NACLIM Deliverable D21.12 Colour code: Your inputs to be provided in the parts in green Template prefilled by project office in the grey sections Description of a monitoring system on the shallow East Greenland shelf (This is a report describing the design of a new monitoring system to be Deliverable title deployed on the East Greenland shelf) WP No. 2.1 Lead beneficiary: WP title Exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge Work duration1) 12 x NIOZ / Laura De Steur Due delivery deadline: 15 Sept. 2013 Actual delivery date: R= report P= prototype Nature of the deliverable D= demonstrator O= Other PU = public x Dissemination level PP= restricted to other programme participants, including the Commission services RE= restricted to a group specified by the consortium, including the Commission services CO= confidential, only for members of the consortium, including the Commission services 1) Work duration = project month Lead beneficiary: NIOZ Laura De Steur Other contributing partners: UHAM Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved UIB Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved UNIRES Please list the names of the scientist(s) involved Page 1 Index 1. Executive summary ........................................................................................................... 3 2. Project objectives .............................................................................................................. 3 3. Detailed report on the deliverable ...................................................................................... 3 4. References ........................................................................................................................ 4 5. List of publications ............................................................................................................. 4 6. The delivery is delayed: Yes No ............................................................................. 5 7. Changes made and difficulties encountered, if any............................................................ 6 8. Efforts for this deliverable .................................................................................................. 6 9. Sustainability ..................................................................................................................... 6 Page 2 1. Executive summary Please provide in 1 page: - a brief summary of the work performed in this deliverable - a list of the main results achieved Input requested here. 2. Project objectives With this deliverable, the project has contributed to the achievement of the following objectives (see DOW Section B.1.1): Please put an X where appropriate Nr. 1. Objective Assessing the predictability and quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of the North Atlantic/Arctic Ocean surface state 2. Assessing the atmospheric predictability related to the North Atlantic/Arctic Ocean surface state 3. Monitoring of volume, heat and fresh water transports across key sections in the North Atlantic 4. Quantifying the benefit of the different ocean observing system components for the initialization of decadal climate predictions 5. Establishing the impact of an Arctic initialization on the forecast skill in the North Atlantic/European sector 6. Quantifying the impact of predicted North Atlantic upper ocean state changes on the oceanic ecosystem 7. Quantifying the impact of predicted North Atlantic upper ocean state changes on socioeconomic systems in European urban societies 8. Providing recommendations for observational and prediction systems 9. Providing recommendations for predictions of the oceanic ecosystem 10. Disseminating the key results to the climate service community and relevant endusers/stakeholders 11. Constructing a dataset for sea surface and sea ice surface temperatures in the Arctic 3. Detailed report on the deliverable Please write a detailed report on the work done. Input requested Page 3 Yes No X X X X X X X X X X X 4. References Please quote references here for this deliverable Author, (year), “Title”, doi: Input requested 5. Dissemination and uptake 5.1 Dissemination Add the publications related to this deliverable. Please fill in the table below in ALL its parts. These are inputs we must upload in the European Commission database SESAM. Peer reviewed articles: Title Main author All authors Example Systematic Estimates of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability for Six AOGCMs Branstator, G., H. Teng, G.A. Meehl, M. Kimoto, J.R. Knight, M. Latif, and A. Rosati Title of the periodica l or the series JOURNA L OF CLIMAT E Number, date or frequency Publisher VOLUME 25 America n Meteorol ogical Society Place of publicat ion Check the NACLIM „Dissemination Plan“ on the open access requirements: http://naclim.zmaw.de/Deliverables.2224.0.html 1 Page 4 Year of publication Permanent identifiers[1] DOI 2012 DOI: 10.1175/JCL I-D-1100227.1 Is/Will open access 1provided to this publication? Yes Publications in preparation OR submitted Is there any publication in plan or already submitted. Add lines if needed. In preparation OR submitted? Title All authors Title of the periodical or the series Example: In preparation Decadal Predictability Branstator, G., H. Teng, G.A. Meehl, M. Kimoto Is/Will open access be provided to this publication? 