Benefit Cost Analysis - Henry County Engineer

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New Maumee River Bridge Project Benefit Coast Analysis
Ohio STIP Reference Number: 2014stipID0157STCO, PID # 22984
I.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF BENEFITS AND COSTS ........................................................................................... 1
TABLE 1. PROJECT BENEFIT MATRIX...................................................................................................................................1
TABLE 2. BENEFIT COST LIFE CYCLE ANALYSIS .....................................................................................................................2
II.
BASELINE ....................................................................................................................................................... 3
III.
PERSONAL AND TRUCK TRAVEL COSTS .......................................................................................................... 3
TABLE 3. DISTANCES WITH AND WITHOUT NEW BRIDGE ........................................................................................................4
A.
PERSONAL TRAVEL COSTS ............................................................................................................................. 4
TABLE 4. PERSONAL TRAVEL COST NET BENEFIT...................................................................................................................4
B.
TRUCK TRAVEL COSTS .................................................................................................................................... 4
TABLE 5. TRUCK TRAVEL COST NET BENEFIT........................................................................................................................5
IV.
VEHICLE FUEL COSTS ................................................................................................................................. 5
TABLE 6. PERSONAL VEHICLE MILEAGE AND GASOLINE FUEL OFFSET .......................................................................................6
TABLE 7. TRUCK VEHICLE MILEAGE AND DIESEL FUEL OFFSET .................................................................................................6
V.
SAFETY .......................................................................................................................................................... 6
TABLE 8. INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTEST ROUTE ...............................................................7
FIGURE 1. CRASH ANALYSIS AREA .....................................................................................................................................8
VI.
STATE OF GOOD REPAIR ............................................................................................................................ 8
VII.
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY ........................................................................................................... 8
TABLE 9. EMISSION BENEFITS FOR PERSONAL VEHICLES .........................................................................................................9
TABLE 10. EMISSION BENEFITS FOR TRUCKS ......................................................................................................................10
VIII.
PROJECT COSTS ....................................................................................................................................... 10
Benefit Cost Analysis
New Maumee River Bridge
I.
Executive Summary of Benefits and Costs
The problems, baseline, population affected, and resulting benefits can be summarized in the project
matrix found in Table 1.
Table 1. Project Benefit Matrix
Current Status/Baseline &
Problem To Be Addressed
Change To
Baseline
Traffic Congestion - Traffic
on current bridge is
operating at an LOS D and
is projected to be
Construct a
borderline LOS D/E in 2035 new bridge
Current bridge corridor
has a crash rate 5 times
greater than the state
average
Construct a
new bridge
Improved access to future
and planned development Construct a
on both sides of the river new bridge
Direct route to cold
storage and warehouses,
rail loading yards, US
24/US 6, and hospital
Construct a
new bridge
Population
Affected By
Impacts
Type of Impacts
Economic /
Environmental
Benefit
Monetized value of
travel time savings.
This location provides most draw of
Trucks, Vehicles, Value of quicker
traffic from the existing bridge.
other commercial emergency services
Improves the existing bridge to an LOS C traffic, emergency response time
through 2035
services
(Cannot Quantify)
Vehicles, trucks
and other
Draws most truck and a large amount of commercial
vehicle traffic off existing bridge.
traffic. Reduces
Reduces crash frequency due to lower burden on first
Monetized value of
traffic & congestion
responders
crash cost savings
This is the most direct connection
between SR 110 South of the river and
industrial developments on both sides Business,
Increased value of
of the river, which also connects to the unemployed,
land (not calculated
US 24/US 6 interchange
community
in this analysis)
Rail usage, truck Monetized value of
and vehicle
time and fuel
The connection will service the needs of traffic. Provides savings. Reduction
existing business while reducing wear alternate and
in emissions,
and tare on current routes. Will reduce quicker route to Reduction in road
fuel and labor costs. Reduces truck
reach hospital for maintenance.
route and future maintenance costs
EMS
Increase rail usage
Summary of Results
Page
Reference
in BCA
Part of the estimated dollar
value of time savings, faster
Emergency Response Time
Pages 2-4
Reduced crashes leads to
reduced congestion leads to
reduced burden on first
responders and savings to
vehicles that would otherwise be
involved in an accident
Pages 5-6
Improves marketability of land in
the 2 industrial areas and creates
1 large industrial region
Saves businesses and individuals
money. Increases rail usage.,
reduces route distance which
Pages 2-6,
leads to reduced maintenance
Pages 7-9
Annual benefits and costs were discounted at 3% and 7% over a 50 year lifespan to reflect present value
benefits. The full analysis can be found in the in Table 2 and in the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis
Excel workbook. All documents referenced in this analysis can be found online at
www.henrycountyengineer.com/index_files/NewBridge.htm. For ease of navigation, hyperlinks to
referenced spreadsheets and documents are provide by pressing on the referenced text. A summary of
the benefits and cost are as follows.
