HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING The Influence of Applied STEM Coursetaking on Advanced Math and Science Coursetaking Michael A. Gottfried University of California Santa Barbara Note: Since the time of original submission of this proposal to AEFP, this work has been accepted for publication in Journal of Educational Research. 1 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Abstract Advanced math and science coursetaking is critical in building the foundation for students to advance through the STEM pathway – from high school to college to career. To invigorate students’ persistence in STEM fields, high schools have been introducing applied STEM courses into the curriculum as a way to reinforce concepts learned in traditional math and science classes and to motivate students’ interests in a long-term pursuit of these areas. This study examines the role of taking applied STEM courses early in high school on taking advanced math and science courses later in high school. The results suggest a positive link between early applied STEM coursetaking and later advanced math and science coursetaking – one that is delineated by specific type of applied STEM course and by individual-level demographic characteristics. The findings of this study thus support policymakers and practitioners’ efforts to expand the STEM curriculum beyond traditional subjects. Continuing to do so may be one way to expand the number of students persisting in STEM. 2 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING The Influence of Applied STEM Coursetaking on Advanced Math and Science Coursetaking It is projected that by the end of this decade, the largest growth in jobs in the U.S. economy will be in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) (U.S. Department of Education, 2010; Wang, 2013). In fact, many argue that current projections may be underestimating true human capital needs (Tyson et al., 2007), And yet, the number of U.S. students prepared or motivated to pursue careers in these fields is critically low, especially when compared to students in other countries (National Science Board, 2010). Moreover, recent research finds higher salaries for workers with STEM degrees and in STEM fields (Beede et al., 2011; Melguizo & Wolniak, 2012; Olitsky, 2013). Thus, in an era of a declining quantity and quality of U.S. students poised to advance through the STEM pathway, educators, policymakers, and business leaders have been reexamining the steps required to boost students’ pursuit of and persistence in these fields over an individual’s lifetime. For example, many recent federal initiatives have been enacted specifically to promote interest and prepare students for the rigor of advancing through the STEM pathway in college and subsequently in career (e.g., Honda, 2011; Schultz et al., 2011). In more detail, this ‘STEM pathway’, as defined by Tyson et al. (2007), is put forth as follows: high school coursetaking, transition into and out of higher education, and workforce participation. It is no surprise then that significant research has focused on the starting point of this pathway: rigorous math and science courses in high school provide the necessary foundation for students to advance through this pathway (Tyson et al., 2007; Wang, 2013). High school advanced math and science coursetaking has been linked to improved STEM achievement in high school (Adelman, 2006; Brody & Benbow, 1990; Burkam & Lee, 2003; Csikszentmihalyi 3 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING & Schneider, 2000; McClure, 1998; Lee & Frank, 1990; Long et al., 2012; Riegle-Crumb, 2006). High school advanced coursetaking has also been linked to greater success in STEM college courses (Long et al., 2012; Wimberly & Noeth, 2005), to an increased probability of selecting a STEM college major (Federman, 2007; Schneider, Swanson, & Riegle-Crumb, 1998; Trusty, 2002), and to college graduation (Schneider, Swanson, & Riegle-Crumb, 1998). Ultimately, advanced high school coursetaking prepares students for STEM careers (Tyson et al., 2007). Given that research has well established that advanced math and science coursetaking plays such a key role, it is concerning that students are still not pursuing these course sequences. Part of the reason may be that classrooms and schools lack the appropriate materials and resources, such as laboratory equipment and textbooks and other resources (Hutchison, 2012; National Resource Council, 2011). But even so, it might be that the traditional STEM curriculum tends to be fractured and disconnected (Stone & Lewis, 2012). That is, STEM material is delivered in silos, where concepts taught in traditional academic math courses are never fully linked to concepts taught in other STEM courses. Hence, traditional math and science courses may be perceived as lacking real-life or societal applications, and thus students alternatively pursue non-STEM pathways as engagement in these fields declines (Hampden-Thompson & Bennett, 2013; Weinberger, 2004; Wilson, 2003). This may be particularly the case for women (Baker & Leary, 1995; Sax, 1994, 2001; Thompson & Windschitl, 2005). Research suggests that when high school students learn the inter-connectedness of STEM concepts, they are in a better position to develop skills required further down the STEM pathway (Stone et al., 2008; Stone & Lewis, 2012). Hence, recent educational policy has focused on enriching the academic STEM curriculum in high schools with applied STEM courses (e.g., The Carl D. Perkins Career and Technical Education Improvement Act of 2006, Next Generation of 4 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Science Standards, and Common Core State Standards). In doing so, it becomes possible to provide students with integrated high school STEM coursework that links academic STEM content with applied STEM content. In more detail, academic STEM courses include traditional math and science courses. They are typically taught from a theoretical approach that stresses procedures, observation, identification, documentation, and computation. To integrate and contextualize the material taught in the traditional academic curriculum, high schools have begun to offer applied STEM courses (Author et al., in press). These emphasize the application of academic math and science concepts to practical job experiences while incorporating quantitative reasoning, logic, and problem solving skills. Applied courses do range in rigor, much like in traditional academic math and science courses. The distinction, then, is in the fact that they impart skills and knowledge that have direct relevance to the daily challenges and problems students will face should they pursue a STEM career. The U.S. Department of Education classifies applied STEM courses in high school into two strands: ‘Scientific Research & Engineering Courses’ (SRE) courses and ‘Information Technology’ (IT) courses. Going forward, the phrase “applied STEM courses” will refer collectively to both SRE and IT courses. SRE courses integrate basic concepts in math and science to instruct students on the steps of the engineering process (i.e. identify the problemdesign-build-test-evaluate). These courses teach students how to solve problems within the context of planning, managing, and providing scientific research and professional and technical services, including laboratory and testing services, and research and development services. Examples of SRE courses include surveying, electrical engineering, structural engineering, and computer-assisted design/drafting. IT courses, on the other hand, teach basic programming and 5 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING systems functionality, with a focus on practical problem solving. They involve the design, development, support, and management of hardware, software, multimedia, and systems integration services. Examples of IT courses include introduction to computer science, C++ programming, visual basic programming, and data processing. It is imperative to further explore what factors might influence students’ advanced math and science coursetaking. Doing so will help educators and policymakers make curricular adjustments to ensure proper exposure to this critical STEM material that has been previously established as improving the chances of students pursuing and persisting in STEM both in school and in career (e.g., Long et al., 2012). And yet, given the national-level issues STEM issues facing the U.S., surprisingly little empirical research using national-level data has been conducted in identifying those factors that influence students’ enrollment in advanced math and science courses (as an exception see e.g., Pearson, Crissey, & Riegle-Crumb, 2009). None had considered the role of applied STEM courses in influencing students’ advanced math and science coursetaking. That said, it does seem highly likely that applied STEM courses taken early in high school might influence advanced math and science coursetaking (which is typically taken during the later years of high school). Though this current