The Firm Characteristics Associated with the Voluntary Issuance of the New Style Audit Report in the Netherlands An Empirical Investigation Fabian Meijs September 2014 This thesis examines the firm characteristics associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report over 2013 in the Netherlands. This country was selected, as the new style audit report is already mandatory over 2013 in the UK, while in other countries firms do not yet engage in publishing their audit report ‘new style’. The research sample consists of 111 Dutch firms, of which 30 voluntary issued a new style audit report. The research, which is conducted by means of a logistic regression analysis, contains a wide range of independent variables. These variables were selected based on theories applicable to voluntary disclosure and a review of previous literature on voluntary disclosure determinants. It was found that listing age, ownership dispersion and having a Big Four auditor are significantly positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. On the other hand, competitive pressure and being cross-listed exhibit a significantly negative relation with the issuance of the new style audit report. Industry-related significantly positive associations with disclosure of the new style audit report were found for firms in the sectors Industrials and Consumer Services. Table of contents Page Table of contents 2 1. Introduction to the thesis 4 1.1 Introduction to the subject 4 1.2 Research question 5 1.3 Relevance 6 1.4 Methodology 7 1.5 Structure 8 2. Institutional background 9 2.1 The new style audit report 9 2.1.1 ISA 701 – Communicating key audit matters 10 2.1.2 Materiality and an overview of the scope of the audit 11 2.1.3 ISA 570 – Going concern 12 2.2 Voluntary disclosure 13 2.2.1 Agency theory 14 2.2.2 Positive accounting theory 15 2.2.3 Signaling theory 18 2.2.4 Capital need theory 19 2.2.5 Legitimacy theory 19 2.2.6 Institutional theory 19 2.2.7 Litigation cost theory 20 2.3 Measuring voluntary disclosure 21 2.4 Content analysis 22 2.5 Research models in voluntary disclosure literature 23 3. Literature review on empirical research 24 3.1 Determinants of voluntary disclosure 24 3.2 Environmental voluntary disclosure indicators 29 3.3 Determinants of early IFRS adoption 30 3.4 Conclusion 31 2 4. Hypotheses 37 4.1 Firm size 37 4.2 Leverage 37 4.3 Big Four auditor 38 4.4 Cross-listing 39 4.5 Board size 40 4.6 Age 41 4.7 Competitive pressure 41 4.8 Ownership dispersion 42 4.9 Industry 44 4.10 Concluding remarks 45 5. Research design 46 5.1 Research sample 46 5.2 Variables 47 5.3 Research model 52 5.4 Descriptive statistics 54 5.5 Statistical testing 56 6. Results 58 6.1 Correlation 58 6.2 Results of the statistical tests 59 6.3 Discussion of the results 62 6.4 Analysis 66 6.5 Robustness tests 71 7. Summary and conclusion 73 References 78 Appendix 85 3 1. Introduction to the thesis 1.1 Introduction to the subject This thesis examines the differences in characteristics of voluntary adopters of the new style audit report compared to non-adopters in the Netherlands for the year 2013. The characteristics included in the research are primarily determined on the basis of previous literature examining the factors related to voluntary disclosure. In short, this study tries to find out what the main drivers are behind the choice to voluntarily issue a new style audit report. The objective of the new style audit report is to provide stakeholders with more ‘behind-thescenes’ information about the work of the auditor and about the financial state and important issues of the audited firm. The most important additions to the new style audit report in the UK are paragraphs about 1) the key audit matters/areas of particular focus, 2) materiality issues and an overview of the scope of the audit, and 3) the firm’s going concern. According to the IAASB (2013a), the key audit matters are “those matters that, in the auditor’s professional judgment, were of most significance in the audit of the financial statements of the current period.” All key audit matters must be selected from issues communicated with the firm’s Board of Directors. A study by PwC (2014a) found that the three most reported key audit matters among Dutch listed firms are the acquisition or sale of firm activities, tax issues and the valuation of goodwill. In the paragraph about materiality it is explained what materiality exactly involves and at what percentage the materiality is set for a particular audit. The going concern paragraph states whether or not the firm can be considered as going concern. Previously, the audit report only reported about going concern in case of hesitation about the continuity of a firm. As of now, the UK is the only country in which the new style audit report is mandatory for listed firms. However, there are strong signs that from 2015 on the International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board (IAASB) will make it obligatory for all listed firms to publish new style audit reports in their Annual Report. This implies that the new style audit report will 4 become effective for audit reports over the year 2014. However, firms under the jurisdiction of the IAASB are not yet obliged to issue new style audit reports from 2015, as the IAASB is still discussing this issue. The IAASB is an independent institution for the accountancy profession which sets “high-quality international standards for auditing, quality control, review, other assurance, and related services”, and facilitates “the convergence of international and national standards” (IAASB, 2014). As a result of the imminent new style audit report regulations, many Dutch listed firms have already voluntarily published a new style audit report over the fiscal year 2013 in cooperation with their auditor. To be precise, 32 out of 114 examined firms listed on a Dutch stock exchange (i.e. the AEX, AMX, ASCX and other stocks) have published their audit report according to the future regulations. Four of them are also listed on the London Stock Exchange, meaning that these firms were obliged to issue a new style audit report over 2013. Consequently, these firms are excluded from the sample. Two non-listed Dutch firms issuing a new style audit report over 2013, ABN AMRO and PGGM, are also included in the sample. This means that this research includes 30 voluntary adopters of the new style audit report. According to Piersma (2014), the Netherlands is the leading country when it comes to voluntarily issuing the new style audit report. This is supported by the fact that not a single firm on the major stock indices in surrounding countries like Germany, Belgium and France has published a new style audit report in 2014. That is the primary reason this thesis only concentrates on the Dutch market. This means that this study concentrates on the characteristics of Dutch firms that reported voluntarily according to the rules of the new style audit report. 1.2 Research question In the past, there have been plenty of studies about the (management) characteristics and features of firms voluntarily disclosing information on certain issues in their Annual Report. Of course this has never been done before when it concerns the new style audit report, as this report is only issued since the beginning of 2014. This means that this is the first study investigating the relationship between firm characteristics and the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report. By investigating the Dutch firms that have voluntary issued the new style audit report, it is possible to find out whether there are associations with certain firm characteristics. As a consequence, the main research question of this study is: 5 What are the firm characteristics associated with the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report in the Dutch stock market? In order to adequately answer the main research question, the following sub-questions are constructed: 1) What are the differences in the new style audit report compared to the old format audit report? 2) What are the reigning voluntary disclosure theories, and how can they be related to the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report? 3) According to previous literature, which factors are of influence on the choice whether or not to disclose voluntary items? 4) What are the appropriate hypotheses for this study? 5) What is the best research design for this study? 6) What are the results of the research regression? 7) What are the conclusions of this research? All sub-questions are addressed throughout this study. 1.3 Relevance Besides being the first paper examining this particular relationship, another aspect making this study interesting is the research on the new style audit report. Daboo (2013) characterizes the introduction of the new style audit report as “the most significant advance in auditor reporting in decades”. The work of an auditor involves a lot more than can be derived from the audit report. 6 However, the audit report is the only information about the audit the public sees, and that is the reason it is so important to expand the audit report in order to provide stakeholders with more valuable information about the audited firm. The audit report is basically the representation of the audit profession towards the public. Examining the factors associated with voluntarily providing a new style audit report improves the understanding of investors and other stakeholders about a firm’s reporting strategy. By linking the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report to various voluntary disclosure theories, managers’ motives behind voluntary disclosure can be recognized. Moreover, with the results of this study, stakeholders are able to assess which firm characteristics determine innovation, as the new style audit report is a very innovative addition to the audit. Knowing these characteristics may be of influence on the decision to invest in a firm, since innovativeness in financial reporting may be an indication of innovativeness in business operations, which might lead to enhanced future growth prospects. The results of this study can also be used by standardsetters when asking the question which kind of firms should be subjected to this new regulation. Suppose that firm size is found to be significantly positively associated with the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report. When that happens, it might be a confirmation to the IAASB that their (likely) decision to impose this regulation only on listed firms is a good choice. 1.4 Methodology This study tries to link the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report to the prevalent voluntary disclosure theories. Therefore, this study discusses several theories that can be applied to voluntary disclosure practices, namely the agency theory, positive accounting theory, signaling theory, capital need theory, legitimacy theory and institutional theory. Based on a review of previous literature about the determinants of voluntary disclosure, the firm characteristics that will be included in the hypotheses and regression model are established. After constructing the hypotheses, the Dutch firms fitting in the research are determined. In order to distinguish voluntary audit report issuers from old format audit report issuers, a dummy variable is constructed which assigns a value of ‘1’ to voluntary issuers and a value of ‘0’ otherwise. Next, to investigate the factors attributable to the voluntary issuers, a regression model will be 7 developed. This model includes the voluntary disclosure firm characteristics found by previous literature. By running the regression, it is possible to examine the factors that are significantly related to the firms voluntarily issuing the new style audit report. The results will be analyzed and compared with theory, expectations and results of prior research. 1.5 Structure The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides an overview of the background and implications of the new style audit report and a discussion of theories and practices applicable to voluntary disclosure. Section 3 deals with a study of previous empirical literature on the subject this paper investigates. In Section 4, the hypotheses are constructed and motivated. Section 5 discusses the research method, the sample, and the proxies that are used in the regression model. In Section 6 the results will be reviewed and analyzed. Finally, Section 7 provides the summary and conclusion of this thesis. 8 2. Institutional background The first part of this section provides a background of the new style audit report. Thereafter, the most prominent voluntary disclosure theories are discussed. The remainder of this section is about the ways to measure voluntary disclosure, the recognition of new style audit report adopters and the research models applied in previous literature. The main objective of this section is to find links between the new style audit report and the theories applicable to voluntary disclosure. 2.1 The new style audit report Currently, the UK is the only jurisdiction in which the issuance of a new style audit report is mandatory for all listed firms. The new style audit report in the UK is effective since January 1, 2014. According to the Financial Reporting Council (FRC), the objective of the new style audit report is “to enhance the transparency of the auditor’s report with the aim of better communication to investors” (FRC, 2013). In the UK, the FRC is the body in charge of the promotion of high quality corporate governance and reporting. The style audit report was implemented by the Auditing Practices Board (APB), which is one of the six divisions of the FRC (FRC, 2013). In other countries, the choice to issue a new style audit report is still voluntary. However, the IAASB, which is the independent standard setting body of the International Federation of Accountants (IFAC), has hinted that it wants to make the new style audit report mandatory from 2015 (Piersma, 2014). It seems like only some Dutch firms already anticipate on the proposed new style audit report, since they are the forerunners of the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. In 2014, 28 firms listed on the NYSE Euronext Amsterdam and 2 non-listed Dutch firms have voluntarily issued a new style audit report. To put this into perspective, none of the listed firms in the surrounding countries France, Germany and Belgium has done so. The IAASB (2013b) lists several advantages of the new style audit report. First of all, the transparency of the audit increases. Second, management might shift focus to items that recur in 9 the audit report by covering them more extensively in their annual report. This increases financial reporting quality. Third, reporting key audit matters might renew the auditor’s attention on the issues to be covered. This would lead to more professional skepticism, hence resulting in a higher audit quality. Fourth, communication between auditor and management might improve, as there will be more dialogue about the reported key audit matters. The most important mandatory additions to the new style audit report in the UK are paragraphs about the key audit matters/areas of particular focus, materiality issues and an overview of the scope of the audit, and the firm’s going concern. The proposed IAASB requirements do not include the paragraph about materiality and the scope of the audit (PwC, 2014b). As a result, some voluntary issuers in the Netherlands do not report on all three subjects, as there are some firms that do not include a paragraph about the materiality and the scope of the audit. However, because many Dutch firms include all three new additions in their new style audit report, each new style audit report regulation is discussed in detail. 2.1.1 ISA 701 – Communicating key audit matters According to the definition provided by the IAASB (2013a), key audit matters are “those matters that, in the auditor’s professional judgment, were of most significance in the audit of the financial statements of the current period.” The IAASB (2013b) mentions three circumstances under which the auditor should report a key audit matter: “1) Areas identified as significant risks in accordance with ISA 315 (assessing risk of material misstatements) or involving significant auditor judgment. 2) Areas in which the auditor encountered significant difficulty during the audit, including with respect to obtaining sufficient appropriate audit evidence. 3) Circumstances that required significant modification of the auditor’s planned approach to the audit, including as a result of the identification of a significant deficiency in internal control.” (IAASB, 2013b) (Cursive text added) 10 In a study of PwC (2014a), it was found that the most recurring key audit matters for Dutch firms are the acquisition or sale of firm activities, tax issues and the valuation of goodwill. Other examples of key audit matters are the valuation of real estate, derivatives, pensions and the risk of fraud. On average, four key audit matters are included in an audit report. 2.1.2 Materiality and an overview of the scope of the audit Materiality is a concept applied in the audit process of a firm. When assessing the fairness of a firm’s financial statements, auditors collect evidence in order to verify that the line item amounts in the financial statements correspond to reality. When an auditor finds out that a line item in the financial statements significantly differs from reality, so that it influences the decision-making of the user, the difference is considered material. For each line item, a so-called materiality threshold is constructed. This materiality threshold is usually set at 3-5% of the total amount of the line item. When the difference exceeds the predetermined materiality threshold, an adverse opinion might be issued by the auditor, which implies that a firm did not fairly present its financial statements. The new style audit report contains information about a firm’s materiality level and the scope of the audit. In the UK, paragraphs on these subjects are mandatory. However, since the new style audit report is still voluntary outside the UK and this paragraph is not a proposed requirement by the IAASB, about half of the Dutch firms publishing a new style audit report does not provide information about the materiality levels and the scope of the audit (PwC, 2014a). According to PwC (2014a), a reason for this abstention might be that auditors have trouble to define the concept of materiality and report on the corresponding choices that come along with the determination of the materiality level of an audit. Moreover, auditors might find it difficult to explain their approach and discuss the structure of the audit, issues that are normally defined in the new paragraph about the scope of the audit. In this research however, firms that have published their audit report mostly in accordance with the new style audit report regulations but only lack information on materiality levels and the scope of the audit àre considered new style 11 audit report adopters. This is done, because the remainder of their audit report is similar to the new style audit report regulations proposed by the IAASB. In the materiality paragraph of the new style audit report, first the concept of materiality is explained. Second, the auditor reports on the materiality level applied during the audit. This level is expressed both in percentages and in absolute amounts. By providing absolute numbers and percentages, the degree of transparency about materiality has increased considerably. The new style audit report paragraph on the overview of the scope of the audit mainly explains how an audit is performed. Since there are no clear IAASB guidelines for the content of this paragraph, the enclosed information differs between firms. Certain factors that are discussed in this paragraph are the overall audit approach, the collection of evidence and the type of work performed. Usually, the amount of reporting components for which a full scope audit was required is given as well. Furthermore, it sometimes provides information on which parts of the firm were exactly audited. By inspecting new style audit reports, it could be determined that in contrast to the remainder of the text, the last sentence of this paragraph is normally fixed: “This gave us sufficient evidence we needed for our opinion on the financial statements as a whole.” 