Net Present Value of Benefits and Cost discounted at 3%
Total Benefits
$154.57 Million
Total Costs
$13.18 Million
Benefit-Cost Ratio
11.72:1
Net Total Benefits
$141.39
Net Present Value of Benefits and Cost discounted at 7%
Total Benefits
$87.15 Million
Total Costs
$12.87 Million
Benefit-Cost Ratio
6.77:1
Net Total Benefits
$74.28
It is estimated that user cost (fuel usage and labor/personal time savings) represent approximately 78%
of the total annual benefits in 2016. The high percentage of user cost savings reflects the impact this
bridge will have on the local economy, middle class workers, and fuel usage. For simplicity the full
project costs (including the amounts spent in previous years) were all included in 2016.
1
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
Table 2. Benefit Cost Life Cycle Analysis
Benefit Cost Life Cycle Analysis
New Maumee River Bridge
Henry County, Ohio Engineeer
Construction of Bridge from S.R. 110 to Industrial Drive
Benefits
Costs
Net Benefit Totals
Air Emissions
Route Offset
Labor/Time Savings
Pavement Cost
Costs
Fuel Savings Costs Responsibility
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
2057
2058
2059
2060
2061
2062
2063
2064
2065
2066
Total
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
751,395.84
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
3,005,583.38
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
334,005.42
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
1,336,021.67
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 151,030,564.59 $ 67,135,088.75 $
1,866.78
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
7,467.12
Crash Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
246,216.59
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
1,094,582.54
3% SCC
Non CO2 Criteria Cost
Emissions
(2013$)
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
52,027.46
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
208,109.86
375,222.54 $ 54,975,343.59 $ 10,457,520.25
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Undiscounted
CO2 Costs @ 3%
Avg SCC
46
47
49
51
52
52
54
55
56
57
58
60
61
62
63
63
65
66
67
68
69
71
72
73
74
76
77
78
79
80
82
83
84
85
86
88
89
90
91
93
94
95
96
98
99
100
101
103
104
105
106
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
NPV CO2 Costs @
3% AVG SCC
Non-CO2 Benefits
49,627.65 $
202,826.06
211,456.96
220,087.85
224,403.30
224,403.30
233,034.20
237,349.65
241,665.10
245,980.54
250,295.99
258,926.89
263,242.34
267,557.78
271,873.23
271,873.23
280,504.13
284,819.58
289,135.02
293,450.47
297,765.92
306,396.82
310,712.27
315,027.71
319,343.16
327,974.06
332,289.51
336,604.95
340,920.40
345,235.85
353,866.75
358,182.19
362,497.64
366,813.09
371,128.54
379,759.44
384,074.88
388,390.33
392,705.78
401,336.68
405,652.12
409,967.57
414,283.02
422,913.92
427,229.36
431,544.81
435,860.26
444,491.16
448,806.61
453,122.05
457,437.50
49,627.65
$196,918.51
$199,318.46
$201,411.56
$199,379.43
$193,572.26
$195,162.47
$192,986.98
$190,772.66
$188,523.60
$186,243.72
$187,054.29
$184,632.88
$182,193.83
$179,740.23
$174,505.08
$174,800.90
$172,320.53
$169,836.35
$167,350.70
$164,865.77
$164,703.39
$162,158.40
$159,621.94
$157,095.67
$156,642.24
$154,080.89
$151,535.87
$149,008.38
$146,499.58
$145,788.41
$143,268.27
$140,771.26
$138,298.16
$135,849.71
$134,960.20
$132,518.29
$130,104.13
$127,718.19
$126,723.48
$124,355.43
$122,017.83
$119,710.90
$118,645.51
$116,365.22
$114,117.12
$111,901.25
$110,793.32
$108,610.66
$106,461.16
$104,344.73
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
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$
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$
$
$
