Independent land flux products Global spatial-temporal patterns of ecosystem carbon fluxes were estimated using different sources of observational data. These data-oriented estimates will be used as an independent dataset to evaluate gross carbon flux estimates from CARBONES. 1) Description of the products Global spatial-temporal patterns of carbon and energy fluxes were created using a machine-learning algorithm that upscales site-level eddy covariance measurements to the globe based on satellite and meteorological observations (Jung et al. 2011). Using this algorithm, patterns of gross primary productivity, ecosystem respiration and latent and sensible heat at 0.5° x 0.5° spatial resolution and monthly time step (1982-2010) were produced (Fig. 1). Figure 1: Maps of upscaled gross primary productivity for January and July 1982 (Jung et al. 2011) Site-level estimates of gross primary productivity (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (Reco) were derived from the FLUXNET eddy covariance measurements according to the method of Lasslop et al. (2010). A model tree ensemble (MTE) was trained against these site-level GPP estimates based on satellite observations of FAPAR (fraction of photosynthetic active radiation) and meteorological data as explanatory variables. In a next step the trained MTEs have been applied to gridded patterns of these explanatory variables to derive global patterns of GPP and Reco (Jung et al. 2009, Jung et al. 2011). Upscaled estimates of gross primary productivity and ecosystem respiration can be used to benchmark results of the CARBONES CCDAS. These datasets can be used to compare mean annual spatial patterns, the seasonality or relationships between carbon fluxes and climate patterns. 2) Product uncertainties The main source of uncertainty in the MTE upscaling products originates from the representativeness of the FLUXNET eddy covariance station network. Some wide geographical regions are not represented by measurement stations (e.g. Africa, Siberia, South America, Tropical Asia). Nevertheless, the FLUXNET stations cover a wide range of climatological conditions. Hence, the environmental representativeness is better than the geographical representativeness. The extrapolation of carbon fluxes to environmental conditions that are not represented by the FLUXNET dataset mainly causes the uncertainty in flux estimates. The uncertainty of upscaled fluxes was estimated based on the distribution of the predicted fluxes from the model tree ensemble (Jung et al. 2009). Additionally, the error of upscaled fluxes was estimated against eddy covariance site observation using crossvalidation (Jung et al. 2011). Based on these validation studies uncertain aspects and robust patterns of the MTE upscaled patterns were identified. Uncertain aspects are trends and anomalies of GPP estimates as well as estimates of net ecosystem exchange and ecosystem respiration. The magnitude of anomalies and interannual variability is substantially underestimated as comparisons with ecosystem models, atmospheric inversions and cross-validation have shown (Jung et al. 2011). As trends are usually calculated based on anomalies, trend estimates from this dataset are uncertain as well. Estimates of mean annual upscaled ecosystem respiration have higher certainty than anomalies but still cannot be considered as robust patterns and they might have an underestimation bias of 5-10%. Thus, anomalies and trends of GPP and Reco from MTE should not be used as a robust benchmark dataset of CARBONES result. Robust patterns that can be extracted from the MTE dataset are mean annual patterns and the mean seasonal cycle of GPP. Mean annual GPP estimates from MTE compare well with satellite-derived fluorescence measurements that are directly linked to photosynthesis (Frankenberg et al. 2011). The uncertainty of mean annual GPP was quantified based on the spread of GPP estimates from the ensemble (Fig. 2). Uncertainties are high in some tropical regions and in regions with low vegetation cover like in inner Australia or Siberian Tundra (Fig. 2). Considering these uncertainties, mean annual and seasonal patterns of gross primary productivity can be used as independent datasets to evaluate process-model simulations (e.g. Bonan et al. 2011) or CCDAS results of gross primary production. Figure 2: Spatial distribution of mean annual GPP (top) and associated uncertainties (bottom) as upscaled from the FLUXNET by the MTE. 3) Product policy The MTE upscaled patterns of carbon and water fluxes are available for scientific use on request to Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany (Martin Jung). Users of the dataset should consider and refer to results as described in Jung et al. (2009, 2010 and 2011). 4) References Bonan, G.B., Lawrence, P.J., Oleson, K.W., Levis, S., Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Lawrence, D.M., Swenson, S.C. (2011): Improving canopy processes in the Community Land Model version 4 (CLM4) using global flux patterns empirically inferred from FLUXNET data. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, 116, G02014. Frankenberg, C., Fisher, J.B., Worden, J., Badgley, G., Saatchi, S.S., Lee, J.-E., Toon, G.C., Butz, A., Jung, M., Kuze, A., Yokota, T. (2011): New global observations of the terrestrial carbon cycle from GOSAT: Patterns of plant fluorescence with gross primary productivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L17706, doi:10.1029/2011GL048738. Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Bondeau, A. (2009): Towards global empirical upscaling of FLUXNET eddy covariance observations: validation of a model tree ensemble approach using a biosphere model. Biogeosciences, 6, 2001-2013. Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S.I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M.L., Bonan, G., Cescatti, A., Chen, J., de Jeu, R., Dolman, A.J., Eugster, W., Gerten, D., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Heinke, J., Kimball, J., Law, B.E., Montagnani, L., Mu, Q., Mueller, B., Oleson, K., Papale, D., Richardson, A.D., Roupsard, O., Running, S., Tomelleri, E., Viovy, N., Weber, U., Williams, C., Wood, E., Zaehle, S., Zhang, K. (2010): Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. Nature, 467, 951-954. Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Margolis, H.A., Cescatti, A., Richardson, A.D., Arain, M.A., Arneth, A., Bernhofer, C., Bonal, D., Chen, J., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Kiely, G., Kutsch, W., Lasslop, G., Law, B.E., Lindroth, A., Merbold, L., Montagnani, L., Moors, E.J., Papale, D., Sottocornola, M., Vaccari, F., Williams, C. (2011): Global patterns of land-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations. Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, 116, doi:10.1029/2010JG001566.