Crash Course Globalization 2 Hi, I'm John Green 0:01 and this is the final episode of Crash Course World History, 0:05 not because we've reached the end of history 0:07 but because we've reached the particular middle where I happen to be living. 0:11 Today we'll be considering whether globalization is a good thing, 0:13 and along the way we'll try to 0:15 do something that you may not be used to doing in history classes: 0:18 imagining the future. 0:19 Mr. Green, Mr. Green! 0:20 In the future, I'm gonna get to second base with Molly Brown. 0:22 No you won't, Me from the Past, 0:24 but the fact that when asked to imagine THE future, 0:26 you imagine YOUR future says a lot about the contemporary world, 0:30 and listen, Me From the Past, 0:31 while there's no question that your solipsistic individualism is bad 0:35 both for you and for our species, 0:37 the broader implications of individualism in general are a lot more complex. 0:42 [Best] 0:42 [intro music] 0:44 [intro music] 0:45 [intro music] 0:47 [intro music] 0:49 [EVER] 0:49 Man, I'm gonna miss you, Intro. [if only you were a ringtone. wait...] 0:52 So last week (ta da) we discussed how global economic interdependence has led, 0:56 on average, to longer, healthier, more prosperous lives for humans-1:00 not to mention an astonishing change in the overall human population. 1:04 In the West, globalization has also led to the rise of a service economy. 1:07 In the US and Europe, 1:08 most people now work not in agriculture or manufacturing 1:12 but in some kind of service sector: healthcare, retail, education, 1:16 entertainment, information technology, 1:18 Internet videos about world history, etc. [it's been a please to serve you! tear.] 1:21 And that switch has really changed our psychology, 1:23 especially the psychology of upper classes living in the industrialized world. 1:26 I mean, to quote Frederic Jameson, 1:28 "we are ... so far removed from the realities of production and work that we 1:32 inhabit a dream world of artificial stimuli and televised experience." 1:36 Think of it this way: 1:37 If you had to kill a [chicken 57] every time you visited KFC, 1:40 you would probably eat fewer chickens. [yeuup.] 1:43 Another change of psychology: Many historians-of-the-now note 1:45 that globalization has also led to a celebration of individualism-1:49 particularly in the wake of the failures of the Marxist collectivist utopias. 1:52 The generation that lived through the Depression and World War II 1:55 saw large-scale collectivist responses to both those crises. 1:59 And they were responses that limited freedom. 2:01 Like, the military draft, for instance, which limited your freedom, 2:04 you know, not to be a soldier. 2:06 Or 2:06 the collectivization of health insurance seen in most of the post-war West, 2:09 which limited your freedom to go bankrupt from health care costs. 2:13 Or also government programs like social security, 2:15 which limit your freedom not to pay for old people's retirement. 2:18 [as they once did. ah, the circle of life] 2:18 But since the 1960s, 2:20 the ascendant idea of personal freedom 2:22 minimally limited by government intervention has become very powerful. 2:26 Even the Catholic church was part of this new search for individual freedom, 2:29 as the Second Vatican Council 2:31 relaxed church rules in ways that weakened central authority, 2:33 [price paid for Nuns Having Fun?] 2:34 made concessions to individual styles of worship, 2:37 even said that people of different religions could go to heaven. 2:40 What good is heaven if it's gonna be full of Protestants? 2:41 It's just gonna be like Minnesota. 2:43 So here in the last episode of Crash Course World History, 2:45 in the last thirty seconds, 2:47 I have offended, uh, 5/6ths of the world's population in the form of 2:51 non-Catholics and, uh, all Republicans, and probably some political moderates. 2:57 Who are confused about what Obama's healthcare law will and will not do. 3:02 [and will now be allowed to keep doing w/o repeal. DFTVA] 3:03 Stan, maybe I should just make this episode just an extended rant 3:08 where I reveal all of my political biases. And also my personal biases. 3:12 [Cue the flaming pit that is the comments section] 3:12 Look, you're never gonna meet a historian who doesn't have biases. 3:15 But good historians try to acknowledge their biases 3:17 and I am biased toward Canada and its awesome healthcare system. 