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$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3% NPV -Non CO2 7% NPV -Non CO2 3% NPV Total
Benefits
Benefits
Benefits
1,385,512.09 $
1,385,512.09 $ 1,385,512.09 $
5,651,764.55
$5,487,150.05
$5,282,022.95 $
5,651,764.55
$5,327,330.15
$4,936,470.04 $
5,651,764.55
$5,172,165.19
$4,613,523.41 $
5,651,764.55
$5,021,519.60
$4,311,704.12 $
5,651,764.55
$4,875,261.75
$4,029,630.02 $
5,651,764.55
$4,733,263.84
$3,766,009.36 $
5,651,764.55
$4,595,401.78
$3,519,634.92 $
5,651,764.55
$4,461,555.13
$3,289,378.43 $
5,651,764.55
$4,331,606.92
$3,074,185.45 $
5,651,764.55
$4,205,443.61
$2,873,070.51 $
5,651,764.55
$4,082,954.96
$2,685,112.63 $
5,651,764.55
$3,964,033.94
$2,509,451.05 $
5,651,764.55
$3,848,576.65
$2,345,281.36 $
5,651,764.55
$3,736,482.18
$2,191,851.74 $
5,651,764.55
$3,627,652.60
$2,048,459.57 $
5,651,764.55
$3,521,992.82
$1,914,448.19 $
5,651,764.55
$3,419,410.50
$1,789,203.92 $
5,651,764.55
$3,319,816.02
$1,672,153.19 $
5,651,764.55
$3,223,122.35
$1,562,760.00 $
5,651,764.55
$3,129,245.00
$1,460,523.36 $
5,651,764.55
$3,038,101.94
$1,364,975.10 $
5,651,764.55
$2,949,613.54
$1,275,677.67 $
5,651,764.55
$2,863,702.46
$1,192,222.12 $
5,651,764.55
$2,780,293.65
$1,114,226.28 $
5,651,764.55
$2,699,314.23
$1,041,332.97 $
5,651,764.55
$2,620,693.42
$973,208.38 $
5,651,764.55
$2,544,362.55
$909,540.55 $
5,651,764.55
$2,470,254.90
$850,037.89 $
5,651,764.55
$2,398,305.73
$794,427.94 $
5,651,764.55
$2,328,452.16
$742,456.02 $
5,651,764.55
$2,260,633.17
$693,884.13 $
5,651,764.55
$2,194,789.48
$648,489.84 $
5,651,764.55
$2,130,863.58
$606,065.27 $
5,651,764.55
$2,068,799.59
$566,416.14 $
5,651,764.55
$2,008,543.29
$529,360.88 $
5,651,764.55
$1,950,042.03
$494,729.79 $
5,651,764.55
$1,893,244.69
$462,364.29 $
5,651,764.55
$1,838,101.64
$432,116.16 $
5,651,764.55
$1,784,564.70
$403,846.88 $
5,651,764.55
$1,732,587.09
$377,426.99 $
5,651,764.55
$1,682,123.38
$352,735.50 $
5,651,764.55
$1,633,129.50
$329,659.35 $
5,651,764.55
$1,585,562.62
$308,092.85 $
5,651,764.55
$1,539,381.19
$287,937.24 $
5,651,764.55
$1,494,544.84
$269,100.23 $
5,651,764.55
$1,451,014.41
$251,495.54 $
5,651,764.55
$1,408,751.85
$235,042.56 $
5,651,764.55
$1,367,720.25
$219,665.94 $
5,651,764.55
$1,327,883.73
$205,295.28 $
5,651,764.55
$1,289,207.51
$191,864.74 $
1,435,139.75
5,684,068.56
5,526,648.61
5,373,576.76
5,220,899.03
5,068,834.01
4,928,426.31
4,788,388.77
4,652,327.79
4,520,130.52
4,391,687.34
4,270,009.26
4,148,666.82
4,030,770.48
3,916,222.41
3,802,157.68
3,696,793.72
3,591,731.03
3,489,652.38
3,390,473.06
3,294,110.77
3,202,805.33
3,111,771.94
3,023,324.41
2,937,389.33
2,855,956.46
2,774,774.32
2,695,898.41
2,619,263.28
2,544,805.31
2,474,240.58
2,403,901.44
2,335,560.74
2,269,161.74
2,204,649.30
2,143,503.49
2,082,560.32
2,023,348.82
1,965,819.83
1,911,288.18
1,856,942.52
1,804,141.21
1,752,840.40
1,704,208.13
1,655,746.41
1,608,661.96
1,562,915.66
1,519,545.17
1,476,330.91
1,434,344.89
1,393,552.24
7% NPV Total
Benefits W/ 3%
NPV CO2
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Project Capital
Costs
1,435,139.75
5,478,941.45
5,135,788.51
4,814,934.97
4,511,083.54
4,223,202.28
3,961,171.83
3,712,621.90
3,480,151.08
3,262,709.05
3,059,314.23
2,872,166.92
2,694,083.93
2,527,475.19
2,371,591.97
2,222,964.65
2,089,249.09
1,961,524.45
1,841,989.55
1,730,110.70
1,625,389.13
1,529,678.49
1,437,836.07
1,351,844.06
1,271,321.95
1,197,975.21
1,127,289.28
1,061,076.41
999,046.28
940,927.51
888,244.43
837,152.40
789,261.10
744,363.43
702,265.85
664,321.08
627,248.08
592,468.43
559,834.35
530,570.36
501,782.42
474,753.33
449,370.25
426,738.36
404,302.47
383,217.34
363,396.79
345,835.88
328,276.60
311,756.43
296,209.48
(12,667,795.00)
