New Maumee River Bridge Project Benefit Coast Analysis Ohio STIP Reference Number: 2014stipID0157STCO, PID # 22984 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF BENEFITS AND COSTS ........................................................................................... 1 TABLE 1. PROJECT BENEFIT MATRIX...................................................................................................................................1 TABLE 2. BENEFIT COST LIFE CYCLE ANALYSIS .....................................................................................................................2 II. BASELINE ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 III. PERSONAL AND TRUCK TRAVEL COSTS .......................................................................................................... 3 TABLE 3. DISTANCES WITH AND WITHOUT NEW BRIDGE ........................................................................................................4 A. PERSONAL TRAVEL COSTS ............................................................................................................................. 4 TABLE 4. PERSONAL TRAVEL COST NET BENEFIT...................................................................................................................4 B. TRUCK TRAVEL COSTS .................................................................................................................................... 4 TABLE 5. TRUCK TRAVEL COST NET BENEFIT........................................................................................................................5 IV. VEHICLE FUEL COSTS ................................................................................................................................. 5 TABLE 6. PERSONAL VEHICLE MILEAGE AND GASOLINE FUEL OFFSET .......................................................................................6 TABLE 7. TRUCK VEHICLE MILEAGE AND DIESEL FUEL OFFSET .................................................................................................6 V. SAFETY .......................................................................................................................................................... 6 TABLE 8. INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTEST ROUTE ...............................................................7 FIGURE 1. CRASH ANALYSIS AREA .....................................................................................................................................8 VI. STATE OF GOOD REPAIR ............................................................................................................................ 8 VII. ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY ........................................................................................................... 8 TABLE 9. EMISSION BENEFITS FOR PERSONAL VEHICLES .........................................................................................................9 TABLE 10. EMISSION BENEFITS FOR TRUCKS ......................................................................................................................10 VIII. PROJECT COSTS ....................................................................................................................................... 10 Benefit Cost Analysis New Maumee River Bridge I. Executive Summary of Benefits and Costs The problems, baseline, population affected, and resulting benefits can be summarized in the project matrix found in Table 1. Table 1. Project Benefit Matrix Current Status/Baseline & Problem To Be Addressed Change To Baseline Traffic Congestion - Traffic on current bridge is operating at an LOS D and is projected to be Construct a borderline LOS D/E in 2035 new bridge Current bridge corridor has a crash rate 5 times greater than the state average Construct a new bridge Improved access to future and planned development Construct a on both sides of the river new bridge Direct route to cold storage and warehouses, rail loading yards, US 24/US 6, and hospital Construct a new bridge Population Affected By Impacts Type of Impacts Economic / Environmental Benefit Monetized value of travel time savings. This location provides most draw of Trucks, Vehicles, Value of quicker traffic from the existing bridge. other commercial emergency services Improves the existing bridge to an LOS C traffic, emergency response time through 2035 services (Cannot Quantify) Vehicles, trucks and other Draws most truck and a large amount of commercial vehicle traffic off existing bridge. traffic. Reduces Reduces crash frequency due to lower burden on first Monetized value of traffic & congestion responders crash cost savings This is the most direct connection between SR 110 South of the river and industrial developments on both sides Business, Increased value