RIVER MURRAY WEEKLY REPORT FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY, 4TH NOVEMBER 2016 Trim Ref: D15/83541 Rainfall and inflows A broad trough system developed across the Murray–Darling Basin this week bringing thunderstorms and areas of heavy rainfall to the region. There was rain in the northern Basin in the early part of the week; with the south-east ranges, NSW Riverina and central western plains receiving rain over the weekend (Map 1). Late in the week, a second system brought rain and intense storms into South Australia. This system is expected to move across the Basin during the coming days. Notable rainfall totals in Victoria during the past 7 days included 95 mm at Myrtleford, 83 mm at Rocky Point and 70 mm in Wodonga. Highest totals in NSW included 75 mm at Stockinbingal, 64 mm at Wagga Wagga and 65 mm at Trangie. Rain in Queensland was patchier but totals included 89 mm at The Deep, 79 mm at Mungallala and 72 mm at Chinchilla. Map 1 - Murray-Darling Basin rainfall week ending 4th November 2015 (Source: Bureau of Meteorology) Stream flow responses along the upper Murray tributaries were only modest considering the rainfall totals recorded. This is most likely a reflection of the dry state of the catchments and the fact that upper catchment areas did not receive as much rain. On the upper Murray, the flow at Biggara increased from 500 to 900 ML/day. On the upper Mitta Mitta River, the flow at Hinnomunjie Bridge increased from 500 to 1,200 ML/day. On the Ovens River, there were several flow peaks related to storm events. Flows above 1,700 ML/day observed at Rocky Point on 31 October have since receded to 750 ML/day. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 Web: www.mdba.gov.au ABN 13679821382 Page 1 of 11 October 2015 summary Weather conditions across the Murray–Darling Basin during October were dominated by recordbreaking warmth coupled with low rainfall at most locations. Mean monthly minimum temperatures were very high with many new records set across the region. Mean monthly maximum temperatures were the highest on record for almost all of southern Australia including most of the Basin (Map 2). Map 2 - Maximum temperature deciles across Australia for October 2015 (Source: Bureau of Meteorology). Monthly rainfall totals were generally below to very much below average. Conditions were particularly dry in the south, with small areas of ‘lowest on record’ rain in south-western Victoria exacerbating the impacts of an already protracted period of very low rainfall for that part of the Basin. Rainfall in the northeastern Basin was patchy. Some locations received near-average to above average rain, while others missed out (Map 3). Across the Basin as a whole, the Bureau of Meteorology has reported areaaveraged rain for October totalling just 17.7 mm. The total was 56% below the long-term monthly mean and it was the 16th driest October observed during the past 116 years of record. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 2 of 11 Map 3 - Murray Darling Basin rainfall deciles for October 2015 (Source: Bureau of Meteorology). River Murray System inflows for October (excluding Snowy Scheme, Darling River and managed environmental inflows) continued to decrease, as the dry conditions of spring 2015 persisted. The monthly total of around 250 GL was the lowest for October since 2008 and well below October’s longterm monthly average of about 1,400 GL. In comparison with the historical record since 1891, only about 5% of previous Octobers have recorded lower inflows than October 2015. Estimated evaporation losses from MDBA storages for October 2015 are reported in Table 1. Evaporation is estimated by multiplying the surface area of the storage by the net evaporation. Net evaporation is derived by subtracting the rainfall recorded at the storage from the calculated evaporation. With the much warmer temperatures and continued dry weather during October, the net volume of water evaporated at Hume Reservoir, Lake Victoria and the Menindee Lakes increased considerably. The net evaporation at Dartmouth Reservoir also increased, but to a lesser extent. Table 1: Monthly evaporation figures for MDBA storages *Approximate (net) evaporative Storage loss in October 2015 (GL) Dartmouth 3 Hume 13 Lake Victoria 16 Menindee Lakes 13 Average storage volume in October 2015 (GL) 2,450 1,380 570 94 * Evaporative loss from storage = surface area of the storage x net evaporation. Net evaporation = measured evaporation (using a ‘pan’ instrument) - rainfall. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 3 of 11 River Operations Environmental releases from Hume cease Weir 32 releases continue until the end of November Lower Lakes rise with heavy rainfall Total MDBA storage fell 27 GL this week with the active storage now 4,042 GL or 48% capacity. The vast majority of active storage remains in Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs (89%). At Dartmouth Reservoir, the total volume decreased 37 GL to 2,343 GL (61% capacity). Releases measured at Colemans are currently 6,500 ML/day. Releases will be increased over the coming week to around 8,000 ML/day, as bulk transfers continue to Hume Reservoir. Over 920 GL has been transferred to Hume since the beginning of May this year. To meet system demands, this large draw on the upper storages will continue whilst there is no water available to be accessed from Menindee Lakes and tributary flows remain low. At Hume reservoir, total storage volume rose by 2 GL to 1,324 GL (45% capacity) this week with releases averaging only 9,500 ML/day at Doctors Point. Yarrawonga releases are above channel capacity due to a rain rejection (sudden reduction in irrigation orders due to rainfall). Diversions through the Mulwala Canal reduced from 1,800 ML/day to 350 ML/day this week and at Yarrawonga Main Channel diversions reduced from 1,300 ML/day to 200 ML/day. Yarrawonga releases are likely to be reduced towards channel capacity over the coming week to meet downstream demands and transfer water to Lake Victoria. Additional releases for the Barmah-Millewa environmental watering event have ceased. Environmental watering has provided low level inundation of wetlands within Barmah-Millewa forest with good vegetation responses as seen in the below photos. Straw-necked and white ibis, royal spoonbill and cormorants have also responded with signs of nesting within the wetlands. Photo 1 – Water-milfoil has responded well to shallow inundation of wetlands in Millewa forest (source: Paul Childs). GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 4 of 11 Photo 2 – Moira grass, the semi-aquatic grass laying over centre foreground, has been found growing in many isolated patches throughout the Barmah-Millewa forest due to this year’s environmental watering event (source: Paul Childs). In the Edward-Wakool system, flows through the Edward and Gulpa offtakes remained steady at 1,550 ML/day and 850 ML/day respectively. On the Edward River, the release from Stevens Weir has been close to channel capacity of 2,700 ML/day and local rainfall has resulted in the Billabong Creek at Conargo rising to 650 ML/day. On the Goulburn, flow at McCoys has receded to around 650 ML/day. Inter-Valley transfer (IVT) water has begun to be delivered and will target a flow of 550 ML/day at McCoys, 200 ML/day above the normal monthly entitlement for November. On the Campaspe a small environmental pulse passed Rochester this week with the flow now 480 ML/day. The flow at Torrumbarry increased late in the week to 9,200 ML/day with the addition of the Campaspe pulse and a reduction in National Channel diversions from 1,960 ML/day to 1,600 ML/day. Part of the National Channel diversion is environmental water for Gunbower forest and Gunbower Creek. Releases into Gunbower forest have now been reduced to target 100 ML/day through Hipwell offtake regulator while the target flow for Gunbower creek is 700 ML/day at Cohuna during the Murray Cod spawning season. Much of the environmental water in Gunbower creek will return to the Murray via Koondrook spillway which is currently flowing around 500 ML/day. On the Murrumbidgee at Balranald the delivery of IVT water continues above the November end of system target minimum of 568 ML/day. With rain forecast over the lower Murrumbidgee in the next couple of days the flow at Balranald is expected to rise to around 2,000 ML/day next week. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 5 of 11 At Euston, the flow is 12,500 ML/day and receding. The pool level is expected to begin lowering over the coming week to 40 cm above full supply level (47.6m AHD) as part of a trial to reinstate a more natural wetting and drying cycle. At Hattah Lakes a flow of 100-150 ML/day will return to the Murray via Messengers regulator over the next week. This flow is aimed at allowing fish passage between the lakes and the Murray. At Menindee Lakes the storage volume has decreased 3 GL this week to 85 GL (5% capacity). The release at Weir is expected to continue until the end of November at low rates, see NSW media release. NSW has also announced an increase in high security Lower Darling allocation to 50%, see NSW media release. Storage at Lake Victoria increased 11 GL to 546 GL (81%) capacity this week. The storage volume is expected to increase in November with large transfers in transit and the low diversions from the Murray brought on by this week’s rainfall. At Lock 8, the pool level reduced to 33 cm above FSL. The pool level is expected to gradually fall during the coming weeks to around 50 cm below FSL. Changes to the weir pool heights for 2015/16 can be found in the attached media release. At Lock 7, the weir pool level will be held at 50 cm above FSL into early December to allow water to be pumped into Lake Wallawalla. This week, flow to South Australia decreased from a target of 9,800 ML/day to 8,600 ML/day. The flow rate to South Australia is expected to reduce towards entitlement levels during the month as the proportion of environmental flow, particularly from the Goulburn pulse, reduces at the South Australia border. At Chowilla, flow is passing through the anabranch via Pipeclay and Slaney Creek weirs to reinstate flow variability. The water level behind the Chowilla Creek regulator is currently 17.8m AHD as part of this event which increases the water levels within the anabranch channels and assists in the connection of low level wetland areas. At the Lower Lakes, the five-day average water level in Lake Alexandrina is 0.82 m AHD, which is 7 cm above FSL. The one day average at Lake Alexandrina has risen to 0.85m AHD with very heavy rain falling over South Australia. Barrage releases have averaged 1,400 ML/day this week. For media inquiries contact the Media Officer on 02 6279 0141 DAVID DREVERMAN Executive Director, River Management GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 6 of 11 Water in Storage Week ending Wednesday 04 Nov 2015 Full Supply Level MDBA Storages Dartmouth Reservoir Hume Reservoir Lake Victoria Menindee Lakes Total Total Active MDBA Storage Current Storage Level Full Supply Volume (m AHD) 486.00 192.00 27.00 (GL) 3 856 3 005 677 1 731* 9 269 Major State Storages Burrinjuck Reservoir Blowering Reservoir Eildon Reservoir Current Storage (GL) 2 343 1 347 546 85 4 321 % 61% 45% 81% 5% 47% 731 693 1 780 71% 42% 53% (m AHD) 459.37 181.77 25.90 1 026 1 631 3 334 Dead Storage Active Storage (GL) 71 23 100 (- -) # -- (GL) 2 272 1 324 446 0 4 042 48% ^ 3 24 100 728 669 1 680 Change in Total Storage for the Week (GL) -37 +2 +11 -3 -27 +7 -7 -19 * Menindee surcharge capacity – 2050 GL ** All Data is rounded to nearest GL ** # NSW takes control of Menindee Lakes when storage falls below 480 GL, and control reverts to MDBA when storage next reaches 640 GL ^ % of total active MDBA storage Snowy Mountains Scheme Storage Lake Eucumbene - Total Snowy-Murray Component Target Storage Snowy diversions for week ending 03 Nov 2015 Active Storage (GL) 2 