DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY API 304, Fall 2015 Harvard Kennedy School Overview: This course will examine the relationship between behavioral economics and public policy. Individuals frequently make decisions that systematically depart from the predictions of standard rational actor economic models. Behavioral economics attempts to explain these departures by integrating an understanding of the psychology of human behavior into economic analysis. This course will review the major themes of behavioral economics and address their implications for public policy in a wide variety of policy relevant domains, including: savings, consumer credit, education, labor markets, energy use, health care, revenue collection and tax compliance, social welfare programs, and the political process. The goal of the course is to illustrate how an understanding of behavioral economics can improve public policy and to enable students to think critically about the types of solutions that will best address policy problems. Time/Place: T/R 10:15 – 11:30, Littauer 280 Instructor: Professor Brigitte C. Madrian Office: Taubman 348 Phone: 617-495-8917 E-Mail: brigitte_madrian@harvard.edu Office hours: Office hours will be posted weekly on the course website. Please make an appointment with my faculty assistant in advance (see below). Assistance: Faculty Assistant: Kathleen Schnaidt Littauer 207B 617-495-9913 Course Assistants: Asma Farooq asma_farooq@hks16.harvard.edu Victoria Jones victoria_jones@hks16.harvard.edu Guthrie Gray-lobe graylobe@fas.harvard.edu kathleen_schnaidt@hks.harvard.edu Class web site: The course website, which should be automatically accessible to all HKS students registered for the course, is: https://canvas.harvard.edu/courses/4568 If you are a non-HKS student interested in taking the class for credit, crossregistration begins on Monday, August 24, at noon. To obtain access to the course website as a cross-registrant, please follow the instructions on the HKS Cross-Registration Website: https://knet.hks.harvard.edu/dp_student_affairs/registrar/Pages/Cross-Registration.aspx 1 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Prerequisites: A first-year course in economics. A first-year course in statistics is helpful. Readings: William J. Congdon, Jeffrey R. Kling and Sendhil Mullainathan. 2011. Policy and Choice: Public Finance through the Lens of Behavioral Economics, Brookings Institution Press. Richard H. Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein. 2009. Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness (Updated Edition), Penguin Books. Danial Kahneman. 2011. Thinking Fast and Slow. Farrar, Strauss and Giroux. NOTE: All of the books above are available in hardcover, paperback, and kindle editions. Policy and Choice is also available as a free PDF (http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Press/Books/2011/policyandchoice/policya ndchoice_book.pdf). Nudge and Thinking Fast and Slow are also available as an unabridged audiobooks. Additional readings will be posted to the class website. Grading: Grades will be determined by the following factors: Assignments Participation Mid-term (Thursday, April 16) Final Project/Paper (Friday, May 8, noon) 30% 10% 30% 30% Assignments: Several assignments will be distributed throughout the semester (approximately one every week or two). Your lowest grade will be dropped. Because you get one freebie, late assignments will not be accepted. Participation: Engagement in the material and with your classmates is critical to the classroom experience. Your participation grade will be determined by attendance, participation in classroom discussions, and participation in pre-class exercises. Mid-term exam: An in-class midterm will be given in class on Thursday, April 16. Academic Integrity Final Paper/Project: In lieu of a final exam, you will do a project/paper on a topic of your choice in which you identify a policy problem of interest to you and then write up a discussion of potential policy solutions that are informed by behavioral economics. This can be done individually or as a small group (2-3 individuals). If done as a group, the expected length of the project will be longer. More information on this assignment will be given in class at a later date. Due at noon, Friday, May 8. Students are expected to take seriously their Ethical Responsibilities and Standards of Conduct. See the following website for further details: http://www.hks.harvard.edu/degrees/registrar/procedures/integrity 2 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION API 304: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC POLICY SCHEDULE OF COURSE MEETINGS DATE TOPIC R September 3 Course Framework/Introduction T September 8 Foundations of Behavioral Economics: Present Bias R September 10 Foundations of Behavioral Economics: Prospect Theory T September 15 Savings: Participation and Contribution Rates R September 17 Savings: Asset allocation T September 22 Savings: Developing countries R September 24 Consumer credit T September 29 Consumer credit R October 1 Consumer credit T October 6 Insurance R October 8 Insurance T October 13 Health behavior and health policy R October 15 Health behavior and health policy T October 20 Education policy R October 22 Education policy T October 27 Labor market policy R October 29 Labor market policy T November 3 Environmental policy R November 5 Environmental policy T November 10 Government revenue R November 12 Government revenue T November 17 IN CLASS EXAM R November 19 Politics and the political process T November 24 Politics and the political process R November 25 No Class: Thanksgiving Break T December 1 Redistribution R December 3 Conclusion/Wrap-up F December 10 FINAL PAPER/PROJECT DUE at NOON 3 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION READINGS Thursday, September 3 Brigitte Madrian. 2014. “Applying Insights from Behavioral Economics to Policy Design.” Annual Review of Economics 6(2014):663-688. Daniel Kahneman. 2011. Thinking Fast and Slow. Chapters 1-3, pp. 19-49. Policy and Choice, Chapter 2 (“Psychology and Economics,” pp. 17-39) and Chapter 3 (“Behavioral Economics and Public Finance,” pp. 40-66). Tuesday, September 8 Christopher Chabris, David Laibson, and Jonathan Schuldt. 2008. "Intertemporal Choice." Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Thursday, September 10 Daniel Kahneman. 2011. Thinking Fast and Slow. Chapters 25-27, pp. 269-299. Nicholas C. Barberis. 2013. “Thirty Years of Prospect Theory in Economics: A Review and Assessment.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 27(1): 173-96. Tuesday, September 15 Brigitte C. Madrian. 2013. “Matching Contributions and Savings Outcomes: A Behavioral Economics Perspective.” In Richard Hinz, Richard Holzman, David Tuesta and Noriyuki Takayama editors, Matching Contributions for Pensions: A Review of International Experience, The World Bank, pp. 289-310. Richard H. Thaler and Shlomo Benartzi (2004). “Save More Tomorrow: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving.” Journal of Political Economy 112(1): S164-S187. Thursday, September 17 Dean Karlan. 2010. “Helping the Poor Save More.” Stanford Social Innovation Review. Alexandra Fiorillo, Josh Wright and Louis Potok. 2014. “Applying Behavioral Economics to Improve Microsavings Outcomes.” ideas42 Working Paper. <http://www.ideas42.org/publication/view/applying-behavioral-economics-to-improvemicrosavings-outcomes/> 4 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Gharad Bryan, Dean Karlan and Scott Nelson. 2010. “Commitment Devices.” Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 2: 671-698. Dilip Soman and Amar Cheema. 2011. “Earmarking and Partitioning: Increasing Saving by Low Income Households.” Journal of Marketing Research, 48(S1): S14-S22. Tuesday, September 22 Brad Barber and Terrance Odean. 2011 “The Behavior of Individual Investors.” In George Constantinides, Milton Harris and Rene Stultz, Handbook of the Economics of Finance, Volume 2 (Elsevier), pp. 1533-69. <http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/odean/Papers%20current%20versions/behavior%20of%2 0individual%20investors.pdf> James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian. 2009. “Mental Accounting in Portfolio Choice: Evidence from a Flypaper Effect.” American Economic Review, 99(5):2085-95. doi:10.1257/aer.99.5.2085 James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian. 2010. “Why Does the Law of One Price Fail? An Experiment on Index Mutual Funds.” Review of Financial Studies, 23(4): 1405-1432. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhp097 Thursday, September 24 Nudge, Chapter 8 (“Credit Markets,” pp. 132-144) Kahneman on anchoring? Susan E. Woodward and Robert E. Hall (2010). “Consumer Confusion in the Mortgage Market: Evidence of Less than a Perfectly Transparent and Competitive Market.” American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 100(May 2010): 511-515. John Y. Campbell, Howell E. Jackson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Peter Tufano (2011). “Consumer Financial Protection.