of of the river, which also connects to the unemployed, land (not calculated US 24/US 6 interchange community in this analysis) Rail usage, truck Monetized value of and vehicle time and fuel The connection will service the needs of traffic. Provides savings. Reduction existing business while reducing wear alternate and in emissions, and tare on current routes. Will reduce quicker route to Reduction in road fuel and labor costs. Reduces truck reach hospital for maintenance. route and future maintenance costs EMS Increase rail usage Summary of Results Page Reference in BCA Part of the estimated dollar value of time savings, faster Emergency Response Time Pages 2-4 Reduced crashes leads to reduced congestion leads to reduced burden on first responders and savings to vehicles that would otherwise be involved in an accident Pages 5-6 Improves marketability of land in the 2 industrial areas and creates 1 large industrial region Saves businesses and individuals money. Increases rail usage., reduces route distance which Pages 2-6, leads to reduced maintenance Pages 7-9 Annual benefits and costs were discounted at 3% and 7% over a 50 year lifespan to reflect present value benefits. The full analysis can be found in the in Table 2 and in the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis Excel workbook. All documents referenced in this analysis can be found online at www.henrycountyengineer.com/index_files/NewBridge.htm. For ease of navigation, hyperlinks to referenced spreadsheets and documents are provide by pressing on the referenced text. A summary of the benefits and cost are as follows. Net Present Value of Benefits and Cost discounted at 3% Total Benefits $154.57 Million Total Costs $13.18 Million Benefit-Cost Ratio 11.72:1 Net Total Benefits $141.39 Net Present Value of Benefits and Cost discounted at 7% Total Benefits $87.15 Million Total Costs $12.87 Million Benefit-Cost Ratio 6.77:1 Net Total Benefits $74.28 It is estimated that user cost (fuel usage and labor/personal time savings) represent approximately 78% of the total annual benefits in 2016. The high percentage of user cost savings reflects the impact this bridge will have on the local economy, middle class workers, and fuel usage. For simplicity the full project costs (including the amounts spent in previous years) were all included in 2016. 1 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis Table 2. Benefit Cost Life Cycle Analysis Benefit Cost Life Cycle Analysis New Maumee River Bridge Henry County, Ohio Engineeer Construction of Bridge from S.R. 110 to Industrial Drive Benefits Costs Net Benefit Totals Air Emissions Route Offset Labor/Time Savings Pavement Cost Costs Fuel Savings Costs Responsibility Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055 2056 2057 2058 2059 2060 2061 2062 2063 2064 2065 2066 Total $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 751,395.84 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 3,005,583.38 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 334,005.42 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 1,336,021.67 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 151,030,564.59 $ 67,135,088.75 $ 1,866.78 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 7,467.12 Crash Costs $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 246,216.59 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 1,094,582.54 3% SCC Non CO2 Criteria Cost Emissions (2013$) $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 52,027.46 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 208,109.86 375,222.54 $ 54,975,343.59 $ 10,457,520.25 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Undiscounted CO2 Costs @ 3% Avg SCC 46 47 49 51 52 52 54 55 56 57 58 60 61 62 63 63 65 66 67 68 69 71 72 73 74 76 77 78 79 80 82 83 84 85 86 88 89 90 91 93 94 95 96 98 99 100 101 103 104 105 106 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ NPV CO2 Costs @ 3% AVG SCC Non-CO2 Benefits 49,627.65 $ 202,826.06 211,456.96 220,087.85 224,403.30 224,403.30 233,034.20 237,349.65 241,665.10 245,980.54 250,295.99 258,926.89 263,242.34 267,557.78 271,873.23 271,873.23 280,504.13 284,819.58 289,135.02 293,450.47 297,765.92 306,396.82 310,712.27 315,027.71 319,343.16 327,974.06 332,289.51 336,604.95 340,920.40 345,235.85 353,866.75 358,182.19 362,497.64 366,813.09 371,128.54 379,759.44 384,074.88 388,390.33 392,705.78 401,336.68 405,652.12 409,967.57 414,283.02 422,913.92 427,229.36 431,544.81 435,860.26 444,491.16 448,806.61 453,122.05 457,437.50 49,627.65 $196,918.51 $199,318.46 $201,411.56 $199,379.43 $193,572.26 $195,162.47 $192,986.98 $190,772.66 $188,523.60 $186,243.72 $187,054.29 $184,632.88 $182,193.83 $179,740.23 $174,505.08 $174,800.90 $172,320.53 $169,836.35 $167,350.70 $164,865.77 $164,703.39 $162,158.40 $159,621.94 $157,095.67 $156,642.24 $154,080.89 $151,535.87 $149,008.38 $146,499.58 $145,788.41 $143,268.27 $140,771.26 $138,298.16 $135,849.71 $134,960.20 $132,518.29 $130,104.13 $127,718.19 $126,723.48 $124,355.43 $122,017.83 $119,710.90 $118,645.51 $116,365.22 $114,117.12 $111,901.25 $110,793.32 $108,610.66 $106,461.16 $104,344.73 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 3% NPV -Non CO2 7% NPV -Non CO2 3% NPV Total Benefits Benefits Benefits 1,385,512.09 $ 1,385,512.09 $ 1,385,512.09 $ 5,651,764.55 $5,487,150.05 $5,282,022.95 $ 5,651,764.55 $5,327,330.15 $4,936,470.04 $ 5,651,764.55 $5,172,165.19 $4,613,523.41 $ 5,651,764.55 $5,021,519.60 $4,311,704.12 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,875,261.75 $4,029,630.02 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,733,263.84 $3,766,009.36 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,595,401.78 $3,519,634.92 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,461,555.13 $3,289,378.43 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,331,606.92 $3,074,185.45 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,205,443.61 $2,873,070.51 $ 5,651,764.55 $4,082,954.96 $2,685,112.63 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,964,033.94 $2,509,451.05 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,848,576.65 $2,345,281.36 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,736,482.18 $2,191,851.74 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,627,652.60 $2,048,459.57 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,521,992.82 $1,914,448.19 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,419,410.50 $1,789,203.92 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,319,816.02 $1,672,153.19 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,223,122.35 $1,562,760.00 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,129,245.00 $1,460,523.36 $ 5,651,764.55 $3,038,101.94 $1,364,975.10 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,949,613.54 $1,275,677.67 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,863,702.46 $1,192,222.12 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,780,293.65 $1,114,226.28 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,699,314.23 $1,041,332.97 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,620,693.42 $973,208.38 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,544,362.55 $909,540.55 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,470,254.90 $850,037.89 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,398,305.73 $794,427.94 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,328,452.16 $742,456.02 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,260,633.17 $693,884.13 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,194,789.48 $648,489.84 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,130,863.58 $606,065.27 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,068,799.59 $566,416.14 $ 5,651,764.55 $2,008,543.29 $529,360.88 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,950,042.03 $494,729.79 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,893,244.69 $462,364.29 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,838,101.64 $432,116.16 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,784,564.70 $403,846.88 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,732,587.09 $377,426.99 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,682,123.38 $352,735.50 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,633,129.50 $329,659.35 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,585,562.62 $308,092.85 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,539,381.19 $287,937.24 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,494,544.84 $269,100.23 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,451,014.41 $251,495.54 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,408,751.85 $235,042.56 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,367,720.25 $219,665.94 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,327,883.73 $205,295.28 $ 5,651,764.55 $1,289,207.51 $191,864.74 $ 1,435,139.75 5,684,068.56 5,526,648.61 5,373,576.76 5,220,899.03 5,068,834.01 4,928,426.31 4,788,388.77 4,652,327.79 4,520,130.52 4,391,687.34 4,270,009.26 4,148,666.82 4,030,770.48 3,916,222.41 3,802,157.68 3,696,793.72 3,591,731.03 3,489,652.38 3,390,473.06 3,294,110.77 3,202,805.33 3,111,771.94 3,023,324.41 2,937,389.33 2,855,956.46 2,774,774.32 2,695,898.41 2,619,263.28 2,544,805.31 2,474,240.58 2,403,901.44 2,335,560.74 2,269,161.74 2,204,649.30 2,143,503.49 2,082,560.32 2,023,348.82 1,965,819.83 1,911,288.18 1,856,942.52 1,804,141.21 1,752,840.40 1,704,208.13 1,655,746.41 1,608,661.96 1,562,915.66 1,519,545.17 1,476,330.91 1,434,344.89 1,393,552.24 7% NPV Total Benefits W/ 3% NPV CO2 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Project Capital Costs 1,435,139.75 5,478,941.45 