrisk of psychosis, particularly schizophrenia. Poor intellectual performance at18 years of age was also shown to be associated with early-onset psychotic disorder. Some evidence was provided by the study to suggest that patterns of risk, in relation to foetal growth, differ depending on postnatal growth patterns. Within the study the increased risk associated with low body mass index was restricted to long babies who became light adults. However, the exposures underlying these associations and the 13 23 Gunnell Rasmussen Fouskakis Tynelius, &Harrison(2003) 1973-1980 246,655 Swedish male conscripts. 80 cases of Schizophrenia within this. ICD 9&10 Three markers of foetal growth: birth weight, birth length, and ponderal index (birth weight (kg)/birth length (m)3) ; and 2) two markers of later childhood growth: the subject’s height and body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)2) 5/8 •Controlled for selection bias(for details see paper) •Family history of psychosis was not available for all individuals. 24 Harrison, Fouskakis, Rasmussen, Tynelius, Sipos&Gunnell ( 2003) 1973-1980 696025 363 with schizophrenia 590 non affective ICD-9 Urbanicity 7/8 Parental Education data missing in 10% of cases. Difficulties can biological mechanisms mediating them, require further clarification Evidence was found to suggest birth weight was associated with schizophrenia but not other nonaffective psychoses.. Higher risks existed for males who remained small as adults. The associations with birth weight indicate that foetal exposures, including possible effects of gestational diabetes were concluded to be important in the aetiology of schizophrenia by the authors. The role of childhood exposures, as indexed by adult height and body mass index, were concluded to be less strong. Urbanisation of birthplace was associated with general psychoses but was not shown 14 psychosis. occur with generalisation between studies due to differing definitions of “rural” and “urban” areas. 25 Harrison, Whitley, Rasmussen,Lewis, Dalman &Gunnell (2006) 1973-1980 748 cases Of schizophrenia with 14,960 matched controls. ICD-10 Head injury 8/9 •Unable to exclude association between head injury and less severe psychotic illness. •Excluded minor concussive and other injuries assessed in Accident and Emergency departments.) 26 Hjern, Wicks &Dalman (2004) Adult sample: 1929-1965 Child sample: 1968-1975 Hospital discharge 1.47 million adults 1.16 million children 1268 cases of Schizophrenia ICD 9&10 Migration(and the socio-economic variables that surround it). 6/8 •First Generation immigrants= The latter category was defined as foreign-born who had settled in to be specific to schizophrenia. This effect was smaller than has been seen in previous research. This was not reduced by control for parental educational status or obstetric complications. The authors conclude that it is unlikely that head injury causes schizophrenia. A small but significant risk of non-schizophrenic psychotic disorders and head injury was shown; this was not associated with early age of injury or family history of psychosis. The authors stated that further research is needed to clarify the potential roles of social and biological intermediary factors. A higher risk of schizophrenia and psychoses was found in two generations of immigrants 15 data: 19912000 within the adult group. 27 Hultman, Sparén, Takei, Murray& Cnattingius (1999) 1973-1979 Sample aged 15-21 years with a main diagnosis of Schizophrenia 167 cases 835 controls. ICD-8&9 28 Johansson, Lundholm, Hillert, Masterman, Lichtenstein, Landén & Hultman Born between 1969-1991 Analysed when Multiple Comorbidty cohort: Patients with multiple sclerosis ICD 8,9&10 General Overview Pregnancy and DeliveryHypertensive Diabetes, bleeding during pregnancy, uterine autonomy. Child Characteristics: Birth weight for gestational age, Ponderal Index, Apgar score at 1 minute, season of birth. Maternal Factors: age at delivery, and parity or number of previous births. x Late winter birth was associated with increased risk of both schizophrenia and affective psychosis Multiple Sclerosis(MS) 7/9 7/8 Sweden after their twentieth birthday. •Useful that looked at children and adults separately as timing of stressor may also be important. •Did not include late onset cases. of diverse ethnicity. The results indicate that social adversity contributes to the higher risk. •Shared familial risk between MS and psychiatric disorders was estimated by The risk of developing schizophrenia was lower following MS. The association A few specific pregnancy and perinatal factors were associated with the subsequent development of psychotic disorder, particularly schizophrenia, in early adult life. The association of small size for gestational age and bleeding during pregnancy with increased risk of early onset schizophrenia among males could reflect placental in-sufficiency. 