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 25(1): 91-114. Tuesday, September 29 George Loewenstein, Cass R. Sunstein and Russell Golman (2014). “Disclosure: Psychology Changes Everything.” Annual Review of Economics 6: 391-419. Marianne Bertrand and Adair Morse (2011). “Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases, and Payday Borrowing.” Journal of Finance, 66(6): 1865-1893. 5 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Santosh Anagol and Hugh Hoikwong Kim (2012). “The Impact of Shrouded Fees: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in the Indian Mutual Fund Market.” American Economic Review 102(1): 576-593. Thursday, October 1 Michael Barr, Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir (2009). “The Case for Behaviorally Informed Regulation,” in David Moss and John Cistierno, New Perspectives on Regulation, Cambridge, MA: The Tobin Project pp. 25-61. <http://www.tobinproject.org/sites/tobinproject.org/files/assets/New_Perspectives_Full_T ext.pdf#page=25 > Tuesday, October 6 Policy and Choice, Chapter 4 (“Asymmetric Information,” pp. 69-83). NOTE: This is only part of the chapter. Jeffrey R. Brown (2007). “Rational and Behavioral Perspectives on the Role of Annuities in Retirement Planning.” NBER Working Paper No. 13537. http://www.nber.org/papers/w13537.pdf?new_window=1 Daniel Kahneman (2011). Thinking Fast and Slow. Chapter 34 (pp. 363-74). John W. Payne, Namika Sagara, Suzanne B. Shu, Kirstin C. Appelt and Eric J. Johnson (2013). “Life Expectancy as a Constructed Belief: Evidence of a Live-To or Die-By Framing Effect.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 46(1): 27-50. Thursday, October 8 Howard C. Kunreuther, Mark V. Pauly and Stacey McMorrow (2013). Insurance and Behavioral Economics: Improving Decisions in the Most Misunderstood Industry. Chapter 6-7 (pp. 95-144). Policy and Choice, Chapter 4 (“Asymmetric Information,” pp. 83-98). NOTE: This is only part of the chapter. Yaniv Hanoch, Thomas Rice, Janet Cummings and Stacey Wood (2009). “How Much Choice Is Too Much? The Case of the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit.” Health Services Research, 44(4): 1157-1168. 6 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Tuesday, October 13 Pascaline Dupas (2011). “Health Behavior in Developing Countries.” Annual Review of Economics 3:425-49. Eric J. Johnson and Daniel Goldstein (2003). “Do Defaults Save Lives?” Science (November 21, 2003): 1138-39. Katherine Milkman, John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian (2011). “Using Implementation Intentions Prompts to Enhance Influenza Vaccination Rates.” PNAS 108(26): 10415-20. Thursday, October 15 Jonathan Gruber (2002). “Smoking’s ‘Internalities’.” Regulation (Winter) 52-57. Kevin G. Volpp et al. (2009). “A Randomized, Controlled Trial of Financial Incentives for Smoking Cessation.” The New England Journal of Medicine 360(7): 699-709. Kevin G. Volpp et al. (2008). “Financial Incentive-Based Approaches for Weight Loss: A Randomized Trial.” JAMA 300(22): 2631-37. Gary Charness and Uri Gneezy (2009). “Incentives to Exercise.” Econometrica 77(3): 909931. Tuesday, October 20 Policy and Choice, Chapter 5 (“Externalities and Public Goods,” pp. 131-139). NOTE: This is only part of the chapter—the part on public goods and education). Nudge, Chapter 13 (“Improving Schools,” pp. 199-206). Eric Bettinger, Bridget Terry Long, Philip Oreoupoulos and Lisa Sanbonmatsu (2012). “The Role of Application Assistance and Information in College Decisions: Results from the H&R Block FAFSA Experiment.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 127(3): 1205-1242. Amanda Pallais (2013). “Small Differences Matter: Mistakes in Applying to College.” NBER Working Paper No. 19480. http://scholar.harvard.edu/files/pallais/files/small_differences_that_matter_1.pdf Najy Benhassine, Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas and Victor Pouliquen (2013). “Turning a Shove into a Nudge: A ‘Labeled Cash Transfer’ for Education.” NBER Working Paper No. 19227. 7 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Thursday, October 22 David Just and Joseph Price (2013). “Using Incentives to Encourage Healthy Eating in Children.” Journal of Human Resources 48(4): 855-872. Steven Levitt, John List, Susanne Neckermann and Sally Sadoff (2012). “The Behavioralist Goes to School: Leveraging Behavioral Economics to Improve Educational Performance.” NBER Working Paper No. 18165. Roland Fryer (2011). “Financial Incentives and Student Achievement: Evidence from Randomized Trials.