Study and Propose the 13th FYP for China Biomass Development TOR GENERAL BACKGROUND The China Renewable Energy Scale-up Program (CRESP) has been developed by the Government of China (GOC) in cooperation with the World Bank (WB) with the support of the Global Environment Facility (GEF) to provide assistance with the implementation of a renewable energy (RE) policy development and investment program. It aims to: i) study the current renewable energy resources status; ii) learn from the experiences of developed countries in the development of renewable energy; iii) support the formulation of renewable energy development policy in China; iv) implement renewable energy scale-up development v) provide cost-effective and commercial renewable energy electricity to the electric power market; and vi) replace coal-fired generation thereby reducing its negative local and global environmental impacts. The program implementation cycle has been divided into two different implementation phases. The phasing is intended to assist a gradual roll out of the policy and supporting measures, in step with the implementation capacity of administrative and regulatory bodies, and of the commercial renewable energy industry. Phase 1, which was implemented from 2005 to 2011, assisted the Government in China in the formulation, adoption and early implementation of the Renewable Energy Law, technology improvement for wind and biomass generation, and policy study, demonstration projects and capacity building in the four demonstration provinces (Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian and Inner Mongolia). For Phase 2, a GEF grant of $ 27.28 million is approved to support Chinese government’s 13th Five-year Plan to enable continued and sustainable scale-up of commercial RE development through cost reduction, efficiency improvement, and smooth integration to the grids, thereby contributing to government’s target of reduction in carbon intensity. Phase 2 of CRESP will focus on the following 5 components: 1. Policy and implementation support; 2. Grid Integration/Access and Technical Design 3. Technology improvement; 4. Pilot Demonstration; 5. Capacity Building and Investment Support for renewable energy development The GEF assistance provided under the programs will be managed by the PMO. Specific Background In 2013, the growth of China’s biomass industry has slowed down. The industry has gone through a “bottleneck” period in development. The tight raw material supply in the first half year led to a large number of agricultural and forestry biomass power generating projects reducing its capacity. After the resource optimization and reorganization and technical transformation, in the second half year, these projects’ operation started to improve. They dredged the resource acquisition channels, improved power generation technology, and the generating capacity has grown. By the end of 2013, the total installation capacity of the biomass power generation was 8.5 GW, which increased by 6% compared with last year. Compared with the past three years with more than one million kilowatts of installation capacity growth, it had an obvious decrease. The grid-connected capacity of biomass power generation was 7.79 GW, of which agricultural and forestry direct combustion power generation is about 4.2 GW, waste incineration power generation is about 3.4 GW, as well as a small amount of methane power generation, sludge power generation and biomass gasification power generation. The output of biomass briquette was around 6 million tons, which was essentially equal to the last year. The output of bio-ethanol was about 2.1 million tons, which had a slight increase over the previous year. The direct combustion power generation project mainly locates in eastern and central China, where have rich crop straw. The cumulative installation capacity of waste incineration power generation accounted for 44% of the total national biomass capacity grid connected, which became the important component of China’s biomass power generation. The waste incineration power generation projects mainly locate in the economical developed provinces. With the successful popularization and implementation of waste incineration power generation in central and eastern China and the improvement of the conceptual knowledge from the public, the waste incineration power generation will remain its rapid development in the country. Since China covers a vast geographic area, the resources, climate and other natural conditions are quite different and unevenly distributed, the methane projects mainly locate in the areas with rich biomass resources and suitable climate and environment. The overall situation presents the phase-down from south to north and from east to west. There are 100,000 methane projects based on agricultural waste, 13 extra large methane projects, whose daily output is more than 5000 m³, and 5814 large methane projects. In 2013, the output of briquette had little change compared with 2012. Affected by the delay of central government subsidy, a large number of small enterprises relying on government subsidies could not survive and had to shut down. The biomass heating received attention from the national energy authorities. The National Energy Administration (NEA) has organized several special investigations of biomass heating, and actively promoted the extension of heating demonstration projects. The liquid fuel had a slow progress due to non-food development. With the adjustment of subsidy policy and tax privilege, the enthusiasm of enterprises has been mobilized. Especially the fuel ethanol projects’ approval authority has been delegated to local governments, which effectively promotes the projects construction and a number of projects have been approved. On the whole, however, the biomass industry still has some competitive stress in terms of resources. The aspects of policy system still need further improvement and the technology development and utilization efficiency needs to be further optimized and improved. The “bottleneck” period of industrial development needs an urgent breakthrough, so that the industry can make greater contribution to replace traditional energy and air pollution. “The 13th Five Year Period” is one of the key periods to promote the development of renewable energy in China; it is also a key stage of upgrading of biomass industry. While supporting the study on general 13th FYP for renewable energy, it is necessary to support carrying out “Study and Propose the 13th FYP for China Biomass Development” in the first year of CRESP Phase II. The development status and problems of biomass industry should be combed and identified. By taking reference of international experience, the development strategy and the key layout of biomass energy in the next five years should be proposed for reference by NEA. Objectives The objectives of this task are to study and propose the 13th Five Year Plan for China biomass development and to provide a reference for decision makers. Tasks Task 1: Review the implementation of 12th FYP and learn lessons Biomass is the only sub-sector that can not achieve the govt. target in the Medium and long-term development plan for renewable energy in China. And for the objectives of “12th FYP for Biomass Development in China”, according to the data of current development status issued, although there is one year to go, but there is still big gap. It can not be expected that the objectives of the 12th FYP be realized by end of next year. Therefore, this study is very necessary and important. In-depth analysis should be done why