335 1 120 1 450 Weekly Change (GL) n/a n/a Diversion (GL) From 1 May 2015 248 129 118 400 This Week Snowy-Murray Tooma-Tumut Net Diversion Murray 1 Release +4 +5 -1 +3 Major Diversions from Murray and Lower Darling (GL) * New South Wales This Week Murray Irrig. Ltd (Net) Wakool Sys Allowance Western Murray Irrigation Licensed Pumps Lower Darling TOTAL 4.4 0.0 0.5 3.8 0.3 9.0 From 1 July 2015 180 21 -1 52 3 255 Victoria This Week Yarrawonga Main Channel (net) Torrumbarry System + Nyah (net) Sunraysia Pumped Districts Licensed pumps - GMW (Nyah+u/s) Licensed pumps - LMW TOTAL 2.5 11.6 2.7 1.1 10.5 28.4 From 1 July 2015 90 184 24 11 64 373 * Figures derived from estimates and monthly data. Please note that not all data may have been available at the time of creating this report. ** All data above is rounded to nearest 100 ML for weekly data and nearest GL for cumulative data** Flow to South Australia (GL) * Flow to SA will be greater than normal entitlement for this month due to the delivery of additional environmental water. Salinity (EC) Entitlement this month Flow this week Flow so far this month Flow last month 180.0 * 69.4 38.2 329.7 (9 900 ML/day) (microSiemens/cm at 25o C) Current Swan Hill Euston Red Cliffs Merbein Burtundy (Darling) Lock 9 Lake Victoria Berri Waikerie Morgan Mannum Murray Bridge Milang (Lake Alex.) Poltalloch (Lake Alex.) Meningie (Lake Alb.) Goolwa Barrages Average over the last week 70 100 100 1 090 130 260 230 230 240 260 300 780 580 1 940 960 GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Average since 1 August 2015 60 100 110 1 080 130 260 230 230 240 270 300 780 610 1 860 1 020 Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au 80 140 140 940 150 220 230 270 280 320 350 750 570 2 040 1 010 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 7 of 11 River Levels and Flows Week ending Wednesday 04 Nov 2015 7.3 - 1.68 2.92 2.34 2.36 1.41 2.21 1.81 2.44 2.93 1.54 3.76 2.26 3.24 3.86 0.86 208.20 219.81 155.97 150.83 148.85 128.23 116.85 106.28 81.48 64.46 52.88 44.10 28.00 20.79 - (ML/day) 1 750 4 050 6 700 6 400 7 450 9 030 11 380 11 510 9 240 8 270 11 300 12 520 12 850 10 740 8 850 8 460 F F F F S F F F S S F F F S F R (ML/day) 1 350 2 860 6 490 9 420 10 010 12 110 11 660 12 020 8 600 8 670 12 130 13 330 13 160 10 700 9 600 7 790 Average Flow last Week (ML/day) 2 680 4 080 7 770 12 960 13 650 14 550 12 810 13 410 10 140 11 180 13 880 14 000 12 190 9 840 10 630 8 220 2.8 11.9 9.0 5.5 5.0 6.1 9.0 - 1.53 8.22 1.32 2.41 3.05 1.62 1.79 3.13 4.02 0.66 154.76 145.90 92.74 82.19 58.43 55.11 - 1 300 1 170 670 2 650 2 650 900 1 400 10 110 0 R F R S R F S S S F 830 970 790 2 640 2 580 910 1 540 20 110 0 980 1 000 2 070 2 670 2 390 860 1 590 30 130 0 4 320 3 960 Minor Flood Stage River Murray Khancoban Jingellic Tallandoon ( Mitta Mitta River ) Heywoods Doctors Point Albury Corowa Yarrawonga Weir (d/s) Tocumwal Torrumbarry Weir (d/s) Swan Hill Wakool Junction Euston Weir (d/s) Mildura Weir (d/s) Wentworth Weir (d/s) Rufus Junction Blanchetown (Lock 1 d/s) (m) Tributaries Kiewa at Bandiana Ovens at Wangaratta Goulburn at McCoys Bridge Edward at Stevens Weir (d/s) Edward at Liewah Wakool at Stoney Crossing Murrumbidgee at Balranald Barwon at Mungindi Darling at Bourke Darling at Burtundy Rocks Gauge local (m) 4.0 4.2 5.5 5.5 4.3 4.6 6.4 6.4 7.3 4.5 8.8 9.1 Height (m AHD) Flow Trend Average Flow this Week Natural Inflow to Hume (i.e. Pre Dartmouth & Snowy Mountains scheme) Weirs and Locks Pool levels above or below Full Supply Level (FSL) Murray Yarrawonga No. 26 Torrumbarry No. 15 Euston No. 11 Mildura No. 10 Wentworth No. 9 Kulnine No. 8 Wangumma Lower Lakes FSL (m AHD) 124.90 86.05 47.60 34.40 30.80 27.40 24.60 u/s -0.06 +0.00 +0.58 +0.04 +0.10 -0.09 +0.33 d/s +0.50 +0.60 +0.42 +0.68 FSL (m AHD) 22.10 19.25 16.30 13.20 9.80 6.10 3.20 No. 7 Rufus River No. 6 Murtho No. 5 Renmark No. 4 Bookpurnong No. 3 Overland Corner No. 2 Waikerie No. 1 Blanchetown u/s +0.46 +0.04 +0.45 +0.04 +0.05 +0.52 -0.04 d/s +1.54 +0.56 +0.33 +0.94 +0.71 +0.25 +0.11 FSL = 0.75 m AHD Lake Alexandrina average level for the past 5 days (m AHD) Barrages 0.82 Fishways at Barrages Openings Level (m AHD) No. Open Goolwa 128 openings 0.96 1 Mundoo 26 openings 1.03 All closed Boundary Creek 6 openings 0.1 Ewe Island 111 gates All closed Tauwitchere 322 gates 1.01 4 AHD = Level relative to Australian Height Datum, i.e. height above sea level GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Rock Ramp Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Open Vertical Slot Open Open Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 8 of 11 Week ending Wednesday 04 Nov 2015 State Allocations (as at 04 Nov 2015) NSW - Murray Valley High security General security Victorian - Murray Valley 97% 13% NSW – Murrumbidgee Valley High security General security 95% 29% 85% 0% Victorian - Goulburn Valley High reliability Low reliability 75% 0% South Australia – Murray Valley NSW - Lower Darling High security General security High reliability Low reliability 50% 0% High security 100% NSW : http://www.water.nsw.gov.au/Water-management/Water-availability/Waterallocations/Water-allocations-summary/water-allocations-summary/default.aspx VIC : SA : http://www.nvrm.net.au/allocations/current.aspx http://www.environment.sa.gov.au/managing-natural-resources/river-murray GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 Web: www.mdba.gov.au ABN 13679821382 Page 9 of 11 Flow advice 4 November 2015 Changes in mid-Murray weir pool levels – UPDATE Landholders and river users on the River Murray are reminded to take into account the ongoing changes to weir pool heights at lock 15 (Robinvale) and at locks 7, 8 and 9 between Wentworth and the South Australian Border. Historically, weir pool levels have been kept at a reasonably constant height, but as part of a trial to restore a more natural wetting and drying cycle, the MDBA has been varying these pool levels since August 2015. The Lock 15 weir pool level was held at around 60cm above the full supply level (FSL) during October. The level is being gradually lowered to 40cm above FSL in November and will return to the FSL over summer. The Lock 9 weir pool level is currently 10 cm below FSL and will remain at this level over summer and into autumn. The Lock 8 weir pool level is being gradually lowered to 50 cm below FSL in November and is expected to be lowered by up to 80 cm below FSL over summer. The Lock 7 weir pool level will be held at 50 cm above the FSL into early December in order to allow water to be pumped into Lake Wallawalla. Once pumping is completed, the level will be gradually lowered by up to 50cm below FSL over summer and into autumn. The table below outlines the plan on a month-by-month basis. These are indicative water levels only; actual river operations may differ. Adjustment in pool height relative to full supply level (metres) Month Lock 7 Lock 8 Lock 9 Lock 15 November +0.50 -0.50 -0.10 +0.40 December -0.50 -0.50 -0.10 +0 January 2015 -0.25 -0.80 -0.10 +0 February -0.25 -0.80 -0.10 +0 March -0.25 -0.60 -0.10 +0 April -0.25 -0.25 -0.10 -0.20 May +0 +0 +0 -0.30 June +0 +0.40 +0 -0.30 Page 10 of 11 The trial is being conducted by the MDBA in cooperation with the NSW Department of Primary Industries, Water NSW, SA Water and the Mallee Catchment Management Authority. The MDBA will issue a revised flow advice if there are any significant changes to the plan, which will also be available on the MDBA website www.mdba.gov.au . River users wanting more information on river heights can contact the MDBA on (02) 6279 0100 or receive updates at the River Murray weekly report http://www.mdba.gov.au/river-data/current-information-forecasts/weekly-report . Live river data for the River Murray system can be seen at: http://livedata.mdba.gov.au ENDS For more information, contact the MDBA Media office at media@mdba.gov.au or 02 6279 0141. Follow us on Twitter: @MD_Basin_Auth Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MDBAuth/?fref=ts Page 11 of 11