5,135,788.51 4,814,934.97 4,511,083.54 4,223,202.28 3,961,171.83 3,712,621.90 3,480,151.08 3,262,709.05 3,059,314.23 2,872,166.92 2,694,083.93 2,527,475.19 2,371,591.97 2,222,964.65 2,089,249.09 1,961,524.45 1,841,989.55 1,730,110.70 1,625,389.13 1,529,678.49 1,437,836.07 1,351,844.06 1,271,321.95 1,197,975.21 1,127,289.28 1,061,076.41 999,046.28 940,927.51 888,244.43 837,152.40 789,261.10 744,363.43 702,265.85 664,321.08 627,248.08 592,468.43 559,834.35 530,570.36 501,782.42 474,753.33 449,370.25 426,738.36 404,302.47 383,217.34 363,396.79 345,835.88 328,276.60 311,756.43 296,209.48 (12,667,795.00) $ 16,564,847.64 $ 7,765,887.49 $ 283,973,739.73 $ 146,804,080.26 $ 79,384,080.80 $ 154,569,967.75 $ 87,149,968.29 (13,667,795.00) *Data is obtained from other sheets in this analysis and is described in the Benefit Cost Analysis Document **Crash data is obtained from the crash analysis sheet at www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/MaumeeRiverBridgeCrashAnalysis.xlsm and is describe din the Benefit Cost Analysis Document 2 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis (1,000,000.00) Annual Maintenance (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) (2,000.00) Total Annual Costs 3% NPV Total Costs 7% NPV Total Costs (12,667,795.00) ($12,667,795.00) ($12,667,795.00) (2,000.00) ($1,941.75) ($1,869.16) (2,000.00) ($1,885.19) ($1,746.88) (2,000.00) ($1,830.28) ($1,632.60) (2,000.00) ($1,776.97) ($1,525.79) (2,000.00) ($1,725.22) ($1,425.97) (2,000.00) ($1,674.97) ($1,332.68) (2,000.00) ($1,626.18) ($1,245.50) (2,000.00) ($1,578.82) ($1,164.02) (2,000.00) ($1,532.83) ($1,087.87) (2,000.00) ($1,488.19) ($1,016.70) (2,000.00) ($1,444.84) ($950.19) (2,000.00) ($1,402.76) ($888.02) (2,000.00) ($1,361.90) ($829.93) (2,000.00) ($1,322.24) ($775.63) (2,000.00) ($1,283.72) ($724.89) (2,000.00) ($1,246.33) ($677.47) (2,000.00) ($1,210.03) ($633.15) (2,000.00) ($1,174.79) ($591.73) (2,000.00) ($1,140.57) ($553.02) (2,000.00) ($1,107.35) ($516.84) (2,000.00) ($1,075.10) ($483.03) (2,000.00) ($1,043.79) ($451.43) (2,000.00) ($1,013.38) ($421.89) (2,000.00) ($983.87) ($394.29) (2,000.00) ($955.21) ($368.50) (1,002,000.00) ($464,622.12) ($172,539.88) (2,000.00) ($900.38) ($321.86) (2,000.00) ($874.15) ($300.80) (2,000.00) ($848.69) ($281.13) (2,000.00) ($823.97) ($262.73) (2,000.00) ($799.97) ($245.55) (2,000.00) ($776.67) ($229.48) (2,000.00) ($754.05) ($214.47) (2,000.00) ($732.09) ($200.44) (2,000.00) ($710.77) ($187.33) (2,000.00) ($690.06) ($175.07) (2,000.00) ($669.97) ($163.62) (2,000.00) ($650.45) ($152.91) (2,000.00) ($631.51) ($142.91) (2,000.00) ($613.11) ($133.56) (2,000.00) ($595.26) ($124.82) (2,000.00) ($577.92) ($116.66) (2,000.00) ($561.09) ($109.03) (2,000.00) ($544.74) ($101.89) (2,000.00) ($528.88) ($95.23) (2,000.00) ($513.47) ($89.00) (2,000.00) ($498.52) ($83.17) (2,000.00) ($484.00) ($77.73) (2,000.00) ($469.90) ($72.65) (2,000.00) ($456.21) ($67.90) (100,000.00) (13,767,795.00) Benefit Cost Ratios (13,182,949.26) (12,867,591.99) 11.72 6.77 Annual Net Annual Net Benefits PV @ 3% Benefits PV @ 7% (11,232,655.25) 5,682,126.81 5,524,763.42 5,371,746.47 5,219,122.06 5,067,108.79 4,926,751.34 4,786,762.58 4,650,748.97 4,518,597.69 4,390,199.15 4,268,564.41 4,147,264.06 4,029,408.57 3,914,900.18 3,800,873.96 3,695,547.38 3,590,521.00 3,488,477.59 3,389,332.48 3,293,003.42 3,201,730.23 3,110,728.15 3,022,311.02 2,936,405.46 2,855,001.25 2,310,152.20 2,694,998.04 2,618,389.13 2,543,956.61 2,473,416.60 2,403,101.47 2,334,784.07 2,268,407.69 2,203,917.21 2,142,792.72 2,081,870.25 2,022,678.86 1,965,169.38 1,910,656.67 1,856,329.41 1,803,545.96 1,752,262.48 1,703,647.05 1,655,201.67 1,608,133.08 1,562,402.18 1,519,046.65 1,475,846.91 1,433,874.99 1,393,096.03 (11,232,655.25) 5,477,072.29 5,134,041.63 4,813,302.37 4,509,557.75 4,221,776.30 3,959,839.15 3,711,376.40 3,478,987.07 3,261,621.18 3,058,297.54 2,871,216.73 2,693,195.91 2,526,645.26 2,370,816.34 2,222,239.76 2,088,571.62 1,960,891.30 1,841,397.82 1,729,557.68 1,624,872.29 1,529,195.46 1,437,384.64 1,351,422.17 1,270,927.66 1,197,606.71 954,749.39 1,060,754.55 998,745.47 940,646.39 887,981.70 836,906.85 789,031.62 744,148.96 702,065.41 664,133.75 627,073.01 592,304.81 559,681.44 530,427.45 501,648.86 474,628.51 449,253.59 426,629.34 404,200.57 383,122.12 363,307.79 345,752.70 328,198.87 311,683.79 296,141.58 141,387,018.50 74,282,376.31 II. Baseline The benefits and costs detailed in this analysis represent the life cycle cost difference between the identified alignment and the “No Build” scenario. This alignment have been narrowed down through the multiple studies. The most recent Alternative Evaluation Matrix from the Feasibility Study can be found online at www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/AlternativeEvaluationMatrix.pdf. This bridge project is creating a more direct