study is the first to address this issue, the potential direction of this relationship is informed by and adapted from the work of Author et al. (in press), Federman (2007), and Tyson et al. (2007). Unifying the concepts in these prior studies, there are three potential ways that students’ applied STEM coursetaking early in high school might influence advanced math and science coursetaking. First is augmentation. The guiding purpose of applied STEM courses is to reinforce the concepts learned in academic math and science courses; hence, applied STEM courses provide students with the opportunity to re- 6 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING apply their math and science skills in new ways. By embarking on early opportunities to reinforce skills used in academic math and science courses, the material in advanced courses may become more accessible and digestible later in high school. Second is relevance. Because applied STEM courses translate theoretical and abstract material into relevant and job-specific applications, students might not only grasp traditional math and science concepts more effectively but might ultimately find traditional math and science concepts to be more relevant and engaging (Stone & Lewis, 2012). Hence, with the connection being made between STEM concepts and college and career applications in applied STEM courses, early exposure to applied and integrated STEM material may influence students’ decisions to continue to pursue more advanced math and science courses in order to attain these longer-term educational and professional goals. Finally, applied courses might altogether promote the development of new skill sets: as mentioned, applied courses stress the development of reasoning, logic, and problem solving. Hence, by having an early advantage of developing these skills in conjunction with fostering skills imparted in academic math and science courses, students may find advanced courses to be easier and more accessible (Federman, 2007). In light of these three mechanisms, this study explores the link between high school applied STEM coursetaking and advanced math and science coursetaking. This study will be the first to examine this issue through the following three research questions: 1. Does early applied STEM coursetaking in high school improve the odds of taking advanced math and science courses? 2. Do these odds differ by type of applied STEM course taken? 3. Do these odds differ by student demographics? 7 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING To address these questions, this study relies on a large-scale dataset of U.S. high school students, developed by the U.S. Department of Education. It is a noteworthy source of data in that it incluces full transcripts and contextual information for each student. The focus on the influence of applied STEM courses on advanced math and science courses is key, as the former are intended to build upon and to contextualize the material delivered in academic courses and the latter are highly correlated with the pursuit of and persistence in STEM across the pipeline. Further delineating these patterns by precise applied STEM course taken is critical, as some these courses (e.g., IT courses) are becoming increasingly pervasive in states’ required high school curricula. Finally, examining these issues by student demographics is also critical: if differential effects exist, the new findings from this study can inform educators’ and policy makers’ efforts at reducing common STEM gaps. Method Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 To determine how applied STEM coursetaking early in high school predicts advanced academic STEM coursetaking later in high school, it is necessary to utilize a longitudinal dataset that documents a student’s entire STEM coursetaking history in high school. A dataset that contains this information is the Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:2002), which was created by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) at the U.S. Department of Education. ELS:2002 followed a cohort of 10th grade students in the U.S. over time. The spring of 2002 was the first year of data collection by NCES, during which survey questionnaires were administered to students, parents, teachers, and school administrators. Students in the dataset were in 10th grade in this base year. 8 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Students were then surveyed two years later in the spring of 2004 when the majority of students in the sample were 12th grade (i.e., the first follow-up of ELS:2002). This article utilizes data from the base year and first follow up year. Note that parent and teacher questionnaires were administered only in the base year (2002), while the student and school administrator questionnaires were administrated in the base year and first follow-up (2004). In 2005, NCES then collected official high school transcripts for students in the sample and then merged them with the 10th and 12th grade survey data. The reason for delaying and collecting the transcript data in 2005 (rather than in 2002 and 2004) was most students in the sample had finished high school by then and high school degree verification processes was complete. In more detail, these student transcripts contain complete coursetaking histories for each student in the sample over four years of high school – including course names, grades earned, and credits earned. Coursetaking files are available for approximately 91% of the original ELS:2002 base-year sample. All course record files were calibrated to indicate Carnegie units as a standardized measure of credits earned. A Carnegie unit is equal to a course taken every day, one period per day, for a full school year. To clean the transcript data file for the analysis in this specific study, a number of editing and consistency checks were performed. First, any discrepancies between credits earned and the course grade were resolved to ensure that course credit was awarded only when the student received a passing grade. Second, any duplicate course records were removed. Third, the number of credits assigned was inspected to ensure compatibility with the school’s calendar system (e.g., semester, trimester, etc.). After these data cleaning steps, the data file indicated the number of 9 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING credits that a student earned for each course and in which year of high school that course was taken. For the purposes of this study, the final analytic data file included a comprehensive picture about each student in the ELS:2002 sample, with contextual data collected from the 10th and 12th grade survey interviews, and coursetaking information spanning all four years of high school coming from the transcript files. The present study is based on a sample of approximately 11,000 students for whom valid transcript information was collected and who had non-missing measures on background measures in the base-year (10th grade, 2002). Additionally, as described below in the analytic approach, this sample is limited to students who were in the same high school in both base year and first follow up interviews. Note that the ELS:2002 data includes a probability weight so that estimates based on this subsample are representative of all students in the U.S. Outcomes: Advanced Math and Science Coursetaking Table 1 presents the means and standard deviations of all variables in the proceeding analyses. The outcome measures in this study are two binary variables: one indicating whether a student had taken advanced math courses in 11th or 12th grades and one indicating if a student had taken advanced science courses in 11th or 12th grades. To determine if a student had taken an advanced math or science course, this study relies on an adapted taxomony of basic, average, and advanced coursetaking designations originally developed by Burkam and Lee (2003). For math, the pipeline to determine advanced coursetaking follows the adapted taxonomy adopted by Author et al (in press): (1) Below average math, which includes basic math up through pre-Algebra; (2) Average math, which includes Algebra and Geometry; (3) Above average math, which includes Trigonometry, Statistics and pre-Calculus; and (4) Highest math, 10 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING which includes Calculus. The pipeline measure is exhaustive of all courses classified as academic math. In the dataset, nearly all students take academic math classes in high school, with less than one percent finishing 12th grade with no math credits earned. For science, an analogous pipeline exists: 1) Below average science, which includes earth science and physical science; (2) Average science, which includes biology; (3) Above average science, which includes chemistry and/or physics; and (4) Highest science, which more advanced chemistry and physics courses. Like with math, this pipeline measure is exhaustive of all courses classified as academic science. Also as consistent with math, almost 100% of all students graduate from high school having taken at least one science course. Typically, math and science courses that extend beyond pipeline 2 are considered electives beyond state minimums (Pearson, Crissey, Riegle-Crumb, 2009; U.S. Department of Education, 2002, 2003). Hence, in conjunction with Author et al., (in press), Burkam & Lee (2003), and Pearson, Crissey, and Riegle-Crumb (2009), this study defines advanced coursetaking in the following ways. Math courses taken beyond Algebra II (i.e, beyond pipeline 2) will be considered advanced math coursetaking. Thus, if students had enrolled in pipeline 3 or 4 math courses in 11th and 12th grade, the indicator variable assigned a student a value of 1, and 0 otherwise. Almost 50% of the sample had taken an advanced math course in 11th or 12th grades. Similarly, advanced science coursetaking occurs when a student is beyond physical and life sciences (i.e, pipline 2) – i.e, when a student has taken courses at pipeline 3 or pipeline 4 in 11th or 12th grade. Thus, a student who had taken any pipeline 3 or 4 science courses in 11th and 12th grades would be indicated as such. Approximately 35% of the sample had taken an advanced science course in 11th or 12th grades. Note that only a negligible percentage of students in the sample had taken advanced math or science courses prior to the start of 11th grade. 