3:21 I can't lie. I'm very jealous of you guys. [for reals] 3:23 But perhaps the greatest effect of the victory of individualism 3:26 was on sex and the family. [this should be interesting...] 3:28 We haven't talked much about sex because my brother's teaching Biology, 3:30 which is basically just sex, [as 1/2 our viewers flee to Bio playlist] 3:32 but sex is pretty important historically 3:34 because it's how we keep happening. [for now] 3:36 But, in the 20th century, greater variety and availability of contraception 3:39 made it possible for people to experiment with multiple sexual partners 3:42 and helped to uncouple sex from child bearing, which was awesome, 3:45 [and the plot to movie Down With Love] 3:46 but individualism also had a destabilizing effect on families. 3:49 As the great Leo Tolstoy put it, 3:51 all happy families are alike, but each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way. 3:55 But when your individual fulfillment trumps all, 3:58 you needn't live amid your uniquely unhappy family: You can just leave. 4:02 So, divorce rates have skyrocketed in the past few decades, and not just in the US. 4:06 By the turn of the 21st century, divorce rates in China reached nearly 25%, 4:10 with 70% of those divorces initiated by women. 4:13 Technology has also driven families apart, 4:15 as parents and children spend increasing time alone 4:18 in front of their individual screens, sharing fewer experiences. 4:22 That's individualism, too, but not of a kind that we usually celebrate. 4:26 But probably the biggest consequence of globalization and the ensuing 4:29 rise in human population has been humanity's effect on the environment. 4:33 While populations have increased 4:34 partly thanks to better yields from existing farmland, 4:37 much more land has also been brought under cultivation in the past half-century. 4:41 Often this meant cutting down trees in valuable rainforests-4:44 the best known example of this is what's going on in the Amazon, 4:47 but it happens worldwide. [insert own Pandora joke here, in Na'vi] 4:48 And we're losing land not just for food, but also to grow the global economy. 4:51 Oh, it's time for the open letter? 4:56 An Open Letter to Flowers. 4:58 But first, 4:58 let's see what's in the secret compartment today. 5:00 Oh, it's fake flowers. 5:03 Thank you, Stan. 5:05 One for behind each ear. [because just one would be too girly] 5:08 Dear Flowers, 5:08 You capture the best and the worst of the globalized economy. 5:12 You're so pretty. 5:13 Even the fake ones are pretty. But the real one are constantly dying. 5:16 They've got to be harvested, and shipped, and cut very efficiently. 5:20 And it's a global phenomenon. 5:21 Like there are flowers in my corner market from Africa. 5:25 These are from China, but because they are plastic, 5:27 they could just be shipped in a shipping container. 5:29 More people can afford to apologize by giving their romantic partners 5:32 professionally cut and arranged roses than in any time in human history, 5:36 but in that we have lost something, 5:38 which is that the whole idea of flowers is that you had to go out into the field 5:42 and, like, cut them and arrange them yourself to apologize. 5:44 It's not supposed to be, 5:46 "I'm sorry I forgot your birthday. Here's $8 worth of work that was done in Kenya." 5:49 [sentiment falls a bit flat, doesn't it?] 5:50 It's supposed to be, 5:50 "I'm sorry I forgot your birthday, 5:52 so I went into the frakking forest and got you some frakking flowers. 5:56 Anyway, flowers, 5:57 Best Wishes, John Green. 5:59 Aww.. you guys got me flowers for 6:02 my last episode of World History. [cupcakes now reserved for Merebration] 6:04 Okay, let's go to the thought bubble. 6:06 As worldwide production and consumption increases, 6:08 we use more resources, especially water and fossil fuels. 6:13 Globalization has made the average human richer, 6:14 and rich people tend to use more of... 6:17 everything... but especially energy. 6:20 This has already resulted in climate change, which will likely accelerate. 6:23 The global economy isn't a zero-sum game. 6:26 Like, 6:26 I don't need to become more poor in order for someone else to become more rich. 6:31 But growth, at least so far, 6:33 has been dependent upon unsustainable use of the planet's resources. 