16 (2014) Sclerosis was the event until 2009. N=16,467) 36 cases of Schizophrenia sibling comparison. between having a sibling with a psychiatric disorder and developing MS was also not significant. Previous research where an association has been shown may be specific to an affective subtype of psychosis rather than schizophrenia •Levels of IgG directed at gliadin (a component of gluten) and casein (a milk protein) were analyzed in eluates from dried blood spots by enzymelinked immunosorbent assay. High levels of antigliadin IgG in the maternal circulation were associated with an elevated risk for the development of non-affective psychosis in offspring. Matched Control group (N=164,670) 29 Karlsson, Blomström, Wicks, Yang,Yolken& Dalman, (2012) 1975 to1985 Diagnosis: 1987 to 2003 Sibling cohort Multiple sclerosis after matching (N=26,506) 93 cases of Schizophrenia. 553 controls and 51 cases of Schizophrenia born in Sweden. ICD 9&10 Mechanisms behind maternal malnutrition or infections and complications of pregnancy and birth)> Maternal antibodies to dietary antigens. 8/9 However, further research is needed to identify the mechanisms underlying this association and in order to develop preventive strategies. No association was additionally found between Caesarean section and non- 17 30 Larsson, Ryde´n, Marcus Langstrom, Lichtenstein&Lande (2013) 1973-2009 Sample aged 3-65 at time of ADHD diagnosis. 467 cases of Schizophrenia 715 controls. ICD 8,9&10 ADHD 5/8 •Majority of those in Sweden with ADHD measured due to strengths of National Register Method 31 Leao, Sundquist, Frank, Johansson, Johansson&Sundqui st (2006) 1992-1999 Follow up period. 2,243,546 individuals followed for first hospital admission for schizophrenia from 1992 to 1999. ICD 9&10 Immigration 5.5/8 •Would have been useful to have looked at presence of psychotic phenomena and its interaction with what could be protective factors. (&Whether having one parent born in Sweden has a protective effect among second-generation immigrants.) affective psychoses(including schizophrenia) within the study. An increased risk of Schizophrenia in those with ADHD was found. Firstdegree relatives of probands with ADHD were more likely to have schizophrenia than relatives of controls The risk of schizophrenia was similar among maternal and paternal halfsiblings(who are likely to share the same environment) and substantially lower than for full siblings Second-generation immigrants with one parent born in Sweden and secondgeneration Finns had a higher risk of being hospitalised for psychotic disorders, comparatively to the Swedish majority population. Second-generation 18 32 Lewis, David, Malmberg& Allebeck (2000) Conscripted in 1970 Total: 50, 087 195 cases of schizophrenia ICD-8, DSM III Somatic symptoms: (Headache, difficulty sleeping, stomach ache, feeling nervous, feeling down/depressed, angry easily, troubled restless, upset when things go wrong Other diagnosis: Neurosis, Personality disorder, alcohol misuse, substance misuse.) 6/8 •Schizophrenia cases were until age 31 only. Male sample. 