$ 16,564,847.64 $ 7,765,887.49 $ 283,973,739.73 $ 146,804,080.26 $ 79,384,080.80 $ 154,569,967.75 $ 87,149,968.29
(13,667,795.00)
*Data is obtained from other sheets in this analysis and is described in the Benefit Cost Analysis Document
**Crash data is obtained from the crash analysis sheet at www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/MaumeeRiverBridgeCrashAnalysis.xlsm and is describe din the Benefit Cost Analysis Document
2
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
(1,000,000.00)
Annual
Maintenance
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,000.00)
Total Annual
Costs
3% NPV Total
Costs
7% NPV Total
Costs
(12,667,795.00) ($12,667,795.00) ($12,667,795.00)
(2,000.00)
($1,941.75)
($1,869.16)
(2,000.00)
($1,885.19)
($1,746.88)
(2,000.00)
($1,830.28)
($1,632.60)
(2,000.00)
($1,776.97)
($1,525.79)
(2,000.00)
($1,725.22)
($1,425.97)
(2,000.00)
($1,674.97)
($1,332.68)
(2,000.00)
($1,626.18)
($1,245.50)
(2,000.00)
($1,578.82)
($1,164.02)
(2,000.00)
($1,532.83)
($1,087.87)
(2,000.00)
($1,488.19)
($1,016.70)
(2,000.00)
($1,444.84)
($950.19)
(2,000.00)
($1,402.76)
($888.02)
(2,000.00)
($1,361.90)
($829.93)
(2,000.00)
($1,322.24)
($775.63)
(2,000.00)
($1,283.72)
($724.89)
(2,000.00)
($1,246.33)
($677.47)
(2,000.00)
($1,210.03)
($633.15)
(2,000.00)
($1,174.79)
($591.73)
(2,000.00)
($1,140.57)
($553.02)
(2,000.00)
($1,107.35)
($516.84)
(2,000.00)
($1,075.10)
($483.03)
(2,000.00)
($1,043.79)
($451.43)
(2,000.00)
($1,013.38)
($421.89)
(2,000.00)
($983.87)
($394.29)
(2,000.00)
($955.21)
($368.50)
(1,002,000.00)
($464,622.12)
($172,539.88)
(2,000.00)
($900.38)
($321.86)
(2,000.00)
($874.15)
($300.80)
(2,000.00)
($848.69)
($281.13)
(2,000.00)
($823.97)
($262.73)
(2,000.00)
($799.97)
($245.55)
(2,000.00)
($776.67)
($229.48)
(2,000.00)
($754.05)
($214.47)
(2,000.00)
($732.09)
($200.44)
(2,000.00)
($710.77)
($187.33)
(2,000.00)
($690.06)
($175.07)
(2,000.00)
($669.97)
($163.62)
(2,000.00)
($650.45)
($152.91)
(2,000.00)
($631.51)
($142.91)
(2,000.00)
($613.11)
($133.56)
(2,000.00)
($595.26)
($124.82)
(2,000.00)
($577.92)
($116.66)
(2,000.00)
($561.09)
($109.03)
(2,000.00)
($544.74)
($101.89)
(2,000.00)
($528.88)
($95.23)
(2,000.00)
($513.47)
($89.00)
(2,000.00)
($498.52)
($83.17)
(2,000.00)
($484.00)
($77.73)
(2,000.00)
($469.90)
($72.65)
(2,000.00)
($456.21)
($67.90)
(100,000.00) (13,767,795.00)
Benefit Cost Ratios
(13,182,949.26)
(12,867,591.99)
11.72
6.77
Annual Net
Annual Net
Benefits PV @ 3% Benefits PV @ 7%
(11,232,655.25)
5,682,126.81
5,524,763.42
5,371,746.47
5,219,122.06
5,067,108.79
4,926,751.34
4,786,762.58
4,650,748.97
4,518,597.69
4,390,199.15
4,268,564.41
4,147,264.06
4,029,408.57
3,914,900.18
3,800,873.96
3,695,547.38
3,590,521.00
3,488,477.59
3,389,332.48
3,293,003.42
3,201,730.23
3,110,728.15
3,022,311.02
2,936,405.46
2,855,001.25
2,310,152.20
2,694,998.04
2,618,389.13
2,543,956.61
2,473,416.60
2,403,101.47
2,334,784.07
2,268,407.69
2,203,917.21
2,142,792.72
2,081,870.25
2,022,678.86
1,965,169.38
1,910,656.67
1,856,329.41
1,803,545.96
1,752,262.48
1,703,647.05
1,655,201.67
1,608,133.08
1,562,402.18
1,519,046.65
1,475,846.91
1,433,874.99
1,393,096.03
(11,232,655.25)
5,477,072.29
5,134,041.63
4,813,302.37
4,509,557.75
4,221,776.30
3,959,839.15
3,711,376.40
3,478,987.07
3,261,621.18
3,058,297.54
2,871,216.73
2,693,195.91
2,526,645.26
2,370,816.34
2,222,239.76
2,088,571.62
1,960,891.30
1,841,397.82
1,729,557.68
1,624,872.29
1,529,195.46
1,437,384.64
1,351,422.17
1,270,927.66
1,197,606.71
954,749.39
1,060,754.55
998,745.47
940,646.39
887,981.70
836,906.85
789,031.62
744,148.96
702,065.41
664,133.75
627,073.01
592,304.81
559,681.44
530,427.45
501,648.86
474,628.51
449,253.59
426,629.34
404,200.57
383,122.12
363,307.79
345,752.70
328,198.87
311,683.79
296,141.58
141,387,018.50
74,282,376.31
II.