neither the objectives in Medium- and Long-term plan nor in the 12th FYP for biomass can be met. The consultant shall review the implementation of “12th FYP for Biomass Development in China” and relevant supporting policies during the past 4 years, identify the gap between the status and the objectives, analyze the positive and negative (if any) effects these have brought to the industry development. Lessons should be summarized. Task 2: Identify the key barriers to biomass energy development in China Task 2.1: review existing biomass studies supported by CRESP phase I CRESP phase I have supported some studies on biomass, such as regulations on biomass resource assessment, biomass material collection and equipments, raw material treatment, as well as comparison among various technologies, etc.. Besides, a biomass fuel supply study has also been done by the expert from the World Bank before and “Fuel Supply Handbook for Biomass-Fired Power Projects” has been finished. All of these deliverables are available for reference. So, the consultant shall review the existing studies first, and get further knowledge of the biomass status and barriers in China. Task 2.2: identify barriers Besides barriers identified in above studies, the consultant shall conduct a deep analysis on the whole chain from the material collection (including material price, collection scope and shipment mode) and supplying to biomass (including power and heating ) and management mechanism in order to identify the key barriers (if any) to the industry development. Task 3: Summarize the international experience of biomass development The consultant shall review the international data and information of biomass development, not only of power, but also heating (In recent years, biomass heating is being developed fast, and now NEA also has more interest in this field). Experiences of international biomass development should be summarized accordingly, but most importantly, fuel supply and pricing. To learn international experience of biomass heating and really benefit from it, an international expert is required to hire by the consultant. The international expert shall look at European and US experience on biomass, particularly for heating in Stockholm and Copenhagen. The consultant shall be responsible for the selection of the international expert, including developing TOR for the latter, signing contract with him, and quality control of his/her report. The international expert should be approved by the PMO and the Bank. Task 4:Study to identify the development strategy and pathway Task 4.1: identify the development strategy and pathway Aiming to remove the barriers, with the international experience, the consultant shall study and propose a strategic plan for biomass development (focusing on large scale or distributed, power and heating, how to overcome the barriers identified, what are the realistic targets, etc.) for the next five year. Task 4.2: finish the study report A study report on biomass development strategy and pathway should be finished, in which a strategic roadmap and its safeguards will be proposed. Task 5: Draft the 13th FYP for biomass in China Task 5.1: develop scenarios and optimize the targets The consultant should work out the "Energy Supply Curve" and conduct scenarios analysis with different objectives. It should also conduct the cost-benefit analysis; analyze the economical efficiency, environmental benefits and other social benefits of various scenarios. Based on the comparison of various objectives, the optimal one is selected. Task 5.2: draft the plan The consultant shall draft the 13th FYP for biomass energy development. This plan should at least include biomass development status in China, significance, principles, objectives (for overall biomass and for specific technologies), priorities and layout, investment estimation and benefit analysis, the safeguard measures for its implementation, etc. Task 5.3: hold meetings and workshops for consultation The consultant shall organize meetings and workshops for consultation. Besides the working group members for this study, the consultant shall invite the consultants of the other biomass studies under CRESP Phase II, the enterprises representatives in this field and NEA to participate to provide comments. Possibly more than one consultation will be needed. The minutes for these meetings and workshops should be prepared, but only in Chinese. Task 5.4: revise the draft plan According to the feedback of NEA and stakeholders, the consultant shall revise the plan draft until it is issued. Task 6: Contribute to study for the overall 13th FYP for renewable energy development CRESP is also supporting “Study and Work out ‘13th FYP’ & Medium- and Long-Term Renewable Energy Development Plan (2016-2030) (proposal) For China”, in which biomass is an important part, so the consultant shall provide contribution to it. The contribution includes, not limited to: Share the data and information of biomass energy status in China; Participate the discussion and give comments on biomass section; Provide deliverables for reference; Other assistance needed. Deliverables and Schedule This project is expected to be launched in December 2014 and completed before December, 2015. The task outputs are as follows: 1. Study report on biomass development strategy and pathway; within 5 months after contract signature; 2. The 13th Five Year Plan for biomass development in China (draft); within 9 months after contract signature 3. The 13th Five Year Plan for biomass development in China (proposal); within 12 months after contract signature 4. Workshops minutes All the outputs mentioned above (except deliverable 4) should be submitted in both Chinese and English. Type of contract and the budget The type of contract is lump-sum contract. The budget of this project is 130,000 USD. According to the guidelines of the World Bank, the consultant will be selected based on SSS. The budget includes labor cost, travel cost and others of the consultant; it also includes the fee for the international expert (one round trip to China is allowed). But the contract value will be decided by the negotiation based on the proposal. The budget will be deleted when bidding. If requested, the working group members list and the working plan for this study should be submitted to NEA for approval before contract signature. Payment arrangements There will be 4 payments under this contract: First payment: after the consultant selected and contract signed, PMO pay 10% of the contract value to initiate the activity. Second payment: after the deliverables 1 finished and submitted to PMO, and obtained acceptance, PMO pay 30% of the contract value; Third payment: after the deliverables 2 finished and submitted to PMO, and obtained acceptance, PMO pay 40% of the contract value; Fourth and final payment: after the deliverables 3-4 finished and submitted to PMO, and obtained acceptance, PMO pay 20% of the contract value; Qualification The consultant should have the following qualifications: Familiar with the biomass energy status in China Familiar with the biomass energy status in the world Rich experience in renewable energy, especially in biomass energy policies or plans study Rich experience of providing suggestions on renewable energy to the government, especially on the biomass energy policies or plans Good organizational skills; Have a good network of expert to implement this project smoothly Practical experience in organizing workshops Good capabilities in report writing Experiences of undertaking projects of the World Bank would be an advantage.