A hierarchical approach to assess the effectiveness of aquatic organism passage Principal Investigator - Andrew Whiteley – Assistant Professor, Department of Natural Resources Conservation, UMASS and Conservation Geneticist, USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station, Amherst, MA 01003 Co – Principal Investigators - Benjamin H. Letcher, Ecology Section Leader, USGS-BRD CAFRC, Turners Falls, MA; Keith H. Nislow, Fish and Wildlife Habitat Relationships Team Leader, USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station, Amherst, MA 01003, Jason Coombs, Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Natural Resources Conservation, UMASS Cooperators – Mark Hudy, National Aquatic Ecologist, USDA Forest Service, Harrisonburg, VA; Steven Roy and Dan McKinley, Green Mountain National Forest, Rutland, VT; Mark Prout, White Mountain National Forest, Campton, NH; Michael Owen, Monongahela National Forest; Nick Schmal, USFS Region 9; John Magee, New Hampshire Fish and Game Department, Concord, NH; Kim Lutz, The Nature Conservancy – Connecticut River Program, Northampton, MA, Colin Apse, TNC Eastern Regional Office Progress Report FY 2010 Summary Individual aquatic organism passage provides definitive evidence that the removal or replacement of a barrier has been effective in achieving AOP goals. In 2010 we initiated a study designed to evaluate a range of approaches to monitoring aquatic organism passage in eastern National Forests. In 2010, we accomplished several key tasks including 1) Reanalysis of abundance data above- and below- predicted passable and impassable culverts in the Monongahela National Forest 2) Conducted simulations to determine the efficacy of the sibship-splitting method for determining fish passage using genetic data 3) Assembled list of appropriate culvert locations for sampling 4) Completed the first field season 5) Began genetic sample and data analysis Preliminary results of the new analysis of previously-collected data and new simulations suggest that both patterns of abundance and family spatial distribution hold promise as useful indicators of aquatic organism passage effectiveness that are amenable to use by management agencies. Analyses of data collected this and the next field seasons will allow us to test these ideas more thoroughly and further development of management tools. 1. Variation in abundance as an indicator of aquatic organism passage In cases where it is unclear whether potential barriers actually restrict the movements of individuals, local reductions in abundance and richness might be reliable indicators of reduced immigration, and help to both prioritize management actions (such as barrier removals), and to assess the consequences of these actions. However the effects of barriers on local abundance are highly dependent on the overall influence of immigration on the basic population equation (Lowe and Allendorf 2010). Even in cases where immigration is an important determinant (i.e. in metapopulations ((Hanski, 1991)), high levels of spatial variation and confounding effects of habitat area and habitat isolation by distance (Ewers and Didham, 2006) can constrain both the ability to detect barrier effects and hinder the use of differences in abundance as a monitoring and management tool. We developed a simple method to assess the relationship between road-stream crossings and local abundance and species richness, then tested this approach in streams within the Monongahela National Forest (West Virginia, USA) (Figure 1) that contain a diverse stream fish assemblage. 20 X channel width Road Upstream site 20 X channel width buffer 20 X channel width 20 X channel width buffer Downstream site Figure 1. Map of study area and schematic of sampling protocol. Our rationale was that while upstream and downstream differences in abundance within one or a few sites may provide little information, differences in abundance across many sites will provide sufficient power to detect the effects of barriers even in the face of substantial intrinsic variation. We sampled with consistent effort and at consistent distances above and below stream crossings that were a priori determined to be passable or impassable to fish movement. We then used mixed linear models to test if local abundance and species richness were consistently lower upstream of crossings predicted to be impassable relative to upstream/downstream comparisons at passable crossings. Table 1. Fish species collected from 31 study streams during summer 2002 and 2003, Monongahela National Forest, West Virginia. Listed in descending order of occurrence. Common name Scientific name ID code Number Number of streams with Brook trout (wild and stocked) of streams passable culverts BKT 28 12 SCL 22 15 Mottled sculpin Salvelinus fontinalis Cottus bairdi Blacknose dace Rhinichthys atratulus BND 18 13 Fantail darter Etheostoma flabellare FTD 17 12 Creek chub Semotilus atromaculatus CC 16 12 Mountain redbelly dace Phoxinus oreas 11 8 White sucker Catostomus commersoni WS 10 10 Rosyside dace 1 Clinostomus funduloides RSD 7 7 Central stoneroller Campostoma anomalum STR 6 6 BNT 5 5 Brown trout (wild and stocked)1 Salmo trutta MRD Longnose dace Rhinichthys cataractae LND 4 4 New River shiner Notropis scabriceps NRS 3 3 Rainbow trout (stocked only)1 Onchorhynchus mykiss RBT 3 3 Bigmouth chub Nocomis platyrhynchus BMC 2 2 Rock bass Ambloplites rupestris RB 2 2 BB 1 1 BNM 1 1 GS 1 1 Brown bullhead 1 Bluntnose minnow Ameiurus nebulosus Pimephales vigilax Green sunfish Lepomis cyanellus Greenside darter Etheostoma blennioides GSD 1 1 Toungetied minnow Exoglossum laurae 1 1 1 TTM Not native to watershed Sampled streams contained a diverse fish assemblage including cold-, cool- and warm-water species (Table 1). As predicted, both total abundance, and species richness were greater below then above impassable but not passable culverts (Figure 2), indicating a strong influence of movement on stream fish demography and community structure, and suggesting a potential monitoring tool. We will be submitting the results of this study for publication in the next month, and further developing and applying this approach in the field component of our effectiveness monitoring study. Figure 3. Relationship between total fish abundance (number of individuals per sample) (upper panel) and