Baseline
The benefits and costs detailed in this analysis represent the life cycle cost difference between the
identified alignment and the “No Build” scenario. This alignment have been narrowed down through
the multiple studies. The most recent Alternative Evaluation Matrix from the Feasibility Study can be
found online at www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/AlternativeEvaluationMatrix.pdf. This
bridge project is creating a more direct route and this analysis details the benefits associated with the
route creation. With the exception of building a bridge, there are no reasonable maintenance or traffic
solution that will address the “No Build” scenario’s logistical, distance and traffic problems. Previously
conducted Planning and Feasibility studies go through different alternatives.
Crash data was obtained from the shortest route between the start location and the end location of the
bridge, of which the majority of traffic is to and from the south industrial area, also included was a small
part of a route between County Road 12 and U.S. 6. There are many routes to travel to the south of the
river industrial area, shown in Figure 3 of the TIGER Project Narrative, and to be conservative only crash
data along the routes described above were considered. The majority of the routes are state routes and
do not now or in the future have the need for widening. The exception, is when vehicles enter the S.R.
108 (Perry Street) Bridge. The current bridge is a choke point with a large amount of accidents. Since
the bridge was just replaced 11 years ago there is no plausible solution to reduce the number of
accidents or congestion. As stated previously, to be conservative the crash analysis was not performed
on other routes that vehicles use. It is worth noting that along these unanalyzed branches there is
potential for very minor traffic congestion upgrades.
There is a lot of potential for private development associated with the construction of a new bridge.
There will also be an increase in property value to land with access to the bridge. Due to the difficulty in
quantifying and calculating this information, as well as Henry County’s small staff and lack of in house
economic personnel, this information will not be considered. Both the baseline and the new project’s
benefits will assume no additional development or increase in property value. This is not realistic but
will keep the results of this analysis conservative. Please refer to Table 1 and the Alternative Evaluation
Matrix for general information on the benefits associated with a build and no build scenario.
III.
Personal and Truck Travel Costs
Personal vehicle and truck vehicle travel cost was analyzed separately. This was done because of data
received regarding truck movement and activity from Campbell’s. It is also important to note that trucks
are generally routed 2.4 miles east and 1 mile north before they can start heading west, this is done to
help avoid traveling through the center of the City of Napoleon which includes many stoplights (Figure 3
of the Project Narrative). Since this is a new structure travel costs associated with construction
disruption should be minimal. The table below shows the comparable origin and destination distances
with and without a new bridge. As stated above, the C.R. 12 to U.S. 24 west route is for trucks only.
3
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
Table 3. Distances with and without New Bridge
(Miles Saved Tab of the Cost Analysis)
Truck Only - C.R. 12 To US
24 West @ Industrial
Drive
C.R. 12 to Industrial Drive
Description
Distance W/O Bridge 1 Way
Distance W/ Bridge 1 Way
Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way
Miles Offset Compared W/ Bridge
Round Trip
5.8
1.5
4.3
3.7
0.63
3.07
8.6
6.14
a. Personal Travel Costs
(Found in the Personal Vehicles Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis)
The Certified Traffic Report lists the opening year Average Daily Traffic (ADT) of the bridge as 7,660.
Since truck data is analyzed separately only the personal vehicle ADT of 6,780 will be used for this
analysis. The personal and business recommended hourly values were obtained from the TIGER BenefitCost Analysis Resource Guide. These values were $12.50 and $24.40, respectively. Since this part of the
analysis does not include trucks and the number of vehicles conducting business is unknown, the $12.50
value will be used.
The average time net savings to destination was based on timed runs and vehicle tracking, the result of
which can be found as cell F30 of the Times to Industrial tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis.
As detailed in the tab the average time net savings is 5.25 minutes. The following table details the
calculations for time savings for personal vehicles.
