Table 1: Study characteristics Study Recruitment Setting Eligible Population Inclusion/Exclusion criteria Protocol Outcomes 5mg vs. 10mg Harrison (1997) Canada Inpatients & outpatients 51patients INR target 2.0-3.0 1)Time to INR in range, 2) INR >3.0, 3) Time to reduction in factors II, X and protein C Crowther (1999) Canada Throboembolism unit 53 patients INR target 2.0-3.0. Exclusions: contraindication to warfarin or geographically inaccessible 1) Proportion with INR in range for 2 consecutive days on days 3 & 4, or 4 & 5 and INR not > 3.0 201 patients with DVT or PE Exclusions: baseline INR >1.4, thrombocytopenia, <18yrs, hospitalised, oat in previous 2wks, high risk of bleeding Primary Outcome: 1) Time to INR>1.9. Secondary Outcomes: 2) INR in-range by day 5 3) VTE by day 90 4) Major bleeding by 28 days 5)INR >5.0 6)Number of INRs in 28 days 7) Death by 90dys 50patients with DVT or PE Exclusions: <18yrs, not available for clinic f/up, warfarin or heparin >36hrs, creatinine clearances of <30 ml/min, life expectancy <3mths, high risk of bleeding Kovacs (2003) Canada Quiroz (2006) USA Outpatient clinics Inpatients Primary Outcome: 1) Time to INR >1.9 on 2 consec. days. Secondary Outcomes: 2) Recurrent VTE at 14 days 3) Death at 14 days 4) Major bleeding at 14 days 5) INR >5 at 14 days 5mg vs. 2.5mg Ageno (2001) Canada &Italy Inpatients INR target 2.0 (range 1.5-2.6). Exclusions: baseline INR >1.3 Primary Outcome: 1) % INR >2.6 Secondary Outcomes: 2) Time to INR in range 3) % out of range 4) Vit. K/bleeding/thromboembolic events 5) Dose adjustments/mean daily dose 90 patients with AF,DVT,PE or other INR target 2.0-3.0 & INR=1.4. Exclusion; warfarin in previous 3 months 1)Time to INR in range 2) Hours in hospital 3) Number with INR 2.0-3.0 4) Factor II & Cprotein activity 5) Clinical complications 6) INR ever >4.0 or a rise of 2.0 over 2 days to >3.0 Primary Outcome 1)Time to INR in range on 2 consecutive days or if previous day within 0.5 Secondary Outcomes 2) No. with INR >4.0 in first week 3) Dose withheld in wk1 4) No. of days with heparin 232 patients with heart valve replacement 5mg vs. calculated dose Shine (2003) USA Inpatients Age adjusted Roberts (1999) Australia Inpatients 65 patients with AF, DVT, PE & other INR target 2.0-3.0. Exclusions: prolonged diarrhoea, nasogastric/enteral feeds, commencing amiodarone, advanced malignancy, Vitamin K in previous 2 wks Gedge (2000) UK Inpatients 127 patients with AF, DVT, PE & other INR target 2.0-3.0. Elderly patients with standard indications. 1)Time to INR >2.0 2) Days INR in range 3)Number with INR >4.5 4) Dose prediction day 4 Genotyping Hillman (2005) USA Inpatient & Outpatients 38 with DVT, PE, AF, other, postoperative orthopaedic Exclusions: antiphospholipid antibodies, contraindication for warfarin, previous warfarin, liver disease, renal disease, nonCaucasian, <40yrs. Anderson (2007) USA Inpatient & Outpatients 201 with DVT, PE, AF, other, preoperative orthopaedic INR target 2.0-3.0. Exclusions: <18yrs, women, pregnant, lactating or childbearing potential, rifampin within 3 wks, co-morbidities precluding standard dosing (advanced physiological age, hepatic or renal insufficiency/creatine of <25mg/dl, terminal illness) Caraco (2008) Israel Inpatients 232 with DVT, PE, AF Exclusions: <18yrs and baseline INR >1.4 Primary Outcome: 1) Feasibility of dosing model Secondary Outcomes: 2) % time INR in-range 3)% pts with INR>4 Primary Outcome 1) % INR out of range/patient Secondary Outcomes: 2)time to INR >3.2 or VitK 3)%pts in range days 5 &8 4)Number of INR measures & dose adjustments 5) %pts with SAEs - INR≥4, VitK, major bleeding, thromboembolic events, stroke, MI & death) Primary Outcomes: 1) Time to INR >2.0 2) time to stable anticoagulation (defined as 2 INR in-range 7days apart) Secondary Outcomes: 3) %Time INR in-range 4) Days INR out of range 5) Major bleeding/VTE events Table 2: Dosing regimes Study Dosing Protocol on Days 1&2 (Reference for nomogram used) ξ 5 mgs on day 1, up-to 5 mgs on day 2 vs. 