2.1.3 ISA 570 – Going concern This ISA already existed, meaning that this is an amended proposal. The IAASB does not only want auditors to evaluate a firm’s going concern, but also to report their findings in the audit report. That is the core of this amended regulation. A firm is considered a going concern when there is substantial doubt that the firm will remain in business for the foreseeable future. Under IFRS, the foreseeable future is defined as the twelve months following the audited reporting period (IFRS, 2013). So in case a firm’s reporting period ends at year-end 2013, the auditor has to assess whether the firm is still in business as at year-end 2014. This period is the minimum required ‘look-forward’ period. However, auditors have the 12 flexibility to extend this period and assess a firm’s operating continuance over a longer time frame (Laudato, 2012). According to the still existing (‘old’) audit report regulations, auditors only have to report on going concern in case the audited firm is considered a going concern. However, in line with the new audit report regulation (ISA 570), auditors have to include a separate paragraph on a firm’s going concern, no matter their financial state. In the new style audit report paragraph about going concern, the auditor first states that the firm’s financial statements have been prepared using the going concern basis of accounting. Second, if necessary, the auditor explains in which cases the going concern basis of accounting is considered to be inappropriate. Third, there is a sentence about the appropriateness of the going concern basis of accounting for this firm. In case there is no doubt about going concern, the second part of the paragraph starts with the statement that the auditor has not discovered any material uncertainties that “may cast significant doubt on the firm’s ability to continue as a going concern” (p. 15). The paragraph concludes by explaining that no guarantees can be given with respect to the firm’s going concern (IAASB, 2013b). 2.2 Voluntary disclosure An important question to ask is how voluntary disclosure can be defined. Meek, Roberts & Gray (1995) define it as “free choices on the part of company managements to provide accounting and other information deemed relevant to the decision needs of users of their annual reports.” The two most vital concepts of voluntary disclosure are embedded in this definition. First of all, it is a free choice. Voluntary disclosure as defined by the FASB (2001) emphasizes this, as they explain that a voluntary disclosure item is “not explicitly required” by a governing body. Moreover, the objective of voluntary disclosure in the annual report is to provide stakeholders reading this report with relevant information. With this additional information, users should be better able to evaluate a firm. Based on that, they can make a more legitimate decision whether or not, for example, to invest in the firm. It is essential to distinguish between mandatory and voluntary disclosure. Mandatory disclosure is required by a legislative body, while voluntarily disclosing information is a firm’s own choice. 13 However, as Hassan & Marston (2010) point out, voluntary disclosure can also be recommended by an authoritative institute. This is also more or less the case for the new style audit report, as the IAASB is planning on implementing this report on short notice. However, they still give firms an opportunity to ‘voluntarily’ get acquainted with the new style audit report before it becomes mandatory. The 2014 issuance of a new style audit report by Dutch firms is an example of voluntary disclosure. Since publishing a new style audit report is still non-mandatory in the Netherlands, firms disclose new style audit reports strictly out of free will. Of course, there are certain motivations behind the choice of voluntarily disclosing information to the public. These voluntary disclosure theories are discussed in this subsection and linked to the new style audit report. Shehata (2014) identifies four theories that are applicable to voluntary disclosure: the agency theory, signaling theory, capital need theory and legitimacy theory. Moreover, the positive accounting theory, institutional theory and litigation cost theory are discussed. 2.2.1 Agency theory This is the most often applied theory in articles about the determinants of voluntary disclosure. The agency theory is a normative theory, meaning that the assumptions are value-based. The agency theory is not about imposing, but about advising and prescribing. Normative theories describe what ought to be. This is in contrast to positive theories, which are often based on factual statements and deal with what is (Friedman, 1953). The agency theory assumes that there is an imaginary contract between the managers of a firm and its shareholders. The managers are labeled as the ‘agents’. They perform their tasks and run the firm on behalf of the ‘principal’, the firm’s shareholders (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). So according to this theory, managers are expected to act according to the will of the shareholders. However, the agency theory points out that this is often not the case, as the two groups might have different interests. This is called the ‘principal-agent problem’. 14 The principal-agent problem consists of two central problems: self-interest and information asymmetry. When the interests of management are not aligned with the interests of the shareholders, management might follow a strategy in order to maximize its own wealth at the cost of the returns of the shareholders. Information asymmetry exists when managers have more information than shareholders. This way, it is difficult for the shareholders to ensure that management is acting in line with the shareholders’ interests. In order to reduce management’s self-interest and information asymmetry, agency costs have to be made. Agency costs are composed of monitoring costs, bonding costs and residual loss. The former is the cost of shareholders monitoring managers’ activities. Bonding costs are paid by the agents to ensure the principal that their actions will not negatively affect shareholder value. Residual loss is the difference between management’s choices and the decisions that would have led to shareholder welfare maximization (Shehata, 2014). Moreover, there are costs of risks and rewards. Suppose that the interests of managers and shareholders are perfectly aligned. In that case, managers make decisions with the purpose to maximize shareholder value. Many firms apply an incentive system for managers. When shareholder value rises, manager compensation increases. So when managers’ decisions turn out to be profitable, there are costs of reward for the firm, as manager compensation increases. However, there is always the risk that management makes the wrong choices. In that case, shareholder value declines. This is called the cost of risks. Voluntary disclosure is a way to reduce information asymmetry and subsequently reduce agency costs, since it benefits shareholders with inside information. 2.2.2 Positive accounting theory The positive accounting theory is based on the agency theory. The positive accounting theory can be seen as a subset of the agency theory which is focused on accounting. This theory aims to explain and predict why managers choose certain accounting policies, and why accounting 15 policies differ across firms. The original positive accounting theory as developed by Watts & Zimmerman (1978) was founded upon three main attributes: the bonus plan hypothesis, the debt covenant hypothesis and the political cost hypothesis. The bonus plan hypothesis assumes that managers only take into account their own wealth when making (accounting) decisions. To give an example, according to this hypothesis, managers choose to disclose a new style audit report with the aim to enhance their reputation on the managerial labor market. This serves their own interest, because chances increase to get a higherpaid job. The debt covenant hypothesis states that managers try to enhance profits in such a way, so that the firm does not violate its debt covenants by exceeding predetermined borrowing limits. When a firm exceeds its borrowing limits, it has to pay off its debt on an accelerated basis. This is disadvantageous for the firm, because it might cause liquidity problems. Furthermore, in case of a debt covenant violation, the bank may wish to receive a higher interest rate on the debt the next time they do business with the firm. Translating this to the new style audit report, managers may issue such a report with the objective to lower information asymmetry and improve transparency. Higher transparency results in less uncertainty among the creditors of a firm, which is associated with a lower cost of capital. According to the political cost hypothesis, managers tend to report lower accounting profits as they want to reduce their firm’s visibility to the government. Because governments are inclined to place stricter regulations on highly profitable industries, firms in those industries try to downplay their accounting profits. However, the political cost hypothesis is not only about government pressure. Also environmental organizations might be troublesome for firms. Especially firms with high emission and large public visibility are likely to be pinpointed by environmental organizations. Take Royall Dutch Shell as an example. Their oil winning activities in Nigeria were subject to large-scale protests of environmental (and nonenvironmental) organizations. Understating accounting profits is a way to reduce public visibility, and, consequently, attention of environmental organizations. Converting the political cost hypothesis to voluntary disclosure practices, firms might report more on environmental 16 issues. Openly providing information on, for example, CO2 emissions, diminishes the chance that the government investigates a firm’s environmental practices. Because of that, the government is less likely to impose stricter environmental regulations. Environmental organizations are probably less likely to attack a firm, as they have more information about a firm’s environmental practices. Moreover, when disclosing environmental information, firms often provide solutions to reduce their emission. This further reduces the chance that environmental organizations revolt against a firm. Related to the positive accounting theory, Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal (2005) examined the reasons managers engage in voluntary disclosure based on a survey among more than 300 executives. In their theoretical background, they provide five arguments in favor of voluntary reporting: information asymmetry, increased analyst coverage, stock price motivations, stock compensation and management talent signaling. Information asymmetry was already discussed as part of the agency theory, while management talent signaling can be linked to the bonus plan hypothesis, as this motivation only has the objective to increase managerial wealth. The management talent signaling principle states that managers would report voluntarily in order to signal their character to the managerial labor market. According to Graham et al. (2005), another argument to choose for voluntary disclosure is to attain more analyst coverage. The reasoning behind this thought is that more firm-specific information becomes available as a consequence of voluntary reporting. This makes it more attractive for analysts to follow a firm, as it becomes easier to make predictions about a firm’s future performance. Voluntary disclosure can also be explained by stock price motivations. It is argued by the authors that voluntary disclosure can be used to increase share price, and, if necessary, to distract investors’ attention from poor financial performance. The stock compensation theory assumes that managers want to reduce contracting costs by providing voluntary information. Related to stock compensation, managers would be concerned that new employees might ask a risk premium in case they feel that managers have an information advantage. It is argued that voluntary disclosure can mitigate this problem, as the information advantage might disappear (Graham et al., 2005). 17 In conducting their research, the authors found three reasons that were most significant when asking the question why managers choose to report information voluntarily. Voluntarily communicating information namely “promotes a reputation for transparent/accurate reporting, reduces the ‘information risk’ that investors assign to the stock, and provides important information to investors that is not included in mandatory financial disclosures” (Graham et al., 2005). 2.2.3 Signaling theory This theory assumes that firms voluntarily disclose information to the outside world in order to show that they are better than their competitors. They want to signal their superiority to the market by disclosing additional, positive information about the firm. These disclosures make it easier for the firms to attract capital. Moreover, it is good for the firm’s reputation (Shehata, 2014; Verrecchia, 1983). As for how the signaling theory can explain the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report, there seems to be no real association regarding the content of the new style audit report. The new style audit report only includes objective, neutral information. It does not contain any positive information which is favorable to the firm. The paragraphs about the areas of focus and materiality are included to objectively inform users of the annual report about the audit. Only the extra paragraph about going concern, which (almost always) concludes that a firm’s use of the going concern basis of accounting is appropriate, might be favorable to the firm. However, the choice to voluntarily issue a new style audit report signals to the market that a firm is innovative in its reporting choices. So the signaling theory can be used in explaining the mere fact that a firm issues a new style audit report, but there seems to be no link between the signaling theory and the content of the new style audit report. 18 2.2.4 Capital need theory The capital need theory argues that firms voluntarily disclose information with the objective to attract more capital at a lower cost. This theory resembles the debt covenant hypothesis. It is generally believed and has often been showed that more (voluntary) firm disclosures lead to a lower cost of capital (Diamond & Verrecchia, 1991; Cheynel, 2013; Petrova, Georgakopoulos, Sotiropoulos & Vasileiou, 2012). The FASB (2001) explains that a firm’s cost of capital includes a premium for investor uncertainty. It is motivated that voluntary disclosure results in a decrease in investor uncertainty. Hence, the premium on the cost of capital is lowered, which also decreases the cost of capital in general. 2.2.5 Legitimacy theory According to the legitimacy theory, the voluntary reporting decisions of a firm depend on management’s views on what society considers to be appropriate for the firm. The connection between firm and society relies on the notion of a social contract. This is a fictitious contract which consists of the community expectations about the behavior of a firm. The legitimacy theory believes that in case a firm diverges from its social contract, it loses its ground to continue as an organization (Suchman, 1995). Relating this information to the new style audit report, the legitimacy theory argues that a firm takes the wishes of society into consideration when making the decision whether or not to issue the new style audit report. So according to the legitimacy theory, the chance that firms engage in voluntary disclosure is bigger when society expects them to do so. 2.2.6 Institutional theory Another widespread theory applied in explaining voluntary disclosures is the institutional theory. This theory illustrates how mechanisms for obtaining and preserving legitimacy become 19 institutionalized. The institutional theory consists of two main elements, of which one is applicable to this study: isomorphism. The ‘institutional model of isomorphic change’ was developed by DiMaggio and Powell (1983). The authors identified three forms of isomorphism: coercive, normative and mimetic isomorphism. Coercive isomorphism implies that firms voluntarily disclose information in response to stakeholder pressures of, for example, governmental organizations. Normative isomorphism expects firms to voluntarily report in order to follow group norms and values. Mimetic isomorphism implies that firms only engage in voluntary disclosure in order to copy the disclosure practices of other firms in their industry. They do this out of uncertainty about their own organization. Mimicking others is seen as a safe solution. The institutional theory is different from most other previously discussed theories in that it provides more than one explanation for the choice of voluntary disclosure. This theory actually consists of multiple layers. Coercive and mimetic isomorphism might be applicable to the new style audit report. As stated earlier, the IAASB attempts to make the new style audit report mandatory from 2015. Firms might feel pressure to practice with the new style audit report in 2014, before it becomes obligatory one year later. Mimetic isomorphism could also be associated with voluntary disclosure. To examine this, it could be tested whether there are significant differences in voluntary reporting among industries. As shown in the next section, this relation has also been tested in previous studies. 2.2.7 Litigation cost theory Palepu & Healy (2001) add another theory which can explain the choice for voluntary reporting. However, there are two sides to this theory. On the one hand, it can be argued that managers engage more in voluntary reporting, as an inadequate disclosure policy might result in shareholder litigation. On the other hand, managers might also restrain from voluntary reporting as a result of the threat of shareholder litigation. This is especially the case when providing forward-looking information. Managers might face shareholder litigations when the projected voluntary information turns out not to be correct. 20 For the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report, the first reasoning seems to be more appropriate, as there is no forward-looking information involved. However, when a firm’s auditor does not report on the areas of risk, which is one of the additions to the new style audit report and could be useful in predicting the continuance of a firm, shareholder litigations might follow. The theories discussed in this section will be used to motivate the hypotheses. The aim is to explain the predicted direction of the hypotheses by looking at both the previous literature and the relevant theories. Furthermore, when analyzing the regression results in Section 6, the discussed theories can be utilized to explain the outcomes. 2.3 Measuring voluntary disclosure Often, articles not only examine whether a voluntary disclosure item is included in the Annual Report, but they also evaluate the quality of the information. Beattie, McInnes & Fearnley (2004) list numerous ways to determine disclosure ratings. Five methods are discussed in detail: subjective ratings, disclosure index studies, a thematic content analysis, readability studies and a linguistic analysis. When authors employ subjective ratings, it usually means that they use disclosure ratings constructed by analysts. Analyst ratings measure the informativeness of the disclosed information. Disclosure index studies is “a partial form of content analysis where the items to be studied are specified ex ante” (Beattie et al., 2004). Most studies analyzing the determinants of voluntary disclosure employ this technique, which is based on the analysis of the Annual Reports of firms. In the case of these studies, the pre-specified items are voluntary disclosure items. By examining these voluntary disclosure items, they can assign a voluntary disclosure rating to each firm. The remaining three rating techniques are textual analyses. In a thematic content analysis the whole text to be studied is analyzed, sentence per sentence, and is evaluated based on predetermined criteria. For example, does the sentence imply good news or bad news? Does it 21 describe the past, the present or the future? Those kinds of issues are investigated in a thematic content analysis. This technique is applied especially to compare different industries in order to determine which disclosures are useful and represent good practice for which industries. Readability studies assess how hard it is to read a text by examining the difficulty of the text and the amount of complex words and sentences included in the text. A linguistic analysis resembles a thematic content analysis in that the whole text is examined. However, the difference is that instead of the content, the linguistic analysis looks more at the structure, connectivity and communicative value of the text (Beattie et al., 2004). 