Elk and Vegetation Management Plan: Rocky Mountain National Park, CO Purpose: Data analysis of Elk population ranges and the effect on vegetation population. Analysis of management plan options. Background: - See separate sheet Materials: Copies of “Elk use of Ranges by Season” Copies of Elk Range Poster graph paper calculator Procedure Part ONE 1. Using the scale on the 2005 Elk Use of Ranges by Season, determine the area of the core winter range in kilometers squared (Km2). 2. Using these maps, county the number of elk present in the core winter range for each month. Record your information in Table 2: Monthly Elk Population in Core Winter Range. 3. Calculate the average annual population of elk in the core winter range. Record the population below Table 2. 4. Calculate the average density of elk in the core winter range. Enter it into Table 3. 5. Graph the data in Table 3: Recorded Aspen and Elk Densities 1968 Through 2003. 6. Plot your calculated 2005 elk density on the graph. 7. Draw a “Best Fit Line” for the elk data 8. Draw a “Best Fit Line” for the aspen data and extend it beyond the elk density trend line. 9. Estimate the aspen density for 2005 and enter it in Table 3. Data Analysis Core winter range area: __________ km2 Table 2: Monthly Elk Population in Core Winter Range Month Elk Population Month Elk Population January July February August March September April October May November June December Average Elk Population 2005: __________________________ Elk population = Area of core winter range (km2) average elk density 2005 Average Elk Density 2005: _________elk/km2 Table 3: Recorded Aspen and Elk Densities 1968 Through 2003 Year Aspen Denisty Elk Density (plants/km2) (elk/km2) 1968 330,000 20 1973 275,000 24 1978 210,000 51 1983 190,000 69 1988 170,000 53 1993 130,000 41 1998 115,000 65 2003 60,000 72 2005 1. What type of correlation exists between the aspen and elk populations? 2. If the current management plan, implemented in 1969, were to be continued indefinitely, what will happen to the aspen community within the core winter range? 3. What biotic factors of the ecosystem may be affected by the alteration of the aspen community? 4. What abiotic factors of the ecosystem may be affected by the alteration of the aspen community?