5.2 Uptake by the targeted audience According to the DOW, your audience for this deliverable is: The general public (PU) X The project partners, including the Commission services (PP) A group specified by the consortium, including the Commission services (RE) This reports is confidential, only for members of the consortium, including the Commission services (CO) How are you going to ensure the uptake of the deliverables by the targeted audience? Input requested 6. The delivery is delayed: Yes No If yes, please write four lines for justifying the delay and estimate risks for the project. Input requested Page 5 7. Changes made and difficulties encountered, if any If you have encountered difficulties or made changes, please write four lines of explanation. Input requested 8. Efforts for this deliverable How many person-months have been used up for this deliverable? Partner Person-months NIOZ UHAM UIB UNIRES 0.5 1 1 2 Period covered From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy From dd/mm/yyyy- to dd/mm/yyyy 4.5 Total Total estimated effort for this deliverable (DOW) was 4.5 person-months. 9. Sustainability Lessons learnt: both positive and negative that can be drawn from the experiences of the work to date and Links built with other deliverables, WPs, and synergies created with other projects Input requested Page 6 10. Dissemination activities Add the dissemination activities (starting from November 2012) related to this deliverable. Fill in the table below in all its parts. [3] Indicate here which type of activities from the following list: Publications, conferences, workshops, web, press releases, flyers, articles published in the popular press, videos, media briefings, presentations, exhibitions, thesis, interviews, films, TV clips, posters, Other. [4] Indicate here which type of audience: Scientific Community (higher education, Research), Industry, Civil Society, Policy makers, Medias ('multiple choices' is possible. Type of activities[3] Main leader Title (+website reference) Date Place Type of audience[4] Size of audience Countries addressed Have you sent a copy to Chiara (project office) via mail? Presentations UPMC 16th AOMIP and 1st FAMOS meetings http://www.whoi.edu /page.do?pid=1094 56 23-26 October 2012 Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts (USA) Scientific Community (higher education, Research) 150 USA, Europe Yes Page 7 Description of the work package in the Description of Work (DOW) for reference Objectives WP 2.1 • To modify existing measuring systems in order to make them more accurate and more sustainable for long-term monitoring of the exchanges across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge • To provide updated time series of mass and heat transport for all the Atlantic inflow branches to the Nordic Seas and mass and freshwater transport for the most important overflow branches • To estimate the variability and identify any potential trends in these flows. Description of work and role of the partners The experience from previous experiments has revealed gaps in the monitoring systems, but also indicated ways to make them less costly to run. At the project start, these changes will be implemented and measurements acquired during the field phase of the project. The mooring arrays for the Atlantic inflows and the overflows will only slightly be modified, but the arrays capturing the freshwater fluxes on the East Greenland Shelf and those covering the overflow sources upstream are new developments. Task 2.1.1 Monitoring the inflow of Atlantic water to the Nordic Seas a) The existing monitoring systems across the three Atlantic inflow branches will be modified in order to enhance the accuracy and make them more sustainable as long-term monitoring systems. [UiB, MRI, HAV, MSS, SAMS]. The output will be the Deliverable D8, D21, D34, D57 b) Monitoring will be maintained during the field phase of NACLIM and time series of hydrographic properties and volume transport of the three Atlantic inflow branches generated annually. [UiB, MRI, HAV, MSS, SAMS]. The output will be the Deliverable D21, D34, D57 c) Based on the updated time series, variability and potential trends of the inflow branches will be estimated and evaluated in relation to available model results. [UniRes, UiB, MRI, HAV, MSS, SAMS] The output will be the Deliverable D51, D59 d) At the project conclusion, a design for a sustainable long-term inflow monitoring system will be recommended. [UniRes, UiB, MRI, HAV, MSS] The output will be the Deliverable D59 Task 2.1.2 Monitoring the dense water overflow across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge a) Denmark Strait overflow. [MRI, UHAM] The output will be the Deliverable D21, D34, D57 b) The existing ADCP mooring array in the Faroe Bank Channel (FBC) will be maintained during the field phase of NACLIM and time series of FBC-overflow properties and transport generated annually. [HAV, UiB and UHAM] The output will be the Deliverable D21, D34, D57 c) The