2.4 Content analysis In order to distinguish new style audit report adopters from non-adopters, a content analysis is performed. The content analysis performed in this study exhibits most resemblances with the disclosure index studies method. Namely, only a part of the Annual Report is evaluated (the audit report) and the items to be studied are specified ex ante. The audit report of each firm in the sample is evaluated based on the three main attributes of the new style audit report, which are paragraphs about 1) the key audit matters/areas of particular focus, 2) materiality issues and an overview of the scope of the audit, and 3) the firm’s going concern. When at least two out of three paragraphs are included in a firm’s 2013 audit report, the firm is considered to be a new style audit report adopter. The inclusion of these paragraphs can be recognized by reading the audit reports carefully. Almost all firms clearly head their paragraphs, making it easy to assess whether the paragraphs characterizing for the new style audit report are included. However, in contrast to the disclosure index studies method, this study does not rate the information in the audit report on quality. It only looks at whether certain information is included in the audit report, in order to distinguish between new style audit reports and ‘old’ style audit reports. Authors of studies that construct a voluntary disclosure index to measure the quality of voluntary disclosure often have to read a firm’s Annual Report in detail in order to assign a voluntary disclosure score to each firm. The advantage of the method this study takes is that it is quite easy to tell whether a firm engaged in voluntary disclosure, as only the audit reports of the sampled firms have to be studied. 22 2.5 Research models in voluntary disclosure literature The research models applied in previous literature can be used to construct the research model of this study. Therefore, this sub-section provides a short review of the research techniques used in previous literature about the determinants of voluntary disclosure. The articles which will be discussed in Section 3 apply a wide range of research models. The three research models that are most often applied in these studies are the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), logistic and multiple regression models. Other research techniques included a.o. the Poisson, linear, binomial, probit and panel data regression model. For an overview per article, see Table 7. Five articles used a dummy variable as their dependent variable in the research model (i.e. André, Walton & Yang, 2012; Gassen & Sellhorn, 2006; Zunker, 2011; Sheu, Liu & Yang, 2008; and Spiegel & Yamori, 2003). This method is also applied in this study. The former three aforementioned studies performed a logistic regression, while the latter two applied an OLS regression. This empirical part of this study is performed by running a logistic regression, as this research technique is constructed specifically for the purpose of regressions of which the dependent variable is binary (i.e. it can only have two values). The choice for a logistic regression model will be discussed in detail in Section 5. The research design of this study will be modeled after André et al. (2012), as out of the three articles applying a logistic regression with a dummy dependent variable, this article is the only one solely focusing on one issue, the determinants of IFRS adoption. Zunker (2011) does not only examine the determinants of voluntary employee-related disclosures, but she also measures the firm characteristics related to the quality and quantity of voluntary disclosure. Besides the determinants of IFRS adoption, Gassen & Sellhorn (2006) measure the consequences of IFRS adoption by comparing the post-IFRS differences between IFRS adopters and non-adopters in, for example, the bid-ask spread and stock price volatility. Both studies employ multiple regression models for different purposes. This is in contrast to André et al. (2012), whose research design is quite basic. This makes the research design of this article the easiest and therefore the most applicable research design to model this study after. 23 3. Literature review on empirical research This section discusses previous literature about the determinants of voluntary disclosure. The information obtained in this section is used in order to develop the hypotheses and the research model. Since there are no studies in this field that are specifically audit-related, all recent articles about the characteristics explaining voluntary disclosure are considered. Mainly research about the voluntary disclosure of financial information is taken into account. However, at the end of this section, also studies related to the voluntary disclosure of non-financial, environmental information and the early adoption of IFRS are reviewed. The order in which the articles are discussed is based on the geographical area the articles focus on. First, studies with data of firms on the American continent are discussed. After that, articles founded upon data from firms in respectively Europe, Africa, East Asia and Oceania, and the Middle East are observed. All relationships and associations discussed in this section are statistically significant. 3.1 Determinants of voluntary disclosure In his study among 198 U.S. firms in the period 1993-2003, Premuroso (2008) examined the determinants of the voluntary disclosure on initial outsourcing. It was found that leverage, the total cost ratio (operating expenses over net sales) and the return on assets (ROA) were positively associated with this voluntary disclosure item. Examining 570 U.S. firms, Zhu & Gong (2013) found that economic performance was negatively associated with the voluntary disclosure of executive compensation. El-Gazzar, Fornaro & Jacob (2006) also investigated American firms. In their research, containing a sample ranging from 1996 to 2000 including 500 firms, they examined the voluntary disclosure of the report of management’s responsibilities, which was non-mandatory at the time. The percentage of independent audit committee members, the percentage of voting shares owned by institutional owners and the frequency of audit committee meetings, new public debt issues and new equity issues were positively related to voluntary disclosure. On the other hand, financial statement restatements, the percentage of voting shares owned by management and the average interest rate on debt were found to be negatively related to voluntary disclosure. Studying 68 Brazilian firms with executive stock option (ESO) plans in 2007, Schiehll, Terra & Victor (2013) found that a firm’s Board size and 24 the presence of a compensation committee are positively related to the voluntary disclosure of ESOs. Moreover, firms audited by a Big Four firm were found to have higher voluntary disclosure. The authors also showed that family-controlled businesses tend to disclose less information about ESO plans. Coebergh (2011) and Braam & Borghans (2010) examined voluntary disclosure in the Dutch market. In his research containing 399 firm-year observations over the period 2003-2008, Coebergh (2011) found that firms with a foreign exchange listing and a high listing age are inclined to voluntarily disclose more about corporate strategy. However, a high return on equity (ROE) is associated with less corporate strategy disclosure. Furthermore, it was found that the choice of disclosing voluntary information also depends on the firm’s industry. Last, the author found that firms listed on the AEX have a higher tendency towards voluntary disclosure than firms listed on the AMX and the ASCX, which are the second and third tier stock indices in the Netherlands. Braam & Borghans (2010) studied the factors associated with the voluntary disclosure of financial and non-financial performance measures, based on a sample of 149 firms in the year 2004. In case a person associated with one firm sits on the Board of Directors of another firm, that firm’s voluntary disclosure is higher. Moreover, disclosure tends to be higher when other businesses, to which the firm is related via their external auditor, disclose similar performance measures. This implies that firms tend to mimic other organizations when it comes to voluntary disclosure, as indicated by the institutional theory. In his study among 161 Swiss firms in 1991, Raffournier (1995) explored a positive association between a firm’s size and international diversification and the extent of voluntary disclosures in its annual report, measured by a disclosure index. Kateb (2012) examined the determinants of voluntary disclosure of structural capital information in France in 2006. Applying a sample of 55 firms, it was found that firm size is positively associated with voluntary disclosure of structural capital information, while the author found a negative relation with managerial ownership concentration and leverage. Alves, Rodrigues & Canadas (2011) studied voluntary disclosure of 140 firms in Spain and Portugal in 2007. For each firm, a voluntary disclosure index was measured, based on the presence of voluntary disclosure items in their annual report. The authors found that a high proportion of the board’s remuneration that is not fixed is related to more 25 voluntary disclosure. In addition, firm size, growth opportunities, economic performance, organizational performance, board compensation and shareholder ownership are positively related to voluntary disclosure. On the other hand, a high bid-ask spread and the presence of a large shareholder have a negative association with the level of voluntary disclosure. Oxelheim & Thorsheim (2012) investigated the association between firm characteristics and the voluntary disclosure of macroeconomic effects on corporate performance in Europe. In their sample, the authors included 100 firm-year observations over the period 2000-2009. Cross-listing, corporate governance strength and leverage are positively related to the voluntary disclosure of macroeconomic effects on corporate performance. Also firms in industries with a high threat of entry are associated with a higher level of voluntary disclosure. However, capital intensity, which is measured as a firm’s PP&E scaled by total assets, has a negative association with the level of voluntary disclosure. Chakroun & Matoussi (2012), Dhouibi & Mamoghli (2013) and Kolsi (2012) all examined the determinants of voluntary disclosure of Tunisian firms, measured by voluntary disclosure indices. The research of Chakroun & Matoussi (2012) included 144 observations over the period 2003-2008. The authors found that firms with a high degree of regulatory reform, managerial and institutional ownership, a large board size, a combination of the functions ‘general manager’ and ‘board chairman’, high indebtedness and a high firm age tend to disclose more voluntary items in their annual report. Businesses in industries with an intense competition on the market for goods and services that are family-controlled and have a high degree of board independence and ownership concentration are associated with a low level of voluntary disclosure. The research sample of Dhouibi & Mamoghli (2013) consists of 10 banks in the period 2000-2011. Foreign ownership and firm size have a positive relation with voluntary disclosure, while board size, blockholder ownership and state ownership are negatively related to voluntary disclosure. Kolsi’s (2012) study included 52 observations from 2009 and 2010. Firms audited by a Big Four auditor are, just like firms with a high leverage and ROA, inclined to disclose more voluntary information. Furthermore, firms in the financial sector are associated with higher voluntary disclosure than firms in other sectors. Barako (2007), whose research focused on 43 Kenyan firms in the period 1992-2001, also found that firms audited by a Big Four member tend to disclose more voluntary information. Just like the three Tunisian studies, Barako (2007) 26 measured voluntary disclosure on the basis of a voluntary disclosure index. Audit committee, foreign and institutional ownership, firm size and ROE are positively related to voluntary disclosure as well. The articles of Wang, Sewon & Claiborne (2008) and Lan, Wang & Zhang (2013) also measured voluntary disclosure by employing a voluntary disclosure index for each firm. Both studies focused on the Chinese market. The research of Wang, Sewon & Claiborne (2008) included 109 observations from 2005. They explored that firms having a high ROE and a large degree of state ownership and foreign ownership are associated with more voluntary disclosure. Also firms having a Big Four auditor tend to disclose more voluntary information. In their study containing 1,066 observations from 2006, Lan, Wang & Zhang (2013) found that firm size, leverage and assets-in-place are positively related to voluntary disclosure. However, it was found that firms audited by a Big Four auditor disclose less voluntary information, which is in contrast to the findings of previously discussed studies (Schiehll, Terra & Victor, 2013; Kolsi, 2012; Barako, 2007; Wang, Sewon & Claiborne, 2008). Spiegel & Yamori (2006) examined the determinants of the voluntary disclosure of nonperforming loans in Japan. Using a sample of 814 observations from 1996 and 1997, they found that firms with a large size and high competitive pressure are more inclined to voluntarily disclose information about non-performing loans. On the other hand, bad loan problems and leverage are negatively associated with the voluntary disclosure of this item. The study of Sheu, Liu & Yang (2008) included 3,841 observations of Taiwanese firms in the period 1998-2005. The authors investigated the factors that explain the voluntary disclosure of directors’ compensation. The sum of the directors’ compensation, board size, diversified ownership and managerial ownership are positively related to the voluntary disclosure of this item. Government ownership and native institutional ownership were found to be negatively related to the voluntary disclosure of directors’ compensations. Besides a microeconomic perspective, Ho (2009) also takes a macroeconomic point of view in examining the factors influencing voluntary disclosure. Applying a sample of Malaysian firms, measuring firms’ voluntary disclosure indices in 1996, 2001 and 2006, the author found that voluntary disclosure has increased over time. Also the occurrence of global corporate scandals has a positive relation with voluntary disclosure. 27 Furthermore, external regulatory pressures, the strength of the corporate governance structure, ownership concentration and firm size are positively associated with voluntary disclosure. Vu (2012), whose research focused on 252 firms in the Vietnamese market over the year 2009, also found a positive relation between corporate governance strength and voluntary disclosure. Moreover, size, profitability and listing duration are associated with higher disclosure. Also a firm’s industry and auditor are explanatory factors in voluntary disclosure. Vu (2012) found that organizations audited by a Big Four firm are more inclined to voluntarily disclose information. State ownership and managerial ownership are negatively related to voluntary disclosure. Zunker (2011) investigated the determinants of the voluntary disclosure of employee-related information in Australia. Applying a sample 970 observations from 2004, she found that firms with high past and current economic performance, a large size and more adverse publicity tend to voluntarily disclose more employee-related information. The research sample in the study of Hossain & Reaz (2007) included 38 Indian banking firms in the period 2002-2003. The authors measured firms’ voluntary disclosure levels by means of constructing voluntary disclosure indices, which are based on firms’ annual reports. It was found that firm size and assets-in-place are positively related to voluntary disclosure. Sehar, Bilal & Tufail (2013) examined the determinants of voluntary disclosure also by means of composing voluntary disclosure indices. Their sample consisted of 372 Pakistani firm observations from 2012. Profitability, firm size, firm age and a Big Four auditor were all associated with higher voluntary disclosure, while leverage was found to be negatively related to the disclosure of voluntary information. The study of Almutawaa (2013), who examined 206 firms from Kuwait over the period 2005-2008, also determined the voluntary disclosure level of a firm by looking at firms’ voluntary disclosure indices. Firms with a high degree of government ownership tend to exert more voluntary disclosure. Firms that are cross-listed and large-sized are also associated with higher voluntary disclosure. On the other hand, the authors found that cross-directorships, a large board size, role duality and firm growth are related to less voluntary disclosure. Hossain & Hammami (2009) investigated the firm characteristics associated with voluntary disclosure on the basis of a sample of 25 Qatari firms in 2007. To measure voluntary disclosure, they composed a disclosure checklist, which examines 44 voluntary items in firms’ annual reports. It was found that firm age, total assets and assets-in-place are positively connected to voluntary 28 disclosure. Moreover, the higher the complexity of a firm, which is determined as the firm’s number of subsidiaries, the higher the voluntary disclosure tends to be. 3.2 Environmental voluntary disclosure indicators So far, primarily determinants of financial voluntary disclosure items were discussed. Although new style audit reports are mostly about financial information, research about firm characteristics related to the disclosure of non-financial, environmental information will also shortly be reviewed. This way, it can be detected whether the determinants of disclosing non-financial information radically differ from those associated with the voluntary disclosure of financial information. Gamerschlag, Möller, Verbeeten (2011) examined the determinants of voluntary CSR disclosure by using a CSR disclosure index for each firm. The research sample consisted of 470 firm-year observations of German firms over the years 2005-2008. The authors found that a firm’s size, visibility, profitability (return on invested capital) and shareholder structure (freefloat in percentage of shares) are positively related to the voluntary disclosure of CSR information. Sukcharoensin (2012) studied the same relationship, also applying a CSR disclosure index, but now for Thai firms. Applying a sample of 50 firms, the author found that firms with a high corporate governance rating and a large degree of public ownership and ownership dispersion tend to disclose more CSR information. On the other hand, financial leverage is negatively related to voluntary CSR disclosure. Using a sample consisting of 300 firm-year observations from the period 2009-2011, Borghei-Ghomi & Leung (2013) investigated the firm factors associated with the voluntary disclosure of greenhouse gas emission (GHG) information in Australia. It was found that firm size, ownership concentration and leverage are positively related to the disclosure of GHG information. In addition, the larger the proportion of nonexecutive directors on a firm’s board, the higher the voluntary disclosure of GHG information tends to be. Also, cross-listed firms are more inclined to report on GHG than single-listed firms. Prado-Lorenzo, Rodríguez-Domínguez, Gallego-Álvarez & García-Sánchez (2009) examined the determinants of GHG disclosure based on a sample of 101 firms worldwide in the year 2005. They found that firms that are large-sized and have a high market-to-book ratio disclose more 29 information on GHG. A firm’s industry is an essential factor in explaining the choice for GHG disclosure as well. Besides airlines, also corporations doing business in chemicals, forest and paper products, metals, mining, motor vehicles and utilities display a higher amount of GHG disclosure than firms in other sectors. On the other hand, firms in the aerospace and defense industry report less GHG information. Also firms with a high ROE tend to report less on GHG. As can be seen, determinants of voluntary disclosure are largely the same when comparing nonfinancial disclosures with financial voluntary disclosures. 