route and this analysis details the benefits associated with the route creation. With the exception of building a bridge, there are no reasonable maintenance or traffic solution that will address the “No Build” scenario’s logistical, distance and traffic problems. Previously conducted Planning and Feasibility studies go through different alternatives. Crash data was obtained from the shortest route between the start location and the end location of the bridge, of which the majority of traffic is to and from the south industrial area, also included was a small part of a route between County Road 12 and U.S. 6. There are many routes to travel to the south of the river industrial area, shown in Figure 3 of the TIGER Project Narrative, and to be conservative only crash data along the routes described above were considered. The majority of the routes are state routes and do not now or in the future have the need for widening. The exception, is when vehicles enter the S.R. 108 (Perry Street) Bridge. The current bridge is a choke point with a large amount of accidents. Since the bridge was just replaced 11 years ago there is no plausible solution to reduce the number of accidents or congestion. As stated previously, to be conservative the crash analysis was not performed on other routes that vehicles use. It is worth noting that along these unanalyzed branches there is potential for very minor traffic congestion upgrades. There is a lot of potential for private development associated with the construction of a new bridge. There will also be an increase in property value to land with access to the bridge. Due to the difficulty in quantifying and calculating this information, as well as Henry County’s small staff and lack of in house economic personnel, this information will not be considered. Both the baseline and the new project’s benefits will assume no additional development or increase in property value. This is not realistic but will keep the results of this analysis conservative. Please refer to Table 1 and the Alternative Evaluation Matrix for general information on the benefits associated with a build and no build scenario. III. Personal and Truck Travel Costs Personal vehicle and truck vehicle travel cost was analyzed separately. This was done because of data received regarding truck movement and activity from Campbell’s. It is also important to note that trucks are generally routed 2.4 miles east and 1 mile north before they can start heading west, this is done to help avoid traveling through the center of the City of Napoleon which includes many stoplights (Figure 3 of the Project Narrative). Since this is a new structure travel costs associated with construction disruption should be minimal. The table below shows the comparable origin and destination distances with and without a new bridge. As stated above, the C.R. 12 to U.S. 24 west route is for trucks only. 3 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis Table 3. Distances with and without New Bridge (Miles Saved Tab of the Cost Analysis) Truck Only - C.R. 12 To US 24 West @ Industrial Drive C.R. 12 to Industrial Drive Description Distance W/O Bridge 1 Way Distance W/ Bridge 1 Way Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way Miles Offset Compared W/ Bridge Round Trip 5.8 1.5 4.3 3.7 0.63 3.07 8.6 6.14 a. Personal Travel Costs (Found in the Personal Vehicles Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis) The Certified Traffic Report lists the opening year Average Daily Traffic (ADT) of the bridge as 7,660. Since truck data is analyzed separately only the personal vehicle ADT of 6,780 will be used for this analysis. The personal and business recommended hourly values were obtained from the TIGER BenefitCost Analysis Resource Guide. These values were $12.50 and $24.40, respectively. Since this part of the analysis does not include trucks and the number of vehicles conducting business is unknown, the $12.50 value will be used. The average time net savings to destination was based on timed runs and vehicle tracking, the result of which can be found as cell F30 of the Times to Industrial tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis. As detailed in the tab the average time net savings is 5.25 minutes. The following table details the calculations for time savings for personal vehicles. Table 4. Personal Travel Cost Net Benefit Opening Year ADT Additional Miles W/O New Bridge Average Time Net Savings Time Savings Per Day Time Savings Per Year Personal Travel Savings Per Hour Time Savings Per Year $ $ 6780 3 5.25 593.25 216,536.25 12.50 2,706,703 Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks) Minutes Hours Hours / Year The new bridge’s personal vehicle time savings benefit has a significant impact on the value of the benefits of the analysis. The shortest route between origin