NCSU ST512 – Sum2 2011 Quiz 3 Practice The following exercises were taken from Dr. D. Dickey WEB site for ST512 http://www.stat.ncsu.edu/people/dickey/courses/st512/ 1. A multiple regression equation Yt = Beta0 + Betal Xlt + Beta2 X2t + Beta3 X3t + et is fit to some data. df We obtain: Sum of Squares Type I Type II Xl l l80 X2 l 90 l00 X3 l 50 50 20 300 Error + : : -1 : (X'X) = : : : : + 40 .03 .05 .04 .05 .30 .20 .04 .20 .48 .01 .l2 .l0 + .0l : : .l2 : : .l0 : : .0l : + Give, if possible, the computed F statistic for testing: (a) H0: Beta2 = Beta3 = 0 F = (b) H0: Beta2 = 0 F = (c) H0: Beta1 = Beta3 = 0 F = 2. I ran a regression of Y on X1, X2, X3, X4 and X5 to estimate the parameters of this model: Y = beta_0 + beta_1 X1 + beta_2 X2 + beta_3 X3 + beta_4 X4 + beta_5 X5 + e PROC REG gave me this fitted model ^ Y = 50 + 3 X1 + 5 X2 - 4 X3 + 2 X4 + 7 X5 and these sums of squares and error mean square: intercept X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 Type I SS 10000 800 600 200 150 50 Type II SS 5000 550 350 220 110 50 MSE = 100 with 20 degrees of freedom. a) Compute the overall model F test (as PROC REG does) F = _________ b) Write down the hypothesis being tested. ST512 SUMMER2 jul19 2011 1 NCSU ST512 – Sum2 2011 Quiz 3 Practice 3) I have 2 replicates for each of 4 treatments A, B, C, and D in a completely randomized design. a) Fill blanks in X matrix, Use dummy variables to identify each treatment. Note that X matrix is such that X’X matrix is nonsingular (i.e., it has an inverse). A 1 __ __ __ A 1 __ __ __ B 1 __ __ __ 1 __ __ __ C 1 __ __ __ C 1 __ __ __ D 1 __ __ __ D 1 __ __ __ B X = Instead of PROC REG, I ran this: PROC GLM; CLASS TRT; MODEL Y = TRT/ SOLUTION; and here is part of my output: Source TRT DF 3 Parameter Type III SS 156.00000 Estimate INTERCEPT TRT A B C D 29.00000000 -9.00000000 -2.00000000 3.00000000 0.00000000 B B B B B Mean Square 52.00000 F Value 5.78 Pr > F 0.0616 T for H0: Parameter=0 Pr > |T| Std Error of Estimate 13.67 -3.00 -0.67 1.00 . 0.0002 0.0399 0.5415 0.3739 . 2.12132034 3.00000000 3.00000000 3.00000000 . NOTE: The X'X matrix has been found to be singular and a generalized inverse was used to solve the normal equations. Estimates followed by the letter 'B' are biased, and are not unique estimators of the parameters. _ _ 2 _ (a) Compute, if possible, sum of (Yi. - Y..) where Yi. is the ith treatment mean, as usual. (b) Compute the predicted mean value for each treatment. Calculate the standard error of the mean ST512 SUMMER2 jul19 2011 2 NCSU ST512 – Sum2 2011 Quiz 3 Practice 4) On the next page is the output from a PROC REG run. You can see that I have a dependent variable Y and 3 explanatory variables W, X, and Z so I am fitting a model of the form Y = B0 + B1 W + B2 X + B3 Z + e -1 Below the printout are the usual matrices X'X, need them. X'Y, and (X'X) in case you a) Fill in the blanks in the regression printout. b) I see Prob>F listed as 0.0001. In terms of my parameters B0, B1, B2, and B3, what hypothesis is being tested by this F H0: ________________________________ and what do I decide about that hypothesis? (Reject, do not reject) c) My obnoxious friend notices that all the P-values of my t-tests exceed 0.05, for example 0.2847 > 0.05 for variable W. She states that none of my coefficients is significant and thus I have failed to find any important explanatory variable to explain the variation in Y. How should I reply to her accusation? Is there some flaw in her arguments? d) If I omit W from the model and regress Y on just X and Z with an intercept, what will be my new error sum of squares ________ e) My model tells me something about the population of Ys having X=12, W=12, and Z=12 and about the population of Ys having X=12, W=12, and Z=10 (so only Z is different). f) If possible, estimate the difference in the means of these populations _____________ and estimate the variances of the two populations ______________ ============================== PROC REG output ============================== Model: MODEL1 Dependent Variable: Y Analysis of Variance Source DF Model Error C Total Sum of Squares (__) 20705.45989 (__) 499.74011 19 21205.20000 Root MSE Dep Mean C.V. 5.58872 202.80000 2.75578 Mean Square (__________) 31.23376 R-square F Value Prob>F (______) 0.0001 .9764 Parameter Estimates ST512 Variable DF Parameter Estimate Standard Error T for H0: Parameter=0 Prob > |T| INTERCEP 1 1.818409 11.94605523 0.152 0.8809 SUMMER2 jul19 2011 3 NCSU ST512 – Sum2 2011 W X Z 1 1 1 ===================== X'X = -1 (X'X) ST512 | | | | 20 399 1209 1613 | 4.5690 | -0.4901 | -0.4067 | 0.3700 3.586294 5.023960 -2.160736 Quiz 3 Practice 3.23983701 (___________) 3.12524165 Some Matrices 399 8213 23878 32195 -0.4901 0.3361 0.3269 -0.3221 1209 23878 75835 100046 -0.4067 0.3269 0.3218 -0.3170 1.107 XXXXXX -0.691 0.2847 0.1326 0.4992 =============================== 1613 32195 100046 132683 0.3700 -0.3221 -0.3170 0.3127 SUMMER2 jul19 2011 | | | | X'Y = | 4056 | | 80577 | | 252651 | | 334328 | | | | | 4