species richness (lower panel) downstream (x-axis) and upstream (y-axis) of road crossings in the Mongahela National Forest. Closed circles (and corresponding dark line) are crossings predicted to be passable, open circles (and corresponding light line) are predicted impassable crossings. DRAFT DATA – DO NOT CITE 2. Determining the efficacy of the sibship-splitting method for determining fish passage using genetics data. Traditionally, conclusive evidence of movement requires the use of a capture-mark-recapture (CMR) experimental design. Outlined briefly, individuals would be initially captured, marked with an individual or habitat specific identifier, and returned before executing a second capture event after an elapsed period of time to recapture marked individuals and assess movement rates and directions. However, the advent and advancement of molecular techniques and relationship reconstruction algorithms has made another alternative possible. Like CMR, the populations adjacent to the barrier would be sampled. Unlike CMR, individuals would not be tagged, but instead donate a tissue sample as a source of DNA. Molecular techniques would then acquire individual genotypes which, when run through a relationship reconstruction algorithm, would delineate individuals into full-sibling families. Movement across a barrier would then be determined by whether all members of a full-sibling family were on one side or both sides of the barrier. Directionality of movement could be attained through use of a majority-rule approach, where the side with the greatest proportion of family members is assumed to be the natal patch, and direction of movement would be away from this side. In addition to this key assumption, a second assumes that a parental pair reproduces on only one side of a barrier. Initial data for brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) (Hudy et al. 2010) support these assumptions, but requires further assessment. Figure 4. Results from “No Barrier” scenario for sibship splitting (left) and Structure (right). DRAFT DATA – DO NOT CITE To address the potential for the sibship method to identify movement we conducted a series of simulations (parameterized with data from wild brook trout studies) over a range of observed levels of population genetic differentiation and genetic diversity and replicating typical real world scenarios (i.e. no barrier, new barrier, old barrier, remediated barrier; one-way, two-way, and no movement). One of the benefits of using simulations is that all parameters are known and under the user’s control. This allows for the testing of individual parameters while holding all others constant to see what effect changing that value has on the outcome. Another major benefit of simulations is that they allow for testing of a large number of scenarios in a short period of time. This enables examination of many, many more scenarios than would otherwise be possible through field work alone because of time and budget constraints. Preliminary outcomes have been positive, with greater than 95% accuracy for assigned movers and directionality achieved for all scenarios. Additionally, the use of this method does not preclude the use of traditional CMR techniques in that individual genotypes can be used as individual identifiers. Furthermore, unlike traditional CMR techniques, this method is able to use information on parent locations during spawning/birth to determine natal patch origin, lessening the dependence on the majority-rule assumption. For example parental locations at spawning for brook trout would be determined by sampling during the spawning period. However, we are trying to keep this method broad in its applicability and so are incorporating options for other species for which parental association or birth accessibility are viable means to acquire parentage (i.e. mammals, birds). Parents can either be known directly or assigned genetically through relationship reconstruction algorithms. In summary, we feel that this method holds great promise for barrier assessment in that it is able to provide estimates of both movement rate and directionality without the time lag of traditional CMR techniques. In the upcoming year we will be testing this concept in the field using data collected in 2010 as well as in 2011. Simulation results are currently being combined with a field test from our long-term study site and will be submitted as a journal publication. 3. 2010 Fieldwork and Analysis In 2010, we worked with National Forest and USGS-BRD personnel to identify a list of road crossings which we plan to apply the hierarchical effectiveness monitoring protocol. We identified a list of 49 surveyed crossings, with 47 on eastern NF (WMNF and GMFLNF) lands and two on private lands (see enclosed spreadsheet). This list included all NF sites where replacements are planned in the upcoming 1 – 2 years, along with a representative set of predicted passable and impassable crossings. Upon site inspection, 13 of these sites were deemed inappropriate for application of the protocol, usually because they were dry when visited (and unlikely to maintain fish) or had insufficient stream length to sample before major habitat changes (such as a change in stream order) occurred. During the 2010 field season we sampled twelve of the sites on the resultant list (Table 2). Table 2- Sampled crossings in 2010. Forest Stream Name Salmonids Non-game Green Mt. Green Mt. Sparks Brook Joe Smith Brook None Slimy Sculpin Green Mt. Jenny Coolidge Brook Brook Trout Atlantic Salmon, Brook Trout Atlantic Salmon, Brook Trout Slimy Sculpin Passable To be replaced Green Mt. Green Mt. USGS White Mt. White Mt. White Mt. Tributary of White River Perkins Brook Mitchell Brook Tributary of Upper Ammonoosuc Brandy Brook Brook Trout None Atlantic Salmon, Brook Trout, Brown Trout Brook Trout Brook Trout Longnose Dace, Slimy Sculpin Brook Trout Blacknose Dace, Slimy Sculpin None Brook Trout Finger Lakes Tributary of Swift River Spring Creek Finger Lakes Hencoop Creek Brown Trout Finger Lakes Tributary of Breakneck Creek None Brown Trout None None Blacknose Dace, Creek Chub Blacknose Dace, Creek Chub Creek Chub In the upcoming year we will be analyzing abundance and population genetics data from the sampled sites, and planning the sampling schedule for the 2011 field season