3.3 Determinants of early IFRS adoption In 2005, the new accounting framework IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) became mandatory for listed firms in European Union countries. Many firms anticipated on this regulation by preparing their financial statements in accordance with IFRS before it became mandatory. The issuance of the new style audit report is similar to the early adoption of IFRS, because in both cases firms anticipated on the upcoming regulation by voluntarily adopting the new standard. Therefore, also studies about the determinants of early IFRS adoption are discussed. Gassen & Sellhorn (2006) examined the determinants of IFRS adoption between 1998 and 2004 for German firms. The authors found that firm size, international exposure, ownership dispersion and recent IPOs are positively related to early IFRS adoption. Furthermore, it was showed that firms that are also listed in the U.S. were more inclined to adopt IFRS. André, Walton & Yang (2012) investigated the determinants of voluntary IFRS adoption for non-listed UK firms in 2009. In contrast to listed firms in the European Union, IFRS is still non-mandatory for nonlisted firms. By applying a sample of 8,417 firms, the authors found that firm size, leverage, internationality and having a Big Four auditor are positively related to voluntary IFRS adoption. Kolsi & Zehri (2013) examined both microeconomic and macroeconomic determinants of voluntary IFRS adoption. In their sample, they included 700 firm-year observations from 74 developing countries worldwide. Half of those countries adopted IFRS in 2008. Countries with an Anglo-Saxon culture, a common law system, a good educational system and a high degree of foreign operations and economic growth are more inclined to adopt IFRS than other countries. 30 Of the microeconomic determinants, firm size and having a Big Four auditor were found to be positively related to IFRS adoption. From the discussed articles, it can be derived that the determinants of IFRS adoption are similar to the explanatory factors for voluntary disclosure. 3.4 Conclusion Concluded, is can be stated that certain firm characteristics are often significantly related to voluntary disclosure. In many studies, firm size and profitability, which is often measured as the ROA or ROE of a firm, are found to be significantly positively associated with voluntary disclosure. Moreover, a large majority of the articles provided evidence that firms with a Big Four auditor disclose more voluntary information than those audited by non-Big Four firms. In addition, cross-listed firms tend to be more active in voluntary disclosures than single-listed firms. Other recurring (at least two times) significantly positive relations have been found for firm age, listing age, corporate governance strength and assets-in-place. Also industry type frequently is a factor in explaining the choice for voluntary disclosure. Evidence is mixed concerning the relation of competitive pressure, leverage, role duality and board size with voluntary disclosure. No recurring significantly negative associations could be derived from the studied articles. Many studies also included variables related to stock ownership in their research. Overall, institutional ownership and foreign ownership are positively associated with voluntary disclosure. There is mixed evidence on the relation of voluntary disclosure with managerial and state ownership, while ownership concentration is negatively related to voluntary disclosure in a large majority of the articles. In addition, some studies found evidence that family-controlled businesses are less willing to disclose voluntary information. Table 13 (see appendix) is constructed with the purpose to show the number of significant relations for each of the most recurring voluntary disclosure determinants. The numbers are constructed based on all articles discussed in this section. In the next section, the hypotheses are developed on the basis of the information acquired in this section. Table 13 is helpful in 31 recognizing which variables have exhibited most significant associations with voluntary disclosure in prior studies. Two tables summarizing the articles discussed in this section are provided below. Table 1: Summary of articles about the determinants of voluntary disclosure Authors Geographi cal area Sample Research method Voluntary disclosure item Initial outsourcing Premuroso (2008) U.S. 1993-2003; 198 firms Zhu & Gong (2013) El-Gazzar, Fornaro & Jacob (2006) U.S. 570 firms U.S. 1996-2000; 500 firms Binary logistic regression Regression analysis Logistic regression; OLS regression Schiehll, Terra & Victor (2013) Brazil 2007; 68 firms with ESO plans OLS regression Executive stock options Coebergh (2011) Netherlands 2003-2008; 399 firm-year observations Panel data regression Corporate strategy Braam & Netherlands 2004; Linear Financial and Executive compensation Report of management’s responsibilities 32 Positive association No association Negative association Level of debt, total cost ratio, ROA Ratio of independent to total audit committee members, frequency of audit committee meetings, new public debt issues and new equity issues, institutional ownership Board size, presence compensation committee, Big 4 auditor Foreign exchange listing, listing/national ranking status, listing age, sector (e.g. basic materials, food producers, retail, media, fixed line telecommunicati ons, financial, software & computer services) Disclosure of ROA, debt/equity ratio Proportion of independent directors, CEO duality, ownership concentration Size, leverage, ownership concentration Economic performance Financial statement restatements, management ownership, interest rate on debt Familycontrolled Profitability (ROE), sector (i.e. pharmaceutical & biotechnology) Borghans (2010) 149 firms regression non-financial performance measures performance measures of other companies to which the firm is related via their board interlocks, disclosure of performance measures of other companies to which the firm is related via their external auditor Size, internationality (i.e. international diversification) Cross-listing, corporate governance strength, leverage, threat of entry Size Raffournier (1995) Switzerland 1991; 161 firms Regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Oxelheim & Thorsheim (2012) Europe 2000-2009; 100 firms Logistic regression Macroeconomi c effects on corporate performance Kateb (2012) France 2006; 55 firms Poisson regression; negative binomial regression Structural capital Alves (2011) Spain, Portugal (i.e. the Iberian Peninsula) 2007; 140 firms Multiple regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Management incentives (= proportion of the board’s remuneration that is not fixed), size, growth opportunities, economic performance, organizational performance, board compensation Chakroun & Matoussi (2012) Tunisia 2003-2008; 144 observations Multiple regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Regulatory reform, board size, managerial 33 Introduction IFRS, profitability (ROA), stock turnover Capital intensity (= PP&E scaled by total assets) Firm age, industry, economic performance, interest in stakeholder pressure, competitive pressure Managerial ownership, government ownership, board independence , board size, existence of monitoring structures, board expertise, leverage, ownership concentration, turnover ratio Size, Big Four auditor) Managerial ownership, level of debt Bid-ask spread, large shareholder Board independence, ownership Dhouibi & Mamoghli (2013) Tunisia 2000-2011; 10 banks Linearmultiple regression Voluntary disclosure index Kolsi (2012) Tunisia 2009-2010; 52 firms Multiple regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Barako (2007) Kenya 1992-2001; 43 firms Pooled OLS regression with panelcorrected standard errors Voluntary disclosure index Lan, Wang & Zhang (2013) China 2006; 1,066 firms OLS regression Voluntary disclosure index Wang, Sewon & Claiborne (2008) China 2005; 109 firms Multivariate regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Spiegel & Yamori (2003) Japan 1996-1997; 814 observations Nonperforming loans Sheu, Liu & Yang (2008) Taiwan 1998-2005; 3,841 observations OLS regression; probit regression (dummy dependent variable) OLS regression (dummy dependent variable) Ho (2009) Malaysia 1996, 2001, 2006 (statistically significant increase in voluntary disclosure over time) Regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Directors’ compensation 34 ownership, role duality, institutional ownership, leverage, firm age Foreign ownership, size Leverage, Big Four auditor, ROA, financial sector Audit committee, foreign ownership, institutional ownership, size, Big 4 auditor, ROE Size, leverage, assets-in-place (= ratio fixed assets/total assets), ROE State ownership, foreign ownership, ROE, Big 4 auditor Competitive pressure, size Directors’ compensation, board size, diversified ownership, managerial ownership Global corporate scandals, external regulatory pressures, corporate governance strength, concentration, familycontrolled, competition on the market Number of independent directors, role duality, Big 4 auditor Large shareholder, size Board size, blockholder ownership, state ownership Big Four auditor Bad loan problems, leverage Government ownership, native institutional ownership ownership concentration, size Corporate governance strength, size, profitability, industry, Big 4 auditor, listing age Size, assets-inplace Vu (2012) Vietnam 2009; 252 firms OLS regression Voluntary disclosure index Hossain & Reaz (2007) India 2002-2003; 38 banking companies OLS regression Voluntary disclosure index Sehar, Bilal & Tufail (2013) Pakistan 2012; 372 firms Voluntary disclosure index Profitability, size, firm age, auditor size Almutawaa (2013) Kuwait 2005-2008; 206 firms Crosssectional multiple regression Multivariate regression analysis Voluntary disclosure index Government ownership, crosslisting, size Familycontrolled, audit committee Hossain & Hammami (2009) Qatar 2007; 25 firms OLS regression Voluntary disclosure index ROE Zunker (2011) Australia 2004; 970 firms Employeerelated disclosures Gamerschlag, Möller, Verbeeten (2011) Germany 2005-2008; 470 firm-year observations Binary logistic regression (dummy dependent variable) Probit regression Firm age, assets, number of subsidiaries, assets-in-place Economic performance, size, adverse publicity Sukcharoensin (2012) Thailand 50 firms Regression analysis CSR disclosure index BorgheiGhomi & Leung (2013) Australia 2009-2011; 300 firm-year observations Crosssectional regression Greenhouse gas emission (GHG) disclosure CSR disclosure index 35 Visibility, profitability (ROIC), freefloat in percentage of shares, U.S.listed, size Corporate governance rating, public ownership, ownership dispersion Size, corporate governance strength, crosslisted, ownership Foreign ownership State ownership, managerial ownership Age, diversificatio n, board composition, cross-listed, complexity of business Leverage ROE, ROA, Tobin’s Q Industry Crossdirectorships, board size, role duality, company growth Financial leverage index PradoLorenzo, RodríguezDomínguez, GallegoÁlvarez & GarcíaSánchez (2009) World 2005; 101 firms Linear OLS regression Greenhouse gas emission (GHG) disclosure index concentration, leverage Size, market-tobook ratio, sector (i.e. airlines, chemicals, forest and paper products, metals, mining and crude-oil production, motor vehicles and parts, utilities) Leverage, ROA ROE, sector (i.e. aerospace and defense) Table 2: Summary of articles about the determinants of early/voluntary IFRS adoption Authors Geographical area Germany Sample André, Walton & Yang (2012) UK 2009; 8,417 firms Kolsi & Zehri (2013) Developing countries worldwide 2008; 700 firms from 74 developing countries Gassen & Sellhorn (2006) 1998-2004; 708 firm-year observations Research method Logistic regression (dummy dependent variable) Logistic regression (dummy dependent variable) Positive association No association Firm size, international exposure, ownership dispersion, recent IPOs, U.S.-listed Firm size, leverage, internationality, Big Four auditor Level of debt, number of exchange listings Logistic regression Firm size, Big Four auditor 36 Profitability, capital intensity, sector (manufacturing and financial), growth, ownership structure, productivity Cross-listed, ROE, leverage Negative association 4. Hypotheses In this section, the hypotheses are developed and explained. Most voluntary disclosure determinants on which sufficient evidence was provided in Section 3 are included in the hypotheses. 4.1 Firm size In the previous section it could be seen that many prior studies had found a positive relation between firm size and voluntary disclosure. Citro (2013), whose study reviews previous literature on the determinants of disclosures, provides three arguments for this positive association. First of all, collecting and producing voluntary information is more costly for smaller firms, since they have fewer resources. Secondly, large firms are exposed to a higher degree of public visibility, which results in more pressure to disclose additional information. Thirdly, large firms are more inclined to attract capital from investors. Hence, they disclose more voluntary items, since extra information usually leads to higher confidence and less uncertainty among investors. Since there is extensive evidence on a positive relation between firm size and voluntary disclosure, it is hypothesized that this also holds for the issuance of the new style audit report. H1: Firm size is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.2 Leverage Citro (2013) and Jensen & Meckling (1976) explain the relationship between leverage and voluntary disclosure by means of the agency theory. In contrast to the mixed evidence this study found, the articles Citro (2013) examined point into the direction of a positive association between leverage and voluntary disclosure. She argues that highly leveraged firms incur more monitoring costs. In order to reduce their monitoring costs, they tend to disclose more voluntary information. As a result, leverage is assumed to be related to voluntary disclosure as there is 37 more need for highly leveraged firms to please their creditors by providing them extra information. Jensen & Meckling (1976) follow the same line of reasoning. The authors explain that when a firm engages more into debt contract covenants, they aim to reduce their monitoring costs by providing more voluntary information to their bondholders and other stakeholders. A study by Khlifi & Bouri (2010) proposes an argument against a positive association between leverage and voluntary disclosure. The authors state that, conform the signaling theory, firms with low leverage are more willing to signal their good performance to the market than highly leveraged firms. Converting this theory to the new style audit report, an explanation in favor of a negative relationship could be that low leverage firms have less to hide. Since the new style audit report is focused on firms’ risk areas, low leverage might serve as an incentive to voluntarily publish a new style audit report. Since the evidence found in the Section 3 is inconclusive, but leaning towards a positive relation, the hypothesis follows the theories predicted by Citro (2013) and Jensen & Meckling (1976). H2: There is a positive association between leverage and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.3 Big Four auditors Schiehll, Terra & Victor (2013) state that the choice for a Big Four auditor is an indication that a firm wants to achieve higher disclosure quality. A Big Four Auditor is more costly than a nonBig Four auditor, meaning that the choice for a large audit firm really signals to the market that the firm aims to achieve high disclosure quality. Furthermore, big audit firms likely tend to start earlier with innovations such as the new style audit report, since these are the auditors that have most in-house knowledge and experience in auditing. From the examination of past studies it could be concluded that a large majority found that firms with Big Four auditors are more inclined towards voluntary disclosure than firms audited by a non-Big Four auditor. Hence, the same direction of the relationship is hypothesized in this study. 38 H3: There is a positive association between Big Four-audited firms and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.4 Cross-listing According to Oxelheim & Thorsheim (2011), presence on various capital markets gives more pressure to provide investors with information. Different markets are characterized by different needs. Information that is beneficial to investors on one capital market might be meaningless to investors on another exchange. Moreover, Cooke (1989) explains that a cross-listing leads to a greater distance between owners and management. As a result, agency costs, like monitoring costs, increase. In order to offset this rise in agency costs, cross-listed firms are assumed to engage more in voluntary reporting. Four of the articles discussed in the previous section have found a significantly positive relation between a cross-listing and voluntary disclosure (i.e. Coebergh, 2012; Almutawaa, 2013; Oxelheim & Thorsheim, 2011; and Borghei-Ghomi & Leung, 2013). No negative associations were encountered. Based on this information, one would expect that cross-listed firms are more inclined to disclose a new style audit report than other firms. However, there are quite some nonDutch firms listed on the NYSE Euronext Amsterdam, which are all included in the sample. These firms are almost by definition cross-listed, as it is normal for a firm to have its IPO (Initial Public Offering) at the local stock exchange. Non-Dutch firms might be less aware of the existence of the new style audit report, as it is presumably popular in the UK and the Netherlands. It can be argued that non-Dutch firms, which are almost always cross-listed, are probably less likely to voluntarily disclose the new style audit report. With this information in mind, and in contrast to what empirical evidence and theory says, this study predicts a negative relation between being cross-listed and voluntarily issuing the new style audit report. H4: There is a negative association between cross-listed firms and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 39 4.5 Board size One of the most often-heard arguments in favor of a positive association between board size and voluntary disclosure, is that large boards have more resources (i.e. knowledge and capital) to engage in additional, non-mandatory reporting practices (Schiehll et al., 2013). Notice that by ‘board’, the Board of Directors is meant. Dhouibi & Mamoghli (2013) add that large Supervisory Boards are more likely, and have more possibilities, to monitor the Board of Directors. More attention from the Supervisory Board might serve as an incentive for the Board of Directors to voluntarily provide investors with more information. It is often assumed that a large Board of Directors corresponds to a large Supervisory Board. For example, the correlation between the size of the Supervisory Board and the size of the Board of Directors in this study is 0.48. Therefore, this theory by Dhouibi & Mamoghli (2013) can also serve as a predictor of the relation between Board of Directors size and voluntary disclosure. Yermack (1996) found that small boards are more inclined to provide managers with compensation incentives or fire them when results are insufficient. Following this line of reasoning, it is expected that managers in firms with small boards tend to engage more in voluntary reporting, as the performance-based rewards and threats are more extreme. Other arguments for a negative relationship are provided in the article by Sheu, Liu & Yang (2008). Large boards would be less flexible in initiating strategic changes and exhibit fewer consensuses, leading to the postponement of decisions (Goodstein, Gautam & Boeker, 1994; Golden & Zajac, 2001). Both arguments would be detrimental for engaging in voluntary reporting. Five articles discussed in the previous section found a significant relationship between board size and voluntary reporting, of which three were positive and two were negative. As can be seen, the evidence on this relationship is inconclusive. However, in order to construct a hypothesis, this study follows the small majority. Thus, it is proposed that a positive relation exists between board size and the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report. H5: Board size is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 40 4.6 Age For practical reasons, this study applies listing age as a proxy for age. This is extensively explained in the next section. Sehar, Bilal & Tufail (2013) mention two reasons why older firms tend to engage more in voluntary