33 Li, Sundquist, Hemminki &Sundquist (2009) Diagnosis between 1987-2004. Birth dates of individuals included not listed within paper, Males: 21,199 hospitalized cases of psychotic disorders (43.7% Schizophrenia9,264) Females: 19,029 hospitalized ICD 9&10 Age difference and hereditary risk. 7.5/8 •Patients younger than 72 years were included; this cut off may present issues for those in the later end of the age bracket. refugees had a higher risk of being hospitalised for psychotic disorders than the Swedish majority population. All results remained significant even after adjustment for socio-economic status (income and education). Nearly 40% of those that develop Schizophrenia had a previous non Psychotic Psychiatric diagnosis. However the authors concluded that other than for Personality Disorder, other disorders are likely to reflect a prodromal phase of the illness. Age difference between siblings had no effect on the magnitude of the SIRs. The higher familial risks in singleton siblings and twins compared with spouses provide strong 19 cases of psychotic disorders (29.6% schizophrenia: 5,633) genetic epidemiological evidence for the overall heritable effects with regard to psychotic disorders including schizophrenia. Total sample of psychotic disorders: 3006 affected sibling pairs. 2838 singleton siblings 34 Lichtenstein, Bjork, , Hultman, Scolnick, Sklar &Sullivan(2006) 1932-2002 7 739 202 sample of which 32536 had Schizophrenia ICD 8,9&10 Familial risk: recurrence 7.5/9 •Study analysed both first(e.g parent) second(e.g grandparent) and third(e.g cousin) relatives, The lifetime prevalence of the narrow definition of schizophrenia was 0.407%; it was estimated that one in every 79 extended Swedish families had been impacted by schizophrenia. The proportion of affected families with multiple affected members was 3.81%. Recurrence risk estimates for all relative types were similar to those reported in smaller and older studies. 20 35 Lichtenstein, Yip, Björk, Pawitan, Cannon, Sullivan& Hultman (2009) Families identified within Multigenerati on register: 1973-2004 9,009,202 total sample. 35 985 cases of Schizophrenia ICD 8,9&10. Familial risk: (Non shared environment, environment, pure genetic, in common with Bipolar.) 6.5/9 •Some diagnoses may overlap; so results may be partially due to problems with classification. The study provided evidence of a substantial genetic association Between schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Additionally adopted children whose biological parents had Schizophrenia had a significantly increased risk for bipolar disorder suggesting an underlying shared aetiology. When relatives of probands with bipolar disorder were analysed, increased risks for schizophrenia existed for all relationships, including adopted children to biological parents with bipolar disorder. Non-shared environmental effects contributed to comorbidity by around 30% 21 36 Ludvigsson, Osby, Ekbom& Montgomery(2007) Diagnosis in inpatient register: 1973-2003 14,003 individuals with Coeliac disease 68,125 controls. 14 with Coeliac disease and Schizophrenia. ICD – 7,8,9,10 Coeliac Disease 5/8 •Number of individuals with schizophrenia may have been too low to detect an association 37 MacCabe , Lambe , Cnattingius, Torrång ,Björk , Sham , David , Murray & Hultman (2008) 1973-1983 907011 individuals born in Sweden. 493 cases of ICD 9&10 Scholastic achievement at age 15-16. 6/8 •Important to consider whether functioning was poor in all areas, or whether Grade E as predictor of schizophrenia in every suggesting both an environmental and genetic aetiology is involved in the development of schizophrenia Individuals with Coeliac Disease may be at increased risk of non-affective psychosis but not schizophrenia. However numbers of schizophrenia cases within the study were low so an association can not yet be ruled out. The authors suggest the association with non affective psychosis may be mediated through nutritional factors in early life or other exposures influencing neurological development; further research is needed to explore such mechanisms. Poor school performance across all domains associated with schizophrenia(and 22 Schizophrenia. subject 38 MacCabe, Wicks, Lofving, David, Berndtsson, Gustafsoon, Allbeck &Dalman (2013) 1953, 1967, 1972, 1977 Follow up 2006. Adolescent boys and young men (n=10717) Schizophrenia( or Schizoaffectiv e cases:50) ICD-8,9,10 dependent on cohort. Cog performance 1318 : Scores on tests of verbal, spatial and inductive ability at age 13 &18. 8/8 39 Malmberg, Lewis, David&Allbeck(199 8) Born 19491950 50,054 Swedish male conscripts. ICD-8 Schizoid Personality(Premorbid personality) Social adjustment 5/8 1973-1983 (time of conscription) Follow up 15 years later. 