11 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING ---------------------------------Insert Table 1 about here ----------------------------------Key Predictor: Applied STEM Coursetaking Applied STEM courses are classified as such based on the Secondary School Taxonomy published by NCES (Bradby & Hudson, 2007). This taxonomy organizes all high school courses recorded on students’ transcripts into four distinct curricula: academic, career and technical education (CTE), enrichment/other, and special education. The math and science courses described above are considered part of the academic curriculum. Applied courses (STEM and non-STEM) are part of the CTE curriculum. This taxonomy is mutually exclusive such that courses classified as academic cannot also be classified as CTE. It should be noted that the academic versus CTE distinction is one that NCES had made based on content and focus of the course material. It is not necessarily linked to college-bound versus non-college postsecondary goals: courses in both academic and applied categories can be equally as rigorous. Within the CTE curriculum, there are 16 categories of applied courses. Two of these categories contain applied STEM coursework (Author et al., in press): Scientific Research and Engineering (SRE) and Information Technology (IT). Within these clusters, course titles are identified and assigned unique course classification codes to fit within the Secondary School Taxonomy. A student was categorized as participating in applied STEM coursework if the student received credit for the course and the course classification code fell within the SRE or IT designation. As noted in Table 1, approximately 20% of the sample had taken applied STEM courses by the end of 10th grade. 12 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Note that most students take only one applied STEM course during high school – either an IT course or an SRE course (Author et al., in press). A small percentage of the sample has taken both an IT course and an SRE course (i.e, approximately 3%, as noted by the sum of IT course enrollment and SRE course enrollment). Also note that applied STEM coursetaking is distributed fairly evenly across all four years of high school (Author et al., in press). Hence, early applied STEM coursetaking is not systematically related to the timing of when these courses were taken. Additional Covariates Table 1 also presents the control variables that are utilized in the analyses. This is the first large-scale study of the influence of applied STEM coursetaking on advanced math and science coursetaking. That said, the control measures selected for this present analysis are grounded in prior research empirical research on traditional math and science coursetaking (e.g., Adelman, 1999; Brody & Benbow, 1990; Lee & Frank, 1990; Long et al, 2012; McClure, 1998; Pearson, Crissey, Riegle-Crumb, 2009; Riegle-Crumb, 2006; Tyson et al., 2007; Wimberly & Noeth, 2005). Based on this large body of literature, this study utilized control variables that could be classified as belonging into one of three main categories: socio-demographic characteristics, family characteristics, and measures pertaining to investments in schooling. Consistent with Pearson, Crissey, and Riegle-Crumb (2009), the control measures are derived from the base year survey, such that the dependent variable would not be correlated with these measures had they been selected from the first follow-up survey. In this way, all independent variables are derived from the base year survey (i.e., end of 10th grade) and all outcomes are derived from the transcript files. 13 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Socio-demographic background variables and family characteristics are taken from the 10th grade student and parent surveys. There are six unique socio-demographic control variables, and include indictors for gender, race/ethnicity, and an indicator for English as a second language. These measures were derived from the 10th grade student survey. Family variables include household composition, mother’s and father’s education, and family income and are from the 10th grade parent survey. Variables measuring a student’s investments in schooling are taken from the 10th student surveys and official school records. The variables include a baseline indicator of math ability (i.e., 10th grade math achievement score, note: science was not tested in the dataset), an indicator for the importance that students place on education, an indicator for whether or not the student had expectations for attending college, a four-point scale rating selfefficacy in math, a three-point scale measuring a student’s interpretation of parental involvement in schooling, a series of indicators for participation extracurricular activities, and an indicator for whether or not students held a job for pay during school. To determine if systematic patterns exist in the wide span of independent variables utilized in this study, Table 2 presents partial correlation coefficients and their significance levels between the indicator that a student completed applied STEM coursework by 10th grade and the control variables. Generally-speaking, the correlation coefficients in the table approximate to zero. Examining the first column, students who have taken applied STEM coursework do not appear to be different in some way that might bias the estimation of applied STEM coursetaking on advanced math and science coursetaking. While the correlation coefficients of some sociodemographic characteristics may be larger than others (i.e., gender), the practical significance is minimal given the actual sizes of these coefficient values. 14 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING ---------------------------------Insert Table 2 about here ----------------------------------Rather than strictly relying on the aggregated applied STEM measure, the latter two columns of Table 2 break the correlation values out by whether students had enrolled in IT courses or SRE courses by the end of 10th grade. The correlation coefficient values continue to present weak relationships between the control measures and these key independent variables – either aggregately (applied STEM) or within course type (SRE or IT). Again, this suggests that there is nothing systematic in the relationships between having taken any type of applied STEM coursework and the characteristics of students and their families. Analytic Approach To assess the influence of applied STEM coursetaking early in high school on advanced math and science coursetaking in the later years of high school, this analysis begins with a baseline logistic regression model: (1) In the model, is a binary indicator as to whether or not student who attended high school in survey waves and (i.e., throughout high school) had taken advanced math and science courses by end the of high school (i.e, survey wave ). Note that this model will be run separately for math and for science, as presented in the results section below. Given that represents a binary indicator, an ordinary least squares regression is not appropriate because it violates the model’s basic assumptions about the error structure (Cameron & Trivedi, 2010). As a result, this 15 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING model is conducted as a logistic regression model. All models in this study are conducted as logistic regression models, as every outcome is binary. The independent covariates in the model as described as follows. represents an indicator variable, designating if a student had taken applied STEM coursework in 9th or 10th grades – i.e., base year; represents each of the student’s socio-demographic characteristics discussed above, measured at base