disclosure than younger firms. First of all, they state that younger firms have lower investment funds, making it less profitable for them to voluntarily disclose information. In addition, the younger the firm, the fewer records there are. As the second argument, the authors bring forward that a young firm might have insufficient records of operations, making them bound to disclose less information. Coebergh (2011) states that firms that have been listed for a long time have often established a vast reputation, in contrast to new firms on the capital market. Because of this better reputation, the market usually expects a higher amount of disclosure by long-listed firms. On the other hand, Coebergh (2011) argues there usually is more uncertainty surrounding younger firms. To reduce the information asymmetry, younger firms might be more willing to disclose voluntary information. However, the evidence obtained in the previous section points towards a positive association (e.g. Hossain & Hammami, 2009; Sehar, Bilal & Tufail, 2013; and Chakroun & Matoussi, 2012). Hence, it is expected that age is positively related to the issuance of a new style audit report. H6: Age is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.7 Competitive pressure The evidence on the relation between competitive pressure and voluntary disclosure is mixed. Spiegel & Yamori (2003) found a positive relation, while Chakroun & Matoussi (2012) found that competitive pressure is negatively related to voluntary reporting. According to Spiegel & Yamori (2003), firms operating in a competitive market experience higher stakeholder pressure to disclose extra information, in order to achieve or maintain a competitive advantage over competitors. Not disclosing information that rival firms do disclose might lead to a competitive disadvantage. Chakroun & Matoussi (2012) define competition as the degree of entry barriers in an industry. High entry barriers are associated with a low degree of competition in an industry. They state that the profits of firms in industries with high entry barriers are materially affected by 41 the entrance of a newcomer, in contrast to earnings of firms in sectors with low entry barriers. Because there is more pressure on their profits, it is theorized that high entry barrier industry firms are more willing to satisfy their stakeholders. One of the ways to achieve this is by reporting voluntary information. This is called the proprietary cost theory. As is clear, evidence and theories on the relationship between competitive pressure and voluntary disclosure are both mixed, so the direction of the hypothesis is based on a closer look at both studies examining this association. For three reasons, the hypothesis of this study follows the research of Chakroun & Matoussi (2012). First of all, this study is much more recent. Second, in contrast to the research of Spiegel & Yamori (2003), the study of Chakroun & Matoussi (2012) has been published in an academic journal. Third, the relation between competitive pressure and voluntary disclosure has a higher significance level in the research of Chakroun & Matoussi (2012). Therefore, it is hypothesized that there is a negative association between competitive pressure and the issuance of the new style audit report. As will be explained in the next section, market concentration will serve as a proxy for competitive pressure. H7: Competitive pressure is negatively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.8 Ownership dispersion Ownership structure is believed to be related with the extent of voluntary disclosure. Let’s give an example relating to managerial ownership. The main objective of shareholders is to gain a return on their investment as a result of a rise in the share price. This can be achieved by a good performance of the firm they invest in. For this, shareholders are dependent on the choices of management. A high degree of managerial ownership results in a greater alignment between the goals of management and shareholders. When managers own shares of the firm, they want, just like the shareholders, to achieve a higher share price. It is assumed that voluntary disclosure is advantageous for the share price of a firm, so when managerial ownership increases, management might be more inclined to engage in voluntary disclosure. 42 Another example is government ownership. The government invests in firms for strategic purposes. Profit maximization is often not the main objective for state-owned firms. They are more focused on the public interest. Voluntarily disclosing information might be one of the things that satisfy this public interest. On the other hand, Alves (2011) argues that managers of state-owned firms are likely to face less discipline from the market for corporate control. This, in turn, might lead to less voluntary disclosure. Many studies discussed in Section 3 found evidence of a relation between voluntary disclosure and a firm’s ownership structure. A majority showed a positive association for institutional and foreign ownership, while there was mixed evidence on the association of managerial and state ownership with voluntary disclosure. Negative relationships were found for family-controlled businesses. This study only focuses on ownership dispersion, as there are no data available for Dutch listed firms about the percentage of shares held by different types of owners. As will be explained in the next section, ownership dispersion will be represented by a variable measuring a firm’s portion of freefloat shares. In case of a dispersed ownership structure, shareholders have little authority over management. Therefore, they have to guard their interests by effectively monitoring management, as theorized by the agency theory, which assumes that the principal monitors the agent. Gamerschlag et al. (2011) argue that because large shareholders have more direct authority over management, they do not engage in monitoring management but try to influence decisions themselves. The presence of large shareholders is associated with a concentrated ownership structure. With that in mind, managers in firms with dispersed ownership might feel more need to report voluntary information, as they are monitored more effectively. Furthermore, according to Chau & Gray (2002), firms with a dispersed ownership structure face higher public demand for voluntary information. This is the result of a broader shareholder base. As a consequence, managers of dispersed ownership firms have more incentives to report voluntarily. 43 Gamerschlag et al. (2011) found that a high percentage of freefloat shares, which indicates a high level of ownership dispersion, is related to more voluntary disclosure. Other prior studies also found positive associations between ownership dispersion and voluntary disclosure. On the other hand, negative associations were found between voluntary disclosure and ownership concentration, which is the opposite of ownership dispersion. Therefore, this study predicts a positive relation between ownership dispersion and the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report. H8: Ownership dispersion is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. 4.9 Industry According to Dahawi (2009), the association between industry type and voluntary disclosure stems from a difference in transparency between industries. He argues that, for example, financial firms engage less in voluntary disclosure because of greater opacity. Arya & Mittendorf (2005) explain differences in voluntary disclosure among industries by the ‘herd behavior’ principle. This principle resembles mimetic isomorphism, discussed in Section 2. When one firm in an industry reports voluntarily, other firms in the same industry feel like they cannot stay behind, because that would lead to a competitive disadvantage. This can lead to significant differences in voluntary reporting among industries. Some studies discussed in Section 3 examined whether a firm’s industry is of effect on its degree of voluntary reporting (i.e. Coebergh, 2011; Kolsi, 2012; Vu, 2012; and Prado-Lorenzo et al., 2009). Most of the articles found significant industry effects. Combined with convincing theoretical arguments, it seems evident that associations between industry type and voluntary disclosure exist. Hence, the following hypothesis is constructed: H9: Associations exist between the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit and the industry of firms. 44 4.10 Concluding remarks Two often-applied voluntary disclosure determinants, corporate governance strength and assetsin-place, could not be hypothesized. Corporate governance strength is normally measured as the proportion of independent directors on a company’s board. However, for the measurement of this proxy, a one-tier corporate governance structure is needed. Very few firms in the Netherlands apply this structure. Hence, it is not feasible to include this variable in the regression model. Assets-in-place is measured as the ratio of fixed assets over total assets. However, almost a quarter of the firms in the research sample consist of financial institutions, which have no to very few fixed assets on their balance sheet. This would lead very low ratios, which might bias the research results. In other studies, financial institutions are often excluded from the sample, in order to measure variables like assets-in-place. However, because of the low amount of observations, financial institutions are not excluded from this study’s research sample. As a result, also this variable cannot be hypothesized. Furthermore, it was decided not to examine the relation between a firm’s profitability and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. There are many small firms in the sample, whose profitability, in contrast to large firms, often fluctuates heavily from year to year. Therefore, it does not seem fair to test this relationship, as it would represent a snapshot in time. 45 5. Research design The empirical objective of this study is to examine the firm characteristics related to the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. This section provides the statistical background of this study. As explained in Section 2, the research design and research model are largely modeled after André et al. (2012). First of all, the research sample is discussed. Second, the variables applied in this research are reviewed. Finally, the logistic research model is presented. Section 6 follows this section and analyzes the main results of the research regression. 5.1 Research sample The research sample consists of 109 firms listed on the NYSE Euronext Amsterdam, plus ABN AMRO, a formerly listed Dutch bank, and PGGM, a Dutch pension fund. Both issued a new style audit report over 2013. ABN AMRO and PGGM are, as of May 2014, the only non-listed Dutch firms of which it is known that they have issued a new style audit report over 2013. These firms are included in sample, as more observations lead to stronger and more convincing regression results, especially when the amount of observations is already quite low, as is the case in this research. The NYSE Euronext Amsterdam actually consists of 114 firms. However, Reed Elsevier, Royal Dutch Shell, Royal Bank of Scotland and Unilever are excluded from the sample. These firms are listed on the London Stock Exchange, meaning that they had to mandatorily publish a new style audit report over 2013. Novisource is also excluded from the sample, as this firm reported zero revenues over 2013, and the latest ‘real’ earnings number could not be found. This means that in total, there are 111 firms included in the research sample. All audit reports in this research are over the fiscal year 2013. The large majority of the audit reports are dated in the period February-April 2014. Some firms had a year-end of June 30, 2013 or September 30, 2013. These firms are also included in the sample. 46 5.2 Variables The dependent variable is represented by the new style audit report (NEWit). Voluntary adopters of the new style audit report are distinguished from non-adopters by the construction of a dummy variable. Firms wíth a new style audit report are assigned a value of 1, while firms without a new style audit report are assigned a value of 0. In total, 10 independent variables are included in the regression model. All independent variables were hypothesized in the previous section and are projected to exhibit a significant relationship with the dependent variable. Firm size is measured by the variable REVit, which is the total revenue of a firm over the year 2013. Some firms in the sample provided their earnings number in U.S. dollars. The revenues of these firms were transformed to Euro by applying the US$ - Euro exchange rate as at December 31, 2013. Two firms did not report any earnings over the year 2013, as they are so-called ‘empty shells’. This means that these firms do currently not have any operating activities. For these firms, the earnings number of the latest available year with ‘real’ earnings numbers is taken as a measure of firm size. Many studies used (the log of) total assets as a proxy for firm size (e.g. Oxelheim & Thorsheim, 2012; André et al., 2012; and Gamerschlag et al., 2011). However, when examining the financial statements of the sampled firms in this study, it was found that a firm’s amount of total assets is much more volatile than the level of total revenue. Since the time frame of this study is only one year, it is believed that total revenue as a proxy for firm size is a better option, as this variable is more constant over time and therefore gives a better representation of the size of a firm. Studies by Roberts (1992) and Prado-Lorenzo et al. (2009) also applied (average) total revenue as a proxy for firm size. Leverage (LEVit), which is an indicator of a firm’s level of debt, is calculated as the ratio of total liabilities to total assets. The balance sheet amounts used to determine leverage are those of yearend 2013. This method to measure leverage was also applied by a.o. Chakroun & Matoussi (2012), Oxelheim & Thorsheim (2012) and André, Walton & Yang (2012). 47 BIG_4it, which is a dummy variable, relates to a firm’s auditor. Firms audited by a Big Four audit firm (i.e. KPMG, PwC, Deloitte and EY) are assigned a value of 1, while firms audited by a nonBig Four firm (e.g. BDO, Mazars and Baker Tilly Berk) are assigned a value of 0. In this research sample, only 15 out of 111 firms are audited by a non-Big Four firm. The variable CROSSit, which is also a dummy variable, assigns a value of 1 to cross-listed firms and a value of 0 to other firms. Being cross-listed means that a firm is listed on two or more stock exchanges. Also firms trading on foreign OTC (over-the-counter) markets, predominantly in the U.S., are labeled as being cross-listed. BOARD_SIZEit measures the number of members of a firm’s Board of Directors as of December 31, 2013. The large majority of the sampled firms has a two-tier corporate governance structure, implying that there is both a Board of Directors and a Supervisory Board. However, some firms have a one-tier corporate governance structure, meaning that they do not have a separate Supervisory Board, but only a Board of Directors. Within the Board of Directors, these firms normally make a distinction between independent directors and executive directors. Unlike executive directors, independent directors are not involved in the day-to-day operations of the firm. Therefore, they are regarded as the supervisory body of the Board of Directors. Just like a normal Supervisory Board, they monitor the managers (executive directors). As a result, for onetier corporate governance structure firms, this study applies only the number of executive directors on the Board of Directors as a substitute for board size. All studies discussed in Section 3 which included board size as a variable in their regression also measured board size as the number of Board of Directors members (e.g. Sheu et al., 2008; and Schiehll et al., 2013). AGEit corresponds to listing age, which is the number of years since a firm’s initial listing. Listing age as a proxy for firm age is often applied in academic literature (e.g. Pástor & Veronesi, 2003; Fama & French, 2004; Chun, Kim, Morck & Yeung, 2008). Shumway (2001) argues that listing age is the best measure of firm age, as it is one of the milestones of a firm’s life. Furthermore, listing age is a popular method because it is easy to measure. It also exhibits reality, as firms with a rich history are often listed longer. 48 Another method to measure a firm’s longevity is to simply take the firm age. However, the problem with this method is that for almost all companies there is not one single firm age, as most of them have experienced many mergers and acquisitions throughout their lives. Therefore, it is hard to determine the year the firm was founded. Two firms in the sample, both new style audit report issuers, are not listed. In order to keep the results as unbiased as possible, this study simply takes the average of the listing age of all new style audit report issuers for these two firms, which corresponds to a listing age of 31 years. MRKT_CONCit is an indicator of the competition in a firm’s market. This variable measures the market concentration in a firm’s industry by taking the sum of the market shares of the four largest firms in the market. Market concentration is used as a measure for competitive pressure. Namely, the higher the total market share of the four largest firms, the more concentrated the market is. Bikker & Haaf (2002) found that a highly concentrated market is associated with lower competitiveness. Also in other studies, concentration measures often serve as proxies for competitive pressure (Cetorelli, 1999; Berger et al., 2004). Since it is hypothesized that there is a negative association between competitive pressure and the issuance of the new style audit report, it is expected that there is a positive relation between MRKT_CONC and the disclosure of the new style audit report. The numbers for the variable MRKT_CONCit are based on U.S. data, as there are no European or Dutch data available. The U.S. data seem to be usable for this thesis, as they exhibit resemblances to the Dutch market. For example, the market share of the four largest delivery service firms in the U.S. is 94%. This market is highly concentrated in the Netherlands as well (Consumer Postal Council, 2014). On the other hand, the market share of the four largest U.S. firms in electronic equipment is just 14.5%. The electronics sector has always been known to be highly competitive, also in the European market (CBI, 2014). The classification of firms into sectors is done based on the ICB Classification Benchmark (ICB) system. The ICB system is “used globally to divide the market into increasingly specific categories, allowing investors to compare industry trends between well-defined subsections” (Euronext, 2014). The ICB system assigns 4-digit numbers to firms (e.g. 6535). The first digit stands for the industry. This digit 49 only represents a broad indication of a firm’s industry. The second, third and fourth digit are applied to make a firm’s classification more specific. These digits correspond to, respectively, a firm’s ‘supersector’, ‘sector’ and ‘subsector’. According to Euronext (2014), firms can be classified into 10 industries, 19 supersectors, 41 sectors and 114 subsectors. To measure market concentration, each firm is carefully classified based on its sector or subsector. For each ICB sector/subsector, a similar market is found in the database, which provides the corresponding market shares. The variable FREEFLOATit measures the amount of freefloat shares as a percentage of total outstanding shares. Thomson One (2014) calculates freefloat as shares outstanding less the sum of positions held by strategic entities (i.e. corporations, holdings and individuals) and government agencies. A firm’s freefloat is defined as “the portion of its shares that can be publicly traded” (Financial Times Lexicon, 2014). The percentage of freefloat shares is usually seen as an indicator of ownership dispersion (Demsetz, 1968). Therefore, it is applied as a substitute for ownership dispersion. A small freefloat percentage implies that the percentage of shares publicly available for trading is low. A large part of a firm’s share capital is namely concentrated in the hands of institutional and strategic investors. This share capital is locked, meaning that it is not available for trading. A high amount of locked, institutionally-owned shares normally implies that there is low ownership dispersion. Therefore, it is safe to assume a positive relation