C-1 SPS215 STATISTICS FOR SOCIAL SCIENCES Full Course Title: Statistics for Social Sciences Statistika i drustvene nauke Course Code: Course Level/BiH cycle: ECTS credit value: SPS215 I cycle; 1st year 6 Student work-load: For the whole semester: Length: Faculty/School/Department: Lectures Tutorial / Practical training Project Individual learning TOTAL 45 30 30 45 150 Fall 2014 FASS; Social Sciences Course leader: Assist. Prof. Dr Ali Caksu (assisted by Sen. Assist. Velid Draganovic) Contact details: Office: F3.14 e-mail: vdraganovic@ius.edu. ba Office hours: Mon 12:00-13:00 AM Tue 10:00-13:00 PM and by appt. Phone: 033 957 329 Site: Lectures: IUS main campus building – F1.24 Tutorial: F1.24 Host Study Program: Social and Political Sciences Course status: Programme required course; Pre-requisites: None Access restrictions: I cycle students only Assessment: Homeworks, quizzes, project paper,presentations, exams. Date validated: September 20, 2013 Course aims: The aims of this course are: To enrich students statistical literacy. To develop students' understanding of various variables and scales of measurement. 1 C-1 To enable students to perform basic methods of inferential statistics. To develop students’ ability to choose inferential testing methods appropriate to real life situations related to fields of their scientific and research interests. To develop students' ability to interpret outputs from computer packages and programmes. To assist students to develop analytic and comparative skills. Learning outcomes: Indicative syllabus content: Learning delivery: Assessment Rationale: Assessment Weighting: Essential Reading: On successful completion of this course IUS student will be able: 1. To demonstrate statistical literacy. 2. To recognise different types of variables and generate appropriate scales of their measurement. 3. To perform basic inferential statistics methods and tests. 4. To distinguish and choose inferential testing methods appropriate to real life situations related to fields of their scientific and research interests. 5. To interpret outputs from computer packages and programmes. 6. To demonstrate analytic and comparative skills. This is an introductory course in the statistics for social sciences purposefully designed for students of political sciences and international relations. This course provides an introduction to descriptive and inferential statistics, with the purpose of preparing students for performing and consuming quantitative research. The course covers the following topics: the sample mean and variance, random variables, elementary finite probability, normal probability distribution; sampling, point and interval estimation, hypothesis testing; regression, correlation, t-test, bivariate distributions and chi-square tests. This course employs a range of teaching and learning methods (lecturing, written assignments, presentations, peer presentation analyses, group discussions, solving exercises). Students have three hours lectures and two hours practical training a week. Students are also expected to realise a project and present it. Learning will consist of knowledge acquisition and practical knowledge gained from the class discussions and debates. Consultations and regular homework assignments will guide students’ individual learning and students’ progression in acquiring required knowledge and practice will be additionally checked through quizzes and final exams. In order to enable students to develop a critical and evaluative understanding of real life issues and ability to analyze them from a quantitative viewpoint, they are expected to demonstrate commitment and diligence at any time. Appropriate assessment methods to help students to stay focused and active, and fully benefit from the Program include presentations, project paper writing, homeworks, exercise based quizzes, theoretical quizzes, exams. Those methods will check their critical, analytical and comparative skills and acquisition of statistical terms and concepts, as well as their ability to apply them to real life issues which are interesting for research. Presentations: 10% Paper and homeworks: 30% Quizzes: 20% Final exam: 40% Hinton, Perry, (2004), Statistics Explained: A Guide for Social Science Students, 2nd ed., Routledge Agresti, A., Finlay, B., (2009) Statistical Methods for Socical Sciences, 4th ed. Pearson Recommended readings: Sirkin, Mark, (editor), (2005), Statistics for the Social Sciences, 3rd ed., Sage Publications Healey, Joseph F., (2008), Statistics: A Tool for Social Research, 8th ed., Wadsworth Publishing Gravetter, Frederick J., Wallnau, Larry B., (2008), Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, 8th ed., Wadsworth Publishing Intranet web reference: N/A Important notes: Expected knowledge of: 1. Writing and communication ability 2. Practical knowledge of basic mathematical operations 3. Basic logical operations Course policies: Assignments: Each student should complete their assignment on time. 2 C-1 Lateness in Assignments: The due date and time for each homework will be specified on the assignment handout itself. Late submissions will be penalized by gradual decrease in homework grades, 15% decrease for each