195 cases of Schizophrenia impairment was specific. This may help target future treatment and prevention strategies. •Excluded those who had already experience a psychotic disorder at time of conscription/aged 18/ before 25. Results less likely to represent a capturing of a pro-dromal phase. •Schizoaffective disorder combined with schizophrenia data •Examined wide variety of variables both of an interpersonal and intrapersonal nature. other psychoses) Repeating a year was also a significant predictor of schizophrenia. Relative decline in verbal ability between 13&18 associated with increased risk for schizophrenia. A cognitive decline was shown to more important than initial score at 18. Four variables reflecting early problems with interpersonal relationships were strongly associated with later schizophrenia and, to a lesser extent, nonschizophrenic psychoses, but also occurred commonly in the 23 40 Manrique-Garcia, Zammit, Dalman, Hemmingsson, Andreasson&Allebe ck (2012) Conscripted 1969-1970 Follow up 1970-2007 50 087 military conscripts 41943 on follow up 322 cases of schizophrenia. ICD8,9&10 Cannabis use 4.5/8 •Men only. •Controlled for other substance use and alcohol, IQ and urbanicity. cohort as a whole. These associations with schizophrenia persisted after early onset cases were excluded, though their predictive value was low Psychotic outcomes(schizophr enia specifically) among frequent cannabis users compared with nonusers were 3.7 greater. 24 41 Manrique-Garcia,. Zammit, Dalman, Hemmingsson,Andr easson & Allebeck(2014) Conscripted 1969-1970 Follow up 1973-2007. 50087 Swedish men Cannabis use Aged 18-20. ICD 8,9&10 Cannabis Use 7/8 •Divided into sub-types of schizophrenia, not necessarily helpful. •Do not know to what extent subjects continued cannabis use into adulthood. Results of this longterm (34 years) follow-up show that schizophrenia patients with a history of cannabis use had a significantly higher burden of in-patient care, with regard to hospital readmission and hospital duration, compared with those without a history of cannabis use. ICD 8&9 Obstetric Records: maternal age, maternal complications during pregnancy, birth order (first- or second born twin), birth year, birth place (at home or at hospital), sex of the child, gestational age (in completed gestational weeks based on the last menstrual period), birth weight, head circumference and complications of the infant in the neonatal period. 6.5/8 •Results conflict some of the results of previous studies. Individuals with a birth-weight of less than 2300 grams faced an almost doubled risk of developing schizophrenia compared to individuals with higher birth-weight. Children with a small head circumference (31.5 cm or less) had a 60% higher risk of developing schizophrenia compared to children with a larger head 357 cases of schizophrenia from inpatient care 42 Nilsson, Stålberg, Lichtenstein, Cnattingius, Olausson& Hultman(2005) Born: 19261958 Approached in 1972 Cohort analysis of 11,360 samesexed twins, and within–twin pair analyses were conducted on 90 twin pairs discordant for schizophrenia 25 circumference. Compared to children born at term (37 gestational weeks or more), children born preterm (36 weeks or less) had a 70% increased risk of developing schizophrenia. 43 Nosarti, Reichenberg, Murray, Cnattingius, Lambe, Yin, MacCabe, Rifkin& Hultman (2012) Live-born individuals registered in the nationwide Swedish Medical Birth Register between 1973 and 1985 and living in Sweden at age 16 years by December 2002 Total:1 301, 522 699 non affective psychoses. Schizophrenia cases not listed individually. ICD 8, 9, 10 Preterm Birth (Gestational age at birth, birth weight for gestational age, and Apgar score at 5minutes) 5.5/8 •Maternal smoking could have impacted and wasn’t controlled for, but appropriate records did not exist at time to measure. The vulnerability for hospitalization with a range of psychiatric diagnoses (including Schizophrenia) was shown to increase with younger gestational age. •Age of onset only to 29; so later onset cases not included. Similar associations were not observed for non-optimal foetal growth and low Apgar score within this study. 