between the percentage of freefloat shares and ownership dispersion, as this variable was also used as a proxy for ownership dispersion by Gamerschlag et al. (2011). Two firms in the sample are not listed, so they do not have any shares outstanding. Again, with the aim to diminish this problem, the average of the proportion of freefloat shares of the new style audit report issuers is taken for these two firms. The last independent variable, SECTORit, classifies all sampled firms into different industries. This arrangement is based on the ICB system. Because of the limited amount of observations in this study, firms are classified based on only the first digit of their ICB code. This means that the 50 111 firms in the sample of this study are classified into ten different industries. However, none of the sampled firms is part of ICB7000 (Utilities). So actually, the firms are classified into nine industries, namely Oil & Gas, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Goods, Health Care, Consumer Services, Telecommunications, Financial and Technology. Because of the low amount of observations in ICB1 and ICB6000 (respectively Oil & Gas and Telecommunications), this study merges the industries Oil & Gas and Basic Materials into one industry called ‘Materials’ and considers Telecommunications as part of Consumer Services. Health Care has also been added to Materials. Because none of the four firms in the Health Care industry has issued a new style audit report, this variable fails to provide a result when running a logistic regression. Since the main activity of the majority of the sampled firms in the Health Care sector is biotechnology, which is about creating new products by using raw (often chemical) materials and organisms, these firms have been placed in the Materials sector. This leaves us with six different industries the firms can be classified into. The frequency of firms per sector can be found in Table 5. Of course, also the intercept (α0) and the error term (Ɛit) are included in the regression model. All variables are summarized in Table 3. The data source for each variable is also provided in this table. Table 3: Description of variables Variable Description Data source 1 if a firm has voluntarily issued a new PwC (2014a); hand-collected NEWit style audit report; 0 otherwise Total revenue (€) Calculated based on the 2013 REVit Annual reports Leverage, calculated as the ratio of Calculated based on the 2013 LEVit total liabilities to total assets Annual reports 1 if a firm is audited by a Big Four PwC (2014a); hand-collected BIG_4it auditor; 0 otherwise 1 if a firm is listed on more than one Hand-collected CROSSit stock exchange; 0 otherwise BOARD_SIZEit AGEit MRKT_CONCit The size of the Board of Directors (two-tier firms); the amount of executive directors on the Board of Directors (one-tier firms) Listing age The total market share held by the four 51 Thomson One (2014); handcollected; 2013 Annual reports Hand-collected United States Census Bureau FREEFLOATit SECTORit 5.3 largest firms in an industry The ratio of freefloat shares to total shares outstanding A firm’s sector (materials, industrials, consumer goods, consumer services, financials and technology) (2007) Thomson One (2014) Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB) system (Euronext, 2014) Research model This research is conducted by means of a regression analysis, applying the logistic regression model. This model can only be applied in case of a binary dependent variable, which is a variable that can just take two values, in this case 0 or 1. According to the Institute for Digital Research and Education (2014a), an institute developed by UCLA, there are six assumptions that have to be met when running a logistic regression: 1) the true conditional probabilities are a logistic function of the independent variables, 2) no important variables are omitted, 3) no extraneous variables are included, 4) the independent variables are measured without error, 5) the observations are independent, and 6) the independent variables are not linear combinations of each other. There are some notable differences between a logistic regression and an OLS regression. Where an OLS regression predicts a continuous outcome variable, meaning that the dependent variable can take all possible values, a logistic regression predicts a dichotomous variable. It measures the probability that the dependent variable is equal to 1 (i.e. Y=1), given the values of the independent variables. Moreover, the coefficients in a logistic regression are interpreted differently. In an OLS regression, the regression coefficient of the independent variable equals the change in the dependent variable when there is a one unit change in the independent variable. A logistic regression looks at odds ratios in order to interpret the regression results. Suppose that the regression coefficient of an independent variable equals 0.25. In that case, the odds ratio is 1.28, which is calculated by taking the exponential function of 0.25 [= exp (0.25)]. This means that the likelihood that the dependent variable equals 1 is 1.28 times more likely when the value of the independent variable increases by 1 unit. A regression coefficient of zero equals an odds ratio of 1, meaning that there is no difference. This shows that the relation between logistic regression coefficients and odds ratios holds. Furthermore, the fit of the model is expressed 52 differently in a logistic regression. In an OLS regression, the R-squared is used to determine the fit of the model. However, a logistic regression applies a chi-squared test to measure whether the model is a good fit. Specifically, the chi-squared test measures “the fit of the observed values to the expected values” (Crossman, 2014). When the probability of the chi-squared test is lower than 0.05, it usually implies that the model is a good fit. Lastly, while OLS assumes that the residuals are normally distributed, this does not hold for a logistic regression (Crossman, 2014). The binary logistic regression model is chosen for this research as it is the only model that is specifically constructed for regressions with a dummy dependent variable. Therefore, the binary logistic regression model is most likely to provide unbiased regression results. This decision is supported by empirical research. By applying Monte Carlo simulation, Beck (2011) examined which of the two statistical models (i.e. logistic and OLS) is best to use in case of a binary dependent variable. The author showed that in most scenarios, a logistic regression proved to be a better fit. Hence, he concluded that it is safer to use a logistic regression instead of an OLS regression in case the dependent variable is binary. Pohlmann & Leitner (2003) also compared the OLS method with logistic regression by evaluating the differences of the results obtained on common data sets. The authors conclude that both research models can be used in case the dependent variable is binary. However, they found that the logistic model yields more accurate predictions of dependent variable probabilities, making the logistic model superior to the OLS model. As a result, the authors state that the logistic model should be favored over the OLS method when the dependent variable is binary. Furthermore, Park (2009) is of opinion that in case of a categorical dependent variable, which is a variable that can only take a limited number of possible values, the OLS method can no longer produce the best results, as it makes the research results biased and inefficient. The regression model contains all variables discussed previously, plus the intercept and the error term. NEWit is the dependent, explanatory variable. The logistic regression model is constructed as follows: NEWit = α0 + β1*REVit + β2*LEVit + β3*BIG_4it + β4*CROSSit + β5*BOARD_SIZEit + β6* AGEit + β7*MRKT_CONCit + β8*FREEFLOATit + ∑βk*SECTORit + Ɛit 53 5.4 Descriptive statistics Table 4: Descriptive statistics Variable NEW REV (x 1,000,000) LEV BIG_4 CROSS BOARD_SIZE AGE MRKT_CONC FREEFLOAT N 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 Min 0 0.069 0.01 0 0 1 1 0.075 0.01 Max 1 57,665 1.27 1 1 9 131 0.94 1 Mean 0.2703 3,541 0.5731 0.8739 0.6486 2.8108 25.559 0.3721 0.6759 St. dev. 0.4461 8,220 0.2430 0.3335 0.4796 1.5107 21.509 0.1836 0.2830 Median 0 508.5 0.56 1 1 2 18 0.358 0.75 Skewness 1.0346 0.9150 -0.0583 -2.2523 -0.6228 1.1821 2.1107 0.9478 -0.6987 * Stata assumes a perfect normal distribution at a kurtosis of +3. Because the reference normal distribution often has a kurtosis of zero, the kurtosis is adjusted by -3 (DeCarlo, 1997). The descriptive statistics of all variables, except the industry variables, are provided in Table 4. For each variable, the number of observations (N), the minimum and maximum value, the mean, standard deviation, median, skewness and kurtosis are given. Skewness is the degree to which the different observations of a variable point into one direction, applying the perspective of a normal distribution. Suppose that 80 out of 111 observations are on the left side of the null-point of the normal distribution. In that case, the skewness of the variable is negative. However, when 80 out of 111 observations are on the right side of the null-line, the skewness is positive. Balanda & MacGillivray (1988) define kurtosis as “the location- and scale-free movement of probability mass from the shoulders of a distribution into its centre and tails.” A positive kurtosis means that there is an even distribution of observations of a variable, which corresponds to a sharp peak. The higher the value of the kurtosis, the sharper this peak. In case of a negative kurtosis, many observations are concentrated toward the mean, which implies a flat top. A kurtosis of zero, meaning that it is neither negative nor positive, corresponds to a perfect normal distribution. For a graphical illustration of the different degrees of kurtosis, see Figure 1 on the next page. 54 Kurtosis* -0.9296 18.2009 -0.0459 3.0729 -1.6122 1.7114 5.9381 0.6545 -0.5466 Figure 1: Levels of kurtosis (Source: Signal Trading Group, 2014) As can be seen in Table 4, 27.0% of firms have issued a new style audit report. This percentage corresponds to 30 out of 111 firms. Almost two-thirds of the sampled firms are cross-listed (64.9%), and an even larger majority is audited by a Big Four firm (87.4%). What is notable is the broad range of values for listing age (1 to 131), although the mean is quite normal, with a listing age of 25.6 years. Another remarkability is that the maximum value of the variable LEV is 1.27, meaning that there is a firm with more liabilities than assets, which is the result of a negative equity. Table 5: Frequency of sector variables Variables Absolute 13 SECTOR_MATERIALS 29 SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS 11 SECTOR_CONSGOODS 14 SECTOR_CONSSERVICES 28 SECTOR_FINANCIALS 16 SECTOR_TECHNOLOGY Total 111 Frequency Relative (%) 11.71 26.13 9.91 12.61 25.23 14.41 100 As can be seen in Table 5, the distribution of firms to different sectors is quite diversified. No sector contains more than firms or less than 10 firms. The sector INDUSTRIALS contains most observations, while the least amount of firms are included in the sector CONSGOODS. 55 Table 6: Expected signs of the independent variables Independent Expected sign variables (+) REV (+) LEV (+) BIG_4 (-) CROSS (+) BOARD_SIZE (+) AGE (+) MRKT_CONC (+) FREEFLOAT Table 6 provides the expected signs of all independent variables (except the sector variables), as predicted by the hypotheses developed in Section 4. CROSS is the only variables for which a negative relation with the dependent variable is expected. The remaining independent variables are projected to signal a positive association with the dependent variable. 5.5 Statistical testing Several statistical tests will be performed in the next section, in correspondence with the tests performed by Zunker (2011) and André et al. (2012). The ‘usual suspects’ heteroskedasticity and multicollinearity are tested, as well as the distribution of the residuals, the normality of the data distribution, and the robustness of the regression. Also a chi-squared test will be performed, as this study applies a logistic regression model. Heteroskedasticity occurs “when the variance of the errors varies across observations” (Long & Ervin, 2000). Researchers should try to avoid heteroskedasticity, as it leads to an overestimation of standards errors, and hence, an underestimation of the t-statistics of regression parameters (Studenmund, 2010). Smith (2011) states that the significance tests may therefore be inefficient. However, the regression coefficients are still unbiased in case there is heteroskedasticity. Heteroskedasticity will be tested by performing the Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test. This is one of the most well-known and applied methods when testing for heteroskedasticity. Multicollinearity occurs when multiple independent variables are highly correlated. In case of substantial multicollinearity, the regression coefficients may be “both biased and inconsistent” 56 (Smith, 2011). Multicollinearity causes considerable changes in the regression coefficients when small adjustments are made to the data or the regression model. This distorts the reliability of the results. Multicollinearity will be tested by measuring the mean Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) of the independent variables. When the mean VIF is below the often applied threshold of 10, it implies that there is no problematic multicollinearity (e.g. Hair Jr., Anderson, Tatham & Black, 1995; Kennedy, 2003). The normality of the data distribution will be tested by performing the Shapiro-Wilk W test. Specifically, it tests whether a sample comes from a normally distributed population. A chi-squared test will also be performed. This test is part of the logistic regression model output in Stata. It assesses the goodness of fit of the regression model. It will also be looked at whether the residuals are normally distributed. However, since it is not necessary in a logistic regression that the residuals are normally distributed, no severe conclusions can be attached to this statistic. Lastly, there will be a robustness test. When the coefficients and p-values of the explanatory variable do not change much in the robust regression compared to the initial regression, it is an indication that the regression coefficients are robust. When this is the case, it is seen as evidence that the significant coefficients exhibit a true causal relationship with the dependent variable (Lu & White, 2014). 57 6. Results This section provides all results. First of all, the correlation between the variables is shown and discussed. In sub-section 6.2, the statistical tests are provided. These are the BreuschPagan/Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity, the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) test for multicollinearity and the Shapiro-Wilk W test for the normality of the data distribution. Also the Kernel density estimate of the distribution of the residuals will be provided. In sub-section 6.3, the results of the logistic regression can be found. These results will be analyzed in sub-section 6.4. Finally, sub-section 6.5 analyzes whether the results of the logistic regression are robust. The tables and figures in this section are subtracted from Stata 13, with the exception of the correlation matrix, which was constructed using Microsoft Excel. 6.1 Correlation Table 7: Correlation matrix Variables NEW 1 -0.0175 LEV 0.0116 BIG_4 0.1701 CROSS -0.0620 BOARD_SIZE 0.0361 AGE 0.1461 MRKT_CONC 0.1088 FREEFLOAT 0.2025 SECTOR_MATERIALS -0.0955 SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS 0.1922 SECTOR_CONSGOODS -0.0661 SECTOR_CONSSERVICES 0.1354 SECTOR_FINANCIALS -0.0265 SECTOR_TECHNOLOGY -0.1920 REV LEV BIG_4 BOARD_ CROSS SIZE 1 0.1795 0.1591 0.2714 0.2891 0.0793 0.0405 0.1744 0.1611 -0.0295 -0.0408 0.0910 -0.0148 -0.1436 1 0.0059 0.1037 0.1658 -0.1243 0.0047 0.0819 -0.0150 0.1476 -0.1438 0.0322 0.0561 -0.1483 1 0.4025 0.1868 0.0391 0.1020 0.1776 0.1384 0.1642 -0.0556 -0.1009 -0.0293 -0.1531 1 0.2713 0.0201 0.1521 0.3799 0.1507 0.0081 -0.0717 -0.1183 0.1233 -0.1278 AGE SECTOR SECTOR SECTOR SECTOR_ SECTOR SECTOR MRKT_C FREEFL _MATERI _INDUST _CONSG CONSSE _FINANC _TECHN ONC OAT ALS RIALS OODS RVICES IALS OLOGY NEW REV 1 -0.0404 0.1085 0.2721 0.0645 -0.0070 -0.2189 0.0117 0.1420 -0.0507 1 -0.0920 0.0306 -0.1260 0.0285 0.2702 -0.0302 0.0236 -0.1509 1 0.0498 0.0503 -0.0903 0.0977 0.0196 -0.0551 0.0334 1 0.1057 -0.0176 -0.0434 -0.0061 0.0724 -0.1216 1 -0.2166 -0.1208 -0.1384 -0.2115 -0.1495 1 -0.1972 1 -0.2259 -0.1260 1 -0.3454 -0.1926 -0.2207 1 -0.2441 -0.1361 -0.1559 -0.2384 One of the most notable positive correlations (0.2891) exists between REV and BOARD_SIZE. It can be theorized that larger firms have more resources available for the appointment of a large 58 1 board. Big firms might also be in need of a larger board, as there are probably more issues to discuss and decisions to be made. The variable REV also exhibits a high correlation coefficient with CROSS (0.2714), which implies that large firms are more prone to list their shares on another stock exchange. Also this correlation coefficient is perfectly understandable. When a firm grows larger, it might consider issuing shares on the local stock exchange. The same procedure holds when a firm is already listed. When a firm continues to grow, it starts thinking about expanding and attracting more capital, by, for example, listing on a foreign stock exchange. The most notable positive correlation (0.4025) can be found between the variables BIG_4 and CROSS. Firms with a Big Four auditor are generally larger than firms with a non-Big Four auditor, which is also implied by the correlation coefficient between REV and BIG_4 (0.1591). The theory behind this positive correlation is the same as for the correlation between CROSS and REV, which was discussed above. Larger firms, which have a higher probability of having a Big Four auditor, are more likely to issue shares on a foreign stock exchange in order to attract new capital. Besides the industry-related correlations, the most negative correlation (-0.1243) could be found between AGE and LEV. An explanation could be that start-up firms make large capital investments. The returns on these investments are often earned years later. Therefore, these firms might have a higher leverage ratio, as the start-up investments are recorded as liabilities on their balance sheet. 6.2 Results of the statistical tests In this sub-section, the results obtained from the statistical tests are explained and discussed. Table 8 provides the results of the Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity. When prob>chi2 is higher than 0.05, the variance of the error term is constant, implying that there is homoscedasticity. However, when prob>chi2 is lower than 0.05, there is heteroskedasticity. In this case, the probability equals 0.5282. There is no heteroskedasticity. 