Uniform Probability Distributions Definition: A random variable 𝑌 has a uniform distribution on ( 𝜃1 , 𝜃2 ) if and only if the pdf of Y is given by 1 , 𝜃1 ≤ 𝑦 ≤ 𝜃2 𝑓(𝑦) = {𝜃2 − 𝜃1 0, elsewhere The quantities 𝜃1 and 𝜃2 are parameters of the uniform density function. Example, If 𝜃1 = 0, and 𝜃2 = 10, then 𝑓(𝑦)is Example 4.7 Arrivals of customers at a checkout counter follow a uniform distribution. It is known that, during a given 30-minute period, one customer arrived at the counter. Find the probability that the customer arrived during the last 5 minutes of the 30 minute period. (Answer is 1/6) Theorem: If random variable 𝑌 has a uniform distribution on interval (𝜃1 , 𝜃2 ), then 𝜃1 + 𝜃2 𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑌) = 2 (𝜃2 − 𝜃1 )2 𝜎 = 𝑉(𝑌) = 12 Prove the theorem yourself. 2 1 Exercise 4.45 Upon studying low bids for shipping contracts, a microcomputer manufacturing company finds that intrastate contracts have low bids that are uniform distributed between $20,000 and $25,000. Find the probability that the low bid on the next intrastate shipping contract a. Is below $22,000. b. Is in excess of $24,000. c. Find 𝐸(𝑌),the expected value of low bids. Solve: Convert units to thousands of dollars. Then 𝜃1 = 20, and 𝜃2 = 25. 1 1 = 𝑓(𝑦) = {25 − 20 5 , 20 ≤ 𝑦 ≤ 25 0, otherwise 22 1 1 22 5 5 20 25 1 1 25 5 5 24 a. 𝑃(𝑌 < 22) = ∫20 𝑑𝑡 = 𝑡] b. 𝑃(𝑌 > 24) = ∫24 𝑑𝑡 = 𝑡] c. 𝐸(𝑌) = 20+25 2 = 22.5 2 1 2 5 5 1 1 5 5 = (22 − 20) = = 0.4 = (25 − 24) = = 0.2