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(4): 1755-1798. Tuesday, October 27 Emir Kamenica (2012). “Behavioral Economics and the Psychology of Incentives.” Annual Review of Economics 4:427-52. Roland Fryer (2013). “Teacher Incentives and Student Achievement: Evidence from New York City Public Schools.” Journal of Labor Economics 31(2):373-427. Paul Glewwe, Nauman Ilias and Michael Kremer (2010). “Teacher Incentives.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 2(July 2010):205-227. Thursday, October 29 Policy and Choice, Chapter 4 (“Asymmetric Information,” pp. 98-106). NOTE: This is only part of the chapter—the part on public goods and education. Linda Babcock, William J. Congdon, Lawrence F. Katz and Sendhil Mullainathan (2012). “Notes on Behavioral Economics and Labor Market Policy.” IZA Journal of Labor Policy 1:2 <http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/2193-9004-1-2 > Ernst Fehr, Lorenz Goette, and Christian Zehnder (2007). “The Behavioral Economics of the Labor Market: Central Findings and Their Policy Implications.” <http://bostonfed.org/economic/conf/BehavioralPolicy2007/chapter4.pdf > Tuesday, November 3 Nudge, Chapter 12 (“Saving the Planet,” pp. 183-196) 8 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Policy and Choice, Chapter 5 (“Externalities and Public Goods,” pp. 107-131). NOTE: This is only part of the chapter—the part on Externalities. Richard P. Larrick and Jack B. Soll (2008). “The MPG Illusion.” Science, 320(5883):1593-94. Daniel Pichert and Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos (2008). “Green Defaults: Information Presentation and Pro-Environmental Behavior.” Journal of Environmental Psychology 28: 6373. Thursday, November 5 Behavioural Insights Team (2011). “Behaviour Change and Energy Use,” UK Cabinet Office. Noah Goldstein, Robert Cialdini and Vladas Griskevicius (2008). “A Room with a Viewpoint: Using Social Norms to Motivate Environmental Conservation in Hotels,” Journal of Consumer Research, 35(3): 472-82. Mark Bernstein and Myles Collins (2014). “Saving Energy through Better Information: A New Energy Paradigm?” Contemporary Economic Policy 32(1): 219-229. Tuesday, November 10 Alan S. Gerber, Donald P. Green and Christopher W. Larimer (2008). “Social Pressure and Voter Turnout: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment.” American Political Science Review 102(1): 33-48. David W. Nickerson and Todd Rogers (2010). “Do You Have a Voting Plan? Implementation Intentions, Voter Turnout and Organic Plan Making.” Psychological Science 21(2):194-99. Christopher J. Bryan, Gregory M. Walton, Todd Rogers and Carol W. Dweck (2011). “Motivating Voter Turnout by Invoking the Self.” PNAS 108(31): 12653-12656. Thursday, November 12 Daniel E. Ho and Kosuke Imai (2008). “Estimating Causal Effects of Ballot Order from a Randomized Natural Field Experiment: The California Alphabet Lottery, 1978-2002.” Public Opinion Quarterly 72(2): 216-40. 9 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Rohini Pande and Deanna Ford (2011). “Gender Quotas and Female Leadership: A Review.” Working Paper. Katherine L. Milkman, Mary Carol Mazza, Lisa L. Shu, Chia-Jung Tsay and Max H. Bazerman (2012). “Policy Bundling to Overcome Loss Aversion: A Method for Improving Legislative Outcomes.” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 117(2012):158-167. Tuesday, November 17 MID-TERM EXAM Thursday, November 19 Policy and Choice, Chapter 7 (“Taxation and Revenue,” pp. 173-200). Andrew Leicester, Peter Levell and Imran Rasul (2012). “Tax and Benefit Policy: Insights from Behavioural Economics.” NOTE: Focus on Section 4—Sections 1-3 should be mostly familiar, but if you want to read them they will be a good review; section 7 is for next class; section 6 for the class after that. Tuesday, November 24 Andrew Leicester, Peter Levell and Imran Rasul (2012). “Tax and Benefit Policy: Insights from Behavioural Economics.” NOTE: Focus on Section 7. Behavioural Insights Team (2012). “Applying Behavioural Insights to Reduce Fraud, Error and Debt,” UK Cabinet Office. Michael Hallsworth, John List, Robert Metcalfe and Ivo Vlaev (2014). “The Behavioralist as Tax Collector: Using Natural Field Experiments to Enhance Tax Compliance.” NBER Working Paper No. 20007. Tuesday, December 1 Fredric Jacobsson, Magnus Johannesson and Lars Borgquist (2007). “Is Altruism Paternalistic?” Economic Journal 117(520): 761-781 Saurab Bhargava and Dayanand Manoli (2013): “Why Are Benefits Left on the Table? Assessing the Role of Information, Complexity, and Stigma on Take-up with an IRS Field Experiment” 10 DRAFT SYLLABUS – SUBJECT TO REVISION Thursday, December 3 11