59 Table 8: Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity Ho: Constant variance Variables: REV LEV BIG_4 CROSS BOARD_SIZE AGE MRKT_CONC FREEFLOAT SECTOR_MATERIALS SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS SECTOR_CONSGOODS SECTOR_CONSSERVICES SECTOR_FINANCIALS chi2(13) Prob > chi2 = = 11.99 0.5282 Table 9 provides the test for multicollinearity. Normally, a threshold of 10 is applied when analyzing whether multicollinearity exists among the independent variables (e.g. Hair Jr. et al., 1995; Kennedy, 2003). When the mean VIF is higher than 10, substantial multicollinearity exists. As can be seen, the mean VIF of the independent variables is 4.01. Because the mean VIF is lower than 10, it can be concluded that there is no multicollinearity among the independent variables. Table 9: Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) test for multicollinearity Variable VIF 1/VIF BIG_4 FREEFLOAT LEV BOARD_SIZE MRKT_CONC CROSS SECTOR_IND~S SECTOR_FIN~S AGE SECTOR_MAT~S SECTOR_CO~ES SECTOR_CO~DS REV 8.64 7.49 6.12 5.57 4.84 4.14 2.98 2.76 2.64 1.88 1.83 1.81 1.40 0.115755 0.133505 0.163379 0.179503 0.206700 0.241405 0.335993 0.362764 0.378148 0.531368 0.547669 0.552292 0.712189 Mean VIF 4.01 The Shapiro-Wilk W test, provided in Table 10, tests whether the sample population is normally distributed. The sample population of the large majority of the variables is normally distributed, as their value of prob>z is lower than 0.05. Only the sample populations of LEV and CROSS are non-normally distributed. Overall, it is safe to say that the sample population is normally 60 distributed, as almost none of the variables exhibits non-normality of the distribution of the sample population. Table 10: Shapiro-Wilk W test for the normality of the data distribution Shapiro-Wilk W test for normal data Variable Obs W NEW REV LEV BIG_4 CROSS BOARD_SIZE AGE MRKT_CONC FREEFLOAT SECTOR_MAT~S SECTOR_IND~S SECTOR_CO~DS SECTOR_CO~ES SECTOR_FIN~S 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 0.97215 0.47145 0.98096 0.90249 0.99282 0.91911 0.80236 0.93066 0.94595 0.88925 0.96974 0.86615 0.89872 0.96716 V z 2.509 47.626 1.716 8.786 0.647 7.289 17.808 6.248 4.870 9.979 2.727 12.061 9.126 2.959 2.053 8.619 1.205 4.848 -0.972 4.431 6.425 4.088 3.532 5.133 2.238 5.555 4.933 2.420 Prob>z 0.02005 0.00000 0.11417 0.00000 0.83448 0.00000 0.00000 0.00002 0.00021 0.00000 0.01261 0.00000 0.00000 0.00775 In Figure 2, the distribution of the residuals can be found. The red line represents a normal distribution, while the blue depicts the distribution of the residuals in this research. It can be seen that the peak of the distribution is higher than under a normal distribution. The blue line resembles a normal distribution. However, the density is still quite large when the Pearson residuals are high. One of the assumptions of an OLS regression is that the residuals are normally distributed. However, this is not the case when it concerns a logistic regression. Therefore, no conclusions can be derived from this figure. Figure 2: Kernel density estimate of the distribution of the residuals .4 .2 0 Density .6 .8 Kernel density estimate -2 0 2 4 Pearson residual Kernel density estimate Normal density kernel = epanechnikov, bandwidth = .24 61 6.3 Discussion of the results Table 11 provides the regression results. To get a good understanding of the table, the unknown concepts at the top of the table, which are specific to a logistic regression, are explained first. LR chi2(12) is the likelihood ratio chi-squared. The number between brackets corresponds to the number of independent variables included into the model. LR chi2(12) is related to Prob > chi2, as Prob > chi2 is the p-value associated with the likelihood ratio chi-squared. Prob > chi2 is a chi-squared test. An LR chi2(12) of 29.16 in combination with a Prob > chi2 of 0.0037 means that the model as a whole represents a significantly better fit than in case the same model would not have any independent variables included. This usually implies that the independent variables included into the regression model are appropriately chosen for this specific research (IDRE, 2014b). The log likelihood represents the goodness of fit of a model. It is related to Pseudo R2, which is an easier method to determine a model’s goodness of fit. Therefore, the log likelihood will not be discussed in detail. Pseudo R2 represents McFadden's pseudo R-squared, also referred to as rhosquared. Rho-squared is not the same as the R-squared in an OLS model, which is the proportion of variance in the dependent variable that can be explained by the independent variables. Rhosquared can be calculated as one minus the log likelihood of the fitted model divided by the log likelihood of the null model. In mathematical terms: Rho-squared = 1 – (log likelihood fitted model / log likelihood null model) McFadden (1977) explains that the values of rho-squared “tend to be considerably lower than those of the R2 index”. He states that values between 0.2 and 0.4 for rho-squared mean an excellent fit of the model. In the paper by Domencich & McFadden (1975), it is argued that values of rho-squared between 0.2 and 0.4 correspond to an R-squared of 0.7 to 0.9 in OLS regressions. Since the value of rho-squared in this model is 0.2251, it could be concluded that this regression represents a good fit. However, because rho-squared does not have the same 62 meaning as the R-squared in an OLS regression, the IDRE (2014c) warns that this statistic should be interpreted with “great caution”. Table 11: Regression results Logistic regression Number of obs LR chi2(12) Prob > chi2 Pseudo R2 Log likelihood = -50.191422 NEW Coef. REV LEV BIG_4 CROSS BOARD_SIZE AGE MRKT_CONC FREEFLOAT SECTOR_MATERIALS SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS SECTOR_CONSGOODS SECTOR_CONSSERVICES SECTOR_FINANCIALS _cons -2.33e-11 -.2371045 2.055591 -1.514175 -.0652838 .0207455 2.501943 3.165748 1.078152 2.542577 .5414863 2.586435 1.85595 -7.074296 Std. Err. 3.95e-11 1.129845 1.171547 .6607983 .1921651 .0121089 1.486169 1.186549 1.380664 1.219023 1.459848 1.296886 1.222936 1.914304 z -0.59 -0.21 1.75 -2.29 -0.34 1.71 1.68 2.67 0.78 2.09 0.37 1.99 1.52 -3.70 P>|z| 0.555 0.834 0.079 0.022 0.734 0.087 0.092 0.008 0.435 0.037 0.711 0.046 0.129 0.000 = = = = 111 29.16 0.0037 0.2251 [95% Conf. Interval] -1.01e-10 -2.45156 -.2405991 -2.809315 -.4419204 -.0029876 -.4108943 .8401552 -1.627901 .1533371 -2.319764 .0445863 -.5409602 -10.82626 5.42e-11 1.977351 4.35178 -.2190338 .3113529 .0444785 5.41478 5.491342 3.784204 4.931818 3.402736 5.128284 4.25286 -3.32233 This thesis distinguishes between three significance levels: 1%, 5% and 10%. The 1% and 5% significance levels are widely applied and recognized in academic research. Results with a 10% significance level have to be taken with caution, as the 10% significance level is less commonly used in academic studies. However, it has been decided also to recognize the results significant at 10% as being significant, instead of labeling them as insignificant. First of all, quite some results in this study are not significant at the 5% level but are significant at the 10% level. Recognizing the 10% significance level gives the readers of this thesis more detailed information about the strength of the relation between the dependent and the independent variables. Besides, it seems inappropriate to label variables with a p-value of 0.06 the same as variables with a pvalue of 0.90, i.e. both insignificant. 63 H1: Firm size is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. As can be seen in Table 11, firm size (REV) is not significantly related to the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. In contrast to what was hypothesized, firm size even exhibits a slightly negative relation with the dependent variable. This means that H1 is rejected. There is no significant relation between the two variables. H2: There is a positive association between leverage and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. There is also no significant association between leverage (LEV) and NEW, the dependent variable. On average, highly leveraged firms are slightly less likely to issue a new style audit report than firms with a lower leverage ratio, although this relation is non-significant. As a result, H2 is rejected. H3: There is a positive association between Big Four-audited firms and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Conform H3, there is a significantly positive association between having a Big Four auditor (BIG_4) and the issuance of the new style audit report. This relation holds at a significance level of 10%. It is possible to interpret the regression parameter by computing the exponential function of the parameter. That results in the odds ratio. The exponential function of the regression coefficient of BIG_4 (2.056) is 7.81. So the odds ratio shows that firms with a Big Four auditor are 7.81 times more likely to issue a new style audit report than firms with a non-Big Four auditor. H4: There is a negative association between cross-listed firms and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. There is a significantly negative association between CROSS and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report at a significance level of 5%. The probability that a cross-listed firm issues a new style audit report is 4.55 times lower compared to a single-listed firm. This number represents the odds ratio. In case of a negative regression coefficient, 1 has to be divided by the exponential function of the regression coefficient of CROSS (-1.514), which is 0.22. This result is 64 conform H4, but in contrast to what theory says about the relation between being cross-listed and voluntary reporting. H5: Board size is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. BOARD_SIZE does not exhibit a significant relationship with the dependent variable, which means that H5 is rejected. Although a positive association was hypothesized, this result is not that surprising, as previous studies were mostly inconclusive about the relation between board size and voluntary disclosure. With an extra board member, it becomes only 1.04 times less likely that a firm engages in issuing a new style audit report. As previously mentioned, this ratio is calculated by dividing 1 by the exponential function of the parameter coefficient. H6: Age is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. At a significance level of 10%, there is a positive relation between the listing age of a firm (AGE) and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. This is in accordance with the direction specified by H6, so H6 is confirmed. H7: Competitive pressure is negatively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Competitive pressure is significantly negatively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report, as there is a positive relation between MRKT_CONC and NEW at a significance level of 10%. This is conform H7, so as a result, this hypothesis is confirmed. From this result, it can be concluded that firms in markets with lower competitive pressure are more likely to issue a new style audit report. H8: Ownership dispersion is positively associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. It is found that there is significantly positive association between ownership dispersion and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report, as the proxy for ownership dispersion (FREEFLOAT) exhibits a positive relation with NEW at a significance level of 1%. Therefore, H8 can be confirmed. 65 H9: Associations exist between the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit and the industry of firms. There are six sector variables, of which five are included in the regression. SECTOR_TECHNOLOGY is excluded from the regression and therefore used as the benchmark, which is common practice when examining industry effects. From the regression results, it can be derived that firms in the industrials and consumer services sector (i.e. SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS and SECTOR_CONSSERVICES) issue significantly more new style audit reports than firms in the technology sector. These results hold at a 5% significance level. For the other sectors, no significant associations can be found. Therefore, H9 is confirmed, as two significant industry effects have been found. Concluded, BIG_4, AGE and MRKT_CONC are significantly positively associated with the dependent variable at a 10% level. FREEFLOAT is significantly positively related to the issuance of the new style audit report at a 1% significance level. On the other hand, there is a significantly negative association between CROSS and NEW at a significance level of 5%. At a significance level of 10%, there is also a significantly negative relation between competitive pressure and the voluntary disclosure of the new audit report. Furthermore, at a 5% level, it was found that firms in the sectors ‘Industrials’ and ‘Consumer Services’ disclose significantly more new style audit reports than firms in the sector ‘Technology’, which served as the benchmark. Summarized, H1, H2 and H5 are rejected, meaning that the results show no significant association in the expected direction for these hypotheses. However, H3, H4, H6, H7, H8 and H9 are confirmed, as for these hypotheses there is a significant relationship in the pre-specified direction. 6.4 Analysis Big Four auditor There is a significantly positive relation between having a Big Four auditor and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Previous empirical research provides overwhelming evidence of a strong positive relation between voluntary disclosure and having a Big Four auditor, but the relation between the disclosure of the new style audit report and having a Big Four auditor is only significant at 10%. A reason for this could be that, although they consult 66 with and get advice from their auditor, the firms themselves still have the final word about whether or not issuing a new style audit report. Still, although at 10%, there is a significantly positive association between issuing the new style audit report and having a Big Four auditor. It is an indication that Big Four audited firms, in cooperation with their auditor, spark innovative reporting, as these firms and their auditors seem to be the driving force behind the new style audit report. Cross-listing The significantly negative relation for cross-listed firms is the result of the inclusion of nonDutch firms in the sample, which are almost per definition cross-listed, engaging less in voluntarily disclosing the new style audit report. As explained in Section 4, non-Dutch firms are probably less aware of the new style audit report and its advantages. This result proves that this thought is likely to be the explanation for the negative relation between CROSS and NEW. So although the studies in Section 3 only found significantly positive associations between a crosslisting and voluntary disclosure, this result is therefore not unexpected. An alternative explanation can be given applying the theory of Graham et al. (2005). They stated that attaining more analyst coverage is one of the main reasons for firms to engage in voluntary disclosure. It seems safe to assume that cross-listed firms have more analyst coverage, as, because of their cross-listing, they have more international exposure in a variety of countries. Non-cross-listed firms are more likely than cross-listed firms to have a lack of analyst coverage. Therefore, noncross-listed firms might be more eager to voluntarily issue a new style audit report, in order to attract more analyst coverage. Firm age The significantly positive relation for the variable AGE strengthens the thought that the market expects a higher level of voluntary disclosure from older firms, as theorized by Coebergh (2011). As explained in Section 2, Graham et al. (2005) found that one of three main reasons managers engage in voluntary disclosure is to increase or maintain the reputation of their firm. This result implies that older firms take more responsibility in taking care of their reputation by responding to the needs of society, which corresponds to the legitimacy theory. The positive association is in line with previous empirical research, as the discussed studies in Section 3 found three 67 significantly positive associations against zero significantly negative associations between voluntary disclosure and firm age. Competitive pressure There is a significantly negative relation between competitive pressure and voluntary issuing the new style audit report, although only at a 10% significance level. Evidence of previous literature on the relation between competitive pressure and voluntary disclosure was mixed, so it is not unexpected that the significance level of this relation is only 10%. This result can be explained by the proprietary cost theory, which theorizes that firms in industries with high entry barriers are more affected when there is a newcomer, putting pressure on their profits. As a result, they are more willing to satisfy their stakeholders, by, for example, providing the new style audit report. An alternative theory explained in Section 4, arguing that firms in competitive markets experience higher stakeholder pressure to disclose voluntary information in order to earn or keep a competitive advantage, is not supported by this result. Ownership dispersion The most significantly positive relation exists between ownership dispersion and the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report, at a significance level of 1%. Although a positive association was hypothesized, it is quite surprising that this relationship is this strong, as previous literature on the relation between ownership dispersion was quite mixed; three studies found a significantly positive result, while two studies obtained a significantly negative result. This association can be explained by the theory of Chau & Gray (2002), who state firms with a dispersed ownership structure have more shareholders, therefore facing more public pressure to issue voluntary information. Again, there are common grounds with the legitimacy theory. Another explanation for this positive relationship can be provided by the agency theory. A high degree of ownership dispersion often implies that there is a low amount of institutional ownership. Institutional owners have normally more inside information than the rest of shareholders do, because they own a larger part of the firm’s share capital. So when ownership is dispersed, there is likely to be more information asymmetry between shareholders and management. Information asymmetry is one of the two main pillars of the agency theory. Because of this higher degree of information asymmetry, management might feel more need to 68 voluntarily disclose the new style audit report when ownership is dispersed. This type of innovative reporting might also make management win the trust of their shareholders, thereby reducing monitoring costs, and subsequently agency costs, in the future. Insignificant relations with the dependent variable were found for the independent variables REV, LEV and BOARD_SIZE. Firm size, the degree of leverage and the size of the board are not associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Firm size It was theorized that large firms have more resources and feel more pressure to issue voluntary information, because of their higher public visibility. Large firms are also more likely to issue new shares by means of a Seasoned Equity Offering (SEO) in order to attract more capital. Disclosing the new style audit report would lead to less uncertainty about firm performance by capital providers. However, no evidence for these theories was found when it concerns the relation between firm size and the issuance of the new style audit report. An explanation for this result could be that large firms have many other channels to communicate with the public. Instead of communicating information via the new style audit report, big firms might, more so than small firms, provide useful voluntary information to their investors via communication channels like conference calls and press meetings. Another reason for this insignificant relation is provided by the positive accounting theory, and more specifically by the bonus plan hypothesis. Recalling the information from Section 2, this hypothesis assumes that managers engage in voluntary disclosure out of self-interest, because they want to increase their own compensation. According to Schaefer (1998), CEOs of large firms have a lower proportion of stock-based compensation relative to total salary than CEOs of smaller firms. Elaborating on this thought, it could be stated that it is more important for CEOs of small firms rather than large firms that the share price of their firm’s stock increases. One way to do so is by pleasing their shareholders by, for example, voluntarily disclosing the new style audit report. An innovative reporting strategy might have a positive effect on the share price, which would increase compensation especially for CEOs of small firms, who therefore might have more incentives to issue the new style audit report. Relating the negative association between firm size and the proportion of stock-based compensation with the bonus plan hypothesis might explain why there 69 is an insignificant relation between firm size and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Still, the insignificant relation between firm size and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report is unexpected. Namely, the discussed articles in Section 3 found sixteen significantly positive associations against zero significantly negative associations between firm size and voluntary disclosure. Leverage The positive direction of the hypothesis for the relation between leverage and the disclosure of the new style audit report was mainly based on the agency theory. Higher leverage would lead to more monitoring of management by the shareholders, hence resulting in more pressure for management to show their good intentions, by for example disclosing the new style audit report. An argument in favor a negative association between leverage and voluntary disclosure was provided by the signaling theory. Firms with low leverage might be more willing to disclose voluntary information in order to signal their superior performance. However, from the results, it can be concluded that both theories were not able to explain the relation between leverage and the disclosure of the new style audit report. This result is not that surprising, as the previous studies discussed in Section 3 found mixed results on the relation between leverage and voluntary disclosure; six found a significantly positive relationship, while four times a significantly negative association was found. Board size The expected positive relation between board size and the issuance of the new style audit report could be explained by the monitoring role of the Supervisory Board. A large Supervisory Board is associated with a large Board of Directors. Hence, there are more resources to monitor the board, and to evaluate individual directors on their performance. Most directors might have incentive packages, meaning that they are rewarded for good performance and punished for bad performance. Issuing an innovative reporting concept like the new style audit report in the Annual Report, might lead to a better evaluation from Supervisory Board. However, from the results it can be concluded this this is not the case. A reason for this insignificant relation might be that the Supervisory Board normally is very close with the Board of Directors, as the members of the Supervisory Board are appointed by the Board of Directors. This could be 70 detrimental for the monitoring function of the Supervisory Board. As with leverage, based on the articles in Section 3, there was no overwhelming evidence of the hypothesized positive relation between board size and voluntary disclosure. As three studies found a significantly positive relation and two found a significantly negative relation, this insignificant association might not come as a total surprise. Industry The fact that there are significant industry effects for the sectors Industrials and Consumer Services supports the institutional theory, and more specifically the notice of mimetic isomorphism. This theory relies on the notion that firms tend to mimic the practices of comparable firms, for example firms in their own industry. Since certain industries display a higher level of issuing the new style audit report than others, this theory seems applicable. Since previous studies have mostly used other industry classification schemes to test for significant industry effects, it is hard to compare the industry results of this study to previous studies. However, it seems quite surprising that the sector Technology is least associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Firms in the technology business are often known to make their money by coming up with innovative concepts and products, so one would think that these firms would embrace an innovative reporting concept like the new style audit report. However, from the results it seems like the innovativeness of firms in the technology sector does not hold for their reporting practices. 