Table 4. Personal Travel Cost Net Benefit
Opening Year ADT
Additional Miles W/O New Bridge
Average Time Net Savings
Time Savings Per Day
Time Savings Per Year
Personal Travel Savings Per Hour
Time Savings Per Year
$
$
6780
3
5.25
593.25
216,536.25
12.50
2,706,703
Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks)
Minutes
Hours
Hours / Year
The new bridge’s personal vehicle time savings benefit has a significant impact on the value of the
benefits of the analysis. The shortest route between origin and destination was used to determine
these benefits.
The number of vehicles is based on current traffic patterns and counts, all of which is detailed further in
the Certified Traffic Report.
b. Truck Travel Costs
(Found in the Truck Savings Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis)
The Certified Traffic Report lists the opening year Average Daily Traffic (ADT) of the bridge as 7,660. The
report also details 670 as the commercial volume. To provide a conservative analysis only truck
4
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
estimates that have been verified coming from Campbell’s will be used (which is about 400 per day).
General estimations of the number of trucks going to each of the 2 destinations analyzed are included.
This analysis does not include trucks entering other facilities south of the river. The inclusion of these
trucks would only increase the benefits shown in this analysis. The $25.80 recommended truck driver
hourly value was obtained from the TIGER Benefit-Cost Analysis Resource Guide. Further information on
truck travel data can be obtained in the Planning Study and Section IV(d) of the Project Narrative.
The average time net savings to respective destinations was based on timed runs and vehicle tracking,
the result of which can be found in cells D30 of the Times to US24W tab and F30 of the Times to
Industrial tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis. As detailed in the tab the average time net
savings is 4.5 and 5.25 minutes, respectively. The following table details the calculations for time
savings for known truck traffic.
Table 5. Truck Travel Cost Net Benefit
Description
Trucks Per Day Round Trip
Trucks Per Day 1 Way
Total Miles Offset Per Year
Time To Travel Between W/O Bridge
Time To Travel Between W/ Bridge
Time Savings
Total Time Savings Per Day
Total Time Savings Per Year
Hourly Value of Travel Time - Truck Drivers
Total Labor Savings Per Year
Total Combined Labor Savings Per Year
Truck Going To U.S.
24 West
$
$
$
Trucks Going to
Warehouses & Rail
Loading CR 12 to
Industrial Drive
125
250
392,375
8.45
3.95
4.5
18.75
6,843.75
25.80 $
176,568.75 $
75
150
168,082.5
7.35
2.130
5.22
13.05
4,763.25
25.80
122,891.85
299,460.60
Trucks
Trucks
Miles
Minutes
Minutes
Min Per Truck Travel
Hours
Hours
The new bridge’s truck labor/time savings benefit has a large impact on the value of the benefits of the
analysis.
IV.
Vehicle Fuel Costs
(Found in the Personal Vehicles and Truck Savings Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis)
Vehicle fuel cost was determined from the miles traveled for Truck and Personal Vehicles. According to
the EPA the average gasoline vehicle on the road today has a fuel economy of 21.6 miles per gallon
(Page 2, Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle). Personal vehicle mileage and
gasoline offset data can be found in Table 6. Traffic data, including opening year ADT, is
detailed in the Ohio DOT approved Certified Traffic Report.
5
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
Table 6. Personal Vehicle Mileage and Gasoline Fuel Offset
to Reach Comparable Locations (Assume Vehicle is Traveling on Shortest Route)
Opening Year ADT
Additional Miles W/O New Bridge
Personal Vehicles Per Year
Additional Miles Per Year
Gallons Used (21.6 mpg from EPA)
Total Fuel Savings
6780 Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks)
3
2,474,700
7,424,100
343,708.33
$ 962,383 @ $2.80 per gallon
Fuel cost savings for personal vehicles was figured assuming vehicles use the shortest mileage route
while assuming an average gasoline cost of $2.80 per gallon. The total annual fuel savings for personal
vehicles is $962,383. The $962,383 reflects savings for businesses and middle class workers.
Table 7. Truck Vehicle Mileage and Diesel Fuel Offset
to Reach Comparable Locations
Description
Trucks Per Day Round Trip
Trucks Per Day 1 Way
Current Miles Traveled 1 Way
With New Bridge Miles Traveled 1 Way
Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way
Total Miles Offset Per Day
Total Miles Offset Per Year
Fuel Effiecency (Routes w/ A lot of Stop and Go)
Total Diesel
Annual Fuel Savings ($3.00 Per Gallon)
Total Combined Fuel Savings Per Year
Truck Going To U.S.
24 West
Trucks Going to
Warehouses & Rail
Loading CR 12 to
Industrial Drive
125
250
5.8
1.5
4.3
1075
392,375
4.5
87,194.44
261,583.33 $
$
$
75
150
3.7
0.63
3.07
460.5
168,082.5
4.5
37,351.67
112,055.00
373,638.33
Trucks
Trucks
Miles
Miles
Miles
Miles
Miles
MPG Diesel
Gallons
The fuel cost savings for trucks was figured knowing the estimated number of trucks going to a
particular destination, while assuming an average gasoline cost of $3.00 per gallon. The total annual
fuel savings for trucks is nearly $375,000. The annual savings reflects a reduced cost of doing business
while making companies more competitive regionally and nationally.
