AP Statistics Course Syllabus 2013-2014 Instructor: Denise Glaude Classroom: Bldg-3 Rm-118 - Leesburg High School Course Objectives Upon completion of the coursework, exam, and final project, it is expected that students will be proficient in the following areas: Statistical Concepts Four major conceptual themes of statistics: Describing Data, Producing Data, Anticipating Patterns, and Statistical Inference. Statistical Skills Produce convincing oral and written statistical arguments, using appropriate terminology, in a variety of applied settings. Know when and how to use technology to aid them in solving statistical problems Statistical Knowledge Employ techniques for producing data (surveys, experiments, observational studies, and simulation ns), analyzing data (graphical & numerical summaries), modeling data (probability, random variables, sampling distributions), and drawing conclusions from data (inference procedures – confidence intervals and significance tests) Statistical Habits of mind Become critical consumers of published statistical results by heightening awareness of which statistics can be improperly used to mislead, confuse, or distort the truth. Students who successfully complete the course and exam may receive credit, advanced placement, or both for a one-semester introductory college statistics course. The AP Statistics Exam is in early May, 2014 and a required part of this course will be six hours of review out of twelve hours offered in late April – early May. AP Statistics Requirements: 3-hole punch note paper pencil/pen 3-ring binder (with 5 sections) Graphing Calculator (TI-83/84 Plus) Enthusiasm and willingness to learn Grading Policy: Classwork/Homework/Notes (projects, book assignments, or worksheets) 20% Quizzes (projects or written quizzes) 20% Tests (projects or written tests) 60% Quizzes and Tests: Quizzes will be given frequently; and not necessarily announced. Tests are chapter based. Extra Help: I am available after school on Mondays, Tuesdays, and Thursdays for additional instruction or assistance (and Wednesdays if no teacher meetings) unless otherwise announced. Progress Reports/Report Cards: Progress Report Dates: Report Card Closing dates: st September 21 2013 October 21st 2013 November 30th 2013 January 19th 2014 th February 24 2014 April 5th 2014 May 7th 2014 June 6th 2014 Course Pacing: Report Cards issued: November 1st 2013 January 30th 2014 April 16th 2014 June 18th2014 (mailed) Grading Period 1: Chapters 1 – 3 (9 weeks) Grading Period 2: Chapters 4 – 7 (9 weeks) Grading Period 3: Chapters 8-10 (9 weeks) Grading Period 4: Chapters 11-14/Review and Practice / Chapter 15 (9 weeks) ** Pacing may change slightly as course progresses but all material to successfully complete the AP Statistic Exam will be covered. Students will be asked to attend review sessions prior to the exam in May 2014. The attendance at these sessions is not mandatory but is recommended to obtain the highest score/college credit possible on the exam. Parent/Teacher Communication: By calling 787-5047 parents may reach the main office to leave a message or schedule a conference. Parents may also e-mail me at: glauded@lake.k12.fl.us _________________________ Student Signature _________ Date _____________________________ Parent Signature RESOURCES Title Authors Publisher Primary Textbook The Practice of Statistics, 2nd Edition [YMS] Yates, Daniel S., Moore, David S., Starnes, Darren S. W.H. Freeman Supplementary Resources and Materials Activity-Based Statistics [ABS] Schaeffer, Richard L., Gnanadesikan, Mrudulla, Watkins, Ann, Witmer, Jeffrey A. AP (released) free-response [FR] Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis [POD] Key Curriculum Press College Board AP Central Peck, Roxy, Olsen, Chris, Devore, Jay Thomson/Brooks-Cole Course Content and Outline: The following outline describes this course’s content by topic, sample activities, mini-projects and tests. Activities, experiments, and projects will be added or deleted according to permitted time or practice deemed necessary. Chapter/Section Intro Topic Statistical Thinking Activity ABS: Getting to Know the Class I. Organizing Data: Looking for Patterns and Departures from Patterns 1 (14 days with test) 1.1 1.2 Exploring Data Displaying Distributions with Graphs Displaying Distributions with Numbers ABS: Getting to Know the Class ABS: A Living Boxplot ABS: Matching Plots to Variables ABS: Getting to Know the Class ABS: Matching Statistics to Plots 2 (10 days with test) 2.1 2.2 3 (14 days with test) 3.1 3.2 3.3 4 (14 days with test) 4.1 4.2 4.3 The Normal Distribution Density Curves and the Normal Distribution Standard Normal Calculations Examining Relationships Scatterplots Correlation Least-Squares Regression More on Two-Variable Data Transforming Relationships Cautions about Correlation and Regression Relations in Categorical Data FR-Married Couples TI-Navigator: Tracks of a Killer ABS: Matching Descriptions to Scatterplots FR: Married Couples 2 ABS: Predictable Pairs II. Producing Data: Samples, Experiments, and Simulations 5 (14 days with test) 5.1 5.2 5.3 Producing Data Designing Samples Designing Experiments Simulating Experiments ABS: Random Rectangles III. Probability: Foundations of Inference 6 (12 days with test) 6.1 6.2 6.3 7 (10 days with test) Probability: The Study of Randomness The Idea of Probability Probability Models General Probability Rules FR: Weird Dice Random Variables 7.1 Discrete and Continuous Random Variables 7.2 Mean and Variances of Random Variables FR: The Runners FR: Shirt Sizes ****Mid-Term: 8 (12 days with test) The Binomial and Geometric Distributions 8.1 The Binomial Distributions 8.2 The Geometric Distributions 9 (12 days with test) Sampling Distributions 9.1 Sampling Distributions 9.2 Sample Proportions 9.3 Sample Means ABS: Spinning Pennies ABS: Cents and the Central Limit Theorem IV. Inference: Conclusions with Confidence 10 (16 days with test) Introduction to Inference 10.1 Estimating with Confidence 10.2 Tests of Significance 10.3 Making Sense of Statistical Significance 10.4 Inference as Decision 11 (12 days with test) Inference for Distributions 11.1 Inference for the Mean of a Population 11.2 Comparing Two Means 12 (10 days) Inference for Proportions 12.1 Inference for a Population Proportion 12.2 Comparing Two Proportions ABS: Statistical Evidence of Discrimination 13 (10 days with test) Inference for Tables: ChiSquare Procedures 13.1 Tests for Goodness of Fit 13.2 Inference for Two-Way Tables 14 (4 days with test) FR: The Hikers Inference for Regression 14.1 Inference About the Model 14.2 Predictions and Conditions FR: Soapsuds vs. Detergent ****Final Exam: Students complete a final culminating project. The purpose of this project is to give the students the opportunity to demonstrate their understanding of Statistics. Students are required to formulate a question, design a study or experiment, collect and analyze data, and perform appropriate inferential procedures to answer the original question. Students begin drafting questions, designing the study, and collecting data as each concept is mastered throughout the year. The projects are graded based on the following criteria: o Topic/Study Design Proposal: Detailed research question, rationale, proposed study design, and method of data analysis (10%) o 3 submissions of progress summary (1 for each of first 3 grading periods) (30%) o Participation: Use of class time, daily effort on completing project o Final Written Report: Description of the research question, rationale, study design, raw data summary, exploratory data analysis, inferential procedure, interpretation, conclusion, obstacles encountered and suggestions for further analysis (50%) o Oral Presentation: 10 – 15 minute class presentation of the project utilizing visual aids (10%)