26 44 Sariaslan, Larsson, D’Onofrio, Långström, Fazel,& Lichtenstein(2014) 1967-1989 Children: 2 361 585 Cousins:1 715 059 Siblings:1 667 894 4952 cases of Schizophrenia within sample. ICD 9&10 Population density Neighbourhood Deprivation 7/8 •Sex, birth year (categorized into 5-year intervals), and birth order (categorized as first, second, third, and fourth or more). Excess risks of schizophrenia, in densely populated and socioeconomically deprived Swedish neighbourhoods appear to result primarily from unobserved familial selection factors, within the study. Previous studies may have overemphasized the aetiological importance of these environmental factors. Neighbourhood level effects only account for 2-3% of variance 27 45 Sipos, Rasmussen, Harrison, Tynelius, Lewis, Leon& Gunnell(2004) Born 19731980 754 330 individuals. 639 cases of schizophrenia. ICD 9&10 Advancing paternal age 7.5/8 •Individuals followed up from 16 for 9 years only. After adjustment for birth related exposures, socioeconomic factors, family history of psychosis, and early parental death the overall hazard ratio for each 10 year increase in paternal age was 1.47 (95% confidence interval 1.23 to 1.76) for schizophrenia and 1.12 (0.98 to 1.29) for nonschizophrenic non-affective psychosis. This association between paternal age and schizophrenia was present in those with no family history of the disorder, but not in those with a family history . 28 46 Song, Bergen, KujaHalkola, Larsson, Landen& Lichtenstein (2014) Born 1958 to 1985 with followup from 1973 to 2009. A total of 54,723 individuals with BPD were identified among 8,141,033 offspring from 4,149,748 nuclear families. 3320 additional diagnosis of schizophrenia. ICD 8,9&10 Bipolar& Heritability 6/8 •May have been useful to look at the association between Bipolar and occurence of negative or positive symptoms within schizophrenia, in addition to an overall diagnosis. The strong cooccurrence with schizophrenia and bipolar that was shown within the study suggests a common aetiology. Both may have a stronger common genetic aetiology, than environmental. The authors estimated this at: 76% heritability and 24% for non-shared environment. 29 47 Stålberg, Haglund, Axelsson, Cnattingius, Hultman& Kieler(2007) Ultrasound: 1973-1978 Follow up 1987-2004 370,945 total sample 13,212 exposed to ultrasound. Total with Schizophrenia exposed group:27 Unexposed:49 9 ICD 9&ICD10 Peri-natal exposure to ultrasound. 5.5/8 •Only singletons included. To increase the homogeneity of the study population, included only children of mothers who themselves had been born in one of the Nordic countries, . •All included children were alive and living in Sweden at the age of twelve (data from the Cause of Death Register). No evidence was found for clear associations between pre-natal ultrasound exposure and schizophrenia or other psychoses. Other factors relating to place of birth might have influenced the results particularly hospital/location of birth with higher IRR shown for Malmo hospital along with male sex, high maternal age, preterm births, and mother’s psychiatric care. 30 48 Sundquist, Li, Hemminki,& Sundquist, (2008) Follow up 1973-2004 10 101 cases of schizophrenia in general population ICD 8,9&10 Rheumatic disorders prior to Psychiatric disorder. 5/8 •Stratified by male and female. Useful as disorders differ between genders. Neither men nor women had an increased risk of Schizophrenia following rheumatic conditions, however associations were shown for other Psychiatric disorders. The results for schizophrenia may be due to the small numbers of cases of schizophrenia within the study. ICD 8,9&10 Age at onset, Parental characteristics Season of birth (As moderators to familiality in schizophrenia) 7/8 •Highlights that there may be many different pathways to schizophrenia; useful to look at moderators. What may appear to be a strong genetic aetiology to Schizophrenia is in fact reduced by higher age of onset, advancing paternal age and immigrant status. 6 males developed schizophrenia after rheumatic condition, 20 females. 49 Svensson, Lichtenstetin, Sandin O¨Berg, Sullivan & Hultman (2012) 1932-1990 5,075,998 full siblings, 16,346 cases of schizophrenia 31 50 Svensson ,Rogvin, Hultman, Reichborn Kjennerud,Sandin & Moger(2013) Born between 1955 and 1989 15,340 schizophrenia cases examined. ICD 8,9&10 Season of Birth Paternal Age at birth Place of birth(urban vs rural) Familial risk. 4.5/8 •Definition of familial Schizophrenia only included siblings as cases. Would have been more useful to also have included parents or children, this was however not accessible within the registers at the time. •Participants aged 18. For individuals without familial schizophrenia, a protective effect was seen across most ages of diagnosis for females, low paternal age, born in rural areas, and being born in later cohorts. For individuals with familial schizophrenia, a protective effect is found for females diagnosed between ages 18 and 30 years, corresponding values were 18-25 years for low paternal age. There was no statistically significant effect of paternal age on the proportion of susceptible. 