year; characteristics, measured at base year; and represents the set of a student’s family represents the previously-defined set of measures for investments in schooling, derived as well from the base year surveys. Note that all control variables are entered as individual items into the regression, as described in Table 1. That is, these latter terms S, F, and I represents sets of variables rather than constructs of variables. The error term ε includes all unobserved determinants of advanced math and science coursetaking. Empirically, this component is estimated with standard errors adjusted for high school clustering. It is in this error term that the multilevel structure of the data is taken into account. Because students are nested within high schools and hence are likely to have shared common but unobservable characteristics and experiences, clustering student data at the high school level provides for a corrected estimate of the variance of the error term given this nonindependence of student experiences. Note that as consistent with prior research that has examined which characteristics predict advanced math and science coursetaking in high school (e.g., Pearson, Crissey, & Riegle-Crumb, 2009), this study examines how the independent covariates mediate the relationship between applied STEM coursetaking and academic math and science coursetaking. In the tables to follow, model 1 examines solely the prediction of applied STEM coursetaking on academic math or science without any additional measures. Model 2 examines whether including socio16 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING demographic and family measures mediate this relationship. Model 3 then includes measures pertaining to investments in schooling. Addressing school heterogeneity. In the baseline approach, it is tested whether applied STEM coursetaking early in high school can predict later advanced math and science coursetaking. Observable characteristics are included and examined for whether or not they mediate the relationship between applied and academic coursetaking. That said, however, there may be unobserved school-level influences that might be biasing the estimates. Hence, a further examination as to how to control for these unobserved school effects is necessary. As a very tangible example of this potential issue, it might be the case that a student attends a school in which STEM is a theme focus (e.g., a STEM charter school). In this case, a student in this school may have more opportunities to take applied STEM courses early in high school. That is, in a STEM school, a greater proportion of electives may be STEM focused (compared to a non-STEM school) such that a student in this school would be simultaneously enrolled in math and science course requirements and an applied STEM elective in 9th and 10th grades. While school theme might be observed, at the same time the school may be making unobserved investments to ensure that these same students are enrolled in advanced math and science courses once they enter 11th or 12th grades. Hence, for a student in this school, the coefficient of applied STEM coursetaking would be overestimated due to not having accounted for the unobserved school environment that a student experiences over the course of high school. There may be additional nuances of the schooling environment that would also influence both the independent and dependent variables. A fixed effects strategy is one method of addressing this potential omitted variable bias. Using a logistic regression model, this strategy is put forth as follows: 17 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING prob[ ] = prob [ = + β1 + + + + εist > 0 ]. (2) In equation 2, represents school fixed effects for every high school attended by students in the sample. This is accomplished by including k -1 binary variables that indicate if a student had attended a particular high school, where one high school is omitted as the reference group. As such, this school fixed effects method averages the terms in equation 2 over all of the observations for a given school and subtracts the average within a school for all of the students who attended that high school. Consequently, including school fixed effects control for the unobserved influences of schools by capturing unobserved differences between schools, such as a STEM-themed curriculum. By holding constant those omitted but nuanced school-specific factors (and hence the variation between schools), the effect of applied STEM coursework can be better identified using this logistic regression model. The importance of relying on a sample of students who attended the same high school for all four years also becomes evident in the school fixed effects model. Examining students who were continuously exposed to only one curriculum and school environment provides a more precise estimation of the relationship when controlling for potential unobserved school effects. Results Advanced Math Coursetaking Table 3 presents odds ratios from baseline and school fixed effects logistic regressions of advanced math coursetaking on applied STEM coursetaking. Odds ratios and corresponding significance indicators are presented as is common with logistic regression analyses, and robust errors clustered at the school level are found below in parentheses. 18 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Each analytical section presents three analogous logistic regression models, where a more complex model builds upon the model that came before it. Model 1 includes only the key parameter – having taken an applied STEM course in 9th or 10th grade. Model 2 builds directly on model 1 by including socio-demographic and family variables in order to examine if these variables mediate the effect of applied STEM coursetaking. Finally, model 3 is analogous to model 2, as it tests for mediating effects by including the set of variables pertaining to investments in schooling. This set-up is equivalent in both baseline and school fixed effects sections, and hence models 1a and 1b are analogous, as are 2a and 2b and 3a and 3b. ---------------------------------Insert Table 3 about here ----------------------------------Beginning with the baseline set of specifications across models 1a, 2a, and 3a, the results indicate that having taken an applied STEM course early in high school (i.e., 9th or 10th grade) predicts a greater odds of enrolling in advanced math courses later in high school (i.e., 11th or 12th grade). This is evidenced by the statistically significant odds ratios across the first row of results, regardless of which model is examined. Model 2a then tests for the mediating effects of including the span of unique sociodemographic and family variables described previously. Model 3a includes the span of control variables pertaining to investments in schooling. As an initial finding, the failure to include these covariates in model 1a led to an underestimation of the effect of applied STEM coursetaking, as exemplified by the increase in size of the applied STEM odds ratio across the columns. Overall in the three baseline specifications, the prediction of applied STEM coursetaking remains robust to the inclusion of this wide span of covariates. That is, even after controlling for 19 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING a range of socio-demographics, family measures, and schooling characteristics, the final baseline model 3a shows a 37% higher odds of taking an advanced math course in 11th or 12th grade for those students who took an applied STEM course in 9th or 10th grade. Hence, the set of three baseline models provides substantial, formative evidence of a positive influence of early applied STEM coursetaking. Once including school fixed effects into the logistic regression model, as depicted in the second portion of Table 3, the prediction of earlier applied STEM coursetaking on later advanced math coursetaking remains equally as prevalent. The construction of models 1b, 2b, and 3b are analogous to the baseline specifications – with the sole difference here being the inclusion of school fixed effects. Within these models, the patterns found are similar to those found in the baseline models. As before, there appears to have been an underestimation in the effects of earlier applied STEM coursework on later advanced math coursetaking by not having included these statistically-significant control variables. Between the baseline and school fixed effects models, Likelihood Ratio tests statistically prefer all school fixed effects models over baseline models (i.e., model 1b is preferred to model 1a, model 2b is preferred to model 2a, and model 3b is preferred to model 3a). Within the fixed effects models themselves, the Likelihood Ratio test also favors each more complex model over the less complex model. That is, model 3b is the most statistically preferred model in the table. Therefore, turning to this final model (3b) in the table, there is an approximate 24% higher odds of taking advanced math coursework in 11th or 12th grade for those students who took