working day. Academic Integrity: Any cheating on examinations or quizzes or offering the work of another as one's own in an assignment is regarded as a serious offence to the academic integrity. Important dates: Quiz 1: 06/11/13 Quiz 2: 11/12/13 Final exam: 15th week (17/01/14) Quality Assurance: Student surveys, discussion on course, student appeals, e-mails, direct (formal) feedback at the end of the semester by students, assistants and other colleagues Course schedule: 3 C-1 Week Lesson / Date 1 Topics to be covered Class activities Lab Problems/ Readings activities Assignments (Homework) 08/10/14 Course Introduction Course Overview Lecturing No lab activities 1 09/10/14 Discussion and analysis of key terms and concepts 2 2 Descriptive statistics Measures of position Measures of spread Lecturing No lab activities 15/10/14 2 16/10/14 3 22/10/13 Learning objectives (After this lesson student will be able to:) Chapter 1, 1. Identify key terms and concepts. Introductio 2. Identify variables and n in Perry. scales for their (2004). measurement Statistics 3. Explain how statistics Explained. is related to research pp 1-5, Chapter 5, sampling pp 47-57 1. Calculate sample mean Chapter 2, 2. Recognize sample Descriptive mode and median statistics in 3. Calculate sample Perry. standard deviation (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 6-23 Mind-mapping ethics Probability and probability Lecturing distributions Concept of probability Mind-mapping connection between event and No lab activities Chapter 3, Standard 1. Define main features of probability distributions 2. Explain main features of 4 C-1 3 23/10/14 4 29/10/14 4 30/10/14 5 05/11/14 5 06/11/14 6 12/11/14 Basic probability rules probability in coordinate system Conception of Group discussion probability distribution scores in Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 25-34 normal probability distribution Exercise solving Sampling and sampling Lecturing distribution Concept of sampling Normal distribution Standard normal distribution and standard scores No lab activities 1. Explain concept of Chapter 4, sampling Probability 2. Explain importance of distribution sampling distribution for s in Agresti inferential statistics Finlay (2009). Statistical Methods pp 73-99 Exercise solving Evaluation and tutorials Tutorials, exercise solving No lab activities Quiz 1 Confidence intervals Concept of estimation Point estimation Confidence interval Lecturing No lab activities Chapter 5, Statistical inference: Estimation in Agresti Finlay 1. Differentiate between point and interval estimation 2. Recognize main components of confidence interval and 5 C-1 (2009). Statistical Methods pp 107-133 6 13/11/14 7 19/11/14 Exercise solving Confidence intervals 7 20/11/14 8 26/11/14 27/11/14 Lecturing 1. Recognize main types Chapter 5, of confidence intervals Statistical and apply them inference: 2. Interpret calculated Estimation confidence interval in Agresti Finlay (2009). Statistical Methods pp 107-133 Confidence interval for mean Confidence interval for proportion Confidence interval for mean difference Exercise solving Hypothesis testing 8 calculate them Lecturing, presentations Mean hypothesis Proportion hypothesis No lab activities Chapter 6, Hypothesis testing with one sample in Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 59-72 1. Explain the process of hypothesis testing 2. Perform simple hypothesis testing Presentations 6 C-1 9 03/12/14 9 04/12/14 10 10/12/14 10 11/12/14 11 17/12/14 Hypothesis testing Lecturing, presentations, presentations Mean difference analysis hypothesis No lab activities 1. Perform bivariate Chapter 8, hypothesis testing Hypothesis 2. Interpret results of testing with hypothesis testing two samples in Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 81-92 Presentations Evaluation and Tutorial Exercise solving No lab activities Quiz 2 Association and Lecturing dependence: Contingency tables Chi-square test No lab activities Chapter 8, analyzing Association between Categorical Variables in Agresti Finlay (2009). Statistical Methods pp 221-247 1. Present data in contingency table 2. Perform chi square test of dependence between two categorical variables 7 C-1 11 18/12/14 12 24/12/14 12 25/12/14 13 31/12/14 13 01/01/15 14 07/01/15 Exercise solving Correlation and Lecturing Regression: Linear relationships Least squares prediction equation No lab activities Chapter 1. Determine prediction 20, Linear equation Correlation and Regression in Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 261-281 Discussion Correlation and Lecturing Regression: The linear regression model Measuring linear association: correlation No lab activities 1. Apply prediction Chapter equation 20, Linear 2. Analyze coefficients of Correlation regression equation and Regression in Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 261-281 Exercise solving Introduction to advanced Lecturing topics: ANOVA Multivariate statistics No lab activities Chapter 1. Discuss relationships 10, between variables Introductio n to Analysis of Variance in 8 C-1 Perry. (2004). Statistics Explained. pp 1-5 14 08/01/15 15 14/01/15 Review Week and Final Examination 15/01/15 Class Discussions 9