V.
Safety
An analysis of the traffic crash data was conducted on the shortest distance route. As stated in previous
sections, and shown in Figure 3 of the Project Narrative, there is not a direct way to get to the south
industrial area. As such there are multiple traveling routes that could be analyzed. Data was obtained
using the Ohio Department of Transportation’s GIS Crash Analysis Tool (GCAT) and ODOT’s crash
analyzer program excel workbook. The crash data analyzer workbook can be found online at
www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/MaumeeRiverBridgeCrashAnalysis.xlsm. The summary tab
titled “TIGER GRANT KABCO-AIS” details the injury and property damage cost information. The baseline
injury/property damage rates were obtained by retrieving and averaging data from 2009 to 2014. Other
information used to obtain the data can be found in the other tabs of the workbook. The State of Ohio
law enforcement agencies uses the KABCO scale to measure severity of injuries. This data must be
6
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
converted into AIS scale. This conversion can be found in Table 8 or in the workbook’s tab referenced
above.
Table 8. Injury and Property Damage Costs Associated with Shortest Route
The table above details total injury and property damage costs of $1,094,582. This number reflects the
number of crashes along the shortest route and part of the eliminated route going to U.S. 6 (Figure 3).
Obviously, it is impossible to predict exactly the reduction of crashes that will occur. It is safe to assume
that the vast reduction in vehicles using this route will result in a substantial reduction in crashes. It is
also safe to assume that the much shorter route that will be established we create less of an
opportunity for accidents to occur. As stated previously this analysis is a conservative approach to
7
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
reflect injury and property damage data and does not reflect injuries along numerous other routes used
to access the south industrial area. All current travel routes to reach the south industrial area will be
eliminated and consolidated to the new river bridge.
Figure 1. Crash Analysis Area
VI.
State of Good Repair
Pavement cost responsibility can be a unit cost associated with a certain type of vehicle traveling on a
mile of road. Table V-4 of Chapter V of a 1997 Federal Highway Cost Allocation Study Final Report
(http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policy/hcas/final/five.htm) states that the cost responsibility associated with
the average passenger car is $0.0005 per mile and the cost responsibility associated with the average
truck that is heading to the south industrial area is $0.0067 per miles. As detailed in Tables 6 and 7 the
number of extra miles traveled for personal vehicles and trucks is 7,424,100 and 560,457, respectively.
The annual offset of maintenance cost is $3,712 for personal vehicles and $3,755 for trucks. This
amount reflects a small but important savings in future pavement rehabilitation and maintenance.
Further Details can be found in the Personal Vehicles tab Cell B34 and the Truck Savings Tab Cells B46
and C46 of the Cost Analysis workbook.
VII.
Environmental Sustainability
Emission reductions for personal vehicles are provided in grams per mile. The EPA regularly publishes
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle. This document states that the average
CO2 emissions per mile is 411 grams. Other emission rates were obtained from an EPA document titled
Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline-Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks.
This document does not have an average of all personal vehicles but does break it up into cars and light
trucks. In order to obtain a rate for all personal vehicles the 411 grams per mile from the first report
was compared to the CO2 emission rate of 368.4 grams per mile for cars and 513.5 grams per mile for
trucks. This was done in order to find a ratio of cars to light duty trucks. The calculated ratio was 70%
8
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
cars and 30% light duty trucks (368.4 x 0.70 + 513.5 x 0.30 = 411). Other rates were properly modified to
have an adjusted average for all personal vehicles. The following table details the results.
Table 9. Emission Benefits for Personal Vehicles
Opening Year ADT
Additional Miles W/O New Bridge
Cars per year
Additional Miles Per Year
CO2 Grams Per Mile (from EPA)
VOC Grams Per Mile
NOx Grams Per Mile
PM Grams Per Mile
CO2 Metric Tons
Carbon Dioxide Value Per Ton
Carbon Dioxide Benefit Per Year
VOC Metric Tons
VOC Value Per Ton
VOC Benefit Per Year
NOx Metric Tons
NOx Value Per Ton
NOx Benefit Per Year
PM Metric Tons
PM Value Per Ton
PM Benefit Per Year
Total Non CO2 Emissions Benefit
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
6780 Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks)
3
2,474,700
7,424,100
411
1.091
0.7701
0.00877
3,051
46.00 2016 Rate
140,360.03
8.1
1,999.00
16,191.90
5.7
7,877.00
44,898.90
0.065
360,383.00
23,460.93
84,551.73
The value of emissions per metric ton can be found in the TIGER Benefit-Cost Analysis Resource Guide.