earlier applied STEM coursework. Given that the sizes of the odds ratios are fairly consistent across the table, these more complex models do little to alter this study’s premise that 20 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING students who enroll in applied STEM courses early in high school are more likely to enroll in advance math courses later in high school. Also, given that odds ratios can serve as measures of effect sizes (Author, 2011), the effects of early applied STEM coursetaking are fairly large relative to the effects of other covariates in the models. To put it into perspective, the effect of having taken an applied STEM course is as large as the Black-White gap and almost as large as the gender gap. Indeed, turning to the lower portion of the table, the effect of applied STEM coursekaing is larger than the effect of baseline math ability and almost equivalent to the size of math self-efficacy. Advanced Science Coursetaking Table 4 presents logistic regression results predicting the effects of early applied STEM coursetaking on later advanced science coursetaking. As with predicting math coursetaking, the models in the table show a strong predictive relationship between having taken applied STEM courses and advanced science coursetaking in high school. This finding is prevalent regardless of which model is examined in the table. Moreover, the magnitudes of the estimated odds ratios on applied STEM coursetaking are consistent with those from the models predicting advanced math coursetaking. This suggests a robustness in the empirical specification selected in this study, as the findings are consistent across multiple, related outcomes. ---------------------------------Insert Table 4 about here ----------------------------------In more detail, even after including socio-demographic, family, and investments in schooling control variables in models 2a and 3a, the applied STEM indicator remains statistically 21 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING significant. This is noteworthy because these control measures include key measures such as baseline math ability, efficacy, and college expectations. Like in Table 3, the Likelihood Ratio test also statistically prefers the school fixed effects models to the baseline models in Table 4. Also as consistent with Table 3, in Table 4 model 3b is the statistically-preferred school fixed effects logistic regression model. Turning to this final column in the table, the results continue to suggest a positive influence of applied STEM coursetaking on advanced science coursetaking: there is a 21% greater chance of taking an advanced science course in 11th or 12th grade for those students who took an applied STEM course earlier in high school. To put these effects into perspective by interpreting odds ratios as effect sizes, the effects of applied STEM coursetaking are larger than both the Black-White gap as well as the gender gap, as consistent with the models predicting math advanced coursetaking. Also similar to math, the effect of applied STEM courses is larger than the effects of base year math ability and math self-efficacy and are in line with the remainder of the investments in schooling variables. Applied STEM Breakout In Table 5, the applied STEM indicator has been replaced by indicators for whether a student took an IT or SRE course. Because the school fixed effects logistic regression models were statistically preferred in Tables 3 and 4, only those are presented in Table 5. The results in the first section of columns pertain to predicting advanced math coursetaking in 11th or 12th grade, and those in the second section of columns predict advanced science coursetaking in 11th or 12th grade. Odds ratios are presented along with corresponding standard errors. 22 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING ---------------------------------Insert Table 5 about here ----------------------------------When applied STEM courses are subsequently separated into more specific categories – IT and SRE – the results in Table 5 reveal a unique finding. Here, the results suggest that taking IT courses early in high school have predictive power on both advanced math coursetaking and advanced science coursetaking later in high school. Indeed, across all models in the table, the findings suggest that students who take IT courses in 9th or 10th grade have an approximate 30% greater odds of enrolling in advanced math or science courses in 11th or 12th grade. On the other hand, none of the models suggest that SRE courses hold predictive power in the math and science models. Note that the statistical patterns are similar to those from prior tables: the observable characteristics and use of school fixed effects do not reduce the predictive power of the IT coursetaking odds ratios. Also as consistent with the prior tables, the effects of IT coursetaking approximate the sizes of the Black-White and gender gaps. The IT effects are also larger than the effect of base year math ability and the measure of math self-efficacy. Heterogeneity in Results The final set of analyses breaks out the results by gender, race, and English language learner status. The intention is to examine for heterogeneity of results based upon common gaps in STEM (e.g., Eitle, 2005; Melguizo & Wolniak, 2012; Olitsky, 2013; Pearson, Crissey, RiegleCrumb, 2009; Xie & Shauman, 2003). Examining the results by individual-level characteristic, it is possible to determine if different demographic groups are differentially influenced by having taken applied STEM courses. 23 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 6 presents odds ratios from a series of school fixed effects logistic regression models, including all independent covariates. In the first column, each odds ratio represents the coefficient on a separate model where applied STEM coursetaking was the key predictor, similar to models 3b in Tables 3 and 4. And similar to models 3a and 3b in Table 5, the second set of models are broken out by IT and SRE indicators. ---------------------------------Insert Table 6 about here ----------------------------------For both advanced math coursetaking and advanced science coursetaking, the effects of applied STEM coursetaking appear to differ by gender. This is evidenced by the differential sizes of the odds ratios between male and female logistic regressions. Beginning with the first column of results, females who take applied STEM courses in 9th or 10th grade tend to have greater odds of taking advanced math and science courses in 11th or 12th grade compared to males. This is particularly evident in math, where the odds are approximately one-third larger for females than for males. When the results are broken out by IT versus SRE coursetaking, females have higher odds of taking advanced math courses later in high school when having taken IT courses earlier in high school. However, the results do not appear to be differentiated by gender across IT versus SRE when it comes to the influence on advanced science coursetaking. Generally-speaking, however, Table 6 does indicate that applied STEM coursetaking does boost the odds for all students, but especially so for females. For advanced math coursetaking, the results suggest that White students tend to have greater odds of taking advanced math courses when having taken applied STEM courses, though the results are not as clearly differentiated once breaking applied STEM into IT and SRE 24 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING categories: except for Black students, all other racial groups experience similarly-sized odds ratios. For advanced science coursetaking, White and Black students tend to have larger odds based on having taken applied STEM courses compared to students in other racial groups. The patterns are reflected when applied STEM is broken out into IT and SRE categories as well. Finally, the results are differentiated by students whose primary language is and is not English. For math, the results indicate no difference between the odds for students based on primary language spoken. On the other hand, the odds are differential for advanced science coursetaking. Here, students whose primary language is English have greater odds of taking advanced science courses after having taken applied STEM courses. Given these differential findings, delineating the results by demographics, by applied course taken, as well as by outcome proves to be critical. Discussion Given the established importance of advanced math and science coursetaking in high school, this study examined new factors that might improve students’ pursuit of and persistence in these fields. Prior to this study, little work has been conducted in evaluating the effectiveness of high school applied STEM coursetaking; none had considered how taking these courses early in high school might boost the chances of enrolling in advanced math and science courses later in high school. Recent educational policy has been expanding the high school STEM curriculum to include applied STEM courses as a way to expand