Geographical Access to Health Sites in North and South Kivu, Democratic Republic of Congo Final paper and project Michael Graham, GIS for International Applications Introduction With this project I sought to better understand the possibilities and limitations in using GIS to analyze how difficult it was for Congolese to get to health sites. Background The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced a decade of conflict that has decimated health infrastructure. In much of the country, access to health care is a 1-2 day walk away. In the Kivus, at the epicenter of humanitarian funding and with the largest population outside of Kinshasa, access is better relative to other regions, yet still severely lacking. While lack of data prevents us from knowing the type or quality of care provide, we can still judge the physical accessibility of villages to health structure in North and South Kivu. In preparing for the analytical process, I encountered several projects that had analyzed geographical accessibility for health centers in Latin America: 1. Ebener et al. ‘Using GIS to measure Physical Accessibility to Health Care’, World Health Organization, 2004. http://www.who.int/kms/initiatives/Ebener_et_al_2004a.pdf Presents two models for analyzing accessibility, using Honduras as a case study. Uses road networks, facility locations etc, as well as quality and slope of roads to come up with average speed and travel times. 2. Medicins Sans Frontieres. Access to healthcare, mortality and violence in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. October, 2005. https://www.doctorswithoutborders.org/publications/reports/2005/drc_healthcare_112005.pdf This report surveyed multiple regions in DRC and asked what prevented use of health services. In a couple settings, distance of facilities was a major factor (30%), where in others it was minor (2-3%). It helps provide context- physical distance did not seem to prevent consultations in most areas, but in some it was much more of a concern. 3. Modelling and understanding primary health care accessibility and utilization in rural South Africa: an exploration using a geographical information system. Tanzer et al. Social Science and Medicine. Volume 63, Issue 3, August 2006, Pages 691–705 www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277953606000372 The most interesting conclusion of this article was the following, which contrasts to the MSF study: There was a significant logistic decline in usage with increasing travel time (p < 0.0001). The adjusted odds of a homestead within 30 min of a clinic making use of the clinics were 10 times (adjusted OR = 10; 95 CI 6.9-14.4) those of a homestead in the 90-120 min zone. This demonstrates that distance from a clinic, at least in South Africa, plays a significant role in usage of that facility. In terms of analytical tools, the authors used far more robust and nuanced processes and surveys than was possible with this initial project. 4. Okwaraji YB , Cousens S , Berhane Y , Mulholland K , Edmond K (2012) Effect of Geographical Access to Health Facilities on Child Mortality in Rural Ethiopia: A Community Based Cross Sectional Study. PLoS ONE 7(3): e33564. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0033564 http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0033564 Like the Honduras study, this research looked at travel times to clinics, and found a drastic impact on child mortality based on distances over 1 hour. It used similar slope analysis of roads: In this study, a speed of 5 km/hr was assigned for all walking routes, slopes greater than 30 degrees were assigned a speed of 0.1 km/hr and traversing through water bodies was also assigned a speed of 0.1 km/hr.ata If I had better data and more time, I would seek to replicate these processes and do additional field research involving interviews to estimate travel time and ground-truthing estimates. Data The crux of the project was acquiring health center data. I was able to get a hold of a partial dataset from a contact working in DRC, which proved a mixed bag. While it was the most complete seen yet, there was no metadata to explain its provenance, and no attribute data about what type of facility it was- primary, tertiary, pharmacy etc. It was also not a national dataset- it included seemingly random coverage of areas. Luckily the one region that seemed to offer complete coverage was North and South Kivu. This is an interesting area to look at- it was the epicenter of post-genocidal conflict in Congo, has other complete datasets such as roads and localities, and has varied terrain that seemed as if they might play a critical role in health access. I found datasets on roads, administrative boundaries, and other secondary features. I added SRDM terrain data to compute slope, and landscan population data. Methods and Results I gathered point data from the Congolese ministry of health and online sources, and used them to create distance rasters for the locations of health structures and towns. A vector roads layer was found, and two raster- SRTM-derived slope and population density – were also used. These rasters were reclassed with rankings from 1-5 to build a single composite raster that gives pixels a value based on combined rank of accessibility indicators. By transferring these rankings to the town layer, the viewer is able to sort towns visually by level of access. Finally, by adding raster population data to town points, I identified towns with both highest population and least access to care, showing the first 20% of highest population as suggestive of a place to prioritize with further intervention. The rasters proved difficult to get right, with a great deal of time spent dealing with technical challenges of cell spacing and raster calculations. The analysis of the raster and town rankings found two things: first, it identified specific physical areas (shown in shades of red) that are largely inaccessible to health facilities, given lack of roads, high slope of terrain and physical distance from health structures. The same is visualized in more detail for specific towns. The two together give us a good idea which villages and regions are least accessible. Without knowing how many people live in these least accessible villages or regions, this does little to identify gaps in access for Congolese. By selecting from the vulnerable towns only those with populations greater than 100 (20% of total) we were able to identify 60 towns (2% of total) that should be prioritized for health structure access intervention. While quality of input data makes confidence in this analysis low, with better data on health facilities we could analyze. More complete health infrastructure data for the DRC on a national level would allow for far more useful understanding of gaps in accessibility. Conclusion and Lessons Learned Data means everything, and without adequate health center data, the results of this analysis have a low confidence level. It is impossible to know whether ‘health structures’ are in fact clinics, or one-man pharmacies with no actual medicines. A detailed dataset of this would allow for some very interesting analysis. I felt that reclassifying could too easily change the fundamental analysis and message of the project. Assumptions were everything- the assumption that roads were important, and slope mattered. I don’t know that they do in eastern DRC to a large extent. Or maybe they do in different ways in different villages. Some of the prior studies spent many months talking with people on the ground about what mattered most. A real GIS analysis needs that sort of groundtruthing to have any chance at realistically assessing such challenges. But ultimately I did think it was a useful exercise in the steps required, and possibly held some degree of truth. It helped show that villages and clinics were located on top of steep terrain, and not low in the fields. Roads followed these same paths. This would be important information to know in further GIS analysis of accessibility. In reading prior write-ups of analysis done by others, it was evident that travel times to clinics plays an enormous role in many people’s health decisions. The further a clinic, the less likely someone will be visiting regularly for preventive care, and the more likely death or serious injury will be a result. Below are the two results of the analysis. The first is a combined raster with weighted, reclassed rasters that provides an estimate of difficulty to access any given health facility. The second translates this into village terms, and see which villages find themselves worst situated to access health care.