10mgs on day 1, up-to 10mgs on day 2 Crowther 1999 ξ 5 mgs on day 1, up-to 5 mgs on day 2 vs. 10mgs on day 1, up-to 10mgs on day 2 Kovacs 2003 5 mgs vs. 10mgs on days 1&2 δ Quiroz 2006 5 mgs vs. 10mgs on days 1&2 Harrison 1997 5mg trials Ageno 2001 5mg Day 0 (subsequent doses adjusted) vs. 2.5mg on days 0 through 4 (dose modified if <1.5 or >3.0 on day 3) Shine 2003 5mg on day 1, up-to 5 mgs on day 2 vs. Calculated dose on day 1, up-to 100% calculated dose on day 2 Age trials Roberts 1999 Gedge 2000 Age adjusted nomogram (6-10mg) on day 1, 0.5-10mg on day 2 vs. Fennerty protocol (10mg on day 1, 0.5mg-10mg on day 2) ψ Age stratified 65-75 years & 75 yrs - 10mg on day 1,upto 5mg on day 2 vs. Modified Fennerty protocol, 10 mg day 1 and up to 10mgs on day 2 Genotyping trials Hillman 2005 Anderson 2007 Caraco 2008 ξ 5mg on days 1 & 2 vs. Model - genetic nomogram 10mg on days 1 & 2 vs. Model - 2x predicted maintenance dose on days 1&2 followed by predicted dose 5mg on day 1 & up to 5mg on day 2 vs. Model - genetic nomogram Crowther 1997 report: Crowther MA, Harrison L, Hirsh J. Reply: Warfarin: Less May Be Better. Ann Intern Med 1997 August 15;127(4):333. δ Kovacs MJ,Anderson DA, Wells PS. Prospective assessment of a nomogram for the initiation of oral anticoagulation therapy for outpatient treatment of venous thromboembolism. Pathophysiol Haemost thromb 2002;321:131-133 ψ Fennerty A, Dolben J, Thomas P et al. Flexible induction dose regimen for warfarin and prediction of maintenance dose. British Medical Journal Clinical Research Ed 1984 April 28;288(6426):1268-70. Table 3: Methodological Quality Randomisation method Concealment of allocation Double blinding Intention to treat Ageno 2001 + Anderson 2007 + Caraco 2007 + Crowther 1999 + Gedge 2000 NM + - NM NM - + - - - + Reported in paper Paper indicates that did not take place NM: Not mentioned in paper Harrison 1997 + Hillman 2005 + Kovacs 2003 + Quiroz 2006 + Roberts 1999 NM NM + + NM - + NM - - + + + + - NM - NM NM Shine 2003 + Table 4: Results Proportion in INR range Study Dosing Day 3 (95% CI) Day 5 (95% CI) Mean time, to time in range Days (SD) INR ≥ 4 unless otherwise stated % Vit K given n (%) Serious adverse events N (%) 5mg 42% 67% δ 0 36% 80% δ 4(16%) 0 5mg 50% (26 to 75) 88%(75 to 102) 1(3%) 10mg 33% (-2 to 68) 69% (39 to 99) - 1(4%) 10mg - - INR ≥5 11% Other Primary Endpoints 5mg v 10mg Harrison Crowther Kovacs Quiroz 0 5mg 3%* 46% (36-57)** P<.001 5.6 (1.4) 10mg 25%* 83% (74-89)** 4.2 (1.1) 9% 52%** Median 5 INR >5 0% 56%** Median 5 5mg 10mg - 0% - INR 2.0-3.0 for 2 consecutive days & not > 3.0; 10mg (24%) v 5mg (66%) RR 2.22 (95% CI 1.3-3.7) p<.003 2 (2%) 4 (4%) 0 1 (4%) *taken from the published graph δ includes discharged with INR in-range from (Ann Int Med Vol 127, 4, pg 133) ** in-range by day 5 5 mg vs. other doses Ageno 5mg 2.5mg Shine Std (5mg) Calc 2.0 (1.0) - - - 63% δ 77% - 3 (3%) 0 5 (6%) 0 "high" INR 2% - 1 (2%) P<.0001 2.7 (1.2) δ 5 (0.9) ψ P=.007 ψ 4.2 (0.9) INR >4.4 5% INR>2.6 5mg (42%) 2.5mg (26%) p<.05 1 (2%) δ INR within range on or before day 6 ψ completers only Age trials Roberts Age adjusted Fennerty Gedge Age 65-75 yrs New Fennerty 65-75 yrs Age >75 yrs New Fennerty >75 yrs - 47%* 3.7 (1.3) Φ 25%* Φ - 4.3 (1.2) 6% 32% INR >4.5 3% 4.6 (1.6) P=.03 0Φ 0 0 Λ 0 0 0 Λ 0 0 Φ P<.05 3.8 (0.8) 20% 4.5 (1.4) INR >4.5 3% P=.003 3.5 (0.7) - P<.01 37% INR 2.0 - 3.0 for 2 consecutive days Age v Fennerty; p=0.003 Mean days in range (SD) Age 3.0 (1.3) New Fennerty 2.7 (1.3) p=0.03 Mean days in range (SD) Age 2.9 (1.1) New Fennerty 2.4 (1.3) p=0.04 *taken from the published graph Φ author correspondence Λ 1 (age not stated) Genotyping Hillman Model 5mg Anderson Model 10mg Caraco - - - 70% 68% Model 1% * 49% * STD 5mg 1% * 11% * 0 2 (10%) 30% 2 (doses) 5 (28%) - 4 (4%) - 0 0 - 1 (1%) 1 (1%) 30% 37% 4.8 (1.5) P<.001 7.5 (3.1) 33% 5 (5%) *taken from the published graph % time INR in range 5mg 42% Model 42% average % of INR outside range 10 mg 33% Model 31% % time INR in range 5 mg 25% Model 45% P<0.001