As shown in the table the savings of CO2 emissions is 3,051 metric tons per year. The value of those
savings is $140,360. CO2 emission values are the only value in the overall benefit cost analysis that must
be maintained separately because of the increasing annual future social cost associated with them.
They also have a 3% discounted present value regardless of whether the other benefits are discounted
at 3% or 7%. The recommended monetized social cost values for carbon dioxide are used when
computing the total present value benefits found in the summary section. The total non CO2 emissions
benefit for personal vehicles is $84,551.73. Further Details can be found in the Personal Vehicles tab
Cells B20 through B32 of the Cost Analysis workbook.
Emission reductions for trucks were figured out in kilograms per gallon of diesel and grams per mile for
non CO2 emissions. CO2 fuel emissions coefficients can be found from the Energy Information
Administration’s Fuel Emissions Coefficients. The EPA published a document titled Average In-Use
Emissions from Heavy Duty Trucks which details average emission rates for heavy duty trucks. The EIA’s
emission factors lists diesel fuel emissions as 10.15 KG per gallon. The EPA’s document details emission
rates from Volatile Organic Compounds (0.447 g/mi), Nitrogen Oxides (8.613 g/mi), and Particulate
Matter (0.421 g/mi). The Particulate Matter emissions rate is the sum of the PM2.5 and PM10 emission
rates. As in previous sections the trucks were calculated separately based on their separate origin or
destination. The following table details the results.
9
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
Table 10. Emission Benefits for Trucks
Description
Trucks Per Day Round Trip
Trucks Per Day 1 Way
Current Miles Traveled 1 Way
With New Bridge Miles Traveled 1 Way
Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way
Total Miles Offset Per Day
Total Miles Offset Per Year
Fuel Efficiency (Trucks Routes with a lot of Stop
and Go)
Total Diesel
KG of CO2 Per Gallon Diesel
CO2 Offset Per Year
Social Cost (2016 $)
Total Social Cost Savings CO2
Total Cumulative Social Cost Savings CO2
Grams of VOC Per Mile Diesel
VOC Metric Tons
VOC Value Per Ton
VOC Benefit Per Year
Grams of NOx Per Mile Diesel
NOx Metric Tons
NOx Value Per Ton
NOx Benefit Per Year
Grams of PM Per Mile Diesel
PM Metric Tons
PM Value Per Ton
PM Benefit Per Year
Total Non CO2 Emissions Benefit
Total Cumulative Non CO2 Emissions Benfit
Trucks Going to
Warehouses & Rail
Truck Going To U.S. Loading CR 12 to
24 West
Industrial Drive
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
125
250
5.8
1.5
4.3
1075
392,375
75
150
3.7
0.63
3.07
460.5
168,082.5
4.5
87,194.44
10.15
885.02
46.00 $
40,711.09 $
4.5
37,351.67
10.15
379.12
46.00
17,439.49
58,150.58
0.447
0.08
1,999.00
150.19
8.613
1.45
7,877.00
11,403.49
0.421
0.0708
360,383.00
25,501.69
37,055.37
123,558.12
0.447
0.18
1,999.00
350.61
8.613
3.38
7,877.00
26,620.53
0.421
0.1652
360,383.00
59,531.62
86,502.76
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
Trucks
Trucks
Miles
Miles
Miles
Miles
Miles
Miles Per Gallon Diesel
Gallons
KG
Metric Tons
Per Unit of CO2
The annual offset of CO2 emissions is 1,264 metric tons. The value of those savings is $58,150.58. The
total annual non CO2 emissions benefit for trucks is $123,558.12. Further Details can be found in the
Truck Savings tab Cells B21 through C37 of the Cost Analysis workbook. The breakdown of the total
cumulative savings ($406,620.46) per year are:
Personal Vehicles
Trucks
Total Emission Savings
VIII.
CO2 Savings (2016$)
$140,360.03
$58,150.58
$198,510.61
Non CO2 Savings
$84,551.73
$123,558.12
$208,109.85
Project Costs
The project costs were obtained from the stage 2 design costs. Several alternatives have been
evaluated in the past. The final three alternative (No Build, S.R. 110 to Industrial Drive, and S.R. 110 to
Enterprise Drive) were evaluated and the preferred alternative was to construct a bridge from S.R. 110
to Industrial Drive. Further information can be found in Project Narrative or Alternative Evaluation
Matrix. The life cycle cost analysis (Table 2) includes the total bridge costs ($12,667,795), miscellaneous
annual maintenance ($2,000) and a deck rehabilitation in year 26 ($1,000,000). The life cycle cost
analysis can be found as Table 2 or can be found in the LifeCycleCostMaster tab of the Cost Analysis
workbook. For simplicity all money spent for the project was listed as capital costs in 2016.
10
Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis
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