6:37 The planet can't sustain seven billion automobiles, for instance, 6:40 or seven billion frequent flyers, 6:42 although most of us who can afford to drive or fly feel entitled to do so. 6:47 You'll remember that when we talked about the Industrial Revolution, 6:49 we discussed the virtuous cycle of more efficiency making things cheaper, 6:54 which in turn made them easier to buy, which increased demand, 6:57 which increased efficiency. 6:58 But from the perspective of the planet, each turn in that cycle takes something: 7:03 More land under cultivation, more carbon emissions, more resource extraction. 7:08 That can't go on forever, but worryingly, 7:10 our current models of economic growth don't allow for any other way. 7:14 Thanks, Thought Bubble. 7:15 And then there is our astonishingly robust health. 7:18 Although much of the world has 7:19 been ravaged by HIV/AIDS for the past three decades, 7:22 there's been a relative lack of global pandemics since the 1918 flu. 7:26 And that's particularly surprising given increased population density and 7:29 more travel between population centers. 7:32 China has seen 150 million people 7:34 leave the countryside for cities in the last 20 years. 7:37 This was Shanghai in 1990; and this is Shanghai in 2010. 7:43 The population of Lagos was 41,000 in 1900; 7:47 today, it's almost 8 million. 7:49 Of course, people have been moving from country to city for a long time; 7:53 remember Gilgamesh? [& the Mesopo-taaaaa-mii-aans] 7:54 But the pace of that change has dramatically accelerated. 7:58 Similarly, there's nothing new about international trade, 8:01 but its pace has also increased dramatically: 8:03 In 1960, trade accounted for 24% of the world's GDP; 8:07 today, it's more than double that. 8:10 Almost no human being alive today 8:12 lives with stuff only manufactured in their home country, 8:15 but a thousand years ago, 8:17 only the richest of the rich could benefit from the Silk Road. 8:20 Still, trade isn't new. 8:21 And while it's tempting to say that the types of goods being traded -8:24 pharmaceuticals, computers, software, financial services -8:28 represent something wholly new, 8:30 you could just as easily see this as part of the evolution of trade itself. 8:33 At some point silk was seen as a new trade good. 8:36 As tastes change and consumers become more affluent, 8:39 the things that they want to buy change. 8:40 So is anything really different, or is it all just accelerated? 8:44 Well, some historians argue that 8:45 an economically interdependent world is much less likely to go to war. 8:49 And that may be true, but increasing global, cultural, and 8:52 economic integration hasn't led to an end to violence. 8:55 I mean, we've seen large scale ethnic and nationalistic violence from Rwanda to 8:59 the former Yugoslavia to the Democratic Republic of Congo to Afghanistan. 9:04 Globalization has not rid the world of violence. 9:06 But there is an ideological shift 9:08 in the age of globalization that does seem pretty new, 9:10 and that's the turn to democracy. 9:12 Now this isn't the limited democracy of the ancient Greeks, 9:15 or the quirky republican system originally developed in the U.S.; 9:18 there are almost as many kinds of democracies as there are 9:22 nations experiencing democracy. 9:24 The fact is, however, that democracy and political freedom, 9:27 especially the freedom to participate in and influence the government, 9:31 have been on the rise all over the world since the 1980s and especially since 1990. 9:36 For instance, 9:36 if you looked at the governments of most Latin American countries 9:39 during most of the 20th centuries, 9:40 you would usually find them ruled by military strongman. 9:43 Now, with a couple of exceptions (Fidel, Hugo)... 9:46 Stan, are they behind me right now? 9:49 Because if they're behind me, 9:50 I am in favor of collectivising oil revenue and distributing it to the poor. 9:54 If they're not behind me, that's a terrible idea.[love the iron constitution] 9:56 Right, but anyway, democracy is now flourishing in most of Latin America. 9:59 Probably the most famous democratic success story is South Africa, 10:02 which jettisoned decades of Apartheid in the 1990s 10:05 and elected former dissident Nelson Mandela 10:07 as its first black president in 1994. 10:09 It also adopted one of the most progressive constitutions in the world. 10:13 But it's worth remembering that 10:14 democracy and economic success don't always go hand in hand, 10:18 as much as some Americans wish they would. 