and destination was used to determine these benefits. The number of vehicles is based on current traffic patterns and counts, all of which is detailed further in the Certified Traffic Report. b. Truck Travel Costs (Found in the Truck Savings Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis) The Certified Traffic Report lists the opening year Average Daily Traffic (ADT) of the bridge as 7,660. The report also details 670 as the commercial volume. To provide a conservative analysis only truck 4 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis estimates that have been verified coming from Campbell’s will be used (which is about 400 per day). General estimations of the number of trucks going to each of the 2 destinations analyzed are included. This analysis does not include trucks entering other facilities south of the river. The inclusion of these trucks would only increase the benefits shown in this analysis. The $25.80 recommended truck driver hourly value was obtained from the TIGER Benefit-Cost Analysis Resource Guide. Further information on truck travel data can be obtained in the Planning Study and Section IV(d) of the Project Narrative. The average time net savings to respective destinations was based on timed runs and vehicle tracking, the result of which can be found in cells D30 of the Times to US24W tab and F30 of the Times to Industrial tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis. As detailed in the tab the average time net savings is 4.5 and 5.25 minutes, respectively. The following table details the calculations for time savings for known truck traffic. Table 5. Truck Travel Cost Net Benefit Description Trucks Per Day Round Trip Trucks Per Day 1 Way Total Miles Offset Per Year Time To Travel Between W/O Bridge Time To Travel Between W/ Bridge Time Savings Total Time Savings Per Day Total Time Savings Per Year Hourly Value of Travel Time - Truck Drivers Total Labor Savings Per Year Total Combined Labor Savings Per Year Truck Going To U.S. 24 West $ $ $ Trucks Going to Warehouses & Rail Loading CR 12 to Industrial Drive 125 250 392,375 8.45 3.95 4.5 18.75 6,843.75 25.80 $ 176,568.75 $ 75 150 168,082.5 7.35 2.130 5.22 13.05 4,763.25 25.80 122,891.85 299,460.60 Trucks Trucks Miles Minutes Minutes Min Per Truck Travel Hours Hours The new bridge’s truck labor/time savings benefit has a large impact on the value of the benefits of the analysis. IV. Vehicle Fuel Costs (Found in the Personal Vehicles and Truck Savings Tab of the Maumee River Bridge Cost Analysis) Vehicle fuel cost was determined from the miles traveled for Truck and Personal Vehicles. According to the EPA the average gasoline vehicle on the road today has a fuel economy of 21.6 miles per gallon (Page 2, Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle). Personal vehicle mileage and gasoline offset data can be found in Table 6. Traffic data, including opening year ADT, is detailed in the Ohio DOT approved Certified Traffic Report. 5 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis Table 6. Personal Vehicle Mileage and Gasoline Fuel Offset to Reach Comparable Locations (Assume Vehicle is Traveling on Shortest Route) Opening Year ADT Additional Miles W/O New Bridge Personal Vehicles Per Year Additional Miles Per Year Gallons Used (21.6 mpg from EPA) Total Fuel Savings 6780 Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks) 3 2,474,700 7,424,100 343,708.33 $ 962,383 @ $2.80 per gallon Fuel cost savings for personal vehicles was figured assuming vehicles use the shortest mileage route while assuming an average gasoline cost of $2.80 per gallon. The total annual fuel savings for personal vehicles is $962,383. The $962,383 reflects savings for businesses and middle class workers. Table 7. Truck Vehicle Mileage and Diesel Fuel Offset to Reach Comparable Locations Description Trucks Per Day Round Trip Trucks Per Day 1 Way Current Miles Traveled 1 Way With New Bridge Miles Traveled 1 Way Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way Total Miles Offset Per Day Total Miles Offset Per Year Fuel Effiecency (Routes w/ A lot of Stop and Go) Total Diesel Annual Fuel Savings ($3.00 Per Gallon) Total Combined Fuel Savings Per Year Truck Going To U.S. 24 West Trucks Going to Warehouses & Rail Loading CR 12 to Industrial Drive 125 250 5.8 1.5 4.3 1075 392,375 4.5 87,194.44 261,583.33 $ $ $ 75 150 3.7 0.63 3.07 460.5 168,082.5 4.5 37,351.67 112,055.00 373,638.33 Trucks Trucks Miles Miles Miles Miles Miles MPG Diesel Gallons The fuel cost savings for trucks was figured knowing the estimated number of trucks going to a particular destination, while assuming an average gasoline cost of $3.00 per gallon. The total annual fuel savings for trucks is nearly $375,000. The annual savings reflects a reduced cost of doing business while making companies more competitive regionally and