Observation vs. Inference • Observation: the act of noting or perceiving objects or events using the senses • Inference: a judgment based on reasoning from evidence known or assumed to be true Observation or Inference? • • • • • • • • • • I think there is someone at the door Inference The child is happy Inference The liquid is colorless Observation The dog is scratching because it has fleas Inference The cat is afraid of the vacuum cleaner Inference Make an Inference • Andruw Jones has 8 luxury cars • The ice cream in the freezer is melted • The doors to my favorite restaurant were locked on Friday • Jim was late to 1st period • Traffic was worse than usual this morning Types of Observations • Quantitative: Involve a number or measurement • The water has a temperature of 65º C, the nickel has a mass of 5 g, a dime is 1 mm thick, etc. • Qualitative: Observations made using the senses • The wood smells like pine, I hear a loud noise outside, the syrup feels sticky The Scientific Method Hydrangeas planted in my backyard Hydrangeas in a Michigan yard Steps in the Scientific Method 1. Make Observations 2. Ask Questions 3. Form a hypothesis Hypothesis = a proposed explanation that can be tested by observation or experiment 4. Design a controlled experiment Controlled Experiments should have: a) Independent variable – factor manipulated by the experimenter (on x axis of graph) b) Dependent variable – factor that responds to the independent variable (on y axis of graph) c) Control group – used as a standard of comparison d) Experimental group(s) – exposed to the independent variable How would you set up an experiment to test the hydrangea hypothesis? Several identical hydrangea plants, each with soil of a different pH pH 3 pH 5 pH 7 pH 9 pH 11 Monitor the color of flowers over a period of several weeks or months Sci. method steps continued 5. Analyze results 6. Draw conclusions and verify results (results should be repeatable) • Scientific Theory A theory explains many related observations and is supported by a large body of evidence What happens when people are the subjects of an experiment? Hawthorne Effect: People behave in a different manner when they are being observed Placebo An inactive substance used as a control in an experiment a) b) c) d) e) f) g) An experiment was performed to determine the effect of music on ivy plants. Two groups of plants were set up. One received music 24 hours/day, and the other was left in silence. All plants were given equal light, water and minerals. Independent variable? Dependent variable? Constant factors? Control group? Experimental group? Qualitative observations? Quantitative observations? a) b) c) d) e) f) Radon is a radioactive gas that seeps into homes from the soil. It is thought to be one of the leading causes of lung cancer. A research team investigated this problem by collecting data from 50 homes. They measured basement radon levels, and noted how many people living in the homes had lung cancer. Independent variable? Dependent variable? Control group? Experimental group? Is a placebo needed? Possible problems with the study? A man states that he saw Bigfoot in an isolated forest. He was alone and did not take any pictures or collect any physical evidence of Bigfoot. His observation is not very scientific because it: a) b) c) d) Did not have any measurements Did not have a hypothesis Was not made by a scientist Was not repeatable