interest and skills in STEM. As such, this study is timely by providing unique insight into the whether these curricular changes are in fact strengthening the STEM pathway. This study relied on a longitudinal sample of high school students in the U.S. For the purposes of this study, two waves of survey data were assessed: the base wave when students 25 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING were in 10th grade, and first follow-up wave when students were in 12th grade. In addition to compiling data on student and family characteristics, this study utilized official transcript data in order to assess precise applied STEM and math and science coursetaking patterns. The advanced math and science coursetaking rubric utilized has been established by prior research (e.g., Burkham & Lee, 2003; Pearson, Crissey, & Riegle-Crumb, 2009; Tyson et al., 2007), thereby enabling the methods in this study to be comparable to others in this area. As for identifying applied STEM coursetaking, this study focused on key strands of applied STEM courses in high school designated as such by the U.S. Department of Education: IT and SRE courses. These applied STEM courses were specifically designed to reinforce instructional material in the traditional math and science curricula, to foster interest in STEM areas, and to support the development of skills that are central to the long-term persistence in STEM fields. Hence, by examining the influence of these previously-unexplored coursetaking patterns on well-established measures of advanced math and science coursetaking, this research has important policy implications for how a changing STEM curriculum can support STEM pathways. This study relied on two main approaches. The first was a baseline logistic regression model, where an indicator for students having taken advanced math or science courses in grades 11 or 12 was modeled based on having taken an applied STEM course in grades 9 or 10 and on base year observable characteristics. The second approach extended the baseline model by incorporating school fixed effects into a logistic regression model in order to account for unobservable school-level factors that may be influencing having taken applied STEM coursework as well as enrolling in advanced math or science coursework. Empirical models with fixed effects are supported in empirical educational research on large-scale datasets as 26 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING appropriate and have been employed in previous studies on STEM coursetaking (e.g., Author et al., in press). The findings across both empirical approaches were consistent: students who had taken an applied STEM course early in high school had higher odds of taking advanced math or science courses later in high school. After testing for mediating effects, there were two key conclusions. First, including student socio-demographic data and family covariates did not reduce the size of this effect – neither in the math models nor in the science models. Second, incorporating critical measures that represented to investments in schooling (i.e., baseline math ability, math self-efficacy, college expectations) also did not reduce the magnitude of the effect of applied STEM coursetaking. A second research question inquired into whether the odds were differentiated by type of applied STEM course. The findings indicated that having taken an IT course in 9th or 10th grade was related to a higher probability of taking advanced math or science courses in 11th or 12th grade, whereas taking SRE courses was not. Hence, the importance of differentiating types of applied STEM coursework was critical in order to distinguish the precise pathways by which the initial results were actualized. Here, it might be hypothesized that IT courses (e.g., computer science) may not only be intrinsically interesting and motivating but also provide an opportunity to build skills and to mix STEM aspirations with practical applications. Future work, as described below, can inquire into the precise content of these courses in order to determine the links between applied and academic STEM coursetaking. This, however, is not possible in a current large-scale dataset. A final research question examined the results for heterogeneity among common demographic gaps in STEM – i.e., gender and race (e.g., Tyson et al., 2007). For instance, the 27 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING results suggested that female students in applied STEM courses had a higher odds of taking advanced math and science courses than did male students. This was more apparent with math, though also prevalent in the results for science as well. It might be hypothesized that applied coursework may be especially important for women, who have been shown to perceive many STEM fields as lacking real-life or societal applications (Baker & Leary, 1995; Sax, 1994, 2001). Given these findings, there is consistent support for the framework put forth in the introduction of this article. Having taken applied STEM courses early in high school has the potential to strengthen STEM pathways. Applied STEM courses translate academic math and science concepts into accessible material, stress the application of academic concepts to more practical experiences, and incorporate quantitative thinking, logic, and problem solving. Hence, given these features, applied STEM courses may serve as an alternative way to reinforce and augment the required skills necessary for math and science coursework. Moreover, applied coursework may facilitate students’ interests in applied science and math material, thereby hence motivating them to further pursue math and science. These findings, based on this study’s three research questions, each have relevance in educational policy. First, previous research has stressed the importance of math and science coursetaking. That said, little research has been developed around the identifying those drivers of advanced math and science coursetaking, though these courses are supported as being the foundation for postsecondary and career pathways in STEM (Long et al., 2012; Tyson et al., 2007). In demonstrating the importance of applied STEM courses in boosting the chances of taking high school math and science courses, the findings of this study support policymakers and practitioners’ efforts to expand the STEM curriculum beyond traditional subjects. Continuing to do so may be one way to expand the number of students persisting in STEM. 28 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Second, having examined IT and SRE courses separately proved to be significant. The demonstrated importance of IT courses in particular bolster current policy when it comes to inserting applied STEM coursetaking into high schools’ curricula. For instance, at present, nine states count computer science as a core graduation requirement (Wilson, Sudol, Stephenson, & Stehlik, 2010), while zero states count SRE as a core graduation requirement. Moreover, many states are considering including computer science questions in their standardized tests (Farrell, 2013). The results of this study would support these continued efforts to specifically include IT courses into graduation requirements. IT courses may not only serve to enhance students’ interest in STEM, but may also provide key foundational skills that enable students to access traditional STEM material. Lastly, in conjunction with prior research in academic STEM coursetaking (Melguizo & Wolniak, 2012; Olitsky, 2013; Tyson et al., 2007; Wang, 2013), the findings of this study urge policymakers and practitioners to consider new ways to reduce demographic gaps in STEM. Given that women and under-represented minority groups continue to lag behind in the pursuit of and persistence in STEM, applied STEM courses might serve as an alternative way to reduce educational disparities in these areas. By providing additional opportunities for these groups to attain school-based STEM skills and experiences, applied STEM courses could reinforce skill sets that are attained in the academic curriculum with additional applied curricular material. This may boost the probability that all students receive exposure to advanced math and science courses, which are critical in laying the foundation for a strong STEM pipeline. Future Research In sum, this study was the first to examine the relationship between applied STEM and advanced math and science coursetaking. The relationship was examined with a large-scale 29 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING NCES dataset of high school students, including full transcript information. Consistent across this study, the findings indicated positive, predictive relationships between taking applied STEM courses in early high school years and taking advanced math or science coursework. The results were robust across multiple methodologies and the inclusion of a wide span of covariates. Hence, this study has provided new evidence and insight into the role of high school STEM coursework, which comes as a critical juncture as