10:21 Many new African democracies continue to struggle, the same is true in some 10:24 Latin American countries, and China has shown that you don't need democracy 10:28 in order to experience economic growth. 10:30 But for a few countries, especially Brazil and India, 10:33 the combination of democracy and economic liberalism has 10:37 unleashed impressive growth that has lifted millions out of poverty. 10:40 So can we say that it's good, then? 10:42 Can we celebrate globalization, 10:43 in spite of its destabilizing effects on families and the environment? 10:47 Well, here's where we have to imagine the future, 10:49 because if some superbug shows up tomorrow [says the hypochondriac, hypothetically] 10:51 and it travels through all these global trade routes and kills every living human, 10:56 then globalization will have been very bad for human history: 10:59 specifically, by ending it. 11:00 If climate change continues to accelerate and displaces billions of people 11:04 and causes widespread famines and flooding, then we will remember 11:08 this period of human history as short-sighted, self-indulgent, 11:11 and tremendously destructive. 11:13 On the other hand, 11:13 if we discover an asteroid hurdling toward earth 11:15 and mobilize global industry and technology in such a way 11:19 that we lose Bruce Willis but save the world, 11:21 then globalization will be celebrated for millennia. 11:23 I mean, assuming we have millennia and can convince Bruce Willis to go. 11:27 In short, to understand the present, we have to imagine the future. 11:30 That's the thing about history: It depends on where you're standing. 11:33 From where I'm standing, globalization has been a net positive, 11:36 but then again, 11:37 it's been a pretty good run for heterosexual males of European descent. 11:41 Critics of globalization point out that 11:43 billions haven't benefited much if at all from all this economic prosperity, 11:48 and that the polarization of wealth is growing both within and across nations. 11:52 And those criticisms are valid and they are troubling, but they aren't new. 11:56 Disparities between those who have more and those who have less 11:59 have existed pretty much from the moment agriculture 12:01 enabled us to accumulate a surplus. 12:03 At some times this inequality has been a big concern, 12:06 as it was with Jesus and Muhammad, at other times not so much. 12:10 Inequalities are as old as human history, 12:12 and almost as old is the debate about them. 12:15 One thing that is new, however, is our ability to learn about them, 12:18 to discuss them, and hopefully to find solutions for them together 12:22 as a global community that is better integrated and more connected 12:26 than it has ever been before. 12:28 Because here's the other thing about history: You are making it. 12:32 That old idea that history is the deeds of great men? That was wrong. 12:36 Celebrated individuals do shape history, but so do the rest of us. 12:40 And while it's true that many historical forces-12:42 malaria, meteors from space-- [bed bugs] 12:45 aren't human, it's also true that every human is a historical force. 12:50 You are changing the world every day. 12:52 And it is our hope that by looking at the history that was made before us, 12:55 we can see our own crucial decisions in a broader context. 12:59 And I believe that context can help us make better choices-13:02 and better changes. 13:04 Thanks for watching. 13:04 But, there's no need to despair, Crash Course fans, 13:06 I'll see you next week for the beginning of our mini series on literature. 13:09 Crash Course is produced and directed by Stan Muller. 13:11 Our script supervisor is Meredith Danko. 13:13 The associate producer is Danica Johnson. 13:15 The show is written by my high school history teacher, 13:18 Raoul Meyer, and myself. 13:19 And our graphics team is Thought Bubble. 13:20 Last week's phrase of the week was 13:22 "Cookie Monster". 13:22 This week's phrase of the week was 13:24 "Bruce Willis," 13:24 which I am telling you because we are retiring the idea 13:28 of the phrase of the week. 13:29 Thank you so much for watching Crash Course World History. 13:31 It has been super fun to try 13:33 to tell the history of the world in 42 twelve-minute videos. 13:36 I hope you enjoyed it and I hope you'll hang around for literature. 13:39 Thanks for watching, 13:40 and as we say in my hometown, 13:42 Don't Forget How Strange It Is To Be Anything At All. 13:45 outro