32 51 Thomas, Dalman, David, Gentz, Lewis& Allebeck (2001) Diagnosis between 1971-1994 524 cases, 1043 controls Stockholm County Population. ICD8&9 Obstetric Complications 8/9 •Controls matched on year of birth. The study did not find any large or consistent effect of gender, age at diagnosis or maternal history of psychosis on the risk of schizophrenia associated with individual complications. 52 Van der Ven. Dalman, Wicks, Allebeck, Magnusson, van Os& Selten (2014) Conscripted 1969-1970 49321 Military conscripts at 18 ICD 8&9 Migration as a proxy for: Cannabis use, IQ, psychiatric Diagnosis, Social adjustment, History of trauma, Urbanicity Place of upbringing. 6.5/8 •Measures may differ over time(cannabis use etc): too simple of a design Low IQ and poor social adjustment were significantly less prevalent among prospective emigrants, whereas a history of urban upbringing was sig different. No differences in cannabis use Evidence opposes selection hypothesis (That the increased rates of psychosis observed among migrants are due to selective migration of people who are 33 predisposed to develop the disorder.) Greatest association was non psychotic psychiatric disorder at conscription and family history. 53 Westman, Johansson& Sundquist(2006) Received a diagnosis 19971998. 2315,461 men and 2247,858 Women. 5233 cases of Psychotic disorder(of which schizophrenia was included but not separated) within all included countries. DSM IV ICD 9&10 Migration/Country of Birth. 5.5/8 •Individuals were aged 25-64. • Marital status was divided into: single (including never married, divorced, widowed and cohabiting people without children) and married (including cohabiting people with children in common). • Cultural differences in how symptoms are presented may have resulted in immigrants that were misdiagnosed with mental disorders. The authors found that several groups of foreign-born men and women exhibited increased risks of a first hospital admission (during the study period) due to psychotic disorders. However the increased risk of psychotic disorders decreased to some extent after adjustment for demographic and socioeconomic factors suggesting that social adversity plays a role in the aetiology of Schizophrenia, with the immigrant population at least. 34 54 Wicks, Hjern&Dalman (2010) 1955-1984 13,163 children in Sweden followed up until 2006 ICD 8,9,10 Wicks, Hjern, Gunnell,Lewis and Dalman (2005) Born: 19631983 Diagnosis 1987-2002 ICD 9&10 Total sample: 2,130,376 Cases of schizophrenia: 4,109 5/8 • Biological fathers unknown in 41% of individuals. 6/8 •Didn’t adjust for urbanicity, immigration or paternal age. •Duration of social adversity may also be important to assess as well as presence/frequen cy. Socioeconomic status of household(social liability) 91 cases of schizophrenia. 55 Parental inpatient care for psychosis (genetic liability) Social Adversity in childhood The results indicate that children reared in families with a disadvantaged socioeconomic position have an increased risk for psychosis. There was also some support for an interaction effect, suggesting that social disadvantage increases this risk more in children with genetic liability for psychosis A number of social factors related to the parental socioeconomic situation were associated with an increased risk of schizophrenia . Measured and found significant: renting apartments, unemployment, single-parent households, and households receiving social welfare benefits. May be difficult to generalise to the UK 35 population as migration rules are a lot stricter in Sweden. 