policymakers and practitioners themselves are concurrently revamping the STEM curriculum. There are several research extensions of this study. First, relying on a large-scale NCES dataset allowed for trends and patterns to be identified through the inclusion of a wide array of measures and multiple methods. However, one limitation of using survey data is that they are do not contain precise information on the content of applied STEM courses. Hence, it is not possible to determine exactly what it is about these courses that links to the math and science curriculum. Thus, future research could rely on the findings of this study to develop a smaller-scale research study that explores the specific aspects of course content in applied STEM courses. For instance, working with a single school or district may allow for additional insights into the mechanisms discovered in this present study. A second extension is related to the first. Survey data do not contain information on students’ perceptions of applied STEM coursetaking and how it relates to STEM pursuit and persistence. Thus, a future study might pair these findings with qualitative research, where students provide their insights into how having taken applied STEM courses relates to advanced math and science coursetaking. Finally, this study has shown that applied STEM courses may have the ability to boost the probability of taking advanced math and science courses in high school. This was particularly 30 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING evident for students who took IT courses. While the first two avenues for future research have suggested smaller-scale studies, there is also room for additional research with national datasets. For instance, future research can evaluate the longer-term effects of applied STEM courses on course selection in postsecondary education. For instance, it would be noteworthy to determine how applied STEM coursetaking in high school is linked not only to college major selection, but also to college course selection at the start of postsecondary education (before college majors are selected). 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Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. 36 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 1: Descriptive Statistics for 12th Grade Students (N = 10,828) Mean Standard deviation Dependent Variable Advanced math courses taken by end of high school Advanced science courses taken by end of high school 0.47 0.35 0.50 0.48 Key Predictor Variables Participation in applied courses by end of grade 10 Participation in SRE courses by end of grade 10 Participation in IT courses by end of grade 10 0.20 0.15 0.08 0.40 0.36 0.27 0.53 0.50 0.62 0.10 0.12 0.10 0.01 0.15 0.49 0.30 0.33 0.30 0.09 0.36 0.62 0.21 0.16 0.49 0.41 0.37 0.11 0.27 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.20 0.07 0.02 0.31 0.44 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.40 0.26 0.14 Socio-demographic variables Male Race White, non-Hispanic (reference) Black Hispanic Asian Other English as a second language Family data Household composition Two biological parents (reference) Single parent household Other arrangement Mother's education Did not finish HS (reference) High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Family data (continued) Father's education Did not finish HS (reference) High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Income No income (reference) <= $1,000 1,001-5,000 5,001-10,000 10,001-15,000 15,001-20,000 20,001-25,000 25,001-35,000 35,001-50,000 50,001-75,000 75,001-100,000 100,001-200,000 >= 200,001 Investments in schooling 10th grade math IRT score Importance of education College expectations Math self-efficacy Parent involvement in student's schooling Extracurricular activities 0 hours (reference) >0 to 4 hours 5 to 9 hours 10 to 14 hours 15 or more hours Employment during school Mean Standard deviation 0.11 0.28 0.10 0.08 0.09 0.19 0.09 0.06 0.32 0.45 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.39 0.29 0.24 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.11 0.19 0.22 0.14 0.13 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.19 0.20 0.23 0.31 0.39 0.41 0.35 0.33 0.19 39.65 0.83 0.77 2.53 2.21 11.64 0.37 0.42 0.84 0.53 0.35 0.25 0.14 0.17 0.10 0.58 0.48 0.43 0.34 0.38 0.29 0.49 37 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 2: Correlations Between Applied STEM Coursetaking and Model Covariates Applied STEM Socio-demographic variables Male Race Black Hispanic Asian Other English as a second language Family data Household composition Single parent household Other arrangement Mother's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Father's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree -0.07 -0.01 -0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 SRE Course IT Course *** * ** -0.08 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 *** ** -0.06 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.01 -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 * Applied STEM *** ** Family data (continued) Income <= $1,000 1,001-5,000 5,001-10,000 10,001-15,000 15,001-20,000 20,001-25,000 25,001-35,000 35,001-50,000 50,001-75,000 75,001-100,000 100,001-200,000 >= 200,001 Investments in schooling 10th grade math IRT score Importance of education College expectations Math self-efficacy Parent involvement in student's schooling Extracurricular activities >0 to 4 hours 5 to 9 hours 10 to 14 hours 15 or more hours Employment during school SRE Course IT Course 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 -0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 *** 0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 ** 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.01 -0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 * 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 ** 0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.01 *** * * * ** 38 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 3: Odds Ratios from Logistic Regression Models Predicting Advanced Math Coursetaking Baseline Models Model 1a Participation in applied courses by end of grade 10 Socio-demographic variables Female Race Black Hispanic Asian Other English as a second language Family data Household composition Single parent household Other arrangement Mother's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Father's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree 1.19 (0.10) Model 2a *** School Fixed Effects Models Model 3a Model 1b 1.26 (0.10) *** 1.37 (0.13) *** 1.24 (0.06) *** 1.45 (0.09) 0.85 (0.08) 0.69 (0.07) 2.00 (0.22) 0.22 (0.04) 0.95 (0.09) * 1.62 (0.19) 0.97 (0.11) 1.64 (0.22) 0.30 (0.10) 0.84 (0.09) 0.76 (0.05) 0.63 (0.04) *** 1.30 (0.12) 1.39 (0.14) 1.56 (0.16) 1.82 (0.19) 2.40 (0.25) 2.88 (0.38) 2.05 (0.38) *** 1.05 (0.09) 1.32 (0.13) 1.35 (0.15) 1.50 (0.15) 1.90 (0.18) 2.11 (0.25) 2.65 (0.36) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 0.90 (0.07) 0.72 (0.05) 1.08 (0.11) 1.10 (0.13) 1.09 (0.13) 1.32 (0.16) 1.58 (0.18) 1.77 (0.26) 1.48 (0.32) 0.90 (0.09) 0.93 (0.11) 0.99 (0.13) 1.09 (0.13) 1.26 (0.14) 1.16 (0.16) 1.44 (0.24) Model 2b 1.25 (0.11) *** 1.24 (0.13) ** *** 1.29 (0.07) *** 1.65 (0.12) *** *** 0.57 (0.07) 0.65 (0.08) 2.37 (0.32) 0.33 (0.14) 0.97 (0.11) *** 1.24 (0.19) 0.96 (0.14) 2.29 (0.38) 0.49 (0.25) 0.85 (0.12) 0.68 (0.05) 0.64 (0.05) *** *** *** * *** ** *** *** * ** ** 1.15 (0.09) ** Model 3b 1.18 (0.13) 1.22 (0.15) 1.55 (0.20) 1.60 (0.21) 2.17 (0.28) 2.70 (0.43) 1.65 (0.37) 1.08 (0.11) 1.52 (0.18) 1.43 (0.19) 1.44 (0.18) 1.96 (0.23) 1.97 (0.28) 2.65 (0.44) *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** 0.83 (0.08) 0.72 (0.07) 0.93 (0.13) 0.88 (0.13) 1.01 (0.16) 1.11 (0.18) 1.36 (0.21) 1.55 (0.29) 1.21 (0.35) 0.90 (0.12) 0.93 (0.11) 1.00 (0.15) 1.09 (0.18) 0.98 (0.15) 1.28 (0.18) 1.46 (0.30) *** ** *** ** ** * * 39 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Income <= $1,000 0.69 (0.33) 0.52 (0.22) 0.42 (0.18) 0.62 (0.24) 0.79 (0.31) 0.73 (0.28) 0.89 (0.33) 0.90 (0.34) 1.12 (0.42) 1.16 (0.44) 1.55 (0.59) 2.25 (0.89) 1,001-5,000 5,001-10,000 10,001-15,000 15,001-20,000 20,001-25,000 25,001-35,000 35,001-50,000 50,001-75,000 75,001-100,000 100,001-200,000 >= 200,001 Investments in schooling 10th grade math IRT score Importance of education College expectations Math self-efficacy Parent involvement in student's schooling Extracurricular activities >0 to 4 hours 5 to 9 hours 10 to 14 hours 15 or more hours Employment during school n adjusted R2 10,036 0.00 10,036 0.11 ** ** 0.83 (0.41) 0.64 (0.27) 0.42 (0.19) 0.58 (0.23) 0.77 (0.31) 0.61 (0.24) 0.70 (0.26) 0.69 (0.26) 0.82 (0.31) 0.76 (0.29) 0.98 (0.38) 1.32 (0.54) ** 1.10 (0.00) 1.54 (0.12) 1.81 (0.13) 1.33 (0.05) 1.17 (0.06) *** 1.50 (0.11) 1.47 (0.12) 1.80 (0.15) 1.76 (0.17) 0.80 (0.05) *** 10,036 0.30 1.18 (0.68) 0.94 (0.48) 0.61 (0.32) 0.95 (0.46) 1.34 (0.66) 1.25 (0.60) 1.48 (0.70) 1.51 (0.71) 1.81 (0.87) 1.63 (0.78) 1.86 (0.90) 2.05 (1.04) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9,419 0.17 9,419 0.23 1.21 (0.83) 1.17 (0.65) 0.67 (0.39) 0.73 (0.38) 1.33 (0.69) 0.99 (0.51) 1.11 (0.55) 1.13 (0.56) 1.32 (0.66) 1.01 (0.51) 1.16 (0.59) 1.25 (0.68) 1.15 (0.01) 1.71 (0.17) 1.86 (0.18) 1.38 (0.06) 1.26 (0.09) *** 1.64 (0.14) 1.63 (0.16) 2.03 (0.20) 2.08 (0.26) 0.72 (0.05) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9,419 0.43 Note: *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.10. All models also includue indicators for parental occupation. 