6.5 Robustness test Table 12 represents the robust logistic regression. According to Shevlyakov & Vilchevski (2001), robustness is the “stability of statistical inference under the variations of the accepted distribution models.” That is, the robust logistic regression tests whether the results still hold when there are small deviations from normality. The exact scenario under which this robust logistic regression is ran is auto-generated by Stata. As can be seen in Table 12, the coefficients have not changed severely. This indicates that there is a true causal relationship between the significant independent variables and the dependent 71 variables. All except two variables are still significant at the level of the initial logistic regression. In the robust logistic regression, MRKT_CONC is not significant at the 10% level anymore, while the sector variable SECTOR_CONSSERVICES is now significant at the 10% level instead of the 5% level. However, because the changes in p-values are only very slight and the regression coefficients have changed minimally, it can be concluded that the initial logistic regression is representative for this research. Table 12: Robust logistic regression Logistic regression Number of obs Wald chi2(12) Prob > chi2 Pseudo R2 Log pseudolikelihood = -50.191422 NEW Coef. REV LEV BIG_4 CROSS BOARD_SIZE AGE MRKT_CONC FREEFLOAT SECTOR_MATERIALS SECTOR_INDUSTRIALS SECTOR_CONSGOODS SECTOR_CONSSERVICES SECTOR_FINANCIALS _cons -2.33e-11 -.2371045 2.055591 -1.514175 -.0652838 .0207455 2.501943 3.165748 1.078152 2.542577 .5414863 2.586435 1.85595 -7.074296 Robust Std. Err. 3.05e-11 .9468835 1.171306 .7000787 .1869522 .0115199 1.525741 1.104607 1.319834 1.164183 1.76844 1.361782 1.187867 1.972296 z -0.77 -0.25 1.75 -2.16 -0.35 1.80 1.64 2.87 0.82 2.18 0.31 1.90 1.56 -3.59 P>|z| 0.444 0.802 0.079 0.031 0.727 0.072 0.101 0.004 0.414 0.029 0.759 0.058 0.118 0.000 = = = = 111 . . 0.2251 [95% Conf. Interval] -8.31e-11 -2.092962 -.2401261 -2.886304 -.4317034 -.001833 -.4884554 1.000759 -1.508676 .26082 -2.924593 -.082609 -.4722268 -10.93993 3.64e-11 1.618753 4.351307 -.1420456 .3011359 .043324 5.492341 5.330738 3.664979 4.824335 4.007565 5.255479 4.184127 -3.208666 The next section presents the conclusions of this study. In this section, the results will be summarized and the limitations of the research will be discussed. In addition, opportunities for further research are brought forward. 72 7. Summary and conclusion This section provides a summary of the thesis, the main results, and recommendations for further research. The objective of this thesis was to examine the firms characteristics associated with the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Therefore, in the introduction, the following main research question was constructed: What are the firm characteristics associated with the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report in the Dutch stock market? Based on the research performed in this thesis, the answer to the main research questions is as follows: ownership dispersion, firm age and having a Big Four auditor are the firm characteristics significantly positively associated with the voluntary issuance of the new style audit report in the Dutch stock market, while competitive pressure and a cross-listing are significantly negatively related to the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Furthermore, the sectors Industrials and Consumer Services display a significantly positive relation with the disclosure of the new style audit report. Summary After introducing the subject of this thesis in Section 1, in Section 2, the attributes of the new style audit report were explained. In contrast to the old format audit report, the new style audit report usually includes paragraphs on 1) key audit matters/areas of focus, 2) materiality and an overview of the scope of the audit, and 3) a firm’s going concern. When at least two out of three paragraphs were included into a firm’s audit report, the firm was considered to be a new style audit report adopter. Furthermore, Section 2 discussed theories that could be related to voluntary disclosure practices. These included the agency theory, signaling theory, capital need theory, legitimacy theory, positive accounting theory, institutional theory and litigation cost theory. 73 Section 3 provided a review of empirical studies focusing on the factors associated with voluntary disclosure. Size, profitability, a Big Four Auditor and leverage were the characteristics found to be most often significantly associated with voluntary disclosure. The former three factors pointed towards a positive association, while evidence on the relation between leverage and voluntary disclosure was mainly mixed. Out of these four ‘top variables’, only profitability was not included in the regression model, because of the substantial yearly changes in profitability ratio for many (small) firms in the research sample. The other variables included into the research model yielded either positive or mixed results in previous research. The evidence on the relation of voluntary disclosure with being cross-listing (4 positive, 0 negative) and firm age (3 to 0) was convincingly positive, while the factors board size, ownership dispersion (both 3 to 2) and competitive pressure (1 to 1) yielded mixed evidence in prior research. In Section 4, the hypotheses were constructed. In order to test the hypotheses, a logistic regression model was constructed in Section 5, measuring the relation between the issuance of the new style audit report and the hypothesized firm characteristics. Besides the research model, also the research sample, variables, descriptive statistics and statistical tests were discussed in Section 5. Results Section 6 provided the main results of this study. First of all, a correlation matrix was constructed. No high correlation coefficients (-0.5 > r > 0.5) between the variables could be detected, which is generally a good sign. After that, several statistical tests on the regression model were performed. These included tests for multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity and the normality of the data distribution, and a graph depicting estimates of the distribution of the residuals. Again, no severe problems were detected, indicating that the regression model is wellfitted. The results of the logistic regression showed that there are significantly positive associations between the disclosure of the new style audit report and listing age, having a Big Four auditor (both at a 10% significance level), and ownership dispersion (at 1%). Significantly negative relations with the issuance of the new style audit report were found for competitive pressure (10%) and being cross-listed (5%). Insignificant associations with the disclosure of the 74 new style firms in the sectors Consumer Services and Industrials are significantly positively related to the disclosure of the new style audit report. As a result, three out of nine hypotheses had to be rejected, while six out of nine hypotheses were confirmed by the regression results. Analysis In the analysis part of Section 6, it was attempted to link the results to existing theories, mostly discussed in Section 2. Especially the legitimacy theory can be linked to the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. The significantly positive associations found for the factors firm age and ownership dispersion can be explained by this theory. According to the legitimacy theory, the public expects rather from older than younger firms that they engage in voluntary reporting. Older firms feel more pressure to comply with the public’s expectations, for example by issuing the new style audit report. Also firms with a dispersed ownership structure are likely to face more public pressure when it concerns voluntary disclosure, because they have a larger amount of shareholders. The association with ownership dispersion, however, can also be explained by the agency theory. High ownership dispersion implies little institutional ownership. Institutional owners often have more inside information about the firm, as they normally own a large part of the firm’s shares. When ownership is dispersed, it means that shareholders have less inside information. This results in a higher information asymmetry between management and shareholders, so there is more need for management to regularly inform their shareholders about the firm. This can be done by voluntary disclosure, and more specifically by issuing the new style audit report. The significantly negative association of competitive pressure with the issuance of the new style audit report was substantiated by the proprietary cost theory. According to this theory, the profits of firms in high entry barrier industries, which are associated with little competitive pressure, are more hurt by the entrance of new firms into the industry. Therefore, for these firms it is more important to please their stakeholders. One way to this is by providing more voluntary disclosures. It was analyzed that the insignificant relation between firm size and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report might have to do with the bonus plan hypothesis of the positive accounting theory. Previous research has provided evidence that the total compensation of CEOs of small firms is composed of a relatively higher proportion of stock-based compensation compared to CEOs of large firms. CEOs of small firms might think that they can satisfy their shareholders by disclosing the new style audit report, which, in turn, 75 might increase the price of their stock. Subsequently, this would increase the CEO’s compensation. The significant industry effects are in line with the institutional theory of mimetic isomorphism, which argues that similar firms tend to copy other firm’s practices. Comparison with previous research The majority of the significant results obtained in this thesis is conform previous empirical studies examining the factors related to voluntary disclosure, discussed in Section 3. The significantly positive associations for having a Big Four auditor and firm age were supported by previous empirical evidence. For leverage and board size, previous empirical evidence was mixed, although slightly leaning towards a positive relation, so it was not that surprising that both variables were found to be insignificantly related to the issuance of the new style audit report. However, previous literature on competitive pressure and ownership dispersion was also mixed, but this time, a significant association was found for both variables. The significantly negative association between being cross-listed and the issuance of the new style audit report was in contrast to what previous research said. This result could be explained by the theory that non-Dutch firms, which are almost by definition cross-listed in this study, are less aware of the new style audit report. The insignificant association for firm size was surprising looking at previous research, which found overwhelming evidence of a positive association with voluntary disclosure. Recommendations This thesis examines whether there are significant associations between firm characteristics and the disclosure of the new style audit report, but it does not tell whether there is causality between the variables, as it was not the objective of this study to detect causal connections. However, it cannot be ruled out that there might be causal relationships between some significant variables and the voluntary disclosure of the new style audit report. Assuming there is causality, a few recommendations to certain parties of interest are listed. First of all, it might be interesting for standard-setters that this thesis provides evidence that Big Four audited firms are currently more engaged with the new style audit report than firms audited by a non-Big Four firms. It is a sign that Big Four auditors are already quite familiar with the new style audit report, while most nonBig Four auditors are not. Before making the new style audit report obligatory, it might be wise 76 for the IAASB to provide training and guidance on the new style audit report to non-Big Four audit firms. It is of highest importance to get non-Big Four auditors acquainted with the regulations of the new style audit report, in order to preserve audit report quality in the future. Moreover, as the new style audit report is an innovative concept, it is important for investors to know which types of firms tend to engage in or restrain from groundbreaking initiatives like the new style audit report. Innovativeness in reporting can be linked to innovativeness in business. As innovative firms are often believed to have good growth prospects, these firms are attractive targets for investors. Limitations There are some limitations to this research. For example, the size of the research sample is quite small, as it only includes 111 observations. Normally, this reduces the power of the results and makes it more difficult to obtain significant statistics. Luckily, this research has provided quite some significant results, but it is a factor to consider when the sample size is small. Furthermore, the data about firms’ competitive pressure were drawn from the U.S. market. Although the U.S. data probably exhibit the reality on the European market, it might influence the results. Further research Because the new style audit report is still a brand new concept, there are plenty of opportunities for further research on this topic. It would be interesting to examine the differences between the future performances of voluntary new style audit report adopters compared to non-adopters. Think about figures like revenue growth, cost of capital and profitability growth. 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Gold Coast: Bond University. 84 Appendix Table 13: The number of significant associations (articles Section 3) Determinant of voluntary disclosure Size Profitability Leverage Big 4 auditor State ownership Board size Managerial ownership Ownership dispersion Cross-listed CG strength Institutional ownership Firm age Assets-in-place Foreign ownership Economic performance Listing age Board compensation Competitive pressure Role duality Family-controlled Number of significantly positive associations 16 8 6 6 3 3 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 0 85 Number of significantly negative associations 0 2 4 1 3 2 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 Total 16 10 10 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 Table 14: List of sampled firms per index AEX AMX ASCX Other listed firms Non-listed firms ABN AMRO PGGM Aegon Ahold Akzo Nobel ArcelorMittal ASML Aalberts Accell Air France-KLM Aperam Arcadis AMG Acomo Ballast Nedam BE Semiconductor Beter Bed Boskalis Corio Delta Lloyd DSM Arseus ASM International BAM BinckBank Brill Crown Van Gelder Cryo-Save Docdata Fugro Gemalto Heineken ING Brunel Ten Cate Corbion Eurocommercial DPA Grontmij Groothandelsgebouwen Heijmans Aareal Accsys Ajax AND International Atrium EUR Real Estate Batenburg Techniek Bever Holding Boussard & Gavaudan Brookfield Asset Management Core Laboratories Ctac Dico International Eurocastle KPN Exact HES Beheer Galapagos OCI Imtech ICT Automatisering HAL Trust Unit Philips Nieuwe Steen Investments Nutreco PostNL Sligro Food Group TKH Group TomTom USG People Vastned Vopak Wereldhave KasBank Holland Colours Kendrion Nedap Neways Oranjewoud Ordina Stern Group Telegraaf Media Group Value8 Wessanen Hunter Douglas Hydratec Inverko Kardan Lavide Holding Leo Capital Growth Macintosh MTY Holdings Nedsense New Sources Energy Pharming Porceleyne Fles RoodMicrotec Roto Smeets Group SnowWorld Source Group TIE Kinetix UNIT4 Van Lanschot Volta Finance Yatra Capital Randstad SBM Offshore TNT Express Unibail Rodamco Wolters Kluwer Ziggo 86 Table 15: Classification of firms into sectors (based upon the ICB system*) Basic Industrials Consumer Consumer Financials Materials Goods Services Technology Akzo Nobal ArcelorMittal DSM Boskalis OCI Philips Heineken Accell Corbion Ahold KPN Wolters Kluwer Aegon Corio Delta Lloyd Fugro SBM Offshore Aperam Randstad TNT Express Aalberts Nutreco Acomo Docdata ING Unibail Rodamco BinckBank Arseus Arcadis Wessanen Ziggo Air France-KLM Sligro Food Group Beter Bed Crown Van Gelder Cryo-Save Core Laboratories Galapagos Holland Colours BAM Dico International Brill Nieuwe Steen Investments ASML Gemalto ASM International Exact TomTom BE Semiconductor ICT Automatisering Ordina Brunel Ten Cate Hunter Douglas MTY Holdings Vastned Wereldhave Ctac Inverko Imtech PostNL Porceleyne Fles Groothandelsgebouwen KasBank Lavide Holding Nedsense Pharming TKH Group Stern Group Telegraaf Media Group Ajax AND International Macintosh Value8 SnowWorld Aareal Atrium EUR Real Estate Bever Holding Boussard & Gavaudan Brookfield Asset Management Eurocastle HAL Trust Unit Kardan Leo Capital Growth Source Group Van Lanschot Volta Finance Yatra Capital ABN AMRO New Sources Energy RoodMicrotec TIE Kinetix UNIT4 USG People Vopak AMG Ballast Nedam DPA Grontmij Heijmans HES Beheer Kendrion Nedap Neways Oranjewoud Accsys Batenburg Techniek Hydratec Roto Smeets Group Eurocommercial PGGM * Examples of the main activities of firms in each sector Basic Materials: Oil equipment and services, specialty chemicals, biotechnology. Industrials: Heavy construction, industrial transportation, industrial machinery, electronic equipment. Consumer goods: Leisure goods, food producers, furnishings. Consumer services: Telecommunications, media, airlines. Financials: Banks, asset management, investment services. Technology: Hardware and equipment, software and computer services, semiconductors. 87