56 Zammit, Allebeck, Andreasson, Lundberg& Lewis(2002) 1969-1970 50087 (male conscripts 1820) Schizophrenia cases: 362. ICD-8 &ICD 9 Cannabis Use. 7/8 •Cannabis use was self reported. •Cannabis may have been used to self-medicate pro-dromal phase of psychotic symptoms; the study still does not rule this explanation out. •Males only; may have different interactions with drug usage. Cannabis use was shown to be associated with an increased risk of developing schizophrenia(and not psychiatric illness in general), consistent with a causal relation (dose dependent). This association was not explained by use of other psychoactive drugs or personality traits relating to social integration, within the study. 36 57 Zammit, Allebeck, , Dalman, Lundberg, Hemmingson, Owen &Lewis(2003) Conscripted: 1969-1970. Diagnosis: 1970 and1996. 50 087 adolescent Males 362 with schizophrenia. DSM III Paternal age(advancing) 6.5/8 •Aimed to adjust for personality traits of fathers by controlling for social integration in subjects(Theory the effect of advancing paternal age is down to fathers with an increase in schizotypal traits.) Evidence was provided for advancing paternal age to be an independent risk factor for schizophrenia. Adjusting for social integration in subjects made little difference to this association, consistent with the hypothesis that advancing paternal age may increase liability to schizophrenia owing to accumulating germ cell mutations. 37 58 59 Zammit, Allebeck,David; Dalman, Hemmingsson, Lundberg&Lewis, (2004) Conscripted: 1969-1970 Zammit, Lewis, Dalman& Allebeck(2010) 1970-1996 50087 male subjects. ICD-8&9 Lower IQ 6.5/8 •May have benefited from using a different cohort to previous research on the relationship between Low IQ and psychosis. •Also looked at schizoaffective disorder separately(helps us determine specificity of relationship) Of the 4 intelligence subtests, reduced performance for verbal IQ, visuospatial ability, and mechanical ability were associated with increased risk of Schizophrenia that persisted after adjusting for the other subtest measures. This may represent an increased risk for all psychoses rather than schizophrenia in particular. ICD 8&9 Additive and Multiplicative models examined on: a) low IQ test score (lowest 33% v. rest); (b) poor social adjustment (c) disturbed behaviour in childhood (d) cannabis use (ever used v. never used); (e) non-psychotic psychiatric diagnosis at conscription (any v. none). 5.5/8 •Poor social adjustment (lowest 30% on composite variable (range 0–10) derived from questions enquiring about friendships, girlfriends and sensitivity to others v. rest); •Disturbed behaviour in childhood (highest 20% on composite variable (range 0–9) derived Although individual variables such as low IQ may significantly contribute to one’s risk ,multiplicative models describe the joint effect of risk factors more adequately than additive ones do. 362 with schizophrenia 50 053 Swedish conscripts (630 cases of Schizophrenia) Only two combinations for additive models greater supported: poor social relationships and disturbed behaviour; disturbed behaviour 38 60 Zammit,Lewis, Rasbash,Dalman, Gustafsson&.Allebe ck .(2010) 1972&1977 203,829 881 Cases of Psychoses(Sch izophrenia included but not separated). Psychiatric Admission 1973 & ICD8-10 Urbanicity(as a proxy) Minority ethnicity Ethnic Density&social fragmentation Social deprivation 6/8 from questions enquiring about misconduct at school, truancy, running away from home and police contact v. rest); and other diagnosis; rest largely multiplicative. •Social fragmentation is still a difficult variable to measure/capture. The association between urbanicity and psychosis appears to be a reflection of increased social fragmentation present within cities. However the majority of variation was down to individual level and not neighbourhood level factors. •Not all confounders were included e.g. cannabis use. 39 61 Zammit, Rasmussen, Farahmand , Gunnell , Lewis Tynelius &Brobert (2007) 1952 to 1982 Diagnosis:197 0-2002 1 347 520 men born in Sweden . 5,219 with schizophrenia. ICD 7,8&9 Height &BMI 7/8 •Association with BMI remained largely unchanged when the analysis was restricted to subjects first admitted with schizophrenia after the initial 5year period following conscription. Both height and BMI in early adulthood are strongly and inversely associated with risk of schizophrenia. Genetic and nutritional mechanisms are argued to be the causation behind this, by the authors. 40