overflow across the shallow Wyville Thomson Ridge will be monitored downstream of the ridge. [SAMS] The output will be the Deliverable D21, D34, D57, D44, D55 d) Based on the updated time series, variability and potential trends of the monitored overflow branches will be estimated and evaluated in relation to available model results. [UiB, UHAM, MRI, HAV, SAMS] The output will be the Deliverable D51, D59 e) At the project conclusion, a design for a sustainable long-term overflow monitoring system will be recommended. [UniRes, UiB, UHAM, MRI, HAV, SAMS] The output will be the Deliverable D59 Task 2.1.3 Sources of the Denmark Strait Overflow A skeleton mooring array based on the currently deployed full Kogur array will be maintained to monitor the deep East Greenland Current [UiB] and the North Icelandic Jet (American partner, WHOI), the two identified pathways of Denmark Strait Overflow Water. The eastern part of the Kogur section is regularly occupied by CTD cruises [MRI]. Along with the ongoing mooring program at the Denmark Strait sill [MRI, UHAM], these concurrent measurements will be an important step towards determining the relative contributions of the two sources of overflow water. The output will be the Deliverable D21, D34, D57, D44, D55 Task 2.1.4 Freshwater fluxes on the East Greenland Shelf The extension of the Kogur array onto the Greenland shelf will be maintained and expanded in order to measure the transport of fresh water by the East Greenland Current [NIOZ]. The deployment will initially take the form of an innovative pilot project in which the technology required for upper-ocean measurements in ice-covered waters already employed (e.g. in the Davis Strait) will be further developed. The output will be the Deliverable D8, D12, D21, D32, D53, D21, D34, D57, D44, D55 Page 8 Interaction with other work packages WP2.1 addresses the exchanges of heat and mass across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge and will provide data (input) to activities in WP’s 1.1, 1.2, 3.1, 3.2, 4.1 and 4.2. WP 2.1 will exchange data and observations technology with WP 2.2: WP2.2 addresses the assessment and improvement of the observing system south of the Greenland/Scotland Ridge. WP2.1 proposes to perform similar work but for the region north of the Greenland Scotland Ridge . For more information on interactions with WP 2.3, please see the exhaustive explanation in WP2.3. WP 2.1 and WP 3.1 will jointly investigate the importance of initializing the density structure in the overflow region: the importance of initializing the density structure in the overflow region will be investigated in collaboration with WP 2.1 by providing the information from the “perfect” model experiments obtained in WP3.1. Data on exchanges across the Greenland/Scotland Ridge from WP2.1 is required as input to WP3.2. List of deliverables D21.12) Description of a monitoring system on the shallow East Greenland shelf: This is a report describing the design of a new monitoring system to be deployed on the East Greenland shelf. [month 12] Who is in charge: NIOZ D21.21) Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge-1: Full title: Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge-1st Batch This deliverable consists of time series of mass, heat and freshwater transport across the GSR calculated on the first year of observations. [month 18] Who is in charge : UIB D21.32) Report on system performance: a monitoring system on the shallow East Greenland shelf: This is a report on the performance of the monitoring system described under D12. [month 30] Who is in charge: NIOZ D21.34) Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge-2: Full title: Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge-2nd Batch. This deliverable consists of time series of mass, heat and freshwater transport across the GSR calculated on the second year of observations. [month 30] Who is in charge: UIB D21.53) Assessment of the freshwater transport in the East Greenland Current at the Kogur array: Assessment of the freshwater transport in the East Greenland Current at the Kogur array [month 44] Who is in charge: MRI D21.57) Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across Greenland-Scotland-Ridge-3: Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge- 3rd Batch [month 44] Who is in charge: UIB Page 9 Person-months per participant Person-months (PM) Deliverable title Lead benef iciary Tot PM UH AM DQ Description of a monitoring system on the shallow East Greenland shelf NIOZ 4.5 Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge1st Batch Report on system performance: a monitoring system on the shallow East Greenland shelf Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge2nd Batch Assessment of the freshwater transport in the East Greenland Current at the Kogur array Daily time series data of mass, heat and freshwater transports across the Greenland-Scotland-Ridge3rd Batch UIB MPG UPMC UiB UniRE S 1 1 2 28 3 9 1 NIOZ 4.5 1 1 2 UIB 27 3 9 1 MRI 11 1 1 1 UIB 27 3 9 1 Page 10 GEOM AR DMI HAV FMI MRI NIOZ SAMS NER C/ ICPO NERS C VITO GIM DTU MSS 0.5 4 6 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 0.5 4 6 6 4 6 2