nationally. V. Safety An analysis of the traffic crash data was conducted on the shortest distance route. As stated in previous sections, and shown in Figure 3 of the Project Narrative, there is not a direct way to get to the south industrial area. As such there are multiple traveling routes that could be analyzed. Data was obtained using the Ohio Department of Transportation’s GIS Crash Analysis Tool (GCAT) and ODOT’s crash analyzer program excel workbook. The crash data analyzer workbook can be found online at www.henrycountyengineer.com/NewBridge/MaumeeRiverBridgeCrashAnalysis.xlsm. The summary tab titled “TIGER GRANT KABCO-AIS” details the injury and property damage cost information. The baseline injury/property damage rates were obtained by retrieving and averaging data from 2009 to 2014. Other information used to obtain the data can be found in the other tabs of the workbook. The State of Ohio law enforcement agencies uses the KABCO scale to measure severity of injuries. This data must be 6 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis converted into AIS scale. This conversion can be found in Table 8 or in the workbook’s tab referenced above. Table 8. Injury and Property Damage Costs Associated with Shortest Route The table above details total injury and property damage costs of $1,094,582. This number reflects the number of crashes along the shortest route and part of the eliminated route going to U.S. 6 (Figure 3). Obviously, it is impossible to predict exactly the reduction of crashes that will occur. It is safe to assume that the vast reduction in vehicles using this route will result in a substantial reduction in crashes. It is also safe to assume that the much shorter route that will be established we create less of an opportunity for accidents to occur. As stated previously this analysis is a conservative approach to 7 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis reflect injury and property damage data and does not reflect injuries along numerous other routes used to access the south industrial area. All current travel routes to reach the south industrial area will be eliminated and consolidated to the new river bridge. Figure 1. Crash Analysis Area VI. State of Good Repair Pavement cost responsibility can be a unit cost associated with a certain type of vehicle traveling on a mile of road. Table V-4 of Chapter V of a 1997 Federal Highway Cost Allocation Study Final Report (http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policy/hcas/final/five.htm) states that the cost responsibility associated with the average passenger car is $0.0005 per mile and the cost responsibility associated with the average truck that is heading to the south industrial area is $0.0067 per miles. As detailed in Tables 6 and 7 the number of extra miles traveled for personal vehicles and trucks is 7,424,100 and 560,457, respectively. The annual offset of maintenance cost is $3,712 for personal vehicles and $3,755 for trucks. This amount reflects a small but important savings in future pavement rehabilitation and maintenance. Further Details can be found in the Personal Vehicles tab Cell B34 and the Truck Savings Tab Cells B46 and C46 of the Cost Analysis workbook. VII. Environmental Sustainability Emission reductions for personal vehicles are provided in grams per mile. The EPA regularly publishes Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle. This document states that the average CO2 emissions per mile is 411 grams. Other emission rates were obtained from an EPA document titled Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline-Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks. This document does not have an average of all personal vehicles but does break it up into cars and light trucks. In order to obtain a rate for all personal vehicles the 411 grams per mile from the first report was compared to the CO2 emission rate of 368.4 grams per mile for cars and 513.5 grams per mile for trucks. This was done in order to find a ratio of cars to light duty trucks. The calculated ratio was 70% 8 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis cars and 30% light duty trucks (368.4 x 0.70 + 513.5 x 0.30 = 411). Other rates were properly modified to have an adjusted average for all personal vehicles. The following table details the results. Table 9. Emission Benefits for Personal Vehicles Opening Year ADT Additional Miles W/O New Bridge Cars per year Additional Miles Per Year CO2 Grams Per Mile (from EPA) VOC Grams Per Mile NOx Grams Per Mile PM Grams Per Mile CO2 Metric Tons Carbon Dioxide Value Per Ton Carbon Dioxide Benefit Per Year VOC Metric Tons VOC Value Per Ton VOC Benefit Per Year NOx Metric Tons NOx Value Per Ton NOx Benefit Per Year PM Metric Tons PM Value Per Ton PM Benefit Per Year Total Non CO2 Emissions Benefit $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 6780 Cars Per Day (Does not include trucks) 3 2,474,700 7,424,100 411 1.091 0.7701 0.00877 3,051 46.00 2016 Rate 140,360.03 8.1 1,999.00 16,191.90 5.7 7,877.00 44,898.90 0.065 360,383.00 23,460.93 84,551.73 The value of emissions per metric ton can be found in the TIGER Benefit-Cost Analysis Resource Guide. As shown in the table the savings of CO2 emissions is 3,051 metric tons per year. The value of those savings is $140,360. CO2 emission values are the only value in the overall benefit cost analysis that must be maintained separately because of the increasing annual future social cost associated with them. They also have a 3% discounted present value regardless of whether the other benefits are discounted at 3% or 7%. The recommended monetized social cost values for carbon dioxide are used when computing the total present value benefits found in the summary section. The total non CO2 emissions benefit for personal vehicles is $84,551.73. Further Details can be found in the Personal Vehicles tab Cells B20 through B32 of the Cost Analysis workbook. Emission reductions for trucks were figured out in kilograms per gallon of diesel and grams per mile for non CO2 emissions. CO2 fuel emissions coefficients can be found from the Energy Information Administration’s Fuel Emissions Coefficients. The EPA published a document titled Average In-Use Emissions from Heavy Duty Trucks which details average emission rates for heavy duty trucks. The EIA’s emission factors lists diesel fuel emissions as 10.15 KG per gallon. The EPA’s document details emission rates from Volatile Organic Compounds (0.447 g/mi), Nitrogen Oxides (8.613 g/mi), and Particulate Matter (0.421 g/mi). The Particulate Matter emissions rate is the sum of the PM2.5 and PM10 emission rates. As in previous sections the trucks were calculated separately based on their separate origin or destination. The following table details the results. 9 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis Table 10. Emission Benefits for Trucks Description Trucks Per Day Round Trip Trucks Per Day 1 Way Current Miles Traveled 1 Way With New Bridge Miles Traveled 1 Way Miles Offset W/ Bridge 1 Way Total Miles Offset Per Day Total Miles Offset Per Year Fuel Efficiency (Trucks Routes with a lot of Stop and Go) Total Diesel KG of CO2 Per Gallon Diesel CO2 Offset Per Year Social Cost (2016 $) Total Social Cost Savings CO2 Total Cumulative Social Cost Savings CO2 Grams of VOC Per Mile Diesel VOC Metric Tons VOC Value Per Ton VOC Benefit Per Year Grams of NOx Per Mile Diesel NOx Metric Tons NOx Value Per Ton NOx Benefit Per Year Grams of PM Per Mile Diesel PM Metric Tons PM Value Per Ton PM Benefit Per Year Total Non CO2 Emissions Benefit Total Cumulative Non CO2 Emissions Benfit Trucks Going to Warehouses & Rail Truck Going To U.S. Loading CR 12 to 24 West Industrial Drive $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 125 250 5.8 1.5 4.3 1075 392,375 75 150 3.7 0.63 3.07 460.5 168,082.5 4.5 87,194.44 10.15 885.02 46.00 $ 40,711.09 $ 4.5 37,351.67 10.15 379.12 46.00 17,439.49 58,150.58 0.447 0.08 1,999.00 150.19 8.613 1.45 7,877.00 11,403.49 0.421 0.0708 360,383.00 25,501.69 37,055.37 123,558.12 0.447 0.18 1,999.00 350.61 8.613 3.38 7,877.00 26,620.53 0.421 0.1652 360,383.00 59,531.62 86,502.76 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Trucks Trucks Miles Miles Miles Miles Miles Miles Per Gallon Diesel Gallons KG Metric Tons Per Unit of CO2 The annual offset of CO2 emissions is 1,264 metric tons. The value of those savings is $58,150.58. The total annual non CO2 emissions benefit for trucks is $123,558.12. Further Details can be found in the Truck Savings tab Cells B21 through C37 of the Cost Analysis workbook. The breakdown of the total cumulative savings ($406,620.46) per year are: Personal Vehicles Trucks Total Emission Savings VIII. CO2 Savings (2016$) $140,360.03 $58,150.58 $198,510.61 Non CO2 Savings $84,551.73 $123,558.12 $208,109.85 Project Costs The project costs were obtained from the stage 2 design costs. Several alternatives have been evaluated in the past. The final three alternative (No Build, S.R. 110 to Industrial Drive, and S.R. 110 to Enterprise Drive) were evaluated and the preferred alternative was to construct a bridge from S.R. 110 to Industrial Drive. Further information can be found in Project Narrative or Alternative Evaluation Matrix. The life cycle cost analysis (Table 2) includes the total bridge costs ($12,667,795), miscellaneous annual maintenance ($2,000) and a deck rehabilitation in year 26 ($1,000,000). The life cycle cost analysis can be found as Table 2 or can be found in the LifeCycleCostMaster tab of the Cost Analysis workbook. For simplicity all money spent for the project was listed as capital costs in 2016. 10 Maumee River Bridge Benefit Cost Analysis