40 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 4: Odds Ratios from Logistic Regression Models Predicting Advanced Science Coursetaking Baseline Models Model 1a Participation in applied courses by end of grade 10 Socio-demographic variables Female Race Black Hispanic Asian Other English as a second language Family data Household composition Single parent household Other arrangement Mother's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Father's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree 1.19 (0.10) Model 2a ** 1.22 (0.10) ** 1.04 (0.05) 0.65 (0.07) 0.71 (0.07) 2.04 (0.22) 0.43 (0.15) 0.86 (0.08) *** 0.76 (0.05) 0.61 (0.04) *** 1.13 (0.11) 1.29 (0.14) 1.48 (0.16) 1.67 (0.18) 1.85 (0.20) 2.31 (0.28) 2.05 (0.36) 1.25 (0.12) 1.55 (0.17) 1.76 (0.19) 1.68 (0.18) 2.03 (0.21) 2.23 (0.27) 2.66 (0.34) School Fixed Effects Models Model 3a *** *** ** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** Model 1b 1.27 (0.12) *** 1.14 (0.06) ** 1.04 (0.13) 0.92 (0.10) 1.72 (0.19) 0.61 (0.20) 0.78 (0.08) 0.86 (0.06) 0.69 (0.05) 0.95 (0.10) 1.05 (0.13) 1.12 (0.13) 1.26 (0.16) 1.27 (0.15) 1.49 (0.20) 1.53 (0.29) 1.16 (0.12) 1.27 (0.15) 1.50 (0.18) 1.37 (0.16) 1.50 (0.17) 1.45 (0.19) 1.68 (0.24) *** ** ** *** * ** *** ** * *** *** *** *** *** 1.24 (0.10) Model 2b *** 1.23 (0.11) Model 3b ** 1.00 (0.06) 0.58 (0.07) 0.79 (0.09) 2.35 (0.30) 0.52 (0.24) 0.81 (0.09) *** 0.68 (0.05) 0.65 (0.05) *** 1.08 (0.13) 1.21 (0.16) 1.48 (0.19) 1.62 (0.21) 1.80 (0.23) 2.29 (0.34) 1.78 (0.38) 1.30 (0.15) 1.82 (0.25) 1.87 (0.25) 1.84 (0.24) 2.19 (0.27) 2.43 (0.35) 2.69 (0.42) ** *** * *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1.21 (0.12) ** 1.13 (0.08) * 1.06 (0.16) 1.06 (0.14) 2.01 (0.28) 0.80 (0.44) 0.69 (0.09) 0.77 (0.07) 0.76 (0.07) 0.90 (0.12) 0.92 (0.14) 1.09 (0.17) 1.17 (0.18) 1.21 (0.17) 1.42 (0.24) 1.31 (0.31) 1.22 (0.16) 1.46 (0.24) 1.68 (0.26) 1.58 (0.24) 1.67 (0.24) 1.66 (0.27) 1.80 (0.31) *** *** *** *** ** ** *** *** *** *** *** 41 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Income <= $1,000 0.54 (0.25) 0.51 (0.21) 0.58 (0.23) 0.54 (0.21) 0.49 (0.18) 0.68 (0.26) 0.77 (0.27) 0.76 (0.28) 0.91 (0.33) 0.83 (0.30) 1.02 (0.37) 1.25 (0.48) 1,001-5,000 5,001-10,000 10,001-15,000 15,001-20,000 20,001-25,000 25,001-35,000 35,001-50,000 50,001-75,000 75,001-100,000 100,001-200,000 >= 200,001 Investments in schooling 10th grade math IRT score Importance of education College expectations Math self-efficacy Parent involvement in student's schooling Extracurricular activities >0 to 4 hours 5 to 9 hours 10 to 14 hours 15 or more hours Employment during school n adjusted R2 10,036 0.00 10,036 0.09 * * 0.66 (0.33) 0.63 (0.28) 0.64 (0.29) 0.53 (0.23) 0.46 (0.20) 0.61 (0.27) 0.65 (0.27) 0.63 (0.26) 0.71 (0.30) 0.59 (0.25) 0.69 (0.29) 0.78 (0.35) * 1.07 (0.00) 1.41 (0.11) 1.38 (0.10) 1.20 (0.04) 1.02 (0.05) *** 1.33 (0.09) 1.62 (0.13) 1.57 (0.12) 1.42 (0.13) 0.88 (0.05) *** 10,036 0.20 0.58 (0.30) 0.66 (0.32) 0.70 (0.34) 0.71 (0.33) 0.58 (0.26) 0.96 (0.44) 0.96 (0.41) 1.02 (0.44) 1.15 (0.50) 1.01 (0.44) 1.15 (0.50) 1.31 (0.61) *** *** *** *** *** *** * 9,290 0.17 9,290 0.22 0.45 (0.31) 0.62 (0.39) 0.74 (0.49) 0.55 (0.34) 0.44 (0.26) 0.74 (0.46) 0.63 (0.37) 0.68 (0.40) 0.73 (0.43) 0.58 (0.35) 0.65 (0.39) 0.75 (0.47) 1.10 (0.01) 1.50 (0.14) 1.52 (0.14) 1.29 (0.06) 1.10 (0.07) *** 1.48 (0.12) 1.79 (0.18) 1.83 (0.17) 1.65 (0.19) 0.77 (0.05) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9,290 0.35 Note: *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.10. All models also includue indicators for parental occupation. 42 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 5: Odds Ratios from Logistic Regression Models Predicting Advanced Math or Science Coursetaking Advanced Math Coursetaking Model 1 Participation in applied IT courses by end of grade 10 Participation in applied SRE courses by end of grade 10 Socio-demographic variables Female Race Black Hispanic Asian Other English as a second language Family data Household composition Single parent household Other arrangement Mother's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree Father's education High school diploma or GED Attended 2-year college, no degree Graduated from 2-year college Attended 4-year college, no degree Graduated from 4-year college Completed Master's or equivalent Completed PhD/MD/advanced degree 1.28 (0.12) 0.85 (0.10) Model 2 *** Advanced Science Coursetaking Model 3 Model 1 1.33 (0.14) 0.95 (0.11) *** 1.29 (0.16) 0.90 (0.13) ** 1.27 (0.07) *** 1.61 (0.11) *** 0.57 (0.07) 0.65 (0.08) 2.36 (0.32) 0.33 (0.14) 0.97 (0.11) *** 1.24 (0.19) 0.96 (0.14) 2.28 (0.38) 0.48 (0.25) 0.85 (0.11) 0.68 (0.05) 0.64 (0.05) *** 1.17 (0.13) 1.21 (0.15) 1.55 (0.20) 1.60 (0.21) 2.16 (0.28) 2.70 (0.43) 1.66 (0.37) 1.08 (0.11) 1.51 (0.18) 1.43 (0.19) 1.43 (0.18) 1.95 (0.23) 1.98 (0.28) 2.63 (0.44) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** 0.83 (0.08) 0.72 (0.07) 0.93 (0.13) 0.87 (0.13) 1.01 (0.16) 1.11 (0.18) 1.36 (0.21) 1.54 (0.29) 1.21 (0.35) 0.90 (0.12) 1.00 (0.15) 1.09 (0.18) 0.98 (0.15) 1.27 (0.18) 1.09 (0.19) 1.45 (0.29) *** ** *** ** ** * * 1.28 (0.13) 0.95 (0.11) Model 2 ** 1.29 (0.13) 0.96 (0.12) Model 3 ** 0.99 (0.06) *** 0.68 (0.05) 0.64 (0.05) *** 1.30 (0.15) 1.81 (0.25) 1.87 (0.25) 1.84 (0.24) 2.18 (0.27) 2.43 (0.35) 2.68 (0.42) ** 1.11 (0.07) 0.58 (0.07) 0.79 (0.09) 2.34 (0.30) 0.52 (0.24) 0.81 (0.09) 1.08 (0.13) 1.21 (0.16) 1.48 (0.19) 1.62 (0.21) 1.79 (0.23) 2.29 (0.34) 1.79 (0.38) 1.26 (0.14) 0.92 (0.13) ** *** * *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** 1.07 (0.16) 1.06 (0.14) 2.00 (0.28) 0.80 (0.45) 0.69 (0.09) 0.77 (0.07) 0.75 (0.07) 0.90 (0.12) 0.92 (0.14) 1.09 (0.17) 1.17 (0.18) 1.20 (0.17) 1.41 (0.24) 1.31 (0.31) 1.22 (0.16) 1.45 (0.24) 1.68 (0.26) 1.58 (0.24) 1.66 (0.24) 1.66 (0.27) 1.79 (0.31) *** *** *** *** ** ** *** *** *** *** *** 43 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Income <= $1,000 1.15 (0.67) 0.92 (0.47) 0.59 (0.31) 0.93 (0.45) 1.32 (0.64) 1.23 (0.59) 1.45 (0.68) 1.48 (0.69) 1.77 (0.84) 1.60 (0.76) 1.82 (0.87) 2.01 (1.02) 1,001-5,000 5,001-10,000 10,001-15,000 15,001-20,000 20,001-25,000 25,001-35,000 35,001-50,000 50,001-75,000 75,001-100,000 100,001-200,000 >= 200,001 Investments in schooling 10th grade math IRT score Importance of education College expectations Math self-efficacy Parent involvement in student's schooling Extracurricular activities >0 to 4 hours 5 to 9 hours 10 to 14 hours 15 or more hours Employment during school n adjusted R2 9,419 0.17 9,419 0.23 1.18 (0.81) 1.15 (0.64) 0.66 (0.38) 0.72 (0.38) 1.30 (0.68) 0.97 (0.49) 1.09 (0.54) 1.10 (0.55) 1.28 (0.64) 0.98 (0.50) 1.13 (0.58) 1.22 (0.66) 0.57 (0.29) 0.65 (0.32) 0.69 (0.33) 0.70 (0.32) 0.57 (0.25) 0.96 (0.43) 0.95 (0.40) 1.00 (0.43) 1.14 (0.49) 1.00 (0.43) 1.14 (0.49) 1.30 (0.59) 1.15 (0.01) 1.71 (0.17) 1.84 (0.17) 1.38 (0.06) 1.25 (0.09) *** 1.63 (0.14) 1.62 (0.16) 2.03 (0.20) 2.07 (0.25) 0.72 (0.05) *** 9,419 0.43 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9,290 0.17 9,290 0.22 0.45 (0.31) 0.61 (0.39) 0.73 (0.48) 0.54 (0.33) 0.43 (0.25) 0.73 (0.45) 0.63 (0.37) 0.67 (0.39) 0.72 (0.42) 0.57 (0.34) 0.64 (0.38) 0.74 (0.46) 1.10 (0.01) 1.50 (0.14) 1.52 (0.14) 1.29 (0.06) 1.10 (0.07) *** 1.48 (0.12) 1.78 (0.18) 1.82 (0.17) 1.64 (0.19) 0.78 (0.05) *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9,290 0.35 Note: *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.10. All models also includue indicators for parental occupation. 44 HIGH SCHOOL APPLIED STEM COURSETAKING Table 6: Odds Ratios from Logistic Regression Models Predicting Advanced Math or Science Coursetaking Applied STEM Cousetaking IT and SRE Coursetaking IT Outcome: advanced math coursetaking Male Female White Black Hispanic Asian English is second language English is primary language Outcome: advanced science coursetaking Male Female White Black Hispanic Asian English is second language English is primary language 1.22 (0.13) 1.61 (0.22) 1.37 (0.17) 1.32 (0.32) 1.34 (0.29) 1.38 (0.30) 1.44 (0.28) 1.38 (0.14) * 1.23 (0.12) 1.30 (0.17) 1.25 (0.14) 2.03 (0.53) 1.15 (0.24) 1.07 (0.22) 1.22 (0.22) 1.30 (0.13) ** *** *** * *** ** 1.33 (0.17) 1.60 (0.25) 1.44 (0.21) 1.16 (0.32) 1.61 (0.40) 1.43 (0.31) 1.46 (0.34) 1.48 (0.18) *** ** *** ** * * * *** 1.22 (0.14) 1.18 (0.17) ** *** SRE * (0.16) 1.63 (0.45) 0.93 (0.21) 1.10 (0.23) 1.39 (0.30) 1.22 (0.13) * * 0.92 (0.13) 1.02 (0.26) 1.16 (0.32) 1.43 (0.50) 0.55 (0.19) 0.82 (0.27) 0.85 (0.25) 0.96 (0.15) 1.13 (0.15) 1.24 (0.33) 1.11 (0.17) 1.93 (0.86) 1.75 (0.52) 0.87 (0.31) 0.83 (0.24) 1.21 (0.18) * Note: *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.10. All models also includue indicators for parental occupation. 45