Ch 13 MC Review AP Stats Name___________________________ Date______________Period_________ The following information is used in Questions 1 to 4. A random sample of 80 companies from the Forbes 500 list was selected and the relationship between sales (in hundreds of thousands of dollars) and profits (in hundreds of thousands of dollars) was investigated by regression. A least-squares regression line was fitted to the data using statistical software, with sales as the explanatory variable and profits as the response variable. Here is the output from the software: Dependent variable is Profits R squares = 66.2% s = 466.2 with 80 – 2 = 78 degrees of freedom Variable Constant Sales Coefficient –176.644 0.092498 s.e. of Coefficient P-value 61.16 0.0050 0.0075 ≤0.0001 1. Using the above data, approximately what is the intercept of the least-squares regression line? (a) 0.0925 (b) 0.0075 (c) –176.64 (d) 61.16 (e) None of the above. 2. Using the above data, approximately what is a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the least-squares regression line? (a) 0.0925 ± 0.0075 (b) 0.0925 ± 0.012 (c) –0.0925 ± 0.0075 (d) –0.0925 ± 0.012 (e) None of the above. 3. Using the above data, what is the value of the t statistic for testing whether the slope of the least-squares regression line is 0? (a) 0.0075 (b) 0.082 (c) 0.092 (d) 12.33 (e) None of the above. 4. Using the above data, is there strong evidence (and if so, why) of a straight-line relationship between sales and profits? (a) Yes, because the slope of the least-squares line is positive. (b) Yes, because the P-value for testing if the slope is 0 is quite small. (c) No, because the value of the square of the correlation is relatively small. (d) It is impossible to say because we are not given the actual value of the correlation. (e) None of the above. The following information is used in Questions 5 to 8. A marine biologist wants to test the effect of water temperature on the average dive duration for sea otters. Several otters are available for an experiment. The biologist collects the following data: Water Dive temp.(C) duration (sec) Otter x y J2 4 63 J1 8 75 B7 8 84 B9 12 91 M3 12 101 D4 16 110 B8 20 115 We want to determine if water temperature is useful in predicting dive duration. Here is output from Minitab for these data: Predictor Constant H2Otemp s = 5.557 Coef 52.789 3.3684 Stdev 5.257 0.4216 R-sq = 92.7% t-ratio 10.04 *** p 0.000 *** R-sq(adj) = 91.3% 5. An appropriate null hypothesis for a test would be “the slope of the true regression line is (a) positive.” (b) 3.3684.” (c) s = 5.557.” (d) not zero.” (e) zero.” 6. The equation for the least-squares regression line is (a) ŷ = 3.3684 + 52.789 x (b) ŷ = 52.789 + 5.557 x (d) ŷ = 52.789 + 3.3684 x (e) ŷ = 5.257 + 0.4216 x (c) ŷ = 52.78 x + 5.557 7. The t statistic for testing H0 has been left out. From the output, the t-statistic has the value (a) 7.99. (b) 10.04. (c) 0.124. (d) 0.927. (e) 15.67. 8. The P-value is (a) less than 0.001. (d) between 0.05 and 0.10. (b) between 0.001 and 0.01. (e) greater than 0.10. (c) between 0.01 and 0.05. Questions 9 to 17 are based on the following information. Florida reappraises real estate every year, so the county appraiser’s Web site lists the current “fair market value” of each piece of property. Property usually sells for somewhat more than the appraised market value. Here are the appraised market values and actual selling prices (in thousands of dollars) of condominium units sold in a beachfront building over a 19-month period: Selling price 850 900 625 1075 890 810 650 845 Appraised value 758.0 812.7 504.0 956.7 747.9 717.7 576.6 648.3 Selling price 790 700 715 825 675 1050 1325 845 Month 0 1 2 2 8 8 9 12 Appraised value 605.9 483.8 585.8 707.6 493.9 802.6 1031.8 586.7 Month 13 14 14 14 17 17 18 19 Here is part of the Minitab output for regressing selling price on appraised value. Predictor Constant appraisal S = 69.7299 Coef 127.27 1.0466 SE Coef 79.49 0.1126 R-Sq = 86.1% T 1.60 9.29 P 0.132 0.000 R-Sq(adj) = 85.1% Predicted Values for New Observations New Obs 1 9. Fit 967.3 SE Fit 21.6 95% CI (920.9, 1013.7) 95% PI (810.7, 1123.9) The equation of the least-squares regression line for predicting selling price from appraised value is (a) price = 79.49 + 0.1126 appraised value. (b) price = 127.27 + 1.0466 appraised value. (c) price = 1.0466 + 127.27 appraised value. (d) price = 127.27 + 69.7299 appraised value. (e) price = 79.49 + 1.0466 appraised value. 10. What is the correlation between selling price and appraised value? (a) 0.1126 (b) 0.861 (c) 0.928 (d) 0.851 (e) 0.922 11. The slope of the population regression line describes (a) the exact increase in the selling price of an individual unit when its appraised value increases by $1000. (b) the average increase in selling price in a population of units when appraised value increases by $1000. (c) the average selling price in a population of units when a unit’s appraised value is 0. (d) the predicted increase in appraised value when the selling price increases by $1000. (e) the exact increase in appraised value when the selling price increases by $1000. 12. Is there significant evidence that selling price increases as appraised value increases? To answer this question, test the hypotheses (a) H0: = 0 versus Ha: > 0. (b) H0: = 0 versus Ha: ≠ 0. (c) H0: = 0 versus Ha: > 0. (d) H0: = 0 versus Ha: < 0. (e) H0: > 0 versus Ha: = 0. 13. The P-value for this test is (a) less than 0.001. (b) between 0.001 and 0.005. (c) between 0.005 and 0.05. (d) between 0.05 and 0.10. (e) greater than 0.10. 14. The regression standard error for these data is (a) 0.1126. (b) 69.7299. (c) 79.49. (d) 21.6. (e) 967.3. 15. Confidence intervals and tests for these data use the t distribution with degrees of freedom (a) 14. (b) 15. (c) 16. (d) 30. (e) 17. 16. A valid conclusion to our analyses is that (a) there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the slope of the true regression line is not zero. (b) there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the slope of the true regression line for these 19 condominium units is $10,466. (c) there is strong evidence to conclude that selling price increases as the appraised value increases. (d) there is weak evidence that is positive. (e) there is evidence to conclude that the slope of the true regression line is significantly greater than zero. 17. A 95% confidence interval for the population slope is (a) $1.0466 ± 0.2415. (b) $1.0466 ± 149.5706. (c) $1.0466 ± 0.2387. (d) 967.3 ± 46.4. (e) 967.3 ± 156.6. ANSWERS 1. C 8. A 15. E 2. B 9. B 16. C 3. D 10. C 17. C 4. B 11. B 5. E 12. A 6. D 13. A 7. A 14. B